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Btcshort

#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025 Bitcoin has approached the lower edge of its current channel and received a reaction from there. However, in the current timeframe, the ongoing candle seems willing to pull back again. The MA200 band held the previous candle well, which also represented the bottom of the current channel. There is high liquidity between the $113,200 and $121,000 zones. I believe Bitcoin will continue to move by sweeping through this region. Therefore, I think Bitcoin’s current target is to reach around the $118,000 level with a 3% push move. If Bitcoin does not make this move and chooses to pull back instead, it may go as far as filling the imbalance at the $110,000 level. The last impulsive move was made around 20 days ago, and since then, the chart has been progressing with a correction of a correction. As long as there’s no close below $107,500, the uptrend will remain intact in the long term. However, if the $107,500 level is broken with a strong candle, we can say that Bitcoin has turned bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. For now, this doesn’t seem very likely. I believe Bitcoin’s next move will target the $118,000 region, continuing to clear out the liquidity accumulating in the upper ranges. However, this channel will need to break at some point.
by BTCETH2X
BTC Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone HeldExhaustion Zone Update: 2025–208 📉 Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone Held On Friday, BTC dipped to 114,700, printing a fresh Daily Swing Low — a classic liquidity grab. The bulls stormed in for reinforcements, pushed price back up late in the day… but once again, the Exhaustion Zone stood its ground. BTC closed lower than Thursday, and since then? Pure chop. Feels like both bulls and bears took the weekend off to watch Netflix. — 🔻 The Downward Trendline Still Rules Today, it’s simple: Bulls must close above 118,477. That’s the trendline test — hesitation here, and the bears come clawing. Usually I’d say, "give the bulls until Monday"... but this year has shown us one thing: 🐋 The Whales Hunt on Sundays. If the bulls don’t step up today, we might learn the hard way why it’s called the Exhaustion Zone. — 📉 The Risk if Bulls Fail BTC already gathered all the bulls it could down at the Daily Swing Low — and they’re tired. If they can’t break out, the High-Powered Short Zone (dashed red lines) will take over. The bears? Heavy. Angry. Overdue for a window jump. 🎯 Next floors down: • May ATH → 111,965 • January ATH → 109,354 That’s the Take Profit$ Zone 👇 And honestly? I’m letting a small short position ride in case the evil whales take us all the way to the 50% level (98,811). — 📌 The Alpha View To the bulls: It’s showtime. Either close above 118,477 today… or the All-Time High Parade might just reroute — straight down the fire escape. 🐻🔥
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheAlphaView
BTC | ALT Season, then BEARISH CYCLE BeginsBitcoin is likely moving in to the beginning of a bearish cycle. I'm not saying this is immediate, we first need to see altseason - however, if BTC increases it may not go any higher than the last high of $123k. We could easily see the price hover around this zone with a few small increases and decreases for the next few weeks as alts make their respective moves. I have been talking about the 2021 fractal for a couple of months, where BTC took its time to correct and then made another ATH which was only slightly higher. We already see a similar pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe if we overlay bars pattern from 2021: Although Bonce zone 3 may only be in several months, these are the major support zones where BTC could bounce from. Ideal for a swing: ____________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by Crypto-Check-
10
BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped (Educational Breakdown) ⸻ 🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart): • Range Structure: BTCUSD is currently trading within a well-defined consolidation range between the Resistance Zone ($119,850–$120,591) and the Support Zone ($116,937). • Volume Profile (VRVP): Volume is noticeably thick near the mid-range, suggesting accumulation/distribution behavior. Price is struggling to break above the value area high near $120K. • Resistance Rejection: After testing the upper supply zone, price failed to sustain bullish momentum and is showing signs of exhaustion – a possible sign of institutional selling. • Target Zone: If price rejects this resistance again, a strong move toward the target level of $117,260 is expected. This aligns with: • Mid-range liquidity sweep • Low-volume node (LVN) below current price • Fair Value Gap fill near $117,200–$116,900 ⸻ 🧩 Key Concepts Highlighted: • Support & Resistance Mapping • Volume Profile Readings • Institutional Order Flow Bias • Target Projection using Smart Money Concepts ⸻ ⚠ Educational Insight: This setup is a perfect example of how to combine Volume Profile + Price Action to identify liquidity traps and smart entries. Always wait for confirmation near key zones — not every level breaks! ⸻ ✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice): • Watch for bearish engulfing/rejection wick at resistance • Short entry below $119,000 with SL above $120,600 • Target: $117,260 / Final TP: $116,937 zone
