Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin appears to be stalling at the Fibonacci level.The anticipated Santa rally did not materialize, highlighting weakness in the community. The much-discussed $100k level now seems unattainable as we close out 2024. However, the focus has shifted to maintaining BTC at GETTEX:92K —a level that appear particularly strong.
This GETTEX:92K level has acted as resistance four times in the past and is now serving as support for the fourth time. Interestingly, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with this zone, adding to its significance.
The Bollinger Bands indicate an extreme situation, with prices moving beyond the range of the past 20 candles.
In just two weeks, BTC is down almost 14% from its all-time high (ATH).
In my view, this situation is far from resolved, and 2025 may begin with even weaker dynamics. Why? Financial market fundamentals are deteriorating, the festive period is over, and the next two months are historically the most challenging and inactive.
BTC - Bear Flag forming, 73k price projectionAfter hitting all time highs, BTC is forming a bear flag.
If bear flag plays out and price breaks through 91,400 level then on the basis of the measured move of the flag pole, BTC is likely to test 73,000 which is a significant support zone on Daily timeframe. This is because before BTC pierced 73,000, this was a strong resistance zone. Also, since price broke out 73,000, it hasn't retraced back to this level.
Furthermore, there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% at 71,500 so expect 73,000 - 71,500 to be strong support zone.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price could break 99,000 level (upper trendline of the bear flag channel) to test all time highs.
BTC/USDT - Key Levels and Volatility Insights for Strategic Trad🚨 BTC/USDT Update 🚨
Analyzing today's price action, we can see Bitcoin trading within a well-defined range, interacting with critical levels. Here's the breakdown of the chart:
Key Levels:
Bullish Zone:
Bull Day (Yellow Dashed Line): Currently acting as resistance around the $94,800 level.
A breakout above this level could lead to a test of the Day + ATR around $97,400 and further towards $98,400 if momentum builds.
Bearish Zone:
Bear Week: $91,000 remains a strong support zone.
If breached, BTC could revisit the lower Bear Day level near $89,600, presenting potential for short-side setups.
Neutral Zone:
Close Week: The $93,200 zone is pivotal as it aligns with previous price congestion. Monitoring price reaction here is critical for determining the next directional bias.
Volume Insights:
High Volume Nodes (HVNs): Clusters near $94,000 show strong interest from both bulls and bears. Expect significant price reactions here.
Low Volume Nodes (LVNs): Gaps near $92,500 indicate potential for rapid price movements if this zone is retested.
Market Context:
The Volume Profile shows substantial activity aligning with the mid-range at $94,000. This is a consolidation zone, signaling potential accumulation or distribution before the next major move.
With today’s upward recovery from the Bear Swing level ($92,800), bulls are gaining strength. However, the next step is breaking through the Bull Day resistance with volume for confirmation.
Strategy Suggestions:
Longs: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above $94,800, targeting $96,000 and $97,400. Stop-loss can be placed near $94,000.
Shorts: Look for rejection near $94,800 or a breakdown below $93,200, targeting $92,000 and $91,000.
Scalping Opportunities: Use the clearly defined intraday levels, such as $94,000 and $93,200, for quick trades within this range.
🔔 Keep in mind: The market is currently range-bound, and a decisive breakout from this zone will provide better clarity for medium-term directional bias.
What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on BTC right now? Drop your comments below!
MicroStrategy Buys the Dip Amidst $BTC Crash to $92KThe cryptocurrency market witnessed another headline-grabbing move by MicroStrategy as the firm added 2,138 BTC to its holdings for $209 million. While Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant dip, this acquisition reflects a continued belief in its long-term potential. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin’s current state.
MicroStrategy’s Strategic Buy
On Monday, MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 2,138 BTC at an average price of $97,837. This marks yet another chapter in the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, critics like Peter Schiff were quick to note that these purchases are involving less capital, and the acquisition price consistently overshoots the market rate.
Despite such criticism, MicroStrategy’s move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. The company’s continued investment is seen as a vote of confidence amidst bearish market sentiment, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s price action is currently confined within a horizontal channel, with support at $92,200–$94,200 and resistance at $98,700–$101,000. As of now, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the lower boundary of this channel. A decisive move in either direction could dictate the asset’s next major trend.
