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Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
BTC/USDT Futures: Testing Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection 1. Trend Direction: Bitcoin is in a downtrend with a descending trendline acting as resistance. Price is currently testing resistance at $84,000 - $85,000. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: Around $84,500 - $85,000 (purple zone), aligned with the descending trendline. Support: Strong demand near $80,000 - $81,000. 3. Potential Breakout or Reversal Points: If BTC breaks above $85,000 with strong volume, it could trigger a bullish breakout. If BTC fails to break resistance, it may reject and retest support at $80,000. 4. Entry & Exit Points: Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above $85,000. Take Profit (TP): $88,000 - $90,000. Stop Loss (SL): Below $83,000. Short Entry: If price rejects resistance and shows bearish signals. TP: $81,000 - $80,000. SL: Above $85,500. 5. Risk-Reward Assessment: Breakout trade offers higher reward, but must be confirmed with volume. Short trade has safer risk management if rejection is confirmed. Final Thoughts: Bullish scenario: Break above $85,000 → Targeting $88,000+. Bearish scenario: Rejection at resistance → Retest $80,000. Watch for volume confirmation and candlestick patterns before entering. BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Would you like further insights or adjustments? 🚀
by bimasandi
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup – March 15, 2025This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading setup on a 30-minute timeframe from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 📌 Entry Price: 84,375 📌 Stop Loss: 85,500 (Red Zone - Risk Area 🚨) 📌 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 83,429 TP2: 82,640 Final Target: 81,259 🔍 Analysis: The trader is setting up a short position (expecting BTC to decline). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) seems favorable, as the target is much lower than the stop loss. If BTC drops below 83,429, further declines toward 81,259 are expected. If BTC breaks above 85,500, the trade is invalidated. 🛑 Conclusion: A bearish trade setup looking for BTC to decline. 📉 Watch for confirmation of downward movement before entering.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
Bitcoin, S&P, Gold: Market Decline & DivergenceThe intricate dance of financial assets often reveals hidden correlations and predictive patterns. Recently, the synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has raised concerns, while gold's historic rally has left Bitcoin trailing. However, a deeper dive into the data suggests a potential turnaround, hinting at a shift in market dynamics. For much of the past few years, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong correlation with the S&P 500, behaving as a risk-on asset.1 When the stock market surged, Bitcoin often followed suit, and conversely, market downturns typically coincided with Bitcoin's price depreciation. This correlation stems from shared macroeconomic drivers, such as interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and overall investor sentiment. The recent parallel decline reflects anxieties surrounding persistent inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, this synchronized movement doesn't tell the whole story. While Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have been grappling with downward pressure, gold has embarked on a remarkable rally, reaching unprecedented heights. This surge is fueled by several factors, including substantial inflows into gold ETFs, escalating geopolitical tensions, and heightened market volatility. Gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset has been reaffirmed, as investors seek refuge from the turbulence in equity and cryptocurrency markets. The divergence between Bitcoin and gold is particularly striking. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, a metric that reflects the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold, has broken a 12-year support level. This breach signals a significant shift in investor preference, with gold emerging as the dominant asset. The recent climb of gold to a hypothetical $3,000 mark (or equivalent in other currencies) further underscores this trend, demonstrating its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty. The observed pattern of Bitcoin breaking its multiyear uptrend against gold bears a striking resemblance to the market behavior witnessed between March 2021 and March 2022. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a similar decline relative to gold, ultimately leading to a substantial drop in its dollar value. This fractal pattern suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for further depreciation, potentially falling below the $65,000 mark. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that historical patterns are not infallible predictors of future performance. Market dynamics are constantly evolving, and unforeseen events can significantly alter the trajectory of asset prices. While the current data points towards a potential decline for Bitcoin, there are countervailing factors that could trigger a reversal. One such factor is the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. As more institutional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, the market may become less susceptible to short-term fluctuations driven by retail sentiment. Moreover, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a decentralized store of value remains a compelling narrative for many investors. Additionally, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. As governments and regulatory bodies establish frameworks for the operation of digital asset markets, investor confidence may improve, leading to renewed interest in Bitcoin. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is also anticipated to reduce the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which could potentially drive up its price. While the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may persist in the short term, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest a potential decoupling in the long run. As the cryptocurrency market matures and gains wider acceptance, its correlation with traditional asset classes may weaken. The recent divergence between Bitcoin and gold highlights the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. While gold has proven its resilience in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin offers the potential for substantial returns in the long term. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when allocating capital to these assets. The breakdown of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is a concerning indicator, however, the cryptocurrency world moves quickly. The market is driven by new innovation, and adoption. The market has been known to have large pullbacks, followed by even larger rallies. The current market may be pricing in a large amount of fear, and a simple change in the news cycle could cause a large change in the price of bitcoin. In conclusion, the current market dynamics present a complex picture. The synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, coupled with gold's historic rally, suggests a potential downturn for Bitcoin. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and a maturing regulatory landscape, could trigger a reversal. Investors should remain vigilant, monitor market trends, and make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the underlying fundamentals. The data suggests a potential turn around, but only time will tell if the market will comply.
