Btctechnicalanalysis
(BTCUSD) – Bearish Continuation or Institutional Accumulation?Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, struggling to break above resistance. The price has rejected the upper boundary and could continue its downtrend toward $72,000 - $73,000 if support around $83,000 fails.
Key observations:
• Lower highs & lower lows confirm a bearish structure.
• A break below $83,000 - $82,000 could accelerate selling pressure.
• The next major support zone is $72,000 - $73,000.
Fundamental Analysis – Institutions and Governments Increasing Reserves:
• The U.S. government now holds around 200,000 BTC (~$17 billion), primarily seized from criminal cases. Their decision to maintain these holdings instead of liquidating suggests a potential shift in long-term Bitcoin adoption.
• MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, now holding 423,650 BTC (~$42.43 billion), reinforcing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
• Coinbase now custodies 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it the largest Bitcoin custodian. This highlights institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
• Despite these bullish fundamentals, ETF inflows have slowed down, and macroeconomic uncertainty (such as potential Fed rate hikes) could put pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.
Bitcoin's Key Zone in Danger: Watch for the F.V.G LevelBTC/USDT is currently trading above a key support zone, but strong selling pressure is evident.
If the price breaks below the marked support level, we could see a sharp drop toward the Fair Value Gap (F.V.G)
The bullish rally may resume from that point. For now, it's best to avoid fresh entries and wait for clear bullish confirmation.
Today btcusd analyisBitcoin Price Trend Analysis (30-Min Chart)
Current Price: 92,005 USD
1. Key Levels & Distances
Resistance Zone: 94,000 USD (+1,995 USD from current price)
Support Zone: 91,500 USD (-505 USD from current price)
Major Support: 90,000 USD (-2,005 USD from current price)
2. Trend Analysis & Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
If the price maintains support above 91,500 USD and breaks 94,000 USD, it could push higher toward 95,000 USD or more.
Confirmation of higher highs and higher lows will strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
If the price fails to break 94,000 USD and drops below 91,500 USD, a correction towards 90,000 USD is possible.
Breaking below 90,000 USD could indicate a larger downtrend.
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3. Trading Strategy Insights
For Buyers (Long Positions):
Look for a breakout above 94,000 USD before entering.
A stop-loss around 91,500 USD.
Target profit at 95,000+ USD.
For Sellers (Short Positions):
If price rejects 94,000 USD, short entries below 91,500 USD could be considered.
Stop-loss near 92,500 USD.
Profit target around 90,000 USD.
Broad View on Bitcoin - FxDollars - 26/02/2025Educational Analysis says BTCUSD may move DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - COINBASE
Because the BTCUSD pair showed some bullish weakness, it finally did liquidity, which was taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Bitcoin Overextended? Key Levels & 15-Min Chart Setup Revealed!📈 Bitcoin seems overextended right now. 🔑 In my opinion, it's testing key support levels. I'm watching for a retrace into the midpoint of the previous price swing for a potential short opportunity. 🎥 In the video, I break down key insights on the trend, market structure, and price action, and show exactly what I'm looking for on the 15-minute chart for an entry. 🚨 Not financial advice! 📉
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Setup with Key LevelsBTC/USD is currently trading around $95,700, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation. The recent consolidation suggests that buyers are absorbing supply before the next leg up.
Key Observations
• Bullish Structure: The price is forming a potential higher low near support (green trendline), indicating strength.
• Liquidity Grab & Reversal: A deeper pullback to the green support area could serve as a liquidity sweep before an impulsive move higher.
• Targeting All-Time Highs: If price follows the projected yellow path, we could see a rally toward the $117,857 - $120,000 resistance zone, aligning with the red trendline.
Trade Plan
• Wait for a pullback toward the lower trendline (~$90K - GETTEX:92K ).
• Look for bullish confirmations (rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, etc.) before entering.
• Target: $117,857 and possibly higher if momentum sustains.
⚠️ Risk Management: If BTC loses key support (green trendline), bullish momentum could weaken, requiring a reassessment of market conditions.
