Bitcoin’s Next Move Major Breakout or Breakdown ?Chart Pattern
The chart displays range-bound trading between key levels of $91,535.66 (support) and $95,752.48 (resistance).
A recent pullback from the upper resistance indicates potential consolidation before the next significant price movement.
Key Insights
1.Current Price Action
Bitcoin is trading near $94,181.41, below the immediate resistance zone of $95,752.48.
The price has been rejected multiple times at the upper resistance, signaling a strong supply zone.
2. Potential Breakdown Scenario
If BTC breaks the $91,535.66 support, the next potential downside target could be $90,000 or lower.
Volume confirmation and momentum indicators would be crucial for validating a downward continuation.
3.Bullish Reversal Possibility
If BTC holds above $91,500, it may bounce back to test $95,750 again.
A breakout above $95,750 could target higher levels, with $100,000 being the psychological resistance.
Trading Plan
Bearish Setup
Short below $91,500 with a target of $89,500–$90,000.
Bullish Setup
Long above $95,750, targeting $98,000–$100,000.
Market Sentiment
Neutral to Bearish, Caution is advised until clear breakout/breakdown confirmation is observed.
The market remains unstable, with both upside and downside risks. Stay alert for macroeconomic news and BTC dominance trends.
Btcshort
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover.
Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level:
SL1 = $94285
SL2 = $92209
SL3 = $89,541
SL4 = $85,924
Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $97131
T2 = $100036
T3 = $103179
T4 = $105491
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.
BTC - SHORT - Tempting but dangerous tradeBTC is facing a major resistance at 100k. I expect a drop at least in 4 hours timeframe. This is a very risky trade because shorting BTC and in a bull market is not at all advisable. Personally I think it will most likely go close to the POC (97500~) and then go up. Likewise, if the 91k is broken strongly, we will go to very low areas and it is very tempting to let it go. The weekly is still a latent possibility to go to low levels. But nothing is certain and we can easily go in any direction. I would not short BTC for a long time or with a high margin. So this trade must be constantly protected. Be careful.
TP 1: 96500 ~ 97500 (protect trade - POC)
TP 2: 93100 (support)
TP 3: 91600 (daily support)
Bitcoin (BTC): Rise up to $135,000 or drop to $80,000-$90,000The current market situation is uncertain. The market often moves contrary to public sentiment. Currently, most expect a correction. ETF inflow/outflow data indicates significant outflows from December 19, 2024, to January 2, 2025, which is evident in the BTC chart. On January 3, 2025, there was an inflow of $905M.
In a bearish scenario, panic could dominate the market, making it difficult for BTC whales to sustain distribution above $100,000. However, if a bullish scenario unfolds, the $91,000–$108,000 zone could act as a strong support level after a price increase to $135,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level. This bullish scenario would become even more significant if the growth aligns with major international events at the end of January, February, or March. 👀
1. Bullish Scenario:
The price breaks through the current resistance levels, targeting up to $136,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level.
2. Bearish Scenario:
A correction to the $80,000–$90,000 range or the 38.2-61.8% Fibonacci levels, with a potential test of the $88,000 support level aligned with the 800 EMA.
👇
About Me:
I maintain a personal trading journal. I don't possess extrasensory abilities or insider information.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk—always do your own research and seek professional advice. We are not responsible for any financial losses. #DYOR
Share your thoughts in the comments below 👇
BTC/USD Analysis BITSTAMP:BTCUSD here are some insights based on the setup:
**Key Observations:**
1. **Resistance Zone:**
- The shaded gray zone around **98,000–100,000** acts as a resistance area.
- The price is currently testing this zone, and you are waiting for **bearish confirmation** to consider a sell position.
2. **Support Zone:**
- A significant support level is marked at **91,098**. This would likely be your first target if the bearish setup is confirmed.
- If this support level breaks, it could open further downside opportunities.
3. **Trend Indication:**
- The price is below the longer-term moving averages, suggesting a broader bearish trend.
- The recent upward move may be a retracement into the resistance zone.
4. **Bearish Confirmation:**
- You're likely looking for a clear rejection pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or other candlestick patterns) or a lower low on smaller time frames near the resistance zone before executing a sell.
**Trading Plan:**
**For a Sell Position:**
- **Entry:** Upon bearish confirmation (e.g., a rejection from 98,000–100,000).
- **Target 1:** **91,098**, as marked on your chart.
