Bitcoin's Midweek Liquidity Play Detailed Analysis Bitcoin's Price Analysis Based on Current Market Conditions
1. Bullish Price Action from CPI Triggers
Recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has provided a significant bullish trigger, aligning with the market's expectation of reduced inflationary pressures. This macroeconomic indicator is a key driver, as it reassures investors about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain or reduce interest rate hikes. Bitcoin's price has reacted positively, with a clear bullish breakout, showing strength in its upward trajectory. The CPI induced move is critical as it reflects institutional confidence and a shift in liquidity toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
2. Midweek Reversal Dynamics
Retailer FOMO at Play
Historically, Wednesday and Thursday are pivotal days for Bitcoin's price action, often characterized by reversals. This behavior is driven by a mix of institutional repositioning and retail traders' emotional responses. Currently, retail traders appear to be in a state of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), entering positions aggressively as Bitcoin pumps. This scenario creates a ripe environment for market makers to exploit, as over leveraged long positions begin to dominate. A liquidity sweep targeting stop loss clusters below current support levels is highly probable.
3. Stop-Loss Sweep and Liquidity Dynamics
The chart indicates that a significant number of stop-loss orders are concentrated around the $98,600 level, just below recent support. This aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone, which remains untested. Market makers are likely to drive the price down to this level to fill pending orders and collect liquidity. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the price regains upward momentum.
Following the liquidity sweep, a strong pump is expected toward the $102,400 zone, a key area of interest where previous imbalances and institutional orders are likely stacked. This zone serves as a springboard for the next leg of the rally.
4. Projection to Key Levels: $108,362 and Beyond
Once liquidity at $98,600 is absorbed and the $102,400 zone is reclaimed, Bitcoin is poised to target the next major resistance at $108,362. This level aligns with a confluence of technical factors, including previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. Breaking this resistance would open the path to the $110,000 psychological level, further validating the bullish macro trend.
Bitcoin's price action is entering a critical phase influenced by macroeconomic triggers, market structure, and liquidity dynamics. Traders should remain cautious of midweek reversals and liquidity sweeps, while positioning for potential upside targeting $108,362 and beyond. Proper risk management is essential, given the market's high volatility and the potential for unexpected deviations.
Btclong
BTC - Hyper-Parabolic Push to $1M in 2025I don't believe anyone is considering this scenario, but if CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaches $120k, we break out of our parabolic green trend channel (similar to 2017), and enter a hyper-parabolic state.
The chart speaks for itself and the similarities are uncanny.
Expect the Unexpected.
-@CryptoCurb
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern
The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area.
For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs.
The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior.
Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors
Monitor the wedge breakout closely.
Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position.
Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data.
BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart !!The BTC/USDT 4-hour chart highlights key technical levels and potential market movements:
Bitcoin has rebounded strongly from the green horizontal demand zone near $92,000-$94,000, indicating that buyers are coming to defend this crucial level.
A descending trendline continues to act as resistance around the $98,000-$100,000 range. A breakout above this line will signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
The recent surge indicates renewed buying interest, and if Bitcoin maintains this upward momentum, it could challenge the descending trendline in the near term.
A breakout above this resistance could open the door for further gains, potentially targeting the $102,000-$105,000 range.
Moving Averages:
The 21-period moving average is currently at $94,105 and could act as a dynamic support level if the price pulls back.
A clean break above the descending trendline could start a strong upward rally, with higher price targets in sight.
If Bitcoin fails to move above the trendline and reverses, retesting the green demand zone becomes possible. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further upward pressure.
Traders should keep an eye out for a decisive breakout or rejection at the trendline to confirm the market’s next direction.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Resistance Broken? BTC Aims for $96K!Falling Trendline Breakout
Bitcoin has broken above a descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Entry Zone
The recommended buy zone is $91,500 to $90,500. Price is currently within this range, making it an ideal area for a long entry.
Stop Loss
A tight stop-loss at $89,500 helps minimize downside risk if the breakout fails.
