Btcupdate
BTC Following the planBitcoin is following my plan. Perfect bounce and range at support, and now i placed my stop at break even to be safe. I expect a continuation of the upside moves, but i prefer to play safe because a possible manipulation can dump BTC, and if it will close below the support zone we could potentially see a 10% drop
BTC Flips Bearish, Price Plummets Below $70.5KPanic gripped the cryptocurrency market this week as Bitcoin, the world's leading digital asset, tumbled below the crucial $70,500 mark. This sharp decline was accompanied by a disheartening shift in a key technical indicator, signaling a potential bear market on the horizon.
The CoinDesk Bitcoin Trend Indicator (BTI), long a trusted gauge of Bitcoin's price momentum, has delivered a devastating blow to investor confidence. After a period of bullish dominance since late February 2024, the BTI has decisively flipped into bearish territory. This shift indicates a fundamental change in market sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal of the uptrend that had propelled Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year.
While the price plunge and the BTI's bearish turn are undoubtedly concerning developments, some analysts caution against hitting the panic button just yet. Intriguingly, trading volume for Bitcoin remains relatively stable, indicating that some level of investor interest persists despite the selloff. This ongoing activity suggests that the market might be undergoing a period of aggressive correction rather than a complete collapse.
Several factors are likely contributing to the current bloodbath in the cryptocurrency market. Mounting regulatory concerns continue to cast a shadow over the industry, with government agencies around the world scrutinizing cryptocurrency transactions and exchanges. This heightened scrutiny is creating uncertainty and deterring some institutional investors from entering the market.
Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation are also playing a role in dampening investor sentiment. As traditional markets experience volatility, investors tend to seek safer havens for their assets, and cryptocurrency often gets sidelined during these periods. Furthermore, profit-taking by short-term investors who entered the market during the recent upswing could be exacerbating the price decline.
The BTI's plunge into bearish territory serves as a stark warning for Bitcoin bulls. While the indicator doesn't guarantee a prolonged downturn, it suggests a significant shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. The coming weeks and months will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can reverse this bearish trend.
If Bitcoin can find support and stabilize above key price points, it could potentially restore some investor confidence and pave the way for a recovery. However, if the price continues its descent and the BTI remains in bearish territory, it could signal a more extended period of decline. This scenario could lead to a significant shakeout in the cryptocurrency market, potentially weeding out weaker players and fundamentally altering the landscape.
Looking beyond the immediate turmoil, some analysts believe that Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain promising. They point to the continued development of blockchain technology and the potential for wider institutional adoption as reasons for optimism. These believers argue that the current downturn presents a buying opportunity for investors with a long-term outlook, allowing them to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount.
The coming weeks and months will be a test of resilience for the entire cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin, as the bellwether of the industry, will be closely watched as it navigates these turbulent waters. Whether Bitcoin can weather the storm and emerge stronger, or succumb to the pressures of the bear market, remains to be seen. One thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market is in for a wild ride.
Bitcoin Price UpdateLook at the chart BTC is at the crucial support zone marked as green zone at $62.4k, if it breaks this zone you see 1 more leg down to $59,005, and if this level does not hold we can see 1 more leg down to the green zone marked at $52,923. There is much liquidity resting in between 52k and 59k. More chances are we can pull back from $59,005 or between.
On the chart we marked liquidity in yellow after a pullback it will take that liquidity and we see BTC testing highs again. According to the Bitcoin Exchange Liquidation Map approximately $8.76B liquidity is resting upside
Previously we told you liquidity lying above at $72,353 in our post and in our last video and after grabbing that liquidity BTC came down and it followed the plan as we predicted.
Bitcoin Cools Off After Flirting with Overheated Futures MarketThe Bitcoin market appears to be taking a breather after a period of intense activity in the futures market. Recent data indicates a decline in Bitcoin's open interest, a metric that reflects the total amount of outstanding futures contracts. This development comes after concerns arose about the futures market potentially overheating, which could lead to increased volatility.
Open Interest and the Overheating Signal
Open interest essentially measures the level of leverage traders are using in the Bitcoin futures market. When open interest rises significantly, it suggests that traders are placing more bets on the future price of Bitcoin, often using borrowed capital to magnify potential returns (and losses). This increased leverage can amplify price movements, leading to sharp swings in both directions.
