Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future.
On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle:
- 1 year of bearish decline.🟥.
- 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩.
- 1 year of steady growth.🟩.
- 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩.
based simply on that :
- 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC.
- 2026 should be the next bear market.
- Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course.
- Don't let market noise shake your confidence.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy.
All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure
Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure.
Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets.
Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets.
This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all.
The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020
Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED.
Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively.
Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more.
Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer
As the volatility rises.
Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
Bitcoin Dump Perfectly Predicted ! What's Next? 76k ?🚨 DID EVERYONE REMEMBER ? 🚨
🔥February 14th – I told everyone loud and clear SHORT or SELL because BTC was about to DUMP. Look at where we are now another perfect prediction, another massive win. 🚀
Hope all my real ones remembered and stayed safe in this move. We are still valid in our analysis, deep in profits, and absolutely killing this trade.
✅ Book partial profits – Lock in those gains.
✅ Move SL to entry – No risk, stress-free ride.
We move smart, calculated, and ahead of the market. Now, let’s analyse
the next move.
🔍BTC Technical Analysis What’s Next ?
Bitcoin followed the bearish rejection from key resistance and is continuing its downtrend. We saw a weak consolidation before another breakdown, and structure still favors further downside.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔻 Support: $68,500-$70,000 – If this level breaks, BTC could accelerate lower.
🔺 Resistance: $85,000-$86,000 – A reclaim of this zone would invalidate further downside.
🔮 Potential Scenarios
1️⃣ If BTC holds above $75,000-$76,000, we could see a short-term bounce before another drop.
2️⃣ If BTC loses $70,000, expect further downside targeting $68,500 or lower.
3️⃣ Bulls need a strong reclaim above $85,000 to flip structure bullish again.
📉 We remain bearish until BTC shows clear strength. Manage risk, stay disciplined, and ride the trend.
💬Drop a comment and follow if you caught this move & let’s stay ahead of the game!🚀
Bitcoin Short short ermThis is just a trade idea! And an idea is an idea and exists as an idea,as nobody can predict the markets. No body!
Some media say:Trump Pushes Advisers To Intensify Tariffs Ahead Of April 2.If it will be true ,
Then I prepare for this scenario(SEE THE CHART) above!.
Someoone commented below my last idea,he wants price action and I should draw lines and paint the charts for him . I wonder,that he doesent know that there is always price action! We just need to look at the charts. Above is also a chart. Lol.
But drawing lines, projection ghost lines is Not trading! It is drawing and painting.
Whatever: Fundamentals align with long term trend sentiment: Bearish. Sure surprises will always be present.Thats speculation! Therefor:Put always stops. And dont follow blindly any trade idea. Also my trade idea is just an idea. But you should take responssibility to take your own decision. Because you trade with your own money.
EMAS: 15 min. 200MA, 3min. 200MA
Stop above val of yesterday
Resisatnce:POC of yesterday red line. Breakthrough above the red line is bullish setup, and leading to val of yesterday
If rejected, falls back.If holds above the price will climb.I dont think that it happens, because the trend continutation pattern I use(There are billions of trend continuation patterns!!!!!!!! Also billions of ways to define a trend!!!!!)
is currently bearish!....
Ofcourse on any other TF you will have billions of reasons to do the opposite of trade idea,you you are welcomed.
Have a good trading day.
Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed, Aiming for $160K
Chart Analysis:
Bitcoin has just confirmed a major breakout above a key resistance zone, signaling a strong bullish continuation. Let’s dive into the details:
1.Ascending Triangle Breakout:
BTCUSD had been consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern since late 2024, with the upper resistance around $80,000 and a rising support trendline (highlighted in yellow).
The breakout above $80,000 on strong volume confirms the bullish pattern, which is typically a precursor to significant upward moves.
2. Accumulation Zone:
Before the breakout, Bitcoin spent several months in an accumulation zone between $53,837 and $80,000. This phase allowed buyers to build positions, setting the foundation for the current rally.
3.Price Targets:
The measured move of the ascending triangle (height of the pattern) projects a target around $160,000. The height of the triangle is approximately $26,163 (from the base at $53,837 to the resistance at $80,000). Adding this to the breakout point ($80,000 + $26,163) gives a target of ~$106,163. However, considering Bitcoin’s historical tendency to overshoot during bull runs and the psychological significance of $160,000 (as noted on the chart), this level seems like a realistic target.
