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Btcusdanalysis

"Bitcoin 2025 Peak Projection: Bullish Momentum Towards $110K Based on the chart: 1. **Major Uptrend from 2017-2025**: The long-term trendline shows consistent upward momentum, connecting key lows from 2017, 2021, and beyond. Bitcoin remains in a bullish macro structure. 2. **Key Fibonacci Levels**: - The **1.382 Fib extension (94,770)** served as a critical resistance but was broken and now acts as support. - The **1.618 Fib extension (109,690)** represents the next potential resistance, aligning with the projected 2025 peak. 3. **2021 Peak and 2022 Bottom**: The chart emphasizes Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, with the 2021 peak followed by a sharp 80% correction to the 2022 bottom. This highlights the possibility of a significant pullback after a new peak. 4. **Current Price Action**: - A breakout from a consolidation channel has fueled the bullish rally. - Bitcoin is approaching the **trendline resistance and 1.618 Fib level**, indicating a possible exhaustion zone near **110,000**. 5. **Projection for 2025**: - A potential peak around **110,000** is expected, followed by a correction. The downside targets might include a return to the **94,770 level** or the long-term trendline for support. ### Strategy: - **Short-term bullish bias** as Bitcoin trends toward 109,690. - **Prepare for a reversal** around 110,000, targeting key retracement levels like 94,770 for support. - Watch for patterns or confirmations near resistance before initiating any sell trades. CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Price & Market overview current of BTCKey Insights from the Data: 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $102,900 and $103,000, down ~1.1% from recent highs ($104k+). Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 77 (+2.67%), reflecting a strong "Greed" sentiment. Bitcoin Dominance at 57.04% (+1.15%), indicating BTC's growing market share. Macro Environment: Gold Futures: Down -0.48% ($2701.55), showing minor weakness. USD Index (DXY): +0.35% (109.200), a mild headwind for risk assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain Metrics Exchange BTC Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, slightly down (-0.06%), indicating ongoing outflows. BTC Spot Inflows/Outflows: Recent net outflows totaling ~$221M over 4–6 hours suggest reduced selling pressure. Implication: Fewer BTC on exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure but doesn't guarantee price increases if sentiment weakens. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $147.74B (+1.41%), showing new positions are being opened. Funding Rates: Binance BTC/USDT: ~0.0100% (mildly positive, bullish tilt). OKX BTC/USDT: ~0.0114% (similar trend). Liquidations: 24h Liquidations: $484.49M (+45.89%), reflecting increased volatility. Long/Short Ratios: Binance Traders: 1.64 (net-long), but sentiment is weakening. OKX Accounts: 0.66 (net-short), showing mixed market views across platforms. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC corrected from $104.6k to ~$102.3k and struggles to reclaim $103.5k. Moving Averages: 1h 50 MA ($103.6k): BTC below this level; bearish pressure persists. 1h 200 MA ($101.8k): Key support if downward pressure intensifies. Momentum Oscillators: MACD: Strongly negative histogram (-333), indicating bearish momentum. RSI: ~48–50, teetering around neutral, with potential bearish confirmation below 45. Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Price in the lower half, signaling a slight downward bias. 5. Likely Scenarios (Next 12–24 Hours) Bearish Continuation (~40% Probability): BTC fails to reclaim $103.5k, falling toward $101.8k–$102k (200 MA). Potential for further downside to $100k if selling accelerates. Neutral Range (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $102k and $103.5k with subdued volume. Bullish Recovery (~25% Probability): Buyers push BTC above $103.5k, potentially retesting $104.5k–$105k. 6. Confidence Level Moderately Bearish (~55%) due to: Negative MACD, struggles to break above short-term MAs, and rising liquidation volumes. Macro bullish factors (high greed index, long-term outflows) provide a supportive backdrop, but immediate technical signals remain weak. Final Recommendations Monitor $103.5k for potential recovery or rejection. Watch for high-volume breaks below $101.8k, which could trigger further downside. Stay cautious of sudden volatility spikes due to increased liquidations and mixed sentiment across derivatives platforms.