Analysts observed a surge in Bitcoin's open interest in recent weeks, raising concerns about the market overheating. This situation has historically been a precursor to increased volatility, as seen in the lead-up to the FTX crash in November 2022 and the price correction in June-August 2022. Both instances coincided with periods of elevated open interest.
The Recent Cool Down
Fortunately, recent data shows a notable decrease in Bitcoin's open interest. This suggests that traders might be unwinding their leveraged positions, potentially reducing the risk of a sudden and dramatic price movement. This development is seen as a positive sign for the current Bitcoin rally, particularly by bulls (investors who believe the price will continue to rise).
The Battle for $65,000
Despite the cooling off in the futures market, the price of Bitcoin itself remains locked in a battle for the crucial $65,000 resistance level. Breaking above this level could signal a continuation of the current uptrend. However, bulls still face challenges.
Technical Indicators: EMAs and RSI
Analysts like Skew emphasize the importance of Bitcoin price action maintaining certain technical indicators. These indicators provide clues about potential future price movements based on historical price trends.
Two key indicators to watch are the exponential moving averages (EMAs) on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. EMAs smooth out price fluctuations and highlight the underlying trend. If the price can stay above these key EMAs, it bolsters the bullish case.
Another indicator to monitor is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI measures the momentum behind price movements and indicates potential overbought or oversold conditions. For the current uptrend to continue, the RSI needs to return above the central level of 50, suggesting a return to positive momentum.
Conclusion
The decline in Bitcoin's open interest offers a sigh of relief for those concerned about excessive leverage in the futures market. However, the price battle for $65,000 continues. Keeping an eye on technical indicators like EMAs and RSI will be crucial in gauging the strength of the current rally and potential future price movements.
BITCOIN DUMP 42000$ BEFORE PARABOLIC MOVE ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
what is the next move ? 🐺🤔Hello my friend .
I hope you fine ; if you readed my previous idea about BTC and also BTC.D probably you are one the people who actually survived form previous dump and now enjoy the profits ; if you missed them you can check them below :
BTC.D :
BTC :
So let's talk about the current BTC situation ; if you look at the daily chart you could defiantly see an obvious support level around the 60500$ area which is very important for BTC , if we lose this support the next support level is around the 50400$ and the ultimate support is somewhere around the 46000$ .
but for the bullish scenario we have to wait for the breakout from the downward slopping trend line which represents by the blue line , and in my opinion if BTC break above it we will see a massive run up to the 100K and even more so make sure to prepare your self for the both scenarios .
Have nice trades... 🐺
BTC - Weekly Perspective - 04/14 to 04/21Has the top arrived? A question that is on the minds of many traders right now.
I won't go into too much detail here, so let's get to the point.
Monthly bias: SETUP is not indicating a change in direction, therefore, there are “no things to worry about in this time frame”. For now, right? Don't be naive, please!
Going weekly, we have a corrective bearish pivot for the moment, as shown in the image below. Prices are below the zero line of this pivot, the best thing would be for prices to return as quickly as possible above this range (66.4K),
snapshot
Note: The red lines are support points.
We also have a corrective pivot on the short-term chart. Do not forget. "We must measure things looking at the long term, but changes always started in the short term!"
Do your analysis and good business.
Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop Loss!
See other graphic analyzes below!
Wait for further movementa symmetrical triangle in the BTC market suggests uncertainty about its future direction. This pattern occurs when the highs and lows of the price form converging trend lines, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers have taken control. Traders often see this as a potential continuation pattern, meaning the price could break out in either direction once the pattern is complete. It's a waiting game to see which way the market will move next.
Waiting for the Bitcoin Bull Run: A Look at MDIAThe recent sideways movement in the Bitcoin market has many investors wondering when the next bull run will begin. Blockchain intelligence firm Santiment suggests a specific metric to watch: the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA).
Understanding MDIA:
The MDIA tracks the average age of investments in Bitcoin held within the same wallet addresses. When the MDIA rises, it signifies that coins are being held for longer periods, with less movement or trading activity. This could indicate:
• Investor Stagnation: Existing holders are content with their positions and not actively buying or selling.
• Whales Holding: Large investors, often nicknamed "whales," might be accumulating or holding onto their Bitcoin, reducing overall market circulation.
MDIA and Bull Run Continuation:
According to Santiment, a falling MDIA suggests renewed movement from long-held coins. This could signal:
• Increased Investor Confidence: A drop in MDIA might indicate that major stakeholders (whales) are returning their Bitcoin to active circulation, potentially fueling a price increase.
