BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
Btctrade
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
$BTC Update - Sideways Movement AheadCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC at $84,221 support and testing, Next key resistances at $88,674 and $91,357, $81,614 current key support area, Ranging between $86,305-$82,833. Low volume on 4H, put bullish engulfing on previous 4H close but no follow up on current 4H, Last weekly close looks good with a bullish engulfing, but current weekly not looking promising for a follow thru yet. Previous daily closed bearish, RSI remains neutral on 4H, 1D and 1W. Expecting more sideways movement until $91,357 resistance is taken as support.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 82900.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 83240
First target: 85150
Second target: 86435
Third target: 87858
Bitcoin BTC price analysisThis is approximately the roadmap we have "imagined" for the coming weeks for the movement of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price:
1️⃣ The most optimistic scenario is that the OKX:BTCUSDT price stays above $76100 - 77100, which means that the “bottom” has finally been found, and we can organize at least a rebound to $94k.
2️⃣ Not a pleasant scenario, but not the worst either, is another update of the local lows of #Bitcoin to $71100 and from there a rebound to the above-mentioned $76100-77100 zone, where we will have to "looking out" again: where to go next...
3️⃣ The most pessimistic, and maybe the most realistic scenario in times of total uncertainty, when it is not clear what the "rusty can" will wake up with in. ✊
All market participants will delay their "buying" decisions as much as possible until it becomes clear whether the Fed will cut the rate or not. The next FOMC meeting is on 07.05.25.
To understand what will happen to altcoins during this time, you need to at least monitor and analyze the #BTC.D and #USDT.D indicators, which we do daily in our reviews in...
✍️ It is your right, if not your duty, to follow this plan or make your own adjustments!)
And we will be happy to read and see your charts, with your forecasts for the near future in the comments below the idea.
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE - have we left it ?This chart remains unchanged from the last time I posted it except for the addition of that yellow Dashed Arrow
As we can see, PA fell below the Fractal in Late February and ever since, we have ranged further away from it.
Does this mean we have left the fractal we have been on since November 2021 ?
Not really.
PA fell below it in 2022 due to pressures from Interest rates making companies collapse and sentiment being negative.
We have fallen below it this time purely because PA was so overbought, it needed to recover.
This can be very clearly seen on the Weekly MACD, where in 2024, we ranged for months because of the same reason.
See how on the weekly MACD, how once we reached near Neutral, we bounced back up to a New ATH and, ever since, BTC PA has ranged while waiting for the MACD to cool off..
And now we are there. MACD is in the bounce zone and has shown some strength in the last few days.
So, The Fractal
For PA to get back above that Fractal, we need PA to make a very strong push higher. and as you can see from the Bold Arrow, this is achievable by end of May if PA rises Strong and continually
form here.
I am not to sure this will happen.
We have so many Macro events destabilising the markets...
I am more inclined to think PA will hit that circle , and we will likely follow the Dashed Arrow to a cycle ATH of near 300K, by the end of the year at the latest.
This is the Path of safety.
Things can always change for the better or for the worse and so we have to be ready for all occasions.
But BULLISH is the word - BUT BITCOIN ON SPOT, HOLD IT AND RELAX
"Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Supply Zone Short Strategy"🔵 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance Area)
💥 Strong selling area around 85,800 - 87,800 USD
Historically, price got rejected here
Expect sellers to step in again
✍️ ENTRY POINT
📍 Just below the supply zone (~85,889.89)
Ideal for short position setup
Watch for bearish candlestick patterns for confirmation
🛑 STOP LOSS
❌ Placed above the supply zone at 87,796.97
Keeps risk under control if breakout happens
🎯 TARGET POINT (Support Area)
📉 Around 78,000 USD
Marked by previous support and structure
Great Risk-to-Reward ratio
📐 PATTERN WATCH
Looks like a harmonic pattern (maybe Gartley or Bat) 🦇
Suggests reversal from point D
Also resembles a rising wedge, which is bearish
📊 EMA (9-period)
🧭 Price hovering above the 9 EMA (84,704)
A break below it = bearish confirmation
Summary
🔻 Bearish bias
🛒 Short near supply zone
❌ SL above 87,800
🎯 TP around 78,000
"BTC/USD Short Setup: Supply Zone Rejection & 5% Drop Target!"BTC/USD 15-Min Chart Analysis
Trade Setup by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
---
🔼 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance)
🟣 Price Area: $83,427.80 – $84,313.06
This is where sellers might step in
Price is expected to reverse or slow down here
🔽 ENTRY POINT
🔵 Sell Entry: $83,427.80
Entering short trade just below the supply zone
Aiming to catch a reversal move down
⛔ STOP LOSS
🔴 Stop: $84,313.06
Placed above the supply zone
Limits risk in case of breakout upward
❗ Protects the trade from loss beyond this point
🎯 TARGET / TAKE PROFIT
🟣 Target: $79,071.05
Major support zone / demand area
Potential Drop: -$4,434.27 (-5.31%)
Big reward zone if price dumps from supply
📈 Trendline & Moving Averages
🔵 Blue = Likely 50 EMA
🔴 Red = Likely 200 EMA
Bullish momentum leading into the supply zone
Trendline supports the prior uptrend, now testing reversal
💡 Conclusion
✅ Trade Bias: Bearish (short)
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5 (Great!)
