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Btcusdanalysis

Is Bitcoin Overextended? Here's My Trade Plan If BTC Retraces!Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis 📝 🚀 Current Market Structure: The daily BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong bullish trend, with price action recently making a significant upward move. The current candles are consolidating near the highs, suggesting a potential overextension after a parabolic rally. This often precedes a corrective phase, as buyers may take profits and new participants wait for a more favorable entry. 🔍 Wyckoff Perspective: Your approach aligns with the Wyckoff Method, specifically looking for a retracement to the 50% level of the current swing. This would place the ideal entry zone around the $93,071 area, as marked on your chart. According to Wyckoff, after such a retrace, we should watch for an accumulation range—a period of sideways movement where smart money absorbs supply. The key signal to watch for is a "spring" (a false breakdown below the range), followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming demand dominance. 🌐 Fundamental Backdrop: Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by several macro factors: Institutional adoption continues, with ETFs and large funds increasing exposure. The recent halving event has reduced new supply, historically a bullish catalyst. Regulatory clarity in major markets (e.g., US, EU) is improving, reducing uncertainty. However, risks remain from potential regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (such as interest rate hikes), and geopolitical tensions. 💬 Sentiment & Analyst Consensus: Market sentiment is currently optimistic, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Greed" zone. Many analysts are calling for a healthy correction before the next leg up, echoing your expectation of a retrace. Some prominent voices suggest that a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range would be constructive, allowing for reaccumulation and a more sustainable rally. 📈 Technical Triggers to Watch: Retrace to 50% Level: Monitor for price action around $93,071–$94,593. Accumulation Range: Look for a period of low volatility and tight range after the retrace. Spring & Breakout: A false breakdown below the range, quickly reclaimed, followed by a strong bullish candle, would be the classic Wyckoff entry trigger. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
by fxtraderanthony
1
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Trend Line📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC keeps the $91 500 level. ● While it holds, the chart still points to $98 000 then $108 000.​ 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US spot-ETFs took in $591 M on 28 Apr, extending a six-day inflow streak that topped $3 B for the week.​ ● MicroStrategy added 15 355 BTC at ~$92 737, lifting corporate demand.​ ● Network hashrate set a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring security.​ ● Exchange balances sit at a seven-year low as coins move to cold storage. ● DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down. ✨ Summary Persistent ETF inflows, corporate accumulation, record hashrate, shrinking float and a weaker USD reinforce the bullish setup; staying above $91 500 supports a run to $98–100 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
Bullish Bitcoin Find ResistanceFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish above the 50-period simple moving average but lost momentum near the $95,995 resistance. It currently trades around $94,650. A breakout above $95,995 could trigger a move toward $99,560. Conversely, a close below $92,875 may lead to a drop toward $91,720, with further downside potential to $88,830 if selling pressure intensifies. >>> Prop Trading >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
CLong
by FenzoFxBroker
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys! Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds. ✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance. ⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $90,900 Resistance: $95,700
by melikatrader94
11
BTCUSD Testing Key Resistance Ahead of FOMC – Prepare for Volati🧠 Summary: Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently testing a major resistance zone around $95 000 -- this is a strong supply zone from February. We have a lot of macroeconomic data and FOMC meeting coming soon so be prepared for some volatility. 🔍 Key Levels: - Resistance zone: $94 000 - $98 000 - Support zone: $86 000 - $83 000 - Major Support zone: $72 000 - $68 000 📅 Upcoming Events: Tuesday (Today): JOLTS Jobs Openings – est. 7.5M. A beat could signal a still-tight labor market, giving the Fed less room to ease. Wednesday: Q1 GDP: Expected at just 0.5% — soft, but likely already priced in. Core PCE (MoM): Forecasted at 0.1%, which is soft and typically market-friendly, though this excludes post-tariff pressures. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls: est. +130K Unemployment Rate: Expected to hold at 4.2% 📊 Macro & Fed Context: It currently seems unlikely that the FED's are going to cut rates this meeting. (see Forbes & USA Today ). 📈 Technical Outlook: With no imminent policy shift from the Fed, Bitcoin may remain rangebound for the next few weeks. A break above GETTEX:98K would be bullish, but without a catalyst, there’s potential for a pullback — possibly toward the $72K support zone — before resuming upward momentum. 🧭 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): Patience is key here. I’m avoiding FOMO at current levels and waiting for clearer confirmation — whether that’s a breakout above resistance or a retest of major support around $72K. --- 💻 Learn more at yungzkittlez.com — Free trading education, market updates, and tools to help you trade smarter. No fluff. Just real strategies from 5+ years in the game. 🌴