- **Target 2:** Further downside if 91,098 breaks (e.g., levels like 88,000 or 86,000 can be monitored).
- **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance zone (e.g., around 100,500 or 101,000, depending on your risk tolerance).
**For a No-Trade Scenario:**
- If the price breaks above 100,000 with strong bullish momentum and no rejection patterns, it invalidates the bearish setup, and you'll wait for a new opportunity.
**Additional Considerations:**
- Keep an eye on **volume**: Strong rejection at resistance with high selling volume can validate the trade.
- Look for confluences with RSI or MACD divergence (if applicable) for added confidence.
- Monitor for external catalysts (e.g., macro news or BTC-related events) that might influence the price action.
Bitcoin Update !The price previously moved within an ascending channel but broke downwards.
After the breakdown, BTC consolidated in a falling wedge pattern and is now breaking upwards.
The red line (possibly the 50 MA) and the black line (possibly the 20 MA) indicate a bearish crossover during the breakdown.
The price is now attempting to rise above both moving averages.
It appears that BTC has successfully broken out of the wedge pattern.
A retest of the breakout level around $94,000-$95,000 may occur before further upside.
The hand-drawn curve suggests a bullish scenario, targeting levels around $110,000-$112,000 in the medium term.
Before the uptrend resumes, there could be a pullback or correction around the $102,000-$104,000 area.
Key Levels:
Support: $94,000, $92,000
Resistance: $100,000, $104,000, $112,000
The breakout from the falling wedge is a bullish signal, and if BTC stays above the moving averages and key support levels, a move toward $110,000 is possible. However, keep an eye on a potential retest of $94,000 for confirmation.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum.
My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup.
The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone.
Technicals:
• Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip.
• Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels).
• Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk.
• Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario.
This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC SHORT TP:88,000 20-12-2024I am looking to open a short position in BTC, with a target set below 88,000. Entry points are available both now and below 101,000. It is essential to set stop losses above 103,200 to safeguard the investment. This movement is expected to unfold within a timeframe of 4 to 8 days. As the trade progresses, I will provide updates, so to stay informed, I invite you to activate notifications and follow me. #Bitcoin #Trade
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
BTC ShortThe chart reveals a classic distribution pattern in the Bitcoin market, marked by a significant peak followed by a consolidation phase. Distribution occurs after a strong uptrend, and as the price stalls and starts to move lower, it signals a potential reversal.
Our target is set at the 50% retracement level of the upmove, located around $78,682. This level represents a key support area and is a typical target for a corrective pullback after a distribution phase.
Price has shown weakness at the recent highs, and as we move forward, we anticipate further downside toward this target zone which would offer a nice buying opportunity in discount for further upside.
Bitcoin: The Cyclic Pattern Unfolding Again?Analyzing the current BTC weekly chart reveals striking similarities to the past, specifically the cycle seen at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Price Movement Comparison
Late 2023 vs. Late 2024: At the end of 2023, Bitcoin experienced a sharp rally of around 65%, moving from the lows to a significant peak. Fast forward to late 2024, and we see a nearly identical pattern—again, approximately 65% growth from the bottom to the recent high. The symmetry is hard to ignore.
2. WaveFlow Indicator
On both occasions, the WaveFlow indicator paints an eerily similar picture. It shows a strong push from the lows to the highs, followed by an expected pullback before another rally. If history repeats itself, the current setup implies that BTC will form a second peak following an intermediate bottom in the near term.
3. PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal
The red diamond signal from the PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal BTC indicator appears in a nearly identical spot:
The beginning of 2024: Red diamond signaled a top before a significant correction.
Late 2024: The same signal has just appeared, aligning with a possible cyclical correction phase.
4. PrimeMomentum Oscillator
At the bottom of the chart, the PrimeMomentum oscillator shows behavior that mirrors the end of 2023. This resemblance reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s price action is following a cyclic pattern.
5. Expectations and Forecast
January Correction: Based on these indicators and historical patterns, we anticipate a pullback at the beginning of January 2025, targeting a mid-range consolidation or support zone.
February–March Rally: Following the correction in the second half of January, a rally is expected, peaking around March 2025, similar to early 2024’s price action.
Post-March Decline: After March, we could see another downward phase, mirroring the price behavior in mid-2024.
