$BTC/USDT daily chart $121K next.CRYPTOCAP:BTC just broke out of a descending wedge on the daily chart, a strong bullish signal.
It’s now holding well above key support and the 50-day moving average, showing buyers are in control.
If BTC stays above $106,400, we could see a move toward $121K next.
DYRO, NFA
Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC shorting opportunity comes againBTC climbed above 108000 again, and the short-term bullish power was slightly stronger. According to the current strength, BTC still has room for growth, but it is still under pressure in the 109000-110000 area in the short term; if there is no major positive news, BTC may find it difficult to break through the resistance area in the short term under the current conditions, and may even experience stagflation and retreat again after approaching the resistance area.
Therefore, I think shorting BTC with the help of the resistance area is still the first choice for short-term trading. We can boldly short BTC in the 108500-109500 area and look towards the target area around 106000 again.
BTCUSDT Trade Analysis📊 BTCUSDT Trade Analysis
Previous Move (Sell)
✅ Sell executed successfully – target reached (🎯).
📈 New Trade Setup (Buy)
💡 Current Plan:
Switching to buy now as the market has reached the previous sell target.
New Target:
Next major resistance area near 111,025 – 111,072 USDT range (🟩 target box at the top).
📍 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Above 105,000 USDT mini-resistance area (🟧 mini-resistance box).
Support: Around 102,999 USDT (blue support line).
Current Target (Buy):
Target zone: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT.
📌 Trade Plan Summary
Entry: Above 105,000 mini-resistance area break.
Target Point: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT 🟩.
Stop Loss: Suggested below 102,999 USDT to limit downside (🔴 red zone).
🎯 Conclusion:
🔵 Target for the buy move is well-defined and positioned above current resistance levels.
🟢 Awaiting price action above mini-resistance area for a safe entry for the next bullish leg!
BTCUSDT – Accumulation Confirmed? Wyckoff Blueprint Playing Out Bitcoin continues to compress inside a defined range, resting above both a rising trendline and a former resistance turned support zone. This structure fits cleanly within a Wyckoff-style Accumulation Phase (B-C).
We’re now at a critical moment where smart money may be absorbing supply, preparing for the next phase.
🔍 Key Observations:
Range-bound price action with higher lows and muted volume
Spring-like wick and recovery from the bottom of the range
Support holding at prior breakout zone and ascending trendline
Structure shows signs of stealth accumulation with a possible breakout ahead
Sideways movement with fading volatility
Gradual compression within the range
Strong support defended multiple times (might make the support weaker as well !)
A potential spring/retest event may already be in play
You’ll see fakeouts, wicks, and hesitation in this phase — designed to trap weak hands. But the underlying behavior points to preparation, not distribution.
The quiet before the markup. Let the market reveal its hand. 📈
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the Bitcoin (BTC) to U.S. Dollar (USD) price movement, currently at $108,252.17 with a 0.21% increase (+$230.82). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with key price levels marked, including a buy price of $108,252.17 and a sell price at the same level. Support and resistance zones are indicated with a pink shaded area around $106,840.43 to $108,252.17 and a green shaded area near $110,084.10. The chart spans from late June to July 7, 2025, with the latest data point at 06:27 PM PKT on July 5, 2025.
BTC: Price to 134,500$ , FVG, Fib 0.5 and 0.618 ratio ?Price to 134,500$:
Bitcoin is now moving in a triangle pattern, which is getting smaller. The price is around $107,758. Here is possible move is a breakout to the downside first, where the price may drop to fill the "Fair Value Gap" area, which is marked in purple. This area is between the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 and 0.618. After that, Bitcoin could go up again and reach the price of $134,000.
Trade Ideas:
I marked 2 areas with arrow let the price reach here and wait for confirmation in both areas. Specially in Fair Value Gap area.
Trade Signal:
I will provide both trade signal here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Short BTC, it is about to retrace and test 100000 again!As BTC gradually fell back, the rebound did not stand above 110,000 in the short term, proving that there is strong selling pressure above, and the trend line formed by the technical high point 111,000 and the second high point 110,000 formed an important resistance area, which limited the rebound space of BTC and strengthened the demand for BTC's short-term retracement.
According to the current trend, the short-term oscillation bottom area of 106,000 may be broken at any time. Once it falls below the oscillation area, it may arouse a certain degree of profit-taking chips and stimulate BTC to accelerate its decline. I think BTC will at least test the 105,000-104,000 area again during the retracement, and may even test the 100,000 integer mark again.
Therefore, shorting BTC is still the preferred option for current short-term trading.
