BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?
Hello, colleagues!
So, what we have in the middle of the trading week:
Since the last review Bitcoin managed to rewrite its high once again and reached above 108K on the Bitstamp exchange.
Also yesterday was the Fed meeting, the decision of which was to lower the rate by another 25 basis points and followed by the traditional J. Powell conference, during and after which the shedding started in many markets.
#BTC
As for bitcoin specifically, the correction was asked for a long time ago and the asset corrected only by 9% from its high and this decline cannot be called unexpected. At the moment, BTC continues to stay in the trend and there is still room for the correction to continue at least to the upward support at $97-98K and we can't exclude the stabbing even lower, to the trading boundary at 94K. But, in general, from these values I expect a buyback and continuation of growth.
I expect such another near-term decline, mentioned above, within the framework of working out of the candlestick formation Absorption on 1D. For the first time in a long time the asset showed a strong bearish candle and just covered the gap for the last weekend on the CME exchange. In any case, a correction is necessary for any healthy market, whether bullish or bearish.
If we compare each post-halving cycle on the logarithmic chart of the 1Mes TF, we can see that the asset has continued to rise for at least another year. Therefore, there is every chance to continue rising until at least Spring 2025, or even Q4.
Btcupdate
BTC LONG TP:113k 16-12-2024The upward trend is expected to continue, targeting a rise towards 113k, with a potential spike reaching between 116k and 118k. Ideal entry points are around 104k to 106k, while stop losses should be set below 101k-102k. Make sure to adjust everything according to your trading style. This projection should materialize within 24 to 30 hours; otherwise, it may need to be discarded. Stay updated with market developments. #Bitcoin #Trading
Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles
⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️
Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨
Caution is strongly advised.
Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉
🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals
- ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal
- 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal
We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key!
⏳ The Danger of FOMO
It’s tempting to trade when:
- The market moves 24/7 🌐
- Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊
- News and activity are constant. 📢
But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains.
✅ What to Do Instead:
- Don’t chase the hype.
- Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk.
🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient
Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...
Not to scare anyone, testing 3 situations..... on the last developed tool.
1. growth on the last 2 fractal structures is over, so a fall follows and the trend will change, but the older structure allows maximum growth around 118000.
2. a global decline follows around 46/43000 and then 37/36000/ on the current chart.
3. very, very soon we are in for a correction in the 66666 area..... many altcoins will probably make a new low and then a rapid rise - here I am testing a correction following a growth pattern. ....
I wrote for the future.
...This is not investment advice.
...If anyone finds my postings useful and wants to thank me, they can always find me in the comments.
Disclaimer, the author of this article has not and will not open positions in bitcoins, this article is a way to analyze the price, do not open positions based on the above.
Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?
Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important.
Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction.
Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction.
In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts.
What will happen next?
Two main scenarios now:
1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values.
2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the sellers. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels.
At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side.
Write in the comments, what is your mood? Do you want to sell or strong hold?
BTC at a Crossroads: Will We Crash to 50K or Blast Off to 117K?BTC Update
Hey team, here’s the scoop on Bitcoin right now. We’re at a key level, and the next move could set the tone. Let’s break it down:
If BTC drops below 103,445, we could see a dip to 80–85K. If the pressure keeps building, it might even slide to 50–53K.
But if BTC breaks above 108K, we could rally to 117K before things cool off again.
Trading can feel uncertain, but it’s all about being prepared. No matter what happens, trust your plan, stay patient, and take it step by step. You’ve got this!
By the way, if you’re curious about how to balance trading and wellness—or just want to chat about trading mindset—send me a DM. Let’s win together, on and off the charts.
What’s your take—are we heading up or down from here?
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
BTC/USDT SHORT TERM TARGET AND IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVELS!!!Bitcoin's surge towards $112,000 excites investors, but caution is warranted. Strong weekly closes fuel optimism, yet corrections loom. Support levels at $92,690, $92,551, $83,470, and $74,541 offer potential buying opportunities. The 5EMA suggests short-term strength, with prices above the moving average.
However, this rally presents a problem for altcoins. Bitcoin's non-bearish dominance stifles their growth potential. Typically, altcoins thrive when Bitcoin's dominance wanes or stabilizes. This creates a dilemma for diversified crypto portfolios.
The solution? Monitor Bitcoin's dominance closely. A shift could spark altcoin momentum. Meanwhile, focus on Bitcoin's journey, using support levels as guideposts. If breached, watch $55,017 for a possible trend reversal. Adapt strategies as market dynamics unfold.