C
by YungZkittlez
BTC(20250429) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive lines. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was in a golden cross operation, but pay attention to two points: First: the technical indicator signal was rising, but the price did not continue to break the high; Second: Although the attached chart indicator was shrinking, it showed a rebound trend after the retracement, and it did not continue, so the current trend was range-bound, and the rhythm was very important; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose but did not break the high yesterday, and the US session was under pressure and then supported and rebounded. It was under pressure again in the Asian morning session, with the high point in the 95700 area and the low point in the 93450 area; the current price is in a sideways correction, so do not take action, just wait and see. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at 95500 area, stop loss at 95900 area, target at 94500-94000 area; buy at 93700 area, stop loss at 93300 area, target at 95000 area; give real-time trading according to real-time trend during the trading session
Long
by Toml1314
BTC-----Sell around 94000, target 92700 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, and the price was still at a high level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross operation. Although the volume was shrinking, the price retracement could not be seen to continue at present, and the strength was relatively small. The price did not break the previous low point, so at present, the general trend remained bullish; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European and US prices continued to consolidate at a high level yesterday. The price began to fall under pressure in the early morning and continued in the morning. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was in a dead cross operation. Therefore, there is a high probability that there is still a demand for decline during the day. Pay attention to the low support position near the 92700 area below. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 94000 area, stop loss at the 94500 area, and target the 92700 area;
Short
by Toml1314
Bitcoin's Crossroads: Golden Cross Signals, Capital Floods In The Bitcoin narrative is rarely static. It oscillates between fervent optimism and deep skepticism, driven by a complex interplay of technical patterns, on-chain data, macroeconomic shifts, and evolving investor perceptions. Recently, several compelling signals have converged, painting a picture of a market potentially at a significant juncture. A rare "Golden Cross" technical pattern has formed, an event often associated with the start of major bull cycles. Simultaneously, on-chain data reveals a surge in "hot supply," indicating a significant influx of new capital and heightened market activity. Adding another layer, Bitcoin demonstrated surprising resilience and relative strength against traditional assets like gold and tech stocks during recent market turbulence, exhibiting an unusually low beta that hints at potential maturation. This confluence of technical momentum, fresh capital inflow, and changing market behavior warrants a deep dive. What exactly is the Golden Cross, and what does its appearance portend for Bitcoin? How should we interpret the nearly $40 billion in "hot supply," and what risks and opportunities does this influx of potentially newer, less experienced capital present? And critically, does Bitcoin's recent outperformance and low correlation signal a fundamental shift in its role within the broader financial landscape? This article will dissect these interconnected developments, exploring their historical context, potential implications, and the inherent uncertainties that always accompany the world's leading cryptocurrency. Decoding the Golden Cross: A Technical Harbinger? Technical analysis (TA) is a cornerstone of trading in many markets, including cryptocurrency. It involves studying past price action and volume data to identify patterns and trends that might predict future movements. One of the most widely recognized and discussed bullish signals in TA is the "Golden Cross." • What is a Golden Cross? A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average (MA) of an asset's price crosses above a longer-term moving average. The most commonly watched Golden Cross involves the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing above the 200-day SMA. o The 50-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 50 trading days, representing recent momentum. o The 200-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 200 trading days, representing the longer-term underlying trend. • Traditional Interpretation: When the faster-moving 50-day MA overtakes the slower 200-day MA, it suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening significantly relative to the long-term trend. Technicians interpret this as a potential confirmation that a bottom may be in, and a new, sustained uptrend could be starting. It's often seen as a lagging indicator (confirming a trend already