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Btcusdanalysis

BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!! The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements. The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout. The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay? Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices. Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum. Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again. My Position and Outlook I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase. In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis. Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs. Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
by Data_Driven_Trading
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did. Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two. We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest. I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs. Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 🧵👇 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle. 💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist: ⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than: The previous cycle low Even the next cycle low ✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks. 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop. ⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off. Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities. 👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line. #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello, BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy. Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue. I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics Target Price (Bullish Scenario) : 🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272 🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414 🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618 INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Be Careful : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen DISCLAIMER : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections. 🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K) 🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news. 🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation. 🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !. 🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis Key Levels & Pullback ExpectationBitcoin is currently trading at $95,452, having come very close to the $100,000 level as of November 21. As Bitcoin approaches this major milestone, it’s important to identify key support and resistance zones based on historical price action and technical analysis. Let’s break down the key levels to watch: $90,642 Resistance: As Bitcoin nears the $100,000 mark, $90,642 serves as an important resistance level. This zone falls within the $90,000-$95,000 range, which has historically seen significant price action. It’s common for Bitcoin to face consolidation or profit-taking near these levels, and whether Bitcoin can push past this resistance will be crucial in determining the next phase of price movement. $87,000 and $85,000 Support Levels: If Bitcoin faces a pullback after nearing $100,000, the $87,000 and $85,000 levels could act as potential support zones. These levels are based on the price action observed when Bitcoin approached similar areas in the past. While these specific levels haven’t been exact support points in prior cycles, they align with key price ranges where Bitcoin has experienced notable fluctuations. In a correction scenario, Bitcoin could consolidate at these levels before resuming its upward momentum. $82,500-$80,000 Area of Interest: The $82,500-$80,000 range represents a zone of interest in case of further downside movement. Historically, Bitcoin has seen price action around the $80,000 area, which could act as minor support during a pullback. This zone aligns with psychological levels and could be a point where traders look to accumulate before the next potential move higher. $68,000-$66,000 Pullback Zone: Major rallies often experience retracements and the $68,000-$66,000 range is a likely target if Bitcoin faces significant resistance near $100,000. This range corresponds to the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which are historically strong support zones. A correction into this area would allow for healthy consolidation before a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Conclusion : With Bitcoin testing the $95,452 mark, key resistance levels are near $90,642 and $95,000. If Bitcoin experiences a pullback, watch for support around $87,000-$85,000, with further potential for a deeper correction into the $82,500-$80,000 range. A more substantial pullback could target the $68,000-$66,000 zone. These levels will be crucial to understanding the next potential moves for Bitcoin. This analysis helps identify key levels to watch as Bitcoin approaches these critical price points. Keep an eye on these levels as the price action unfolds!
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Next BTC TargetsPrior to each major bull run, Bitcoin consolidated within triangle patterns, as seen in 2016–2017 and 2019–2020. These patterns signal periods of accumulation before explosive moves upward. Currently, the chart shows another breakout from a consolidation zone in 2023–2024, resembling the pre-halving behavior of earlier cycles. Historically, Bitcoin's price increases 10x to 20x from its bear market lows following halving events: 2016: From ~$500 to ~$20k (40x). 2020: From ~$3.5k to ~$69k (20x). If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory from its 2022 low of ~$16k, reaching $180k to $280k represents a 10x to 15x increase, which is consistent with prior cycles. The chart illustrates how historical patterns, halving events, and technical formations contribute to Bitcoin’s potential to reach $180k as a minimum and $280k as a maximum in the next bull cycle. These targets are plausible within the cyclical behavior and long-term growth trend of Bitcoin.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by xarprofit
Btc elliott wave analysisElliott wave is very subjective. even I have two or three analysis and shorterm frame it gets more possibilities. but here I think Eth price is way lower than btc price and also some of altcoins as well. because bitcoin just went up alone strongly compare to other altcoins. and eth is one of them. it didnt hit all time high yet. but at least it should reach around 4000 level i think. right now its at 3600 level. so if eth can go up while btc is tanking the price or going slowly up we can expect this two senario. one is we go up from here after short consolidation. second is we go up after one more dump. but either way i dont expect much drops because we dont have much bad news right now. in macro economy there are bunch of good news.. israel must end war before biden end his presidency because of political reason. trump will be president on Jan 20th. so untill that time we can expect btc price to hold its position. but after that it could be sell the news scenario. but after some big consolidation period we will start to go up again. if there is no bad news in macro economy
