BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview:
Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel:
BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance.
If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000.
Structure Levels:
A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action.
Moving Averages:
The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend.
Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: $102,000–$116,000.
Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000.
Indicators:
RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase.
MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks.
Projected Scenario:
Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000.
Potential Risks:
A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000.
Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
Btcusdanalysis
BTC - TOP is NEARBTC is nearing its top. It still has a few more distribution to go but what better time for the final distribution than when Trump becomes president. After all he is "pro crypto" and time for BTC to go to 1million. Everything will be approved, USA will make BTC its reserve.. Blah, Blah, Blah.
This is not a financial advice, please do your DD.
Please support this idea.
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
Bitcoin's Rally Loses Steam: A Reversal Pattern Takes Shape● Bitcoin reached a record high of approximately $108,390, driven by strong bullish momentum.
● However, the rally was short-lived as intense selling pressure kicked in, triggering a rapid decline to $92,500 and erasing some of the recent gains.
● The frequent price fluctuations are likely to form a Head & Shoulder pattern, a bearish pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal and further downside.
● A sharp decline is expected if Bitcoin breaches below $91,500.
Bitcoin Mid TermFirst Impression:
The BTC/USD pair appears to have dropped below the $95,000 level and is under selling pressure. Strong support levels are evident in lower regions. The price is retracing toward levels that previously acted as support during bullish moves.
Volume Analysis:
No notable increase in volume is observed on the chart. This could indicate that the current downward move is a low-volume correction or that the market is indecisive. However, if volume increases, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing may rise.
Price Action:
The price is trading around $94,000, showing downward movement. Below, key support levels are visible near $90,700, $88,000, and $85,000. These levels have historically been areas where strong buyers stepped in, making them potential zones for price reactions.
Positive Scenario:
If the price holds at $94,000 and starts a recovery move, it could climb back above $95,000. In this case, $97,500 would be the first target. Sustained movement above this level could push the price back toward the psychological resistance at $100,000.
Negative Scenario:
If the price drops below $94,000, a decline toward $90,700 becomes more likely. A break below this support level could lead to further declines to $88,000 and then $85,000. This scenario would indicate continued selling pressure.
High Probability:
Given current market conditions, it is highly probable that the price consolidates between $90,700 and $94,000 for some time. The balance of buyers and sellers in this zone will determine the direction of the next trend.
Overall:
The BTC/USD pair is trading near a critical support zone. The $94,000 level should be closely monitored; a drop below this level could drive the price toward lower supports. For upward recoveries, $95,000 and $97,500 are the first resistance levels to watch. Strategies should be adjusted based on volume and price action.
"In markets, gravity always wins."📉 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC/USD) 📉
Bitcoin's meteoric 100% rise since September screams overextension. The euphoria may be fading, and a correction looks imminent.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
$73,800: The first major support—breaking this could accelerate the drop.
$65,600: A likely target if bears take full control.
The chart suggests BTC is overdue for a pullback. Corrections after such rallies aren’t just likely—they’re inevitable. Bulls, buckle up. Bears, this might be your moment.
"In markets, gravity always wins."
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: Huge Gains Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you made a right decision when received the warning sign by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator from our previous Bitcoin analysis . Now we see that this correction is happening right now and there is some space to go down more but not that much as you may be think.
Let's take a look at the daily BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see that our indicator has printed the red dot at the top of the wave 3. After that this dump has been started. This is wave 4 and it has the clear target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Therefore we can conclude that max target which price can reach before the reversal is 84k, but it's more likely the reversal will happen earlier, at $89k.
When correction will be finished we can expect the wave 5 with the optimistic targets between $120k and $140k. Here is nothing change from the last analysis. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Is Bitcoin Poised for a Rally? Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMany are asking, where will Bitcoin head next? Looking at this four-hour chart, we can see equal lows and a notable dip into sell-side liquidity. My question is whether this is setting up for a pre-Christmas rally or not. I'll be watching for a potential buy opportunity if we see a bullish market structure break. If that doesn't happen, then there won't be a trade. This is not financial advice.
BTC TO $86,850Based on my TA, BTC has now confirmed a short term trend change on the smaller time frames which will result in relief / pull back on the higher time frames (W,M).
BTC recently just crossed over the SMA's, pulled back and rejected them as well as a major key level. There is also the case of the SMA's (21/9) crossing over on the 4hr indicating a trend change confirmation.
On the higher time frames we also has deceleration and exhaustion from the candles showing a relief period and pull back is in coming which of course will result in a trend change again on the smaller time frames.
