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Btctechnicalanalysis

$BTC 4H Outlook – Holding the Trendline or Losing Momentum?Bitcoin just saw a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (highlighted in red), forming a sharp wick after a quick pump. ✅ Key support has held for now, aligning with both the ascending trendline and moving average — historically zones of strong buyer interest (green circles). ⚠️ What’s next? A 4H candle close above the resistance zone is crucial for bullish continuation. Failure to close above = potential fakeout and downside pressure. Eyes on the next reaction — will we see the same buying volume kick in again from support? 📌 Watch closely – confirmation will shape the next move.
by persis10t
BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (May 9th 2025) 📊 BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (Post $103,500 Target) Instrument: BTCUSD Strategy Type: Probabilistic Breakout with Elliott & Gann Confluence Current Price: $102,600 Trade Horizon: 2–5 Days Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily 🔍 Market Overview BTCUSD has successfully completed the prior trend continuation target of $103,500, respecting the bullish structure on 4H and Daily timeframes. As of now, price is consolidating just below key resistance, printing a high of $103,800 and retracing slightly to $102,600. This signals a potential decision zone where BTC may either continue its advance or initiate a deeper pullback. I define short-term key boundaries between: Upside: $106,200 – $108,400 Downside: $96,850 – $95,700 📐 Technical Structure & Key Zones Support Zone: $ 97870 , $96,850–$95,700 (Previous consolidation + high volume node) Resistance Zone: $106,200–$108,400 (Measured move & fib cluster area) Structure Bias: Bullish above $99,000; bearish pressure increases below $96,850 🔄 Elliott Wave Count (Short-Term, 4H) BTC appears to be in a Wave (3) of a higher-degree Wave 3, following a Wave (2) retracement toward $94,500. Current price movement is within a sub-wave 3 of (3), with the recent high at $103,800 potentially marking a sub-wave 3 top. A brief corrective Wave 4 could develop toward $100,500–$99,000, before a final Wave 5 drives price into the $106,200–$108,400 zone. If price fails to hold above $96,850, the structure may morph into a larger corrective Wave (4), targeting the lower boundary. 📊 Gann Analysis The Gann 1/1 angle from the March swing low is currently intersecting near $102,500–$103,000, offering resistance. Next key Gann levels: Above: $106,200 (120°) and $108,400 (135°) resistance arcs Below: $96,850 and $95,700 align with 45° and 60° support angles Timewise, entering a minor Gann cycle window on May 10–11, often associated with inflection points. Watch for breakout or reversal signals near this period. 🎯 Trade Scenario Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) Trigger: 4H close above $104,000 Target Zones: TP1: $106,200 TP2: $108,400 Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Pullback) Trigger: Break below $99,000, especially on strong volume Target Zones: TP1: $97870 or $96,850 TP2: $95,700 Invalidation: Close above $104,000 invalidates pullback thesis ⚙️ Strategic Trade Notes Scalping & Swinging Options: Consider range scalps within $102,000–$99,000, but prepare for trend breakout. Swing traders may build positions on retracement (Wave 4) with invalidation below $97870, $96,850. Risk Management: Use volatility-adjusted stop losses under key Gann levels or 50EMA on 4H. Consider tightening stops or taking partials near $106,200 to protect gains if price extends. 📌 Conclusion BTCUSD remains in a bullish macro structure but approaches a key inflection zone. A break and hold above $104,000 could launch the next impulsive leg toward $108,400. Conversely, failure to hold above $99,000 opens the door for a deeper retracement to $ 97870, $96,850–$95,700. Traders should remain flexible, aligning with the prevailing momentum while respecting structural boundaries.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by NextElliott
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 16: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was running with a shrinking volume and the fast and slow lines showed signs of a dead cross. But again, the current signal is a retracement correction, not a trend, because at the weekly level, the price is just retracing the moving average, and everyone should be clear about this; the high pressure level is in the 105800 area, and the low point is in the 100600 area; the short-term price rebounded in the early morning, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning. The intraday high was around the 104500 area. The current retracement did not continue, so there is still a demand for consumption during the day, but the hourly chart attached chart indicator has already crossed. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102500 area
Short
by Toml1314