If price reacts at supply, this setup could pay big
But if it breaks up, stop loss keeps you safe
BITCOIN - We've done it, We Broke over resistance and tested
WE ARE FREE
The dashed line is that line of resistance we been stuck under since ATH
Last week, we broke away from the Fib circle that has also held us down recently and we Shot up to theline of resistance and we broke over it.
~The 4 hour shows us more detail
You can see how we have broken over previously and Lost the line as support.
This time, we seem to be holding and the 1 hour chart shows this in more detail
However, we should take note of the MACD, that on lower time frames is now falling bearish on 1 hour and about to on the 4 hour.
We are Almost vertainly going to come back down and test that dashed line as support again.
I expect a possible range of PA 79K -80K lowest and then hopefully a stronger bouce to take us over that line os resistance we are surrently under.
Time will tell.....BUT I FEEL GOOD ;-)
#BTCUSDT shows signs of reversal📉 SHORT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $82,125.0
🛡 Stop loss: $82,976.0
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
✅ Overview:
➡️ The BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart shows a rising wedge — a typical bearish pattern.
➡️ Price hit the upper wedge boundary and started to decline, breaking support.
➡️ A second top (Top 2) has formed on weakening volume, signaling a possible reversal.
➡️ The POC at $82,490.8 has been broken — price is holding below it, strengthening the bearish case.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $81,430.0
💎 TP 2: $80,887.0
💎 TP 3: $80,485.0
📢 Additional scenario notes:
📢 Entry activates upon breakdown and consolidation below $82,125.
📢 Watch for increased volume at key TP levels for confirmation.
📢 A move above $82,976.0 invalidates the setup — stop placed just above key resistance and wedge top.
🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P shows signs of reversal — a corrective move to the downside is expected.
BTC-----Sell around 81600, target 80500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 11:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative and a single positive. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was dead cross. However, the price fluctuation seemed large, but in fact there was no amplitude. Yesterday, the price fell, and the support rebounded in the early morning, basically smoothing out the decline. In this way, the current trend is still in correction, but it does not mean that you can take risks to go long. I think shorting at high levels is still the best choice; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the decline in the European session continued in the US session yesterday, but it did not continue in the early morning but was a correction of the trend. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is running in a golden cross. Yesterday, the high point of the opening of the decline was near the 82,500 area. Today, we still rely on this position for defense.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound of the 81,600 area, stop loss at the 82,100 area, and target the 80,500 area;
Bitcoin Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout Targeting $87K!🔹 Key Levels Identified:
📌 Target Point: 87,008.21 USD 🏁🔵
👉 Expected price move (+9.07%) 🚀
📌 Entry Point: 79,719.00 USD ✅
👉 Suggested buying level in demand zone 🏦
📌 Stop Loss: 78,213.25 USD ❌🔻
👉 Risk management level 📉
📊 Technical Analysis:
📈 Trendline Support:
🔵 The price bounced off the trendline 📊, confirming an uptrend 📈
🔵 Demand Zone:
🟦 Marked blue area = Buyer interest 📊
💰 Expected reversal zone if price retests
📊 Moving Average (DEMA 9):
🔸 82,343.85 USD (current level)
🔺 Price slightly below DEMA ➝ possible bullish reversal 🚀
⚡ Trade Setup:
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
🟢 Potential profit: +7,220.76 USD
🔴 Risk: -1,500 USD
📊 Favorable trade setup with high reward vs low risk ✅
✔️ Momentum Confirmation:
🟢 Above 79,719 USD = 🚀 Bullish breakout
🔴 Below 78,213.25 USD = ❌ Stop Loss triggered
🔮 Conclusion:
🔥 Bullish setup if price holds demand zone!
