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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin Parabolic Curve - 2022 to 2026 Market CycleThis line chart shows the current Bitcoin market cycle from the bear market bottom in November 2022. As you can see, the price has formed a parabolic curve, which was violated around the beginning of March. A couple of weeks later, there was a retest of the curve, which was rejected. The price of BTC has since returned to the bottom side of the curve and is following it upwards. I am also watching the Bitcoin monthly chart and, more specifically, the monthly Stochastic RSI indicator. As you can see in the chart below, between the second and third months after the market cycle peak, the Stochastic RSI indicator has always dropped below the "20" level, and was near zero at the close of the third month. There was some speculation that the new all-time high set on January 20th at just over $109k was the peak for this market cycle. At the beginning of April, the Stochastic RSI dropped well below the 20 level but rebounded and was at 16.81 when the April candle closed. One week into May, the Stochastic RSI has pushed back above the 20 level and currently sits at 26.38. I am still keeping an open mind, but if the high set on January 20th were the market cycle peak, based on past history, I would have expected the Stochastic RSI to have been much lower at the close of April. If the May candle closes with the Stochastic RSI above the 20 level, it will give me much more confidence that Bitcoin has not peaked for this market cycle. My assumption for now is that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle. If this is true, I would expect a market cycle peak sometime in the final months of this year. Either way, it has been a very interesting market cycle with huge changes for the crypto asset class.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
1
Bitcoin Dominance - the two scenarios!Bitcoin dominance continues to rise after breaking out of a rising wedge pattern on the weekly chart. It has now also broken through the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Next stop is Rectangle 1, where Bitcoin dominance is expected to reach 68% — and most likely, this will mark the top of dominance before it starts to drop, triggering a historic altcoin season. Scenario 2: Dominance keeps pushing higher toward Rectangle 2, potentially surpassing 70%. At that point, many altcoins may form new lows, and weak projects could get wiped out. Fear in the market will hit extreme levels — but that could signal the beginning of an altseason and the collapse of BTC dominance. Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by ceciliones
9
BTC/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical(BTC/USDT) analysis outlines a bullish outlook with key technical levels and scenarios. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Observations: 1. Trend Break and CHoCH (Change of Character): The chart shows a clear break of the downtrend, confirmed by the CHoCH label — a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) signal indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. Key Zones Highlighted: EVC-Buying Zone: Around 86,000 – 88,000 (aligned with EMA 200), marked as a strong accumulation area. New Support Level: Around 92,000 – 93,000, potentially forming a bullish support after the recent rally. Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones near: 99,600 (intermediate resistance and target) 106,400 (final target) 3. RSI Indicator: RSI is near 64, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought — a potential sign of further upside. 4. Two Bullish Scenarios: Scenario 1 (Aggressive Bullish): BTC continues upward from the current level and breaks above resistance toward the 106,447 target. Scenario 2 (Retracement Bullish): BTC dips to the new support or even into the buying zone (86–88k), then rebounds to reach the same targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests bullish continuation, with potential pullbacks into strong demand zones. It supports both breakout and retracement entries, with targets at 99,632 and 106,447. If price holds above EMA 200 and RSI remains supportive, the upside thesis remains valid. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
by SMC-Trading-Point
28
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Accumulation Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC rebounded off rising‐channel boundary and has formed a base in the $93K–95.3K accumulation zone. A decisive break above ~$95,700 would confirm a fresh leg to $98,000. ● Higher lows and tightening range signal building bullish pressure for an impulsive move toward the channel top. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot BTC ETFs logged ~$675 M of net inflows on May 2. ✨ Summary Rising‐channel support + sustained ETF demand favor a short‐term long bias: targets GETTEX:98K → $100K; view invalidated below $91,500. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
BTCUSD BULLISH SUSTAINANCE.BTCUSD Trading Signal Market Sentiment: The market is currently experiencing a price surge following a strong rally throughout April. Bitcoin has shown positive momentum and remains in a clear ascending market structure. Key Levels: Resistance: $92,000 (broken) First Target: $95,750 Final Target: $97,800 Technical Overview: Bitcoin continues its upward movement, supported by strong volume and higher highs. Moving averages point to a strengthening market, with momentum indicators confirming an ongoing bull run. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts above $95,750.