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
BTC-Alpha-"Exhaustion Zone" Update📍All Eyes on $119,300 Why? Because that’s the line that could break the bearish narrative. A clean push above = bulls showing real strength — not just surviving, but swinging. It might look like BTC is doing nothing… but under the hood, the chart is very much alive. If bulls can’t break the descending trendline, it’s not just hesitation — it’s exhaustion. And when bulls run out of gas? The High-Powered Short Zone starts pulling like gravity. — 🔸 Chart Patterns in Play 🟥 Bear Flag / Distribution Box • Price is consolidating beneath a lower high + descending trendline • Every rally attempt has fizzled inside the Exhaustion Zone • Repeated failures at $119,300 = a clear ceiling 🟩 Coil Within Compression • Higher lows pushing up against downtrend resistance • Price is coiling tight — and compression always precedes expansion • A breakout (or breakdown) is coming… the spring’s loaded — 🧭 What to Watch 🔓 Break above $119.3K with volume = bull momentum resumes ❌ Break below $117K = bear flag confirmed → welcome back to the High-Powered Short Zone — Stay Sharp. Don’t confuse quiet charts with quiet outcomes. BTC is gearing up for a move that won’t whisper.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheAlphaView
MSTR - Microstrategy Short...for now.The White Fork is created by choosing point A, which must be the lowest price before the swing. B and C are the natural high and low of the swing we want to measure. What this gives us is a Pitchfork that projects the most probable path of price. Additionally, with the three lines that make the Fork, we have the natural extremes above, below, and the center—the mean. We can see that price started to rise in March 2025. The 80% rule states that price will reach the Centerline around 80% of the time. And as we see, it did this time as well. Price reached the CL (Center Line), and immediately the big whales dumped positions. Then price fell—only to be picked up before reaching the Lower Line, also called the L-MLH or Lower Median Line Parallel. When price can't make it to this (or any of these) lines, we call this a 'Hagopian,' because it follows 'Hagopian's Rule.' This rule says that if price can't reach 'the line' (the L-MLH in this case), there is a high chance that price will reverse in the previous direction (up in this case), and even go further than where it came from (the Centerline). And as we see, price indeed traded upwards—beyond where it came from—and overshot the Centerline (CL). Unfortunately for long-positioned traders, the gas in the goose was empty, and price now starts to head south again, missing the target, which would have been the U-MLH (Upper Median Line Parallel). So, the open happened below the CL! If we also see a close this week, I'm ready to initiate a short trade. Why? Well, as before, Hagopian’s Rule applies—an indication that price will trade further down than where it came from, which is below $361. And since we know that the natural target is the Centerline about 80% of the time, we have a heck of a good chance that we’ll be happy campers in a couple of weeks. :-) With a risk/reward of about 2 to 3, and such a high chance of a profitable trade, I’ll sleep like a baby in the coming weeks. The trade idea would be cancelled if price closes above the CL this Friday. Let’s stalk it closely...
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE 2.0HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE ⚡️ Usually, a 3% move doesn’t make anyone blink—but this one? It sent BTC into all-time high territory. I almost popped the champagne… until I remembered I’m in a short. Not because I don’t believe in upside—but because my add zone in the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE hasn’t been tagged. Yet. Here’s the breakdown 🧵👇 ________________________________________ Before anyone goes bUCK wilD and cracks open that dusty bottle of Veuve, double-check something: 📅 The July 10th daily candle needs to close above the monthly swing high (orange line). If BTC bulls lock that in, then a move deeper into the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE becomes real... play-the-game real… ________________________________________ Where’s this HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE coming from? 🔻 Solid red line – a trendline from Dec 2024 that has held strong through three separate tests — marking it as a key line on the sand. 🔻 Dashed red line – goes all the way back to Dec 2017. A seasoned veteran of resistance. I also drew in a white ascending channel—not just for looks. If BTC breaks out, this channel will help us ask: “How high is too high?” ________________________________________ Now enters Fibonacci — where nature maps out key alignments on the chart. 🌱 🟡 Gold lines = Fib golden ratios 🔵 Teal lines = Fib Degen Ratios It’s wild how they just line up: • 2.618? Right on the top of the channel. • 1.618? Sitting on the 2017 trendline. • 0.618? Near current support + bottom of the channel. Also had to draw that horizontal support white line to keep an eye on. A Bounce or bust? Ask the bUCKmOON!