underway) but one that can signal the potential for significant further upside. Conversely, the opposite pattern, where the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA, is known as a "Death Cross" and is considered a bearish signal. • The "Once Per Cycle" Phenomenon: The claim that this specific Golden Cross (50-day crossing 200-day) happens "once every cycle" for Bitcoin generally refers to its appearance after major bear market bottoms and preceding significant bull runs in Bitcoin's roughly four-year halving cycles. Historically, looking back at Bitcoin's chart, these crosses have indeed often preceded periods of substantial price appreciation. For example, Golden Crosses occurred in 2012, 2015, 2019, and 2020, each preceding major bull markets, albeit with varying time lags and magnitudes. • Historical Performance and Caveats: While historically bullish for Bitcoin, the Golden Cross is not an infallible predictor. o Lagging Nature: By the time the cross occurs, a significant portion of the initial rally off the bottom may have already happened. o False Signals: Markets can experience "whipsaws," where a Golden Cross forms briefly only to reverse into a Death Cross shortly after, trapping overly eager bulls. This was seen briefly in some shorter timeframes or even on the daily chart during choppy periods in Bitcoin's history. o Context Matters: The broader market environment, macroeconomic factors, and fundamental developments play crucial roles. A Golden Cross during a period of intense regulatory crackdown or global recession might not have the same impact as one occurring during quantitative easing and growing institutional interest. o Confirmation Needed: Traders often look for confirmation signals after a Golden Cross, such as sustained price action above the moving averages, increasing volume, or bullish follow-through patterns. What to Expect from the Golden Cross? The formation of a Golden Cross on Bitcoin's daily chart is undeniably a positive technical development that captures market attention. It suggests underlying strength and improving medium-term momentum. Historically, it has often marked the transition from a bear market recovery phase to a more sustained uptrend. However, expectations should be tempered with caution. It's a signal, not a guarantee. It indicates potential but requires confirmation through continued price strength and favorable market conditions. Relying solely on this pattern for investment decisions is risky. It should be considered alongside other factors – on-chain data, fundamental developments, and macroeconomic context – to form a more complete picture. The most reasonable expectation is that the Golden Cross increases the probability of further upside but doesn't eliminate the possibility of consolidation, pullbacks, or even failure of the nascent uptrend. The Heat is On: Understanding the Surge in 'Hot Supply' While technical analysis looks at price charts, on-chain analysis delves into the activity happening directly on the Bitcoin blockchain, providing insights into investor behavior and capital flows. A key metric highlighted recently is the rise of "Bitcoin hot supply." • What is 'Hot Supply'? "Hot Supply" typically refers to Bitcoin that has been moved on the blockchain relatively recently, often within the last few months (definitions can vary slightly between analytics platforms, e.g., coins moved within the last 1-3 months or sometimes up to 6 months). These coins are considered "hot" because they are more likely to be involved in active trading or spending, as opposed to "cold" supply held in long-term storage (often associated with HODlers). It represents the portion of the Bitcoin supply that is more liquid and actively circulating. • Nearing $40 Billion: The fact that this hot supply is nearing a value of $40 billion is significant. It indicates a substantial amount of Bitcoin changing hands and reflects a "surge in capital turnover," as described in the analysis. This suggests heightened market activity, increased liquidity, and, crucially, the entry of new participants or the reactivation of dormant capital. • New Investors Flooding In (at High Prices?): The analysis explicitly links this surge to new investors and speculators taking an interest, likely attracted by Bitcoin's recent price recovery and multi-month highs. The mention of "$95K" (even if potentially a typo or hypothetical peak target in the source analysis) symbolizes the risk that many of these new entrants might have acquired Bitcoin at relatively elevated prices compared to the cycle lows. This creates a cohort of investors with a higher cost basis. • Implications of High Hot Supply: o Increased Liquidity: More coins moving means more potential buyers and sellers, which can facilitate smoother price discovery and larger trades. o Fuel for Rallies: An influx of new capital provides buying pressure that can sustain upward price momentum. Speculative interest often feeds on itself in bull markets. o Increased Volatility: Coins held by newer entrants or short-term speculators are often considered "weaker hands." These holders may be more susceptible to panic selling during price dips or quick profit-taking during rallies, potentially leading to sharper price swings in both directions. o Potential Overhead Supply: If the price stalls or reverses, the large volume of coins acquired at recent highs ( SGX:40B worth moved recently) represents potential selling pressure as these holders seek to break even or cut losses. Interpreting