Forward to 22500Based on the previous analysis method that was done on May 22, 2022 and referred to in this analysis.
Bitcoin has already gone through two 26-week uptrends and a half-16-week uptrend.
In the analysis based on my method, the bullish period of Bitcoin will end in the next 4 days and the bearish period of 10 to 26 weeks is ahead.
The end point of this downward movement will be 22500.
For more information about this method, please contact me.
Btcshort
BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- Hello friends, what do you think after seeing the chart? Please comment on the BTC 1-day update.
A deep dive into the daily chart underscores Bitcoin’s sustained bullish trend, showcasing the prevailing dominance of buyers. Recent price movements reflect robust confidence among market participants, propelling the cryptocurrency past numerous critical and psychological resistance levels.
Notably, heightened buying pressure and strong bullish momentum have propelled the price above the upper boundary of the multi-month ascending channel, previously a formidable barrier to bullish advances.
This breakthrough triggered a short-squeeze event, activating a cascade of buy-stop orders. Consequently, should a pullback occur towards the breached trendline, the price is anticipated to extend its bullish momentum, targeting the significant $58K resistance zone.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
Nicely, Bitcoin is heading down a bitRegarding technical analysis, sometimes it's necessary to swim against the tide. In my personal perspective, I see Bitcoin should retreat downwards, at least in the very short term. In the long term, it might experience two downward waves, as depicted in the chart. This is not investment advice whatsoever.
$Bitcoin seems to be in need of some correctional breath.Hello guys,
As we all know there can't be only one directional move in any healthy financial asset. It seems the digital gold is somehow in an exhausted state since we have been watching the Bulls strong accumulation since the first day of the ETF approval.
As we predicted earlier this week about its possible bearish momentum formation this bearish behavior continues to be seen on Bitcoin's short term market price action. For now I am watching closely for this bearish triangle breakout and a successful retest. As far as things go as it is and since the weekend is here and market might not move strongly, there is a high probability for Bitcoin to see some correctional move.
I will be updating the idea after collecting some more market indications.
Stay Tuned.
Disclaimer :
The opinion expressed here is not an investment advice – it is provided for informational purposes only. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of #CryptoTalk-ET rather it is authored and complied by one of its founding member and article contributor. Every investment and all trading involves RISK, so you should always perform your own research prior to making decisions. We do not recommend investing money you cannot afford to lose.
With Regards.
Nathnael B.
BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- Hello friends, what do you think after seeing the chart? Please comment on the BTC 1-day update.
the price has rallied towards the 52K resistance level after a rebound from 40K earlier in January. While the market is testing the 52K level, the Relative Strength Index is demonstrating a clear overbought signal.
This could point to a potential consolidation or correction in the coming weeks. Yet, the 47,500 level can provide support and prevent a deep drop.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
Market structure Shift? OR Fakeout?!It seems like we MAY have have seen a market shift “signal” in #BTC with the W formation with a HL AND ON TO ITS SECOND “wave”
If we break this zone to the topside I will look for longs.
If we break to the downside it’s possible we’re seeing the second wave down in our identified bearish trend (short term) and validates our current short positions.
The 50 EMA is going to be a good point of interest for me to decide to close my shorts and protect profits. Only Until we see some more confluence for a probable trade, I don’t like to “gamble”
Always protect your profits fam
I’m currently still in short positions
Bitcoin factor indicator accuracy is 83%
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The Bitcoin is entirely speculation? Fundamentals support the price of it?
The Bitcoin is not entirely speculation, it is the price of the fundamentals.
The Bitcoin factor indicator is calculated by Bitcoin fundamental factor, it can reflect how much of the Bitcoin price is supported by the fundamentals.
The green line is the Bitcoin factor in the chart, the trend of it are in conformity with the price, the orange line is the yearly correlation coefficient between the Bitcoin price and the Bitcoin factor, most of the time in the vicinity of 0.8, shows that the Bitcoin prices are mostly by the Bitcoin factor influence.
Yellow line is Bitcoin forecast price, the Bitcoin factor, and the linear regression method are used to calculate. You can see, the prices fluctuating around the predicted price, it is in line with the principle of price fluctuates around value.
The purple line is determination coefficients (R2) of 10 years logarithmic Bitcoin predicted price, which represents the prediction accuracy, the value of 83% in November 2, 2021.
The blue line is warning index, which swings between -1 to 2, red background when early warning index greater than 1.4, the price in the peak, said green background when early warning index is less than -0.4, the price in the trough.
On November 2, 2021, the early warning index of 1.73, in the red background area, shows that the Bitcoin price at peak, please pay attention to risk.
7 yearly total return 101, max drawdown 35%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Can't you invest Bitcoin for it's price fluctuations too big ?
I backtest the Bitcoin long-term strategy using historical data in 7 years, total return is 101, maximum drawdown is 35%, annualized sharpe ratio is 1.99.