Consider shorting BTC in the 108,000-109,000 area, and the target area in the short term is 104,500-103,500. After breaking this area, the target can be extended to 101,000-100,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Climbs Above $107K with Overbought Signals in PlayBitcoin closed above the 107,792 resistance after breaking the previous day's high. RSI and Stochastic indicators show overbought conditions, signaling short-term overpricing.
BTC may test the $109,000.00 resistance next, followed by a potential pullback toward $104,618.00, offering a favorable entry point for bulls.
Bitcoin Between Conviction and Caution - The Market Suspended?⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: June 23, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $101,226.28.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W):
▦ EMA21 – ($96,740.64):
∴ Price remains above the 21EMA, confirming bullish structural integrity in medium trend;
∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, reinforcing sustained market momentum;
∴ Most recent candle printed a higher low above the 21EMA, reaffirming it as dynamic support.
✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA upholds the current cycle's bullish engine - it is the first invalidation level for any mid-term reversal.
⊢
▦ SMA50 – ($85,002.38):
∴ SMA50 sits considerably below current price, reflecting distance from mean reversion zones;
∴ Market remains extended, but no immediate signs of pullback toward this structural level;
∴ The last interaction with SMA50 was in late 2023, when it confirmed trend resumption.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 defines the core mid-range support - no threat to it unless a breakdown accelerates below EMA21.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($49,241.87):
∴ SMA200 remains deeply below market, showing that the macro bullish structure remains unchallenged;
∴ Distance from SMA200 reflects the strength and maturity of this cycle’s trend;
∴ Long-term investors remain in profit and structurally supported.
✴️ Conclusion: No macro breakdown as long as price stays well above SMA200 - the secular bull phase is intact.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (Kumo, Tenkan, Kijun, Chikou Span):
∴ Price is trading clearly above the Kumo (cloud), showing sustained bullish dominance;
∴ Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are positively stacked, with Tenkan still leading;
∴ Chikou Span is above price and cloud, confirming long-term bullish alignment.
✴️ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components confirm bullish control - weakening only upon Tenkan/Kijun flattening or bearish cross.
⊢
▦ MACD – (MACD: 318.17 | Signal: 4,884.24):
∴ MACD line is far below the signal line, though attempting a bottoming curve;
∴ The histogram remains red but with decreasing amplitude - bearish momentum is fading;
∴ No bullish crossover yet - momentum remains negative but weakening.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD suggests waning bearish cycle, but no official reversal signal until crossover and histogram neutralization.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 57.71 | RSI EMA: 59.39):
∴ RSI remains in bullish territory above 50, although flattening below its EMA;
∴ No bearish divergence observed yet - RSI is consolidating;
∴ If RSI reclaims its EMA, strength may resume; if rejected again, loss of momentum may escalate.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI reflects structural strength, but cautious momentum - monitoring RSI/EMA relationship is critical.
⊢
▦ Volume + SMA21 – (Vol: 2.51K):
∴ Weekly volume remains below the 21-week average, indicating weakening participation;
∴ Last few candles show declining volume despite price stability - possible distribution;
∴ Absence of buyer aggression may limit further upside near-term.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume suggests lack of conviction - momentum exists, but crowd participation is thinning.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Bitcoin's weekly chart maintains bullish structural posture above all key moving averages, yet momentum indicators reflect hesitation;
∴ The Ichimoku system confirms trend dominance, but MACD and RSI signal that internal strength is not expanding - only sustaining;
∴ Volume contraction reveals market indecision or fatigue, potentially foreshadowing consolidation or rebalancing phases;
∴ Despite no structural breakdown, directional conviction is lacking - further upside demands renewed volume and momentum alignment.
⊢
☍ II - GAP CME – BTC1! – Chicago Mercantile Exchange:
▦ Previous CME Close – ($99,640.00) + Spot Opening Binance – ($100,980.77):
∴ A clear upside gap is present between the institutional close and the retail spot open, measuring approximately $1,340.77, thus defining a latent Magnet Zone for downward pullback;
∴ This CME gap forms a critical vacuum range between $99.640 and $100.980, which will likely act as a liquidity reabsorption zone if spot retraces;
∴ No immediate fill has occurred, suggesting current bullish momentum persists despite latent imbalance.
∴ The latest weekly CME candle closes with a smaller real body and a pronounced upper wick — a classical signal of buy-side exhaustion below macro resistance ($102K–$103K);
∴ Despite the weakening thrust, no breakdown has yet been printed — the bullish structure remains technically intact above previous weekly lows;
∴ Volume prints are non-expansive, indicating lack of conviction among institutional buyers at this level — vigilance is required.