the Influx: The surge in hot supply is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it confirms growing interest and provides the necessary capital flow to potentially validate the bullish signal from the Golden Cross. New demand is essential for sustained price increases. On the other hand, it introduces a layer of fragility. The market's ability to absorb potential selling from these newer, higher-cost-basis holders during inevitable corrections will be a key test of the underlying strength of the current trend. Monitoring whether this "hot supply" gradually cools down (moves into longer-term holding) or remains elevated will be crucial in the coming months. Bitcoin's Relative Strength: Outshining Gold and Tech Amid Turmoil Beyond technicals and on-chain flows, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets, especially during periods of market stress, offers valuable insights into its evolving perception. The observation that Bitcoin outperformed both gold (a traditional safe-haven) and tech stocks (risk-on assets) in April, particularly amidst "tariff turmoil" or other geopolitical/economic uncertainties, is noteworthy. • Challenging Correlations: Historically, Bitcoin often traded with a high correlation to risk assets like tech stocks, particularly during market downturns. Investors tended to sell Bitcoin alongside equities during risk-off periods. Gold, conversely, often acts as a safe haven, rallying during uncertainty. Bitcoin outperforming both simultaneously suggests a potential breakdown in these typical correlations, at least temporarily. • Why the Outperformance? Several factors could contribute: o Unique Drivers: Bitcoin's price is influenced by factors unique to its ecosystem, such as halving cycles, adoption news, regulatory developments, and flows into new instruments like spot ETFs. These can sometimes override broader market trends. o Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistent inflation concerns may lead some investors to seek alternatives to fiat currency, benefiting both gold and Bitcoin, but perhaps Bitcoin more so due to its perceived higher growth potential. o Safe-Haven Experimentation: While gold remains the established safe haven, some investors might be tentatively allocating a small portion to Bitcoin as a potential alternative store of value or hedge against systemic risk, especially if they perceive traditional systems as vulnerable. o Decoupling Narrative: Some proponents argue that Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from traditional markets as it matures and establishes itself as a distinct asset class. The recent performance could be seen as evidence supporting this view. o Coincidence/Timing: It's also possible that the timing was coincidental, with Bitcoin-specific catalysts driving its price higher while unrelated factors weighed on gold and tech stocks during that specific period. Significance of Relative Strength: Demonstrating strength during periods when traditional assets are struggling enhances Bitcoin's appeal. It challenges the simplistic "risk-on only" label and suggests it might offer diversification benefits. If this pattern persists over longer periods and across different market stressors, it could significantly bolster the case for Bitcoin's inclusion in traditional investment portfolios. Maturation Signal? The Low Beta Phenomenon Closely related to relative strength is the concept of beta. Beta measures the volatility or systematic risk of an asset compared to the overall market (often represented by an index like the S&P 500). • Beta Explained: o A beta of 1 indicates the asset's price tends to move with the market. o A beta greater than 1 indicates the asset is more volatile than the market. o A beta less than 1 indicates the asset is less volatile than the market. o A beta of 0 suggests no correlation. • Bitcoin's Historically High Beta: Traditionally, Bitcoin has exhibited a high beta, especially relative to equity markets. It was often seen as a high-volatility asset that amplified broader market moves, particularly to the downside during risk-off events. • Recent Low Beta Observation: The finding that Bitcoin displayed an "unusually low beta during recent market stress" is significant. It implies that its price movements were less correlated with, and potentially less volatile than, the broader market during that period of turbulence. • Implications of Low Beta: o Maturation Narrative: A lower, less correlated beta is often characteristic of more mature assets or distinct asset classes. It suggests investors might be viewing Bitcoin with a longer-term perspective, less prone to knee-jerk selling based on short-term fluctuations in other markets. o Diversification Potential: Assets with low correlation to traditional portfolios (like stocks and bonds) are valuable for diversification, as they can potentially reduce overall portfolio volatility. A sustained low beta would strengthen Bitcoin's diversification credentials. o Shift in Holder Base?: It could indicate a shift towards more institutional and long-term holders who are less reactive to daily market noise compared to purely retail speculators. o Store of Value Aspirations: While still highly volatile compared to traditional stores of value like gold, a decreasing beta could be interpreted as a tentative step towards fulfilling some store-of-value properties, particularly if it holds value better than risk assets during downturns. Is it Sustainable? While the recent low beta is an encouraging