🚀 Target: 87,008 USD
⚠️ Manage risk with stop loss! 📉
BITCOIN weekly and 50 SMA - has VERY good newsAs you can easily See, despite all the unsettled News and events in recent days, the current Week candle has returned to GREEN having hit that 50 SMA.
To remind you, we began the week with a RED candle BELOW that 50 SMA.
This is Very important for sentiment. We bounced off that 50 back in 2024 and went to ATH.
To remind you, we have hit the 50 at the same time as the weekly MACD has entered a Bounce Zone, very near Neutral.
The MACD chart above shows you that the Histogram bar has also returned to White, showing a possible turn of favour from Bearish to Bullish.
BITCOIN IS SO READY TO GO
We just need the investors that are pouring money into the Snail called GOLD, to realise the Future is BITCOIN
We wait
BTCUSDT | Waiting for Precision – Not Just Price LevelsMany were tempted to short BTCUSDT around the $83,000 region, and I was closely watching it too. However, as always, I don’t take trades based solely on price levels. What separates professional trading from guesswork is the data behind the scenes, and in this case, CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) did not show any bearish divergence. That’s why I completely passed on this level without hesitation.
🎯 What’s Next?
Upper Blue Box is My Focus: I’ve now shifted my attention to the next key upper blue box, where I’ll be looking for serious short opportunities, but only if LTF confirmations such as orderflow shifts, CDV divergences, or volume traps appear.
Why I Wait: Just because a price hits a “zone” doesn’t mean we react. Professional traders wait for confluence, confirmation, and controlled risk.
🔒 Smart Trader Checklist:
No CDV divergence = No trade.
Wait for price to enter the upper blue box and react.
Short only with proper lower time frame confirmation.
If price breaks above with strong momentum and retest, I will not insist on shorts. I will shift and look for longs.
💡 I trade with precision and patience—not emotion. These levels are not random lines, but key zones mapped with advanced tools and strict discipline. That’s why my followers consistently win, and why my success rate is among the highest you’ll find here.
If you want to trade with clarity, confidence, and data-backed precision, just keep following me. You’ll see the difference.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup🔵 Key Levels:
🎯 Target Point: 87,050.22 (🔼 Expected upward move)
🔵 Support Zone: 79,833.82 (🛡️ Strong demand area)
🔴 Current Price: 82,254.27
📊 Analysis:
🔵 RBS + RBR Zone (🔄 Role Reversal Support & Rally Base Rally) - Possible entry point for a long position.
🟠 Stop Loss: Below 79,833.82 (🚨 Risk Management)
🟣 Resistance Zone: Near 83,000 (🔄 Possible short-term pullback)
📈 Strategy:
1️⃣ Price might retrace to the blue zone (support) before continuing upward.
2️⃣ If it holds, 🚀 potential rally towards 87,050.22 🎯
3️⃣ If it breaks below support, ⚠️ possible downside risk.
✅ Conclusion:
A bullish setup with a 7.45% profit target 📊
Risk managed with a stop loss below support ⚠️
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $85,477 with 5.62% UpThe price has recently surged above both the 30 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), signaling a strong bullish move.
The EMAs are beginning to turn upward, particularly the 30 EMA, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
Key Levels Identified
Entry Zone (Purple Support Zone):
Around $80,105 – a potential buy zone after a pullback.
Labeled with STOP LOSS, indicating the invalidation level if price drops below this zone.
Target Zone (Purple Resistance Zone):
Around $85,477 – this is the target level, marked as “EA TARGET POINT”.
Offers a potential move of +5.62% or 4,551.83 points.
Price Action
Price broke above a previous resistance (now support) and has pulled back slightly.
The projected move suggests a bullish continuation after a minor pullback and consolidation.
Risk-Reward
Good risk-reward ratio implied with the large gap between the stop loss and target.
