BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaRecently, BTC has experienced downward pressure. A bearish pattern is evident on the 4-hour chart. At present, it has traded into a key support zone and there’s a strong possibility we see it pullback into a resistance zone. The video discusses the prevailing trend, recent price movements, overall market structure, and presents several trading ideas for your consideration.
Please remember, the content provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, highlighting the importance of consistently applying strong risk management strategies.
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Don't Expect a Get-Rich-Quick Scheme with Spot Bitcoin ETFsDon't Expect a Get-Rich-Quick Scheme: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Long-Term Strategy
The recent approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC in January 2024 sent ripples of excitement through the cryptocurrency community. Many envisioned a meteoric rise in Bitcoin's price, fueled by a sudden influx of institutional capital. However, a month later, reality presents a more nuanced picture.
This lack of immediate price explosion shouldn't disappoint long-term investors. While the short-term impact may be muted, spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a significant step forward for cryptocurrency adoption. Here's why the initial price bump might not be the most important indicator:
Gradual Embrace by Institutions: Institutional investors are known for their cautious approach. While some might have dipped their toes into the market with the ETF launch, others will likely take a more measured approach. These investors will meticulously analyze the market and strategically allocate funds over time. This gradual adoption will likely lead to a steadier, more sustainable price increase in the long run.
Regulation Breeds Trust: The SEC's approval signifies a growing level of comfort with Bitcoin from a regulatory standpoint. This newfound legitimacy fosters trust among institutional investors who were previously hesitant due to the perceived risk associated with the unregulated nature of the crypto market. Increased trust paves the way for long-term, reliable investment.
Building the Infrastructure: Spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a critical step in building a robust infrastructure for Bitcoin trading. These investment vehicles offer a familiar and regulated framework for institutions accustomed to traditional markets. This improved infrastructure will attract a wider pool of investors over time, driving long-term price appreciation.
These factors highlight the importance of looking beyond the short-term price fluctuations. Spot Bitcoin ETFs offer a secure, regulated entry point for institutional investors, fostering trust and laying the groundwork for sustained growth.
Beyond the Hype: A Long-Term Play
The crypto market is known for its volatility, and short-term price movements can be unpredictable. Focusing solely on immediate gains can lead to impulsive decisions and missed opportunities. Investors should instead focus on the long-term implications of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These instruments represent a crucial piece of the puzzle for mainstream adoption. They provide a gateway for institutional capital, leading to a more mature and robust cryptocurrency market.
The true impact of these ETFs will likely unfold over a longer timeframe. As the infrastructure matures and institutional adoption broadens, we can expect to see a more stable and potentially significant price appreciation in the years to come. Spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a marathon, not a sprint, for investors seeking long-term value in the cryptocurrency market.
Remember: Don't chase quick gains based solely on the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs. This is a long-term play with the potential to reshape the future of the cryptocurrency landscape.
If we skip the summer then 135k soonI am tentatively looking at this summer that we will probably skip it and we will have the peak in place at the end of 2024 already at the beginning of 2024, so if I am 99% wrong again, we will soon be testing 44k and then 69k.
Fasten your seat belts, find the puke bags and enjoy trading safely =D
vVv
BITCOIN: Target 100k+, IF this happensBitcoin just broke under an important support area of 60k and hit 56k.
However, if you look at the chart you can see that we went straight back up to 64k, making a FULL retracement.
If you look closer you can notice the exact same pattern happened 25'th of January, followed by a week of sideways movement and then the breakout that sent price all the way to 72k.
Last move happened in two big moves: From the first breakout: 42k to 52k, followed by another week of sideways movement. Then the last push from 52k to 72k.
Respectively, this represented a 23% move from 42k to 52k. Then 10 days of consolidation in a flag pattern. Followed by a 38% move from 52k up to 72k.
If this repeats:
First target would be around 78k.
Second target around 108k.
However we could reach much higher than 108k since Bitcoin moves exponentially during bull runs.
My plan to know when to exit, is simply to look out for 3+ days of sideways movement and if price makes new flag patterns (tight ranges), then simply re-enter the position again.
For this idea to be valid, look out for:
1. Price to stay within this range of 62k - 66k in the coming 3 - 5 days, before entering *Better entry, but a slightly lower probability.
2. And/Or wait for price to break out from 66k after 3 - 5 days, before entering *Worse entry, but higher probability.
Good luck everyone!
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BTC moving in bullish flag Hey there traders!
Some thoughts about BTC.
We can see the movement in bullish flag, but with descending volumes! So I think that we will finish the last Elliot wave and will continue grow and maybe break resistance in May-June with hitting ATH.
Now we can try to trade the last Elliot wave with TP at support box. SL can be a bit upper the flag line.
What's your thoughts guys?
IMPORTANT! Always follow the RM strategy to prevent losses. Do not trade more than 3% of your deposit and stay in control of emotions!
BTCUSD: sell
After a sharp rebound, the rise has slowed down near the resistance level. The indicators need to be repaired. Pay attention to the support between 62000 and 61300. If the support is effective, go long. For the current transaction, shorting is safer and the probability of making money is higher.