✴️ Conclusion: The CME structure reveals a latent institutional gap magnet to the downside, with price now suspended above an untested imbalance. The technical structure remains constructive but fragile. Further confirmation from the spot market will determine whether continuation or reversion will manifest in the coming cycle.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ A recent spike in total Bitcoin inflows aligns directly with the $101K zone, signaling increased movement of coins from wallets to exchanges;
∴ Historically, such inflow spikes near local tops indicate preparation for distribution or profit-taking by large holders;
∴ Current inflow levels exceed previous consolidation phases, amplifying the risk of sell pressure activation.
✴️ Conclusion: The market is facing elevated short-term risk from exchange-bound liquidity — inflows confirm readiness to sell into strength.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD – (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-Day) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 90-day CVD curve shows clear flattening and early reversal near resistance, indicating a shift in taker behavior;
∴ Passive sell-side absorption appears to dominate, reducing the strength of buy-side aggression;
∴ Price action continues upward while CVD retreats, forming a classic hidden distribution divergence.
✴️ Conclusion: CVD reveals taker exhaustion - without resurgence in spot demand, current price levels are vulnerable to sell-offs.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean – (7-Day Moving Average) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7DMA of inflow mean remains elevated, suggesting sustained presence of large-sized transactions heading toward exchanges;
∴ This behavior often precedes institutional or strategic sales, especially when combined with total inflow spikes;
∴ No decline in the inflow mean implies continuous preparation for short-term distribution.
✴️ Conclusion: Elevated inflow mean confirms that whales and large actors are preparing or executing strategic exits.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (All Exchanges):
∴ Rates across global derivatives platforms remain slightly positive but without speculative imbalance;
∴ The neutral-positive range suggests cautious optimism among traders - not overleveraged, but not afraid;
∴ No signs of euphoric long build-ups, which reduces liquidation risk but weakens breakout fuel.
✴️ Conclusion: A neutral funding environment supports consolidation, not explosive upside — no immediate directional conviction.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Binance):
∴ Binance-specific funding remains tightly aligned with global averages, reflecting no localized distortion;
∴ Positive, stable readings indicate low speculative friction, but also lack of trend-defining aggression;
∴ Historical patterns show that breakout rallies typically require a surge in funding rate — not present yet.
✴️ Conclusion: Binance traders are balanced - not short-squeezed nor euphoric - bias remains neutral until imbalance arises.
⊢
▦ Realized Price – Short-Term Holders (MVRV-STH) – (~$47.5K):
∴ Price trades far above the STH realized price, indicating most recent buyers are deep in unrealized profit;
∴ This dynamic historically increases the chance of sell pressure at resistance zones, especially when inflows are high;
∴ No downward compression or convergence - suggesting strength remains, but realization is a persistent risk.
✴️ Conclusion: STH's are exposed to high profit levels - the market is primed for potential realization, but not structural weakness.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Exchange-based signals (Inflow Total, Mean) confirm active preparation for sell-side flow;
∴ Spot aggression is fading as per CVD divergence, weakening breakout thesis despite strong price structure;
∴ Neutral funding and passive miner/on-holder behavior reflect structural balance - not panic, not euphoria.
✴️ Conclusion: The market rests in a zone of speculative tension - directionally undecided, but operationally sensitive to imbalance triggers.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ The temporal structure signals resilience, but lacks expansion - technical relief exists without structural thrust;
∴ On-chain flows unveil transactional friction at current levels, with capital cycling toward liquidity zones (exchanges);
∴ Market energy is neither compressed for breakout nor collapsed into capitulation - a state of coiled hesitation;
∴ Asymmetry remains hidden within equilibrium - vigilance, not movement, defines the moment.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Neutral:
∴ Price holds above key macro supports (EMA21, SMA50), confirming preservation of the bullish superstructure;
∴ Long-term holder behavior and miner flows remain passive - structural integrity is undisturbed;
∴ However, no active thrust or trend validation emerges - the system sustains but does not ascend.
⊢
▦ Tactically Cautious:
∴ Exchange inflows and CVD divergence signal short-term vulnerability near key resistances;
∴ Technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume) reflect a condition of deceleration - momentum is reactionary, not foundational;
∴ Until price reclaims volume-weighted levels with confirmation, the posture remains defensive and watchful.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound Ahead?4-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals a potential rebound opportunity. After a sharp decline, the price has stabilized around $97,245.43, forming a support level. The green and red box annotations suggest a possible price range breakout, with an upward arrow indicating a potential price increase. The current price stands at $100,461.58, down 1.63% from its recent peak. Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue its downward trend?
