Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Btctrade
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
Bitcoin's market share rises despite decline in active usersThe data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has been rising steadily since 2022. It also highlights that Bitcoin's market share of active users has fallen over time. The data shows that on-chain activity in Ethereum and other layer 1 (L1) networks has increased.
OnChain data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has increased since 2022, and the upward trend is the longest in history. The data also shows that Bitcoin's active user market share has fallen as on-chain activity on the Ethereum network has increased.
Amid declining users, Bitcoin dominance has increased;
Matrixport shows that Bitcoin dominance has increased to a new high of over 61%. The analytics platform put the dominance higher, which was stronger than expected in the US jobs report. It said that the increased job rate indicates that the economy is recovering. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin at $80,000. A Defining Crossroads: $65,000 or $120,000?Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture at $80,000, where market participants are engaged in a decisive battle between bullish momentum and bearish resistance. The outcome of this struggle will shape the next major move, with two distinct scenarios emerging.
Scenario 1: A Retracement Toward $65,000
If Bitcoin fails to maintain its current momentum, profit-taking and increased selling pressure could lead to a decline toward $65,000. This level serves as a crucial support zone, where demand may re-emerge to stabilize the price before any potential recovery. A break below this threshold would signal a deeper correction, potentially delaying any further upside in the near term.
Scenario 2: A Breakout Toward $120,000
For Bitcoin to sustain a move toward $120,000 by late March or early April, the market must see uninterrupted buying pressure over the next 10 days. There can be no hesitation—buyers need to absorb selling liquidity consistently, preventing any major pullbacks. The key level to watch in this scenario is $109,000, a major resistance zone that has the potential to act as the final barrier before BTC enters price discovery. A clean break and consolidation above this level would significantly increase the probability of an accelerated move toward $120,000.
At this stage, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point, and the direction it takes from here will set the tone for the coming weeks. Whether it experiences a healthy correction or an explosive rally depends entirely on how market participants respond at these critical price levels.
ETH at a Critical Support Level! Market Poised for a Big Move?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is currently trading at a 261-week-old support level, making this a crucial zone for the market.
Earlier, ETH dipped to $1,754, a price level that has historically been significant. This could very well mark the bottom for ETH and potentially for altcoins. However, it's still too early to confirm.
The next two weekly candles will be key, if this support holds, we could see a strong altcoin recovery in the coming months.
Macro Factors at Play:
The broader geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape isn't great, despite this potential setup. Markets in the US, China, and India are facing turbulence, and the crypto market is experiencing low volume and liquidity. These factors could impact price action in the short term.
That said, as the chart develops over the next few weeks, we might witness significant shifts in market sentiment.
Sooner or later, BTC will make its move—either consolidating or attempting to reclaim $90K—while altcoins could start rebounding rapidly. When this happens, the market could turn bullish in a matter of weeks.
Stay Alert, The Opportunity Is Coming:
Now is the time to pay close attention to the charts and fundamentals. Stay sharp, monitor key levels, and prepare for potential opportunities.
I'll be sharing a handpicked list of altcoins that could perform well in the coming days.
DYOR , Not Financial Advice.
Stay tuned.
Do show your support buy hitting that like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
The impact of the decline in Tesla's stock price on the BTCUSDThe change in Tesla's stock price has an impact on BTCUSD, mainly in the following aspects:
Investor sentiment transmission: As a highly influential listed company, a significant drop in Tesla's stock price will undermine investors' confidence in technology and innovative assets. This negative sentiment may spread to the cryptocurrency market, causing investors to lose confidence in investing in Bitcoin. Consequently, they may sell off Bitcoin, leading to a decline in the price of BTCUSD. For example, on March 10, 2025, Tesla's stock price plummeted by more than 15%, closing at $222.15, marking its worst single-day performance since 2020. During the same period, the price of Bitcoin also saw a significant drop.
Fund flow transfer: When Tesla's stock price drops, investors may withdraw funds from Tesla stocks and related investment portfolios to seek other more attractive investment opportunities. If there are no obvious other investment targets with high returns and low risks in the market, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin, pushing up the price of BTCUSD. However, if the overall market risk appetite decreases, funds are more likely to flow into traditional safe-haven assets, such as gold and bonds, rather than Bitcoin, resulting in a decline in the price of Bitcoin.
BTCUSD sell @84000-84500
tp: 78500-78000
BTCUSD Buy @78000-78500
tp: 82000-82500
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Heiken Ashi Bitcoin chart shows us near Bottom of Range I have posted this chart before so this is an UPDATE
As we can see, PA has come down and now bumped into the rising line of long term support and at the expected % of drop ( -24 )
Does this mean that PA will bounce ?
