Bitcoin in February 2024BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Local targets for Bitcoin in February 2024
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️12H timeframe Fib is relevant. After bounce from 27 zone we can see drop to 40300
➡️40300 is a key level what we need to hold forming H&S pattern on 4H
➡️Target for this pattern will be over 46-48k and liquidations over 5 billion
➡️Above we will test again Montly FVG
➡️If we will not hold 40300 road will be open to 36600
➡️Market Mood indicator in hope zone on 12H need to see "depression" grey zone
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Btcshort
BITCOIN - MAJOR CORRECTION: STILL -20% LEFT TO GO (TARGET 32K)Bitcoin is correcting. It is as simple as that. Here is my input on things:
What is on the chart? (Follow the steps)
1) Price rallied back in October 2023, breaking the high of the 13th of July 2023. Throughout this breakout a large untouched daily FVG was formed.
2) Following the rally, price slowed down and created an accumulation structure which plays a huge role in this analysis. LIQUIDITY ! This price structure presents a huge target for bears. We pair this idea with the fact that price is currently in a premium area. Where is the price equilibrium located? Right within this accumulation structure.
3) This is a major range that also plays a fundamental role in this analysis. POWER OF 3 .
This is a known price action theory (Power of 3) constituted of 3 (no shit) steps: accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Why is it relevant here? Well open your eyes. We had our accumulation, we had our false break (manipulation) and now what is left? The distribution.
4) I am pairing the price action analysis with some Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technicals. Here we have 3 major bearish signals shown on the daily Ichimoku: break of the Tenkan and Kijun, a Tenkan/Kijun crossover and a Kumo twist (these are all bearish signals and you're free to go learn about Ichimoku Kinko Hyo in your own time).
5) Here we have an even more significant bearish signal/confirmation: the break of the weekly Tenkan + the entry into the daily Kumo meaning price didn't bounce on the Kumo which should act as support if we were to have been bullish.
6) Price closing on the border of the Kumo is never a good sign. This also gave place to a daily FVG that needs to be respected for the continuation of the correction + coupled with the low of the prior range which serves as our BOS level. Metaphorically, Bitcoin is on the edge of a cliff, with a pack of bears creeping up on it and it can't go any higher so it can either jump or take on the pack of bears. Statistically I think it would rather jump to see another day (assuming beyond the cliff there's water so it survives).
7) EQUILIBRIUM . This can be used as a partial target and price would finally be at the doors of the discounted area!
8) The 0.702 level + the July 2023 high + the daily FVG represents in my opinion the best possible entry for a long run position. This analysis would be a long setup if it weren't for the fact that we still have a 20% correction left to do.
As always, I hope you have a wonderful day and make a lot of money! Take care! ;)
BTC - Bulls In Denial Short Term: Dead Cat Bounce
Long Term: Bearish Correction
Opinion:
BTC will be back in the 30s in a few weeks
Bulls will get excited as they already have over a dead cat bounce
Once structure is established price will push down
When we go back into the 30s the bulls will finally give up
Be patient bears
One more push to 25k then a correction to 21k before takeoffBreaking 23.3k after holding 22.3 fairly well, I believe the market is due for one last push of the little volume (relatively) is left since the surge from 17k towards 25-26.3 and finally a healthy correction back to the lower limit support 19-21.2k.
And then off we go 30k<
BTC/USDT 2DAY CHART UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- Hello friends, what do you think after seeing the chart? Please comment on the BTC 2-day update.
The first head and shoulders that we see has been completed and is pending retest, we can assume that the first head and shoulders can retest 100 MA, and BTC can reach $49000
In the second Head and Shoulders pattern, the last shoulder is yet to form, it looks like this, so we can assume that the second Head and Shoulders pattern can be completed near $37000 and if it breaks above then its resistance zone will be at $49000. It will be close. $49000. We may see a new all-time high in BTC. The time for BTC halving is also getting closer.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
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It seems to be time for the Digital Gold to take Breath.After having a decent run for the past 12 months Bitcoin seems to get some relief for the sake of its healthy and strong uptrend movement.
So What do we have in the market right now?
In this post I will cover the scenarios related to the 1D time frame. As we all know the space we found in crypto is so much dependent on fundamentals the ETF was one big thing which runs the market for the past 6 months. And as we all know the game is played holding the motto "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" most of the long position holders are going short and might as well be moving to CRYPTOCAP:ETH - the next contestant to get an ETF approval.
For now Bitcoin just showed a bearish sign forming a rising wedge break out and MACD turning bearish for the short term. Besides a bearish divergence is already formed if you can see on the chart depicted by the yellow broken line. A retest of the rising wedge support line is possible while bulls try to get the throne back again.
In addition candle stick behavior is also showing bearish sentiment if we consider the recent moves CRYPTOCAP:BTC made forming an inverted hammer like with a strong bearish candle formation.