• Fresh Investment: New investors entering the market with fresh capital could also contribute to a decline in MDIA.
Current Market Situation (as of April 13, 2024):
• Bitcoin is experiencing a price decline, potentially reflecting investor uncertainty.
• It's important to note that MDIA is just one indicator, and other factors can influence market movements.
Additional Considerations:
• Market Sentiment: Broader market sentiment and external factors can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Analyzing news and economic data alongside MDIA can provide a more holistic view.
• Technical Analysis: Technical indicators like price charts and trading volume can offer further insights into potential price movements.
Beyond MDIA: Implied Volatility
The recent rise in implied volatility for Bitcoin options suggests increased market uncertainty. Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of price fluctuations within a specific timeframe. A rise indicates:
• Investor Hesitation: Investors might be unsure about the future direction of Bitcoin's price.
• Increased Risk Premium: Option traders are demanding a higher premium to account for the perceived volatility.
Conclusion
The MDIA is a valuable tool for gauging investor behavior and potential shifts in the Bitcoin market. While a falling MDIA can be a bullish sign, it's crucial to consider other factors like implied volatility and broader market sentiment for a comprehensive understanding. By combining MDIA analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators, investors can make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
Further Research:
• Santiment: santiment.net
• Implied Volatility: www.investopedia.com
#Bitcoin needs to reclaim the 70K!#Bitcoin update
BTC is forming this bullish parent/symmetrical triangle pattern in the four-hour time frame; here, 200MA is working as good support.
currently tapped into the support deeper till the bottom area and reacted a bit. Price Seems to be hodling the support and might gonna reverse from here.
we need to reclaim the 70K resistance for bullish momentum.
But for now, the
Dusk is still in the air; it is better to wait for the market to stabilize.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Bitcoin Cash Halving Jitters: A Cautionary Tale for Bitcoin?
With Bitcoin's fourth mining reward halving just days away, all eyes are on the leading cryptocurrency. However, a recent price slump in Bitcoin Cash (BCH), a derivative of Bitcoin, is sending a potential warning sign to Bitcoin traders.
Understanding the Halving
Bitcoin's mining reward halving is a pre-programmed event that occurs roughly every four years. It cuts the number of new bitcoins awarded to miners for verifying transactions on the blockchain in half. This economic model is designed to control the overall supply of Bitcoin, theoretically leading to price appreciation in the long run due to scarcity.
Bitcoin Cash: A Proxy for Bitcoin's Halving?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) emerged from a hard fork of the Bitcoin blockchain in 2017. While sharing similar core functionalities, BCH has a larger block size, allowing for faster transaction processing compared to Bitcoin.
Historically, the price movements of Bitcoin Cash have often mirrored those of Bitcoin, making it a potential indicator for Bitcoin's future performance. This is why the recent post-halving price drop in BCH has some analysts worried about the potential impact on Bitcoin after its upcoming halving on April 20th.
BCH's Cautionary Tale: A 15% Slide
Following its own halving on April 4th, 2024, Bitcoin Cash experienced a significant price drop of around 15%. This decline suggests that the anticipated rise in value post-halving might not materialize immediately.
Furthermore, BCH futures markets also witnessed a significant drop in open interest, indicating a potential decrease in bullish sentiment among traders. Negative funding rates on BCH perpetual futures contracts further highlight a shift towards a bearish outlook.
Why BCH Might Not Be a Perfect Proxy
While BCH offers some insights, it's important to acknowledge key differences between the two cryptocurrencies:
• Market Capitalization: Bitcoin dwarfs Bitcoin Cash in terms of market capitalization. This vast difference means that Bitcoin's halving will likely have a more muted impact on its price compared to BCH.
• Adoption Rate: Bitcoin enjoys a wider user base and higher adoption rate compared to BCH. This translates to a potentially more robust and resilient market for Bitcoin.
What to Expect for Bitcoin's Halving
Despite BCH's recent price slump, predicting the exact impact of Bitcoin's halving remains a challenge. Here are some factors that could influence Bitcoin's post-halving performance:
• Institutional Investment: Increased institutional investment in Bitcoin could provide significant support for the price post-halving.
• Regulatory Landscape: Evolving regulations surrounding cryptocurrencies can significantly impact investor sentiment and market stability.
• Overall Market Conditions: Broader economic factors and the prevailing risk appetite in the market will also influence Bitcoin's post-halving trajectory.