$BTC Looks bullish and ready for more ATHs - LONGCRYPTOCAP:BTC Bullish engulfing on prev 4H close, $107,461 given resistance in effect, Key support at $103,093, $104,987 support yet to be tested. Looks great on 1D, more ATHs to come, $107,857 latest ATH closed with a wick at given resistance $107,461 and testing.
Prediction : Next key resistance areas could be $110,423, $112,255-$112,893, $114,674, $116,908, $119,756.
Chasing the btc top!This is MACD (not logarithmic) and I found interesting how it seems we are in the parabolic phase and the macd is crossing bullish on the daily. We might be running next for a movement close the top or the actual top. Take a close look when the macd breaks bellow 0 and the parabola gets invalidated, this might be the started of the next bear market.
Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
BTCUSDT 4h-8h long updatelast BTC idea was a succes check it out for reference. we managed to find good support on the SND after some bloody absorption which made me take a nice and easy 2rr trade. it might not seem much to some of you but this is how real trading goes. actual analysis, actual trading rules, actual entry criteria and a good amount of backtest data to back it up. this is what makes a profitable trader. I tried to look for a re-entry on the second SND touch but it didnt match my entry criteria so i sat on my hands.
I'll be looking for new trades now since another big MB was formed which needs to be mitigated ofcourse.
Navigating Bitcoin BTC Bull Market: $120k+ After CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Tonight Bitcoin has printed another one leg up and touched our previous final target at $107k without correction. What does it mean? It means that targets for this bull run are going to be much higher. Anyway, the warning sign of correction is about to be flashed. Let's try to understand what is happening!
On the daily time frame we market the Elliott waves. Taking into account the maximum value of Awesome Oscillator (AO) current growth is still wave 3 because price reached new high but divergence on AO has happened without zero line cross. It means that currently BINANCE:BTCUSDT is printing wave 5 inside major 3. The big warning is the potential red dot printed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , to see the confirmation we need to wait daily close, so everything can be changed. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After printing red dot previously we have seen the drops in most of cases, so now it can be wave 4. Wave 4 has the target at 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci level. We suppose that price reach $86k and find support there for the new impulse to the upside. If we assume that wave 3 is finished here and wave 4 will be finished at the pointed out target, the wave 5 has the target zone between $120k and $140k. Anyway, it can be easily recalculated, we will update you with all changes.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisOverview :
I previously had doubts about whether BTCUSD would rise or fall, but this time I'm quite confident. There's a high probability that it will break through the middle line of the channel and start an upward trend. 📈
Key Technical Indicators :
Ascending Channel Analysis :
- Channel Middle Line Breakout: The price is poised to break through the middle line of the ascending channel 📊, which is a significant bullish signal. This suggests that the previous consolidation phase might be coming to an end, paving the way for a new upward movement.
- Support & Resistance: The channel's support and resistance lines have been tested multiple times, indicating their reliability. The recent price action near the support line suggests a strong buying interest at these levels. 🔒
Volume Analysis :
- Increasing Volume: Notice the increase in volume during the recent price movements 📈, especially around the channel's support line. This indicates growing interest from both retail and institutional investors, often a precursor to significant price movements.
- Volume Spikes: The volume spikes at critical levels suggest strong market reactions, either to buying or selling pressure. The recent volume increase near the support line supports the idea of an imminent breakout. 💥
Fake Breakout :
- Bearish Trap: The recent fake breakout below the channel support 👇 adds to the bullish narrative. This "fake breakout" often traps bearish traders, leading to a sharp reversal as these positions get liquidated. 🏦
Moving Averages :
- Golden Cross: The crossing of the shorter-term moving average (yellow line) above the longer-term moving average (purple line) is a classic bullish signal, known as a Golden Cross 🔄. This crossover indicates a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Conclusion :
- Given the current technical indicators, including the ascending channel, increasing volume, and the fake breakout, BTCUSD is poised for a significant upward movement 🚀. The breakout above the middle line of the channel will likely confirm this bullish trend. Keep a close watch on the middle line for confirmation of the breakout. 🔍
Trading Strategy :
- Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks above the middle line of the channel with strong volume. 📈
- Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent support level to manage risk. 🛑
Take Profit: Set take profit levels at previous resistance levels or use a trailing stop to maximize gains. 🎯
Risk Management :
- Position Sizing: Ensure your position size is appropriate for your risk tolerance. ⚖️
- Diversification: Do not put all your funds into a single trade; diversify across different assets. 🌐
Market Sentiment :
- Social Media & News: Monitor social media and news for any significant developments that might affect Bitcoin's price, such as regulatory news or major adoption announcements. 📰
BTCUSDT - 1h - Flying to a new ATHBTCUSDT - 1h - Flying to a new ATH
TRADEX BOT NEWS:
We are continuing to move forward with the development of the CEX autotrading bot. At the moment we are testing it on OKx accounts, but we are working to include other exchanges: binance, coinbase, krakken...
