BTC IS GOING TO 130K !!!
According to #BTC Elliott wave micro count, currently we are into 2nd wave which can end up to 96-92.5k region.
After that we may probably see impulse 3rd micro wave move up to 115K and final 5th micro of 3rd major impulse wave up to 130K.
Invalidation of micro count is below 91K !!!
Btcupdate
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too.
The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now.
The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out.
BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin.
For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
Bitcoin analysis: where is the important support?hello friends
Considering the growth we had, it is natural for the price to take a break.
Now that a formed range has seen the bottom of its range and returned according to the specified support area, it is very, very important that this area is not broken, and if it is, it will give us attractive buying points on altcoins, so there is no need to worry. ..
And by maintaining the support, we will witness the beginning of the next upward movement.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin Plunges to $91K Amid Market TurmoilThe cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest:
- Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines.
- Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery.
- Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure.
- Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin.
Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior.
Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty
The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets.
Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline:
1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum.
3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines.
4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including:
- $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance.
- Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory.
- Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BTCUSD
#BTCUSD
Bitcoin is currently following the overall market trend, showing signs of weakness. It's crucial to wait for confirmation before making any significant moves.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Monitor key levels for potential rebounds.
Resistance Levels: A breakout above resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum.
📉 If the market remains bearish, be cautious with leverage.
📈 If BTC shows strength, it could signal a trend reversal.
🚨 Reminder: Stay patient, manage risk, and don’t rush into trades. The next move could be crucial! 🚀🔥
Bitcoin’s Next Move? Must-Watch Technical Breakdown!👀 👉 this video, we take a deep dive into BTC, breaking down its current uptrend and recent pullbacks from resistance. We'll analyze key support and resistance levels, market structure, and price action dynamics to uncover potential trade setups. Watch now for a detailed breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin Returns to All-Time HighsThe cryptocurrency has managed to sustain a gain of over 4% in the last two trading sessions, as the market remains confident that Trump’s new administration will play a key role in the future of U.S. regulation. For now, the price is slowly approaching the all-time high resistance zone at 106K.
Neutral Bias
Bitcoin continues to trade within a strong lateral range, with resistance at 106K and support at 91K. The recent bullish momentum has once again brought the price to the resistance zone of the channel. If buying pressure remains steady, the current neutral formation could be challenged, potentially leading to a more significant upward move.
ADX Indicator
One factor that may not fully align with the recent buying spike is the ADX line’s movement. Currently, the ADX line is oscillating below the neutral 20 level, suggesting that recent upward movements lack a clear trend direction. This could lead to short-term bearish corrections, creating resistance at the current price level.
Key Levels
106K: The closest resistance level, positioned at the all-time high zone recorded by Bitcoin in recent weeks. If the price successfully breaks above this level, it would end the current lateral range and potentially trigger a stronger bullish rally in the short term.
99K: The nearest support level, aligning with the midpoint of the current range, the 50-period moving average, and the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud. This indicates that 99K serves as an important support barrier against bearish movements in the short term. If the price falls below this level in the coming sessions, it could confirm a bearish bias, undermining current market confidence and extending the lateral range.
91K: The final support level, positioned at the lower boundary of the lateral channel and acting as the last barrier before a potential trend reversal. If the price reaches this level, it could trigger strong bearish pressure in the BTC market.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
BTC_daily-view (where are we with fib view)This view is nothing to show specifically
just as FYI, where re we in terms of fib levels on the daily, and a few things i have spotted
to me this is an indication of "nothingness", so we need a driver
a driver like $ interest rate new approach, so we know, where is the money flowing, to the $ or Gold, thus then giving BTC the way (hopefully)
it is also near or pass the BTC bull "period", will the 351 day traditional bull period mark the end of BTC's upswing , or are the new players holding us firmly anchored.
LETS see
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside.
The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
#BTC/USDT Ready to launch upwards#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 98500
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 102500
First target 104300
Second targe 107500
Third target 110080