For now I am seeing CRYPTOCAP:BTC correcting in the short term. I will be updating which prices to watch closely. If things go as expected in the same manner as it is the breakout confirmation will most probably take Bitcoin to the recent 50% fib level at around $37K area. After watching out for the retest move and considering the ichimoku cloud on the lower time frame will be our confirmation.
A dump is going to be happen for BTC up to 36K or more!Hello dear traders, Take care of your positions because of the current situation of the crypto market.
According to my analysis on the BTC and many valid indicators and price action, Weakness in bulls power is clear. So I expect to see a correction before the next bullish wave.
47,000$ is a major resistance and is preventing price from going higher, IMO we will see a correction up to 36,000 support area (According to the chart) and the the next bullish wave can start from that area.
If you see my previous analysis on the BTC, I expected to see breakout of current major resistance (47K) But It seems we don't see that breakout soon.(Analysis is attached)
I will update my analysis at that point, Stay tuned!
BTC - Incoming Pain Before Halving/ETF'sAnalysis:
- Support & Resistance
- Trend Line Analysis
- Liquidity Points
T1: Target 1
T2: Target 2
Opinion:
I was going to wait to post until the new year but price has enticed me to make my view known!
I believe December is going to end as a red month and the beginning of 2024 is going to be rough...
We may or may not get a retest to previous swing high but I have laid out my projection...
Again to be clear, I am okay if the timing is slightly off as I care more about the general direction and overall move...
Ask yourself, when have the big boys allowed the majority of retail to make money before any significant price changes?
We have the ETFs on the way and the Halving...
Do you really believe they will allow the majority of traders to ride the rocket ship up?
Or does it make more sense to drop price significantly before the halving and ETFs so they can liquidate a good amount of traders and scare away good buys?
Only time will tell but I have made my view known in advance...
I will update as price moves along and good luck bulls cause the bears are coming to town
I am still long term bullish overall but I do not believe the bull run has started nor will it start until after ETFs and halving!
ETH & BTC - OMG WHAT IS HAPPENING?! (CROSS ANALYSIS)Don't panic, this was expected. It's not the end of crypto, it's just a healthy correction that we need once and a while to justify a rally in the future. Price cannot always go up even though we wish it was that easy.
What is on the charts? (3 steps)
1) The consolidation that had us wonder what was going to happen. (Again we forget that there is also option trading amongst other things with Bitcoin and time plays a big role. In fact, time is so important that if you can control when price will drop just by being a big player, you can put everyone out of the money right at contract expiry. One of the many ways whales will f*** you. How do I know? I don't. But if I had the ability to move markets I'd do just that.)
2) Bearish structure that could have been a short entry but obviously I prefer a double confirmation. Double confirmations just put probabilities on our side. When money is on the table, you either gamble or play the probabilities game. That's what we're doing here: trading not gambling.
3) Sellside liquidity taken out. This is our signal. If not now then when? Again this isn't me telling you to short. Who am I? No one, do your own research.
So what now?
We want a retracement in the reload zone and the 0.702 + FVG is THE place to be. If it goes higher then I'd cancel the idea for now. Again the DAILY ANALYSIS supports the short and that's what matters.
As always, happy trading and stop gambling you ape. ;)
BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- the rejection from the 48K resistance zone extended, with the price breaking below the lower boundary of the ascending flag, indicating the presence of sellers. However, after a strong breakout, a retracement towards the flag’s lower boundary is underway, potentially completing a pullback. If it happens, the retrace could pave the way for the continuation of Bitcoin’s downward movement in the short term, targeting the static support range of 39K.
Bitcoin’s mid-term prospects suggest consolidation within the critical price range bounded by the substantial resistance zone at 48K and the decisive support at 39K. Nonetheless, a successful breakout from this zone will shed light on the cryptocurrency’s next impulsive trend.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
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BTC signal short (BTC)📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 41760
🛑Stop Loss: 41833
🎯Take Profit: 41651-41526-41313-40983-40782-40584
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What happens when Crypto Chessboard flips?In-depth analysis considers various factors:
Despite the approaching Bitcoin halving.
We consider the following:
Acknowledging the historical price surge before the Bitcoin ETF launch, making it resistant to substantial capital investments.
Recognising the lack of momentum post-ETF launch and the struggle to breach the upper resistance around 51-52k.
Taking into account the challenging global economic situation, particularly in the United States.
Highlighting the potential impact of a Black Swan Event, investigating the consequences of a fictitious ETF post.
Addressing uncertainties following CZ's departure from Binance as CEO, posing another potential Black Swan event that could push prices below the Wyckoff distribution phase boundary at 24-22k.
Speculating a third logical move by corporate traders to increase market liquidity, creating a massive bull trap to attract influencers and optimists anticipating a significant Bitcoin ETF-driven price surge, leading to widespread doubt in Bitcoin and a gradual decline to the Wyckoff lower support.
Related Financial News:
- Bitcoin's halving event draws attention from traders, with speculation on its potential impact.
- Historical price patterns show resistance before major events like ETF launches, impacting capital flow.
- Global economic uncertainties, especially in the U.S., contribute to the overall market sentiment.