by bryandowningqln
$84K BTC Battle, ETF Resilience, and Macroeconomic ShadowsBitcoin's journey remains a captivating saga of volatility, resilience, and the interplay of technical indicators and macroeconomic forces. Recently, the cryptocurrency surged past $84,000, reigniting bullish sentiment, but faces a critical test at a key resistance level.1 This surge, fueled by a broader rebound in risk assets, pushed BTC above its 200-day moving average, a pivotal benchmark for assessing long-term trends. However, this bullish momentum is juxtaposed with significant selling pressure, ETF outflows, and lingering concerns about regulatory and macroeconomic landscapes. The 200-Day Moving Average: A Battleground for Bulls The 200-day moving average is a widely recognized technical indicator that provides insight into the long-term trend of an asset. For Bitcoin, consistently closing above this level signifies a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The recent breach is a positive sign for bulls, indicating renewed confidence and potentially attracting further investment. However, a sustained close above this level is crucial to solidify the bullish outlook. The importance of this level is highlighted by the narrative that a weekly close above this average would confirm a market bottom. This emphasizes the significance of longer timeframes in validating trends in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market. $86K or $65+K: A Price at a Crossroads Bitcoin's price currently finds itself at a critical juncture. The immediate challenge is breaching the $86,000 resistance level. A successful breakout could pave the way for further gains, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to overcome this resistance could lead to a pullback towards the $65,000 support level. This range represents a crucial battleground for bulls and bears, with the outcome likely to determine the short-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price. MVRV Ratio: A Potential Reversal Indicator The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is another key metric that investors closely monitor. It compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, providing insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions. A high MVRV ratio suggests that Bitcoin is overvalued and prone to a correction, while a low ratio indicates undervaluation and potential for a rebound. The MVRV ratio nearing a key level suggests that a major reversal could be imminent, adding another layer of complexity to Bitcoin's current price action. ETF Resilience Amidst Volatility Despite a 25% price drop, Bitcoin ETF investors have maintained a relatively strong stance. This resilience is reflected in the collective $115 billion in assets under management by US Bitcoin ETFs. This demonstrates the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. However, since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion. This outflow points to a potential shift in investor sentiment, possibly driven by concerns about market volatility or macroeconomic uncertainties. The strength of the ETF market is a double edged sword. While significant holdings demonstrate institutional buy in, large outflows can increase sell pressure on the underlying asset. Selling Pressure and Macroeconomic Shadows Bitcoin's recent decline is attributed to intensified selling pressure, reflecting a broader trend of risk aversion in the market. This selling pressure is exacerbated by concerns about the potential impact of digital currencies on traditional banking systems. Banks are increasingly weighing the implications of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, leading to regulatory scrutiny and potential policy changes. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Concerns about inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions are contributing to market volatility and impacting the demand for risk assets, including Bitcoin. Presidential Policy and Market Sentiment A presidential policy aimed at creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve initially sparked optimism among investors. However, this initial enthusiasm waned, highlighting the complex interplay between policy announcements and market reactions. While such policies can signal government acceptance of cryptocurrencies, they may not always translate into immediate price appreciation. The market's reaction suggests that investors are more focused on broader macroeconomic trends and regulatory clarity. The lack of sustained positive impact from the policy announcement underscores the importance of addressing fundamental concerns about Bitcoin's long-term viability and regulatory framework. Navigating the Volatility Bitcoin's current situation highlights the inherent volatility and unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Investors must remain vigilant and adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. The interplay of technical indicators, ETF flows, and macroeconomic factors creates a complex landscape that requires careful analysis and strategic decision-making. In conclusion, Bitcoin's battle at $84K, coupled with the resilience of ETF investors and the shadow of macroeconomic uncertainties, paints a picture of a market at a critical juncture. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can sustain its bullish momentum or succumb to renewed selling pressure. Understanding the interplay of these factors is essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency investing.