sign for Bitcoin bulls and proponents of its maturation narrative, it's crucial to question its sustainability. Was it a temporary anomaly driven by specific market conditions in April, or does it represent a durable shift? Bitcoin's correlation and beta have fluctuated throughout its history. Renewed market panic, significant regulatory shocks, or major shifts in macroeconomic policy could potentially cause correlations to snap back. Continued observation across different market environments is needed to determine if this low beta is a new regime or a fleeting characteristic. Synthesizing the Signals: A Complex Tapestry Bringing these threads together – the Golden Cross, the surge in hot supply, relative outperformance, and low beta – reveals a complex and somewhat contradictory picture: 1. Technical Momentum Meets New Money: The Golden Cross provides a technically bullish backdrop, potentially encouraging more participants. The SGX:40B in hot supply confirms that new capital is entering, providing the fuel that could validate the technical signal. 2. Speculation vs. Maturation: The influx of hot supply points towards increased speculation and potentially "weaker hands." Yet, the low beta and relative outperformance during stress hint at underlying strength and potential maturation, suggesting a core base of holders is becoming less reactive. This highlights the heterogeneous nature of the Bitcoin market, with different investor cohorts exhibiting different behaviors simultaneously. 3. Opportunity and Risk: The convergence creates both opportunity and risk. The opportunity lies in the potential for the Golden Cross and new capital to ignite a sustained rally, further bolstered if Bitcoin continues to act as a diversifier (low beta). The risk lies in the potential fragility introduced by the high volume of recent entrants (hot supply) who might capitulate during dips, potentially invalidating the Golden Cross and reversing the low beta trend. The current environment suggests Bitcoin is navigating a transition. The technicals point upwards, fresh capital is flowing in, and its behavior relative to traditional markets is showing intriguing signs of change. However, the presence of significant "hot" money serves as a reminder that volatility and sharp corrections remain distinct possibilities. Overarching Risks and Necessary Caveats Despite the positive signals, numerous risks persist: • Technical Analysis is Not Predictive: The Golden Cross is a historical pattern, not a crystal ball. It can fail. • 'Hot Supply' Risk: A large cohort of investors with a high cost basis can become a source of significant selling pressure if sentiment shifts. • Macroeconomic Headwinds: Persistent inflation, rising interest rates (globally), geopolitical conflicts, or a global recession could dampen appetite for risk assets, including Bitcoin. • Regulatory Uncertainty: While spot ETFs marked progress, the global regulatory landscape for crypto remains fragmented and uncertain. Unexpected crackdowns remain a threat. • Correlation Risk: The low beta and decoupling narrative could prove temporary. Bitcoin could easily recouple with risk assets during a broader market panic. Conclusion: Bitcoin at an Inflection Point? Bitcoin currently stands at a fascinating crossroads, illuminated by a confluence of compelling, albeit sometimes conflicting, signals. The rare Golden Cross offers a technically bullish omen, suggesting underlying momentum is shifting favorably for a potential long-term uptrend, echoing patterns seen in previous cycles. This technical optimism is fueled by tangible evidence of renewed interest, with nearly $40 billion in "hot supply" indicating a significant surge in capital turnover and the arrival of fresh speculative and investment capital. Simultaneously, Bitcoin's recent behavior exhibits intriguing signs of potential maturation. Its ability to outperform traditional safe havens like gold and risk assets like tech stocks during periods of market stress, coupled with an unusually low beta, challenges its historical "risk-on only" profile. This suggests a growing base of investors may be viewing it through a longer-term lens, potentially as a unique store of value or a portfolio diversifier, less swayed by short-term market noise. However, this complex picture demands caution. The very influx of capital that fuels optimism also introduces fragility, as newer entrants with higher cost bases may be quicker to sell during downturns. The Golden Cross, while historically significant, remains a lagging indicator with no guarantee of future success. And the low beta, while encouraging, could prove ephemeral in the face of severe macroeconomic shocks or shifts in market sentiment. Ultimately, Bitcoin's trajectory towards 2030 and beyond will depend on its ability to navigate these dynamics. Can it convert the current technical momentum and capital influx into a sustainable trend? Will its utility and adoption grow sufficiently to solidify its role beyond pure speculation? Will it continue to carve out a unique space in the financial ecosystem, proving its resilience and diversification benefits across various market conditions? The current signals suggest the potential is there, but the path forward remains intrinsically linked to broader economic forces, regulatory evolution, and the ever-unpredictable psychology of the market. Bitcoin is flashing signs of both renewed vigor and evolving character, making the coming months and years critical in defining its future role.