In the chart above, the yellow line is the net value of account, $10000 in the January 1, 2015, to 1.02 million dollars in November 3, 2021. I backtest from 2015 because before 2015 the Bitcoin price fluctuations is much more than it after 2015, the Bitcoin price fluctuations decrease year by year, it is unlikely to have so big fluctuations in the future.
The red line is the total return, its value in November 3, 2021 is 101 .
The green line is the sharpe ratio, its value in November 3, 2021 is 1.97.
Blue line is the factor indicator, I start to buy when it is less than -0.33, and open positions for 10 days. I start to sell when it is greater than 0.4 , and close positions for 10 days. My last article "Accuracy of the Bitcoin factor indicator for 10 years is 83%" was introduced in detail. In the November 3, 2021 it has a value of 1.76, it is the maximum during the period of the backtest. Please pay attention to the risk.
Olive green line is annual return, its value in November 3, 2021 is 97%.
Yellow line is the proportion of positions, a maximum of 1, minimum value is 0, this strategy doesn't use leverage.
Purple line is the ratio of the maximum drawdown, the background is red when maximum drawdown ratio is greater than 30%, in the July 16, 2017 it's value is 35%.
In strategy tester overview, the number of transactions is 62, winning percentage is 100%, the average rate of return for trading is 163%, the average holding time was 426 days.
This strategy is suitable for ordinary investors, is a weapon to realize the freedom of wealth.
Are you a registered TradingView user? If you are not, please register .You and me all get up to $30 each after you upgrade to a paid plan.
New Bitcoin factor indicator accuracy is 92%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
How much the Bitcoin fundamentals can explain the price of the Bitcoin ? My latest research shows that the new Bitcoin factor can explain 92% of the the logarithm of Bitcoin price.
The Bitcoin factor indicator is calculated by Bitcoin fundamental factor, it can reflect how much of the Bitcoin price is supported by the fundamentals.
The green line is the Bitcoin factor in the chart, the trend of it are in conformity with the price, the orange line is the correlation coefficient between the Bitcoin price and the Bitcoin factor in the 10 years, its value in November 5, 2021 is 0.95, shows that the Bitcoin prices are mostly by the Bitcoin factor influence.
Yellow line is Bitcoin forecast price, the Bitcoin factor, and the linear regression method are used to calculate. You can see, the prices fluctuating around the predicted price, it is in line with the principle of price fluctuates around value.
The purple line is determination coefficients (R2) of 10 years logarithmic Bitcoin predicted price, which represents the prediction accuracy, the value of 92% on November 5, 2021.
The blue line is factor indicator, which swings between -1 to 2, red background when early warning index greater than 1, the price in the peak, said green background when factor indicator is less than -0.6, the price in the trough.
On November 5, 2021, the factor indicator of 0.82, is near of 1, shows that the Bitcoin price is near of the peak, please pay attention to risk.
Are you a registered TradingView user? If you are not, please register
.You and me all get up to $30 each after you upgrade to a paid plan.
10 years total return 23K, max drawdown 41%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Can't you invest Bitcoin for it's price fluctuations too big ?
I backtest the Bitcoin long-term strategy using historical data in 10 years and new Bitcoin factor indicator, total return is 23K, maximum drawdown is 41%, annualized sharpe ratio is 3.27.
In the chart above, the yellow line is the net value of account, $10000 on October 1, 2011, to 230 million dollars on November 8, 2021.
The red line is the total return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 23269.
The green line is the sharpe ratio, its value on November 8, 2021 is 3.27.
Blue line is the factor indicator, I start to buy when it is less than -0.8, and open positions for 5 days. I start to sell when it is greater than 1 , and close positions for 5 days. My last article "Accuracy of the new Bitcoin factor indicator for 10 years is 92%" was introduced in detail. On November 8, 2021 it has a value of 0.84, it is near to 1.Please pay attention to the risk.
Olive green line is annual return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 1.7.
Yellow line is the proportion of positions, a maximum of 1, minimum value is 0, this strategy doesn't use leverage.
Purple line is the ratio of the maximum drawdown, the background is red when maximum drawdown ratio is greater than 40%, on Febrebry 18, 2012 it's value is 41%. The maximum drawdown ratio is decreasing year by year, it' max value in 2021 is 25% on January 27, 2021.
In strategy tester overview, the number of transactions is 31, winning percentage is 100%, the average rate of return for trading is 750, the average holding time was 599 days.
This strategy is suitable for ordinary investors, is a weapon to realize the freedom of wealth.
BITCOIN - Weekly Outlook 20/02/24'Hello everyone,
just a quick Weekly update..
I believe that not much changed Price wise since last week, BUT we got some developments and news from Macro Economy perspective...
So, Im still somewhat alerted we are RIGHT now possibly "around" or "not so far" from High, before of "reversing" at for week/two..