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Reversal scenariosThere is bear mood in market, its exactly what is needed for reversal, lets have a look closer. I see 3 options. 1) Manipulation is over, we reached the target of local FIBO 1.618 at 77055$ 2) Level 73764$ - its the target of Double TOP , the edge/high of the last block and 0.618 level of grand FIBO 3) POC level of last accumulation block which lasted for 255d at 67436$ - we could reach this level only with fast squeeze and fast buy back, leaving long needle on higher timeframe
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HeavyLT
BTC Buy at this Level - NFP News This Week (Volatility Risk!)Short term Buy idea on Bitcoin. This is a riskier idea because: A) BTC is showing signs of Weakness (so we are counter trend trading) B) This idea is based on NFP news timing I may wait until Monday to get clarity (unless you also trade on the weekend) Overall Idea for this is: - W1/M candles have big rejection wicks to the downside, retesting the previous Week's wick, hinting at some Buyside potential - We see divergence with ETH. - The LTF H4 shows a Break of Structure, momentum move to the upside. - We've already had a retracement down after, and it validated the gap in price (blue zone), reacting off it, hinting that it will hold. - Now I'm waiting for the next best price to enter. Again, NFP volatility can create bigger than usual spikes, so keeping that in mind. If NFP takes it higher without coming to a better price, so be it - the train will leave without me. Will wait for further PA. Price will be giving the validation to enter.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by The_Peaceful_Trader
Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going! Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
BTC: In Weekly TimeframeHere's how the weekly chart looks for BTC. With 9 hours left until the weekly candle closes, it's crucial for the next weekly candle to turn green and show a rebound. The support trendline around $80K needs to hold strong to maintain positive momentum. ~ Initial Support: $80K ~ Lower Support: $68K to FWB:73K Stay vigilant—the upcoming week will be crucial. Trade safely, and always do your own research and analysis before making any decisions.
by Dexter_The_Trader
Bitcoin's market share rises despite decline in active usersThe data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has been rising steadily since 2022. It also highlights that Bitcoin's market share of active users has fallen over time. The data shows that on-chain activity in Ethereum and other layer 1 (L1) networks has increased. OnChain data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has increased since 2022, and the upward trend is the longest in history. The data also shows that Bitcoin's active user market share has fallen as on-chain activity on the Ethereum network has increased. Amid declining users, Bitcoin dominance has increased; Matrixport shows that Bitcoin dominance has increased to a new high of over 61%. The analytics platform put the dominance higher, which was stronger than expected in the US jobs report. It said that the increased job rate indicates that the economy is recovering. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptocurrency_analystBaker
Bitcoin at $80,000. A Defining Crossroads: $65,000 or $120,000?Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture at $80,000, where market participants are engaged in a decisive battle between bullish momentum and bearish resistance. The outcome of this struggle will shape the next major move, with two distinct scenarios emerging. Scenario 1: A Retracement Toward $65,000 If Bitcoin fails to maintain its current momentum, profit-taking and increased selling pressure could lead to a decline toward $65,000. This level serves as a crucial support zone, where demand may re-emerge to stabilize the price before any potential recovery. A break below this threshold would signal a deeper correction, potentially delaying any further upside in the near term. Scenario 2: A Breakout Toward $120,000 For Bitcoin to sustain a move toward $120,000 by late March or early April, the market must see uninterrupted buying pressure over the next 10 days. There can be no hesitation—buyers need to absorb selling liquidity consistently, preventing any major pullbacks. The key level to watch in this scenario is $109,000, a major resistance zone that has the potential to act as the final barrier before BTC enters price discovery. A clean break and consolidation above this level would significantly increase the probability of an accelerated move toward $120,000. At this stage, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point, and the direction it takes from here will set the tone for the coming weeks. Whether it experiences a healthy correction or an explosive rally depends entirely on how market participants respond at these critical price levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by QuantumFusionWave
4