Bullish Scenario
Should buyers step in with strength, Bitcoin could rebound and retest the $98,700–$101,000 resistance zone. A breakout above this level may act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially marking the start of a sustained uptrend. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to gain momentum after the New Year’s pause, making January 8, 2024, a key date to watch for heightened volatility and potential upside movement.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a breakdown below the $92,200 support could trigger a retest of the $90,800 level. A more severe downturn might lead to Bitcoin revisiting its major support at $85,000. This psychological level will play a pivotal role in determining whether BTC can stage a trend reversal or face further downside as sellers shake out weak hands.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The broader market sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin’s price consolidates within its current range. MicroStrategy’s recent purchase has injected some optimism, but the market awaits stronger signals of a directional move. Traders are closely monitoring the $101,000 resistance level, which could act as a springboard for greater gains if breached.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price is at a critical juncture, with key support and resistance levels in focus. MicroStrategy’s continued investment highlights institutional confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for both recovery and further downside. As the market navigates this pivotal phase, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move, which could shape its trajectory for the months ahead.
Bitcoin Massive Pullback or Breakout? Stay AheadAs we mentioned in our last post that Bitcoin is trading in ascending channel.After a breakdown from the channel BTC finds the support between at $92,600.82 to $91.500.93 zone in Green.
Now, we are observing two possible scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
BTC is currently testing its resistance at $99,267.19 and has been rejected multiple times, if the price of Bitcoin fails to break this resistance level we might see a pullback to its support zone Green, and if this zone fails to hold the price we could see some more drop in the price to next support zone at $86,125.66 to $85,159.31 in Blue. A strong bounce in this region could potentially set the stage for Bitcoin to make a new all-time high.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price of Bitcoin flips the resistance at $99,267.19 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel we could see the price reach the middle line of the channel.
Overall we are bullish until 1st and 2nd quarter of 2025. Don't panic, these dips are good for filling your bags. If we see a correction in the price that we are expecting this is a blessing to us to fill our bags.
This market loves to shake out the weak hands before making its real move. A pullback here might just be the perfect opportunity to position yourself smartly. But remember: discipline is key. Don’t rush—wait for confirmations at key levels.
Stay sharp and patient. This market isn’t for the faint-hearted, but the potential rewards for disciplined traders can be life-changing.
Let’s crush it!
History Repeats? BTC Explosive 2025 ForecastSome people think #Bitcoin has already hit its highest point, but history shows that might not be the case. In previous cycles, Bitcoin tends to go parabolic and hit a peak a few months after breaking its previous all-time high (ATH). For example, in 2013, it peaked 273 days after breaking its ATH, in 2017 it took 233 days, and in 2021 it took 328 days. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin’s peak happened well after the ATH breakout.
Looking ahead to the 2025 cycle, if Bitcoin follows a similar pattern, we could expect a peak between June 2025 (233 days after a breakout) and October 2025 (328 days after). While no one can predict the exact timeline, these historical trends provide a rough estimate of when Bitcoin might reach its next major peak.
Bitcoin (BTC): Is $83K Just the Start of a Bigger Drop?Bitcoin is showing signs of heading lower, and the next few levels could be make-or-break. Let’s break it down simply so you know what to watch.
What’s Happening Right Now?
The market’s pointing downward, and we’re eyeing FWB:83K –$85K as the first target. If BTC doesn’t hold there, things could get rough.
Where BTC Could Go Next
- FWB:83K –$85K: This is the next stop. If Bitcoin can’t bounce here, the selling could pick up.
-$70K: A deeper drop, and a key support level where buyers might step in.
-$55K: The worst-case scenario for now, but also a spot where we could see some recovery.
The Big Picture
We’re also seeing a head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong clue that prices might keep dropping. Let’s wait and see how the market reacts as we approach FWB:83K –$85K.
What’s the Plan?
-Watch FWB:83K –$85K carefully—it’s the first key level.
-If BTC doesn’t hold, prepare for $70K or even $55K.
-Be patient and trade what you see, not what you hope.
If you liked this breakdown, hit like or follow. Got questions about Bitcoin or another chart? DM me—I’d love to help.
Feeling stressed about trading or struggling with burnout? Let’s chat. I’m here to help you stay focused and balanced so you can trade with confidence. Let’s tackle this together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Will Bitcoin Hold $91,600 Support or Drop to $86K?The BTC/USD 4-hour chart highlights a key support zone at $91,600–$92,200, acting as a strong barrier against further downside. The price is consolidating near this level, with a descending trendline adding bearish pressure.
