BITCOIN - preparing for something great!on 12H chart btc showing a consolidation of bullish pennant pattern.. Breaking it will provide a massive push to break the larger megaphone pattern.
The chart also shows a hidden bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Bitcoin is now on its way to retest its previous high at $109K, and if it successfully breaks through, the price is expected to surpass $125K.
Best regards Ceciliones
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Sure! Here's the analysis in English for your TradingView post:
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:
Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance successfully breaks above Zone A, it will indicate Bitcoin gaining strength relative to altcoins. This could mean a shift of liquidity from altcoins to Bitcoin.
Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance and moves downward, the next target will likely be the support zone at Zone B. This could signify increased focus on altcoins.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
BTC 50% 50%BTC was trading between the price of 91,000 and 100,000 for about 2 months. Now we have surpassed 100,000, and the price has been holding there for about 10 days. I think we will either see an interesting pump or a movement downward.
If we crash, I expect that altcoins will bleed extremely since dominance is still rising, and we know what it looks like for altcoins when BTC goes down
Bitcoin at a Crossroads Will $104K Support Hold the Line ?Bitcoin/USDT market, where price action is confined within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern reflects a period of consolidation and market indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, leading to a narrowing price range. The eventual breakout from such a formation is often significant, as it indicates the market's chosen direction.
A notable observation on the chart is the fakeout above the upper trendline. The price briefly moved past this resistance but failed to hold, retreating back into the triangle. This suggests weak bullish momentum or strong resistance, possibly trapping early buyers and increasing volatility as these positions are unwound.
Bitcoin's movement has also impacted altcoins. The retreat within the triangle appears to have triggered another round of declines in altcoin prices. Given Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market, its stability and direction often dictate broader market trends. A decisive move by Bitcoin is critical for a potential recovery in altcoins.
The $104,000 level serves as a crucial support area in the current scenario. A breakdown below this support could lead to intensified selling pressure, with the next potential targets around $102,000 and $100,000. On the other hand, if this level holds, it could act as a foundation for another attempt to break above the triangle's resistance. This would restore market confidence and likely initiate a rally.
There are two potential outcomes. A bullish breakout above the triangle, supported by strong volume, could spark upward momentum and drive altcoin prices higher. The measured move target for such a breakout would typically equal the height of the triangle projected upward. Alternatively, if Bitcoin fails to hold $104,000, the bearish scenario would see a breakdown below the lower trendline, resulting in a deeper correction.
Volume analysis is essential in this context. A genuine breakout is often accompanied by significant trading volume, while low-volume moves are more likely to reverse or fail. Traders should remain cautious, especially as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, where volatility tends to spike.
Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by external factors such as market sentiment, news events, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Considering these elements alongside the chart structure is essential for a comprehensive analysis. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the triangle before taking directional positions, with stop-losses in place to manage risk effectively.
BULISH BTCUSDT (THE CURVE LINES SPEAKING!)As in my previous analyses, I utilized curve lines; however, this time I am uncertain about the upper targets. This represents merely another perspective, and I will continue to monitor the market closely. I will update this analysis as necessary.
Here are the links to my other ideas:
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term.
Technical Analysis
A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend.
Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance:
- In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000.
Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought.
Market Performance
As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond.
Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook:
1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold.
2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply.
3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential.
Conclusion
With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum.
Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context:
Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money.
Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000.
Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment.
Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario
Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements.
Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000.
Supporting Factors:
Strong futures/options participation (open interest).
Positive spot netflows (accumulation).
Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70).
Confidence Level: Medium (60%).
Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum.
2. Bearish Scenario
Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000).
Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000.
Supporting Factors:
Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry.
Increased selling pressure in spot netflows.
Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment).
Confidence Level: High (75%).
Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory.
3. Neutral Scenario
Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news.
Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000.
Supporting Factors:
Lower volatility as expiry approaches.
Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates).
Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%).
Key Indicators to Monitor:
Netflow Data:
Increased spot inflows → Bearish.