- Increased scrutiny on potential Black Swan events, emphasizing the need for risk assessment.
- Binance's CEO change introduces an element of uncertainty, potentially affecting market dynamics.
- Corporate traders strategizing for liquidity boosts, creating opportunities for market manipulation.
- Influencers and optimists fuel expectations of a Bitcoin ETF-driven surge, but skepticism prevails due to historical patterns and external uncertainties.
BTC → Bitcoin Blasts Through Resistance Then Falls Down. Short?Bitcoin completed its measured move on January 7th and gave us some extra price action up to the $49,000 area. With a strong sell signal and now a follow-through bar reaching the Daily 30EMA, is it time to short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
To justify a short trade, we need a Daily candle close below the 30EMA. The other data points all support a counter-trend trade: Measured Move Complete, Strong sell signal above key resistance area, RSI below the moving average around 50.00 with room to fall.
I frequently reference the 4HR chart when trading the Daily timeframe. As you can see in the chart below, the 200EMA on the 4HR chart overlaps with the 30EMA on the Daily chart. Using that same point of reference as a key support level, we can look for a close below the 4HR 200EMA to justify our short. That also allows us to get an earlier entry into the position:
Once we get that candle, we can justify a short scalp to the previous trading range/measured move mid-support at a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $42,650
🟥 Stop Loss: $46,950
✅ Take Profit: $38,350
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move Completed Into Key Resistance Area.
2. Strong Sell Signal Above Measured Move Resistance.
3. Strong Sell bar falling to 30EMA
4. Wait for Daily Candle to Close below 30EMA.
5. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
There is over a 60% chance of a measured move after the breakout of major resistance, normally, a trading range. That means the distance from the trading range resistance to the top of the breakout will happen again above the top of the breakout.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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BTC/USDT 4HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price action has been very choppy over the last few weeks. BTC has been trading between 40K and 45K for quite a while.
the price is currently breaking above the 46K resistance level. A valid breakout would pave the way for a bullish continuation toward the key 48K resistance level. The reaction to this level would likely determine the mid-term price action for BTC and the whole crypto market.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Headed to $10,900I have been yelling to whoever will listen and I think we have a big drop in store. Of course nobody is perfect but I have had a gut feeling about most the major turns on record and I'm getting the same now. I suck at a lot of things but I called the Feb top 2020 a day before the drop, called for a huge drop in Feb 2022, called for the December 2022 bottom, I just get these crazy feelings about major turns that just hit me in the head with a brick and I can't ignore it. The market is one giant puzzle and sometimes it just pieces itself together.
Everyone is piling into BTC and saying they're going all in with their savings, people are saying they're buying boats and quitting their jobs. I have a feeling this will end very bad, I'm starting to think the cycle won't continue to go up like it always has. It's the first time I have ever felt this and I have been in since 2013, I hate it.
Everyone says just HODL and you'll be fine, which has been the history and nothing suggests that's over yet but I think it's possible. Largest FED Fund transaction ever just as some major stocks hit major peaks. AMD hit resistance from 1984 & 2000 & Amazon looks like a possible major distribution. Fitch said recession in 2023 at the bottom in Oct 2022 and now they're saying no recession, very fishy, just kinda lines up with everything else for me to be a possible bubble top.
Also DXY is the most shorted in history, that's a very crowded trade that can whipsaw at any moment. My Cigar guy (anecdotal lol), asked how he can short equities in Oct of 2022 and said he never bought any stocks, well just yesterday he said he tried to buy his first stock but was having problems with his broker (lucky him). We have a potential Double Top as well just as the big fed fund goes through.
I don't know, maybe I'm talking crazy and I would love to see things rocket and I would buy the pullbacks but I think we could have a serious drop. I think it's better to be in cash right now personally until the dust settles and if the FEDS funds ends up being a giant cash cow buy will will break ATH's and re-test them where you can buy, it doesn't hurt to be on the sidelines at such a major intersection.
First down to 17k, then up to 29k then down to 10,985ish is the current plan.
BTC 1D, TARGET .. OH MY GOOODD MY BTC AFTER ETF Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”
Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.
Sec will reject all etf bitcoin today.Today marks a critical point for Bitcoin, as the ETF is set to announce their decision on the Bitcoin ETF. There's a strong likelihood that the ETF will be rejected, a decision that could trigger a substantial market reaction. We're potentially looking at a significant price dump, where Bitcoin could plummet to the $3,000 to $1,000 range, and it might even go below $1,000.
This drastic decrease, however, presents a unique opportunity. For investors and traders looking to capitalize on market movements, this zone is poised to be an exceptionally lucrative buy zone. The potential for recovery and a surge to new highs is substantial, making it an ideal time for strategic investment decisions.
Keep a close eye on market trends and be ready to act as this scenario unfolds. Remember, market dynamics are unpredictable, and it's crucial to approach with caution and do thorough research before making any investment decisions. Stay updated and prepared for a significant shift in the Bitcoin market landscape.