Bullish only above $60k BTCBTC i stuck in the resistance zone at $59.000/$60.000. In my previous idea, i marked this area as a key resistance zone and in fact, BTC is having some difficulties to break this level. If Bitcoin will fail to go over there, we can expect a drop in the coming days, as i was previously thinking. Otherwise, if Bitcoin will break above $60.000 we can expect a rapid pump that could lead the price at $62.000/64.000
Analysis of BTC/USDT Weekly ChartThis analysis examines both the short-term and long-term trends for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) using the weekly chart.
Short-Term Trend:
Based on the current bearish sentiment, I believe there's a high possibility of BTC experiencing a further drop in the short term.
A potential support level could be found around the intersection of the 21-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level (highlighted by the yellow circle on the chart).
Long-Term Trend:
Despite the short-term weakness, the overall trend remains bearish on the weekly timeframe. This is evidenced by the price being below major moving averages (10-week, 20-week, etc.) and the bearish Ichimoku Cloud... BUT
Potential Long-Term Opportunity:
If BTC finds support at the mentioned confluence zone (21-week EMA and 38.20% Fibonacci level), a potential long-term buying opportunity might emerge.
In this scenario, the price could target a range between $80,000 minimum and potentially reach $100,000 initially, marking the completion of the third bullish wave.
Additional Considerations:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and should be combined with other factors like fundamental news and on-chain metrics for a more comprehensive understanding.
Market conditions are dynamic, and these targets and support levels are estimates. Always practice proper risk management when trading.
This version clarifies my analysis and it's just a possibility and not financial advice.
BTC: bedt support📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 59570
🛑Stop Loss: 61192
🎯Take Profit: 58272 - 56468 - 54908 - 52987
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Bitcoin BTC price follows a familiar routeCurrently, crypto market users are divided into two camps:
1️⃣ - to the mooon with the first stop at 100k and 2️⃣ - the beginning of a correction to at least 50k.
Two ultra-radical camps that will find 101 reasons why it should be exactly as they "want and expect" and not otherwise.
On the #BTCUSDT chart, we have copied and displayed the fractal of #Bitcoin price behavior for May-October 2020. That is, how the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price behaved before and after the previous halving.
And this scenario is not bad: the #BTCUSD price is entering a prolonged consolidation phase at range $65,000-73,000 during the summer of 2024.
At this time, the capital of large funds will be able to partially and smoothly flow into crypto projects with a smaller capitalization.
What can this process provoke? That's right - the alt-season
Are you intrigued?) We are waiting for 50 likes and at least 10 comments from you, and then we will supplement the idea with the BTC.Dominance, USDT.D charts and the total crypto market capitalization chart which clearly show how this process can look like.
#BTC/USDT Keep an eye on this level!#Bitcoin is eyeing the box, folks!
We've got MA support chilling around $59.8K—could be seeing a retest real soon.
Remember, if it dips below this MA on the daily, that's our cue to reconsider our plays. 👀
Remember, alts are just waiting on Bitcoin's next move. We might be in a snooze phase now, but that's exactly when the market likes to shake things up with some wild swings when you least expect it.
Stay alert! 🔥
#cryptocurrencies
Waiting for a reaction BTCActually i am waiting the price to enter the support area at $60.800/$60.000. There i will look for a trade, considering that we have seen strong rejection when price reached this level. I think we will have more chances to enter shorts, i will keep you updated as soon as i will see a clear direction.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC $66,961 resisted strong failing to hold $66,323 support as expected, currently testing given support area $64,344. RSI on 1D and 4H looks fine, needs push here, last 1D closed good but current 1D weak on volume, $62,580 lowest support from here, expect resistance around $65,521. Watch given S/R
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Nicely gained $64,344 support, currently testing $66,323 support - time to see if it can hold it, seems unlikely judging by current RSI on 4h, but last 1D close looks great and RSI on 1D also good. $64,344 next support from here. $68,546 next key resistance from here. Watch given S/R
BITCOIN POTENTIAL CHANGE IN STRUCTURE (18h)Based on historical backtest of trade strategy.
18H BTC HEIKINASHI
If the candle closes at or above the indicated value of the purple line as shown,
typical trade is 23 bars with and average profit of 8.18%.
This would be a longer term/higher time frame change in structure for BITCOIN.
60k double bottom is still in uptrend. Lower time frames are consolidating, then higher.
Currently the price has traded into the the 66k zone, nearly confirmed in the 50% retracement of the Fib. from the 73.6k high. An 18hr buy signal would conclude 70-72k price targets and likely new all time high possibilities.
*** STILL PENDING AN 18HR CANDLE CLOSE ABOVE THE PURPLE LINE *****
Will update if / when the signal is initiated
feel free to message for signal settings
BTCUSD LongThis crypto coin has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks since it hit its ATH. Currently, the price has re-bounded from the lower support line, and I anticipate that the bullish trend might continue till it hits a very strong support zone at 70700.
My entry is at 65600, SL at 62800 ,and TP at 71000. My R : R for this trade is 1 : 2.
Kindly remember to risk 1 - 3% of your account