A bounce from this support could retest the trendline around $94,000–$95,000, while a break below $91,600 may trigger a decline toward $86,000 or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation of a bounce or breakdown.
Crab Pattern Based on the provided chart, there is a possibility for the Crab Pattern to complete. In this pattern, point D typically forms at higher Fibonacci levels, specifically around 2.618 of the BC leg.
In this chart, the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) is identified as a key area for the pattern’s completion. This zone can act as a potential point for a price reversal. The Crab Pattern often emerges at extreme price levels, and if the price reaches this zone, a reaction or reversal might occur.
To confirm the completion of this pattern, analyzing price behavior near the PRZ is crucial. Using additional technical indicators such as trading volume, momentum indicators, and candlestick patterns can provide more precise insights. Overall, the pattern has the potential to complete, but traders should wait for further confirmation from the market.
Is Bitcoin Preparing for a Retracement?Bitcoin has seen an extraordinary surge of over 100% between September 6th and December 18th, reaching the $100,000 milestone for the first time in its history.
This significant increase can be attributed to various factors. The election of Donald Trump as U.S. President, known for his pro-Bitcoin stance, played a notable role. Additionally, Elon Musk, a key figure in American business and a cryptocurrency enthusiast, has also influenced Bitcoin's surge positively.
Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Israel in the Middle East and escalating conflicts in Ukraine, have further fueled demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Many retail and institutional investors are turning to Bitcoin as a safe haven amid global uncertainty.
Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a slight retracement, trading at around $93,000, which is just below the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
Potential Bearish Movement
From a technical standpoint, several indicators suggest a possible bearish retracement for Bitcoin in the coming days.
A sell opportunity may arise if Bitcoin price breaks below the ascending trend line on the daily chart. Here are the key levels to watch as potential targets for a sell:
$87,000: This aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, making it a natural target for a potential sell.
$80,500: This region corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, serving as another potential sell target.
$74,000: Coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, this could act as the final target for a bearish move if the price declines.
Alternative Scenario for an Upswing
Conversely, there is a possibility that Bitcoin may continue its upward trajectory. This bullish scenario hinges on the price maintaining support at the 23.6% Fibonacci level and breaking back above $100,500. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin could challenge its all-time high, approximately $108,000, and potentially target the $110,000 level.
A Conservative Buying Approach
A more conservative buying strategy could be considered if Bitcoin retraces to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, around $74,000. This level is significant, as it represents a previous resistance point that may now act as support.
Key Considerations
It’s essential to remember that Bitcoin behaves differently from traditional assets, with its upward and downward trends often lasting longer. Traders should be prepared for potential volatility as the market continues to react to both technical indicators and external factors.
Careful analysis and strategic planning will be crucial as we navigate this dynamic landscape.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Be prepared. Calm before the storm $BTCWe’re in the toughest part of the cycle—waiting for #Bitcoin (and other tokens) to make a new low before jumping back into the market. 🕒
It’s challenging, not just because we all want to time the bottom (let’s face it, who doesn’t want to buy the bottom? 🙌), but also because it’s tough to stay calm when portfolios are showing negative numbers.
📉 Seeing a sudden -30% on a recent token purchase can shake anyone’s confidence.
But remember: Successful investors stick to their thesis.
✅ They buy when their strategy signals “Buy.”
✅ They don’t look back.
📊 Bitcoin’s Cycle Low:
Bitcoin is approaching its cycle low, likely forming shortly after the New Year. 🎉 This presents an ideal buying opportunity for those following the cycles.
💡 Profiting by following cycles isn’t rocket science—it’s about patience and executing a solid plan.
Stay grounded during your celebrations, trust the cycles, and position yourself for success. 🚀
2025 BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTIONBased on the current market, all the fundamentals and technicals considered i think BTC could hit $150,000 in 2025 on the next bull run, but first we need a large pull back to complete the fib's retracement levels.
On the monthly time frame the candle formations have started to clearly show signs of deceleration and liquidation as the market slows down, we also have a high test / reversal candle which does indicate the market could be starting to reverse which would make sense after a large pump like the one we saw to $100k, the market needs to offer relief and pull back.
On the weekly we have again signs of deceleration and a few recent candles that signal bearish momentum is incoming. All of this coupled with a large liquidation percentage as BTC famously hit $100k does clearly indicate a move on bigger time frames to the down side.
My target for the downside move / pull back is around the $71,000 level, this is due to this being the next major support level and it also aligns nicely with the 61.80% fib retracement level which adds some correlation to the strategy.