We have also added "all" of the exchange's trading pairs.
This will be the first version of TradeX BoT, which will work as a second layer Order Book in CEX markets, hiding our greed (TP) and fears (SL) from the exchanges.
We will have more news soon!
Thank you!
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BTCUSDT - 1h - Flying to a new ATH
The resistances are being hit until they are overcome.
That is what is happening with BTC, it could turn around in the resistance zone and easily clear the 90K to go up again and look for a new ATH. However, the bears are losing this battle, so it is more likely that BTC will look for the upper zone of the channel at 107K. Who knows if from that zone it will clear SL and liquidity gaps or will rely on 100k 102k to continue rising.
Regardless of the strategy you develop, do not forget to take precautions (SL), since BTC's turns are usually like a roller coaster.
LEVELS:
TP: 107K
SL: 101K
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Automated Cryptocurrency Trading Bots: All these strategic alternatives can be configured with TradeX BoT, since it will allow you to position in both directions without having to block any amount per position. It will only be necessary for the conditions to be met, either downward or upward, for the orders to be executed in one direction or another, taking the necessary deposits from your portfolio.
TradeX BoT (in development): Tool to automate trading strategies designed in TradingView. It works with both indicators and technical drawing tools: parallel channels, trend lines, supports, resistances... It allows you to easily establish SL (%), TP (%), SL Trailing... multiple strategies in different values, simultaneous BUY-SELL orders, conditional orders.
This tool is in the process of development and the BETA will soon be ready for testing.
FOLLOW ME and I will keep you informed of the progress we make.
I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain values that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend anyone to operate based on these indicators. Inform yourself, educate yourself and build your own strategies when investing. I only hope that my comments help you on your own path :)
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
BITCOIN Is Following 1970s GOLD Parabolic Run MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on Bitcoin here.
Bitcoin is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to Gold which ran huge coming into a new year
Do not miss out on Bitcoin as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
BTC LONG TP:106k 12-12-2024I am considering opening a long position in BTC, aiming for the zone between 106k and 108k. It is essential to set a tight stop loss to safeguard our investment and manage risk effectively. Staying attentive to market dynamics will help in making informed decisions. #Bitcoin #Trading
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend
In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies.
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024
The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out.
Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels
Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone
Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace.
Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level
Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend.
Bitcoin Trading Strategies
Breakout Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout.
Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend.
Buy on Dip Strategy
Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern.
Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position.
Short Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance.
Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher.
Volume Analysis
Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.
BTC-USDT 15MIN - Levels: Supports and ResistancesWe are still in a distribution phase with corrective signals that could lead BTC to correct 20% before continuing its rise.
TRADEX BOT NEWS:
We are developing a security system so that all users and their strategies are adequately protected.
We will have more news soon!
Thank you!
_______________________________________________________
BTC-USDT 15MIN - Levels: Supports and Resistances
LEVELS:
RESISTANCES:
102K (resistance)
103.5k (ath)
TP1: 106k
SUPPORTS:
95k (base of bullish channel)
90k (38% previous bullish impulse)
85k (50% previous bullish impulse)
81k (61.8% previous bullish impulse)
If you look at the TOTAL 3 = AlTcoins -ETH chart, you can see that at the moment it is more interesting to enter ALT values than BTC.
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Automated Cryptocurrency Trading Bots: All these strategic alternatives can be configured with TradeX BoT, since it will allow you to position in both directions without having to block any amount per position. It will only be necessary for the conditions to be met, either downward or upward, for the orders to be executed in one direction or another, taking the necessary deposits from your portfolio.
TradeX BoT (in development): Tool to automate trading strategies designed in TradingView. It works with both indicators and technical drawing tools: parallel channels, trend lines, supports, resistances... It allows you to easily establish SL (%), TP (%), SL Trailing... multiple strategies in different values, simultaneous BUY-SELL orders, conditional orders.
This tool is in the process of development and the BETA will soon be ready for testing.
FOLLOW ME and I will keep you informed of the progress we make.
I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain values that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend anyone to operate based on these indicators. Inform yourself, educate yourself and build your own strategies when investing. I only hope that my comments help you on your own path :)