by Bincoti_trade
Bitcoin Breaks $95K Pivot: What’s Next After US Inflation Data? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged past the crucial $95,000 level following the release of US PCE inflation data, which came in at 2.3% YoY—right on target. This event, combined with strong technical signals and institutional interest, paints a compellingly bullish outlook for BTC. Inflation and Institutional Moves The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed steady inflation at 2.3%, aligning with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, showed a 2.8% YoY increase. This steady inflation reading suggests potential stabilization in interest rates, a scenario historically favorable for Bitcoin as investors seek hedges against inflation and currency devaluation. Additionally, the global landscape for institutional investments in Bitcoin is heating up. Chinese publicly-listed firm SOS recently announced a $50 million investment in BTC, viewing it as a long-term store of value and predicting a $100K milestone. This strategic move signals growing confidence among institutional players, which could drive further price momentum. Technical Analysis Bitcoin’s current price action supports the bullish narrative. Here’s why: 1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading around $95,900, having formed a strong bullish engulfing candle. This pattern often signals a trend reversal or continuation, indicating potential for further gains. 2. Golden Cross Formation: BTC’s chart shows a “Golden Cross,” where the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA. Historically, this pattern has preceded major bull runs, suggesting CRYPTOCAP:BTC could reach $150K by the end of the year or shortly after. 3. RSI at 67: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory—not overbought nor oversold—providing room for further upward movement. This gives traders and investors confidence to enter or hold positions. Since May 2024, Bitcoin was trapped in a falling wedge pattern. It recently broke through this structure at the intersection of the 50-day and 200-day MAs. Outlook: Targeting $150K? With strong fundamentals—rising institutional adoption and favorable inflation data—combined with powerful technical indicators like the Golden Cross and bullish engulfing patterns, Bitcoin appears poised for a substantial rally. We predict BTC could hit $150K by Christmas or early 2025. Investors should watch key levels: maintaining support above $95K will be crucial, with near-term resistance at $100K. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC sustains momentum, a breakout above this psychological barrier could trigger a parabolic move. Final Thoughts As Bitcoin’s narrative strengthens with macroeconomic and technical factors aligned, now may be an opportune moment for investors. Stay tuned—2024 might end with Bitcoin rewriting crypto history.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce: Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support: This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support. Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level: The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices. Key Considerations: Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand. Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas. Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial. These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
Long
by XU99
1
Is ~Bitcoin about to repeat the 2021 Double Top pattern ?If you have been following my posts, you will know that I am a firm believer that we are following the 2013 - 2017 ATH Fractal. Only problem is, The 2017 Top was NOT a Double Top. But if we look at the fractal closely, we can see how this could happen and I will do this in another post shortly. For now, there are other pointers to suggest we maybe about to repeat that sequence from 2021. Lets start with this chart I am using the 2nd ATH in 2021 as THE ATH for a number of reasons, as explained in other posts, But also because it simply WAS the highest ATH that year and was approx the same number of days between ATH as the 2013 - 2017 cycle. That same day count takes us to September 2025, a projected ATH date range from a number of alternative charts. If we assume we see a March 2025 High, the same number of days between the 2021 ATH's, applied to March 2025, also takes us to September 2025. Some are saying we will see an ATH in December 2024 and that day count puts us in Mid summer and, to be honest, I do not see this now, given how overheated PA is. But anything can happen in Bitcoin. This date range on the rising Trend line off ATH's, also takes us to the Expected price range of 100K - 130K ----for now........ ** Note - Assumptions in trading are NOT recommended but we are just projecting here..NOT applying trades to that assumption. Next we have the NUPL ( Net unrealised Profit Loss ) The Vertical dashed lines are the ATH dates. And while the 2021 March ATH shows us a higher NUPL, this is where most profit taking was, as most assumed ( see above ) The real ATH was later and as most has already taken profit, people were trapped by Nov, but this is a different story.. What I want you to see is that we have not reached the upper line of Euphoria, that we are now in. There could be more to come... The TOP seems to be Signalled when PA Preaches this upper line, even if a ATH can be reached after, as in late 2021 Next, we have SOPR - (Spent Output Profit Ratio) Simply put, when people SELL and take profit Again, vertical dashed lines are previsou ATH in 2017 and 2021 First thing to notice here is how Profit taking happens BEFORE the ATH usually. See how the graph Drops to the ATH line. Also not the Red Diamonds above..they are Warning of Bearish intent. While we have seen a spike in selling recently, we are reciveing BULLISH intent warnings ( green diamond bottom of chart ). This appeared After that Red diamond above and so is a more recent signal. The spike in selling in early 2023 was people taking quick profit after 2 years oif Bearish moves. BUT it must be noted that the way this profit taking has constantly changed makes it VERY hard to read accurtaly as a method of judgement. There is no real pattern Which brings us to the final indicator. The ADX and DI - The Trend Strength and Price direction