How to outperform Microstrategy in 2025🚀 Michael Saylor vs. Smarter Bitcoin Buying
Michael Saylor has driven waves of excitement with his massive Bitcoin purchases. While it’s fascinating that a software company like NASDAQ:MSTR is using Bitcoin to boost its stock price, that’s not our focus today.
saylortracker.com
Our goal: Outperform Saylor and make better Bitcoin purchases.
📊 Current Market Outlook
📉 60-Day Cycle Low:
Bitcoin appears to be at a 60-day cycle low—a fantastic buying opportunity!
However, don’t hold past the 3-day cycle high.
🔮 What the Cycles Are Telling Us
- 2-Week Cycle: Recently reversed to the downside, signaling potential for further declines.
- 1-Week Cycle: Still declining and likely needs another month to reset.
- 60-Day Cycle: Historically bearish before completing a 24-week cycle.
💡 Key Takeaways
1️⃣ Bitcoin may need a breather before its next big move.
2️⃣ The bull market is intact, with a price range of $130–150K still achievable.
3️⃣ This is unlikely to happen in the first two months of 2025.
⏳ Patience Pays Off
I know you’re eager for gains, and soon enough, your altcoins will have their moment to shine**. 🌟
You’ll be sending screenshots of your portfolio to your friends again, trust me. 😉
📅 Most Probable Scenario
Bitcoin tends to move in 24-week cycles. On the weekly timeframe, we may see further bearish action before a reset, providing even better buying opportunities.
Patience is key—trade smarter, not harder!
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Btctrade
$BTC analysisKey Levels:
Upper Order Block (OB): This area is located exactly between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels and serves as a critical resistance zone where sellers are likely to enter.
Descending Trendline: This trendline intersects with the order block, further reinforcing its role as dynamic resistance.
Lower Order Block (OB+): Found near the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it acts as a strong support zone.
Bearish Scenario:
Triggers for a Downward Move:
Price reacts to the order block between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels.
The descending trendline coincides with the resistance area, intensifying selling pressure.
Steps of a Potential Decline:
Step 1: Price faces rejection at the resistance area (OB).
Step 2: The initial support around 97,944 (0.382) will be tested.
Step 3: If this level breaks, the price may drop further towards 95,482 (0.236 Fibonacci) and the lower order block.
Final Step: Continued selling pressure could lead to a deeper decline toward the 91,500 support zone.
Updated Key Levels:
Upper Order Block (OB): Located between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci (97,944 - 99,934).
Lower Order Block (OB+): Positioned near 0.236 Fibonacci (95,482).
Conclusion:
The area between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is a critical zone for sellers. If the price fails to break this resistance, there is a strong likelihood of a decline toward lower support levels.
Breakout Probability: If strong bullish volume and momentum push through the upper order block, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.
BTC LONG TP:99,500 31-12-2024The price of Bitcoin has had its moment, and contrary to what was previously anticipated, it did not experience the expected decline. Instead, it is now forming a bullish pattern that could indicate a shift in trend. Therefore, we should consider looking for a long entry in the range of 92,000 to 93,500. In the event of any market manipulation, it would be wise to have orders set at 91,000. Additionally, the stop loss should be placed below 90,000. This movement is expected to materialize within a couple of days, so it's important to stay alert for market updates to respond appropriately.
$BTC in 2025!CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Modest entry to the new year 2025! $95,878 resistance testing as I write this post, Previous 4H close with good follow thru on Bullish engulfing, Needs to regain support over $99,361-$100,334 resistance area to get back above $103,093. latest ATH at $108,388. $94,148 current support area, $91,357 key support area.
Should You Buy BTC Now? Let Price Action Be Your Guide!👀👉 In this video, we take a brief analysis of Bitcoin's current price action. On the 4-hour timeframe, we observe a break in structure, raising the question: Is this a potential buying opportunity? We then drill down to the lower timeframes to look for possible confirmations, following the scenarios discussed in the video. Please note, this is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. 📉✅
BTC Bitcoin: Bullish Breakout! What's the Next Move?🚀💡 Bitcoin's breakout is here! On the 4-hour chart, BTC has surged past its structure, just as we discussed in yesterday's update. Now, all eyes are on a potential retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone, setting the stage for a possible buying opportunity. As always, confirmation through price action is key before making any moves. Remember, this is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📊🔥
Bitcoin Sits at Key Support Level Bitcoin price remained under pressure, forming a head and shoulders pattern, even after major purchases by companies like MicroStrategy and Tether. The BTC/USD pair remained below 95,000, meaning that it has retreated by over 13% from its highest point this year. Bitcoin fell even after MicroStrategy and Tether bought more Bitcoins, a sign of confidence for the coin. MicroStrategy bought 2,138 coins, bringing the total holdings to 446,400. Tether bought more coins, bringing the total holdings to 82,454. At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs continued seeing inflows. Bitcoin fell because of the ongoing risk-off ...
