Trading BTC with a Solid Plan Is Crucial for Success—Here’s Mine🌟 In this video, I share a trade idea along with my detailed trading plan and we highlight why a well-structured strategy is 🔑 key to success. Discover how to trade BTC Bitcoin 🪙 using a trend continuation approach while leveraging TradingView's powerful tools and features to gain a real edge in the markets. 🖥️✨
Here’s what we’ll cover:
📊 Trend Analysis: A top-down review of market direction to identify opportunities.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action: Key insights into how price moves and behaves.
🎯 Trade Planning: Using higher timeframe support and resistance levels to set stop loss and target points.
🛠️ TradingView Features: Practical tools to refine your analysis and boost efficiency.
This video is an in-depth guide to trading effectively with a proven strategy, enhanced by TradingView's unique capabilities. 🚀 Please remember, this is not financial advice. 📜
Btcusdanalysis
BTC Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSD
Approximately a month ago, Bitcoin (BTC) reached $108,000, followed by a significant drop to $90,000. A strong support zone formed around $92,000, leading to a rebound. We also had a crucial zone at $99,000 to $100,000, which has been broken and flipped into support.
Currently, as long as the price remains above this zone, there's a strong possibility of moving toward higher levels, potentially reaching around $110,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
BTC: Claimed a New All-Time High!BTC touched a new all-time high of $109,568 on the same day Trump entered the White House to take office.
Previously, I mentioned a potential rejection toward FWB:73K , but BTC was rejected at $89.3k and eventually rebounded to claim a new all-time high. Following this 23% rally, BTC still needs to break above the resistance trendline for further bullish movement. Unless BTC breaks through the resistance, the chances of rejection remain valid.
Bullish Move: A breakout above the resistance trendline, creating a new all-time high.
Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance trendline.
Trade safely.
BTC Volatility Hits 6-Month High, Options Trading ExplodesImplied and realized volatility indexes hit the highest levels since August's yen carry trade unwind.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has always been synonymous with volatility. However, recent market activity indicates a significant surge in price fluctuations, with both implied and realized volatility indexes reaching levels not seen since August of the previous year. This spike in volatility coincides with a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant price swings in the near future.
Understanding Volatility
In financial markets, volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a trading asset over time. High volatility implies that the price of an asset can fluctuate dramatically over a short period, while low volatility suggests relatively stable price movements. Volatility can be measured in two primary ways:
1. Realized Volatility: This is a historical measure of how much an asset's price has fluctuated in the past. It is typically calculated by looking at the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, such as 30 days.
2. Implied Volatility: This is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects an asset's price to fluctuate in the future. It is derived from the pricing of options contracts, which give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
Current Market Trends
The increase in implied volatility suggests that options traders are pricing in a higher probability of significant price swings in Bitcoin. This could be due to a number of factors, including:
• Increased Institutional Participation: The growing involvement of institutional investors in the Bitcoin market has led to larger trading volumes and potentially greater price swings.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The lack of clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies in many jurisdictions continues to create uncertainty and contribute to volatility.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards Bitcoin can also play a significant role in its volatility. Positive news and developments can lead to rapid price increases, while negative news can trigger sharp declines.
Options Market Frenzy
The surge in Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market. Options contracts provide traders with a way to bet on future price movements without having to directly buy or sell the underlying asset. The recent increase in options trading suggests that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the expected price swings in Bitcoin.
One notable trend in the options market is the increasing demand for call options, which give the holder the right to buy Bitcoin at a specific price. This indicates that many traders are betting on further price increases in the cryptocurrency.
Potential Risks
While the current market conditions may present opportunities for some traders, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with high volatility. Rapid price swings can lead to significant losses for those who are not adequately prepared.
For latecomers to the Bitcoin market, the risk of immediate unrealized losses is particularly high. If the price of Bitcoin were to suddenly decline, those who recently bought in at higher prices could see their investments quickly lose value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge in volatility, coupled with the frenzy in the options market, highlights the inherent risks and opportunities associated with this digital asset. While the potential for significant gains exists, traders must also be prepared for the possibility of substantial losses. As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, it is crucial to stay informed and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
BTC new all time highsOn going FIBonacci price targets of BTCUSD.
112,750 1st target, new all time high.
Resistance likely @ previous 108k all time high.
:: See chart for predictive price path.
--- Mid - Late Feburary price price prediction.
::: Speculative assumption on current BTC price action. :::
***Newest local low and price action suggest the new local low bottom with continuation to the up side.
108k should stabilize - followed by 112,750 new ATH target.
