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Btctothemoon

$320's easy pickings for SOL this run but can it hit $400?The chart illustrates a strong technical setup for Solana (SOL/USDT), showing a Cup and Handle formation alongside a fractally repeating pattern with hidden divergences in the RSI. Here’s a closer look at the critical elements and price projections: 1. Fractal Pattern & Hidden Divergence • At the beginning of the chart, there’s a fractal pattern that led to a parabolic rise in price during the 2021 bull market. • The hidden divergence seen in the RSI at that time highlighted a strong bullish momentum, with price making higher lows while the RSI made lower lows. This bullish signal preceded a significant price increase, reinforcing the fractal’s reliability. 2. Cup & Handle Formation • The most notable pattern is the Cup and Handle structure, which is a highly reliable bullish continuation pattern. This is a textbook formation where the price consolidates in a rounded bottom (cup) before a smaller consolidation (handle). • Currently, the price is emerging from the handle, and if this breakout confirms, it could result in a large upward movement. 3. Hidden Divergence (Again) • In the recent price action, there’s another hidden divergence in the RSI, similar to the previous fractal. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting the current price movement may follow a similar path as the earlier parabolic rise. 4. Fibonacci Extensions & Price Projections • Fibonacci retracement levels provide key price targets: • 90% to ATH at $260.04: This level marks the approach to Solana’s previous all-time high, which could act as significant resistance. • 140% to new ATH at $326.66: This is the projected price target for the full realization of the Cup and Handle breakout. • 200% to Cup & Handle target at $400+: The ultimate bullish target lies around $400, based on Fibonacci 1.618 extensions, aligning with a major upside projection if the breakout sustains. 5. Price Projections • Short-Term Outlook: The price is currently testing the breakout zone from the handle. If confirmed, we could see a quick move toward $260 (previous ATH). • Medium-Term Outlook: Breaking past the ATH will set the stage for the next significant resistance at $326.66 (140% extension). • Long-Term Outlook: If bullish momentum continues and the fractal plays out, a $400+ target (200% extension) is achievable in a major bull run scenario. Conclusion The Cup and Handle pattern combined with the hidden RSI divergence and fractals suggests a high-probability bullish scenario for Solana. The key levels to watch are $260, $326, and ultimately $400+. As always, confirmation of breakout volume and broader market trends will be crucial for sustaining these bullish targets.
Long
by Blockbullder
A logarithmic look at the #Bitcoin monthly chart according to thAll the points drawn in the chart, all these numbers are based on the numbers of previous halvings and time analysis This is a long-term analysis in the last months of 2026, i.e. November and December Any upswing requires a price correction to continue the trend, which is well seen in Bitcoin, and my correction opinion is after hitting the new historical ceiling of the blue line. This correction, which is after hitting the ceiling, will happen after the months of November 2025 If the numbers are done with a little up and down, I hope you will be satisfied with the analysis I hope you can use this analysis in the long term and send it to your friends
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by DarkAnalyzer
The Crypto Cycle Indicator is BROKEN!Last summer, as BTC tapped what I thought might be it's pre-halving high of about $31,000 USD, I used www.tradingview.com indicator to point out that we had tapped the trendline that generally indicates we are at or near a price high for the mini bull cycle inbetween halvings. It was right... for about 3 months. Then the entire crypto space exploded higher, followed soon by stocks and treasuries. My theory is a part of that was large purchases of Bitcoin were being made for the ETFs that went live in January. So, time for a change of plans to figure out where tops and bottoms might be. One thought is Plan B's "Stock to flow" model, which skewed overly bullish last cycle, maybe it skews conservative this time? Always hard to say. I have one interesting chart to share here. Just simply putting BTC on a logarithmic scale and drawing a channel to hit the bottoms from 2018, 2020 and 2022, this meant I had to clip the highs from 2017 and cross the top of the next lowest weekly candles, but it hit the spring high of 2021, but the high in November was below the upper trend line. Now, this is more bullish than the stock 2 flow model, but hey, this cycle seems different with setting new all time highs BEFORE the halving, and the supply being even more restricted now due to the massive buying to put in these ETFs. F it, let's go. April 2025 target is $330k.