BLong
by bryandowningqln
AI Predicts the Next Big Move for BTC/USD - Trading Plan InsideI'm using AI to make daily crypto price predictions — and the next day, I fully analyze the forecast results! 📊 The goal? To build a consistently profitable intraday trading strategy, month after month. 📈 Follow along to see real data, honest results, and how AI can transform short-term crypto trading! 🚀 📈 BTC/USD Trading Plan Date: Apr 28, 2025 Current Price: 94,855.11 ✅ Long Scenario Entry: Bullish Breakout: Enter long at 95,050 (Confirmation: close above 95,000 with rising volume) Stop-Loss: Set at 94,500 (below recent support at 94,575) Take-Profits: First Target: 95,450 (below resistance at 95,500) Partial Target: 96,800 Trailing Stop: Activate above 95,500 with a 375-point trailing buffer (≈1.5× ATR) ✅ Short Scenario Entry: Bearish Rejection: Enter short at 94,350 (Confirmation: close below 94,400 with CMF < -0.05) Stop-Loss: Set at 94,900 (above resistance at 94,800) Take-Profits: First Target: 93,550 (above support at 93,000) Partial Target: 92,000 Trailing Stop: Activate below 93,000 with a 375-point trailing buffer 🔄 Re-Evaluate Forecast If: Price closes above 95,500 (bullish invalidation) or below 93,000 (bearish invalidation). CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) reverses: CMF > +0.05 (bullish shift) CMF < -0.1 (bearish shift) RSI breaches: Above 60 (overbought) Below 40 (oversold) Sudden volume spike (>150 units) without price follow-through. ⚠️ Risk Management Adjust stops and targets by 0.2–0.5% from key support/resistance levels to avoid liquidity traps. ❗ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and speculative. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. You could lose your entire investment.
C
by AI-Defo
1
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Continuation Setup – Long Opportunity Above🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! [ b]Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10): Price at $94,627, showing strong bullish momentum with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows. Hidden bullish divergence spotted on RSI, indicating potential for continued upside. Market Makers appear to be accumulating aggressively, with strong buy pressure noted in recent price action. Key Levels: Resistance: $95,400 (Fair Value Gap area) Support: $93,600 (FVG + prior resistance retest) Critical Support: $93,200 Trade Setup (Long Bias): Entry: Optimal between $94,200 – $94,400 zone. Targets: T1: $95,400 T2: $96,000 Stop Loss: $93,100 (safely below FVG and critical support). Risk Score: 7/10 – Bullish market structure supports the setup, but proximity to local highs introduces moderate risk of short-term pullback. Key Observations: Accumulation signs present with bullish candle formations and volume increases. RSI supports continuation, with hidden bullish divergence strengthening the setup. FVG areas at $93,600 and $95,400 crucial for validating the move. Recommendation: Long positions favored with tight risk management. Consider partial profit at $95,400 to de-risk, and leave a runner towards $96,000. Watch price action closely around $95,400 for signs of rejection or breakout. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
Bitcoin bulls are on the offensive; is a correction ahead?Monthly bullish outside candle Versus the US dollar (USD), Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to snap a two-month decline and pencil in a bullish outside candle on the monthly chart (textbook engulfing candles focus on the candle’s real bodies rather than upper/lower wicks). Additionally, it is important to observe that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to break the neckline of a double-top pattern, circling above the 50.00 level and indicating bullish interest. Daily support calls for attention Across the page on the daily timeframe, since coming within a stone’s throw of testing support at US$73,575, BTC/USD bulls have been on the offensive. Running above the 200- and 50-day simple moving averages at US$81,139 and US$86,425, respectively, as well as trendline resistance (taken from the all-time high of US$109,580) and resistance from US$88,622 (now possible support), this has unearthed the widely watched US$100,000 barrier as a possible upside target. With monthly flow on the verge of establishing a bullish outside candle, and scope for additional outperformance evident on the daily chart to at least US$100,000, a retest of US$88,622 as support could prompt a bullish scenario. Consequently, a possible downside move in the short term might be on the table before targeting US$100,000 as per the red arrows. H1 ascending channel in view On the H1 chart, price action has been carving