#BTCUSDT: Three Entries Going On Good, Next Target 150k! Dear Traders,
Three of our entries going good so far, where our third entry reversed and moved on nicely. We are now focusing on 120k first and then we will moving forward toward 150k. Correction is not likely to happen in meantime. Please use accurate risk management while trading BTC.
Bitcoin: The Perfect Pullback Entry! 🔥 What's up, traders! Welcome to another explosive analysis! 🔥
Today, I’m entering BTC/USD with a strategy that’s on FIRE. 📈 The trend is crystal clear: Bullish! 🟢 But hold on, the Market Prediction Indicator is signaling a possible pullback before the next big move up. 😎
That’s why I’m not jumping in right away. I’ve placed a Buy Limit at $100,845.60, waiting for the price to dip and give me the perfect entry. 💸
🎯 Take Profit: set at $105,964.67
🛡️ Stop Loss: locked in at $97,576.65
I’m aiming for that perfect entry, taking advantage of the pullback to ride the bullish momentum hard. 🚀
What do you think? Will the market respect this analysis or surprise us? 🤔
Drop your thoughts in the comments and don’t forget to subscribe for more strategy-packed and action-filled analysis! 📊🔥
Let’s go all in! 💥
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may result in the loss of your capital.
BTC Price & Market Overview 1. Price & Market Overview
BTC Price: Trading between $108,550 and $108,600, up +3.5% in the past 24 hours.
Intraday high: ~$109,588, reflecting strong upward momentum from ~$100k earlier this week.
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index: 76 (still in "Greed," slightly down by -1.3% from the previous day).
Bitcoin Dominance: 57.54% (+0.05%), maintaining a strong position in the crypto market.
Macro Context:
Gold Futures: +0.29% ($2709.31), indicating slight risk-hedge interest.
USD Index (DXY): -0.28% (108.900), a weaker USD favors risk-on assets like BTC.
2. On-Chain & Spot Flows
Exchange Balances:
~1.81M BTC on exchanges, down -0.06%, consistent with long-term outflows but no dramatic changes.
Spot Flows:
Moderate net outflows over the last 8–12 hours suggest potential accumulation off-exchange.
Implication: Reduced exchange balances decrease immediate selling pressure, supporting price increases if demand holds steady.
3. Derivatives Overview
Open Interest (OI):
$153.81B (+2.14%), indicating strong trader interest as prices climb.
Futures Volume (24h):
$550.56B (+77.71%), a sharp increase, often linked to significant price movements like short squeezes.
24h Liquidations:
$1.05B (+83.93%), reflecting a wave of short liquidations above $105k–$107k.
Funding Rates:
Generally positive (e.g., Binance BTC/USDT ~0.0308%), reflecting a net-long bias.
Extremely high funding could signal an overheated market and precede a correction.
CME Futures:
OI: $20.79B (+3.82%), highlighting institutional trader interest. Watch for weekend-related gaps causing volatility upon reopening.
4. Technical Indicators
Price Action:
BTC broke above $105k resistance, surging toward ~$109k.
Consolidating near $108.5k, with next key resistance at $110k.
MACD: Bullish crossover with a positive histogram (~706.79 on 1h), signaling strong upward momentum.
RSI: In the 66–68 range, nearing overbought levels but not extreme.
Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, suggesting a possible short-term pullback or consolidation after rapid gains.
5. Notable Events & Highlights
Short Squeeze:
Massive liquidations of short positions (10x–25x leverage) above $105k–$107k fueled the rally.
CME Futures Risk:
Weekend gaps may lead to volatility when traditional markets reopen on Monday.
Regulatory News:
No immediate developments, but speculation around favorable policies or interventions continues to influence sentiment.
6. Likely Scenarios (Next ~12–24 Hours)
Continuation to $110k+ (~40% Probability):
Sustained bullish momentum and high volume could drive BTC to test or break $110k.
Sideways Consolidation (~35% Probability):
BTC consolidates between $106k and $109k, digesting recent gains.
Pullback/Correction (~25% Probability):
Profit-taking or market cooling pushes BTC toward $105k or $103k.
Watch for negative funding or large exchange inflows as warning signs.
7. Overall Confidence Level
Market Bias: Moderately Bullish (~60% confidence).
Upside Drivers: Positive funding rates, high volume, and continued short liquidations.
Risks: Overbought RSI, CME gap risk, potential profit-taking near $110k.