WITH still having in mind, that ONLY ONE TIME in History, when Market conditions was closest to similar as we are today, Market didnt find its TOP until FED started cutting rates...
So there is still possibility of going Highier with time (March,April), even tho Price wise we already elevated a lot... and thats the reason Why is Executing a Trade Correctly right now difficult...
So AGAIN, I would suggest EVERYONE to use STOP LOSS, if you decide to trade...
cause, PROTECTING CAPITAL should be your Number 1 object every time!!!
-- I would like to state, that due to everything ment above and previously - I Labeled this Idea NEUTRAL - but, my bias is slightly more bearish, that bullish as for Right Now. --
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BTCUSD - Upcoming Bearish Cycle!Hello everyone!
Here's an overview of Bitcoin. We're anticipating a turning point on 4th February, with a subsequent bearish cycle until 5th April 2024. The 5th April 2024 is crucial for Bitcoin as we're expecting a major sharp bearish movement. Potential targets for this downward trend are $32,000 and $26,000.
I'll continue to analyze Bitcoin and update the chart accordingly.
Stop of this analyze is a new High.
BTC/USDT shortPulling this horizontal channel on the log chart, we see we are currently at the top of the channel, while also sweeping previous highs within a bearish Weekly order block. If we fail to close above this zone, the next draw on liquidity with multiple confluences (fvg, bb, ote, golden pocket) is around 30k for BTC.
BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis:- Hello friends, what do you think after seeing the chart? Please comment on the BTC 1-day update.
After Bitcoin's recent setback from the crucial 48K level, the price sought support around the middle boundary of the ascending channel and an important range defined by the important 100-day moving average at 39K.
A slight correction occurred, taking the price back towards the current fair value gap (FVG) within the range of 43,578 and 45,606.
This price range has the potential to increase resistance against further selling pressure, perhaps even taking it back towards the 100-day moving average. However, a breach below this important moving average could lay the groundwork for a medium-term bearish trend.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
Bitcoin in February 2024BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Local targets for Bitcoin in February 2024
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️12H timeframe Fib is relevant. After bounce from 27 zone we can see drop to 40300
➡️40300 is a key level what we need to hold forming H&S pattern on 4H
➡️Target for this pattern will be over 46-48k and liquidations over 5 billion
➡️Above we will test again Montly FVG
➡️If we will not hold 40300 road will be open to 36600
➡️Market Mood indicator in hope zone on 12H need to see "depression" grey zone
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITCOIN - MAJOR CORRECTION: STILL -20% LEFT TO GO (TARGET 32K)Bitcoin is correcting. It is as simple as that. Here is my input on things:
What is on the chart? (Follow the steps)
1) Price rallied back in October 2023, breaking the high of the 13th of July 2023. Throughout this breakout a large untouched daily FVG was formed.
2) Following the rally, price slowed down and created an accumulation structure which plays a huge role in this analysis. LIQUIDITY ! This price structure presents a huge target for bears. We pair this idea with the fact that price is currently in a premium area. Where is the price equilibrium located? Right within this accumulation structure.
3) This is a major range that also plays a fundamental role in this analysis. POWER OF 3 .
This is a known price action theory (Power of 3) constituted of 3 (no shit) steps: accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Why is it relevant here? Well open your eyes. We had our accumulation, we had our false break (manipulation) and now what is left? The distribution.
4) I am pairing the price action analysis with some Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technicals. Here we have 3 major bearish signals shown on the daily Ichimoku: break of the Tenkan and Kijun, a Tenkan/Kijun crossover and a Kumo twist (these are all bearish signals and you're free to go learn about Ichimoku Kinko Hyo in your own time).
5) Here we have an even more significant bearish signal/confirmation: the break of the weekly Tenkan + the entry into the daily Kumo meaning price didn't bounce on the Kumo which should act as support if we were to have been bullish.
6) Price closing on the border of the Kumo is never a good sign. This also gave place to a daily FVG that needs to be respected for the continuation of the correction + coupled with the low of the prior range which serves as our BOS level. Metaphorically, Bitcoin is on the edge of a cliff, with a pack of bears creeping up on it and it can't go any higher so it can either jump or take on the pack of bears. Statistically I think it would rather jump to see another day (assuming beyond the cliff there's water so it survives).
7) EQUILIBRIUM . This can be used as a partial target and price would finally be at the doors of the discounted area!
8) The 0.702 level + the July 2023 high + the daily FVG represents in my opinion the best possible entry for a long run position. This analysis would be a long setup if it weren't for the fact that we still have a 20% correction left to do.
As always, I hope you have a wonderful day and make a lot of money! Take care! ;)
BTC - Bulls In Denial Short Term: Dead Cat Bounce
Long Term: Bearish Correction
Opinion:
BTC will be back in the 30s in a few weeks
Bulls will get excited as they already have over a dead cat bounce
Once structure is established price will push down
When we go back into the 30s the bulls will finally give up
Be patient bears