Btcupdate
BITCOIN -important data about bullrun (2024 - 2025)Weekly chart displays a parbolic curve pattern and as shown we already started at the base4
-let me tell u more about the parabolic curve..
parabolic curve consist of 4 bases... price going sideway at every base then make double in short period
base 1: 24k - 44k within (84 days)
base 2: 38k - 69k within ( 49 days)
base 3: 58k - 99k within (42days)
-so i expect price go sideway from this point consolidated a base 4 then btc will pumped hard in short period (maximum 60 days)
-if u look at BTC.Dominance u will see a pretty monthly/weekly close below the multi years rising wedge pattern , 0.618 fib this is prime close ...when u applied the previous data about BTC and the Dominance data u will know that we will start an extremly bullish ALTSEASON
-My advice is to detect ur target from now and never sell too early if u gain a profit
-for explain it more i will give u an example:(AVAX)
-in 2021 AVAX pumped hard about 15X within 126days just about 4months ... do u think who bought AVAX sold it with X15 profit?
-absoultly no 99.99% didn't do that , but there is who sell AVAX with loss even when it pumped 15X and others sold at profit of 50% or 100%... imagine the feeling who buy AVAX at the dip and sold it with 50% or 100% profit.. he will wish he had been paralyzed during those 126days to get the great profit
-Therefore, .. contentment is important, but this does not make you sell too early
-Be patient with your coins in the bullrun and you will find that you have earned good profits and set reasonable targets... This is the most difficult challenge
-Because this matter of contentment does not work ...because despite all these heights that you see, you have not seen the crazy jumps yet
This is a promise from me and remember this well ..Once you see crazy jumps, you will not be able to control yourself, greed and FOMO will kill you if you do not have goals from now and a clear plan drawn up.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC Consolidating on support Bitcoin is currently consolidating around a critical support zone, with traders closely watching for the next decisive move. A breakout above resistance could ignite bullish momentum and push prices higher, while a breakdown might signal further downside. The market is at a pivotal point, and all eyes are on BTC's next steps...
#BTC - Amazing Long Setup Is #Bitcoin ready to break the legendary 100k mark that everyone is awaiting? Check out the analysis below!
HTF Bias:
Price broke the previous daily rejection block / supply zone / structural high,
marked with a purple rectangle, which now means it should hold as a demand
zone for later pullback
From the swing low to high, if we trace a fibonacci retracement, we see that price perfectly rejected from the **Golden Zone - 0.618 - 0.768 **(in this case it barely hit 0.618)
It bounced back to mitigate supply zone left behind, leaving behind the same
flip zone (supply turning to demand zone), reversed and now it just sweeped the
most recent liquidity, showing clear rejection signs, forming a huge wick
LTF Bias:
Now that the HFT is aligned with LTF, all that matters is where we entry the trade
Given we already sweeped the most obvious liquidity, this is how I would place my trade
Stop loss below the most recent sweep, Take Profit at the 1.236 mark on the Fibonacci Extension tool
What are your thoughts on this chart? Do you have any #Bitcoin in your wallet?
What are your targets?
Follow for more daily ideas!
BTC AT IMPPORTANT LEVELBitcoin is at a pivotal juncture, testing an important price level that could define its next move. A breakout above this zone could signal renewed bullish momentum, attracting fresh interest from traders and investors. On the other hand, rejection here might lead to consolidation or a pullback, highlighting the importance of this level in shaping BTC's short-term trend. All eyes are on the charts as the market awaits the next big move..
BITCOIN UPDATE: MUST READ!!!I may get a lot of criticism for this, but before you write a hate comment, please read the update carefully.
November has been a great month for BTC, with a solid 48% gain, pushing it to a new all-time high. This growth has also benefited altcoins.
Currently, BTC is facing rejection, and if it undergoes a correction, we are likely to see levels around FWB:73K –$74k by February 2025. The RSI is already in the overbought zone and is displaying a bearish divergence pattern.
The only way BTC can avoid this rejection is by breaking above its new all-time high. I plan to follow this pattern unless BTC successfully breaks above its all-time high.
That’s all for now. I hope this helps you make better decisions.
As always, conduct your own research and analysis before investing.
Thank you!
BTC LONG TP:100k 1 HR 30-11-2024Bitcoin is aiming for 100k on a 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on establishing a long position in the 96,500 to 95,000 range. It's recommended to set a stop loss at 94,000. Please note that the entry points and stop loss are merely suggestions, so feel free to adapt them to your own trading strategy. This analysis will be invalidated if the expected movement doesn't occur within the next 30 hours. Stay sharp and trade wisely! #Bitcoin #Trading
Is Bitcoin's Liquidity Index a Reliable Indicator for PredictingBitcoin (BTC) has been making significant strides in recent times, and a new analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This prediction is based on the behavior of Bitcoin's liquidity index, a metric that measures the ease with which Bitcoin can be bought or sold.
The Significance of Bitcoin's Liquidity Index
The liquidity index is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and potential price movements. A higher liquidity index suggests increased investor interest and a stronger demand for Bitcoin. Conversely, a lower liquidity index may signal waning interest and potential price declines.