NO but it does have a higher chance of doing so as the lower Timef rames are now oversold.
The weekly MACD is still falling Bearish and has a few more weeks to go before reaching Neutral.
The Lower Oversold time frames should give PA the energy to rise off this trend line and aim towards Range high
However, as we saw in 2023, PA can drop below and so we need to remain cautious and watch PA closely.
Tomorrow , March 12, we have the USA inflation data being released and this will most likely act as a catalyst to a move in either direction, depending on the data
So, Hang on , Be optimistic while being cautious.. Bitcoin is at a turning point....We are just notto sure in which direction.
Cold thinking on Bitcoin's "pullback moment"This morning, Bitcoin prices fluctuated again, falling below the $77,000 mark and currently fluctuating around $80,000. The market seems to have entered the "pullback moment" again. Faced with price fluctuations, I believe many friends are thinking about the same question:
Is it "getting off the train to avoid risks" or "entering the market at a low point" now?
This question seems simple, but it is actually complicated. Especially in the cryptocurrency market, short-term fluctuations are drastic, and various information noises are intertwined, which can easily make people lose their way. When we are in the "pullback moment", we need a calm thinking, and we should take our eyes off the price fluctuations in front of us and put them into the larger "trend" and "cycle" framework to examine.
Let's take a closer look at what a trend is and what a cycle is.
1. What are trends and cycles?
To understand any market, we should first distinguish between the two key concepts of "trend" and "cycle", and the crypto market is no exception.
Trend: Trend is the long-term direction of the development of things and a grand and lasting force. It represents the most essential and core trend of things, just like a surging river, once formed, it is difficult to reverse.
Cycle: The cycle is the short-term fluctuation in the development of things, and it is the rhythmic change of swinging around the trend line.
Simply put, the cycle is in the trend. However, simple inclusion is not enough to express the complex relationship between them. If the "trend" is compared to the trunk of a tree, the "cycle" is like the rings on the trunk.
When 96% of the world's population does not yet hold Bitcoin, when sovereign funds begin to include crypto assets in their balance sheets, and when blockchain technology becomes a new battlefield for the game between major powers - this galloping "digital ark" has just sailed out of the dock where it was built. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Perfect bounce off the 2;272 Fib - we need to stay above
Bitcoin retraced down to 76573 usd and this is just below the 2.272 fib extension line at 78930.
Previously, PA had dropped to this area at 78187 on 28 Feb
We can slao see how on 9th Nov 2024, PA has found this line ot be resistance but managed to break through, leading to the cueent ATH
This is why we really do not want to loose this area as support and I believe th ebulls will try and keep it best they can
However, the Bears are out in Force in many forms.
To aid the Bulls, we have Pa oversold in many time frames on RSI and MACD
This could give support while we continue to wait for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral
We have a few more weeks to wait and so the question is, can the Bulls hold up ?
For me, now we have hit what I hope is the Bottom rung of the ladder in this Range, we now Bounce up higher - But this will not h appen untill tomorrow maybe, which is when we get the USA inflation data, pointing towards interest rate decisions.
Which I believe will not get cut anymore this year...But that is OK - it is stable.
But we have to wait and see how PA reacts.
Be on huiard and Cautious.
Tips to make a profit of 5000+ on BTCUSDShort-term accurate signal analysis shows support near 76300. The current price rebounded to a maximum of 82000, with a profit margin of 5000+. The current price has rebounded to a maximum of 82,000, and the profit margin has reached 5,000+. There is no chance or luck in the transaction, and only strength can lead to victory.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCToday's strategyShort - term Trend
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating significantly. On March 11, it rebounded from the oversold area but struggled to rise when facing the resistance level. If the bulls can continue to exert force and break through the current resistance level of $80,375.59, it may further climb to $84,119.82. If it fails to break through, it may decline again and even fall below the key support level of $76,605.75.
Long - term Trend
From a long - term perspective, since its inception, Bitcoin has generally shown an upward - trending price, despite experiencing several significant pullbacks on the way. Some financial institutions and experts are also optimistic about the long - term value of Bitcoin. For example, Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2028.
Market Sentiment and Capital Flow Analysis
Market Sentiment
Investors' attitudes towards Bitcoin are divided. On one hand, companies like MicroStrategy continue to increase their Bitcoin purchases, demonstrating the firm confidence of some investors in its long - term value. On the other hand, the market's sharp fluctuations have also made some investors worried and cautious, remaining on the sidelines.