Targets
Target 1: $92,000
Target 2: $93,000
Target 3: $94,000
Target 4: $95,000
Target 5: $96,000
Risk Management
Stop-loss placement is critical to avoid potential losses, with a strong downside risk below $89,500.
Recommendation
Watch for a sustained close above the breakout level and monitor volume confirmation for continued upside momentum. This trade aligns well with a bullish reversal structure and offers multiple profit-taking levels.
Bitcoin's Double Bottom Reversal1.Double Bottom Formation
Bitcoin has formed a double bottom pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
The second bottom was created around $89,200, which acts as a strong support level.
2.Neckline Resistance at $91,200
The neckline of the double bottom pattern is at $91,200.
A daily close above $91,200 is crucial to confirm the breakout and initiate an upward move.
3.Bullish Scenario
If the price successfully breaks and closes above the neckline, a long position can be considered.
The breakout could lead to a potential price target of higher resistance zones, depending on momentum.
4.Risk Management:
If the price fails to sustain above $91,200, a retest of lower support ($89,200) could occur.
5. Key Levels to Watch
Support: $89,200
Resistance : $91,200 (neckline)
Bitcoin is showing signs of a bullish reversal from the double bottom pattern. Keep a close eye on the neckline breakout for confirmation before entering long positions.
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!#BTC breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the 50-day MA, it could signal renewed bullish momentum.
The breakout will likely initially target $97,500-$100,000, and further upside towards $107,500 is possible.
Failure to hold the support zone ($92,500) could lead to a deeper correction.
The next major support is near $87,500, with extended downside risk towards the beige zone (around $80,000-$75,000).
A continued sideways movement is possible if BTC remains range-bound between $92,500 (support) and $97,500 (resistance).
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin’s Next Move Major Breakout or Breakdown ?Chart Pattern
The chart displays range-bound trading between key levels of $91,535.66 (support) and $95,752.48 (resistance).
A recent pullback from the upper resistance indicates potential consolidation before the next significant price movement.
Key Insights
1.Current Price Action
Bitcoin is trading near $94,181.41, below the immediate resistance zone of $95,752.48.
The price has been rejected multiple times at the upper resistance, signaling a strong supply zone.
2. Potential Breakdown Scenario
If BTC breaks the $91,535.66 support, the next potential downside target could be $90,000 or lower.
Volume confirmation and momentum indicators would be crucial for validating a downward continuation.
3.Bullish Reversal Possibility
If BTC holds above $91,500, it may bounce back to test $95,750 again.
A breakout above $95,750 could target higher levels, with $100,000 being the psychological resistance.
Trading Plan
Bearish Setup
Short below $91,500 with a target of $89,500–$90,000.
Bullish Setup
Long above $95,750, targeting $98,000–$100,000.
Market Sentiment
Neutral to Bearish, Caution is advised until clear breakout/breakdown confirmation is observed.
The market remains unstable, with both upside and downside risks. Stay alert for macroeconomic news and BTC dominance trends.
Sometimes the simplest trade is the best trade | BTC $97K NEXT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart, indicating weakening selling momentum. We've also seen a local higher high, suggesting the dip may be over.
Despite bearish news such as unconfirmed rumors about government sales and concerns over jobs and interest rates, the price is still recovering. This suggests that higher highs are likely ahead.
However, be cautious of weekend trading with lower volume, though I don't believe it will significantly impact the overall trend.
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ?
1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity.
3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup:
Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk.
Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels.
4. Scenario Analysis
Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower.
To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
BTC/USDT Breakout Strategy & Long SetupThe chart presents a clear structure for BTC/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant retracement from the recent highs, BTC has formed a descending channel, which it has now broken out of, signaling potential bullish momentum.
Chart Observations
Descending Channel Breakout
BTC was trading in a well-defined descending channel, consolidating near a critical demand zone. The breakout above this channel suggests a potential reversal in trend.
Key Support Zone
The price has respected the support range between $94,800 and $95,400, which aligns with a high-volume area and serves as a strong buy zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend this level.
Demand Zone Test
A retest of this support zone has provided a new opportunity to accumulate long positions. The candlestick wicks and volume activity indicate significant buying pressure in this area.
