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Btcusdanalysis

BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal. In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices. www.tradingview.com Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup: 🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support. 🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out. 🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year. While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal. This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them. Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by truepersonal
1
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown Formation: The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining. The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase. Key Levels: Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.). Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside. Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300. Breakdown & Target: The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern. The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top. Additional Observations Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move. Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward. Conclusion The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline. BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum. If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated
by Anonymous-trader786
BITCOIN trading plan 25/2/20251. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of a potential sell opportunity, with a target set at $82,000. 2. Traders should closely monitor market trends and resistance levels before executing any sell orders. 3. If Bitcoin approaches the $82,000 mark, it may face profit-taking pressure, leading to a price correction. 4. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, can provide additional confirmation for the sell strategy. 5. Market sentiment and external factors, including regulatory updates and macroeconomic trends, should also be considered. 6. A disciplined approach with proper risk management will help traders maximize profits while minimizing potential losses. 7. It is crucial to set stop-loss levels to protect against unexpected market reversals. 8. Historical patterns suggest that after reaching new highs, Bitcoin often experiences temporary pullbacks. 9. Traders should stay informed about institutional activities, as large sell-offs by major holders can impact price movements. 10. While Bitcoin remains a strong long-term asset, short-term traders can capitalize on volatility by strategically selling at key resistance levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
7
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement. Two possible correction paths: 1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area. 2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range. After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics. Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected. Secondary Scenario Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable. Alternative Scenario In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226). Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bearish Trend ContinuesReferring to the previous analysis, BTCUSD remains in a dominant bearish trend, currently testing a critical support zone at the lower boundary of the double channel pattern. If the $86K level holds as a support, a potential short-term bullish retracement towards the upper boundary of the double channel at $96.8K may occur. However, failure to sustain above $86K could trigger further downside pressure, with the next key support levels positioned at the Fibonacci retracement level of $74.6K. In a worst-case scenario, a deeper breakdown could drive BTCUSD towards the major support at GETTEX:52K , a historically significant demand zone within the long-term market structure. Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and volume dynamics around these critical levels to anticipate the next potential move. Previous analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AzrulAzir
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market. We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic. 1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year. But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit. 2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ). It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!) 😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours.... We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...) ⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
by P_S_trade
4
BTC SHORT TP:84,500 25-02-2024Bitcoin is forming bearish patterns on shorter timeframes and appears to be setting up for a final downward impulse. Targeting the zone of 84,000 to 85,000 seems like a solid strategy, but I can't rule out the possibility of a spike down to 80,000. This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so I expect the scenario to unfold within 15 to 20 hours; otherwise, it will be deemed invalid. Make sure to follow me and activate alerts to stay updated on the latest developments.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
Key Insights about #Bitcoin $BTCThe M2 line remains flat, suggesting no new liquidity entering the market. Without additional liquidity, the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin tends to stay muted. This limits the chances of a strong bullish reversal unless there's a shift in macroeconomic conditions. Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,716, near the critical $86,000 support zone. If this level fails, the next major support lies around $85,000. The RSI at 27 still signals oversold conditions, but given the lack of liquidity expansion (as shown by the flat M2), a bounce may be limited unless external factors increase risk appetite. Momentum indicators show persistent bearish pressure, with no significant divergence suggesting a strong recovery. Prediction Scenarios for Tomorrow: Bearish Scenario (Most Likely - 70% Probability)The flat M2 suggests continued liquidity constraints, favoring bearish sentiment. If $86,000 support breaks, Bitcoin could test $85,000, with a possible wick lower depending on selling momentum. Strong selling pressure could push it toward $83,000 if no short-term bounce occurs. Neutral Scenario (20% Probability)Bitcoin holds $86,000 and trades sideways between $86,000–$88,909, reflecting a lack of directional conviction in the absence of M2 expansion. This range-bound action would signal that traders are waiting for macroeconomic catalysts or increased liquidity flows. Bullish Scenario (10% Probability)A surprise uptick in M2 would increase market liquidity, potentially triggering a short squeeze. In this case, Bitcoin could bounce toward the $88,909–$91,130 resistance zone. However, without sustained liquidity growth, any rally would likely face strong rejection at these levels. Conclusion: Given the flat M2, Bitcoin is expected to remain under bearish pressure, with the most probable outcome being a retest of the $86,000 support and a potential decline toward $85,000 if this level fails. A short-term bounce is possible, but unless the Global Money Supply M2 shows signs of growth, any upward movement will likely be capped by strong resistance. Traders should monitor M2 movements closely, as any expansion could swiftly shift sentiment from bearish to bullish.
by bitfate
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Channel Down with Potential Reversal!Pair: BTC/USD Timeframe: 4H Current Price: $86,486 (-2.37%) 🔍 Market Overview Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined double downward channel, indicating a period of correction. The price is approaching a key support level, which could act as a potential reversal point. 📊 Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Double Channel Down Formation BTC has been moving within two parallel descending channels, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The price is currently at the lower boundary of the second channel, where buying pressure may emerge. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Levels: $85,500 - $86,000 (Lower channel boundary) $83,800 (Key demand zone) 🔹 Resistance Levels: $89,000 (Mid-channel resistance) $92,500 (Upper channel resistance) $96,892 (Major breakout target) 3️⃣ Possible Trading Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the $85,500-$86,000 support zone, we could see a bounce back towards the mid-channel resistance (~$89,000). A confirmed breakout above $92,500 would signal a trend reversal toward the $96,892 target. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to hold the $85,500 support, we could see a further drop toward $83,800 or even lower. A confirmed breakdown would extend the bearish momentum, possibly towards $80,000. 📌 Trading Plan ✅ Long Entry: Around $86,000 - $85,500 (Support Retest) Stop Loss: Below $83,800 Target 1: $89,000 Target 2: $92,500 Target 3: $96,892 🚨 Short Entry (If Breakdown Occurs): Below $85,500 Stop Loss: Above $88,000 Target 1: $83,800 Target 2: $80,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Multiple Signals Shows BTC Might Touched Short-Term BottomLast time BINANCE:BTCUSDT had all 3 of these signals was in August 2024: 1️⃣ RSI <30 in oversold territory 2️⃣ MACD < 0 3️⃣ Fear & Greed Index at "Extreme Fear" Also, since 2024 began, every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a wick + volume spike, it marked a "short-term" bottom. What do you think? Is this the bottom for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ? Leave a comment! 🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss. 🔥  for more future "guesses" like this!
by Harold_123