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BTC vs VIX A combined chart between the VIX indicator with Bitcoin and a separate Bitcoin chart (below) and the resulting in front of you: - The built-in BTC/VIX top section shows that yesterday its movement reached the bottom of the trend. - The arrival of the BTC/VIX indicator for the trend every time means that Bitcoin has achieved a bottom. - The strange thing is that this time it is equivalent to major lows: the bottom of 2015-2020 (Corona)-2022. Although the break is monthly and volatility and pressure may continue, it makes clear that this month is August the lowest number that Bitcoin will record before the main high.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by NaiF_CHarT
Bitcoin's Rollercoaster: A Temporary Respite or Precipice of a CBitcoin, the digital currency that once seemed invincible, has undergone a tumultuous period. A dramatic plunge from its peak to a low of $49,300 sent shockwaves through the crypto market. However, a surprising recovery has seen it rebound to $56,000. This raises a critical question: is this a reprieve before another, more devastating crash, or the beginning of a renewed bull run? Factors Fueling the Fall To understand the potential trajectory of Bitcoin, it's essential to examine the factors that precipitated its decline. Macroeconomic conditions, including rising inflation and interest rate hikes, have cast a long shadow over risk assets, and Bitcoin is no exception. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly in the United States, has also contributed to market volatility. Additionally, concerns about the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining have led some investors to reconsider their positions. The Rallying Cry The recent recovery can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, a wave of buying from institutional investors has helped to bolster Bitcoin's price. These large-scale investors often view market downturns as buying opportunities, believing that Bitcoin's long-term value proposition remains intact. Secondly, the ongoing development of Bitcoin's underlying technology, including advancements in scalability and privacy, has continued to attract investor interest. Finally, the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a payment method by major corporations has reinforced its status as a digital store of value. A Fork in the Road While the current rebound is encouraging, it's crucial to approach it with caution. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and past performance does not indicate future results. Several factors could derail the recovery and push Bitcoin back into a bear market. For instance, a more aggressive monetary tightening policy by central banks could trigger a renewed sell-off in risk assets. Additionally, increased regulatory scrutiny or negative publicity surrounding Bitcoin could erode investor confidence. Looking Ahead Predicting the future of Bitcoin is a complex endeavor. However, investors can make more informed decisions by carefully considering the factors outlined above. Those with a long-term investment horizon may view the recent dip as a buying opportunity, believing that Bitcoin's underlying value proposition remains intact. On the other hand, short-term traders should exercise caution and be prepared for increased volatility. Ultimately, the fate of Bitcoin will depend on a confluence of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it's essential to stay informed and adapt to changing circumstances. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, and it's essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
The amazing BTC and the secret of 152 & 52 weeks.🤔Here's an intriguing take on BTC and the potential significance of the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) week cycles: 🔑 BTC: Unlocking the Secrets of the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) Weeks 🗝️ Throughout BTC's history, a fascinating pattern has emerged – the alternation between 152-week bull cycles and 52-week bear cycles. 📈📉 This cyclical behavior has been observed multiple times, leading to the tantalizing question: Will history repeat itself once again? 🔄 My answer: Yes, I think the stars are aligning for another cosmic dance between the bulls and bears. 🐂🐻 If this pattern holds true, we are potentially witnessing a new 152-week bull run started in 7 Nov 2022 till the top around 6 October 2025, followed by a 52-week bear hibernation, and the cycle continues. ∞ However, as with all things crypto, nothing is set in stone, and the market is known for its unpredictability. 📊🔮 Nonetheless, for those who believe in the power of historical cycles, the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) weeks could serve as a fascinating guide, offering insights into potential market movements. 🧭 It is not a financial idea. PLZ DYOR. Good Luck.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by KarimMohsen
BTC Analysis in Daily Timeframe: Will it get worse?Hello traders, Here's a re-analysis of BTC on a daily timeframe. I know it looks horrible—a straight 25% dump in just eight days. Will more dumps be coming in? Let's analyze it. BTC has hit the lower support trendline with a recent low at $52.3k. BTC has respected this trendline in the past, and it should respect it this time as well, in my opinion. A daily close above this support trendline is crucial for a rebound. On the downside, the $50k range is another strong support for BTC. If we see any further dump, BTC must hold the $50k support. In the past, counting from the all-time high, BTC has dropped 23%-25% and then showed a good rebound. This time, to have a similar move, BTC must close above the support trendline. I will post another update in the weekly timeframe soon, so stay tuned and trade safely. Do your own research before investing. Regards, Team Dexter.