Increased spot outflows → Bullish.
Funding Rates:
Negative → Bearish.
Positive → Bullish.
Volume & Open Interest:
High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown.
News Impact:
Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals.
Trading Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000.
Stop-loss: $105,000.
Targets: $108,000 and $110,000.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $104,000.
Stop-loss: $105,500.
Targets: $100,000 and $98,000.
Neutral Setup:
Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000.
This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 21-01-2025A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.""A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.
Skyrexio | Bitcoin Dominance: Altseason Is About to Be CancelledHello, Skyrexians!
We know how you wait for the altseason, but market is about to make the new shakeout! The CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D drop in November 2024 gives us the belief that all altcoin holders will be rich, but it has started to go up again with slow altcoins bleeding. Now we have the last chance to be saved. If now, say hello to new lows for altcoins.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Dominance dropped after printing the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . We still count this wave as the wave 1. The wave 2 in our opinion is happening now. This wave has the ABC shape which has the chance to be finished now inside the Fibonacci 0.618 target area. Moreover we can see red dot on the indicator. Next week will be decisive for crypto market. If dominance will decrease from here we will see the altseason soon.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC with a double top formation.BTC with a double top formation.
Are we in for a long sell ride?
Has the imminent midterm sell started?
Are we breaking the $100K zone towards $90K this time?
Trump swearing was the catalyst we waited for to fire this asset to the moon lately.
Let's see what plays out.
Trade with care.
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan
Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension
At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314
Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line.
Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and
"sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110
After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone.
Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE.
And start climbing up slowly but surely.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
The Trump Factors BTCUSD ?
Hey traders and investors! 🚀
Hope you're having a great day! Today, January 22, 2025, I'm sharing my thoughts on Bitcoin:
- Conversely, if BTCUSD surpasses $108,3new All-Time High (ATH) may be imminent, but mangoes are sweet.
- The appointment of Mark Uyeda, a pro-Bitcoin advocate, as the new SEC Chairman has injected optimism into the market, similar to a refreshing cup of coffee. ☕️
- Presently, the sky is blue, and Bitcoin is hovering near the Resistance zone ($107,200-$105,500), with a potential Ascending Channel forming in the 15-minute time frame. 📈
- Based on the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage ($107,632-$105,869), a downward correction is likely, but cats have four legs.
- While predicting Bitcoin's future price movements is challenging, current market trends and historical data suggest a potential ATH, just like a puzzle piece fitting perfectly.
- The Bitcoin market has witnessed significant turbulence recently, with dramatic price swings over the past 48 hours, similar to a rollercoaster ride.
-
Your feedback is valuable!
Like this post if you found it helpful! 👍
Comment below with your thoughts on the Bitcoin market! 💬
Share this post with your fellow traders and investors! 🤝
Trade safe and stay informed!
Best wishes Tom 😎
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Eyeing a Reversal from Key Support!BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Confidence Level: 8/10
Current Market Structure:
Bearish momentum with price at $102,288, testing key support levels.
RSI: 37.20, oversold with signs of a potential reversal.
MACD: Bearish crossover, with momentum (-511.49 vs -615.66) slowing.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,300-$102,500 (wait for RSI divergence confirmation).
Targets:
T1: $103,200 (1.5R).
T2: $104,000 (2.5R).
Stop Loss: Below $101,800 (recent swing low).
Risk Score: 7/10 (moderate).
Market Maker (MM) Analysis:
Institutional selling pressure evident from high-volume dumps.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: RSI showing lower lows while price holds support.
Potential liquidity grab below $102,000 before reversal.
Key Levels:
Support: $102,000, $101,500.
Resistance: $103,500, $104,200.
Order Block: $103,800-$104,000.
Recommendation:
Wait for RSI to break above 40 to confirm reversal before entering longs.
Watch for a liquidity sweep below $102,000 as a potential entry trigger.
Manage risk tightly due to bearish momentum.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for a cautious bullish setup with proper confirmation.
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