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of 105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space.
At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-Hour Candlestick Chart2-hour candlestick chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $103,904.89 with a gain of $595.12 (+0.58%) as of 01:22:41. The chart highlights a volatile period with significant price fluctuations, including a sharp drop followed by a recovery, and includes key price levels such as $106,099.25 and $102,803.95. The chart also features a highlighted support zone in pink and a resistance zone in light blue
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-Hour Candlestick Chart2-hour candlestick price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of June 20, 2025. The current price is $106,004.49, reflecting a 2-hour increase of $1,317.33 (+1.26%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a support level around $105,082.06 and resistance near $108,009.17. A shaded area indicates a potential price range, with a bullish projection suggested by the overlaid trendline.
BTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart AnalysisBTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hello traders! Sharing a recent long entry I took on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) based on price action and liquidity concepts. This trade is taken on the 1-hour timeframe and aligns with my strategy of combining liquidity sweeps, support zones, and market structure shifts.
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🔍 Trade Overview:
Entry Price: 104,704 USDT
Stop Loss: 103,660 USDT
Take Profit (Target): 108,349 USDT
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:3
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🧠 Trade Idea Behind the Entry:
As you can see on the chart, BTC had been in a downtrend and recently made a strong move into a key liquidity zone. This zone had previously seen multiple touches and rejections, making it an area of interest for both buyers and sellers.
The price swept liquidity below the previous low (labelled as “Liquidity Sweep $$$”), grabbing stop losses of early buyers and triggering limit orders of smart money. This move into the liquidity zone was followed by a strong bullish reaction – a signal that buyers may be stepping in.
Additionally, the "Break of Structure" (BOS) confirms a potential shift in market direction. The reaction from the liquidity zone indicates that this level is holding as new support.
---
🛠️ Why I Took the Trade:
1. Liquidity Sweep: The wick that pierced the liquidity zone signals stop-hunting and accumulation. These moves often precede a strong reversal.
2. Demand Zone Reaction: After the sweep, the candle closed bullish inside the demand box. This shows buyer strength.
3. Risk Management: The stop loss is set just below the liquidity zone to protect from deeper sweeps while keeping the RR healthy.
4. High Probability Target: The target is placed near the next resistance level around 108,349, which also aligns with a clean imbalance that price may want to fill.
---
📊 Technical Confidence:
Confluence Factors:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Demand zone reaction
✅ Market structure shift
✅ High RR
✅ No immediate resistance till target
This type of setup reflects smart money behavior – first pushing price below structure to grab liquidity and then reversing sharply. The bullish momentum after the sweep gave extra confirmation.
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🧭 What I’m Watching Now:
I will continue monitoring how price reacts around the 105,500–106,000 range. If momentum continues with higher highs and higher lows, I may trail my stop loss to lock in profits.
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Let me know what you think of this setup! Have you taken a similar trade or are you waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trust the process. 🚀
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeJournal
BTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetupBTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout Setup 🔄🚀
Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 Pattern Formation:
The chart displays a potential Triple Bottom pattern (🟠), a classic reversal signal forming at the $104,870–$100,000 support zone 🛡️. This structure suggests a strong base is being established for a potential upside move.
🔹 Support Zone:
📉 The price has consistently bounced off the major support area around $100,000–$104,870, indicating strong buying interest.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
📊 The key resistance level lies around the $114,000–$115,000 range 🔵, which has been tested multiple times in the past (🔴 arrows) and could act as a future profit target.
🔹 Price Action & Projection:
Currently, price is trading near $107,025 and is showing signs of bullish continuation after forming a higher low. If the price consolidates above the $104,870 zone and holds support, we could see a potential breakout targeting the $114,000 resistance 📈.
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Triple Bottom formation signals trend reversal.
🔄 Bullish structure confirmed above $104,870.
🎯 Next target: $114,000 if breakout holds.
⚠️ Watch for potential consolidation before continuation.
BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k
- Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k
Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k.
If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k.
Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone).
The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break.
Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 2-hour chart, focused on the buy side only!📊 Chart Overview
The chart shows BTC/USDT on the 2-hour timeframe, featuring clear levels of resistance, mini-resistance, and target zones. Let’s break down the buy idea:
🚀 Key Zones & Levels
💜 Resistance Zone (Purple Box):
Historical price ceiling.
Price dropped from this area several times.
🟦 Target Zone (Blue Line):
106,691 - 106,683 USDT.
Target for the next bullish move!