by titankarma
BTCUSDT, Current Situation, January 18, 2025Based on the latest data, the current closing price of BTCUSDT is 102,681 USDT. The "Cup and Handle" formation is clearly observable on the weekly chart, and its confirmation is likely to be accompanied by an increase in trading volume. The expected target range is between 120,000 and 130,000 USDT, assuming historical market trends continue. Further price increases for BTCUSD are likely if the "Cup and Handle" formation plays out as expected. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the trend continues. Key Factors to Monitor: Weekly Closing Prices Monitor closing prices below 102,000 USDT, as these could indicate weakness. A break below 100,000 USDT could accelerate the decline. For upward momentum, breaking above the 108,500–110,000 USDT range is critical. Once surpassed, further growth toward the 120,000–130,000 USDT range can be anticipated. Volume Trends Strong volume increases during upward price movements are a positive confirmation of the formation. Weak volume during price increases may signal uncertainty. Monitor volume declines during significant price drops, as this could indicate a slowing down of the bearish momentum. Emergence of Additional Patterns on the Chart Head and Shoulders Pattern: This may signal a bearish trend if levels below the neckline break. Double Bottom or Double Top: A double bottom may indicate the start of an uptrend, whereas a double top could reverse the trend. Broadening Wedge: If a broadening wedge forms, monitor the direction of the breakout, as it will determine whether the trend continues or reverses. Flags and Wedges: These patterns often suggest trend continuation. Volume confirmation following the pattern is crucial. Disclaimer This analysis is not to be considered as investment or trading advice. Monitoring the factors outlined above can contribute to making more informed trading decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by E-TradePSH
BTC Targeting 125-130K : Elliott Wave AnalysisIn the coming months, Bitcoin is likely to reach its next targets—or at least form one more higher peak. Here’s how it might play out: Orange Count (Wave 4 Correction): According to the orange wave count, Bitcoin is in a larger Wave 4 correction of the impulse that began at 49K. This suggests another high is on the way for Wave 5. Recent Price Action (Higher High Above 102.8K): After closing daily above 102.8K, the wick at 89K should be seriously considered a potential Wave 4 bottom. This implies we could now be in the fifth and final impulse wave heading up to a new high. Two main scenarios could unfold: Scenario A (Regular Impulse): If this is a standard impulse, we’ll see a Wave 2 retracement next—typically between the 0.5 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels of the initial move. That puts a possible Wave 2 target between 97K and 92.5K. From there, Wave 3 would likely accelerate toward 125K. This is shown by the red wave in the chart. Scenario B (Ending Diagonal): Wave 5 often appears as an ending diagonal, which can look like a rising wedge or an expanding broadening wedge. If this pattern takes hold, the next high may not exceed 120K by much. Bearish Alternative: There is still a bearish possibility as long as we remain below the previous high. In this case, the recent upward move could be part of a larger flat correction, which would push Bitcoin lower again before eventually reaching a new high. This more negative outcome would be confirmed if prices fall below 92K (the 0.786 retracement of the move up from 89K).
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by zakoraio
What comes up must go down! Looking at the bigger timeframes (4H) btc has been rejected on a major resistance level. This could potentially bring us back down ton the green support zone. But I am safing it and taking profits at the yellow downwardsloping line. Looking at the 15min it looks like we are making lower highs and soon to be lower lows. Looking at the 5min we get reminded of that we could still back test the resistance zone but we are currently most likely to break down since we are in a steep downtrend. Looking at the 1min timeframe I can see the higher lows at the micro trend but keep in mind that we are on the beginning of a downtrend on the bigger picture. I think the stop loss is perfectly executed above the previous lower high and I will now look forward to make the trade risk free! I think that btc easily could go down 4% based on price action.
