Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
Btctrade
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
BTC LONG TP:106k 12-12-2024I am considering opening a long position in BTC, aiming for the zone between 106k and 108k. It is essential to set a tight stop loss to safeguard our investment and manage risk effectively. Staying attentive to market dynamics will help in making informed decisions. #Bitcoin #Trading
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend
In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies.
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024
The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out.
Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels
Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone
Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace.
Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level
Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend.
Bitcoin Trading Strategies
Breakout Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout.
Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend.
Buy on Dip Strategy
Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern.
Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position.
Short Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance.
Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher.
Volume Analysis
Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.
BTC LONG TP:101000 10-12-2024Bitcoin long position targeted at the 101k zone, with entry points between 93,500 and 95,000. Stop loss placed below 92,500. This setup is based on a 1-hour timeframe, but the expected move could take up to 48 hours to play out. Remember, the entry points, stop loss, and take profit levels are just suggestions - feel free to adjust them to fit your own trading strategy. Stay vigilant and manage your risk carefully. #Bitcoin #Trading
BTC LONG TP:101000 10-12-2024Bitcoin long position targeted at the 101k zone, with entry points between 93,500 and 95,000. Stop loss placed below 92,500. This setup is based on a 1-hour timeframe, but the expected move could take up to 48 hours to play out. Remember, the entry points, stop loss, and take profit levels are just suggestions - feel free to adjust them to fit your own trading strategy. Stay vigilant and manage your risk carefully. #Bitcoin #Trading
Bitcoin BTC price movement forecast by the end of 2024 !📉 On December 5, 2024, set an absolute record for liquidations on the crypto market - $1.1 billion ($820 million longs + $280 million shorts), breaking the record of August 05, 2024, when it was $950 million.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC price dropped to $89-90 thousand, depending on the exchange.
Such a “helicopter” as on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart is launched when all indicators are “overheated” and the market needs to rest, but maintain the trend, i.e. the crypto market's up-trend.
Fear and Greed Index - 71 (greed remains on the market)
Given the fact that altcoins have barely reacted to the fall, we can assume that there will be another wave down.
How do you feel about the option of #Bitcoin price movement $100k 👉 $84-85k 👉 $110k and this is all by the end of 2024 ?)
P.S:
also remember that on 18/12/24 the FOMC meeting is to be held, where the FED rate is expected to be cut by at least -0.25%.
_____________________
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#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC?
As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k
There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis:
1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected
2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k
3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal)
4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow
Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
BTC Bitcoin: Is the Bullish Breakout Here to Stay?👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been gaining strong momentum, with a confirmed bullish breakout in market structure on the daily and 4-hour charts, reaching new all-time highs. My outlook remains bullish as I monitor a potential retracement into the Fibonacci 61.8% zone for an ideal entry point. In this video, we provide a detailed BTC analysis and explore how to trade Bitcoin effectively, breaking down strategies to capitalize on the current bullish trend. Whether you’re an experienced trader or new to the crypto markets, this guide will refine your trading approach and improve your confidence in navigating Bitcoin's price action. Not financial advice.
100K+ BTC 30m ANALYSIS 06/12Analysis:
Historical day for BTC, smashing the 100k.
I strongly believe all of December we will see BTC fly to $110K+.
In the analysis I've identified a great potential long position I will be looking to take if price comes back into my supply zone , respects and closes inside or above the SR . This is a great 1:6RR and even in the event price does create a LL below M30 Swing Low I will be looking for more long positions with the same target of M30 Swing High .
If the move is successful I would suggest it will tap our supply zone and should fill the entire position within very few candles.
To consider:
$100K+
FOMO
M30 Swing is LL
Trump and News Speculation
Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Is $110,000 Achievable? Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: A Path to $110,000?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, with 30-day trader profits returning to a "healthy" range. This resurgence of bullish sentiment has reignited speculation about Bitcoin's potential to reach the coveted $110,000 milestone.
The Return of Profitable Trading
After a period of market volatility and declining profitability, Bitcoin traders have once again begun to experience positive returns over a 30-day period. This shift in market dynamics indicates a growing number of traders are capitalizing on the cryptocurrency's upward momentum.
Key Factors Driving Bitcoin's Bullish Run
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's bullish trajectory:
1. Institutional Adoption:
o Increased Institutional Interest: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and corporations, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. This institutional interest provides significant support to the cryptocurrency's price.
o Regulatory Clarity: As regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies continue to evolve, institutional investors are gaining more confidence in the asset class.
2. Network Upgrades and Scaling Solutions:
o Layer-2 Solutions: The development and implementation of layer-2 scaling solutions, such as the Lightning Network, have the potential to significantly enhance Bitcoin's scalability and transaction throughput.
o Network Upgrades: Regular network upgrades and protocol improvements aim to optimize Bitcoin's performance and security.
3. Global Economic Uncertainty:
o Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates and economic uncertainty have led investors to seek alternative assets, including Bitcoin, as a hedge against inflation.
o Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and global conflicts can also drive demand for Bitcoin as a decentralized and borderless asset.
4. Positive Market Sentiment:
o Bullish Sentiment: A prevailing bullish sentiment among traders and investors has contributed to Bitcoin's price surge.
o FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): As Bitcoin's price continues to rise, FOMO can drive further buying pressure and accelerate the upward trend.
The Path to $110,000
While $110,000 may seem like a lofty target, several factors could propel Bitcoin to this milestone:
• Sustained Institutional Adoption: Continued institutional investment and increased mainstream acceptance can drive significant price appreciation.
• Successful Network Upgrades: Successful implementation of network upgrades and scaling solutions can enhance Bitcoin's utility and attract more users.
• Favorable Regulatory Environment: A supportive regulatory environment can foster innovation and encourage further investment in the cryptocurrency industry.
• Strong Fundamental Factors: A robust economy, low interest rates, and geopolitical tensions can all contribute to Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent price surge and the return of profitable trading activity have reignited optimism among investors. While the $110,000 milestone is not guaranteed, the confluence of favorable factors suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to reach new heights. However, it is crucial to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution, conduct thorough research, and diversify one's portfolio.
Altseason is Here - Follow Triangle BreakoutLong positions are piling up on Bitcoin (BTC) after each other.
I think that investors follow the consolidation to buy more.
Know that symmetrical triangles can break on either side.
Enabling you to follow the breakout, I made this chart.
This chart shows a symmetrical triangle tracing Bitcoin price action.
High as investors' risk appetite is, any drawback is potentially considered an opportunity.
I estimate that large-cap altcoins will do even better.
So, it might be a good idea to follow up on Ethereum.
$BTC Update - Given resistance areas coming in effect spot on!CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin #bitcoin100k
Given resistance at $103,093 came in effect just as expected, gave this resistance area and more first time on Nov 12th (x.com). Beautiful break at $97,780 and support test before climb towards $100K on 4H and 1D Both! Latest ATH at $104,000 at the time of writing this post. More resistance area predictions given in the quote. Watch Given S/R, $99,361 current key support here as CRYPTOCAP:BTC discovers new support and resistance areas.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP NYSE:TEL UPCOM:FTM LSE:ONE CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and Most ALTs looking good!
BITCOIN -important data about bullrun (2024 - 2025)Weekly chart displays a parbolic curve pattern and as shown we already started at the base4
-let me tell u more about the parabolic curve..
parabolic curve consist of 4 bases... price going sideway at every base then make double in short period
base 1: 24k - 44k within (84 days)
base 2: 38k - 69k within ( 49 days)
base 3: 58k - 99k within (42days)
-so i expect price go sideway from this point consolidated a base 4 then btc will pumped hard in short period (maximum 60 days)
-if u look at BTC.Dominance u will see a pretty monthly/weekly close below the multi years rising wedge pattern , 0.618 fib this is prime close ...when u applied the previous data about BTC and the Dominance data u will know that we will start an extremly bullish ALTSEASON
-My advice is to detect ur target from now and never sell too early if u gain a profit
-for explain it more i will give u an example:(AVAX)
-in 2021 AVAX pumped hard about 15X within 126days just about 4months ... do u think who bought AVAX sold it with X15 profit?
-absoultly no 99.99% didn't do that , but there is who sell AVAX with loss even when it pumped 15X and others sold at profit of 50% or 100%... imagine the feeling who buy AVAX at the dip and sold it with 50% or 100% profit.. he will wish he had been paralyzed during those 126days to get the great profit
-Therefore, .. contentment is important, but this does not make you sell too early
-Be patient with your coins in the bullrun and you will find that you have earned good profits and set reasonable targets... This is the most difficult challenge
-Because this matter of contentment does not work ...because despite all these heights that you see, you have not seen the crazy jumps yet
This is a promise from me and remember this well ..Once you see crazy jumps, you will not be able to control yourself, greed and FOMO will kill you if you do not have goals from now and a clear plan drawn up.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTCUSDT trading ideasHi there everyone
It has been a long time that I haven't shared any ideas.
I have decided to share what I think is more probable to happen and according to your own experience of trading, these ideas could be helpful.
all my ideas will be like this one.
Key features of the analysis you see are the levels which can be considered as key levels, and by getting confirmation on 4H or sometimes 1H TF, you can have positions taken.
So let's get started and follow for more.
I am here again.
DYOR!
Good luck