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Bitcoin's Midweek Liquidity Play Detailed Analysis Bitcoin's Price Analysis Based on Current Market Conditions 1. Bullish Price Action from CPI Triggers Recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has provided a significant bullish trigger, aligning with the market's expectation of reduced inflationary pressures. This macroeconomic indicator is a key driver, as it reassures investors about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain or reduce interest rate hikes. Bitcoin's price has reacted positively, with a clear bullish breakout, showing strength in its upward trajectory. The CPI induced move is critical as it reflects institutional confidence and a shift in liquidity toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin. 2. Midweek Reversal Dynamics Retailer FOMO at Play Historically, Wednesday and Thursday are pivotal days for Bitcoin's price action, often characterized by reversals. This behavior is driven by a mix of institutional repositioning and retail traders' emotional responses. Currently, retail traders appear to be in a state of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), entering positions aggressively as Bitcoin pumps. This scenario creates a ripe environment for market makers to exploit, as over leveraged long positions begin to dominate. A liquidity sweep targeting stop loss clusters below current support levels is highly probable. 3. Stop-Loss Sweep and Liquidity Dynamics The chart indicates that a significant number of stop-loss orders are concentrated around the $98,600 level, just below recent support. This aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone, which remains untested. Market makers are likely to drive the price down to this level to fill pending orders and collect liquidity. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the price regains upward momentum. Following the liquidity sweep, a strong pump is expected toward the $102,400 zone, a key area of interest where previous imbalances and institutional orders are likely stacked. This zone serves as a springboard for the next leg of the rally. 4. Projection to Key Levels: $108,362 and Beyond Once liquidity at $98,600 is absorbed and the $102,400 zone is reclaimed, Bitcoin is poised to target the next major resistance at $108,362. This level aligns with a confluence of technical factors, including previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. Breaking this resistance would open the path to the $110,000 psychological level, further validating the bullish macro trend. Bitcoin's price action is entering a critical phase influenced by macroeconomic triggers, market structure, and liquidity dynamics. Traders should remain cautious of midweek reversals and liquidity sweeps, while positioning for potential upside targeting $108,362 and beyond. Proper risk management is essential, given the market's high volatility and the potential for unexpected deviations.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
How NOT to miss the upcoming BULL marketInvesting in the third year of a cycle is always challenging. One day, cryptocurrencies pump suddenly without proper consolidation; the next, they dump and give off bear market vibes. 🐻📉 New narratives, like AI agents, emerge—and no one knows how long they'll last. 🤖⏳ In other words, there are more unknown variables than known ones, leaving the average investor confused, throwing money into the market without truly enriching themselves. 💸 Bitcoin needs one full 60-day consolidation cycle to continue its uptrend. This cycle will allow the 1-week and 2-week Cycle indicators to move downward and reverse, paving the way for a healthy continuation upward. 🚀📈 Let’s take a look at the most likely scenario for Bitcoin: While the price might rise temporarily, we need to form a weekly cycle bottom—and it doesn’t look like that has happened yet. 🕰️🌊 If Bitcoin starts pumping from here and surpasses its all-time high next week, we can confirm a new cycle has begun. However, the most probable scenario involves some consolidation, shaking out weak participants before resuming the uptrend. 💪🏼💥
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
4
"BTC Head and Shoulders Breakdown: Key Sell Zone at $98,000 withBased on the chart: - **Pattern Formation**: A classic Head and Shoulders pattern is visible, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The price action has tested the neckline, followed by a possible retest near the "right shoulder." - **Key Zone**: The area around $98,000 is marked as a "possible sell zone" and aligns with the retest of the neckline. - **Breakout and Retest**: The price seems to have broken the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern and is currently retesting it. If the retest holds as resistance, a strong downside move could follow. - **Target Levels**: Based on the projected move, the target appears to be around $79,350, with intermediate zones likely around $90,000–$87,000 for partial profit-taking or reactions. - **Strategy**: A sell setup near $98,000, with invalidation if the price closes convincingly above the neckline, could be considered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H/1D Kijun Breakout Price Action: We’ve seen a triple tap on the Daily Kijun that marked strong resistance. The breakout and daily close above on January 6th, 2025 confirms a bullish signal. Now, price is hovering around the 4H/D Kijun confluence, creating a favorable area to watch for a retest and potential bounce. Trade Idea (Long): – Enter on retest of the 4H/D Kijun if we see supportive wicks or bullish confirmation. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: 1:2 RRR target (take profit near key swing high or FVG fill). Macro News Watch: This is a big macro news week. Stay alert for unexpected volatility that could invalidate the setup. If price closes back below the Kijun levels, be prepared to manage or exit the trade accordingly.