Short
by Madmantrades
6
Cyclical Bitcoin Analysis: Why Is 135K Significant?When Bitcoin prices above 135K, we’ll witness the bull rally gaining momentum. Why? From a cyclical perspective, combining on-chain and technical data, I’m confident we are not yet at the peak of this bull rally. At least, if all this data isn’t going to become irrelevant, I’m certain of it. I believe that once Bitcoin surpasses 135K, the bull rally will accelerate, leading to a parabolic rise. In the chart, you can also see the MVRV Z-score (below), providing additional evidence that we are far from the peak.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by burakkesmeci
BTC USDTBitcoin's bullish momentum has strengthened as if it successfully broke above the Green resistance zone, which lies between $9,305.30 and $9,900.43, along with a descending trendline. This resistance zone represents the range high. To sustain this bullish trend and pave the way for new highs, Bitcoin needs to flip this zone into a strong support level. This transition would confirm buyer dominance and potentially signal the continuation of the upward trajectory.
Long
by TheCryptoCity
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential triple topThe chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential **triple top** pattern at the key resistance zone of around 102,600. This is a bearish reversal structure, signaling potential downside if confirmed. Here's the short analysis: 1. **Key Observations**: - **Triple Top Formation**: Indicates strong resistance at the 102,600 zone. - **Bearish Structure**: Price previously rejected from this zone twice, leading to a significant decline. - **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** labels hint at bearish momentum after failed attempts to break resistance. 2. **Next Steps**: - **Wait for Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a BOS to the downside, before entering a sell position. - **Target Levels**: Downside targets could be the next significant support levels, likely around 100,000 and 96,000, as indicated by the arrow. 3. **Risk Management**: - If price breaks above the resistance (invalidating the pattern), bullish momentum could continue, so stop-loss placement is essential above the resistance zone. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTC long trade setup using ICC conceptsBTC is showing buyers presence by pushing price back to the resistance. If buying volume rises on the resistance, we can zoom into low timeframes to find a bullish structure. If price breaks above that bullish structure, we can expect the price to reach the last high, 108k, our target. It's weekend so it's low volume, RSI is overbought, I expect price to chill around 100k-103k. We just wait patiently for the price to tell us what it wants to do, could be a 1:3 or 1:4 trade.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FlyFlamingo2001
"BTCUSD Technical Analysis: Based on the provided chart: - **Support Zone**: BTC is currently near a support area around 92,000. This level might act as a bounce zone for a potential bullish move. - **Targets**: - If the price bounces, potential resistance levels are marked at 98,000, 102,000, and 108,000. - These levels can act as profit-taking zones for long positions. - **Stop-Loss Zone**: A stop-loss seems to be placed below the 90,291 level, indicating a critical invalidation zone for the bullish outlook. - **Strategy**: A confirmation of a bounce or reversal from the support zone could justify entering a buy position targeting higher levels. Without confirmation, there is a risk of price breaking lower.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
GOLD XAUUSD BULISH CHANNELXAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined bullish channel pattern, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong upward momentum in the market. The lower trendline of the channel acts as a support level, providing a cushion for price pullbacks, while the upper trendline serves as a resistance zone, marking potential targets for buyers. As long as the price remains within this channel, the overall sentiment remains bullish, suggesting continued growth. A breakout above the resistance level could signal accelerated bullish momentum, while a break below support may indicate a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrGushyEXPERT458
BTC LONG TP:102,000 08-01-2025Bitcoin recently underwent a manipulation that hindered its ability to continue the anticipated growth. However, the key levels have been respected, allowing us to expect a potential upward movement in the coming days. It is likely that the price will return to 102,000 within a span of 4 to 5 days, which shouldn't pose a significant issue. In this context, we will be looking for opportunities to open long positions in the ranges of 94,000 to 92,000, where we believe good entry points may arise.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
2