If we get this large pull back / dump to $71,000 i would expect BTC to reject the support / fib level, this area will attract a lot of attention from buyers / traders and will likely see aa large influx of liquidity to support a rejection and pump to the upside, this is likely the price area w would see BTC change it's trend from bearish to bullish.
The fib generates a potential target of $150,000 on this move which also aligns very nicely with a psychological level, a lot of traders will target / take profit at the $150k mark purely because it is a nice round number, similar to $100k.
Remember ALT's move in correlation to BTC, so if this move does play out it will also give us plenty of massive opportunities to get in on some good ALT's like SOL, ETH etc and catch the ride as they'll also pump with BTC, so if BTC creates new ATH's at $150k then so will the majority of the ALT coins.
BTC at a Critical Juncture: Should You Top Up Your Long Position🚨 BTC at a Critical Juncture: Should You Top Up Your Long Position? 🚨
Bitcoin's price action looks fragile as we enter the year's final days. With BTC hovering near the $92,000 - $87,000 support zone , traders are closely watching whether this key area will hold — or if a break below $90,000 will open the floodgates for further downside.
The Setup: What's Happening Now?
BTC is trading at $93,070 , testing major support.
Failing to hold $92,000-$87,000 could invalidate bullish setups and signal a bearish reversal.
The market is thin due to the holiday season, increasing the risk of snap volatility and liquidity sweeps .
Key Factors to Watch
1. Critical Support Zone:
The $92,000 - $87,000 range is where buyers have historically stepped in to push BTC higher.
A break below $90,000 would be a bad sign for BTC and may lead to downside targets of nearly $80,000 .
2. Indicators:
Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI): No strong bullish reversal signal yet. Look for a Green Setup progression or daily price flip confirmation.
RSI: If RSI approaches oversold levels (~30), it could signal an opportunity to DCA or add to your long position.
3. Macro Risks:
Upcoming unemployment data may inject volatility into an already illiquid market .
The broader risk-asset sentiment remains cautious, with global liquidity conditions weighing on bulls.
Trading Decision: Should You Add to Longs?
Yes, IF:
BTC successfully tests and rebounds from $92,000 - $87,000 .
Look for supporting signals like a Green Setup progression or bullish divergence on RSI.
No, IF:
BTC breaks below $90,000 on high volume.
This would invalidate the current support zone, signaling more downside potential.
Risk Management Tips
Stop-Loss: Place it just below $87,000 to minimize risk.
Take-Profit: Target $95,000 - $100,000 , but scale-out gradually if resistance strengthens.
Leverage: Use 2x leverage cautiously , ensuring proper risk control.
Closing Thoughts
BTC is at a make-or-break moment. The $92,000 - $87,000 support zone could be a solid entry point for long positions if it holds — but a breakdown would bring downside targets like $80,000 into play.
What's your take on BTC's price action this week? Are you adding to your long position or waiting for confirmation? Let's discuss this in the comments below! 👇
Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
BTCUSD BITCOIN BTC/USD is presenting an ideal opportunity for a sell position if you're targeting a broader downtrend. Alternatively, traders can capitalize on the current market fluctuations with scalping strategies to secure quick, short-term gains. Always prioritize risk management and stay vigilant with your trading plan.
BTC Headed to $90K? Sell NowThis isn’t my full analysis—I'm keeping that to myself for now. But what I can tell you is that Bitcoin is in a downtrend, showing a steep, short-term decline in the already ongoing downtrend. According to many indicators, BTC could drop to at least $90K. I’ve opened a short position and will share further updates about my sell strategy soon.2
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
ADA/USD on high timeframe
"Regarding ADA, as anticipated in the previous analysis, the price broke through the $0.75 zone and experienced a sharp rejection. I foresee the price reaching a new higher high at $1.50. However, if the price closes below $0.70 on the high timeframe, this analysis may prove to be incorrect.
BTC on high timeframe , wait for more information about price
"Hello traders, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! Let's talk about BTC in the high timeframe. As indicated on the chart, the $90k- GETTEX:92K range is a critical zone. To mitigate risk, it's advisable to wait for the price to reach this zone and observe its behavior for further signals. If the price sharply breaches and closes below this range on the high timeframe, the next potential price levels could be $75k-$80k. However, if the price merely dips below GETTEX:92K , forming a candle pattern like FVG on the 1-hour chart, it might present a good opportunity for a long position."