BTC LONG TP:115,000 29-01-2025Bitcoin has executed a manipulative movement as we anticipated, resulting in our stop from the previous trade being hit. However, this situation has now paved the way for a new take-profit target that is set above 115,000. In this context, we are looking to establish a long position with a relatively wide stop, as the potential for profit is significant. Over the next 4 to 5 days, it is crucial that we reach 115,000; otherwise, the position will be considered invalid.
Btcusdanalysis
**Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Bearish Confirmation at Major ResisThis chart shows gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key resistance and support zones.
Key Observations:
1. All-Time High & Major Resistance:
- Price recently reached an all-time high and faced rejection from the major resistance zone.
- A pullback is currently in progress, and the chart suggests waiting for **bearish confirmation** before entering a short trade.
2. Bearish Expectation:**
- If the resistance holds and bearish confirmation appears, a sell-off toward the **1st target (2,772.32)** and then the 2nd target (2,750.15 - 2,750.43) is expected.
3. Major Support Zone:**
- If the decline continues, the **major support** area around **2,720** could be tested.
Trading Strategy:
- Wait for confirmation** before entering short positions.
- A strong **bearish rejection** from resistance will validate the short setup.
- If price breaks back above resistance, bearish bias would weaken.
$BTC.D again above 60% After the tariff tantrum between US, Canda, Mexico and China during the weekend, we saw CRYPTOCAP:BTC again below 100K. But the weekly closure on the weekly chart in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC weekly chart is still not broken. So, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull run is still intact with short term hiccups.
But the topic of the discussion is not the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price instead we are looking at the Dominance chart. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is again above 60% even if CRYPTOCAP:BTC is below 100K. The Alt Coins have lost more Market Cap during this weekend’s shakeout in comparison to BTC. But it is highly coincidental that the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is back at the 0.618 Fib retracement level. The Fib retracement is plotted on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart. There is no Alt Coin season unless the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D breaks down decisively. Watch out if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly close breaks below the 0.5 Fib retracement level. Until then stay long $BTC.
$BTC Bitcoin's Price Consolidation Range btw 88.9k - 109.8kCRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a consolidating Range btw 88.9k - 109.8k
Current Price: 100.8k
Pay Attention to this #btc range!
Break out of this range can lead to 120k
Break down of range can lead to under 80k
Definitely a Range to keep an eye on!
BTC/USDT 1H: Liquidity Grab Complete – Bears Targeting $94.8K!BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Market Condition:
Price: $97,624, showing bearish momentum after breaking key support.
RSI: Bearish divergence led to this drop.
Market Makers Strategy: Engineered liquidity grab at $105K before pushing price down.
Currently Testing Discount Zone, which may act as temporary support.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Wait for retest of $100K (previous support turned resistance).
Short Entry: $99,800 - $100,200 zone.
Targets:
T1: $96,500.
T2: $94,800.
Stop Loss: $101,500 (above recent swing high).
Risk Score: 7/10 (favorable risk-reward setup).
Market Maker Analysis:
Liquidity grab engineered below recent lows.
Expect choppy price action between GETTEX:97K - $100K before the next big move.
Possible bear trap if price quickly reclaims $100K—watch for reversal signals.
Recommendation:
Short positions favorable in the $99,800 - $100,200 range.
Watch price reaction at $100K—if bulls reclaim, avoid overexposure to shorts.
Manage risk properly as high volatility is expected.
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Crypto Market Dynamics Amidst Tariffs & Trade War FearsLast Friday afternoon, President Trump announced new tariffs on Canada (25%), Mexico (25%), and China (10%). This news set off a selloff in the crypto market. Since traditional financial markets were closed for the weekend, they couldn’t react immediately, but we might see panic selling when trading opens on Monday. In response, both Canada and Mexico have threatened retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. Whether Trump is using this as a negotiation tactic or signaling a long-term policy remains uncertain, but one thing is clear—the market dislikes the idea of a trade war.
On the bright side, Bitcoin was already due for a significant correction. Even a 30% drop from its current all-time high wouldn’t derail the Macro Trend. However, the concerning part is that Trump’s actions could lead to further economic pain for both the U.S. and global economies before any recovery happens.
Because so many factors are in play, I’ve combined four key metrics into one chart to help us see where money is moving. Here’s what the chart shows:
BTC.D (Candles): This indicates Bitcoin’s dominance in the market.
BTC Price (Orange): The current price of Bitcoin.
TOTAL3 (Purple): The total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH.
USDT.D (Green): This measures the share of funds in USDT.
What Does the Chart Tell Us?
Flow of Money: Funds are moving between Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins (USDT), or leaving the market altogether.
Key Indicator – USDT.D:
Below the Breakout Line: If USDT.D stays below a critical level, it suggests that buyers are stepping in to support both Bitcoin and altcoins.
Above the Local Top: If USDT.D breaks above its recent high, it signals increased market fear. In this case, we should watch the other metrics:
A spike in TOTAL3 indicates that altcoins are gaining traction, hinting at a potential altcoin season.
A spike in BTC.D suggests that Bitcoin is maintaining or even strengthening its dominance.
A spike in USDT.D implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, showing overall market nervousness.
By monitoring these indicators, we can get a clearer picture of whether or not an alt season is developing, and whether the correction developing is a temporary setback or the start of a deeper decline.
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000.
This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend.
I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump.
We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
Bitcoin Gold Direct Trading Pair - VERY IMPORTANT TO WATCH THISBitcoin Gold trading pair
PA heading towards 2.272 Fib extension line.
This has been Support since Nov 2024 and is now a firm line of Support at 34.52 Ounces of Gold per Bitcoin
Also about to hit 100 Daily SMA )( SMA ). This may also provide support just above the Fib line
Since December, we have been seeing a Rise in Gold prices as demand escalates due to various Macro reasons around the world.
Bitcoin has held a steady range while trading against Gold.
Now, I am Watching this close.
If BTC looses this line of Support and begins Loosing out to Gold because Gold continues to Rise, signals a Shift of Sentiment for BTC
The traditional Store of Value Wins against the New Kid on the block as a safe haven
Macro uncertainty driving money flow.
We now have Trump imposing Higher Tariffs Oon international trade and THIS alone is driving Massive uncertainty and so Stocks are falling and that money needs to go somewhere.
It has been GOLD since January this year, Rising to a New ATH
At the same Time, Bitcoin has effectively ranged just below the current ATH
GOLD has the momentum right now and is taking the prize
And THIS is why this chart is so important.
BITCOIN MUST NOT LOOSE THIS SUPPORT
DXT $ is also rising, maybe with the static interest rate and possibility of a Rise later in the year if inflation continues to rise.
Extreme Caution right now
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BTCUSD
#BTCUSD
Bitcoin is currently following the overall market trend, showing signs of weakness. It's crucial to wait for confirmation before making any significant moves.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Monitor key levels for potential rebounds.
Resistance Levels: A breakout above resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum.
📉 If the market remains bearish, be cautious with leverage.
📈 If BTC shows strength, it could signal a trend reversal.
🚨 Reminder: Stay patient, manage risk, and don’t rush into trades. The next move could be crucial! 🚀🔥