Bitcoin Update – Expecting a Correction to $96K! Crypto traders! 💙 Bitcoin looks ready for a pullback to our key level at $96,000. I’m waiting to BUY in this zone, but if the level breaks and price stabilizes below, I’ll consider a SHORT trade to our next target (as previously defined). ⚡️ Pro Trading Tip: ✅ If you’re a trader, always have a strategy—be ready for any scenario! ✅ For long-term investors, accumulate on dips near support levels. 📌 Risk management is key! Double your position size at each lower level to drastically reduce your average entry price. 💎 The Golden Rule of Crypto Success: 🔹 Keep losses small & disciplined. 🔹 Let your winners run to maximize gains! 🔹 The market is unpredictable, but YOU control your capital! 🚀 Bitcoin never sleeps—what’s your play? 👇 What’s your take on this move? For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexCSP
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – V-Shaped Recovery Points to BreakoutBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum following a textbook V-shaped recovery from the recent support zone around $73,699. After consolidating and breaking the descending channel, BTC surged with conviction, reclaiming critical levels and now approaching the previous All-Time High (ATH). Key Technical Highlights Pattern: V-Shaped Recovery Support Zone: $73,699 – $75,000 Resistance/ATH: $109,255 Trendline: Long-term bullish trend remains intact Recent Breakout: Clean breakout above the falling wedge/descending channel BTC has reversed sharply from the bottom, printing higher highs and higher lows. This aggressive rebound has brought price action back toward ATH levels, with strong chances of a breakout continuation. The structure suggests bullish control, especially after retesting key areas with strength. Bitcoin Dominance at 62.2% Bitcoin's market dominance sits at 62.2%, showing clear investor confidence and capital preference for BTC over altcoins. This dominance level reinforces the bullish bias as smart money flows into Bitcoin in anticipation of a potential price discovery breakout. This trend, along with large institutional inflows, highlights a growing belief in BTC’s strength as a leading asset, especially in the current macro environment. BTCUSD Trade Setup (As Per Chart) 🎯 Entry $104,732.85 ⛔ Stop Loss $99,507.06 ✅ Take Profit $114,359.25 The trade idea is based on the continuation of the current uptrend and breakout above $109,255, which previously acted as resistance (ATH). A clean daily close above this level would likely open the path toward $114,359 and possibly $116,000+ as the next milestone. BTC is primed for a new leg higher. The market structure favors bulls with BTC dominance rising, large investments entering, and strong technical recovery in place. If Bitcoin holds above the entry zone and pushes through ATH, we may see a new high forming in the coming weeks.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
BITCOIN Has Unfinished Business Below $74K! Will It Return?Key Disclaimer: Inefficiencies Don’t Need to Be Filled Let’s set the stage clearly: inefficiencies like the one at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 for BTCUSD do not HAVE to be filled. They’re a TENDENCY, not a rule, an intriguing opportunity to explore high-probability zones. If Bitcoin doesn’t return to this level, no harm is done; but this is a very good opportunity to analyze the term, as such... let’s break it down. What Is an Inefficiency? An inefficiency, or sometimes a fair value gap (FVG), is a price range with "minimal" trading activity, often caused by a rapid move—here, a rally—creating a liquidity imbalance. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, this area between wicks spans $73,624.98 to $74,420.69, likely formed during a sharp rally around April 2025. This untested range makes it a potential target for future price action, as markets often seek to resolve such imbalances. Notably, the price has already approached this zone, and there’s a chance it may never return. However, around $74,400, there are still some “unfinished things to do”, untested liquidity, or orders, which could draw the price back if conditions align. Why Do Inefficiencies Attract Price? Inefficiencies often act as magnets for price due to: Liquidity Seeking: Markets revisit areas with unfilled liquidity (stop-loss or pending orders) to balance supply and demand. Market Memory: Traders and algorithms, target these levels, reinforcing their significance. Mean Reversion: After rapid rallies, the price may retrace to test imbalances before continuing. (atm we are probably too far from it but still keep this area in your minds) Institutional Activity: Large players might re-enter at these levels, making them key zones for reversals or consolidation. Historically, assets tends to revisit such areas, as the chart notes. BTCUSD Context: $103,000 with Bullish Momentum As of May 10, 2025, BTCUSD is at ~$103,200 on the weekly chart, on the way to confirm a weekly breakout above $100,000, supported by higher highs, an ascending channel, and macro factors ( for example ETF inflows), signaling quite a strong momentum. The inefficiency at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 