🟧 Mini Resistance (Yellow Box):
Around 102,000 USDT.
Acting as support (buy zone!) now.
💰 Buy Setup & Entry Area
✅ Buy Zone:
Just below 103,000 USDT, aligning with the mini resistance / support box (yellow).
✅ Entry Level:
Between 102,000 - 103,000 USDT.
Best if price consolidates or forms a reversal candle here.
🟢 Target:
First target: 106,000 USDT
Next major target: 106,683 - 106,691 USDT.
📉 Stop Loss:
Below 101,000 USDT for protection.
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ Wait for a bullish reversal candlestick at the mini resistance box (~102,000 - 103,000 USDT).
2️⃣ Enter long (buy) position.
3️⃣ Target profit at 106,000 and 106,691 USDT.
4️⃣ Stop below 101,000 to manage risk.
⚡️ Summary
🟢 Buy: At mini resistance (~102,000 - 103,000).
🎯 Targets: 106,000 - 106,691.
❌ Stop: 101,000.
🚀 Let's ride the bullish wave! 💹📈🟢
BITCOIN ROAD TO 300K !!! ELLIOTT WAVE CASE STUDYThere are three possible cases for Bitcoin which we can now consider according to Elliot wave count on big picture:
Case I: According to this count if we hold above 74.5k , recent low, we may see major shift in BTC. Retracement Up to 92-79k is good which will form inverse head & shoulders, potentially breaking ATH up to 170K, if things goes well & 74.5K region remains on hold.
Case II: If in case 74.5K region breaks, then it will invalidate minor count causing BTC to retrace more up to 64-52K major reversal zone region. If such thing happens, bullish shark pattern will be formed causing major reversal from that region BUT 49K region should remained hold!!!
Case III: Worst case scenario if 49K region breaks, then it will cause major count invalidation dropping BTC further up to 45-33K region.
#BTC/USD Close Fight but bulls win! $117K Still in sight!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Update:
BTC closed the week up by just 0.08%, leaving behind a long wick and a tiny body, forming a Dragonfly Doji, one of the strongest candlestick patterns, signalling a fierce battle between bulls and bears.
✅ This time, the bulls won by a small margin, but a win is a win.
✅ BTC successfully held its key support.
✅ The CC is green, which is a positive sign.
The price action remains choppy, but the trend is still pushing upward from here.
Invalidation:- Weekly Close below $100k
What do you think?
Do let me know in the comments section. And please hit the like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
Will BTCUSD see $90,000 ever again? Phoenix FX mid term analysisBTCUSD 4-Hour Outlook: The Week Ahead
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
First Resistance
$107 000–$108 500
Recent swing highs where price stalled before the last leg down. Clearing and closing above $105 000 on the 4H would open the door toward this zone.
Final Resistance
$111 000–$113 000 (If broken expect a run to $115,000)
The all-time-high area. Heavy sell-side liquidity lives here and past price action shows repeated FVG fills and wicks into this region.
🔵 Critical Support & Buy Zones
Discount Buy Zone:
$92 000–$89 000 (50% at $89 150)
A deeper weekly FVG and longer-term trend support. The ultimate “buy the dip” area if the premium zone gives way.
Premium Buy Zone:
$100 000 – $99 000 (50% at $99 450)
A 4H Fair Value Gap that aligns with our higher-timeframe trend support. The recent bounce here signals strength—and a possible launchpad back into resistance.
📊 Weekly Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Theory:
If BTC can close cleanly above $105 000 on the 4H, look for a run into $107 000–$108 500 (First Resistance). A follow-through push could then target $111 000–$113 000 (Final Resistance) by week’s end with a potential further move to $115 000 where the 8 year trend will be tested again.
Bearish Theory:
Failure to reclaim $105 000, or a clear rejection in the $107 000–$108 500 zone, could usher in a retest of the Premium Buy Zone (~$100 000). A break below $99 000 would shift focus toward the Discount Buy Zone around $92 000–$89 000.
💡 Trade Ideas for the Week
Potential Long Ideas
Entry: 4H candle close above $105 000
Targets: First take-profit at $108 500; stretch target $112 000–$113 000
Stop-Loss: Below $103 000
Zone Re-Entry Long
Entry: Bullish 4H candle close in $100 000–$99 000
Targets: $107 000 then $112 000
Stop-Loss: Below $97 500
Potential Short Ideas
Entry: Bearish price action (e.g., engulfing candle or wick rejection) in $107 000–$108 500
Targets: $100 000→$92 000
Stop-Loss: Above $109 000
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it.
So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