Long
by Fondera
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area. For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs. The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior. Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors Monitor the wedge breakout closely. Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position. Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data. BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
2 Months Till BTC reaches 95kUPDATE!!!! Hello Fellow Traders, I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits! Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For BTCUSD. Right Now I'm Still Bearish on BTCUSD for Short Term, But When it Reaches Around 20K I will Look for a Long Term BUY opportunity! The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply. Conditions - 1. Wait for the Market to Show you some Rejection / Confirmation / Direction 2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation Aka . Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance) 3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND ) 4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital) 5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation) 6.Trade at own risk. Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below! Please Support My ideas & Educational Posts with a Like and Comment ❤️ Link to chart See You in the next Analysis! Global Fx Education
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Global_Fx
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 2500% Done @ 10X Leverage!Bitcoin MASSIVE LONG Trade Caught! The move from $27,200 to $96,100 represents an approximately 250% gain. At 10x leverage I took, this is a clear 2500% massive gain! This large rally indicates strong bullish momentum caught using the Risological Options Trading Indicator , with consistently higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Use caution if momentum slows—prolonged consolidation or reversal signals might appear around such a major milestone. Despite short-term pullbacks, BTC’s overall trend remains firmly bullish on the daily timeframe. The uptrend is supported by strong demand and increasing volume, often associated with sustained rallies.
Long
by ProfitsNinja
BITCOIN IS BREAKING DOWN right now "Bitcoin has broken through a critical support level, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment as bearish pressure intensifies. This breakdown could trigger a deeper correction, with traders closely monitoring lower support zones for potential stabilization. The failure to hold this key level may accelerate selling momentum, raising concerns over the possibility of further downside and testing the resilience of bullish participants in the market."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrGushyEXPERT458
Resistance Broken? BTC Aims for $96K!Falling Trendline Breakout Bitcoin has broken above a descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Entry Zone The recommended buy zone is $91,500 to $90,500. Price is currently within this range, making it an ideal area for a long entry. Stop Loss A tight stop-loss at $89,500 helps minimize downside risk if the breakout fails. Targets Target 1: $92,000 Target 2: $93,000 Target 3: $94,000 Target 4: $95,000 Target 5: $96,000 Risk Management Stop-loss placement is critical to avoid potential losses, with a strong downside risk below $89,500. Recommendation Watch for a sustained close above the breakout level and monitor volume confirmation for continued upside momentum. This trade aligns well with a bullish reversal structure and offers multiple profit-taking levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
Bitcoin's Double Bottom Reversal1.Double Bottom Formation Bitcoin has formed a double bottom pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The second bottom was created around $89,200, which acts as a strong support level. 2.Neckline Resistance at $91,200 The neckline of the double bottom pattern is at $91,200. A daily close above $91,200 is crucial to confirm the breakout and initiate an upward move. 3.Bullish Scenario If the price successfully breaks and closes above the neckline, a long position can be considered. The breakout could lead to a potential price target of higher resistance zones, depending on momentum. 4.Risk Management: If the price fails to sustain above $91,200, a retest of lower support ($89,200) could occur. 5. Key Levels to Watch Support: $89,200 Resistance : $91,200 (neckline) Bitcoin is showing signs of a bullish reversal from the double bottom pattern. Keep a close eye on the neckline breakout for confirmation before entering long positions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
What’s Next for BTC: $99K or $84K?Good Morning, Trading Family! What’s Next for BTC: $99K or $84K? Here’s the game plan: if BTC corrects up to $93K, $94K, or $96K, it could then pull back down to the $84K marker. But if BTC breaks $96K, we could see it climb to $99K. This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar on how emotions can hurt your trading and how to take control of your mindset for better results. Send me a message or check out my profile for details. If this added value to your trading, like, comment, and share it with someone who needs it. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
$BTC Bitcoin at critical point... Head and shoulder Pattern!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin is at a critical point Current price: 91000 Bitcoin has retraced over 16% from an all time high of 108k, Price action is currently forming a head and shoulder pattern which is usually a bearish pattern! #btc needs to remain supported around 90.5k to continue its uptrend to all time highs at 119k If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN price action loses support at 90.5k then expect prices to retest supports at 85k and then 80k. Definitely a critical point to watch! What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ifiok-2sydes