A Measured Approach: Long-Term Perspective
While the BCH price movement post-halving is a cause for some concern, it shouldn't be the sole indicator for Bitcoin's future. Investors should approach the upcoming halving with a well-rounded perspective, considering the unique fundamentals of Bitcoin and the broader market environment.
Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated a tendency for price appreciation in the long term after halving events. However, short-term volatility is inevitable. Investors should exercise caution and adopt a long-term investment horizon when navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
The Bottom Line: A Learning Experience
The recent price behavior of Bitcoin Cash serves as a valuable learning experience for Bitcoin traders. It highlights the inherent volatility in the cryptocurrency market and the potential for short-term setbacks even after anticipated positive events like a halving. While BCH might not be a perfect proxy, its performance offers a glimpse into the potential psychological impact of a halving on investor sentiment.
#BTC/USDT Technical Analysis. #BTCUSDT Update: Our initial scenario is unfolding perfectly so far.
BTC is likely to go higher when the BTC Dominance hits 58%+ followed by a correction which is likely to lead to an altseason.
Do you believe BTC will surge past $80,000, or will it continue to move sideways until the halving?
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Unlocking Bitcoin's PotentialTrading within the price channel defined by the Bollinger Bands involves using the upper band as resistance and the lower band as support. Traders often utilize these bands as dynamic levels to guide their decision-making process.
When the price approaches the upper band, it indicates potential overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal or a temporary pause in the upward momentum. This level serves as a resistance point where traders might consider selling or taking profits.
Conversely, when the price nears the lower band, it suggests potential oversold conditions, signaling a potential reversal or a temporary pause in the downward momentum. The lower band acts as a support level, where traders may consider buying or entering long positions.
In addition to the Bollinger Bands, traders often use technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to confirm their trading decisions.
An RSI trending upwards indicates strengthening buying pressure, suggesting potential upward momentum in the price. When the RSI is rising, it suggests that the buying force is increasing, supporting the idea of a bullish trend.
Similarly, a weakening selling force, as indicated by the MACD, further reinforces the bullish outlook. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line and moves into positive territory, it suggests a shift towards bullish momentum.
With all three indicators—Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MACD—pointing towards potential upward movement in the price, traders may consider long positions or buying opportunities. However, it's essential to monitor market conditions closely and manage risk appropriately.
BTC Bullish ☀️ Over the Next Week - Further Upside LikelyThe cryptocurrency trend was positive over the past 24 hours ahead of Bitcoin’s halving next week and despite the release of higher-than-expected US inflation data that initially pushed prices lower.
“Whether the Fed cut rates 25bps in June or not isn't the long-term driver of bitcoin prices right now. It's a marginal factor. ETF flows + rising deficits matter more, and they are lining up very well for bitcoin,” commented Matt Hougan, Bitwise Invest’s chief investment officer.
The spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) approved in the US three months ago exactly recorded $124 million in net inflows on Wednesday. There are currently roughly 19,680,000 Bitcoins in circulation.
“Investors in US ETFs own 838,730, or 4.3 %. If we exclude the BTC that has not moved in the last 3 years (9,650,000), the US ETFs own 8.4%. If we exclude the BTC that has not moved in the last 1 years (15,190,000), the U.S. ETFs own 18.7%,” the crypto profile @HODL15Capital noted.
Quarterly regulatory filings starting to drip in also show that financial advisers have acquired spot Bitcoin ETFs. Signal Advisors, for example, reported that it holds more than 20,000 of BlackRock’s NASDAQ:IBIT ETF, BlockBeats reports.
A bullish sun shines over the global crypto market in the next 24 hours, including Bitcoin and Ether, signaling upside potential. Over a one-week horizon, the trading conditions will be mixed with bearish clouds lingering over Uniswap, Polkadot, Ripple’s XRP and Binance Coin, indicating downside risks. The sun will, however, continue to shine over both Bitcoin and Ether over this medium-term time horizon.
Follow us for more crypto news and crypto weather reports!
BTC to 60-57KBTCUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Mode: Corrective
Structure: gray Wave 'c'
Position: red wave (w)
Direction Next higher degrees: red wave (x)
Details: gray wave 'b' completed at 71391.72 and gray wave 'c' is in play
Target : this is not a trade it just an analysis for my personal review.
Wave Cancel invalid level: Daily closing above 70k.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.