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Last 133 days of the bull market!This idea gives more details about the pint in the cycle we are at right now. When measuring the duration between halving and tops we usually see the best in ~500 days after the halving. Following my previous idea about topping in October you can find the same pattern translating in 546 days after last halving. If this proves right , we are about 133 days before top. At this point we should see fireworks till October. In blue is price action in those 133 in 2017 and in yellow 2021, according to the btc nature of diminishing returns we should see peaks bellow those years.Cheers
INDEX:BTCUSD
by elalemiami
BTCUSD Analysis – Bearish Elliott Wave Structure UnfoldingAfter BTC recently made a high around 111,959, we observed a clear impulsive bearish move followed by minor pullbacks. The current market price stands at 103,396, and based on the structure, it appears that BTC is unfolding a bearish Elliott Wave pattern. If this holds, we could be in the midst of Wave 3, which typically shows strong momentum and continuation. Key downside levels to watch: 99,620 97,670 – This level also aligns with a bullish breaker on the 4H chart, making it a potential area of interest for buyers. Strategy: My current approach is to sell on pullback, targeting the formation of lower highs and aiming for a break below the recent lower lows.
Short
by Jimmy_Rebello
BTC-----Sell around 105200, target 104500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 4: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive, the price was consolidating at a high level, and the attached indicator was dead cross running. The general trend of falling is still advantageous, and attention should be paid to the strength and continuation of the falling trend; the short-cycle hourly chart retreated under pressure yesterday morning, and the US market supported the rebound and broke the high point of the previous day, but the time was wrong, so the continuation was not seen in the early morning. It was under pressure again in the morning. The current price is at a low level, and the attached indicator is dead cross running. The four-hour chart is obviously suppressed, so there is probably still a need to continue the decline during the day. BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Sell at the current price of 105200, stop loss at 106000, and target the 104500 area;
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles. Here’s the setup: Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08 Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones. If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher. Execution bias: Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870 TP1: 105,779 TP2: 106,438 Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen. More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.
Long
by SmartFlowsI
2
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡 Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻. Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉. This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good. In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range. 📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear. 💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view. ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
by fxtraderanthony
Price is coiled. Expansion is near. The setup is clean — if you BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reclaimed its 4H range low and is now driving into the midpoint of a prior leg. This isn’t random — it’s the prelude to a move Smart Money has been framing for days. Here’s the breakdown: Price respected the 0.618 (105,780) and rotated upward — that level is now the line between structure and noise First objective: OB 4H at 107,839, aligning with 0.5 → 0.382 retracement If that gets cleared with displacement, we extend into 109,621 — final premium zone before HTF liquidity is satisfied The upper wick at 111,897 is still untouched — a long-term draw that only unlocks if we break 109k with intent But if price fails and flips below 105,780, that signals fading momentum — and opens the door for a sweep toward the 4H OB at 104,116 or even the FVG 4H down near 101,998 Execution mindset: Longs are valid above 105,780 Targeting: 107.8 → 109.6 → possibly 111.9 Invalidation: Daily close below 104,116 Liquidity lies above — Smart Money is already positioned You don’t need signals when structure tells the story. You just need precision. More entries, levels, and logic? They’re in the profile description — not in the crowd.
by SmartFlowsI
Price isn’t reacting — it’s delivering.BTC just tapped into the 4H FVG with surgical precision. If you’ve been watching price the way Smart Money does, this wasn’t a surprise. It was the setup. Here's the structure: After reclaiming the 4H OB below, price expanded upward into the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4H) That delivery aligns with the 0.0 fib at 106,770.4 — a premium zone engineered for liquidity harvesting The next level above is the RB — Reversal Block — where I expect displacement to either fade or accelerate What matters now is how price reacts on the pullback into the 0.382 → 0.618 fib range (105,338.9 to 104,454.6). If we see structure hold, I’ll target 107,082.6 next. If that zone fails — all eyes go back to the OB 4H at 103,023.2. Execution clarity: Holding above 104,454 → Long bias continues Breaking 103,825 with follow-through? Reversal confirmed Clean invalidation, clean targets — no guessing The chart’s not lying. It's just speaking in algorithm. Want trades like this before they hit the box? Check the profile description. Clarity doesn’t need noise. Just rules.
by SmartFlowst
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term. Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again. After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000. In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up. for summary: Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K Strong support there—watch for a bounce If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
Short
by melikatrader94
18
BTCUSDT Trade Analysis📊 BTCUSDT Trade Analysis Previous Move (Sell) ✅ Sell executed successfully – target reached (🎯). 📈 New Trade Setup (Buy) 💡 Current Plan: Switching to buy now as the market has reached the previous sell target. New Target: Next major resistance area near 111,025 – 111,072 USDT range (🟩 target box at the top). 📍 Key Levels: Entry Zone: Above 105,000 USDT mini-resistance area (🟧 mini-resistance box). Support: Around 102,999 USDT (blue support line). Current Target (Buy): Target zone: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT. 📌 Trade Plan Summary Entry: Above 105,000 mini-resistance area break. Target Point: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT 🟩. Stop Loss: Suggested below 102,999 USDT to limit downside (🔴 red zone). 🎯 Conclusion: 🔵 Target for the buy move is well-defined and positioned above current resistance levels. 🟢 Awaiting price action above mini-resistance area for a safe entry for the next bullish leg!