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
Is Bitcoin BTC and crypto scamming now or it's FUDHello, Skyrexians! This weekend was extremely fearful on the crypto market, even more, today is a true "black Monday" and not only crypto, but also traditional markets are crashing right now. The most commonly known crypto trading strategies gave false signals before the crash. Most of top crypto trading platforms and top crypto traders faces with the huge losses, algorithmic trading bots and other algorithmic crypto trading software led their users to losses and liquidation. Different automated trading bots, grid bot and other cryptocurrency trading also performed awful for most of a people. Only ai crypto trading bot allowed people not to lose. The really dark time came to the market, how to overcome all this FUD and be successful in crypto trading. We know that the most important is understanding on which market phase we are now. In today's article we will look at the different charts and time frames on BINANCE:BTCUSDT price chart and try to understand what is coming next. Monthly time frame shows it's almost done If you see our previous Bitcoin analysis you will find that GETTEX:49K was absolutely reachable. But the speed of this move really concerns us and we need to take a look at the global picture first of all. The sideways which started in March 2024 led to the first red column on Awesome Oscillator, and this is our first reminder that the bull market is not forever. This is the first sign of weakness. Momentum is gone, therefore we cannot wait for the bull run continuation to the insane numbers like $200k. Bull market is almost over! The bearish divergence and Elliott waves counting tells us that wave 5 of super cycle is done and we will enter the bear market which has never been before. Is it time to panic? We assume not! Last wave 5 shall also consists of 5 waves and we cannot see now the clear confirmation that this bull run is finished. It's weakening but will likely continue. Where it will be finished. The approximate projection for wave 5 shows us that BTC will likely reach $80k+, but not significantly higher. After that we will see the bear market with target at $35k.
by Skyrexio
3
BTC at a Crossroads: Will It Break Out or Break Down?Current Technical Overview: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: $56,000, which aligns with recent lows and a critical support trendline. Resistance Levels: - Primary Resistance: $65,000, near recent highs and an upper boundary of the descending channel. Moving Averages: - 200EMA: The 200-day EMA is acting as a crucial support level. Holding above this level is essential for maintaining a bullish outlook. Volume Analysis: - Decreasing Volume: Indicates a potential breakout or breakdown is imminent. Watch for a surge in volume to confirm the direction. Outlook: - Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the descending channel near $65,000 could lead to a significant rally, potentially targeting $75,000 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the 200EMA could see BTC retesting lower support levels around $52,000, $40,000, and $30,000. Conclusion: BTC is currently in a consolidation phase within a descending channel. The 200EMA is a critical support level to watch. A breakout above the channel could signal a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown could lead to a further decline. Traders should monitor price action and volume closely for the next significant move. I am in the camp of being a bit more bearish at this stage for COINBASE:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoFallen
BTC/USD: Critical Breakdown and Bearish OutloookThe COINBASE:BTCUSD daily chart continues displaying a significant bearish sentiment. Key Technical Points: Support Levels: 1. Target 1: The price has reached the first target around $48,000. 2. Target 2: If the bearish momentum continues, the next support is around $36,000. Support Levels: - Immediate Resistance: Previous support at $52,000 is now acting as support. Moving Averages: - 200 EMA: The price has broken below the 200 EMA, a bearish signal indicating potential further declines. Bull Flag Potential: - Descending Channel failed: The price is within a descending channel, typically a continuation pattern. A breakout above the channel could signal a reversal to the upside, but currently, the trend remains bearish. Outlook: - Bearish Continuation: The break below the 200 EMA and reaching Target 1 support around $48,000 indicates a bearish continuation. The next potential target is $36,000, where significant support lies. Conclusion: BTC is currently bearish, breaking below crucial support levels and the 200 EMA. Watch for any signs of a breakout from the descending channel for a potential reversal, but the immediate outlook remains bearish with the next target at $36,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoFallen
BTCUSD - Short Term RSI Divergences and Key Price MovmentHello, Despite the recent bearish trend, the bullish RSI divergence suggests a potential rebound. This divergence often signals a weakening of the bearish monentum and a possible upward price movement. My Bias Bearish in the short term due to the series of lower highs and lower lows. However the bullish RSI divergence suggest a potencial rebound or at least a temporary halt to the downtrend. My Entry/Exit Strategy: Entry Point: Considering the bullish divergence, entering a long position around the current price level of $60,900 could be a strategic move Stop Loss: To manage risk, set a stop loss slightly below the recent low at around $56,000. Take Profit: Potential profit targets could be set around the $64,000 resistance level an d if bullish momentum continues towards the $72,000 peak Future Prospects Watch for a break below the $56,000 support level to confirm continued bearish momentum break above $64,000 signal the end of downtrend and a resumption of bullish activity. For Traders: Given the bullish RSI divergence, consider entering a long position while monitoring key support and resistance levels. Ensure proper risk management with stop losses in place. Regards
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by kashifone1
BTCUSDT is showing signs of a short-term declineWith the current price of 66850, BTCUSDT is showing signs of a short-term decline. This is evidenced by decreasing trading volume and bearish momentum indicators, suggesting a potential downturn in price. Additionally, there are indications of an impending significant correction, highlighting the possibility of a period of consolidation in the near future. Traders should exercise caution and monitor price movements closely.
Short
by SafeCryptoSignals
4
Bitcoin at Crossroads!Bitcoin at Crossroads! > Bias: Neutral > Key support: 58k > Key resistance: 64k Woops, we lost 64k AGAIN. That is usually translated as weakness. So we're back in this odd range where anything can happen. Not great, not terrible. What can we do next? Wait for Monday! You see, stock markets just nuked, Warren Buffet sold $50 billions of Apple stock. Do you think he's bullish? Not very much. These are times of uncertainty and the best tool you have is to follow the trend. Right now, altcoins are getting rekt, but Bitcoin still shows resilience, as does gold. Can a run to safety follow if weakens on the stock market increases? Could happen, we're in uncharted territory. It is the first time Bitcoin had an ETF on the US stock market during an upcoming recession. Interesting times for sure. Listen, if you have money. HOLD. Don't buy, don't gamble. Wait! Guard your cash like it's Bitcoin right now. Because if the market nukes, that's when you need it most. If the market pumps, take your profits and use that cash to buy in the bear market. Don't get greedy. Yesterday, I wrote a detailed guide on how to play every cycle and I also posted a viral thread about Solana (just follow the links). Not the first time. Red flags will always be obvious in hindsight. Don't dismiss them and manage your risk properly. That means you work with BTC, Gold, and USD. That's it! Monday will be a good signal where we go next. Only the US Fed can stop this train now. The ball is in their court. I do hope we get another exit window this year, then I'm out of the market (except BTC of course). Thanks for reading and hit a follow for more updates! Duo
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DU09
3
Bitcoin BTC price, new FED rate and Powell's speech 31/07/24Today at 18.00 UTC , the Fed will announce a new rate, followed by Powell's speech. At the very least, increased volatility is guaranteed for the evening, so hedge your positions and uses stop orders and stock up on popcorn 🍿 Trading with leverage during this period is not worth it. 🤫 96% for the rate to remain unchanged - 5.5% 👎 4% for a rate cut to 5.25% today) 🔼 A rate cut is definitely an unexpected positive and a very likely breakthrough of the OKX:BTCUSDT price upwards, according to the 🐳 blue scenario. 🔽 Leaving the rate unchanged + Powell's standard comments: “the dynamics are good, but it's still far from the desired 2% inflation and blah blah blah... - this is a continuation of the correction of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price to $62000 according to the 💔 red scenario So which scenario is closer to your heart: 🐳 or 💔 ? Write at comment (50 🚀 and we will add BTC.D and USDT.D charts to this idea)