Yesterday, I bought near 79,000, and then the lowest fell near 76500, and then increased the position at 77000, and now sell at 81500, waiting for the next buy point
BTCUSD sell @81500-82000
tp: 78000-78500
BTCUSD Buy @77500-78000
tp: 81500-82000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BTCUSD latest important newsThe U.S. government recently announced that it will not sell nearly 200,000 Bitcoins obtained from the Silk Road case. Instead, these holdings will be included in the strategic reserve.
The decision eased concerns about a potential large-scale sell-off that could add further pressure to the market. Meanwhile, large investors, often referred to as “whales,” continue to accumulate Bitcoin despite the market’s continued volatility.
Some market observers believe this may be a sign of confidence in the asset’s long-term potential. However, the continued volatility shows that uncertainty remains a key factor in the current crypto landscape. COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin's November Low: Recession Fears, and Volatility
Bitcoin's recent slump, dipping below $80,000 to levels not seen since November, has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency market. This downturn, fueled by heightened recession fears and a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, has triggered a wave of analysis and speculation. While some experts predict further corrections, others point to potential catalysts for a resurgence. Amidst this uncertainty, South Korea's ambitious push for a Bitcoin reserve and the burgeoning $BTCBULL presale add intriguing layers to the narrative.
The primary driver behind Bitcoin's decline is the growing apprehension of a global economic recession. Persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have created a climate of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets. This risk-off sentiment has weighed heavily on Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset class.
Adding to the complexity of the situation is the ongoing tension between Bitcoin and central banks. As one expert noted, Bitcoin is "playing chicken with central banks" as the dollar experiences fluctuations. This dynamic underscores the fundamental debate surrounding Bitcoin's role as a potential hedge against traditional financial systems. The recent volatility surge following Donald Trump's comments on a Bitcoin reserve and the options expiry further exemplifies this tense relationship.
Despite the bearish sentiment, there are glimmers of optimism. South Korea's ambitious plan to establish a Bitcoin reserve has captured the attention of the crypto community. This move, if realized, could signal a significant shift in the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional players and governments. The implications are far-reaching, potentially bolstering Bitcoin's legitimacy as a store of value and a strategic asset.
The $BTCBULL presale, emerging amidst this volatile landscape, presents an interesting case study. In a market characterized by uncertainty, presales offer investors the opportunity to gain early access to potentially high-growth projects. However, they also carry inherent risks, and their success depends on a multitude of factors, including market conditions, project fundamentals, and community support. The $BTCBULL presale’s ability to attract investors during this period of market downturn will be a good indicator of overall market sentiment. Should it succeed, it may indicate that despite the general bearishness, there is still strong interest in projects that are perceived to be innovative, or to offer a unique value proposition.
The current trading range of $78,000 to $82,000 reflects the market's indecision. Bullish momentum has clearly faded, leaving traders grappling with the implications of shifting macroeconomic conditions. The volatility witnessed in recent days underscores the need for caution and strategic decision-making.
Furthermore, the impact of regulatory developments cannot be ignored. Governments worldwide are grappling with the challenge of regulating cryptocurrencies, and any significant regulatory changes could have a profound impact on Bitcoin's price and adoption. The ongoing debate surrounding stablecoins, DeFi, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) adds another layer of complexity to the market.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent fall to November lows is a reflection of the broader economic uncertainties and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. While recession fears and bearish predictions dominate the headlines, South Korea's ambitious Bitcoin reserve plan and the $BTCBULL presale offer glimpses of potential future growth. Investors must navigate this complex landscape with caution, carefully considering the interplay of macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. The current volatility serves as a reminder of the need for thorough research and a long-term perspective. Whether Bitcoin retests lower support levels or stages a comeback remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market will continue to be a dynamic and unpredictable space.
El Salvador Increases Bitcoin Reserves Despite IMF RestrictionsDespite IMF restrictions, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment continues to grow and expand, demonstrating President Nayib Bukele’s current strong commitment to cryptocurrency policy. At the time of writing, the Central American country has managed to increase its Bitcoin holdings to 6,111.18 BTC, worth approximately $504 million in current markets, while also engaging in complex relationships with various major international financial institutions.
