BTC LOWBTC New Low month of March & April, new low is 68000 $ if its hold then going more down side .
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Cold thinking on Bitcoin's "pullback moment"This morning, Bitcoin prices fluctuated again, falling below the $77,000 mark and currently fluctuating around $80,000. The market seems to have entered the "pullback moment" again. Faced with price fluctuations, I believe many friends are thinking about the same question:
Is it "getting off the train to avoid risks" or "entering the market at a low point" now?
This question seems simple, but it is actually complicated. Especially in the cryptocurrency market, short-term fluctuations are drastic, and various information noises are intertwined, which can easily make people lose their way. When we are in the "pullback moment", we need a calm thinking, and we should take our eyes off the price fluctuations in front of us and put them into the larger "trend" and "cycle" framework to examine.
Let's take a closer look at what a trend is and what a cycle is.
1. What are trends and cycles?
To understand any market, we should first distinguish between the two key concepts of "trend" and "cycle", and the crypto market is no exception.
Trend: Trend is the long-term direction of the development of things and a grand and lasting force. It represents the most essential and core trend of things, just like a surging river, once formed, it is difficult to reverse.
Cycle: The cycle is the short-term fluctuation in the development of things, and it is the rhythmic change of swinging around the trend line.
Simply put, the cycle is in the trend. However, simple inclusion is not enough to express the complex relationship between them. If the "trend" is compared to the trunk of a tree, the "cycle" is like the rings on the trunk.
When 96% of the world's population does not yet hold Bitcoin, when sovereign funds begin to include crypto assets in their balance sheets, and when blockchain technology becomes a new battlefield for the game between major powers - this galloping "digital ark" has just sailed out of the dock where it was built. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Perfect bounce off the 2;272 Fib - we need to stay above
Bitcoin retraced down to 76573 usd and this is just below the 2.272 fib extension line at 78930.
Previously, PA had dropped to this area at 78187 on 28 Feb
We can slao see how on 9th Nov 2024, PA has found this line ot be resistance but managed to break through, leading to the cueent ATH
This is why we really do not want to loose this area as support and I believe th ebulls will try and keep it best they can
However, the Bears are out in Force in many forms.
To aid the Bulls, we have Pa oversold in many time frames on RSI and MACD
This could give support while we continue to wait for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral
We have a few more weeks to wait and so the question is, can the Bulls hold up ?
For me, now we have hit what I hope is the Bottom rung of the ladder in this Range, we now Bounce up higher - But this will not h appen untill tomorrow maybe, which is when we get the USA inflation data, pointing towards interest rate decisions.
Which I believe will not get cut anymore this year...But that is OK - it is stable.
But we have to wait and see how PA reacts.
Be on huiard and Cautious.
Tips to make a profit of 5000+ on BTCUSDShort-term accurate signal analysis shows support near 76300. The current price rebounded to a maximum of 82000, with a profit margin of 5000+. The current price has rebounded to a maximum of 82,000, and the profit margin has reached 5,000+. There is no chance or luck in the transaction, and only strength can lead to victory.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCToday's strategyShort - term Trend
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating significantly. On March 11, it rebounded from the oversold area but struggled to rise when facing the resistance level. If the bulls can continue to exert force and break through the current resistance level of $80,375.59, it may further climb to $84,119.82. If it fails to break through, it may decline again and even fall below the key support level of $76,605.75.
Long - term Trend
From a long - term perspective, since its inception, Bitcoin has generally shown an upward - trending price, despite experiencing several significant pullbacks on the way. Some financial institutions and experts are also optimistic about the long - term value of Bitcoin. For example, Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2028.
Market Sentiment and Capital Flow Analysis
Market Sentiment
Investors' attitudes towards Bitcoin are divided. On one hand, companies like MicroStrategy continue to increase their Bitcoin purchases, demonstrating the firm confidence of some investors in its long - term value. On the other hand, the market's sharp fluctuations have also made some investors worried and cautious, remaining on the sidelines.
Yesterday, I bought near 79,000, and then the lowest fell near 76500, and then increased the position at 77000, and now sell at 81500, waiting for the next buy point
BTCUSD sell @81500-82000
tp: 78000-78500
BTCUSD Buy @77500-78000
tp: 81500-82000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
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BTC New Low 68,000 $ BTC as per my view going till 68,000 $ then its going up side , on this chart i m goiving my thought , its take bit time .