BTC dip buy could be coming read captionIt sounds like you're referring to the potential opportunity to buy Bitcoin (BTC) during a market dip, as fear and uncertainty in the market often drive prices lower. This strategy is commonly known as "buying the dip."
Here are some considerations if you're thinking about this:
1. Market Sentiment
Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) can create opportunities to buy BTC at a discount. Keep an eye on news, market trends, and sentiment indicators like the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
2. Technical Analysis
Look for support levels or areas where BTC has previously bounced back.
Use tools like RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify oversold conditions.
3. Risk Management
Only invest what you can afford to lose, as BTC can be highly volatile.
Consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to reduce the impact of short-term price fluctuations.
4. Cloud Mining or Storage
If you're referring to cloud services, ensure they're reputable before investing in mining or storage solutions. Many scams exist in this space.
Would you like help analyzing current BTC trends or guidance on tools for tracking crypto prices? c
Bitcoin: The Cyclic Pattern Unfolding Again?Analyzing the current BTC weekly chart reveals striking similarities to the past, specifically the cycle seen at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Price Movement Comparison
Late 2023 vs. Late 2024: At the end of 2023, Bitcoin experienced a sharp rally of around 65%, moving from the lows to a significant peak. Fast forward to late 2024, and we see a nearly identical pattern—again, approximately 65% growth from the bottom to the recent high. The symmetry is hard to ignore.
2. WaveFlow Indicator
On both occasions, the WaveFlow indicator paints an eerily similar picture. It shows a strong push from the lows to the highs, followed by an expected pullback before another rally. If history repeats itself, the current setup implies that BTC will form a second peak following an intermediate bottom in the near term.
3. PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal
The red diamond signal from the PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal BTC indicator appears in a nearly identical spot:
The beginning of 2024: Red diamond signaled a top before a significant correction.
Late 2024: The same signal has just appeared, aligning with a possible cyclical correction phase.
4. PrimeMomentum Oscillator
At the bottom of the chart, the PrimeMomentum oscillator shows behavior that mirrors the end of 2023. This resemblance reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s price action is following a cyclic pattern.
5. Expectations and Forecast
January Correction: Based on these indicators and historical patterns, we anticipate a pullback at the beginning of January 2025, targeting a mid-range consolidation or support zone.
February–March Rally: Following the correction in the second half of January, a rally is expected, peaking around March 2025, similar to early 2024’s price action.
Post-March Decline: After March, we could see another downward phase, mirroring the price behavior in mid-2024.
Conclusion: The Power of Cyclicality
This chart showcases the undeniable rhythm of Bitcoin’s cyclicality. Indicators like WaveFlow and PrimeMomentum provide clear parallels between the current market state and historical movements. If the cycle repeats as expected:
Short-Term: Prepare for a correction.
Mid-Term: Watch for a strong rally.
Long-Term: Plan for another cyclical downturn.
The data strongly suggests that Bitcoin’s market structure continues to adhere to predictable cyclical trends. With this knowledge, traders can better anticipate key market movements and position themselves accordingly.
Bitcoin (BTC): Is $83K Just the Start of a Bigger Drop?Bitcoin is showing signs of heading lower, and the next few levels could be make-or-break. Let’s break it down simply so you know what to watch.
What’s Happening Right Now?
The market’s pointing downward, and we’re eyeing FWB:83K –$85K as the first target. If BTC doesn’t hold there, things could get rough.
Where BTC Could Go Next
- FWB:83K –$85K: This is the next stop. If Bitcoin can’t bounce here, the selling could pick up.
-$70K: A deeper drop, and a key support level where buyers might step in.
-$55K: The worst-case scenario for now, but also a spot where we could see some recovery.
The Big Picture
We’re also seeing a head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong clue that prices might keep dropping. Let’s wait and see how the market reacts as we approach FWB:83K –$85K.
What’s the Plan?
-Watch FWB:83K –$85K carefully—it’s the first key level.
-If BTC doesn’t hold, prepare for $70K or even $55K.
-Be patient and trade what you see, not what you hope.
If you liked this breakdown, hit like or follow. Got questions about Bitcoin or another chart? DM me—I’d love to help.