We also have the issue of the FED stating they are not looking to hold a BTC reserve and won't be changing their opinions anytime soon regardless of Trumps open supportiveness of Crypto.
The fib is also confirming a bear market as it is aligning very nicely with key levels and targets to the downside. I have entered at the LH which is the same area the market rejected the crossover of the SMA's.
We'll likely see some consolidation / resistance around the $94,500 price mark as it is a major key level imo but if we break that level then BTC will likely fall to the golden ratio market out by the fib which also happens to align with another major key level of $86,850 which is my overall target.
Of course i will lock in profits along the way, i have a small stop on this trade of just 2.5% located just above the cross over of the SMA's for some protection from TA.
BTCUSDT: Safe Zone Vs Risk Zone, Which one would you choose? Dear Traders,
WE have possible buying opportunities, with the first entry, the only reason that we think that price would reverse is, possible end of year bullish push which may take price to another record higher high. Although, since the price already has rejected we think price is unlikely to reject at the level, and may drop to 75k region.
good luck.
Doge, Bitcoin and the Monthly LMACD Let me start by explaning what you are seeing here, at the top is Bitcoin , bellow doge and the bottom is the LMACD on the monthly time frame for Bitcoin. As I have stated in multiple occasions bull markets typically last for about 26 bars or 793 days(green histograms of the LMACD). Once those 793 days ends you see the LMACD crossing bearish and starting the transition to the bear market. Using this pattern I came to the conclusion that this bull market should be running till Sep2025. Now if you look closely the 2017 cycle top arrived 4 bars(months) before the the end of the bull market, 2021 cycle top around 5 bars and maybe 2025 cycle top would be 6 bars before Sep. This might suggest topping in March2025 for BITCOIN and exactly 1 bar after this the DOGE top in April2025.
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update
I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing:
STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce.
0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal.
Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight:
Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term.
Supply and Demand in Bitcoin
Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements:
Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading.
Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall.
Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand.
Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
Bitcoin Crucial Support LevelBitcoin is still showing strong Support around the: GETTEX:92K zone area. Multiple times this area has been retested. Until we break bellow, I’m still optimistic🚀
Bulls have still managed to prevent the bears pushing price action further to the downside 👀😬
Remember this was just a correction, not a crash 💥 🙌🏻
BTC Idea Bitcoin has formed a valid ascending channel and broke the last touch of it with an H4 candle and retested the downside of the channel which let us predict that it will be going down to retest the 70k support
So we will enter a short (sell) position on this pair
Be careful fam and followers this is a long trade with a big stop loss so small trade carefully with a right risk management
Follow us for more updates and ideas
BTC/USD continuation to the downside If you go through my previous analysis on Btc there as a clear and understable analysis from Montly to Daily T_F
There was obvious Rising Wedge which the market respects
Tradingview says 1m+pips from the very top of my analysis that's -13.87%
Now... there's about to be a Retest on the break out of the rising Wedge also the trend line onthe 4hrs T_F
More bearish move to go watch out
Note this is base on technical factors.
Bitcoin | Low Timeframe TradeIf the market breaks below the red line, I will place an order at 98.464$ as shown in the figure. This is a low timeframe trade and please do not take too much risk on it. I usually do my analysis in the high timeframe and take most of my risk there.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
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📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Bitcoin: How to Trade the Ranges Like a ProWe are in a relative range.
The reactions from the 0.5 levels are proof of this.
In a similar analysis, I had previously made one of the best trades that could be made in BTC.
The manipulations of this range at the 0.25 and -1.25 levels are not very regular.
Also, the movements it makes are far from creating symmetry, so we cannot compare this analysis to the previous one.
How to trade here? First of all, we are not in any serious demand area and it would not be wise to assume that there is any serious resistance range.
So what will we do? We will try to find entries from the upper and lower parts of this range. My short analysis on the upper part is available here.
The initiative at the bottom can be the Range Low and the green line.
So can the price continue down without giving a short opportunity? Of course it can, in this case our stop loss order will be triggered. I don't like to take high risk in such non-serious demand areas. However, I don't want to neglect a point that can give 1 to 3-4 in the lower area of the range. If my long order comes, I will take a large part of my profit on the upper part of the range, pull my stop to the entry and open the short trade.
Don't hesitate to carry two trades in two directions, especially if the price seems to form a range. And when the price starts to go voluminously below or above the range, definitely let your stop order be executed and stop your loss.
If you think this helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share with you.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total