Ascending Channel Formation
Post-breakout, BTC is trading within an ascending channel, which offers potential upside targets as the price moves towards the upper resistance trendline.
Short-Term Pullback Completed
The previous bearish movement was capped at the support zone, with the "short position" trade closed as the price reversed into bullish territory. This reversal strengthens the case for a long position targeting higher levels.
Volume and Momentum
Increasing volume near the breakout and demand zone suggests that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators (not shown here) likely confirm this bullish bias.
Key Insights for the Trade Idea
Buy Zone The optimal entry for this trade is between $94,800 and $95,400, coinciding with the retest of the support zone and the lower trendline of the ascending channel.
Stop Loss: A tight stop loss at $92,574 protects against downside risk while allowing room for natural price fluctuation.
Targets: Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the following resistance levels, derived from Fibonacci extensions and key price levels.
Targets 🎯:
$96,333 – Immediate resistance and the first key level of profit-taking.
$97,285 – Mid-range resistance within the ascending channel.
$98,230 – Upper mid-point of the bullish channel.
$99,212 – Close to psychological resistance and ascending channel boundary.
$100,211 – Psychological round number and major resistance zone.
Stop Loss
$92,574: Positioned below the critical support zone to avoid invalidating the bullish setup.
This setup presents a high-risk-to-reward opportunity with clear entry, exit, and risk management strategies. Adjust position size according to your trading plan and always adhere to risk management principles.
BTC trading planBull Flag: On the daily timeframe, I’m observing a bull flag formation. Since late December, the price has been moving within a descending channel, acting as a corrective wave after a strong rally. If there is a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of this channel with sufficient volume, it could signal a continuation of the long-term uptrend.
MACD (12,26,9): The MACD indicator suggests a potential bullish divergence. The histogram is slowly turning positive, and the signal line appears ready to cross above the zero level. This would confirm increasing momentum and support a possible price breakout.
Key S/R Level: The 77,000–80,000 USDT zone looks like a crucial support area, where the price has bounced several times in the past. If BTC does retrace, this zone could act as a strong support.
Final Target at 135,000 USDT: In the event of a successful breakout and continued rally, the price may reach the final target of 135,000 USDT. This target is derived from a combination of price action, trend channel analysis, and Fibonacci levels.
Risks: As always, remember to protect your capital with proper risk management. Technical analysis is never a guarantee of profit—markets can always move the opposite way.
If you like (or disagree with) this idea, please share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC Expectations after the Dump -> Upside ahead!In this video, I’m analyzing Bitcoin’s recent price action and highlighting a key Fibonacci retracement level. Here’s the main idea:
Repeated 0.618 Fib Retracement: BTC has repeatedly pulled back into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a strong support zone and healthy correction.
Anticipated Expansion Move:
Given these consistent bounces off the golden pocket, I’m expecting a bullish expansion move. This could take BTC to higher resistance levels in the short to mid term, if price action continues to hold above this critical zone.
Let’s see if the market follows through on this anticipated upward swing!
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Key Targets at $100,887 and $103khello guys!
Hunt Zones:
Two liquidity "hunt" zones are marked:
Hunt 1: A resistance level where sellers initially dominated.
Hunt 2: A support area where buyers stepped in to push the price higher.
Bullish Structure:
The price has created a higher low and is showing signs of bullish momentum.
The engulfing pattern indicates a strong buyer presence.
Key Levels:
$100,887: First significant resistance level, which could act as a decision point.
$103,010: Final target zone for the current bullish trend.
Expected Movement:
A breakout above the $100,887 resistance may lead to further upside toward $103,010.
Consolidation or pullback may occur at intermediate levels before continuing higher.
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Summary:
The outlook is bullish as long as the price remains above support levels near $97,000. Watch for price action around $100,887 for confirmation of further upward momentum.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS,
Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis:
1. **Current Price Action**:
- BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel.
- There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure.
3. **Support Levels**:
- Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone).
- A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks.
4. **Potential Scenarios**:
- If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely.
- Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests.
- Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond.
5. **Market Structure**:
- The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength.
- However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown.
My Suggestion:
- **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000.