4. Support Levels:
The previous resistance at $80,000 now acts as strong support. If BTC pulls back, this level should hold to maintain the bullish structure.
Additional support lies around $70,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range.
5. Momentum Indicators:
While the chart doesn’t display specific indicators like RSI or MACD, the sharp upward move suggests strong momentum. Traders should monitor for overbought conditions on RSI (above 70) as BTC approaches higher levels, which could indicate a potential pullback.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Current price around $84,599.61 (post-breakout confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below $78,000 (to account for minor pullbacks while staying above the breakout zone).
Take Profit: $160,000 (primary target based on the pattern projection and psychological level).
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:12, making this a high-probability setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $100,000 (psychological), $120,000, $160,000 (target).
Support: $80,000 (new support), $70,000 (secondary support).
Market Context:
Bitcoin’s breakout aligns with a broader crypto market uptrend, potentially fueled by positive fundamentals such as institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, or macroeconomic factors like inflation concerns driving demand for BTC as a store of value. Ethereum’s recent breakout (as seen in similar charts) also supports the bullish sentiment across the crypto market.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD has broken out of a multi-month consolidation pattern, confirming a bullish trend with a target of $160,000. The $80,000 level should now act as strong support, and any pullbacks to this zone could offer additional buying opportunities. Stay cautious of overbought conditions as BTC approaches higher resistance levels. Let’s see how far this rally can go!
Bitcoin at a Crossroads – Two Paths, One TruthThe market is at a breaking point. Retail traders are still guessing. The real players already know. This isn’t just about price action—it’s about power.
Scenario 1 – The Bullish Illusion? 🚀
BTC is breaking out of a falling wedge on the weekly timeframe—a textbook bullish signal. If momentum holds above $90K, we could see an explosive push to new all-time highs. Liquidity is there. Whales are positioning.
✅ LONG ENTRY: $81,000 – $85,000
🎯 Targets:
Short Term: $117,983
Mid Term: $134,291
Long Term: $148,822 🌍💥
🔻 STOP LOSS: $78,000 – Because risk management isn’t optional.
But here’s the problem… the game is never that simple.
Scenario 2 – The Elite Trap 🩸
If BTC fails to reclaim $90K, this is a setup. Fake breakouts exist for one reason—to trap retail and liquidate late longs. If smart money decides to pull the plug, BTC gets dumped straight into the liquidity void below.
📌 What to Watch:
Failure to hold $90K = Bull Trap.
Liquidity below $78K = Liquidation Cascade Incoming.
And guess what? Scenario 2 is already in motion.
Retail FOMO’d in.
We shorted the top.
🚨 Bitcoin Short Printing Money – Precision Over Emotion 🚨
📉 SHORT ENTRY: $85,000 – $85,250
🎯 Targets Hit So Far:
✅ $83,800 – Cleared
✅ $83,000 – Cleared
✅ $82,700 – Cleared
✅ $82,000 – Cleared
💰 Massive profits already banked—but the real move is still unfolding.
🔻 Remaining Targets:
🎯 $81,150 → Next Stop
🎯 $79,100 → Breaking Structure
🎯 $77,000 → Liquidity Grab
🎯 $73,900 → Elites Accumulating
🎯 $69,100 - $68,100 → The Real Target Zone
🚨 The Final Move – The True Target? 🚨
A rising wedge successfully broke out on the 1D chart on February 6, 2025. It’s playing out perfectly, and the last target sits at $50,500.
The Only Question Left: When?
Retail keeps chasing the dream. The elites are already cashing in.
🚨 This isn’t speculation—it’s precision. This isn’t emotion—it’s control. The system plays the masses, but we play the system. 🚨
BTCUSDT.. single supporting area , holds or not ??#BTCUSDT.. so market just reached at his most important area is around 81400 to 81600
And that is our in-between range area actually so keep close it and if market hold that area then again buying expected towards range upper line.