by P_S_trade
11
Bitcoin's Next Two Years: Accumulation to Parabolic PeakBitcoin Technical Analysis: Upcoming Two-Year Cycle Market Structure Overview Current market structure analysis indicates that Bitcoin is in the final stages of its accumulation phase before a mini bull run. Key market structure zones and projected price targets for the next two years are outlined below: Accumulation Phase Current Support Zone: $57,405 - $61,302 Bitcoin is consolidating within this range, indicating strong accumulation by long-term holders and institutional investors. Mini Bull Run Projected Highest High: $91,236 As Bitcoin breaks out of the accumulation phase, we anticipate a mini bull run with the highest high reaching approximately $91,236 . This phase is expected to be driven by increasing demand and positive market sentiment. Correction Cycle Main Support Zone: $47,620 Following the mini bull run, a slow correction cycle is projected to commence, bringing Bitcoin down to a main bottom support around $47,620 . This correction is seen as a healthy pullback, setting the stage for the next bullish phase. Parabolic Bullish Cycle First Target: $139,130 From the $47,620 support zone, Bitcoin is expected to begin a parabolic bullish cycle. The first significant target in this cycle is around $139,130 , marking a substantial price appreciation. Parabolic Cycle Correction and New Targets Maximum Target: $236,000 Following the initial parabolic run, Bitcoin is projected to undergo a correction before ascending to new heights. The absolute maximum target for this 3.5-year cycle is estimated to be around $236,000. Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Bitcoin Japanese Index Decline: The recent rapid decline in the Japanese index has introduced uncertainty in the Asian markets. Investors are increasingly looking for safe-haven assets, which could boost demand for Bitcoin. US Market Sentiment: With the US markets closing in the red on Friday and gold prices reaching an all-time high, there is a growing shift towards alternative investments like Bitcoin. Japanese Yen Weakness: The continued decline of the Japanese yen is anticipated to accelerate Bitcoin’s mini bull cycle correction. This macroeconomic trend is likely to contribute to the expected decline to the $47,000 support zone before the parabolic bullish phase. Conclusion Bitcoin's market structure suggests a promising outlook for the next two years, characterized by significant price movements and opportunities for strategic investments. The interplay between macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s inherent market cycles underscores the importance of staying informed and agile in response to evolving market conditions.
Long
by wikitrades
4
Bitcoin Update in Daily Timeframe: $60k IncomingBTC in the higher timeframe (HTF) got rejected perfectly from the resistance trendline. BTC once again failed to break above the resistance trendline, indicating a correction in the coming days. The $60k range holds as strong support for BTC, but there's high liquidity ranging between $55k to $58k. If the price shows further correction, it will be interesting to see whether $60k holds the price or gets rejected like before. I am placing my buy orders at $60k, $58k, and $55k for spot and leverage trades. Do your own research before investing. Trade safely. Regards, Team Dexter #Crypto
by Dexter_The_Trader
BTC - Short-term Neutral, slightly bearishBTC - as of 4:39 PM MST 8/1/24, BTC is currently neutral. We held at the 50 DMA, hit some selling down to my previous target of 63k to 64k, I expect with fear and greed neutral that BTC tomorrow could easily go either way. Based on the time BTC spent on the upper part of the long-term sideways channel, we could easily see BTC test the 100 or 200 DMA. That doesn't mean it will go straight down, we might see some buyers Friday through Sunday but I expect any bullishness in the short-term will be short-lived without a catalyzing event or a positive news cycle. A break below the 200DMA could see BTC test the lower bounds of the sideways channel (50k - 52K). Will need to keep an eye on the weekly close and RSI to indicate if we flip bullish again.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by DClayton