CRYPTOCAP:USDC
by dieseldub
BTC → Bitcoin Near Resistance! Should We Short? Let's Answer.Bitcoin is in a critical price zone as this bull run has taken us from $15,500 to $52,800. Is this a situation where we short? Or do we prepare for a long? How do we trade this? 🤔 Shorting may be an option for a lower timeframe such as the 15m or 1HR. I would not be shorting on the Daily or Weekly candles, but waiting for the price to pull back to enter a long. As outlined in my Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis, I believe Bitcoin is due for a major pullback ranging from 30-50% toward the $25,000-$30,000 price area: I would target a long entry in the $35,000 price area, set a stop loss either below the $15,500 low and target a 1:3 Risk/Reward, or a stop loss below the previous trading range at $25,000. Look for a double bottom around the Breakout Support area at $31,800 with a strong bull signal and confirmation bars. From there, reasonable take profit targets include 1:1 Risk/Reward at $42,300, just below the current price at $51,000, just below the previous all-time high at $65,000, and just below $100,000 which is a psychologically even number target. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $35,575.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $22,900.00 ✅ Take Profit #1: $42,300 ✅ Take Profit #2: $65,000 ✅ Take Profit #3: $98,000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:5 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up toward a Resistance Area of $52,800 2. Resistance area is derived from the 2021 Head and Shoulders pattern 3. Wait for the price to pullback between 30-50%, and look for a double-bottom reversal pattern near $35,000 4. Long at 1:5 risk reward and take profit at three key levels 5. RSI is overbought at 78.00 which supports the pullback. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
🌟 Exploring Bitcoin's Future Through Logarithmic Regression 🌟I've been delving into the fascinating world of Bitcoin's price trends and came across some compelling insights that I thought were worth sharing. Here's what I found about using logarithmic regression to understand and predict Bitcoin's market movements: The Power of Logarithmic Regression: This method is really intriguing for Bitcoin analysis. It shows us how each cycle tends to bring diminishing returns compared to the explosive gains in Bitcoin's early days. Peering into Future Peaks: Based on this approach, it seems that the next significant peak of Bitcoin could be lower than many expect, considering its current price around $45,000 and historical trends. A Glimpse into 2025: Projections suggest that by late 2025, Bitcoin might reach just over $100,000. However, this might not align with a cycle peak, indicating a more gradual growth trajectory. Understanding Market Cycles: The patterns of Bitcoin's rallies and downturns, along with its interactions with other assets like equities, offer a fascinating glimpse into its market behavior. Altcoins in the Bitcoin Universe: In scenarios where Bitcoin experiences a major rally, it could significantly impact altcoin values. There's also a possibility of a 'double bottom' occurring in the current Bitcoin cycle. The Significance of Regression Lines: Changes in regression lines can lead to notable shifts in Bitcoin's price. This concept was particularly evident in the 2018 cycle. Current Price Considerations: Analyzing the current price in relation to trendlines indicates potential highs and lows. Reaching a $100,000 mark seems plausible, but going as high as $300,000 in the current cycle could be more challenging. Bitcoin's Market Dominance: Despite potential fluctuations, Bitcoin's dominance in the market seems poised to continue its upward trend, offering a level of stability in the volatile crypto world.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by neoishere
Profit is still going on, join me and take you to make more mone BTC strategy analysis: After stepping back on the 27200 line in the short-term within 4 hours of the day, the BTC market fluctuated within a narrow range within a short period of time. The market was under pressure at night, and the BBI average pressure fell back. The third line of the KDJ indicator turned at the 20-axis golden cross. Continuous shrinkage, the short-term current market is slightly deviated, and the attached indicators show signs of rebound. The daily market K-line closed below the MA60 moving average support on May 8, and the K-line was under pressure below the MA60 moving average on May 9. Currently The market is showing a small negative K line, the K line is currently showing 4 consecutive negatives, the KDJ indicator diverges downwards, and the MACD indicator green entity kinetic energy column is heavy. From the daily line, there is a risk of further decline in the market. Pay attention to the support around 27000. The market breaks big Probability drops to support around 25500, it is recommended to focus on high altitude BTC: 28465--28755 Empty More than 26630--26358 ETH: 1888--1912 Empty 1788--1763 more Profit is still going on, join me and take you to make more money