Feeling stressed about trading or struggling with burnout? Let’s chat. I’m here to help you stay focused and balanced so you can trade with confidence. Let’s tackle this together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Be prepared. Calm before the storm $BTCWe’re in the toughest part of the cycle—waiting for #Bitcoin (and other tokens) to make a new low before jumping back into the market. 🕒
It’s challenging, not just because we all want to time the bottom (let’s face it, who doesn’t want to buy the bottom? 🙌), but also because it’s tough to stay calm when portfolios are showing negative numbers.
📉 Seeing a sudden -30% on a recent token purchase can shake anyone’s confidence.
But remember: Successful investors stick to their thesis.
✅ They buy when their strategy signals “Buy.”
✅ They don’t look back.
📊 Bitcoin’s Cycle Low:
Bitcoin is approaching its cycle low, likely forming shortly after the New Year. 🎉 This presents an ideal buying opportunity for those following the cycles.
💡 Profiting by following cycles isn’t rocket science—it’s about patience and executing a solid plan.
Stay grounded during your celebrations, trust the cycles, and position yourself for success. 🚀
Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
BTC pullback before inauguration?Merryy Christmas guys and upcoming New Year!
Seems like we gonna meet New Year w BTC lower than100k...
Looks a bit scary, but here is in short what we have:
1) Daily MA cross. Which is bearish sign
2) Divergence between raising BTC channel and volumes
3) If the price will follow the red line move, it will form double top pattern 🥲
My expectations: I think we could correct to Fib zone around 0,236 (87k zone) and after we should check. But anyway seems like correction should happen before to continue growing and this we most likely gonna see after inauguration.
What you think guys? Help me dispel this scary picture 😅
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
Tide Turning For Bitcoin? Reserves And Netflows Show ReversalBitcoin, the world's first and most well-known cryptocurrency, has experienced a rollercoaster ride since its inception. From its meteoric rise to its dramatic crashes, Bitcoin has remained a topic of fascination and debate for investors and financial analysts alike. In recent times, several factors have contributed to a sense of uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's future, including regulatory scrutiny, market volatility, and concerns about its environmental impact. However, recent developments, such as increasing institutional adoption and positive netflows, suggest that the tide may be turning for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Institutional Adoption Accelerates as ETFs Show Investor Appetite
One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's growing acceptance is the increasing interest from institutional investors. Traditionally, institutional investors have been hesitant to invest in Bitcoin due to its volatile nature and lack of regulatory clarity. However, as the cryptocurrency market matures and regulatory frameworks become clearer, more and more institutions are beginning to see the potential of Bitcoin as an investment asset.
This growing institutional interest is reflected in the recent surge in for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). ETFs are investment funds that track an underlying asset, such as a stock index or a commodity. They offer investors a convenient way to gain exposure to an asset without having to directly own it.
Recent Reserves and Netflows Indicate Market Reversal
In addition to increasing institutional adoption, recent data on Bitcoin reserves and netflows also suggest that the market may be reversing. Bitcoin reserves refer to the amount of Bitcoin held on cryptocurrency exchanges. A decrease in Bitcoin reserves indicates that investors are withdrawing their Bitcoin from exchanges, which is often a sign of accumulation and a bullish signal.
Netflows, on the other hand, refer to the difference between the amount of Bitcoin entering and leaving exchanges. Positive netflows indicate that more Bitcoin is entering exchanges than leaving, which can be a sign of selling pressure and a bearish signal.
Recent data shows that Bitcoin reserves have been declining, while netflows have turned positive. This combination of factors suggests that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and that selling pressure is decreasing. These are both positive signs for the Bitcoin market and could indicate that a reversal is underway.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Navigating Volatility and Key Levels
Despite these positive developments, Bitcoin's price remains volatile and subject to market fluctuations
It has been noted a potential 'head and shoulders' pattern, a bearish technical indicator, which could lead to a significant price drop. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin's price could fall to as low as $80,000.
However, there maintain a more bullish outlook, emphasizing the importance of the $90,000 level. It is argued that if Bitcoin can maintain this level, it could pave the way for further price appreciation. Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to hold this level, it could trigger a sell-off and push the price down to $80,000.
Conclusion: A Cautious but Optimistic Outlook for Bitcoin
In conclusion, several recent developments suggest that the tide may be turning for Bitcoin. Increasing institutional adoption, as evidenced by the surge in Bitcoin ETF filings, indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as an investment asset. Positive netflows and declining reserves further support this notion, suggesting that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and that selling pressure is decreasing.
However, it is important to remain cautious. Bitcoin's price remains volatile, and various factors could impact its future performance.13 The cryptocurrency market is still relatively young and subject to regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in investor sentiment.
