Bitcoin - The end is near, but you'll be rich! We may be starting to form a temporary bottom. However, where BTC is resting right now is in the middle of nowhere. Although it is strong support it is also in between the 50% and 61.8 retracement. BTC favors going to the 61.8 before moving back up. To be clear this Fibo scale you see on my chart is for the entire 2019 move which seems to be what the Algos are using, so we'll just piggyback on that. Once we hit the 61.8 (Around my optimal buy zone) I will enter with another 50% of the capital -- that I am willing to risk in a long term trade. I did put 25% of my capital in once we hit the 50% fibo retracement (my first X top to bottom.) I will put my last remaining 25% once we hit the mother of all buy zones (which is also the last trendline and the weekly 200MA.)
To recap:
25% on the first X
50% on the second X
25% on the third X
Onto the TA. What we are seeing right now is that price closed below the 200MA (the light gray line pointing upwards) two times already and with little effort to get back above it. Over the weekend we may see that final meltdown. So what is my paper trading advice to you? If we hit that Optimal buy zone? buy high performing top 10 market cap alts. Any analyst that recommends crap coins that have a "high chance" of pumping is putting you at risk. There is 0 (zero) chance of making money buying like this. All that's going to happen is that you'll get stuck forever with this low performing coins that will never, ever seem to stop dropping. Stick to the top 10 market cap coins and in this scenario, you will double your money in a few months. You can also buy BTC if you have a large amount of money (over 100k) to invest but I do not recommend putting too much money into this high-risk asset class.
Let's do some simple math of my method;
If you put 5k in this high-risk asset class and you triple it in this BTC run-up, you'll have 15k, if you have discipline and not do stupid high-risk greedy bets you will keep it until next drop and if on that drop you double it, you'll have 30K and over the course of next year you do that 2 more times you'll have 120K just from a one time investment of 5K. This is why my method works and the high risk - low reward method continually wreck you. What I do is not simple, why? It requires an insane amount of discipline but it is guaranteed to work and actually make you money.
NOW, THE LEGEND;
Support trendlines are green
Resistance trendlines are Red
Horizontal support lines are white the thicker the stronger the support
50 Moving Average is yellow
200 Moving Average is white
THE TREND: Going a little further down but near the bottom.
THE OUTLOOK: Almost safe to buy BTC but safe to buy top 10 market-cap Alts now and as they dip.
Be safe and follow me to make money and stay ahead of the curve.
Btcideas
Bitcoin - How to make it without really trying Let's keep learning
The 12H is not my favorite timeframe, but the action is happening there at this point. The first step to doing successful TA is to get your trendlines, support and resistance lines right and if you do it will give you the confidence needed to make the important decisions. Also, trendlines serve as a leading and lagging measure. When a trendline is violated any smart trader will sit up, pay attention and start planning a move. If you are drawing your trendlines wrong, you will make bets based on the wrong info which will lead to you losing money. Let's look at some trendlines.
on the 12H My red downtrend channel line is so spot on that it has been a reliable indicator so far that BTC does not have the strength or buyers to decisively go above it, it has been tested many times and it has rejected the advances many times. Eventually, price may fall because the algos (the computers that control price) did not fool too many of you into jumping in. So how would we know if we are legitimately going up or if we are being faked out? A fake-out is when price goes up but it fails to go over an important resistance point and it comes back down, what happened is that you were duped into buying high and selling low. So Going over the downtrend channel line and the 200MA without making a higher high would be a fake-out. Now, a solid green candle going up to 13k in one shot it's a legitimate move up and no you did not miss the move up, at that point you wait for the pullback to jump in.
There are psychological events that force price to come down, one of those events is a death cross at a high timeframe such as the daily. Right now we might just see that happen in a few weeks if we continue to range sideways and if we continue to have these small drops. Once we form a DC on the 1D we'll see price go under the 50MA for days and days but it will create a great opportunity to get into more alts at historically low prices. We'll make money regardless.
Specifically, what do we need to keep an eye on? We want to see if price can stay above the 50MA on the 12H and if BTC ranges sideways long enough to go over the red downtrend channel line.
THE TREND: Going down still.
THE OUTLOOK: Unsafe to buy BTC but safe to buy top 10 marketcap alts.
Be safe and follow me to make money and stay ahead of the curve.