BShort
by Prometheusinfinance
BTC keeps making moneyBTC: The daily line has been negative for three consecutive days. Today, the current trend is also falling, approaching the support level of 27000. The lower rail of the Bollinger Bands is running around 27100. The K line has continuously closed negatively and is approaching the lower rail. It is more likely to bottom out. MACD is heavy On the downside, the KDJ third line opens downward. The current trend is still negative, and the trend has not changed. The key depends on whether the lower support level can withstand it, and the bulls will usher in a counterattack opportunity. From the one-hour line, there was a bottom divergence in the early morning of last night. At present, the MACD is increasing in volume, and the KDJ is opening upwards, but the strength of the bulls is still insufficient, and the RSI is shrinking downwards. Operation suggestion: The top 28000 is not broken, empty, break the position to see 28500, take profit 300-500 points, stop loss 300 points. If the 27450-27200 below is not broken, go long, and if the strong breaks, you can take advantage of the trend and go short, with a stop profit of 300-500 points and a stop loss of 300 points. ETH: Ether failed to hit 1880 yesterday. The currency price fluctuated back and forth between 1880-1830, but the downward trend was obvious. The Bollinger Bands shrunk down obviously. Let's look at the short-term for another hour. MACD goes up in heavy volume, KDJ three-line diverges upward, RSI turns downward, and the strength of the bulls is weak, and there is not much rebound strength. Only when the lower support point is not broken can we go long. Operation suggestion: 1880 above is not broken, empty, take profit 30-50 points, stop loss 30 points 1830-1800 below is not broken, long, strong break and take advantage of the trend, take profit 30-50 points. Stop loss 30 points The above contents are personal opinions and are for reference only. The market fluctuates greatly, and the article has a lag. To be profitable, you have to set your own rules and take full responsibility for the consequences of those rules, which is a huge responsibility. Learn, slowly build up your own feelings about the market, don't follow the trend, don't change your mind, you must establish your own rules. Being confused and losing direction in the stock market is the most terrible thing. I will share the real-time operation content of the contract in the real offer group every day, operate around short-term fluctuations, predict long-term trends, etc., with a winning rate of more than 90%, follow me to start making crazy money!
Short
by Prometheusinfinance
BTC:Can challenge 30,000Despite the US dollar and risk appetite favoring Bitcoin (BTC) last week, BTC failed to continue the strong upward trend of the previous week and entered a high-level oscillation. Technically, this week's focus is on the direction of Bitcoin breaking through the oscillation range. Bitcoin (BTC) falls into high-level oscillation amidst mixed bullish and bearish factors The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision last week met expectations with a 25 basis point increase, and the policy guidance changed from "expect to continue raising interest rates" to "expect additional policy reinforcement", which made the US dollar even weaker due to the dovish shift. However, the policy statement also emphasized the uncertainty brought by recent banking crises, coupled with Treasury Secretary Yellen's statement that "not considering providing insurance for all uninsured deposits", causing risk appetite to cool significantly that day and BTC's pullback from its intraday high point to exceed 7% at one point. However, the next day, BTC's price rebounded due to Treasury Secretary Yellen's reversal, stating that the federal government will take additional measures to stabilize the US banking system when necessary. Market risk appetite received a boost, and BTC rebounded and recovered the previous day's decline on Thursday. Following that, BTC staged a high-rise and fall on Friday. During the European session that day, the plummeting of Deutsche Bank's stock price reignited market panic. However, during the US session, the ECB President and German Chancellor came forward to calm the market, and the rebound in risk appetite drove the price of BTC to rebound, reaching a recent high of $29,380 per coin. However, the rally was short-lived, and the trend quickly gave up gains and turned downward, closing down 3% that day. The US dollar index fell 0.72% last week, and the S&P 500 index rose 1.4%. Overall, the traditional financial market environment generally supports the trend of BTC. However, BTC's performance is not outstanding, which may be related to the US official attitude. The US White House stated in last week's "President's Economic Report" that cryptocurrencies are mainly speculative investment tools and have not brought any benefits, and cryptocurrencies generally cannot function as currency like sovereign currencies. Bitcoin (BTC) trend technical analysis: focus on the oscillation range The four-hour chart shows that the price trend of Bitcoin (BTC) is in a high-level oscillation, and subsequent attention is paid to the direction of breaking through the range. On the upside, the 28,500-29,000 range is the top resistance of the range. If it can be broken, it will open up further upward space and may challenge the 30,000 mark. On the downside, the support below focuses on the 26,700-27,200 range. If it falls below, it will face further downward space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Navigation-h