I find this fascinating. VERY IMPORTANT to remember that ADX ( Yellow ) does NOT show Trend Direction It only shows trend Strength and you can see that we have just begun turning around from a Drop in trend Strength. This Drop began in early 2024, around March, when we began months of ranging. The recent push higher seems to be reflected in ADX rising also, showing an increasing Trend strength. BUT will it last ? You can see from the chart, we are on a line of resistance now...We need to break through that. The Orange line is the DI + and the Red is DI - and not surprisingly show Price direction. This, combined with the ADX gives us ideas of true trend strength and ability. For now. DI+ has turned to Drop and reflects the action recently But the DI - has yet to turn higher to meet it, indicating a possibility that Real Negative orice action may not occur just yet. But we need to watch this closely. So, in summery, for me, We are Still getting ready to move higher, we may well range for a while before hand and a December ATH, while possible, is not the best thing to hope for. The final ATH of the cycle could be in September or around there, after an early Sopring push to a new high And it is important to understand, things can change very quickly in Bitcoin and we need to be ready ALWAYS so I am offering ideas only.. Stay safe and may your God, Gods, Godess or Godesses forever Keep your socks Dry
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN new ATH ( 107000$ )Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for BITCOIN, 📚💡 In recent weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a strong breakout through key resistance levels to the upside. Simultaneously, market volume has surged to extraordinary levels, and technical indicators suggest further upward momentum. 📚💡 Throughout this rally, short-term pullbacks have occurred, driven by stop-loss hunting and sharp, bearish candles. Fibonacci support levels are providing critical guidance, helping identify strategic entry points to buy and safeguard against further losses. 📚✨ 🧨 Our team's main opinion is Bitcoin has broken key resistance levels with high volume, showing bullish signals, while short-term pullbacks and Fibonacci support levels guide strategic entry points to mitigate losses. 🧨 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
16
Bitcoin's $92K Correction: A Deep Dive into the Real CulpritBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently undergone a significant price correction, dipping below the crucial $92,000 level. While many analysts initially pointed fingers at the influx of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as the primary catalyst for this downturn, on-chain data paints a different picture. The Myth of ETF-Induced Selling Pressure The narrative that ETF inflows have been the primary driver of Bitcoin's recent price decline has gained traction in certain circles. However, a closer examination of on-chain data reveals a different story. • Long-Term Hodlers Remain Resilient: Despite the market downturn, long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," have shown remarkable resilience. These individuals, who have held their Bitcoin for extended periods, have not been significant sellers during the recent correction. • Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: In contrast to long-term holders, short-term holders have been more inclined to sell their Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This suggests that the recent price decline may be more attributable to profit-taking by short-term investors rather than a broader market sell-off. A Normal Correction, Not a Bear Market It's important to recognize that the current price correction is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Bitcoin has experienced similar corrections in the past, often followed by periods of consolidation and subsequent upward momentum. • Technical Analysis Suggests a Healthy Correction: A closer look at Bitcoin's technical indicators reveals a healthy correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below the overbought level, indicating that the recent price surge may have been overextended. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the short term. • Support Levels to Watch: Traders and investors should keep an eye on key support levels, such as the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could signal a potential reversal of the current downtrend. The Future of Bitcoin: A Long-Term Bullish Outlook Despite the recent price correction, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several factors continue to drive the adoption and value of Bitcoin: • Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. This institutional adoption is likely to fuel further price appreciation in the long run. • Deflationary Supply: Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins ensures that its value will appreciate over time as demand increases. • Global Economic Uncertainty: As global economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against inflation and a store of value is likely to grow. In conclusion, while the recent price correction may have caused some short-term volatility, it is important to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong, and the cryptocurrency is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the years to come. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Another Outstanding Performanc | sentiment Indicator (PAID)Trend Identification: The indicator accurately marks bullish (green) and bearish (red) trends, providing clear zones for potential entries and exits. Signal Clarity: Buy and sell signals are strategically placed and align well with the directional momentum, capturing significant price movements, especially during the sharp downturns highlighted by the arrows. It was able provide two 3000+ points signal which is amazing. Choppy Market Management: The indicator also handles choppy or sideways markets reasonably well by displaying a mix of green and red areas, signaling caution during indecisive price action. Dynamic Zones: The green and red sentiment zones are dynamically plotted, offering traders visual guidance on market trends and sentiment shifts. The indicator is reliable for short- to medium-term trading
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Setting Up for a Pullback and An Opportunity?👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently dipped from a key liquidity area and is now revisiting previous highs. This movement has traders watching closely for what could come next. I'm eyeing a possible buying setup, but only if it retraces to a balanced price level and confirms with a bullish structural shift. 🛠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and trade responsibly. 📢
Long
by fxtraderanthony
10