5 Key Coins: Is There Life After Bitcoin’s Correction?On the image, we can see that from December 2024 to the current moment (February 2025), the price of BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has decreased from about 107,673 to 96,150 dollars. In other words, roughly speaking, this is about a 10–11% correction. For Bitcoin, given its historical volatility, this is a fairly acceptable movement.
🔥 What’s important to consider with such a price change:
If we look at the chart from October 2024 (or even earlier), we can understand whether there was a prolonged rise before this (which could have required a correction), or if we are seeing a deeper downward movement.
🔥 Support and Resistance Levels
On the provided screenshot, it is noticeable that the current price is slightly below the key volume level (POC). If the price settles below it, this can become an additional signal for a continued decline.
However, if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P returns to the POC level and breaks it from below, it is often considered a sign of a possible reversal or at least a short-term bullish rebound.
🔥 Volume Profile Indicators
POC (Point of Control) around 100,000–101,000 dollars indicates that the largest trading volumes for the entire visible period are concentrated there.
This is a level around which the price may “hover,” since historically there is a large number of trades, meaning strong interests from both buyers and sellers.
🎯 Key idea: For most of the altcoins presented in the review, the further movement depends on whether BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above the nearest support and whether it can overcome the nearest resistance (the POC zone on the chart).
Below is a structured analysis of five selected coins ( BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P , BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P , BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P , BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P , BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P ) taking into account the current behavior of #Bitcoin, since it often sets the tone for the entire market.
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📉 Cardano BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P
➡️ POC on the chart: 0.9684 USD (above the current price).
➡️ Chart structure: BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P recently tested the support level around 0.80–0.88 USD.
Scenarios:
🚀 Bullish (if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P recovers): a possible rise to the 0.95–1.00 USD zone.
If this zone is broken and the price consolidates above 1.00 USD, further growth up to 1.10–1.20 USD can be expected.
🚀 Bearish (if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues to fall): a retest of 0.80–0.85 USD and, if broken, a deeper correction down to 0.70–0.75 USD.
⚡ Trading idea:
For those considering purchases, it makes sense to wait either for confirmation of a reversal in BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P or for a breakout/consolidation above 0.95–1.00 USD.
Alternatively , place limit orders around 0.80–0.85 USD, provided that BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P does not go into an even deeper correction.
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📉 Solana BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P
POC on the chart: 190.53 USD (approximately coincides with the current level).
Chart structure: After falling from 280 USD, BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P dropped to the key 18–19 USD zone. Here lies the volume level (POC), which can act as a “magnet”—the price often “moves” around the POC, and if it falls below it, the POC becomes strong resistance.
Scenarios:
🚀 Bullish: with BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P rising and BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P confidently holding above 19–20 USD, a return to 22–23 USD is possible. A breakout above 23–25 USD would be a signal for further recovery (26–28 USD and beyond).
🚀 Bearish: if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues to fall, BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P could drop below 18 USD and test the 15–16 USD zone, where buyers previously showed interest.
⚡ Trading idea:
Watch the behavior in the 18–20 USD zone. A breakout upward and consolidation amid a rising BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P may provide a quick target of 22–23 USD.
In a bearish scenario, it makes sense to see how the price reacts at 15–16 USD—a possible buyback zone for medium-term positions.
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📉 XRP BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P
POC: ~0.54–0.55 USD (above the current price).
Chart structure: BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P is in a fairly wide range: resistance at 0.45–0.50 USD and support around 0.35 USD. The volumes, judging by the profile, are concentrated above current quotes, which may indicate the need for an additional impulse for growth.
Scenarios:
🚀 Bullish: with positive market movement and BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P may test 0.45–0.50 USD. If it manages to consolidate above 0.50 USD, the path to 0.55–0.60 USD opens up.
🚀 Bearish: if the correction of BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues, BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P may drop back to 0.35 USD, and in case of a strong market sell-off—even to around 0.30 USD.