Therefore, while the recent developments are encouraging, it is crucial to approach Bitcoin with a balanced perspective. Investors should conduct thorough research, understand the risks involved, and make informed decisions based on their individual circumstances and risk tolerance.
Overall, the outlook for Bitcoin appears cautiously optimistic. The increasing institutional adoption, positive netflows, and declining reserves suggest that the market may be reversing. However, it is important to remain vigilant and adapt to the ever-changing dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
Back to the Roots: BitcoinAs predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin was rejected at **$100k** and is now approaching a cycle low. 📉
📊 Current Analysis:
❌ We’re not at the bottom yet, and it’s not time to buy.
🔵 The 1-day indicator (dark blue line) is currently at **68** and looks poised to reverse to the downside, signaling a potential cycle break.
⏳ Even if this doesn’t happen, the 1-day cycle will need approximately a week to return to the **20 range**, marking Bitcoin’s 60-day cycle low.
📍 The low could form anywhere between **$85k and $91k**.
💡 Remember: **Cycles don’t predict prices; they provide timing bands for tops and bottoms.**
🔮 Next Cycle Outlook:
⚠️ The upcoming 60-day Bitcoin cycle doesn’t look promising:
1️⃣ The **1-week indicator** spent a significant amount of time above **80** and is now trending downward.
2️⃣ This cycle reflects the general trend for the next 1-2 months and currently leans **bearish**.
3️⃣ We may need more time before the market reverses to the upside.
✨ Despite this, there are intriguing opportunities in the market right now. More details are available in the **Premium group**.
✅ Stay safe, trust the cycles, and build your wealth.💪
Let me know if you’d like further tweaks! 🚀
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Testing Key TrendlinesBitcoin’s current price action places it at a decisive technical level, where historical and recent trendlines converge. This area holds significant implications for the future direction of the market.
🔍 Key Observations from the Chart
The Two Trendlines in Focus
Old Trendline: This line, originating from the previous bull market, acts as a critical long-term support. Its historical significance makes it a widely-watched level for market participants.
Young Trendline: This trendline represents the momentum of the latest bullish recovery. A break here could signal a potential shift in sentiment.
Liquidity Cluster Around $92,500
A clear liquidity zone lies just below the current price. Such zones often attract price action as market makers seek to clear stop-losses or gather liquidity before determining the next move.
Imbalance Zones Below
Imbalances between $85,000 and $70,500 are visible on the chart. These areas represent inefficiencies in price action that could serve as potential targets if support levels fail.
🎯 Levels to Monitor
Support Levels:
Young Trendline (~$93,800): The first line of defense for bulls.
Old Trendline (~$93,800): A breach here would signal a deeper retracement.
Liquidity and Imbalance Targets:
Liquidity Zone: $93,000-$92,000.
Imbalance Zone 1: $85,000–$81,600.
Imbalance Zone 2: $74,400–$70,600.
Resistance Levels:
If BTC bounces, watch for reactions near $98,000 and $100,000 as short-term resistance.
🤔 What Could Happen Next?
Scenario 1: Support Holds
If the trendlines hold, BTC could see a recovery toward $98,000 or higher, maintaining its bullish structure.
Scenario 2: Break Below Support
A loss of the young and old trendlines may lead to a retest of the liquidity zone at $92,500.
If this level fails, the imbalance zones below become the next logical targets.
Volatility Ahead
With price so close to these key levels, whale activity and stop-hunting wicks are likely. Traders should prepare for possible fakeouts before the true direction becomes clear.
⚡ Key Takeaway
Bitcoin’s position near these converging trendlines makes this a crucial moment. Whether the supports hold or price dips to fill lower imbalances, the upcoming moves will provide important clues about market sentiment heading into the new year.
Patience and risk management are essential in this environment. Stay neutral, observe the price reaction to these levels, and let the market reveal its hand.
An other plan SHORT more for BTCUSD on H1 TF - continue FL break*Notice: It is Xmas and NewYear holiday so that the Market is very slow and low volume. ( reduce volume on your trading position )
About this Plan today:
I saw a downtrend structure clearly on H1 timeframe
I saw a confirmation Downtrend on Time Frame H1 (60)
I saw a Break Sell - continue FollowTrend signal
==> Let's make a Plan for SHORT SELL BTC today
Entry zone: 97500 - 98100
Stoploss: 99800 (and then trailing stoploss follow the SL-line)
*These are expected targets.
Target 1: 92000
Target 2: 86000
Target 3: 82000