Historical Correlation Between Liquidity Index and Bitcoin Price
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between Bitcoin's liquidity index and its price. In the past, periods of high liquidity have often preceded significant price rallies, while periods of low liquidity have coincided with price corrections.
The 2025 Prediction
Based on the current trend of the liquidity index, analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This projection is supported by the historical correlation between the index and Bitcoin's price.
However, it's important to note that this prediction is based on the assumption that the historical correlation between the liquidity index and Bitcoin's price will continue to hold. While this assumption is reasonable, it's not guaranteed. Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price trajectory, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and geopolitical events.
Potential Correction After the Peak
Following the projected $102,000 peak, Bitcoin may undergo a correction to around $70,000. This potential correction could be driven by profit-taking, overbought conditions, or a shift in market sentiment.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price
Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years:
1. Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can significantly influence Bitcoin's price.
2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and drive Bitcoin's adoption.
3. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, can provide significant price support.
4. Network Upgrades: Technological advancements and network upgrades can enhance Bitcoin's scalability and efficiency, attracting more users and investors.
5. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment, including fear, greed, and speculation, can play a significant role in short-term price fluctuations.
Conclusion
While the liquidity index suggests a potential $102,000 peak for Bitcoin by January 2025, it's essential to approach this prediction with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making any investment decisions. It's also crucial to diversify one's investment portfolio and manage risk effectively.
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its long-term potential remains significant. However, investors should be prepared for both upside and downside volatility in the short term.
Analyzing Liquidity Dominance: Key Data Insights
The chart provided offers a comprehensive view of Liquidity Dominance within the cryptocurrency market, showcasing pivotal relationships between market activity, trading volume, and liquidity flow. This analysis dissects the chart and explores key patterns, trends, and their implications for traders and investors.
Understanding Liquidity Dominance
Liquidity dominance represents the proportion of trading volume, capital flow, or liquidity concentrated in specific assets or market sectors. It serves as a barometer for understanding market behavior, as it highlights where capital is being deployed or withdrawn. On my chart, liquidity dominance provides a lens into the dynamics between:
Stablecoins (e.g., USDT): Representing safety and risk aversion.
Altcoins: Capturing speculative capital.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Indicating market confidence in Bitcoin versus other assets.
Key Observations from the Chart
1. Stablecoin Liquidity Dominance (USDT.D)
Current Trend:
A noticeable decline in USDT.D suggests that capital is moving out of stablecoins, signaling increased risk appetite among traders. This typically aligns with bullish sentiment in the broader market, as investors allocate funds to Bitcoin or altcoins.
Market Implications:
If USDT.D continues its downward trajectory, we could expect a rally in cryptocurrencies, particularly in altcoins, as traders seek higher returns.
A sudden reversal in USDT.D (spiking higher) could signal market uncertainty or panic, as investors flee to stable assets.
2. Bitcoin Liquidity Dominance (BTC.D)
Current Trend:
The relatively stable BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin retains its share of liquidity without significant outflows to altcoins. This suggests that while altcoins may rally, Bitcoin remains a primary safe haven for large capital.
Market Implications:
A breakout to the upside in BTC.D could signal a Bitcoin-led market cycle, often observed during early bull markets.
A breakdown in BTC.D could indicate the onset of an "altseason," where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
3. Altcoin Liquidity (TOTAL2 - Altcoin Market Cap)
Current Trend:
The chart indicates increasing TOTAL2 dominance, showing growing interest in altcoins. This suggests speculative capital is rotating from Bitcoin or stablecoins into altcoins, likely driven by expectations of higher returns.
Market Implications:
A continuation of this trend supports the idea of an emerging altcoin season, especially if TOTAL2 outpaces BTC.D consistently.
If TOTAL2 stagnates or declines, it may signal profit-taking or reduced confidence in altcoin performance.
Key Data Insights
1. Divergences Between USDT.D and BTC.D
A strong divergence between USDT.D and BTC.D often highlights market turning points:
Bullish Divergence:
If USDT.D declines while BTC.D rises, it suggests strong confidence in Bitcoin leading the market, often a precursor to a bull run.
Bearish Divergence:
If USDT.D increases while BTC.D falls, it indicates risk aversion and capital flight to safety, hinting at potential market downturns.
2. Correlation Between TOTAL2 and USDT.D
The inverse correlation between TOTAL2 and USDT.D is a critical marker:
As TOTAL2 rises and USDT.D declines, it signals risk-on behavior with a focus on altcoins.
If TOTAL2 falls alongside a rise in USDT.D, it could indicate market-wide selling pressure.
3. Price Action Confirmation
The interaction of liquidity dominance with price action across key support and resistance zones provides confirmation of market sentiment. Key observations include:
Strong resistance in BTC.D coinciding with declines in TOTAL2 could signal a Bitcoin-led consolidation phase.
Support in TOTAL2 while BTC.D declines suggests capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a rally.
Predictions Based on Current Trends
Short-Term Outlook:
With USDT.D trending downward, the market appears to be in a risk-on phase.
If BTC.D remains stable while TOTAL2 gains dominance, altcoins are likely to experience significant upside.