Note: below 81400 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTC-----More around 83300, target 82000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on March 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to be negative, the price was below the moving average, the attached indicator golden cross was running with shrinking volume, and the fast and slow lines showed signs of sticking dead cross. From this point of view, the general trend of decline is still very obvious, and what we need to pay attention to in trading is to find a good entry point, keep short-term, and do a good job of risk control. Leave the rest to me! The short-term hourly chart continued the trend of shock correction after the decline in the European session yesterday. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is running with a golden cross. Then it is likely to be corrected first within the term. The resistance position of the MA30 moving average is near the 83,300 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 83,300 area, stop loss at the 83,800 area, and target the 82,000 area;
Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price MovementsI. Technical Analysis
(1) Support and Resistance Levels
BTC has formed a strong support level at $80,000. Judging from past market performances, this price level has successfully withstood selling pressure multiple times, demonstrating the market's recognition of its value at this price. When the price dropped to $82,000, a certain degree of rebound occurred, indicating the presence of buying support below. This also indirectly confirms the effectiveness of the $80,000 support level. As a resistance level, $87,000 restricts the upward movement of BTC. The failure of this attempt to break through $89,000 indicates that selling pressure is relatively strong above this price level.
(2) Moving Average System
Although the short - term moving averages of BTC have turned downward to some extent due to price declines, the long - term moving averages still maintain an upward trend. This indicates that, in the long run, the upward trend of BTC has not been completely disrupted. Short - term price fluctuations may just be normal market adjustments. When the short - term moving averages gradually recover and cross above the long - term moving averages again, a golden cross is expected to form, providing technical support for the upward movement of BTC.
(3) Technical Indicators
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that BTC is currently in the oversold zone, which means there may be excessive selling in the market. Once market sentiment recovers, the price of BTC is expected to rebound. In addition, although the MACD indicator shows a bearish signal, the bearish momentum is gradually weakening, suggesting that the market may be on the verge of a reversal.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@80500 - 81000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bearish Flag, Bitcoin (4H)Bitcoin has broken a bearish flag in medium time frames. If a rebound comes would be an opportuinty to get short positions.
The problem with Bitcoin is not only the bearish flag currently working on. It has a change of character in daily time frame which I posted a lot about it another of my analysis.
I don't think the values of assest is cheap at the moment. In fact, they're about to get cheaper a lot in coming days.
For now, 76400 is looking like a specific target for the main flag formation.
Thanks for reading.
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
"Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 3H Analysis: Key Support & Potential 12% UpsiSupport and Entry Zone (Purple Area at ~$80,253.41)
A significant support zone is marked in purple, indicating a potential area for entry.
This is an area where buying interest is expected.
Stop Loss (~$77,784.92)
A stop loss level is defined below the support zone, which is a risk management strategy.
Target Price (~$90,275.48)
The chart suggests a bullish move if the price bounces from the support.
The expected price increase is around 12.25% from the entry level.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
30 EMA (Red Line, $85,290.12): Short-term trend indicator.
200 EMA (Blue Line, $86,061.21): Long-term trend indicator.
The price is currently below both EMAs, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
Market Outlook
The price has recently rejected resistance (purple zone above).
If it holds support at ~$80,253.41, a reversal to the upside is expected.
If the support breaks, further downside could follow.
"Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Analysis: Key Support Test & Potential This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. Here are the key insights:
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
200 EMA (blue): 85,984 (indicates long-term trend support/resistance).
30 EMA (red): 85,705 (short-term trend direction).
Support & Resistance Zones:
Purple Zone (Support Area): This area has been tested multiple times and is expected to provide a strong buying zone.
Resistance/Target Levels:
Upper EA Target Point: 88,366 (potential bullish target).
Lower EA Target Point: 79,819 (potential bearish target).
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 83,810 (current price near support).
Stop Loss Levels:
Conservative: Around 83,750
Aggressive: Around 83,184
Target Point: 88,366 (bullish) or 79,819 (bearish).
Market Outlook:
The price is currently testing a key support zone.
If the support holds, we may see a bullish reversal toward 88,366.
If the price breaks below the support, further downside to 79,819 is possible.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast | Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish MoveIntroduction
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Day Chart Analysis highlights a critical market development: the breakdown of a Rising Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend. After reaching a new all-time high (ATH) resistance, BTC has shown weakness, confirming a possible reversal. This analysis covers key levels, trend structure, trading setups, and market psychology for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical formation that develops when prices rise within a narrowing range. It typically features:
✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Suggesting bullish momentum, but the price action becomes weaker over time.