BTC Slow Bleeding Could End In A Catastrophic MoveBitcoin is slowly bleeding down and with todays news it could actually get volatile. If we want to go lower before any retracement to the upside it could be all the way to 18.4 (big capitulation candle) or fill the gap (20400 to 20k) with a wick around 19.5 and bounce back up. There is a big cluster of liquidation from 22.4 to 23.4 (near 8M) which shows a possible pullback there to grab those liquidation. Bottom Line is Crash did not happen yet and is YET to happen.Longing is not recommended at all cause we could flood down. DXY is looking very strong as SPX losing power day after day. Details on Video Please support the video in anyway you can by share,boost,comment
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by pcmonk
1
BTC - Bull Market? (Gauchian Channel Analysis)Hi Guys! I love everything TA, currently its just a hobby but im using these posts to express my thoughts and solidify what ive learnt thus far. So this is not financial advice by any means, its just to challenge MY VIEWS on the status quo of whether or not we are ina bull market or bear market. Alot of my previous charts whether BTC or other asset, in my opinion has overload of info. So my aim recently is to do things simple, which has allowed me to up my charting game. Just note, BTC is my favorite asset to trade, i also believe in its tech and am extremely long term bullish BUT i don't allow biases to take over my decisions when i trade. Currently i feel like the market sentiment is leaning both bullish / bearish so i felt like digging for myself and trying to use TA to make sense of the direction. Now going to my analysis! I got 2 indicators on my chart. 1. Gauchian CHannel 2. Yellow Line - 21 EMA The chart is on the 6 day time frame -> Which i love to use, cuz it gives me more clarity for long-term/semi long term lens The chart shows interactions between the 21 EMA and the Gauchian Channel. Basically, 2 scenarios 1. Bearish which is indicated by the 21 EMA crosses downwards onto a Green Gauchian CHannel, and price action moving into channel channel. EVery single time we've done this, it has indicated as stated by previous history, WE WERE IN A BEAR MARKET. Everytime we enter the channel, price action eventually crashed & went below channel. The EMA will always move down with price below channel as well. When price action is below the channel, we are in the depths of the bear market. 2. Bullish which is indicated by the 21 EMA crossing upward into a red gauchian channel, while price action is moving into channel. Every single time we've done this,it has indicated as stated by previous history WE WERE IN A BULL MARKET. Everytime we enter the channel from below the channel, price action went into channel, it indicates the beginning stages of bull market and when we are above the channel we explode in price. ALso note, when price action moves above, to confirm price should come down to test channel as support. So, in real time - Price action has moved into the channel but a cross has NOT yet happened. But MA's are kind of a lagging indicator in that it follows the price. So since price action is in the channel, it means that the EMA will also move up along with this recent pump because its averaging the price of BTC . SO if we continue to stay above, eventually the EMA will cross above and it will indicate that the bull market has started. So technically, we are still not by this chart in a bull market. Watch this chart like a hawk! If we get this cross, we could be starting our new cycle. But there is always risk such as invalidations of previous patterns cuz ultimately we dont know what the markets will do. So pay attention to the 6 day close and movement of 21 EMA (yellow line). ALSO since there are less false flags, you can determine from this chart that: 1. selling above Gauchian channel is best time to sell 2. Buying below guachian channel is best time to buy Hope this was insightful! CHECK out my other charts on BTC . Keep an eye out for more charts like this! Let me know what yall are thinking as well! Disclaimer: This is not financial advise, i am not a financial advisor@ Any investing or trading decisions of yours should be taken with your own analysis, and always protect yourself with stop losses! THANKS.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SafofAllTrades