ETH at a Critical Support Level! Market Poised for a Big Move?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is currently trading at a 261-week-old support level, making this a crucial zone for the market. Earlier, ETH dipped to $1,754, a price level that has historically been significant. This could very well mark the bottom for ETH and potentially for altcoins. However, it's still too early to confirm. The next two weekly candles will be key, if this support holds, we could see a strong altcoin recovery in the coming months. Macro Factors at Play: The broader geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape isn't great, despite this potential setup. Markets in the US, China, and India are facing turbulence, and the crypto market is experiencing low volume and liquidity. These factors could impact price action in the short term. That said, as the chart develops over the next few weeks, we might witness significant shifts in market sentiment. Sooner or later, BTC will make its move—either consolidating or attempting to reclaim $90K—while altcoins could start rebounding rapidly. When this happens, the market could turn bullish in a matter of weeks. Stay Alert, The Opportunity Is Coming: Now is the time to pay close attention to the charts and fundamentals. Stay sharp, monitor key levels, and prepare for potential opportunities. I'll be sharing a handpicked list of altcoins that could perform well in the coming days. DYOR , Not Financial Advice. Stay tuned. Do show your support buy hitting that like button. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
3
BTC/USDT updateBefore the correction, we had already shared the most probable scenario for #BTC in Spot Club and, with a slight delay, in this channel. As expected, the price dropped around 11% in spot within wave C, leading to significant liquidity being absorbed in the market. However, we had already warned tarde-ai.bot members about this potential move in advance. We still consider our previous outlook as the most probable scenario for Bitcoin's next move. If our perspective changes, we will update the analysis accordingly.
by Tradeaione
The impact of the decline in Tesla's stock price on the BTCUSDThe change in Tesla's stock price has an impact on BTCUSD, mainly in the following aspects: Investor sentiment transmission: As a highly influential listed company, a significant drop in Tesla's stock price will undermine investors' confidence in technology and innovative assets. This negative sentiment may spread to the cryptocurrency market, causing investors to lose confidence in investing in Bitcoin. Consequently, they may sell off Bitcoin, leading to a decline in the price of BTCUSD. For example, on March 10, 2025, Tesla's stock price plummeted by more than 15%, closing at $222.15, marking its worst single-day performance since 2020. During the same period, the price of Bitcoin also saw a significant drop. Fund flow transfer: When Tesla's stock price drops, investors may withdraw funds from Tesla stocks and related investment portfolios to seek other more attractive investment opportunities. If there are no obvious other investment targets with high returns and low risks in the market, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin, pushing up the price of BTCUSD. However, if the overall market risk appetite decreases, funds are more likely to flow into traditional safe-haven assets, such as gold and bonds, rather than Bitcoin, resulting in a decline in the price of Bitcoin. BTCUSD sell @84000-84500 tp: 78500-78000 BTCUSD Buy @78000-78500 tp: 82000-82500 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BenGray9
Cold thinking on Bitcoin's "pullback moment"This morning, Bitcoin prices fluctuated again, falling below the $77,000 mark and currently fluctuating around $80,000. The market seems to have entered the "pullback moment" again. Faced with price fluctuations, I believe many friends are thinking about the same question: Is it "getting off the train to avoid risks" or "entering the market at a low point" now? This question seems simple, but it is actually complicated. Especially in the cryptocurrency market, short-term fluctuations are drastic, and various information noises are intertwined, which can easily make people lose their way. When we are in the "pullback moment", we need a calm thinking, and we should take our eyes off the price fluctuations in front of us and put them into the larger "trend" and "cycle" framework to examine. Let's take a closer look at what a trend is and what a cycle is. 1. What are trends and cycles? To understand any market, we should first distinguish between the two key concepts of "trend" and "cycle", and the crypto market is no exception. Trend: Trend is the long-term direction of the development of things and a grand and lasting force. It represents the most essential and core trend of things, just like a surging river, once formed, it is difficult to reverse. Cycle: The cycle is the short-term fluctuation in the development of things, and it is the rhythmic change of swinging around the trend line. Simply put, the cycle is in the trend. However, simple inclusion is not enough to express the complex relationship between them. If the "trend" is compared to the trunk of a tree, the "cycle" is like the rings on the trunk. When 96% of the world's population does not yet hold Bitcoin, when sovereign funds begin to include crypto assets in their balance sheets, and when blockchain technology becomes a new battlefield for the game between major powers - this galloping "digital ark" has just sailed out of the dock where it was built. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Cryptocurrency_analystBaker