✅ Converging Trendlines: Showing a loss of buyer strength as each rally fails to make significant new highs.
✅ Volume Decline: As the wedge matures, volume decreases, confirming reduced buying interest.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: A sharp drop below the lower trendline validates the bearish move.
In this case, BTC followed all the classic wedge characteristics, and its breakdown has initiated a potential major correction.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Dynamics
🔵 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) (~$110K-$115K)
BTC reached its ATH resistance zone but failed to hold above it.
The red arrow indicates the rejection at the top, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Bulls attempted multiple breakouts but failed, leading to a reversal.
🟢 Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) – Weak Retest Before Breakdown
The price initially bounced off this support but struggled to hold gains.
The blue support level highlights a key zone where BTC found temporary stability.
A weak rally followed, but the price got rejected again, confirming the bearish trend.
🔻 Major Bearish Target (~$48,920)
Using the measured move theory, the projected drop extends to $48,920, a strong historical support.
The black arrow points to the expected downward trajectory.
3️⃣ Trading Setup & Risk Management
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy)
For traders looking to short BTC based on this pattern, here’s an optimal trade setup:
🔸 Entry Point: Around $85K-$90K (post-retest of breakdown)
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $100K (invalidation of the bearish setup)
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $75K (minor support)
TP2: $60K (psychological level)
TP3: $48,920 (final bearish target)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Recovery?
If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish thesis is invalidated, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
A break above ATH ($115K) would confirm new bullish strength.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Psychological Factors
📉 Bearish Sentiment Strengthens:
Rising Wedges often cause a bull trap, where buyers expect new highs but get caught in a reversal.
Current price action suggests sellers are gaining control.
⚠️ Key Risks for Traders:
False breakdowns can occur if BTC sees unexpected bullish news.
Keeping an eye on fundamental developments (ETF approvals, macroeconomic conditions, etc.) is essential.
Conclusion – BTC Heading for a Deeper Correction?
Bitcoin’s Rising Wedge breakdown strongly suggests a continued bearish trend.
Short opportunities are ideal below $90K, with downside targets near GETTEX:48K -$50K.
If BTC regains $100K+, bearish outlook is invalid.
📊 Trading Recommendation: Monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly!
Would you like me to tweak any part of this analysis? 😊
Short position openedI invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding.
Trade set up:
Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H)
Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high)
Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart)
Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart .
Reasons:
Weekly:
MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside.
The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside.
Daily:
RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish.
The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line.
4H:
The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line.
Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Reversal & Target Leve🔵 Entry Point:
🔹 Around $83,678.04 – The suggested buying zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 $82,998.62 – The price level where the trade will be exited if it moves against the plan.
🎯 Target Points:
✅ TP1: $84,144.23 – First profit target.
✅ TP2: $84,787.10 – Second profit target.
🏆 Final Target: $85,560.84 – The ultimate goal for the trade.
📈 Technical Overview:
🔹 The price is at a support level, with a potential reversal to the upside.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio is favorable, with a clear uptrend target.
🔹 DEMA (9) at $83,776.52 indicates a possible trend shift.
$BTC 1H Chart Analysis, what is next?📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1H Chart Analysis
Things are not as simple as some analysts claim — the situation remains delicate.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
Double Resistance in Play:
- Descending Bearish Channel on the weekly timeframe.
- Previous Resistance from the March 20th pump.
🏗️ Current Market Structure:
Horizontal Consolidation Pattern:
- Top Resistance: $87.5K — potential rejection point.
- Bottom Support: $34.3K — previously a resistance, now acting as support.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
- Rejection at $87.5K could lead to support at: $34.3K (Green horizontal support).
- $33.5K (Red ascending pattern bottom).
Bullish Invalidation: Break and hold above $91K would invalidate the bearish downtrend.
If successful, we likely avoid retesting $80K.
📅 Conclusion:
Until CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks $91K, we remain in a bearish downtrend, despite the short-term daily uptrend.
The weekly timeframe suggests we could still reverse and go lower if $90K holds as resistance.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #BTC #Trading #CryptoNews
DYOR