⚡ Trading idea:
For long-term positions, many focus on the resolution of legal issues (SEC vs Ripple), so the fundamental background plays a role.
Technically, the 0.35 USD zone is of interest for purchases, as well as a breakout of 0.45–0.50 USD for aggressive trading in anticipation of a faster rise.
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📉 Binance Coin BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P
POC: ~710 USD (noticeably above the current price).
Chart structure: BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P is generally supported by the Binance ecosystem, but it also declines with the global market downturn. The chart shows several horizontal levels in the 600–650 USD range that can act as trading zones.
Scenarios:
🚀 Bullish: if the market recovers, BNB can quickly return to 650–670 USD. A breakout and consolidation above 700 USD opens the way to 730 USD and beyond.
🚀 Bearish: if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P falls, a pullback to around 580–600 USD is possible. In the case of a strong sell-off—an even deeper move toward 550 USD.
⚡ Trading idea:
BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P often shows relative “resilience” due to its high demand on the Binance exchange (trading pairs, staking, Launchpad, etc.).
Technically, 600 USD is an interesting key support level. For a short-term long, a breakout and consolidation above 650–670 USD is needed.
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📉 Ethereum BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P
POC: around 3,100 USD (above current levels).
Chart structure: BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is in the 2,400–2,700 USD range. For a bullish scenario, it is important to get back above 2,800 USD, which would open the potential to 3,000–3,100 USD.
Scenarios:
🚀 Bullish: if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P grows and the news background is positive (network development, DeFi, Layer2), BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P can quickly recover to 2,800–3,000 USD.
🚀 Bearish: if BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P moves negatively—correction to 2,400 USD, and in the case of a strong sell-off—a test of 2,200 USD.
⚡ Trading idea:
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is closely tied to the fundamentals of the DeFi and Layer2 ecosystem, so in addition to BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P dynamics, it is important to monitor network updates and overall market sentiment.
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📢 Correlation with BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P : All of the mentioned altcoins ( BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P , BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P , BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P , BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P , BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P ) continue to closely correlate with Bitcoin’s movement. If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P manages to hold current support and break above the nearest resistance, there is a high likelihood that the alts will bounce in unison.
📢 Volume levels: All the coins have their POC above current prices, which often means that for a confident rise, the price needs to move back above the “point of control” in the volume profile. While the price remains below the POC, there is a risk of further stagnation or decline.
📢 Support zones:
📉 BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P 0.80–0.85 USD
📉 BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P 15–16 USD
📉 BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P 0.35 USD
📉 BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P 600 USD (then 580–550 USD)
📉 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P 2,400 USD (then 2,200 USD)
📢 Points of interest for long positions:
Breakout and consolidation above the POC or key horizontal resistances.
Testing support zones (if there are reversal signals).
📢 Risk management:
Due to high volatility, it is important to set stop-losses and consider the possibility of false breakouts. If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P experiences a stronger decline, it is not advisable to try to “ride out” a strong downtrend in altcoins without a clear plan.
📢 In the short term, the market is in a waiting mode—monitoring whether BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P can recover and hold above the nearest resistances.
In the medium term, fundamentals (project development, legal news for BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P , updates for BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P , etc.) will play a decisive role, but without positive movement from BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , strong growth in alts usually does not occur.
Use these levels and scenarios as guidelines for your own strategy, complementing them with fundamental analysis and news.
Good luck, friends. Follow our forecasts, leave comments, let’s stay in touch!
BTCUSDT CHART MAPPING IN 30M TF Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 30-M TF
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 97300/98100
TARGET WILL BE. 94800
The analysis suggests a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. The price has broken below the wedge support, and the chart indicates a short trade setup with a target around 94800 USDT and a stop loss at approximately 98800 USDT
Voice of reason BTCTwo scenarios are in play right now:
1. We are long past the distribution phase—“smart money” has exited, and a “lower high” is forming this week before fear and capitulation set in.