Long
by VikingFx-Community
2
BTCUSDT – Ready for the next downward move🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔽 Sell | Short 🔽 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 15m -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management: 🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000 🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1% 🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $1369.86 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 104838.38 (Amount: $136.99) ☄️ En2: 105096.3 (Amount: $479.45) ☄️ En3: 105280.29 (Amount: $616.44) ☄️ En4: 105464.61 (Amount: $136.99) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 105190.14 ($1369.86) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 104215.87 (+0.93%) (RR:1.27) ☑️ TP2: 103752.49 (+1.37%) (RR:1.88) ☑️ TP3: 103166.5 (+1.92%) (RR:2.63) ☑️ TP4: 102425.86 (+2.63%) (RR:3.6) ☑️ TP5: 101614.34 (+3.4%) (RR:4.66) -------------------- ❌ SL: 105957.69 (-0.73%) (-$10) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 75X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️ 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Short
by MergicNet
Liquidity was the excuse. Expansion was the goal.This BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P move was written before it happened — clean sweep, BPR fill, and now the setup is primed. You either knew where price was going, or you reacted late. Price expanded aggressively into a clear 1H IFVG. That wasn’t just a push — it was a calculated run into a premium imbalance. Now? We're retracing. Right into the EQ of the breaker block and the 0.5 fib (105,039). Exactly where the market wants you uncertain. I’m not. Here’s the logic: 1H IFVG is filled. That’s done. Price retraced directly into the 0.382 and 0.5 fib zone. We have a defined BPR, and price is now hovering around its midpoint — ideal zone for reaccumulation. As long as 104,999–105,039 holds, I expect a continuation back into 105,891 → 106,478. If that range breaks clean, the low-hanging liquidity below 104,359 becomes a magnet. But the narrative right now? HTF is still aligned bullish. We're in the phase where most traders get shaken out before the real move starts. Trade idea: If I’m in, my invalidation is clean — under 104,699. Target is north of 106,000. I’ll scale partials at 105,799 and let the rest ride. You want more trades like this? Check the account description. I don’t just post setups — I build conviction. Let the influencers scream. I prefer precision.
Long
by SmartFlowsI
1
BTC 4H Setup – OB Rejection or Launchpad? Bitcoin is currently ranging below a 4H Order Block (OB) and forming a potential higher low. With price holding above the key 0.618 fib zone (104.1k), this could act as a springboard for continuation — or a trap. Key Levels: Support: 104.1k–103.6k (fib cluster & mid-volume node) Immediate Resistance: 105.1k (OB 4H) Breakout Target: 107.1k Fail-safe: 103.0k Scenarios: 🟩 Bullish Path: Hold 104k zone Reclaim 105.1k OB = confirmation Push toward 107.1k & higher liquidity sweep 🟥 Bearish Path: Rejection from OB + break below 104k Eyes on 103.0k as next bounce zone Plan: Long scalp above 104.2k if volume sustains TP1: 105.1k (retest OB) TP2: 107.1k SL: Below 103.6k (tight invalidation) 📌 “OB rejection or flip? Market’s next impulse hinges on this 104k–105k squeeze.”
Long
by SmartFlowsI
FVG re-entry or fail – this level decides the tone.Bitcoin tapped the 0.618 fib at ~$104,100 and front-ran the 1H demand zone. Now it's hovering at a decision point just beneath the 1H Fair Value Gap. What to watch: → Price is pressing into FVG (104.4k–104.7k), aiming for acceptance. → Value area high sits at 104,275 – acting as pivot. → Break + hold above 104.7k? Clean path to 105.8k. Plan: Entry: 104.1k–104.3k SL: below 103.6k TP1: 104.9k TP2: 105.8k (liquidity sweep) Invalidation: Rejection from 104.7k = probable retest of 103k Narrative flip potential: Buyers are defending the mid-range + FVG. Breakout would shift market structure bullish on the lower timeframes. "Acceptance above the gap = momentum reclaim."
Long
by SmartFlowst
BTC/USDT – Retest in Play After Breakdown!Bitcoin broke below its 4H ascending trendline and is now showing signs of a retest at the broken trendline zone. It tried to break the immediate resistance of $105,100 but couldn't sustain it. 📉 Breakdown confirmed Key Levels: Resistance: $105,968 | $108,941 Support: $101,539 | $97,205 Bearish Target remains near $97K if rejection holds Watch how the price reacts here — rejection could lead to further downside. A break back above $105K may invalidate the move. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendlineBreak #Retest #BearishSetup #PriceAction
Short
by ScramblerG
2
BTC didn’t dump — it tapped.BTC reached into the 1H FVG and wicked just above the OB at 104,204 — delivering premium liquidity and then reversing. Most are staring at red candles, but the real story is the reaction zone: Price tagged the 0.618 level (104,559) with precision and reversed with displacement. Now what? We're mid-delivery. If BTC can reclaim 104,800–105,000 (mid OB/FVG confluence), a strong move into 105,865 is likely — potentially sweeping for external liquidity near 106k. Execution Plan: Entry: 104,600–104,700 range SL: 104,200 or beneath 103,752 swing TP1: 105,365 TP2: 106,000+ Key invalidation: clean break below 104,200 with volume Bias: Bullish while above 104,200 Why: Fair Value Gap fill + OB + 0.618 convergence + responsive wick This wasn’t a sell-off. This was a setup.
by SmartFlowsI
2