is 28–29% below the current price, a deep pullback that might require a catalyst like a macro correction, negative crypto news, or profit-taking. Given the price has already approached this zone, it may not return, but the “unfinished business” around $74,400 keeps it on the radar. Still, strong trends can bypass inefficiencies, and factors like time decay or adoption may drive prices higher. Trading Approach, Short-, Mid-Term Investors Take Your Profits! This formation of inefficiency is not a prediction to short, it’s an opportunity to monitor. Still, if you’re a short- to mid-term investor, it might be a smart move to take some profits here and observe what unfolds next. Right now, we’re potentially seeing a double top forming around major psychological levels. And to be honest, the inefficiency below (shown on the chart) still lingers in the back of my mind. People often ask me: “When is a good time to take profits?” My answer? Now. It is a perfect example and it fits to all assets. And here's why. There are clear scenarios that help remove the guesswork: 1. You sell now, and the price continues to rally higher. That’s not a problem. By selling, you’ve reduced your risk, and securing your profits - always a smart move. If the price breaks above $100K, you can always buy it back after a confirmed breakout and retest. That’s a strong sign that investors are willing to pay higher prices for BTC, and historically, after such breakouts (like with the $50K level in August 2024), the market tends to come back to retest that breakout zone. Of course, if you’re a long-term investor with a 3-5+ year horizon, you may choose to ride it out. In that case, trying to time this might just be over-managing your position. There’s always a chance BTC won’t retest $100K again. 2. The best-case scenario if you take profits now: You get the chance to buy back lower. If the market pulls back, keep that inefficiency level in mind—there’s also a mid-term trendline, previous yearly highs, and other technical elements that haven’t been tested yet. Traders’ psychology hasn’t really been pushed to the limits at this stage, and in my view, the crypto market loves to test limits. So if you’re a short- or mid-term investor who bought in at lower levels, this is a good time to seriously consider locking in some profits. Step back, and let the price action guide the next move. Listen—just listen. Conclusion Inefficiencies like the one between $73,624 and $74,420 don’t demand to be filled—but they’re worth understanding, tracking, and learning from. Whether price revisits that zone or not, the real value lies in recognizing where the market has moved too fast and what that might mean if momentum shifts. Right now, BTCUSD is strong. But strength can fade, sentiment can shift, and “unfinished business” below still holds weight for traders who think in probabilities, not certainties. If you’re in profit—especially from lower levels—this might be one of those moments to pause, and make sure greed isn’t driving your next decision. Whether this zone becomes just a memory or a brilliant case study, it’s already a valuable example of how understanding market structure helps you stay a step ahead—not a step behind. Stay alert. Stay humble. And as said… listen. Cheers, Vaido
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VaidoVeek
54
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor. Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move. No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
Long
by Forexcryptowithjohn
BTC Trade Idea — React, Don’t PredictBINANCE:BTCUSD Smart Trading Requires Patience! Bitcoin is currently undergoing a healthy correction. Strong support is located around $87,500, and if confirmed by price action, it could offer a great buying opportunity. Trading without a plan = gambling! ** Alternative Scenario: If the $87,500 level breaks with strong confirmation, after a pullback to this zone, a short opportunity could emerge. Follow us for more professional insights! #CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #TradingStrategy #Forex #Cryptocurrency
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexCSP
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower. A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500. Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity. Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000. Stay Tuned For More 🤝🎖️🫡
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
BTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – Approaching Cycle Top?Bitcoin is currently trading around $85,500, maintaining short-term bullish momentum within a well-formed ascending structure on the daily chart. The price is now entering a mid-phase rally, with a clear target of $98,000, a key resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of a rising wedge formation and historical trend extension zones. Key Technical Levels: Immediate Resistance: $88,800 (local supply zone) Major Target Zone: $97,000–$98,000 (macro resistance + psychological round number) Short-Term Support: $82,000 Key Breakdown Level: $78,500 While the momentum suggests BTC may continue to push higher in the near term, the $98,000 resistance is likely to act as a distribution zone, where buying may slow and profit-taking increases. This level could falsely signal a breakout, leading to a spike in retail long positions before the market enters a longer-term correction phase. If rejection occurs at or near $98,000, BTC could begin a multi-month correction, with the primary downside target set at $49,000 by July 2025. This level aligns with previous weekly support, volume profile lows, and would represent a typical deep retracement following a major cycle top. Outlook: Near-term bias: Bullish toward $98,000 Macro bias: Bearish reversal expected from resistance zone Cycle correction target: $49,000 (Q3 2025)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by QuantumFusionWave
1
BTC-----Sell around 82100, target 80800-80300 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 10: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a big positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price stood above the MA5 daily average line, but the attached indicator was dead cross. A single rise is difficult to become a trend and difficult to continue. In addition, when the large trend is still weak, there is no room for rise, so the current trend can only be regarded as a correction trend; from the four-hour chart, the current K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the pressure high point after the pullback is 83,600 area, and the price has not broken the correction high point position of the previous stage-by-stage decline. This is very obvious. The current K-line in the short-cycle hourly chart is continuous negative, and the attached indicator is dead cross, so whether the European session can continue is the key. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 82,100 area, stop loss at 82,600 area, and target 80,800 area and 80,300 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
$$$ BTCUSD MACRO-BULLISH $$$ 1W CHART $$$BITFINEX:BTCUSD 1W Chart There are many reasons to look at this weekly chart and see that there's absolutely no reason to be bearish on Bitcoin yet. Holding strong r/s flip support. Holding regression trend. Holding parabolic trend. Stoch RSI at the bottom. Weekly bullish divergence. Assuming this plays out in a way that's similar to the last local bottom, the current target is around $134k-$135k. It would take a lot to invalidate all of these bullish indicators, but if that does somehow happen, with a CLOSE of the weekly candle that invalidated these, then It's pretty much definitely over for a loooong time. NFA blah blah blah..
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
BTC already has the conditions to hit the 90000-95000 zone!A few days ago, I mentioned that BTC had the potential to surge towards the 90000-95000 range. Currently, BTC has already climbed above 87000 during its rebound, effectively opening the door to the 90000-95000 zone. From a fundamental perspective, with bearish factors becoming clearer, if Trump adopts a more lenient stance on tariffs, BTC could extend its rebound. On the technical side, BTC has successfully broken through the short-term resistance around the 85500 level, turning the 85500-84500 area into a short-term support structure. This transition further supports BTC’s continuation to the upside, potentially testing the 90000-95000 range. For short-term trading, we can consider waiting for a technical pullback and looking to go long on BTC once it retraces to the 85500-85000 region. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Long
by Trader_Marvin
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios: Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond. Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ. Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal. Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.
Long
by CryptoNether
BTC is expected to hit 85000-86000 again, or even higherBTC has once again built a strong double bottom structural support in the 82000-81000 zone. BTC is likely to continue to rise. Once it breaks through the short-term resistance area near 83600, BTC may usher in a wave of accelerated rise and has the potential to continue to the 85000-86000 zone. So we can still go long on BTC in the 82500-81500 zone. In addition, once BTC rises as expected, it is likely to grab the market share of gold, so it may also accelerate the decline of gold to a certain extent. This is a point we must be careful about next. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Long
by Trader_Marvin
$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself. If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets. With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MrVelvet_
Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support. Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC. Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Long
by Trader_Marvin