Final Note
Monitor $110k resistance closely for a breakout or rejection. Pay attention to liquidation clusters, funding rate spikes, and any significant exchange inflows. A decisive move above $110k could trigger another wave of liquidations, while a failure could lead to a pullback. Maintain disciplined risk management practices.
Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits?
On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points.
Current Situation
🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements.
🔸 Historical correction analysis:
For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal:
- The first correction resulted in a 25% drop.
- The second correction saw a 65% drop.
- Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward?
Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop?
My Decision
Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside.
Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price.
But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us.
On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President.
I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas!
The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year.
There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now.
Bitcoin
On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support.
But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always)
Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks.
As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period.
The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high.
On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon.
But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out.
If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week.
But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Send us an email or message us on social media.
cheers!
Jasper
Next target for Bitcoin BTC price is $110k but there is a nuanceCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has reached $90000 - this is something incredible, considering that just 8 years ago we were trading #BTCUSD for $900) X100 is easy money if you save it)
And the coolest thing is that this is just the beginning)
However, no one on our planet has yet canceled the effect of gravity so everything that takes off will be attracted to the ground
OKX:BTCUSDT price needs a correction, at least to $77-78k. And even more so, this correction is needed for altcoins, so that the “fresh” capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:DOGE CRYPTOCAP:TON can flow into low-cap #Altcoins
It may hurt a little at first, but it will be pleasant later
Use the correction period to monitor altcoins very closely to determine which ones are being redeemed, where there is strength and support, and the greatest chance of further growth
Or follow us, we regularly give tips;)
BITCOINUSD TECHANICALL ANALYSIS FOR H1 (READ CAOTION)hello trader's. what do you think about bitcoinusd
current price: 105000
Today BitcoinUSD Just Touch The Last High Area 105700 We See Some Retestmint in BitcoinUSD it can be good Retest in BitcoinUSD Now we Have H1 Channel Pattern So bitcoinusd going to toching Resistance zone 106500 then bitcoinusd Fall Down side to Support 101500 then expected 97500
support 95500.94500
resistance zone. 10580o . 107000
please like comment and follow
BTC Dominance AnalysisWe are currently observing a key resistance zone (labeled as "A") between 59% and 60% dominance. The price action shows a potential rejection from this area, suggesting that BTC dominance might struggle to break above this level in the short term.
If the rejection occurs as expected, we could see a downward move towards the highlighted support zone (labeled as "B") around 54.5% - 55%. This zone represents a significant area of buyer interest and could lead to a reversal or stabilization.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Zone A): 59% - 60%
Support (Zone B): 54.5% - 55%
Projection:
If rejection from Zone A occurs, a bearish movement towards Zone B is likely.
A potential bounce from Zone B could lead to a recovery in BTC dominance.
How Bitcoin’s Recent Golden Cross Could Impact Your Crypto Bitcoin has been performing strongly on the charts since hitting a low of GETTEX:89K a week ago. The cryptocurrency’s value has risen to over $105,000 at the time of writing, marking an increase of over 11% in just a week. The recent gains have sparked optimism within the crypto community, with some speculating about a potential short-term rally.
According to Burak Kesmeci from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s 1-7 day UTXO average has crossed above the 7-30 day UTXO average. This crossover signifies that the average cost basis for Bitcoin acquired over the past week is rising, despite recent price hikes. This positive signal indicates that the ongoing price upswing is backed by fresh capital inflows.
#SMC Short idea for #BTC Bitcoin is getting close to a crucial liquidity zone where short traders' stop-losses are probably going to be activated. An entry here might draw a lot of stop-loss orders, which is something that Bitcoin frequently looks for. With a risk-reward ratio of 1:4 or higher, this setup presents a compelling chance for a short trade.
DXY - OVERBOUGHT = Risk On in Near Term = GainsThe DXY RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. Don't need to over think this one. I'm looking for a mean reversion.
On average, it appears a DXY pull back is +/-12%. $102-$98 is the level I'm watching for the short/medium term for the DXY. I imagine it strengthens again in the future, but it's offside at the current moment.
Stonks, BTC, & Crypto are looking prime for a risk on environment & substantial gains - for at least the short to medium term - if the DXY sells off.
Either way, it's looking like the DXY will need to mean revert in the near term.
BULLISH.
BTC BITCOIN- check out btc next target must read captionBTC/USD is displaying strong potential for an upward breakout, supported by market momentum and bullish sentiment. Patience is key—hold your trade as the price gears up for a significant move to the upside. The trend is setting up for a favorable run, so stay focused and confident in your position.