Let's always put our trust in BTC, mate.Bitcoin Market Analysis
BTC price hovers around 84,000 in consolidation. Bulls and bears battle at this price.
Support Level
Support is in 81,000 - 82,000. Strong buying emerges there. It stopped drops in past corrections. Dense holdings mean many cost - bases are in this range, propping up support.
Resistance Level
Resistance at 87,000. K - lines show heavy selling near it. Past break - throughs failed. Trapped or profit - taking positions sell as price nears, creating resistance.
Bullish Outlook
I'm bullish. Global recovery raises risk appetite for BTC. More institutions hold BTC, boosting price. Positive sentiment on long - term prospects, due to blockchain growth, helps. Upward - diverging moving averages show uptrend. Lower volume in consolidation, but activity stays. New positives may push price to resistance.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
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Btcusdanalysis
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
Why did BTC experience such minimal movement todayBTC has been floating at 84000 today, yesterday it touched resistance at 87000, today's resistance is still valid, with the Fed's information, gold's rally has been full down, and more people will pay attention to BTC next
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
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Explanation Why Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is not Over YetHello, Skyrexians!
Time to update BINANCE:BTCUSDT huge analysis. Market became bigger and it needs more rime to form bull and bear stages. Now everyone is waiting for the bear market because it was every time, but this time it will be tricky for retailers.
Let's take a look at the 2 week time frame. If we apply our Fractal Trend Detector to this chart we can see that Bitcoin is still in the green zone and now is inside the huge support area. If it will be held we will see the following Elliott waves scenario where wave 3 will reach at least $144k. Awesome Oscillator also gives us a hint that it's still not over. The entire bull market will be finished only in the middle of 2026.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation.
Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern.
The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025.
Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below.
To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k.
As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k.
This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k.
WATCH CLOSELY
Gold (XAUUSD) Sell Setup – Targeting 3022 & 3006Price has previously rejected this area, indicating strong selling pressure. A potential bearish move is anticipated, targeting the lower support level around 3022.670. If the price fails to break above the resistance, the projected downward movement is likely to follow.
Take Profit (TP) levels:
- TP1: 3022.000 (Stronger reaction zone)
- TP2: 3006.000 (Final target, deeper support level)
These levels align with key support zones where price may react.
Global Tensions, Market Manipulation, and BTC Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market, a realm notorious for its volatility, is currently grappling with a confluence of factors that are forcing investors to reassess their strategies. Global trade tensions, macroeconomic uncertainties, and the intricate dance of market manipulation are all contributing to a complex and unpredictable landscape. Specifically, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, is experiencing a period of intense scrutiny, with analysts offering a range of perspectives on its potential future.
A recurring theme in recent analyses is the notion of "whale manipulation." Reports suggest that large holders, or "whales," are engaging in strategic trades on exchanges like Binance to influence Bitcoin's price. This "liquidity massaging" is seen as a deliberate attempt to create artificial price ceilings, with some analysts predicting that Bitcoin's upward momentum could be capped below $90,000, and more conservatively, $87.5K. Such manipulations introduce uncertainty, making it difficult to discern genuine market sentiment from artificially inflated or deflated prices.
Adding to the complexity is the debate surrounding retail investor participation. Contrary to the prevailing narrative of retail investors being absent, some crypto executives argue that they are already actively involved. This perspective challenges the notion that a surge in retail interest is needed to propel Bitcoin to new heights. If retail participation is already significant, the anticipated catalyst for a bull run may have already materialized, leaving investors to wonder what new catalyst is needed for further price appreciation.
Data from Bitcoin's Realized Cap and UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) analysis is also signaling a "major shift." These metrics, which offer insights into the actual value stored within the Bitcoin network and the movement of coins, are crucial for understanding the underlying health of the market. Changes in these indicators can foreshadow significant price movements and shifts in investor behavior. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics for clues about Bitcoin's future direction.
However, despite recent attempts to pare losses, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain a consistent uptrend. This instability has led some traders to adopt a bearish stance, with predictions of a potential drop to as low as $65,000. These bearish sentiments are fueled by the inability of Bitcoin to decisively break through resistance levels and the persistent volatility that characterizes the current market.
Conversely, some analysts are finding bullish signals by examining indicators that also correlate with the Nasdaq. The correlation between traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space has become increasingly evident, and analyzing these relationships can provide valuable insights. If the Nasdaq shows signs of strength, it could potentially buoy Bitcoin's price. However, this correlation is not always consistent, and the inherent volatility of both markets can lead to unpredictable outcomes.
The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is another critical factor influencing market dynamics. The collapse of the "cash-and-carry" trade, a popular arbitrage strategy, has had significant implications for investors. The stagnation of inflows into these ETFs, compared to the initial surge earlier in 2024, has raised concerns about the sustainability of institutional interest. While there have been recent reports of net inflows returning, questions remain if this is a temporary blip, or a sustained uptrend. This fluctuation in ETF inflow signals a wavering confidence from institutional players.
The combination of these factors creates a challenging environment for investors. Global trade tensions, which can disrupt economic stability and investor sentiment, add another layer of uncertainty. Fluctuations in traditional markets, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments can all have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market.
In this tumultuous landscape, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a diversified approach. Relying solely on technical analysis or market sentiment can be risky. Instead, a comprehensive strategy that incorporates fundamental analysis, risk management, and a deep understanding of market dynamics is essential.
The current situation highlights the inherent volatility and complexity of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains a dominant force, its future trajectory is far from certain. The interplay of whale manipulation, retail participation, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors creates a dynamic and unpredictable environment. Investors must remain vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and prioritize risk management to navigate this challenging terrain successfully.
BTC: Accumulate energy for the rise and soar into the sky!📍BTC's volatility has narrowed, with selling pressure showing signs of weakening. Throughout the choppy price action, the 84000-83500 zone has established itself as a critical support area in the short-term structure. This level now serves as a key defensive line.
📍Following this consolidation phase, BTC may stage a rebound from this support region. If the price manages to break through the resistance around 84800 with strength, further upside momentum could drive it towards the 90000 level.
🔎Trade Idea:
BTCUSD:Buy at 83500-83000
TP:84500-85000
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Just In: $PI Set for 200% Surge Amidst Steep Falling WedgeThe price of price is set to skyrocket amidst a steep falling wedge pattern that has left the asset plummeting currently down 14%.
While the asset is currently oversold as indicated by the Relative strength index (RSI) of 21, this adds more credence to the bullish thesis. With a recent All time high (ATH) of $2.98 and a total and maximum supply of 100 billion tokens, PI coin is more than ready to capitalize on this market dip to spark a renaissance.
Albeit the crypto market is facing turbulence time at the moment, with the crypto fear and greed index dipping to 27% hinting at a bearish sentiment. Similarly, CRYPTOCAP:BTC lose its dominance over altcoin with the ration pegged as 21% bitcoin and the remaining 79% comprises of all the remaining tokens. This metric hints at a potential altcoin season incoming and NASDAQ:PI is not exempted.
Pi Price Live Data
The live Pi price today is $0.897547 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $543,904,959 USD. Pi is down 23.67% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $6,122,316,736 USD. It has a circulating supply of 6,821,168,428 PI coins and a max. supply of 100,000,000,000 PI coins.
(BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern - Critical Breakout Setup🔍 Market Overview & Technical Breakdown
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, which is a bearish signal indicating a potential reversal. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing wedge suggests that buying momentum is weakening.
BTC has been battling a major resistance zone around $85,000 - $87,500, struggling to break higher. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the key support level at $80,000, we could see a strong downside move. However, if BTC breaks the upper resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated, opening the door for a push toward $95,000+.
📉 Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Formation)
A rising wedge occurs when the price moves upward within two converging trendlines, making higher highs and higher lows but with a weakening bullish momentum. This pattern often breaks downward, leading to a sharp sell-off.
Characteristics of This Wedge Formation:
✅ Upward Sloping Support & Resistance Lines: BTC is trending higher, but the slope is narrowing, showing a loss of bullish strength.
✅ Decreasing Volume: Volume is declining as price moves higher, indicating buyers are losing control.
✅ Bearish Breakout Probability: Rising wedges typically break down 75% of the time, suggesting a high likelihood of a drop below support.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones (Potential Breakout Levels)
1️⃣ $85,000 - $87,500 → Strong resistance; BTC has repeatedly failed to break above.
2️⃣ $90,000+ → A confirmed breakout would invalidate the wedge and shift the trend bullish.
3️⃣ $107,000 Target → If BTC breaks above resistance, we could see a move toward the psychological $100,000 - $107,000 level.
🔻 Support Levels (Bearish Breakdown Zones)
1️⃣ $80,000 - $82,000 → Key support within the wedge; a breakdown confirms the bearish move.
2️⃣ $75,000 → Strong historical demand zone; BTC could bounce here if it drops.
3️⃣ $70,000 and Below → Ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates.
📈 Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Rising Wedge Breakdown)
🔴 Entry: Below $80,000 (confirmed breakdown).
📉 Stop-Loss: Above $83,500 (to avoid fakeouts).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $78,000
TP2: $75,000
TP3: $70,000
🔹 Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume and a retest of $80,000 as resistance after breakdown.
🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
✅ Entry: Above $87,500, confirming bullish momentum.
📉 Stop-Loss: Below $85,000 (to minimize risk).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $90,000
TP2: $95,000
TP3: $107,000
🔹 Confirmation: BTC must break the wedge’s upper boundary with strong volume for bullish continuation.
📊 Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment
🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently near 60 – Showing bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
A move above 70 could signal an overbought market and potential reversal.
🔴 Volume Profile
Volume is decreasing as BTC rises, suggesting a possible exhaustion of buying power.
A breakout should be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish strength.
🟢 Moving Averages (EMA & SMA)
BTC is trading above key EMAs (50 & 200), supporting the bullish case.
A breakdown below the 50 EMA could accelerate selling pressure.
📢 Final Thoughts: High-Risk, High-Reward Setup
🚨 BTC is at a critical decision point! The rising wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal, but confirmation is needed. If BTC breaks below $80K, expect a strong sell-off. However, if bulls manage to break above resistance, BTC could rally toward $100K+.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
✅ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
✅ Use stop-losses to protect your capital.
✅ Monitor volume & key levels for stronger trade signals.
🔥 What’s your take on this setup? Will BTC break down or push higher? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
BTC Breaks Structure - Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea!Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside on the daily timeframe, confirming a bullish trend 📈. I’m considering a buy opportunity, but only if the key conditions discussed in the video align.
Right now, BTC is in a strong uptrend, with a well-defined higher highs and higher lows structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🔍. In this video, we break down the trend, price action, market structure, and other essential aspects of technical analysis to navigate this setup effectively.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BTC: Capture buying opportunities accurately📍Fundamentals: From a macro perspective, with increased government endorsement, cryptocurrencies are gaining greater credibility and popularity in the market.
📍Technical Analysis:The downward momentum of BTC is showing signs of exhaustion, with multiple rebounds forming a structural bottom that provides strong support. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact. The key support zone to monitor is 83000-82000.
📌If BTC fails to break below this level in the short term, a rebound is likely, with upside potential targeting the 88000-89000 range.
🔎Trade Idea:
BTCUSD: Buy at 83000-82000
Target (TP):88000-89000
Stop Loss (SL):Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
BTC at a Crossroads: Bull Trap or Moon Mission?A possible bearish scenario is playing out on BTC, but hey—just one of many possibilities before the real bloodbath begins. 👀 This could just be a classic trap to lure people in before shaking them out. The key resistance zone is between GETTEX:97K and $101K, a big range to clear. If we flip it and close above $102K on the weekly, that would be amazing—but let’s be real, we’ll need a strong catalyst for that. If we do, then we’re likely talking about the $120K range.
On the flip side, if we drop lower from here, the most obvious support sits at $72K. Below that… well, let’s just say we don’t wanna go there—next real support isn’t until $50K. For everyone’s sake, let’s hope we don’t see those levels. Big decision point ahead—let’s see who wins this battle! ⚔️🚀
Support and resistance for BTCBTC tested resistance near 88000 yesterday following the Fed rate decision, and this test of resistance was effective.
However, BTC uptrend is not over, and the lower support should be watched in the 81,000-82000 area, when the price reaches this area can continue to go long.
🎁 Buy@81000 - 82000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
🎁 Sell@87000 - 88000
🎁 TP 84000 83000 82000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
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BTC Whales Stir, Trump's Crypto Push, and the Path to $85,000
Bitcoin's recent price action has ignited a renewed sense of optimism within the crypto community. A confluence of factors, ranging from whale activity and political pronouncements to macroeconomic indicators and regulatory developments, is shaping the current market narrative.
Whale Activity: A Harbinger of Bullish Momentum?
The resurgence of Bitcoin whale activity is a significant indicator that has captured the attention of traders and analysts. Large-scale Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," possess the capacity to significantly influence market dynamics.1 Their accumulation of Bitcoin can signal strong conviction and potentially trigger broader market rallies. The recent uptick in whale activity suggests a renewed interest in Bitcoin among these major players, potentially laying the foundation for a sustained upward trend. This can be viewed as the building of a strong base of long positions.
Political Winds: Trump's Crypto Pronouncements and Market Sentiment
Political discourse has increasingly intersected with the cryptocurrency market, with recent statements from a prominent political figure influencing market sentiment. Rhetoric emphasizing the United States as a "Bitcoin superpower" has undeniably contributed to bullish momentum. This political articulation of a crypto-friendly approach signals potential policy shifts and improved regulatory clarity, both crucial factors in attracting institutional investment. Market participants are interpreting this as a sign of acceptance, if not outright endorsement, of digital assets at the highest levels.
It is worth noting that consistent pronouncements regarding the US becoming the "crypto capital of the world," while driving short term volatility, need to be followed with legislative action for long term impact.
Macroeconomic Factors: Fed Policies and Inflationary Concerns
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the evolving narrative surrounding inflation play a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin's trajectory. Recent indications from the Fed regarding continued rate cuts, despite persistent inflationary pressures, have boosted investor confidence. This stance, coupled with Powell's assessment of certain inflationary factors, such as tariffs, as "transitory," has provided much-needed relief to risk assets, including Bitcoin. This monetary policy creates a favorable environment for investment. The combination of Fed policy confirmation and rumors of "significant updates" to US crypto plans have driven Bitcoin to new two-week highs.
Technical Analysis: The $85,000 Threshold and Beyond
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's ability to reclaim the $85,000 level is considered a crucial milestone. Surpassing this threshold would validate the current bullish momentum and potentially pave the way for further gains. Analysts are closely monitoring key support and resistance levels to gauge the strength of the ongoing rally. The return of significant volume combined with the price retaking old highs lends to an increasingly bullish sentiment.
BlackRock's prediction of a price shift ahead indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset, potentially aligning it with traditional Wall Street investments.2 These kinds of comments indicate an institutional bullish long-term perspective.
Regulatory Clarity: Ripple's Resolution and Its Impact on Bitcoin
The resolution of Ripple's legal battle with the SEC has sent ripples (pun intended) throughout the cryptocurrency market. This development has provided much-needed regulatory clarity, bolstering investor confidence and fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets. The jump in XRP's price after confirmation of the case coming to an end further exemplifies the markets sensitivity to regulatory action. This resolution will influence Bitcoin’s adoption rates, as investors now know the US regulatory stance may be moderating.
Options Market Sentiment: A Shift Towards Bullishness
The Bitcoin options market has exhibited a noticeable shift towards bullishness, particularly after Powell's "transitory inflation" remarks. This sentiment reflects increased optimism among traders and investors, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend. An increased amount of bullish options being written displays further faith in the rise of Bitcoin’s price.
Bitcoin's Volatility: Navigating the Uncertainty
Despite the positive developments, Bitcoin remains inherently volatile. Price swings, driven by a combination of market sentiment, news events, and technical factors, are to be expected. Investors should remain vigilant and exercise prudent risk management strategies. While large volume and long term political promises are strong positive indicators, there are still volatile short term swings to consider.
Looking Ahead: The Potential for a Sustained Rally
The convergence of positive catalysts, including whale activity, political support, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory clarity, paints a potentially bullish picture for Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency market is subject to rapid shifts, and unforeseen events can significantly impact price movements.
To conclude, the present environment is ripe for sustained Bitcoin price discovery. The political and macroeconomic climates are aligning, coupled with increased whale activity and regulatory clarity. While markets will remain volatile, the trend is looking increasingly bullish.
BTC Update 4 Hour/ FOMC Day March 19, 2025, GAME PLAN!🚨 FOMC Day Update – March 19, 2025 🚨
BTC at ~$83,244 (+0.28%–1%) as markets stay cautious. Fear & Greed at 23, RSI at 44.05 = neutral momentum.
While BTC is trading below all significant EMs, 50 100 and 200, It has broken above the 21EMA which is bullish for the short term.
Fed likely to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50% (99% odds) – a surprise cut could ignite a BTC rally. Whale accumulation signals potential upside.
Sentiment data and whale accumulation hint towards a possible upside but only if FED surprises with a rate cut.
The current pump in the market will be short-lived if there's no change in the rates which is very likely.
So be careful with your longs and shorts.
Volatility will kill both bears and bulls.
You need to keep an eye on Powell’s 2:30 PM EST speech.
Inflation & liquidity outlook will shape BTC’s next move. Stay sharp!
I'll keep you updated.
Let me know what you think in the comments and do hit that like button if you like this post.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC----Buy around 85500, target 87000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on March 20: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was still a single-yin and single-yang line. The price was consolidated at a low level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross, but the fast and slow lines were still below the zero axis. The suppression at the weekly level was still quite obvious. The current trend is still the trend of time-for-space pullback, but there will not be too much movement, and we just need to follow the trend and maintain short-term trading; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose and the US session continued in the early morning, and the price broke the high and then retreated quickly. The current price is consolidating at a high level, and the attached indicator was dead cross but there was no retracement strength. If we see a continued rise today, then the retracement strength cannot be large. The intraday low is near the 85400 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: buy at the 85500 area, stop loss at the 85000 area, and target the 87000 area;
Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10
Well, let's try to hit it again !)
Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC
In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" ))
Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days.
And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire.
👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money.
_____________________
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BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