BTCUSD latest important newsThe U.S. government recently announced that it will not sell nearly 200,000 Bitcoins obtained from the Silk Road case. Instead, these holdings will be included in the strategic reserve.
The decision eased concerns about a potential large-scale sell-off that could add further pressure to the market. Meanwhile, large investors, often referred to as “whales,” continue to accumulate Bitcoin despite the market’s continued volatility.
Some market observers believe this may be a sign of confidence in the asset’s long-term potential. However, the continued volatility shows that uncertainty remains a key factor in the current crypto landscape. COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin's November Low: Recession Fears, and Volatility
Bitcoin's recent slump, dipping below $80,000 to levels not seen since November, has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency market. This downturn, fueled by heightened recession fears and a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, has triggered a wave of analysis and speculation. While some experts predict further corrections, others point to potential catalysts for a resurgence. Amidst this uncertainty, South Korea's ambitious push for a Bitcoin reserve and the burgeoning $BTCBULL presale add intriguing layers to the narrative.
The primary driver behind Bitcoin's decline is the growing apprehension of a global economic recession. Persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have created a climate of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets. This risk-off sentiment has weighed heavily on Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset class.
Adding to the complexity of the situation is the ongoing tension between Bitcoin and central banks. As one expert noted, Bitcoin is "playing chicken with central banks" as the dollar experiences fluctuations. This dynamic underscores the fundamental debate surrounding Bitcoin's role as a potential hedge against traditional financial systems. The recent volatility surge following Donald Trump's comments on a Bitcoin reserve and the options expiry further exemplifies this tense relationship.
Despite the bearish sentiment, there are glimmers of optimism. South Korea's ambitious plan to establish a Bitcoin reserve has captured the attention of the crypto community. This move, if realized, could signal a significant shift in the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional players and governments. The implications are far-reaching, potentially bolstering Bitcoin's legitimacy as a store of value and a strategic asset.
The $BTCBULL presale, emerging amidst this volatile landscape, presents an interesting case study. In a market characterized by uncertainty, presales offer investors the opportunity to gain early access to potentially high-growth projects. However, they also carry inherent risks, and their success depends on a multitude of factors, including market conditions, project fundamentals, and community support. The $BTCBULL presale’s ability to attract investors during this period of market downturn will be a good indicator of overall market sentiment. Should it succeed, it may indicate that despite the general bearishness, there is still strong interest in projects that are perceived to be innovative, or to offer a unique value proposition.
The current trading range of $78,000 to $82,000 reflects the market's indecision. Bullish momentum has clearly faded, leaving traders grappling with the implications of shifting macroeconomic conditions. The volatility witnessed in recent days underscores the need for caution and strategic decision-making.
Furthermore, the impact of regulatory developments cannot be ignored. Governments worldwide are grappling with the challenge of regulating cryptocurrencies, and any significant regulatory changes could have a profound impact on Bitcoin's price and adoption. The ongoing debate surrounding stablecoins, DeFi, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) adds another layer of complexity to the market.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent fall to November lows is a reflection of the broader economic uncertainties and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. While recession fears and bearish predictions dominate the headlines, South Korea's ambitious Bitcoin reserve plan and the $BTCBULL presale offer glimpses of potential future growth. Investors must navigate this complex landscape with caution, carefully considering the interplay of macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. The current volatility serves as a reminder of the need for thorough research and a long-term perspective. Whether Bitcoin retests lower support levels or stages a comeback remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market will continue to be a dynamic and unpredictable space.
El Salvador Increases Bitcoin Reserves Despite IMF RestrictionsDespite IMF restrictions, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment continues to grow and expand, demonstrating President Nayib Bukele’s current strong commitment to cryptocurrency policy. At the time of writing, the Central American country has managed to increase its Bitcoin holdings to 6,111.18 BTC, worth approximately $504 million in current markets, while also engaging in complex relationships with various major international financial institutions.
El Salvador’s government has persisted and even accelerated its Bitcoin accumulation strategy despite an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, which has significantly restricted its cryptocurrency activities. The December 2022 deal, which was established after lengthy negotiations, involves a $1.4 billion loan as part of a broader financial package of more than $3.5 billion. ]
At the time of writing, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment has catalyzed and spearheaded an increase from 6,072 BTC in February to 6,111.18 BTC in March 2025. This strategic acquisition, such as it is, demonstrates the government’s unwavering resolve to maintain and optimize its cryptocurrency policy despite external pressure from various major financial institutions as well as a number of key regulators that have implemented several restrictions in the current market environment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin crash to $80K is normal, not the start of a major declinData confirms that the latest Bitcoin crash may be the result of a natural correction, rather than the start of a major downtrend.
Bitcoin has once again fallen below $80,000 for the second time this year, sparking investor panic. As fear spreads, many are questioning whether this drop marks the end of the Bitcoin bull run or if it is just a natural correction in the ongoing uptrend. The decline in peak losses shows Bitcoin in a natural correction; in recent analysis, even though Bitcoin has revisited the $80K range, the extent of realized losses is still significantly lower than previous corrections.
While CRYPTOCAP:BTC has revisited the $8.0K range, peak losses are still significantly lower than the late February to early March correction.
Total peak losses:
February 25: $933M
February 26: $897M
February 28: $933M
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
btc long idea due to fvga strategic long position on Bitcoin (BTC) at $78,000, following a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms at $76,000. This gap suggests a potential price inefficiency, which you believe could trigger a bullish move in BTC’s price. The setup implies that the price will fill the gap and push higher. To manage risk, you’ve set a stop loss at $75,000, providing a clear level for potential exit in case the market moves against your position. Your target for this trade is $96,000, where you expect significant resistance or a strong price movement to materialize. Overall, the trade offers a solid risk-reward setup with the expectation of capturing gains as Bitcoin rallies from the FVG level.
Bitcoin Weekly Closed RED and scared some people .What now ? That was a horrible week for many
Uncertainty for those that do not understand Bitcoin and the JOY of buying more at a cheaper price for others.
I will admit to thinking PA was going ot bounce over the weekend and then get down to where we are now..It went down over the wweekend.. I do not mind... My SPOT buy orders began triggering.
So, on a slightly longer term, The Triangle that PA was in was always going ot squeeze PA to early.
Why ?
Because, as ever, we are waiting for the weekly MACD to Cool off. and it is only half way down currently
As you cana see, we have begun falling a Bit steeper than we did in Last years Long Range, were MACD also needed to cool off.
If we fall at the same rate as previously, we will hit Neutral around June. If we fall this steeply as we are now, that could be early May - Once weekly MACD hits Neutral, PA will certsinly have enough power to push p way past the current ATH
The Daily Version of the same chart shows us the support we now sit on
This line of Support is not amazing in many ways, as we can see by how PA has fallen through and climbed back up through it many times
What IS strong is that Fib Ext below at around 68200 but I think Will are unlikely to reach that.
The Rising line of support above that at around 73K is possible, though again, I think it is unlikely.
A Wick down to the 78K area is Very possible however.
This week could get Volatile as we get MACRO news from the World and USA inflation data is released.
Look to the future....and just BUY and GOLD Bitcoin
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support zone, offering potential opportunities for both counter-trend trades and short setups! 🚀 In this video, we break down Bitcoin's price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, focusing on key areas such as liquidity zones, bearish imbalances, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Discover how to identify higher highs, higher lows, and potential trade setups for both long and short positions. 💹 Whether you're an experienced trader or just getting started, this analysis will give you the tools to navigate Bitcoin's current market dynamics with confidence. 🔄 As always, this content is for educational purposes only—trade wisely and stay safe! 💡
(BTCUSD) – Bearish Continuation or Institutional Accumulation?Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, struggling to break above resistance. The price has rejected the upper boundary and could continue its downtrend toward $72,000 - $73,000 if support around $83,000 fails.
Key observations:
• Lower highs & lower lows confirm a bearish structure.
• A break below $83,000 - $82,000 could accelerate selling pressure.
• The next major support zone is $72,000 - $73,000.
Fundamental Analysis – Institutions and Governments Increasing Reserves:
• The U.S. government now holds around 200,000 BTC (~$17 billion), primarily seized from criminal cases. Their decision to maintain these holdings instead of liquidating suggests a potential shift in long-term Bitcoin adoption.
• MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, now holding 423,650 BTC (~$42.43 billion), reinforcing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
• Coinbase now custodies 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it the largest Bitcoin custodian. This highlights institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
• Despite these bullish fundamentals, ETF inflows have slowed down, and macroeconomic uncertainty (such as potential Fed rate hikes) could put pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.
Will BTC reach 80,000 or 90,000? 10,000-point trading signalBTCUSD analysis and observation, 88600, 89800, 90500 are short-term resistance, and 86500, 86000, 84200 below are support. If this structure is broken, the market will enter the next stage.
BTCUSD 91000 trading opportunity has been opened, and tonight will usher in a 5000-10000 point fluctuation range
Trading is risky, positions should be reasonably controlled, when the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to enter the market, want to get accurate transactions and huge profits in advance, please leave me a message, I will make you feel t COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT hat this is true.
Trading opportunities tonight have started at 91000Despite recent market concerns, whales continue to withdraw BTC from exchanges.
Volatility in crypto markets continued as the broader market saw 24-hour liquidations of over $500 million, with long liquidations accounting for $400 million.
The source of the US strategic reserve is the confiscated Bitcoin. The market has been prepared for this and it is not lower than expected. In the long run, it will have a great impact. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Trump established a Bitcoin reserve, but why did Bitcoin plummetOn March 7, Bitcoin plunged in the short term, falling below $85,000 during the session. Then it quickly rose again. More than 150,000 people were liquidated in the past 12 hours, with a liquidation amount of $540 million.
On the news, the White House cryptocurrency director said that US President Trump has signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The strategic reserve will be capitalized by about 200,000 bitcoins owned by the federal government, and the government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve except for assets acquired through asset confiscation procedures. This is different from what the currency circle expected. Previously, the market expected the Trump administration to buy cryptocurrencies, but now it seems to be just "storage", which disappoints people.
The market is waiting for the upcoming White House cryptocurrency summit, during which Trump is expected to announce more details of the crypto reserve. On Thursday local time, US President Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, the day before he met with cryptocurrency industry executives at the White House.
Sachs wrote that the order authorizes the Treasury and Commerce secretaries to develop "budget-neutral strategies" to acquire more Bitcoin, provided that it does not increase costs to American taxpayers. Sachs said that no taxpayer money would be spent to buy cryptocurrencies, so the price of Bitcoin and other tokens fell.
People at the White House cryptocurrency summit on Friday expected the event to be the stage for Trump to formally announce plans to establish a strategic reserve containing Bitcoin and four other cryptocurrencies. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
BTCUSD short trading, expected profit 3000-5000BTCUSD is now planning to trade short, with big non-farm data and the Fed meeting, and expected profits of 3000-5000
Buy: 88800, 89300，90500
TP: 87800, 87300, 86200, 83800
SL: 89800
Trading is risky, control your position reasonably.
The market is changing rapidly, please leave me a message for accurate profit signals for buying and selling.
Recently, I have made an in-depth analysis of the BTCUSD and XAUUSD signal recommendations, which can be regarded as the key to making profits in this complex market. I don't know how many traders have achieved this goal. Although I can't make you all make profits like me, the only thing I can do is to give you a road to success. I can't force you to hold your hand, but I think those who can walk on my road must be much stronger than their own road without direction and full of bumps. The trading market is a battle of real money and silver. Everyone wants to win, but you have never considered whether your strength and experience team meets the conditions for victory. Follow me and witness the future together
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD trading plan to make 5000 pips profit soon
BTCUSD91500 plans to continuously generate profitable trading signals, currently reaching around 88600, and continue to generate profit of 2800+
BTC is about to usher in a 5000-10000 point big shock trading signal
On March 7, the big non-agricultural data and the next Federal Reserve meeting will be released. These data and meetings will bring epic trading opportunities for market shocks. Everyone should understand in advance and control this risk. This will be another opportunity for ordinary traders to turn over. If you want to get accurate trading signals and this lucrative profit in advance, please leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Do you know the calm before the big wave of BTCUSD?At present, the BTCUSD market is in a calm before the wave, which is nothing more than the release of the next non-agricultural data and the subsequent Fed meeting. Every trader knows the importance of this impact. Of course, this fluctuation may present large-scale trading opportunities. Every trader should be aware of it. During this period, trading must control risks.
From the analysis, BTC can focus on the resistance levels of 91500 and 92300 in the short term, and the support levels of 89600 and 88500 below.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. The market changes rapidly, and accurate signals are based on real-time.
Grasp the accurate trading signals, when to buy and sell, and seize large-scale profits, leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility.
An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key.
The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale.
Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance.
The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension
See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines.
The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way.
And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding.
Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG
It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension
That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support.
See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall.
To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st )
The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet.
And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K
Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600
I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K
Lets see if this works out