- **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
Bitcoin (BTC): Rise up to $135,000 or drop to $80,000-$90,000The current market situation is uncertain. The market often moves contrary to public sentiment. Currently, most expect a correction. ETF inflow/outflow data indicates significant outflows from December 19, 2024, to January 2, 2025, which is evident in the BTC chart. On January 3, 2025, there was an inflow of $905M.
In a bearish scenario, panic could dominate the market, making it difficult for BTC whales to sustain distribution above $100,000. However, if a bullish scenario unfolds, the $91,000–$108,000 zone could act as a strong support level after a price increase to $135,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level. This bullish scenario would become even more significant if the growth aligns with major international events at the end of January, February, or March. 👀
1. Bullish Scenario:
The price breaks through the current resistance levels, targeting up to $136,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level.
2. Bearish Scenario:
A correction to the $80,000–$90,000 range or the 38.2-61.8% Fibonacci levels, with a potential test of the $88,000 support level aligned with the 800 EMA.
👇
About Me:
I maintain a personal trading journal. I don't possess extrasensory abilities or insider information.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk—always do your own research and seek professional advice. We are not responsible for any financial losses. #DYOR
Share your thoughts in the comments below 👇
Bitcoin Needs to Break 99k Now - or Else!Bitcoin www.tradingview.com is locked in a showdown at FWB:98K , staring down the $99K resistance that slapped it back last Friday. This isn't just any resistance—it’s the boss fight of the current rally. A double bottom at GETTEX:97K had traders calling it a breakout signal, fueled by Golden Candle alerts (shoutout to our "The Golden Candle" Indicator). The rally from GETTEX:92K last week had everyone partying, but our trusty Bagholder Detector shows some serious profit-taking vibes as bagholders pile up around 98-99k zone.
On the technical side, the 4-hour RSI is hovering just below overbought territory, while the MACD signals waning bullish momentum. To keep the rocket fuel burning, Bitcoin needs to smash through $99K like a bull in a china shop, or risk descending into consolidation limbo. With institutional buying ramping up and rumors of new crypto ETF approvals swirling, the stage is set—the party either goes to $108K or I'm going to throw a wet noodle at the wall and see if that will stick at least.
Bitcoin Update !The price previously moved within an ascending channel but broke downwards.
After the breakdown, BTC consolidated in a falling wedge pattern and is now breaking upwards.
The red line (possibly the 50 MA) and the black line (possibly the 20 MA) indicate a bearish crossover during the breakdown.
The price is now attempting to rise above both moving averages.
It appears that BTC has successfully broken out of the wedge pattern.
A retest of the breakout level around $94,000-$95,000 may occur before further upside.
The hand-drawn curve suggests a bullish scenario, targeting levels around $110,000-$112,000 in the medium term.
Before the uptrend resumes, there could be a pullback or correction around the $102,000-$104,000 area.
Key Levels:
Support: $94,000, $92,000
Resistance: $100,000, $104,000, $112,000
The breakout from the falling wedge is a bullish signal, and if BTC stays above the moving averages and key support levels, a move toward $110,000 is possible. However, keep an eye on a potential retest of $94,000 for confirmation.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis
BTC/USDT consolidates within a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout.
This pattern often translates into a significant price movement, either upwards or downwards.
As highlighted in the chart, if BTC breaks out to the upside, the price projection is approximately 15.77%.
The measured move aligns with historical price action and the triangle's width.
Support Level: Near $93,000
The breakout of the triangle will determine the next directional trend.
Keep an eye on increased trading volume to confirm the validity of the breakout.
If the breakout is bullish: The potential target is $108,000
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AnalysisBitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term. The price is near the lower trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce. Support Zone: $92,000 – $94,000 (green area) This zone has provided strong support during successive pullbacks. Resistance Zone: $100,000 – $102,000 Bitcoin has struggled to break this level, which is a major resistance. If BTC maintains the current support and breaks the $100,000 resistance, the next target could be the upper channel boundary around $110,000 or above. A breakdown below $92,000 could invalidate the ascending channel, with a potential decline to $88,000 or lower.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA