Bitcoin Today: the Futures MenancePrice
Yesterday we saw another-one bounce-off from the Bearish Trend Line, which send the price to the 5750.0 level; the low of the last week (5750.0) played it’s supportive role and did not let the price go lower. For now, BTCUSD went into a lateral movement between 5750 and 6000 levels, if this uncertainty will remain the price will meet Bearish Trend Line in a few days again. If such movement will remain and the market will not see a substantial change in buyers interest the price could easily go lower within the next days. To break this vicious downwards pattern we still need to see high volumes and movement above the 6300.0 level, until then it is too dangerous to enter the market. If bitcoin goes below 5750.0, the next stop should be at 5000.0 level.
Bitcoin traders should be prepared for volatile weekends as a lot of menaces coincides: the end of the week, months and quarter, plus the expiration of Jun Bitcoin Futures on CME (15 Dec 2017 - 29 Jun 2018). Investors may attempt to unwind their futures positions to avoid settlement.
Today forecast
Trading in the 5750.0 – 6000.0 zone. High probability of increasing volatility.
Latest news
Bitcoin’s Lightning Network Still Unsuitable for Large Payments, Research Suggests
Lighting network – long awaited solution for Bitcoin users, which has to ensure fast and cheap transactions.
A recent report published by cryptocurrency research firm Diar suggests that Bitcoin’s Lightning Network, a second-layer solution touted as the answer to the cryptocurrency’s scalability problem, is still unsuitable for large payments.
According to the report, the network only ensures a 100 percent success rate for payments of $0.03 or less. The chance of successfully sending payments drops as the amount increases, to the point there’s only a 51% chance of being able to send $5.52. Payments of $306 or more only have 1% success rate.
Diar’s research adds that the number of channels on the network has been steadily growing, but that its efficiency hasn’t. As CCN covered, the Lightning Network crossed 1,000 mainnet payment channels back in February, and now has over 5,050.
According to The Next Web, Diar’s data was sourced from Reddit user YeOldDoc, who used available data from Lnmainnet.gaben.win to get to the results. According to the website’s data, the Lightning Network currently has 2,326 nodes, and a total capacity of $142,000.
It’s worth noting that the Lightning Network is still in its infancy. Lightning Labs co-founder and chief technology officer (CTO) Olaoluwa Osuntokun responded to Diar’s research, arguing the “model itself is flawed, and produces flawed metrics.”
Bithumb Reveals 11 Cryptocurrencies Lost and Plan to Compensate Customers
South Korean crypto exchange Bithumb has announced the 11 cryptocurrencies stolen in last week’s theft and the amount of each coin missing. A compensation plan has also been unveiled for the equivalent value of the lost coins in an undetermined cryptocurrency.
Bithumb has provided a breakdown of the 11 cryptocurrencies that it claims were stolen. They are BCH, BTC (692 coins), ELF (409.962), ETH(2,219), ETHOS(42700), GNT(1015090), HSR(6240), KNC(50000), OMG(300), VEN(420), and XRP(5227490). The largest damage is in BTC, which had about 13.9 billion won (~$12,377,255) stolen. According to Bithumb, the total amount stolen is 18,945,911,857 KRW or $16,892,614.
Bithumb has also revealed its plan to compensate all affected users. Reiterating that it takes full responsibility, the exchange announced that it is organizing “a compensation airdrop event.”
Btctusd
Bitcoin Today: peeked under 6000, what to expect?Price
Bitcoin spending a third day in a narrowing diapason between Bearish Trend Line and 6000.0 level. Though yesterday we saw a short-term dip to the 5990.0, for now, the price has returned to the lateral movement. According to volume distribution, the most trades happen on the 6100.0 level, which is a positive sign, as it pulls the price away from the 6000.0. From the other side, too-long lateral trading in narrow range talks about too low trust and demand, which could result in further dips of the price. Anyway, in near-term perspective, the price will have to meet the Bearish Trend Line and decide once more, whether it ready to break it and attempt to go up or will fall again. I repeat that the breakout requires confirmation in the form of large volumes and a rise above 6300.0. From the below 6000.0 – 5750.0 zone is the last supportive levels on the way to 5000.0.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 6300.0 zone.
Latest news
US House Unanimously Passes Bill to Help Fight Illicit Use of Cryptocurrencies
The U.S. House of Representatives has unanimously passed a bill to help prevent the illicit use of cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, dash, zcash, and monero. This bill follows a testimony by the Secret Service asking Congress for help stopping these activities.
The U.S. House of Representatives has passed Bill H.R. 6069, known as the “Fight Illicit Networks and Detect Trafficking Act.”
The bill was considered by the House on Monday, June 25, and “passed unanimously,” according to California Rep. Juan Vargas, the representative who jointly introduced the bill with Rep. Keith Rothfus, announced.
The Republican Policy Committee website describes:
“H.R. 6069 would require the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to carry out a study on how virtual currencies and online marketplaces are used to buy, sell, or facilitate the financing of goods or services associated with sex trafficking or drug trafficking. The GAO study would also examine how virtual currencies can be used to detect and deter these illicit activities.”
Huobi Exchange Suspends Services for Japanese Residents
Crypto exchange Huobi notified its Japanese customers via e-mail on Wednesday that it will be closing accounts of users who are residents of Japan. According to Huobi, their decision came up as a result of compliance issues with the Japanese law.
Huobi Pro reportedly plans to remove the Japanese page from its website as of July 2, and stop providing trading services to Japanese residents. Although the announcement is not yet visible on the official company homepage, further details are expected to appear in the coming hours, a Telegram administrator for Huobi said.
Bitcoin Today: hello FacebookPrice
Bitcoin continues narrow lateral movement in the face of the Bearish Trend Line; it seems that the price will definitely need substantial support from the fundamental news to break through the Bearish tendency. Like in the last time, the long lateral movement says about low demand and could lead the price downwards. 6000.0 level should play a supportive role for the price, dive below the 5750.0 level will drive the price downwards to the 5000.0 support. Breakthrough of the Bearish Trend Line should be supported by high volumes and preferably and impulse above the 6300.0.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 6600.0 zone.
Latest news
US Prosecutors Seize $17 Mln in BTC, Seek 4,000 BTC More for Dark Web Dealings
U.S. law enforcement has seized $17 mln in Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies, and is seeking to seize about $24 mln more, from two Maryland, USA men, on charges of selling counterfeit drugs on the dark web, according to a Department of Justice (DoJ) press release published yesterday, June 26.
In addition to around $17 million in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, Law enforcement has seized $2.5 million in computer equipment, and over $1.5 million in cash. The government is further seeking to forfeit “no less than” $5.67 million, plus the value of 4,000 BTC (about $24 mln at press time), believed to be the proceeds of the illegal drug sales.
The six-count indictment – unsealed June 22 – alleges that from Nov. 2013 through June 2017, Ryan Farace, 34, sold fake “Xanax” pills on the dark web in exchange for Bitcoin. Together with Robert Swain, also 34, he is further charged with laundering the proceeds through means “designed to conceal the source and ownership of the illegal funds.”
Farace now faces a maximum sentence of five years in prison on drug distribution counts, with both men facing a maximum of 20 years’ imprisonment on money laundering charges.
In February, a two-year study of the dark web ecosystem claimed that Bitcoin may be losing its cachet as the number one currency on darknet markets, seemingly due to users’ frustrations with network traffic and transaction fees.
Facebook Reverses Ban on Cryptocurrency Ads, Maintains Ban on ICOs
Facebook has updated its policy to allow cryptocurrencies to once again be advertised, while upholding its ban on the promotion of initial coin offerings (ICOs), in an announcement published Tuesday, June 26.
Today’s announcement says the company has been looking into the best way of “refining” its blanket ban on cryptocurrency-related advertising “over the last few months,” in order to “allow some ads while also working to ensure that they’re safe.”
Facebook's revised "prohibited products and services policy" now states:
“Starting June 26, we’ll allow ads that promote cryptocurrency and related content from pre-approved advertisers. But we’ll continue to prohibit ads that promote binary options and initial coin offerings.”
Bitcoin Today: lateral againPrice
Monday did not manage to follow recent growing tendency and went into narrow lateral movement, as we saw couple times before meeting of the Bearish Trend Line. Breakthrough of Bearish Trend Line, line which represents downing tendency, will be a major technical issue for today and tomorrow. A breakthrough above 6300.0 will be a positive sign, but only movement above 6650.0 level will confirm the breakthrough of the bearish tendency. From the downside, dive below 6000.0 level will cause a panic and possible sell-off to the lower levels.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 6600.0 zone.
Latest news
Jack Ma slams Bitcoin but heaps praise on the future of blockchain
Billionaire business magnate Jack Ma has warned against speculating on the Bitcoin market after saying that the virtual currency could be a potential bubble.
Ma, who is the founder of technology conglomerate Alibaba, made the remark yesterday as he launched his own "electronic wallet" which would make allow blockchain-based money transfers between Hong Kong and the Philippines.
The Chinese investor, who is worth nearly $50bn (£37bn), said: "Blockchain technology could change our world more than people imagine, adding that “Bitcoin however could be a bubble."
The comments come in the wake of Bitcoin’s fall on Sunday, as the cryptocurrency suffered its worst day on the market this year, dipping as low as $5,808 despite nearly reaching a high of $20,000 late last year.
Japan Wants to Scrap Its Progressive Crypto Tax Rate
Cryptocurrency traders in Japan currently can be taxed as high as 55% on their profits. However, the country’s Deputy Prime Minister, Taro Aso, wants to change how crypto transactions are taxed, from a progressive rate to a uniform rate.
The Japanese Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, Taro Aso, said at the Upper House budget committee meeting on June 25, as reported by Reuters:
“The profits gained by virtual currency transactions should be changed from current ‘miscellaneous income’ to ‘declaration separate taxation.’”
Currently, capital gains from crypto transactions are taxed as miscellaneous income. Accounting software company Freee described, “Miscellaneous income is subject to comprehensive taxation, and the tax rate is decided according to the amount combined with other income such as salary income.”
The National Tax Agency (NTA) explained that Japan has seven income tax brackets, with the tax rates ranging from 5% to 45% based on earnings. On top of the progressive tax rates, inhabitant taxes are levied in Japan by prefectural and municipal governments at the rate of 10%.
Bitcoin Today: dived and returnedPrice
After the dive below the 6000 level Bitcoin has shown a recovery back with an increase in trade volumes. Bearish Trend Line stays a strong resistance for the BTCUSD attempts to go up, and the price will meet it again in nearest days. Fast come-back above 6000.0 level had shown its supportive nature, but it is too early to talk about turnaround patterns. A breakthrough above the Bearish Trend Line and 6650.0 afterward will be a sign of a reversion.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 6600.0 zone.
Latest news
Mt. Gox Creditors’ Legal Victory: “Enormous Assets” to be Returned
The Mt. Gox Creditor (mtgoxcreditor) posted Commencement of Civil Rehabilitation Proceedings of Mt. Gox today, indicating a victory for creditors long wondering if an attempt would be made at making them financially whole. The Tokyo District Court ordered commencement of civil rehabilitation proceedings, and as such “enormous assets, which were to be distributed to Mt. Gox’s shareholders under the bankruptcy proceedings, will be returned to creditors.”
US Secret Service Asks Congress for Help to Prevent Illicit Use of Privacy Coins
The US Secret Service is worried about the illicit use of cryptocurrencies. A high-ranking official of the agency has urged Congress to consider additional legislation to address anonymity-enhanced cryptocurrencies and services intended to obscure transactions on blockchains such as tumblers or mixers.
Deputy Assistant Director of the US Secret Service’s Office of Investigations, Robert Novy, gave a testimony before the House of Representatives Financial Services Subcommittee on Terrorism and Illicit Finance on June 20.
Novy explained that his agency is primarily concerned with the use of cryptocurrencies “in criminal schemes that undermine the integrity of financial and payment systems, their use in cases of fraud, and their general use as a means of money laundering,” stating:
“While some digital currencies have operated lawfully, others have been used extensively for illicit activity…The growing illicit use of digital currencies risks undermining the effectiveness of existing U.S. laws and regulations, especially those intended to limit the ability of criminals to profit from their illicit activities.”
Bitcoin Today: arigato to JapanPrice
Bitcoin did not manage to show higher volumes and hold above the 6650.0 and felt down this morning to the 6300.0 level. Though the volumes did show up in the 6000 – 6400 zone, as it is a supportive zone, the more Bitcoin testing it - the less support this zone will provide. For now, we are hanging at the 6300.0 level and waiting if traders will pick it up or leave it for the next weekends there. Overall the technical picture looks negative, as the longer the price stays in the 6000 – 6400 zone the higher possibility of further declines. A come back above the 6650.0 level with high volumes would be the only positive sign that could save the day.
Latest news
Japanese largest exchange bitFlayer suspends registration
Bitcoin prices fell more than 5 percent on Friday after a regulatory agency in Japan ordered several cryptocurrency exchanges to review their business practices.
The digital currency traded at 6300 around 09:00 UTC, breaking below 6400 for the first time in about a week.
The order from Japan's Financial Services Agency, led bitFlyer — the largest crypto exchange in Japan — to suspend the creation of new accounts while it makes improvements to its business, especially as it pertains to its money-laundering measures.
Bitcoin Today: need more volume to ignite further growthPrice
Yesterday, as the price reached the Bearish Trend Line, the upward impulse supported by high volume broke above the Trend Line but did not trigger any further upward movement and went into a narrow lateral channel. Bias stays positive, but to confirm the breakthrough we will need to see more volumes above the 6650.0 level; otherwise low demand could bring the price down, below the 6650 again. If traders evaluate the current situation as a possible beginning of the growth, then soon we could see a testing of the 7000.0 resistance. Otherwise, support levels are 6650, 6425 and 6000.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6400.0 – 7000.0 zone.
Latest news
Bithumb Hack: Exchange Confirms It Will Reimburse All Users
South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Bithumb, has confirmed that it indeed lost 35 billion won ($31.4 million) in this week’s high-profile hack — which it will repay to users in full.
In an update posted on June 21, the Bithumb said it was beginning “recovery” processes and that the total losses from the recent hack could ultimately decrease. Officials announced:
“Bithumb is reducing the amount of losses through its ongoing disaster recovery. Future figures are expected to be lower.”
“We remind you once again that there is no damage to you,” Bithumb’s update meanwhile reassures users — reiterating that lost funds would be reimbursed using some of its $450 million in company funds. Bithumb also added that it would publish a financial report for the first half of 2018 in July.
Despite the apparent frequency of exchange vulnerability exploits affecting South Korea, the amounts involved still pale in comparison to neighboring Japan, where Coincheck lost $530 million to hackers in January. That event led to swift reform of the local industry by Japanese regulators, with Coincheck escaping shutdown via a buyout from online broker Monex.
Korean Government Details Regulatory Plans After Multiple Crypto Exchange Hacks
Following recent reports of multiple security breaches at cryptocurrency exchanges, the South Korean government has revealed the details of the new bill to regulate crypto exchanges, local media report.
Choi Jong-ku, Chairman of the country’s top financial regulator, the Financial Services Commissions (FSC), commented on the Bithumb hack news on Wednesday. He was quoted by Newsis saying:
“In order to prevent this, we need to make the transaction system stable and strengthen the protections of the traders by virtual currency handling businesses.”
He explained that an amendment bill to the Act on Reporting and Using Specified Financial Transaction Information has already been submitted to the National Assembly in order to achieve this.
Crypto exchanges are currently “in the blind spot” of the Korean regulators, Newspim wrote, adding that they are “expected to be monitored by the financial authorities through the ‘report system’.” The publication elaborated, “This will block illegal money laundering using virtual currency exchanges and enhance the rules for transactions with commercial banks in cooperative relations such as opening virtual accounts.”
Sanctions will be imposed on any crypto businesses in violation of or failing to comply with the financial regulators’ rules. They include “recommending the dismissal of officers at the same level as banks and securities companies, suspending business operations, warning of institutions, and corrective orders.”
Bitcoin Today: Another one hacked exchangePrice
BTCUSD pair reached the Bearish Trend Line yesterday but showed a move downwards, staying in the bullish tendency though (above the Bullish Trend Line). These boundaries, between two Trend Lines, will be the main factors for the nearest term. Breakthrough below the Bullish Trend line will indicate a lack of demand and probably send the price testing the 6000 – 6450 support zone. A breakthrough above the Bearish Trend Line will be a positive indicator and could push the price upwards, to test the 7000.0 resistance. Watch for the volumes in case of the Bearish Line breakthrough, growing volumes will be a confirmation of the bullish scenario.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6425.0 – 6650.0 zone. In case of a breakthrough of the boundaries (Bearish And Bullish trend lines) – a possible growth of momentum.
Latest news
Hackers Steal $30 Million From Top Seoul Bitcoin Exchange
The virtual currency was priced at $6,442 dollars late afternoon in Seoul, down about 4.4 percent from 24 hours earlier, after the latest attack on Bithumb raised concerns over cryptocurrency security.
Hyper-wired South Korea has emerged as a hotbed of trading in virtual units, at one point accounting for some 20 percent of global Bitcoin transactions - about 10 times the country's share of the global economy.
Bithumb, which has more than 1 million customers, is the largest virtual currency exchange in the South.
"It has been confirmed that virtual currencies worth 35 billion won ($32 million) was stolen through late night yesterday (Tuesday) to early morning today," the exchange said in a statement.
All deposits and withdrawals were suspended indefinitely to "ensure security", it said, adding the losses would be covered from the firm's own reserves.
It was the second major attack on South Korean virtual currency exchanges in just 10 days, after hackers stole 40 billion won from Seoul-based Coinrail, which suspended withdrawal and deposits services since then.
John McAfee’s decision to stop shilling ICOs as a regulatory day of reckoning draws near is the top item in today’s edition of Bitcoin in Brief
Antivirus pioneer and token pump master, John McAfee, has announced he is no longer working with ICOs nor is he going to keep recommending them. The reasons he gave for the move are “SEC threats” and that “those doing ICOs can all look forward to arrest. It is unjust, but it is reality.”
An explanation for what McAfee might be fearing came from Chris Concannon, the president of Bitcoin Futures supporting Cboe Global Markets. “The reckoning will come in two waves,” he said in an interview with Business Insider. According to him, ICO investors should lay awake at night worrying as the SEC will soon go after market participants. Following that he expects a torrent of class-action lawsuits against the teams behind projects. “If you sold someone an unregistered security you are liable to them if they decide to take them to court,” Concannon said.
Despite all of this don’t count McAfee out of the market just yet. He also claimed to be working “on an equivalent alternative to ICOs which the SEC cannot touch.”
Bitcoin Today: a hint of hopePrice
Yesterday buy-in broke the lateral channel and brought the price above the 6650.0 level, closer to the Global Bearish Trend Line. For now, the price stays locked inside the narrowing bounds of Bearish Trend Line and 6650.0 level. Today BTCUSD will reach the decisive moment with the Trend Line, bounce back will bring the price below the 6650.0 level probably back to the 6400.0 zone; a breakthrough above the Bearish Line will bring more confidence to the markets and could provoke new buying session. Support – 6400.0 level; closest resistance – 7000.0 level.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6400.0 – 7000.0 zone.
Latest news
All Regulated Japanese Exchanges to Prohibit Insider Trading and Privacy Coins
The association comprising of 16 government-approved cryptocurrency exchanges in Japan has reportedly provided a sneak peak of its self-regulatory rules. The focuses are on banning insider trading and preventing exchanges from listing privacy coins.
The Japan Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA) has given a sneak peak of the draft self-regulatory rules it has been working on, “in an effort to step up consumer protections and improve transparency,” Nikkei reported on Monday. The main focuses of the new regulations are on “insider trading and the trading of new currencies that cannot be traced easily,” the publication detailed, adding:
“The proposed rules explicitly ban insider trading. Word has leaked previously that a major exchange would start handling a new currency, which led to a surge in the currency’s value and left many suspecting market manipulation. Such activity would represent a clear violation of the new rules.”
Australia Taxation Office (ATO) will be collecting Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on cryptocurrency gains
After moving to request all cryptocurrency exchanges to report to the country’s watchdog agency, the Australia Taxation Office (ATO) will be collecting Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on cryptocurrency gains, essentially classifying them as assets.
Liz Russel, a senior tax agent at a private Australia online tax return service, shared some insights on the way the ATO will be treating cryptocurrency gains and what people should expect. Just like in the majority of countries, there is an ongoing debate amid Australian institutions regarding the proper classification of cryptocurrencies.
However, according to the senior tax agent, the ATO has made it pretty clear that it would regard them as assets:
“There is a long-running debate over what cryptocurrency actually is – whether it’s an asset, currency or collectible – but the ATO has made it clear that it treats cryptocurrency as an asset. That means it’s subject to the same capital gains tax (CGT) provisions that apply to real estate and shares.”
Put in simple words, Australians will have to pay the CGT tax on any profits they made from trading cryptocurrencies. So, if you’ve bought back when it was $2,000 and sold it for $20,000, the $18,000 profit will be subject to CGT.
Bitcoin Today: calm weekends makes me worryPrice
BTCUSD spent the weekend in lateral movement inside the narrow channel 6400 - 6550. But such lateral movement will not last for a long time. As within two days, the price will reach Bearish Trend Line, which imposes the downward tendency of the price and will face a decision, to break the Trend Line and show more bullishness, or bounce downwards from this Line. In a Bullish scenario, the price will meet 7000.0 resistance after breaking above the Bearish Trend Line. In a Bearish scenario, the 6000-6400 support zone will be tested again, and in case of a breakthrough, the price will be headed to the 5000.0 support.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 7000.0 zone. High risk of fall.
Latest news
SEC position on BTC, EHT and ICO’s
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), clarified the regulatory agency's stance on bitcoin, Ether (the token used to pay for transactions on Ethereum's network), and initial coin offerings (ICOs). More specifically, Hinman noted that bitcoin and Ether aren't going to be classified as securities -- and therefore not held to same stringent regulations as publicly traded stocks -- by the SEC. Meanwhile, most ICOs are likely to be classified as securities, and will, therefore, come under more stringent regulation.
What's the difference? According to Hinman, it comes down to the expectations of the purchasers of an asset and what role the third party behind a cryptocurrency asset or ICO played. In particular, if investors bought a virtual currency with the expectation of a return on their money, and there was a third party behind that asset (either a person or group of individuals who sponsored the creation or sale of the asset), then it would most likely qualify as a cryptocurrency. For example, since there's a single cryptocurrency and a group of developers behind every ICO, most are liable to be considered securities and therefore come under the SEC's watchful eye.
So, how are bitcoin and Ether different? Per Hinman, it's the decentralization of both of their networks. Essentially, there's no third party that either network is reliant on for their success and operation. Said Hinman:
“Based on my understanding of the present state of Ether, the Ethereum network, and its decentralized structure, current offers and sales of Ether are not securities transactio
BIS releases a negative article about Bitcoin
The Bank for International Settlements just told the cryptocurrency world it's not ready for prime time - and as far as mainstream financial services go, may never be.
In a withering 24-page article released Sunday as part of its annual economic report, the BIS said Bitcoin and its ilk suffered from "a range of shortcomings" that would prevent cryptocurrencies from ever fulfilling the lofty expectations that prompted an explosion of interest - and investment - in the would-be asset class.
In one of its most poignant findings, the BIS analysed what it would take for the blockchain software underpinning Bitcoin to process the digital retail transactions currently handled by national payment systems. As the size of so many ledgers swell, the researchers found, it would eventually overwhelm everything from individual smartphones to servers.
"The associated communication volumes could bring the Internet to a halt," the report said.
Researchers also said that the race by so-called Bitcoin miners to be the first to process transactions eats about the same amount of electricity as Switzerland does. "Put in the simplest terms, the quest for decentralised trust has quickly become an environmental disaster," they said.
"Trust can evaporate at any time because of the fragility of the decentralized consensus through which transactions are recorded," the report concluded. "Not only does this call into question the finality of individual payments, it also means that a cryptocurrency can simply stop functioning, resulting in a complete loss of value."
Bitcoin Today: Not SecuritiesPrice
Bitcoin showing gradual growth for the first full day in a long time, at least buy-backs are bigger than sell-offs, talks in favor to the opinion that people are ready to buy BTC at these prices. Currently, the price trades on the 6600.0 level with relatively low volumes, the growth of volumes with the onset of a working day in America can push the price higher, above the 6650.0 resistance. Nonetheless, to break above the next resistance 7000.0, we will need to see some positive fundamental feedback. For now, even if breakthrough of the 6650.0 level will happen the price will probably go into a lateral pattern for the weekends. Otherwise, if markets will see some more negative feedback for BTC, that could trigger profit fixations even after such small growth and sell-off back to the 6000.0 – 6400.0 zone. One more psychological factor is that last fall was occurred during the weekends, hence traders could want to wait until the Monday to buy-in.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 7000.0 zone. High risk of fall.
Latest news
Crypto Market Rebounds as SEC Clarifies Bitcoin and Ethereum are Not Securities
The cryptocurrency market has rebounded from $271 billion to $291 billion, by more than $20 billion in the past 24 hours, as the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) clarified that Bitcoin and Ethereum are not considered as securities under the laws of the US.
At the Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit, William Hinman Director, Division of Corporation Finance at SEC, emphasized during his speech that Ether, the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum network, and Bitcoin, are not securities as they do not benefit a single organization or a company.
Hinman discussed the initial coin offering (ICO) of Ethereum in 2014, which led investors to become concerned about the regulatory aspect of Ether, and noted that despite the token sale of Ether, its decentralized structure and the current state of the Ethereum network eliminate the possibility of categorizing Ether as a security.
“And putting aside the fundraising that accompanied the creation of Ether, based on my understanding of the present state of Ether, the Ethereum network and its decentralized structure, current offers and sales of Ether are not securities transactions. And, as with Bitcoin, applying the disclosure regime of the federal securities laws to current transactions in Ether would seem to add little value,” Hinman explained.
In simple words about John Griffin report on BTC manipulation and Tether
Recently all crypto-media was filled with news about the article by Economics professor on Tether and bitcoin manipulation in 2017, which brought the price to the 20000.
The 66-page paper, authored by finance professor John Griffin and graduate student Amin Shams, has claimed data suggested that the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies was artificially inflated by someone connected to a named trading platform – something the platform's CEO denied.
The report alleges that the platform used its own virtual coin, Tether, to generate fake demand for Bitcoin by buying up the currency and keeping its price up while its value sank at other exchanges. The more Tether entered the market, the higher the prices of other cryptocurrencies would rise, according to the study.
The researchers used algorithms to analyse millions of transactions on the blockchain, discovering that half of Bitcoin’s price increase in 2017 occurred hours after Tether was passed along to several other exchanges.
Although they stressed that the report is not conclusive and can’t confirm price manipulation, it has unsurprisingly received global media attention.
Bitcoin Today: exchanges under gov pressurePrice
Yesterday we saw one more fall iteration, which brought BTCUSD pair to the April minimum at the 6425.0, exactly from this level the April – May growth started. The next support would be February low at 6000.0 level. Turnaround scenario at this point require strong support in the 6000.0 – 6400.0 zone. Otherwise, the price could go lower than 6000.0 minimum, causing more panic and aiming for the next psychological support at the 5500.0. We recommend considering buying these lows only if BTCUSD market will show high volumes and growth above the Bearish Trend Line. Another more probable scenario – lateral stagnation in the 6000.0 – 7000.0 interval, sounds more probable than other scenarios.
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 7000.0 zone. High risk of further fall-down.
Latest news
CFTC Subpoenas Cryptocurrency Exchanges In Bitcoin Futures Investigation
Due to suspicions of market manipulation that may impact the final settlement price of CME's bitcoin futures, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has reportedly subpoenaed four cryptocurrency exchanges. According to the Wall Street Journal, the regulator demanded that the exchanges – Bitstamp, Coinbase, itBit, and Kraken – provide "comprehensive trading data to assist a probe into whether manipulation is distorting prices" in the bitcoin-linked futures market.
This is a complicated matter because the CFTC has claimed oversight and enforcement authority over cryptocurrency-based financial derivatives like bitcoin futures, but seems to possess only enforcement authority over the cryptocurrency spot markets. The inquiry revealed by the Journal on Friday is distinct from the CFTC-DOJ investigation into bitcoin price manipulation, which ETHNews covered last month.
The reported concerns about potential manipulation lend credence to the suggestion that bitcoin futures products were rushed to market. No word yet about the CBOE's bitcoin futures product.
Bitfinex Tether Trading Identified as Source of Crypto Markets Price Manipulation
A document released today by Professor John M. Griffin of the University of Texas’ Finance Department has identified what it claims are suspicious clusters of Tether-Bitcoin bulk trades on the Bitfinex trading exchange towards the end of 2017 which may have, in part, contributed to the price rallies of the cryptocurrency markets of the same period.
“Less than 1% of hours with such heavy Tether transactions are associated with 50% of the meteoric rise in Bitcoin and 64% of other top crypto-currencies,” the report claims.
“These patterns cannot be explained by investor demand proxies but are most consistent with the supply-based hypothesis where Tether is used to provide price support and manipulate cryptocurrency prices,” the reports further state.
Professor Griffin’s report also states that whilst “the promise of a decentralized ledger with independently verifiable transactions has enormous appeal,” the vast majority of crypto-currency trades continue “as transactions occur on centralized exchanges. These exchanges largely operate outside the purview of financial regulators and offer varying levels of limited transparency.”
Bitcoin Today: drop, hack and criminal probePrice
Weekends gave us bitcoin sold off to near the lows we saw at the beginning of the year. As usual, such event drag whole crypto market lower, opening the week almost in all-red. Fro now the fall stopped near the 6650.0 level and went into a narrow lateral movement slightly above it. 6000.0 – 6500.0 zone should play as s strong support, as we saw the last time when the price reached such lows. From the upside, the breakthrough of the Bearish Trend Line or even rise above 7600.0 level would be required to consider buying in near-term. So who do we have to thank, Coinrail or CFTC?
Today forecast
Trading in the 6000.0 – 7000.0 zone. High risk of further fall-down.
Latest news
Korean Exchange Hack
The news of another hacked South Korean crypto exchange is widely blamed for the drops across the markets.
Coinrail, a lesser known Korean trading venue, has reportedly been the victim of a hack – costing the clients of the exchange over $40 million worth of ICO tokens. The hacker stole $19.5 million in NPXS (Pundi X’s ICO tokens), $13.8 million of Aston X, $5.8 million in tokens of Dent, over $1.1 million of Tron, and at least five other tokens, all just from exchange users not the projects themselves. In response to the event, Coinrail has announced it suspended trading and moved the remaining 70% of its client assets to cold storage, as well as notified the police. While the figures involved are much smaller than past events, many link this incident to the markets bleeding red over the weekend.
CFTC Subpoenas Leading Exchanges for Trading Data
According to anonymous sources cited by The Wall Street Journal, The United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is coordinating with the U.S. Justice Department in conducting investigations into price manipulation in the spot BTC markets. The report claims that the CFTC launched a criminal probe into BTC price manipulation after several cryptocurrency exchanges rejected a request from Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) for the exchanges to share trading data CME.
The investigation is legitimated by bitcoin’s designation as a commodity, juridically granting the CFTC jurisdiction over the commodity markets underscoring derivative markets overseen by the regulator. CME spokeswoman, Laurie Bischel, stated: “All participating exchanges are required to share information, including cooperation with inquiries and investigations.”
Bitcoin Today: already tired of 7600 levelPrice
7600 level stays a cornerstone for the price. Today volume distribution peak stays above the 7600.0 level, though the price dips below it and now hanging on the passed recently Bearish Trend Line. It worth saying that some traders consider a breakthrough pattern of the angle lines (Bearish Trend Line) this way: breakthrough -> come back to the line -> take-off. Near-term resistance, the crossing of which can free the price from the 7600 level attraction is 7750 level. From the below, 7400 – 7600 zone stays a buying zone, dive below the 7400 level could cause a panic and sell-off till the 7000 psychological support.
Today forecast
Trading in the 7500.0 – 7750.0 zone.
Latest news
Regulations Round-Up: CFTC Rejects FOIA Request, SEC Not Modifying Securities Laws
In recent regulatory news, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has rejected a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request regarding the subpoenas recently received by Bitfinex and Tether; the United States Securities and Exchanges (SEC) Chairman, Jay Clayton, has indicated that the regulator will not alter existing securities legislation to cater to cryptocurrencies. Maria Vullo, the Superintendent of Financial Services for the State of New York, has praised the regulatory efforts made by the CFTC and SEC in the arena of initial coin offerings, and the SEC has announced Valerie Szczepanik as the commission’s new Senior Advisor for Digital Assets and Innovation.
The FOIA request, dated June 5th, requested “subpoenas issued to Ifinex inc. also known as Bitfinex and its subsidiary companies, as well as subpoenas issued Tether Limited and its subsidiary companies.”
Chinese Bitcoin Mining Chip Maker Bitmain Considers IPO
Beijing-based Bitcoin miner and mining chip designer Bitmain Technologies Ltd. is considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong or in an overseas market with U.S. dollar-denominated shares, Bitcoin’s co-founder Jihan Wu told Bloomberg in an interview.
Wu did not disclose the size of its IPO but Bloomberg estimates the valuation of the firm to be about US$8.8 billion by applying a multiple similar to that of publicly listed chipmakers such as Nvidia Corp. and MediaTek Inc, even though it does not have the operational track record of either company.
Founded in 2013, Bitmain develops and sells Bitcoin miners using its application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) chip technology. It has offices in Amsterdam, Hong Kong, Tel Aviv, Qingdao, Chengdu, Shanghai and Shenzhen.
The firm controls as much as 80% of the market for crypto mining gear, according to Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. Wu told Bloomberg that his company booked revenue of US$2.5 billion last year.
In 2017, Bitmain raised US$50 million from several ventures firms including Sequoia Capital and IDG Capital. Bitmain’s planned IPO will give these investors an opportunity to cash out.
Bitcoin Today: Now with TusdPrice
BTCUSD did not manage to hold 8500.0 level yesterday and retraced downwards below the Bullish Trend Line. For now, bitcoin is trading above the 8200.0 level, the short-term price pattern looks bearish. To reconsider the bearish pattern we need to see a breakthrough of the Bearish Trend Line. Nonetheless, the take-off from the 8000.0 level, from a week ago, stays bullish. 8000.0 – 8200.0 zone should remain supportive. From the above, local Bearish Trend Line should be pierced to consider a turnaround movement.
Today forecast
Trading in the 8100.0 – 8500.0 zone.
Latest news
Binance adds TrueUSD(TUSD) today TrueUSD is basically a verified stable coin that is backed by a fixed value of the US Dollar. It is the first fully collateralized, legally enforceable and attested cryptocurrency that ensures you can redeem your US Dollars from TUSD.
TrustToken made the public announcement of its TUSD launch and Bittrex listing earlier this month and further mentioned: “The market has demonstrated that there is strong demand for a trustworthy trading pair between cryptocurrencies and US Dollars. TrueUSD’s presence on Bittrex meets that need.”
TrustToken also confirmed its registration as a Money Service Business (MSB) that will put them in a stronger position to prevent money laundering and frauds.
TrueUSD seems like an attempt to get the dollar substitute token created properly by addressing the problems Tether faces. Company spreads their message via its website that “We wanted a simple, stable coin, without the need to trust some company’s hidden bank account or special algorithm. Our legal framework enables you to exchange USD directly with an escrow account – we never touch the funds’’. TrueUSD provides stable currency with 1 to 1 parity. With all these features including financial services and exchanges, TUSD gives a tough competition to the older USDT.
To facilitate the USDT – TUSD transition process for those who wish, Bittrex listed a USDT/TUSD pair. Binance did not list USDT/TUSD quote for now.