Medium-Term Outlook:
A breakout in TOTAL2 above key levels would confirm altseason momentum, particularly if USDT.D continues to decline.
However, if USDT.D rebounds sharply, expect market-wide corrections, with Bitcoin potentially absorbing most of the liquidity.
Long-Term Outlook:
Sustained declines in BTC.D combined with TOTAL2 growth could indicate prolonged altcoin outperformance.
Conversely, a reversal in BTC.D dominance with stable USDT.D suggests a return to Bitcoin-led cycles.
Strategies for Traders
1. Monitor Liquidity Flows
Use the interaction between USDT.D, BTC.D, and TOTAL2 as a guide for market sentiment.
Look for divergences between these metrics and price action to spot potential reversals.
2. Align with Dominance Trends
If BTC.D is rising, focus on Bitcoin as the primary trade.
If TOTAL2 gains dominance and USDT.D declines, shift focus to altcoins for higher returns.
3. Risk Management
During periods of rising USDT.D, reduce exposure to altcoins and focus on stablecoins or Bitcoin.
Use liquidity dominance trends to time entries and exits at major support and resistance levels.
Conclusion
My Liquidity Dominance chart provides a powerful framework for understanding capital flow dynamics across cryptocurrencies. The current trends suggest a risk-on environment favoring altcoins, but the stability of BTC.D implies Bitcoin remains a key player. Monitoring these metrics closely will help you navigate market cycles effectively, identifying both opportunities and risks as they arise.
Bitcoin Price PredictionBitcoin Price Prediction
this chart shows a price and time prediction for the upcoming movement. it's not accurate and it's only for educational purposes.
the PRICE extensions was generated based on the first correction.
the TIME extensions was generated based on the first wave/leg.
sell btc nowDon’t let the market mess with your emotions!
Bitcoin hasn’t done anything to confirm a pump yet. My minimum target is FWB:83K unless it proves otherwise and shows us some real bullish vibes!
Follow me if you want any updates on Bitcoin.
You can sell now and set your stop loss at 97,200.
I’ll keep you updated on the target—it’s an open target for now!
Bitcoin Breaks $97K Resistance: Path to $121K Unfolds!Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant pullback to the $90,940 level, which remains above the current support at $89,674 . This retracement has culminated in the formation of a robust inverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal indicator suggesting a potential upward trajectory. As BTC breaks through the resistance level of $97,273 , our focus shifts to short-term targets of $101,220 and $104,890 , with a long-term objective of $121,000.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
The inverse head and shoulders pattern is a classic bullish reversal formation, indicating a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. It consists of three troughs: the head (the lowest point) flanked by two higher shoulders. The neckline, drawn across the peaks between the troughs, serves as a critical resistance level. A breakout above this neckline confirms the pattern, signaling a potential upward movement.
Technical Indicators Supporting the Bullish Outlook
Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average has recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a ‘golden cross,’ which is typically interpreted as a bullish signal.
Volume Trends: There has been a significant increase in trading volumes since March, suggesting growing institutional adoption and investor interest.
Market Sentiment and External Factors
The recent U.S. presidential election outcome, favoring Donald Trump, has been perceived as positive for the cryptocurrency market. Expectations of a crypto-friendly administration have bolstered investor confidence, contributing to Bitcoin’s surge.
Price Targets
Short-Term: Given the current momentum and technical indicators, Bitcoin is poised to reach the short-term targets of $101,220 and $104,890.
Long-Term: Sustaining this bullish trend could propel Bitcoin towards the long-term target of $121,000.
Conclusion
The convergence of technical indicators, favorable market sentiment, and the confirmation of the inverse head and shoulders pattern suggest a strong bullish continuation for Bitcoin. Traders and investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, along with market developments, to make informed decisions.
BTCUSD - Cup&Handle - For BullishBTC is currently forming a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. If the price breaks above $73,800, it could potentially rise to $130,000 during its bullish cycle.
Additionally, a bullish flag pattern suggests a price move up to $122,000, further supporting the potential for significant gains.
Based on time cycles, BTC has yet to begin its post-halving bull run, adding further weight to the anticipated upward move.
Note :
This is not trading advice—it's for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!!
The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence
In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements.
The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K
The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout.
The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay?
Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices.
Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm
Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum.
Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History
One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again.
My Position and Outlook
I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase.
In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis.
Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn
The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs.
Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down:
1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count
2️⃣ Cycle Indicators
🧵👇
1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle.
💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist:
⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than:
The previous cycle low
Even the next cycle low
✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks.
2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop.
⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off.
Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities.
👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello,
BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy.
Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue.
I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance.
Regards,
Ely
sell btc nowDon’t let the market mess with your emotions!
Bitcoin hasn’t done anything to confirm a pump yet. My minimum target is FWB:83K unless it proves otherwise and shows us some real bullish vibes!
Follow me if you want any updates on Bitcoin.
You can sell now and set your stop loss at 97,200.
I’ll keep you updated on the target—it’s an open target for now!
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce
Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce:
Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support:
This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support.
Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level:
The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices.
Key Considerations:
Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand.
Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas.
Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial.
These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce
If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.