Conclusion: The Power of Cyclicality
This chart showcases the undeniable rhythm of Bitcoin’s cyclicality. Indicators like WaveFlow and PrimeMomentum provide clear parallels between the current market state and historical movements. If the cycle repeats as expected:
Short-Term: Prepare for a correction.
Mid-Term: Watch for a strong rally.
Long-Term: Plan for another cyclical downturn.
The data strongly suggests that Bitcoin’s market structure continues to adhere to predictable cyclical trends. With this knowledge, traders can better anticipate key market movements and position themselves accordingly.
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis
BTC/USDT consolidates within a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout.
This pattern often translates into a significant price movement, either upwards or downwards.
As highlighted in the chart, if BTC breaks out to the upside, the price projection is approximately 15.77%.
The measured move aligns with historical price action and the triangle's width.
Support Level: Near $93,000
The breakout of the triangle will determine the next directional trend.
Keep an eye on increased trading volume to confirm the validity of the breakout.
If the breakout is bullish: The potential target is $108,000
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
BTC Headed to $90K? Sell NowThis isn’t my full analysis—I'm keeping that to myself for now. But what I can tell you is that Bitcoin is in a downtrend, showing a steep, short-term decline in the already ongoing downtrend. According to many indicators, BTC could drop to at least $90K. I’ve opened a short position and will share further updates about my sell strategy soon.2
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AnalysisBitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term. The price is near the lower trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce. Support Zone: $92,000 – $94,000 (green area) This zone has provided strong support during successive pullbacks. Resistance Zone: $100,000 – $102,000 Bitcoin has struggled to break this level, which is a major resistance. If BTC maintains the current support and breaks the $100,000 resistance, the next target could be the upper channel boundary around $110,000 or above. A breakdown below $92,000 could invalidate the ascending channel, with a potential decline to $88,000 or lower.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel.
A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce.
Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure.
Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times.
A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bears' Turn for Selling Pressure!!!As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) rose to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) , the lower line of the ascending channel and 100_EMA(4H TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 4 . The structure of wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Volume of candles that brought Bitcoin up to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is not significant for me.
I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the Support zone($95,890-$95,540) . And if the support zone breaks, we can expect another attack on the Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) and fill the CME Gap($94,435-$93,935) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $100,000, we should expect more PUMPS.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USDT Analysis. The price is currently bouncing off the mid-level of the channel, aiming for the upper resistance near $110,000.
$92,500–$95,000 (green area): This is a strong horizontal support area that aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. It has been tested multiple times and is holding well.
A breakdown below this area could signal a move towards $85,000 or lower.
$100,000 (psychological resistance): A crucial level that needs to be cleared for the uptrend to continue.
$110,000: Upper channel resistance and next major target.
The 21-MA (black line) is acting as immediate support, while the 50-MA (red line) is moving upwards, indicating bullish momentum.
Bitcoin recovering and continuing to stay above the moving averages is a positive sign.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Interpretation of 50 MA (Moving Average) on Chart
The 50-day moving average (MA) (red line in the chart) is a widely used indicator that helps identify the trend direction and acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. Here is how it applies to the current chart:
Current Overview:
Support Role:
The 50 MA is closely aligned with the green support area, reinforcing this level as a strong dynamic support.
The price has historically respected the 50 MA as support, evidenced by previous bounces near this level.
The upward slope of the 50 MA indicates that Bitcoin is still in a bullish trend on higher timeframes.
The bullish structure remains intact as long as the price stays above the 50 MA.
The convergence of the 50 MA with the green horizontal support area (~$92,500–$95,000) adds significant strength, making it a key level to monitor for a potential bounce.
Bullish Case:
If the price is above 50 MA, it could act as a launching pad for the next upward move.
A bounce off this level could target the $102,500 or $110,000 levels.
Bearish Case:
A breakdown below the 50 MA and the green support area could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction.
The next support after this would be at $85,000–$90,000 or the lower range around $77,500.
Key Points:
The 50 MA is a crucial support level at the moment. Traders should closely monitor price action near this level. A strong bounce could confirm a bullish continuation, while a breakdown could indicate increased selling pressure.
Let me know if you would like further clarification or additional analysis!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC/USD 4 HOUR CHART FALL WARNING BARTS HEADIn this idea I illustrate how we are on a Barts head falling to 86-87k range. The reason I believe this has been missed by a lot of people is the slanted angle of it as we are on a hard uptrend. Tilt your head and see what I mean...I hope this helps you. Much love - ND