Long
by Zickey_11
1
Bitcoin is likely to rise after its declineFrom the perspective of historical trends and technical indicators, when the short-term moving averages show a bullish arrangement, it is usually a relatively strong signal. However, the previously mentioned signs of a bearish divergence in the MACD indicator imply the risk of a pullback. If Bitcoin can break through the recent resistance level, such as $95,000, it may trigger a new round of upward trend. Conversely, if it fails to break through and the selling pressure continues to increase, there may be a certain degree of decline.👉👉👉 From the demand side, although the inflow of ETF funds is still lower than the level in 2024, the apparent demand has turned positive since the end of February, indicating a certain purchasing power. If this kind of demand continues to grow, it will provide support for the price of Bitcoin. On the supply side, the total amount of Bitcoin is fixed, and the increase in mining difficulty has slowed down the growth rate of new currency supply, which is conducive to price stability or increase to a certain extent. BTCUSD Trading Strategy buy @ 93500-9370 sl 925000 tp 94800-95000 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
Here's a simply analysis on BTC.BTC Update: BTC faced rejection after reaching $97.8k, and with the current price at $94.4k, it is now in Retest Range 1 between $92.5k and $94.5k. This range has previously shown multiple rebounds, but when compared with the RSI, the chances of further rejection appear higher. In another scenario, if BTC fails to hold Retest Range 1, we may see it pulling back or retesting levels around $87k. Be cautious with multiple long positions for now and always trade with a proper stop-loss. Regards, Dexter
Short
by Dexter_The_Trader
Bitcoin Struggles at the $95,000 BarrierIn today’s session, BTC has once again posted a decline of over 2%, as the previous bullish bias struggles to break through the $95,000 resistance level. The neutrality forming on the chart around this zone reflects the uncertainty in market sentiment, which is also evident in the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, currently oscillating in the neutral range at 45 points. The market appears to be watching closely for developments in the trade war and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday before resuming the buying pressure that has driven BTC in recent weeks. Short-Term Bullish Trend Since April 9, a sustained bullish trend has been forming in BTC’s price, until momentum stalled near the $95,000 resistance zone. Prolonged price neutrality around this level may begin to slow the upward momentum that had been developing and lead to a consolidation phase. However, the long-term outlook still shows a clear dominance of buying interest. Technical Indicators: RSI: The RSI line approached the overbought zone near the 70 level, but has since begun to trend downward, suggesting that the recent buying momentum is weakening. This opens the door for potential short-term bearish corrections. MACD: The MACD histogram is slowly approaching the zero line, which may indicate a balance of forces in the market. Furthermore, if a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line occurs in the short term, it could be interpreted as the start of a sustained bearish momentum that may affect upward price movements. Key Levels to Watch: $95,000 – Major Resistance: The most relevant resistance level for BTC, aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A breakout above this zone could confirm the strength of buying interest and pave the way for a more extended bullish trend. $90,000 – Nearby Support: This level aligns with neutral consolidation areas from previous sessions and could serve as a short-term support in the face of potential pullbacks. $86,500 – Key Support: This level is marked by the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could break the short-term bullish structure and extend bearish momentum. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis from May 05, 2025Based on my analysis, BTCUSD is likely to experience a bearish trend over the next four trading days. A sell signal has been confirmed, with a stop-loss set at 97,939. Key support levels to watch are 83,974 and 80,491 — the latter becoming relevant only if the price breaks and closes below 83,974. Please note: this is a personal market outlook and not a trading recommendation. Traders should rely on real-time technical analysis and implement appropriate risk management practices before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mastersinnifty
BTCUSDTHello everyone! The downtrend in BTCUSDT continues with strong volume. Since May 3rd, the bearish trend has remained intact, and the current delta rate stands at -45%. This indicates that the downward momentum is likely to continue for a while. Therefore, I’m planning to open a short position on BTCUSDT. You can find the entry, exit, and TP levels below. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 94586.48 ✔️ Take Profit: 94113.32 ✔️ Stop Loss: 94902.08 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
BTCUSD - [TRADE UPDATE]MARKET CONDITION From my previous post i said i was anticipating a Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution market profile and it seems like the first two phases has been completed. I would want to see huge movement to the downside this new week to start the Distribution phase. TRADE UPDATE I'm currently in a swing short from that daily supply zone and i'm still anticipating more downside going into the new week/month. SUMMARY I'll be observing Price Action and managing my trade accordingly. Drop your take on BTC in the comment lets break down some few things together.
Short
by SyHub
2
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted. Here are some practical ideas: 1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts 2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals 3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets 4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by mostafadehghan321
2
“BTC 4H Chart: Eye on $91,247 Support After Local Resistance”The BTCUSDT 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, but price is now facing resistance. If the trendline breaks, the $91,000 support zone becomes a key level to watch. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger correction? 🔍 Key Levels: Resistance: $97,000 Support Zones: $95,000 & $91,000 Trendline Decision: Watch the 4H candle close for confirmation. 🧠 Strategy: Wait for a pullback or go long on a confirmed bounce — both setups are possible. Follow price action closely and trade smart.
Short
by Forexcryptowithjohn
BTC/USD) Trend channel analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. It showcases a potential breakout continuation vs. pullback scenario, depending on how price reacts around a key short-term resistance area. --- Key Observations: 1. Current Price: $93,754 — Price is consolidating just below a local high. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Support BOS (Break of Structure): Around the $87,351 level, highlighted in yellow. Upper Target Zone: $98,954–$98,983 200 EMA: Near $86,926, offering dynamic support. 3. Two Possible Scenarios: A. Bullish Continuation: If the price holds above the immediate structure and breaks out of the short-term consolidation near the top: It may surge toward the upper target zone ($98,983). This aligns with the ascending channel and continuation pattern. B. Bearish Pullback: If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area: A correction down to the support BOS zone (~$87,351) is likely. This pullback may be temporary, potentially offering a re-entry zone for bulls. 4. RSI Analysis (Bottom of Chart): RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs). This suggests momentum is weakening, and a short-term pullback could occur. --- Trade Ideas: Long Setup (Breakout): Entry: Above recent high (~$94,500). Target: ~$98,950 Stop Loss: Below ~$92,000 Short Setup (Rejection): Entry: Rejection near ~$94,000–$94,500 Target: ~$87,350 Stop Loss: Above ~$94,800 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: This analysis reflects a critical decision point for BTC/USD. Price is nearing a local high with RSI divergence suggesting a pullback may come first — but if buyers remain strong and break resistance, a continuation toward GETTEX:98K is likely. Wait for confirmation of direction before entering. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
14