out an ascending channel since last week, taken from US$91,713 and US$94,676. This has helped identify slowing momentum, visible through price action, which was unable to reach the upper channel on two occasions (red circles). Decreased appetite for higher levels can also be observed through the RSI trending lower since hitting highs of 82.00. Given the above chart studies, I feel a breakout beneath the current H1 channel would help reinforce the possibility of downside towards at least H1 support at US$89,677, conveniently sited nearby daily support mentioned above at US$88,622. And, assuming a move lower to the said support area, I would then expect bulls to attempt to make a stand and aim at higher levels: at least US$100,000. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
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by FPMarkets
Bulls Warming Up! BTC Aiming Higher – Are You Ready?Hi traders! Analyzing BTC/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is moving within a rising channel and finding support at key EMA levels. 🔹 Entry: 94,115 🔹 TP: 96,005 🔹 SL: 92,225 BTC is holding above the 100 EMA and respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel. As long as price stays above 93,300, the bullish structure remains intact, pointing towards a potential move to the 96,000 area. Volume remains stable, and the trend detector continues to signal a bullish bias. A break and close above 94,400 would strengthen the bullish momentum! Watching closely for a confirmation of strength! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
BLong
by FXOnTop
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Large Investors Show Interest Through ETFs📊 Technical Analysis BTC remains above $85 000 and holds the $91 500 level, so targets remain $98 000 and $108 000. 💡 Fundamental Analysis • US spot-ETFs drew $442 M on Apr 24. • Network hashrate hit a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring record security. • Major players are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges. • MicroStrategy added 11 k BTC. • DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down. • Post-halving issuance may meet only 20 % of ETF demand. • Latin-American remittance use keeps expanding. ✨ Summary Surging ETF inflows, record hashrate, shrinking float and broader adoption reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a move to 98-100 k while BTC stays above 91 500 USDT. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
2
Trade Plan for BTC/USD (30-Minute Timeframe)Market Context: Price is currently in a downtrend, heading toward a strong demand zone. There is a major supply zone above where selling pressure previously pushed the price down. Entry Plan: 🔵 Buy Entry: Wait for price to tap into the Demand Zone (around 93,000–93,400 USD). Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wick, or structure break on lower timeframes like 5-min). Enter a buy trade once confirmation appears. 🔴 Sell Entry: If price reaches the Supply Zone (around 95,400–95,800 USD), wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection candles). Consider selling if bearish signs are strong. Stop Loss: ✅ For Buy Trade: Below the Demand Zone (~92,800 USD), giving enough room for volatility. ✅ For Sell Trade: Above the Supply Zone (~95,900 USD). Take Profit Targets: 🎯 Buy Trade TP: First Target: Previous minor resistance (~94,600 USD) Final Target: Supply Zone (~95,400–95,800 USD) 🎯 Sell Trade TP: First Target: Minor support (~94,600 USD) Final Target: Back to Demand Zone (~93,400 USD) Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of your trading account per trade. Adjust position size according to stop loss distance. Maintain Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:2 or better. Important Reminder: Always wait for clear confirmation signals before entering. Avoid forcing trades. Manage emotions and stick to your plan!
BLong
by GoldTradeandAnalysis
1
(BTC/USD)1H Chart Analysis –Bullish Breakout Setup Toward 98,000Technical Breakdown: 🔹 EMA 9 📉 Orange line (EMA 9 close): $93,233.68 ➡️ Price is above EMA, showing bullish strength. 📦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔵 Zone: ~$92,000 - $93,000 🛡️ Acts as a support area — price could bounce here if it dips. 🚧 Resistance Zone 📍 Just above current price 📈 A breakout above this zone may trigger a bullish run. 🎯 Target Point: $98,000 🚀 Potential gain: +7.09% 📊 Strong upside target if breakout holds. 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 ⚠️ Placed just below the RBR zone to minimize risk. Trade Idea Summary: 🔽 Entry: On breakout above resistance 🎯 Target: $98,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 📈 R:R Ratio looks favorable
CLong
by Jameshead007
7