El Salvador’s government has persisted and even accelerated its Bitcoin accumulation strategy despite an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, which has significantly restricted its cryptocurrency activities. The December 2022 deal, which was established after lengthy negotiations, involves a $1.4 billion loan as part of a broader financial package of more than $3.5 billion. ]
At the time of writing, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment has catalyzed and spearheaded an increase from 6,072 BTC in February to 6,111.18 BTC in March 2025. This strategic acquisition, such as it is, demonstrates the government’s unwavering resolve to maintain and optimize its cryptocurrency policy despite external pressure from various major financial institutions as well as a number of key regulators that have implemented several restrictions in the current market environment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin crash to $80K is normal, not the start of a major declinData confirms that the latest Bitcoin crash may be the result of a natural correction, rather than the start of a major downtrend.
Bitcoin has once again fallen below $80,000 for the second time this year, sparking investor panic. As fear spreads, many are questioning whether this drop marks the end of the Bitcoin bull run or if it is just a natural correction in the ongoing uptrend. The decline in peak losses shows Bitcoin in a natural correction; in recent analysis, even though Bitcoin has revisited the $80K range, the extent of realized losses is still significantly lower than previous corrections.
While CRYPTOCAP:BTC has revisited the $8.0K range, peak losses are still significantly lower than the late February to early March correction.
Total peak losses:
February 25: $933M
February 26: $897M
February 28: $933M
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
btc long idea due to fvga strategic long position on Bitcoin (BTC) at $78,000, following a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms at $76,000. This gap suggests a potential price inefficiency, which you believe could trigger a bullish move in BTC’s price. The setup implies that the price will fill the gap and push higher. To manage risk, you’ve set a stop loss at $75,000, providing a clear level for potential exit in case the market moves against your position. Your target for this trade is $96,000, where you expect significant resistance or a strong price movement to materialize. Overall, the trade offers a solid risk-reward setup with the expectation of capturing gains as Bitcoin rallies from the FVG level.
Bitcoin Weekly Closed RED and scared some people .What now ? That was a horrible week for many
Uncertainty for those that do not understand Bitcoin and the JOY of buying more at a cheaper price for others.
I will admit to thinking PA was going ot bounce over the weekend and then get down to where we are now..It went down over the wweekend.. I do not mind... My SPOT buy orders began triggering.
So, on a slightly longer term, The Triangle that PA was in was always going ot squeeze PA to early.
Why ?
Because, as ever, we are waiting for the weekly MACD to Cool off. and it is only half way down currently
As you cana see, we have begun falling a Bit steeper than we did in Last years Long Range, were MACD also needed to cool off.
If we fall at the same rate as previously, we will hit Neutral around June. If we fall this steeply as we are now, that could be early May - Once weekly MACD hits Neutral, PA will certsinly have enough power to push p way past the current ATH
The Daily Version of the same chart shows us the support we now sit on
This line of Support is not amazing in many ways, as we can see by how PA has fallen through and climbed back up through it many times
What IS strong is that Fib Ext below at around 68200 but I think Will are unlikely to reach that.
The Rising line of support above that at around 73K is possible, though again, I think it is unlikely.
A Wick down to the 78K area is Very possible however.
This week could get Volatile as we get MACRO news from the World and USA inflation data is released.
Look to the future....and just BUY and GOLD Bitcoin
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support zone, offering potential opportunities for both counter-trend trades and short setups! 🚀 In this video, we break down Bitcoin's price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, focusing on key areas such as liquidity zones, bearish imbalances, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Discover how to identify higher highs, higher lows, and potential trade setups for both long and short positions. 💹 Whether you're an experienced trader or just getting started, this analysis will give you the tools to navigate Bitcoin's current market dynamics with confidence. 🔄 As always, this content is for educational purposes only—trade wisely and stay safe! 💡
(BTCUSD) – Bearish Continuation or Institutional Accumulation?Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, struggling to break above resistance. The price has rejected the upper boundary and could continue its downtrend toward $72,000 - $73,000 if support around $83,000 fails.
Key observations:
• Lower highs & lower lows confirm a bearish structure.
• A break below $83,000 - $82,000 could accelerate selling pressure.
• The next major support zone is $72,000 - $73,000.
Fundamental Analysis – Institutions and Governments Increasing Reserves:
• The U.S. government now holds around 200,000 BTC (~$17 billion), primarily seized from criminal cases. Their decision to maintain these holdings instead of liquidating suggests a potential shift in long-term Bitcoin adoption.
• MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, now holding 423,650 BTC (~$42.43 billion), reinforcing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
• Coinbase now custodies 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it the largest Bitcoin custodian. This highlights institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
• Despite these bullish fundamentals, ETF inflows have slowed down, and macroeconomic uncertainty (such as potential Fed rate hikes) could put pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.