Short
by TheAlphaView
BTC - Calling the Start of the Bearish SeasonHello Watchers ☕ This was my previous Bitcoin update where I had a target of $116K, and also then closed all open positions at $122K: I'm calling the top here mainly because of the way the chart looks, it really is classic Wyckoff if you look at the duration of the current bullish cycle, which has lasted a whole 973 Days with a 564% increase. What goes up, must come down! Just for interest sake, the previous bullish cycle ran for 600 days with a 700% increase.
Short
by BlockTechEv
31
Link short setup tradeAS previous short setup hits the tp but actually first manipulation to hit the sl, now closely monitor the trade and manually close if 4hr candle closes above the mentioned point, overall I'm bearish on whole market, needs to take a correction before another leg up, until unless usdt.d breaks and closes below 4.59% on 4hrs tf market is bearish, you need to take short position intsead of long positions, when usdt.d reaches 4.63% open short on link, inj, eth and btc and hold till 4.80%-4.89%. I will open long if we break 4.59% and retest this, other scenario if we reaches 4.80-4.90% first no long positions for me from here.
Short
by mejazkhanm
2
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis. BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge. The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500. The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support. Ichimoku BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal. The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC at Critical Resistance… Drop Incoming!Hi traders! Currently analyzing BTCUSD on the 1H timeframe. Price is reacting to the upper boundary of a descending channel, where sellers are showing strong pressure. This area has previously acted as a significant resistance, pushing price lower multiple times. I'm now selling from 108,075.19, expecting a bearish move towards my target at the bottom of the channel. Take Profit: 104,493.63 Stop Loss: 111,891.49 RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence near the resistance area, adding confluence to this setup. Price may have performed a liquidity grab above the trendline before rejecting the area, which aligns with the current market structure. I'm actively managing this trade, keeping an eye on how price behaves around this key level. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Trading-On-Top
BTC Pullback or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch Around 110KBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance. This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move. However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow. 📌 Trading Insight: Wait for confirmation before entering — don’t jump in without a clear signal.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
BTCUSDT SHORT SIGNAL Setup Type: Liquidity Trap & Distribution Trade Idea (SHORT): Entry Zone: $108,000 – $110000 Stop Loss: Above $113000 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $104,000 TP2: $100,000 TP3: 98000 TP4: 74000 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your decisions. Use this information as a guide — not a guaranteed outcome. Wait for clear confirmation before executing any trade.
Short
by Saham009
1
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024. We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement. Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms. In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FTT_TRADER369
BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion. The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory. Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move personal opinion:!!! Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Short
by JJainy
3
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of ​​105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space. At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by OsbornLytton
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Continuation After Failed Support !Bitcoin attempted to hold the $101,409 support level but failed to sustain above it. The breakdown confirms weakness, and the chart now suggests a continuation of the downtrend if bulls don’t reclaim lost ground quickly. Technical Breakdown: Failed Bounce: BTC briefly bounced near $101.4K but got rejected and closed back below the zone. Bearish Structure: Price continues forming lower highs and lower lows — a clear downtrend. RSI at 30.34: Close to oversold but still room to fall, which means downside isn’t exhausted yet. Market Sentiment: Weak hands are exiting, and support zones are getting tested faster than they’re defended. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $101,409 – Immediate level, now flipped to resistance $103,573 – Strong barrier if bulls attempt recovery $105,807 – Major horizontal resistance and lower high zone Support: $97,340 – Next major support zone (possible short-term bounce) $93,343 – Key level if $97.3K fails to hold $92,200 – Final support before panic could set in Trade Idea – Bearish Bias: Short on Retest Zone: $101.4K – $102K Stoploss: Above $103.6K Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $97,300 TP2: $93,300 TP3: Optional – trail lower if breakdown continues What Bulls Need to Do: Reclaim $101.4K fast with a strong close above it on the 4H chart Otherwise, sellers remain in control This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly.
Short
by ScramblerG
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead. Technical Breakdown: Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance) Current Price: $102,246 Next Key Support Zones: $101,410 (short-term bounce zone) $97,340 – critical horizontal support $93,343 – potential deeper flush area Resistance to Watch: $103,573 (retest = short opportunity) $105,807 (major rejection zone) Short Setup (Signal Style): Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested) Stoploss: Above $105,800 Targets: TP1: $101,400 TP2: $97,300 TP3: $93,300 Final Note: Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Short
by ScramblerG
4