2. We are in the last stage of the bull run, with one more blow-off top expected around $114,000–$120,000.
Either way, if you are long, I suggest taking profits or partially closing margin positions.
The bull run is not over, but the market needs a correction. Spring and summer are likely to be bearish/accumulation phases, with Bitcoin’s final top expected in autumn. The same applies to altcoins—you might not see significant growth until Bitcoin tops toward the end of the year. In all cycles alt season started when BTC.D was already going down BTC made a blow of top and then alt-coins made their run. Rotation of money needs to happen.
None of the cycle peak indicators have turned green yet, so I’m confident we will see another Bitcoin top, but it might not happen right now.
Take a close look at your portfolio and assess how you can profit before either of these two scenarios plays out. Avoid FOMO—it could end very badly.
Stay safe!
Not financial advice ;)
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup
Outcome: Open Long
Entry Price: $97,070
Stop Loss: $96,000
Take Profit: $100,000
Confidence Level: 75%
Market Context & Justification
🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals:
RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals).
MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000.
🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact
CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure.
Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases.
🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data
Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning.
Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market.
Conclusion
Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BULISH BTCUSDT (THE CURVE LINES SPEAKING!)As in my previous analyses, I utilized curve lines; however, this time I am uncertain about the upper targets. This represents merely another perspective, and I will continue to monitor the market closely. I will update this analysis as necessary.
Here are the links to my other ideas:
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position:
Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours.
Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000.
Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts.
2. Technical Indicators:
RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation.
MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum.
VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal.
3. On-Chain Insights:
Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity.
Open Interest:
Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B.
Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias.
Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment.
4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis:
Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation.
Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm.
Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment.
5. Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%)
Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure.
Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum.
Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%)
Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions).
Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%)
Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts.
Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction.
6. Trading Strategies:
Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management.
Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000.
7. Conclusion:
BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
BTC: Claimed a New All-Time High!BTC touched a new all-time high of $109,568 on the same day Trump entered the White House to take office.
Previously, I mentioned a potential rejection toward FWB:73K , but BTC was rejected at $89.3k and eventually rebounded to claim a new all-time high. Following this 23% rally, BTC still needs to break above the resistance trendline for further bullish movement. Unless BTC breaks through the resistance, the chances of rejection remain valid.
Bullish Move: A breakout above the resistance trendline, creating a new all-time high.
Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance trendline.
Trade safely.
Next target for Bitcoin BTC price is $110k but there is a nuanceCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has reached $90000 - this is something incredible, considering that just 8 years ago we were trading #BTCUSD for $900) X100 is easy money if you save it)
And the coolest thing is that this is just the beginning)
However, no one on our planet has yet canceled the effect of gravity so everything that takes off will be attracted to the ground
OKX:BTCUSDT price needs a correction, at least to $77-78k. And even more so, this correction is needed for altcoins, so that the “fresh” capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:DOGE CRYPTOCAP:TON can flow into low-cap #Altcoins
It may hurt a little at first, but it will be pleasant later
Use the correction period to monitor altcoins very closely to determine which ones are being redeemed, where there is strength and support, and the greatest chance of further growth
Or follow us, we regularly give tips;)
Bitcoin Updatebtc has formed:
- ascending channel in blue and broke it
- while retesting the channel btc also formed a head and shoulders setup
- descending trendline in red
we're waiting for a candle to close below the neckline an retesting it so we enter a short (sell) trade
Follow us or more ideas an updates
637% BTC Profit Secured Ride the Crypto Wave with Us !!!!🎉 Profit Alert!
Our BTC Long Position has delivered exceptional returns, booking 637% profit (20x leverage) on a partial exit. If you've been following my insights and trade setups, you’re likely celebrating significant gains by now! 🪙💵
If you haven’t followed us yet, you’re literally missing out on life changing opportunities! i would say 😎
This is the power of disciplined trading and precise analysis. But we’re not done yet! The trade is still active with the remaining position, safeguarded by setting the Stop Loss (SL) at the Breakeven Price, ensuring risk free potential for further gains.
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