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 88963.75 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 102643.85, 108293.92, 110000.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 99607.07 102643.85 108293.92 110000.00 115000.00 118110.67 120000.00 125000.00 130000.00 134142.91 Total Profit: 5567500 point (55%) Closed trade(s): 506200 point Profit Open trade(s): 5061300 point Profit Trade Setup: We opened 11 BUY trades @ 94545.07 based on 'Hammer' entry method at 2025-01-13. Closed Profit: TP1 @ 99607.07 touched at 2025-01-15 with 506200 point Profit. (5%) Open Profit: Profit for one BUY trade is 99606.37(current price) - 94545.07(open price) = 506130 point (5%) 10 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 506130 (5%) x 10 = 5061300 point (50%)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForecastCity
25
BTC SHORT for Very Short until TRUMP's FIRST DAY!Bitcoin USD prediction: We had a fake-out to 89k, a mini one, but it could be enough for continuation. I'm letting it print some more price action before making new moves. Either way, I'm still convinced this consolidation at 98k with a possibility of retrace around 96K to produce highlows can attract more bullish people while we continue to reset FGM (fear greed meter) including RSI as leading indicator recently for protail and retail traders and investors. This is my final and last prediction! I will make sure this will stay permanent and I will be brave in making these predictions. To support these predictions let's look from a zoom out cycle view, it’s still fine a -17% to -20% dips are expected in a bull market. This is basic and the worst was more than -35% to -40% crashes at the middle of every BTC.d down and BTC price up. The bullish market structure is also intact. It still looks like the first consolidation after the first impulsive leg after breaking above the range high, which is the usual way the markets move. I said this during live that this is going to be the smartest thing you will do in order to really enter the alts you want to bag or DCA since most of you guys worry about being fearful rather than taking action. Please watch my videos here;
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by osodatsismoso
BTCUSDT Binance Futures AnalysisPrice Movement: BTC is currently trading around $99,700. The price has demonstrated strong buybacks from key support levels ($88,000–$90,000) and is attempting to break through resistance at $100,000. Trend Structure: Higher Timeframes (Daily and 4-hour): Price remains in a range-bound consolidation between $92,000 and $102,000. A breakout above $102,000 could lead to significant upward momentum, potentially targeting $104,000–$108,000. Lower Timeframes (1-hour and 15-minute): The price shows a recovery trend with strong bullish impulses but encounters resistance near $100,000. Volume and Volatility: Volume has been increasing during buybacks from lower levels, indicating strong buyer interest. However, volatility remains elevated, suggesting caution for scalpers. Key Levels: Resistance: $100,000, $102,000, $104,000 Support: $96,500, $94,000, $92,000 ✍️ Important Note: The above post provides general information and should not be considered specific investment advice. All investments carry significant risk, especially in volatile cryptocurrency markets. All investment decisions should be based on thorough market analysis and consideration of individual risk tolerance!
by E-TradePSH
Potential Movement to LEG B upon Channel BreakoutWhen analyzing the BTC/USDT chart, we observe a critical price action pattern. The chart highlights a price channel currently being tested. If the price successfully breaks above this channel, there is a high likelihood of the price moving towards LEG B, marked on the chart. Channel Breakout: The resistance of the price channel is a significant level to monitor. A breakout above this level would indicate bullish momentum. Target LEG B: Post breakout, the next potential resistance zone or target lies at the price level indicated by LEG B. Risk Management: As always, traders should exercise caution, set proper stop-loss levels below the breakout zone, and consider the overall market sentiment. Support Levels: The orange lines on the chart represent key support zones at approximately 99,710.97 and 98,997.03. Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the channel would serve as an ideal entry signal for a long position. Indicators: Complement this analysis with volume indicators to confirm the strength of the breakout. This setup provides an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the breakout. However, remain vigilant as false breakouts are always a possibility.
Long
by Tradeaione
GOLD can jump down more .. Gold is showing signs of potential downside movement, suggesting that bearish pressure could dominate in the near term. Traders should remain vigilant and closely monitor key support levels to confirm the next direction. While the current trend hints at a possible drop, unexpected volatility could still influence the market, making it essential to adopt a cautious approach. Proper risk management and careful analysis are crucial to navigating this environment effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SadarExplore