USTD.D updateThis is USDT.D, a reverse indication to how BTC will perform based on money flow concepts. It looks like USDT.D is starting to form a bullish harmonic pattern and if it does and plays out, BTC will dump. Now only that, the PRZ (potential reversal zone) on the harmonic pattern has weight being based on both yearly VWAP as well as a trend line that is based on Fib levels. Therefore, I am looking for quick short scalps today as I believe a retrace is coming.
Analysis can always be wrong based on these, so no matter what or how much you trust me, trade safely and have back up plans! @Nate Alert
Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC/USDT.P UpdateI know you guys are excited about the bull action that finally came after a long wait, but this is where things can get volatile due to manipulation. Remember, if the price action is this obvious all the time, everyone would have been billionaires lol.
Always keep an eye behind you and play on both sides of the market is the best way to go. With that said, we actually did not have a daily candle close "above" the previous major swing high, that is also what I considered as the CHOCH for the bullish trend change. I would be very interested to see if we can give it another attempt today and finally close above that major swing level at 70078. If we close above it on the daily candle, I'll be more bullish, until then, I expect pull backs to grab more liquidity. If it does dump, I'll be ready to accumulate more into my long positions.
Trade safely guys! @Nate Alert
PS** congrats to all the wins from last night's stream, glad to see so many of you making money!
BTC/USDT.P UpdateNew week, new start. Here we are closing the week without any new bullish momentum which makes me suspect we are gonna need to seek out more liquidity before breaking above this trend line level.
I've in this daily tf chart marked potential levels of where it could retrace to. It would be a swing trade or you can see this as potentially building your position before the bull rally starts to finally break that ATH into price discovery.
I still think you need to trade with risk management regardless, because there are a lot of potential event volatilities coming up in the near future. I'll be scalping more in streams and swing in these market updates. Trade safely!
BTC/USDT.P Trade setupSwing Trade:
if today's daily candle closes confirming the lower high, I would be interested to get into a swing short as we are likely retracing further down for a lower low retest some of the previous broke out areas.
However, if in 7 hours and today's candle closes bullish and continues the the trend upwards, then this idea would be invalidated.
I would not get into this trade until the this daily candle closes. It is Friday, and price action can get crazy (as you can see for the past few hours lol), trade safely.
BTC/USDT.P Market AnalysisHey guys, happy Friday. The analysis today will be an interesting one as we close out the week. Although recent price action has been relatively bullish, we have only closed above the most recent swing high trend line. That means the buyer dominance isn't as strong or will need more liquidity to push through the next level (yellow circle).
Until we have a break out of that level, I think we might see more swing actions especially on Fridays. We are currently getting a local rejection off the bearish OB that was created a few days ago when we initially reached this most recent swing high, depends on which direction it breaks, you might want to place your trades accordingly.
I think we have hit a local high for now and I would be more bullish if we can have a daily candle close above the trend line zone, I would add to my longs then. Until that happens, I'm going to hedge in a short, take some profits on my previous long setups and speculate.
**Fridays are usually volatile especially during NY sessions, trade safely** @Nate Alert
BTC next move ? BTC / USDT
BTC pumped from my level 59k (last BTC idea) directly to 69k without any serious correction
I expect a pullback to 65-64k from this level there is high chance for bounce
In case of deep correction we might visit 62k
Note : BTC must not break HH and HL pattern to keep its bullish plan otherwise we can hit 50s zone again
BTC/USDT.P UpdateLooks like we were able to get the 382 reaction we were looking for. Congrats to those who took short and profited at that level. This current price action suggests that we are now back on track for a new higher high.
If you are building a long position, you can start layering in your longs as each BOS and retrace happens.
Trade safely
BTC reacting at trend line on Daily TFPA touched the trend line that I've been anticipating for the past few days and now showing a nice reaction. This could potentially be the beginning of the retrace on the daily TF that I've been waiting for. There is also the possibility of a minor retrace then continue momentum upwards, if that happens, I'll jump into market longs at semi-large positions.
However, if it does retrace from here, I've marked the potential reversal points in yellow circles for reference. Trade safely!
*Summary: I'm currently bearish during this retrace until PA proves that the momentum continues upwards.*
Bitcoin 70,000! Can Milton Stand in the Way?Bitcoin: 70,000 or 40,000?
Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, with the price poised to either break through to new highs at 70,000 or drop to as low as 40,000. Bulls are eyeing a breakout above key resistance levels, which could lead to a sharp move upward. However, bearish forces, including macroeconomic factors and potential market sell-offs, may push the price down toward critical support. The next move will likely be driven by major events, market sentiment, and global factors. Will Bitcoin soar or correct sharply? Stay tuned for the next big move!
BTC Rally TargetsMy Potential Targets for a Local Top on BTC/Crypto is the 20W SMA for USDT.D and the zone between 4.71 - 4.81.
Confluence with 1D RSI (it should be in bottom zone by 1st, if not 2nd Target.
The zone and MA has acted as Support 3 times previously in 2024:
July 29th, 2024
July 22nd, 2024
June 17th, 2024
I will be watching those areas for a bounce in USDT.D which would correlated with a local top in Crypto/BTC
BTC Bitcoin In-Depth Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Navigating Key Market Levels with Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) has broken market structure to the upside. On both the daily and 4-hour charts, we see a pullback into equilibrium, offering a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we dive into market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also discuss how smart money has been targeting stop losses recently. The goal is to set up a trade that minimizes the risk of a stop run without compromising our risk-to-reward ratio.
*Disclaimer: The information shared in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.* 📊✅
BTC on daily timeframe Based on the analysis provided for BTC in the daily timeframe, where it's indicated that BTC is currently in a range post reaching $74,000, and as long as it remains above $49,000 in higher time frames, signaling a bullish trend, the recommendation is to consider purchasing BTC around $57,000 for a potential new higher high.
For this strategy, whether you are holding or actively trading, here are some key points to consider:
1. **Key Levels**: Monitor critical support at $49,000 and the previous high at $74,000 to identify potential entry and exit points.
2. **Risk Management**: Implement effective risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to protect your investment and manage risk prudently.
3. **Confirmation Signals**: Look for additional confirmation signals from technical indicators or price action patterns to validate the buying opportunity near $57,000.
4. **Market Awareness**: Stay informed about market dynamics, news events, and factors affecting BTC's price to make well-informed trading decisions.
By integrating these elements into your trading approach, you can refine your strategy and potentially enhance your outcomes in the volatile cryptocurrency market. Best of luck with your trading decisions!
BTC, When should we expect reversal? FA: The majority of crypto market participants are currently in a depressed mood regarding the medium-term future of the crypto market as a whole. Such behavior of the crowd says first of all that weak hands are not ready to buy now, and the sawtooth movement, which started since March and has lasted for more than 6 months, puts even experienced participants in a stupor, forcing them to close speculative positions, dump risky assets and expect a further decline comparable to the collapse in the spring of 2020.
However, a deeper look reveals several significant trends:
A drop in the influx of new bitcoins to exchanges.
Since the beginning of the year, the number of new coins entering exchanges has been declining. This indicates that professional investors prefer to keep their assets in their wallets, which means they are not preparing to sell. This factor is traditionally considered to be a bullish sign, as a decrease in supply on exchanges may contribute to price growth in case of renewed buying activity.
Increased outflow of bitcoins from exchanges.
This sign is also positive and confirms the narrative of asset accumulation by smart capital. It can be seen especially well at the moment of price drawdown: during and after aggressive shakeouts, a surge in coin outflows is clearly visible.
Despite the globally passive sentiment, the fundamentals of exchange inflow/outflow suggest that strong hands continue to accumulate while the crowd is perplexed by what is happening.
Reduced supply on the exchanges and increased demand from large holdings are creating all the conditions for future price gains, our idea is that the market has been in a reaccumulative phase for the past six months.
From a technical analysis standpoint , I anticipate a continued downside for BTC. Two potential scenarios may unfold:
1 - Retest of the 4-hour Order Block (OB): BTC could test the 52,000-54,000 range, followed by a gradual reversal, suggesting a more measured recovery.
2 - Retest of the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Alternatively, BTC may drop to the 47,300-44,000 zone, which could trigger a sharp "V-shaped" reversal with aggressive momentum driving the price higher, potentially towards new all-time highs (ATH).
In either case, monitoring key support and resistance levels within these zones will be critical.