Stop loss is tight, just below the purple support zone (~$80,105).
Projection
The blue lines and annotations suggest a bullish play, with an expected upward movement after retesting the support.
✅ Possible Trade Idea
Buy Zone: ~$80,105 (on a confirmed retest)
Stop Loss: Slightly below $80,105
Target: ~$85,477
Expected Move: +5.62%
🔍 Additional Notes
Keep an eye on price behavior around the support zone—confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern or rejection wick) strengthens the entry.
The strong move leading to the breakout suggests high momentum, which could mean limited pullback.
News or macro developments could invalidate technicals—be aware of external factors.
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k
Current price: $77700
Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region
Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection.
if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
#BTCUSDT at a Turning Point: Volume, Pattern & Macro Analysis🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is potentially entering the final phase of a correction, but key levels have not yet been broken or confirmed — caution and reliance on validated signals are essential.
✅ Technical Analysis:
📈 Overall Timeframe Context:
➡️ 1H (hourly chart): A “double bottom” structure is forming, suggesting potential for a local rebound. Volume is gradually increasing at the second reversal point (Bottom 2), confirming growing buyer interest. A resistance zone is forming near the POC (83,236.9), but the price has yet to firmly break above 77,000.
➡️ 4H (4-hour chart): A more distinct “double top” pattern (Top 1 / Top 2) has already played out. Price broke down from the sideways range, falling below the lower boundary of the rectangle. It is currently trading near the key support level of 74,907.8 with an attempt to bounce back upward.
➡️ 1D (daily chart): A key observation is the breakdown of the ascending wedge, followed by the formation of a falling wedge — a potentially bullish pattern. The price is testing the lower edge of this wedge. A sharp increase in volume may indicate the start of an accumulation phase.
📍 Key Point:
➡️ The 74,907.8 level has been tested twice with strong volume response, reinforcing its role as a critical support zone.
➡️ A large liquidity cluster around the 83,000–84,000 POC zone could act as a price magnet in the event of a reversal.
📊 Volume Profile Analysis:
➡️ Across all timeframes, the POC is shifting toward the upper part of the range, confirming that buyers previously dominated the market. Redistribution now appears to be underway.
➡️ Most of the volume activity has been concentrated in the 83,000–85,000 range — if price returns to this zone, strong resistance is expected.
🔄 Market Structure:
➡️ A transition is underway from a distribution phase to a potential accumulation phase.
➡️ The downtrend remains active on the daily chart, but there are signs of momentum slowing and attempts to form a bottom.
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🌐 Macroeconomic Outlook:
➡️ In early April, discussions about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut are expected to continue — a moderately positive factor for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P remains in the spotlight for institutional investors (with ongoing inflows into BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ETFs), though geopolitical uncertainty and dollar liquidity pressure persist.
🏦 Capital Flows:
➡️ Trading volume remains high, but there is a lack of significant inflows, suggesting that major players may be adopting a wait-and-see stance.
📢 Recommendations for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P :
📢 Closely monitor the price reaction in the 74,900–75,000 zone — a breakout or confirmation of support will determine short-term direction.
📢 The 78,279.2 level is a key resistance — its breakout could attract new buyers.
📢 Watch how price behaves within the falling wedge (1D); if the structure tightens and volume increases, a breakout may follow.
📢 Keep monitoring macroeconomic events — particularly U.S. inflation data and upcoming Fed meetings.
📢 Pay close attention to volume activity at local lows — this may be the key to spotting a trend reversal.
BTC/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup with SBR Rejection🔵 Key Zones & Levels:
🔷 SBR Zone (Support ➡ Resistance):
Price Range: ~$81,000–$83,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31 (Just above resistance)
Expecting sellers to step in here if price retests this level
🟠 Mid-Range Zone:
Current price is consolidating just below SBR zone
Could form a lower high before dropping
🟦 Target Zone (Support Area):
🎯 Target Price: ~$75,000
Previous demand area – price bounced hard from here before
🔁 Trade Plan:
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry: Near current price or after retest of SBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31
🎯 Target: $75,000 (approx -8.33%)
✅ Summary:
Risk-Reward: Appears solid (R:R > 2:1)
🕵️♂️ Watch for: Fakeouts or rejections in the SBR zone
🔻 Potential Move: -6,804 points if plan plays out