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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday". On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski) 🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC ❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest. 💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇 Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts: 1️⃣ BTC.D 👇 and 2️⃣ USDT.D 👇 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities. 🧱 Structure Breakdown Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800). This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum. Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel. Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish. 🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now After the breakdown: Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle). This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short. The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation. 🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias) Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point) Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry. 📊 Additional Technical Confluences Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility. Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility. Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish. RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest. 📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance 101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance. The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely. Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions. ⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation. Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs. Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance. News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts. 🧵 Conclusion Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets. ✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BITCOIN SCALP?. here is my famous words to you guys from this book ;>>>Now a lot of people will be looking for sells from here, so if we know that. So once we have a nice rejection from this double top and nice retrace, this looks good for the majority of people, because price come up but we failed to break above this DT or as we know a EQH. We have got a nice retrace candle, which again retail love retrace candle, because its showing potential move to the downside, and rejection from an area. So now that we have got a rejection from this DT, people are looking to sell this, and when people are looking to sell at DT, where are their stop losses going? Well they are going above the DT. But clearly they have going above the DT. Retail always put stops above DT or below DB, and then expect to move down. So that is exactly why there is liquidity this areas. So that basically means that a lot of stop losses are at this areas.. all traders on bitcoin would longs right. My target would be the 106k only for scalping. Goodluck traders, see cap and charts. its the same on our EURUSD ideas right? Grab it and take the trade. don't missed it. pewww
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️. 💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend. 🔎 In this video, we break down: - The dominant trend and current structure - How to identify potential market structure shifts - My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅ 🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher. Key levels to watch: First support: $96,000 If broken, further downside to $80,000 Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility. This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (May 9th 2025) 📊 BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (Post $103,500 Target) Instrument: BTCUSD Strategy Type: Probabilistic Breakout with Elliott & Gann Confluence Current Price: $102,600 Trade Horizon: 2–5 Days Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily 🔍 Market Overview BTCUSD has successfully completed the prior trend continuation target of $103,500, respecting the bullish structure on 4H and Daily timeframes. As of now, price is consolidating just below key resistance, printing a high of $103,800 and retracing slightly to $102,600. This signals a potential decision zone where BTC may either continue its advance or initiate a deeper pullback. I define short-term key boundaries between: Upside: $106,200 – $108,400 Downside: $96,850 – $95,700 📐 Technical Structure & Key Zones Support Zone: $ 97870 , $96,850–$95,700 (Previous consolidation + high volume node) Resistance Zone: $106,200–$108,400 (Measured move & fib cluster area) Structure Bias: Bullish above $99,000; bearish pressure increases below $96,850 🔄 Elliott Wave Count (Short-Term, 4H) BTC appears to be in a Wave (3) of a higher-degree Wave 3, following a Wave (2) retracement toward $94,500. Current price movement is within a sub-wave 3 of (3), with the recent high at $103,800 potentially marking a sub-wave 3 top. A brief corrective Wave 4 could develop toward $100,500–$99,000, before a final Wave 5 drives price into the $106,200–$108,400 zone. If price fails to hold above $96,850, the structure may morph into a larger corrective Wave (4), targeting the lower boundary. 📊 Gann Analysis The Gann 1/1 angle from the March swing low is currently intersecting near $102,500–$103,000, offering resistance. Next key Gann levels: Above: $106,200 (120°) and $108,400 (135°) resistance arcs Below: $96,850 and $95,700 align with 45° and 60° support angles Timewise, entering a minor Gann cycle window on May 10–11, often associated with inflection points. Watch for breakout or reversal signals near this period. 🎯 Trade Scenario Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) Trigger: 4H close above $104,000 Target Zones: TP1: $106,200 TP2: $108,400 Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Pullback) Trigger: Break below $99,000, especially on strong volume Target Zones: TP1: $97870 or $96,850 TP2: $95,700 Invalidation: Close above $104,000 invalidates pullback thesis ⚙️ Strategic Trade Notes Scalping & Swinging Options: Consider range scalps within $102,000–$99,000, but prepare for trend breakout. Swing traders may build positions on retracement (Wave 4) with invalidation below $97870, $96,850. Risk Management: Use volatility-adjusted stop losses under key Gann levels or 50EMA on 4H. Consider tightening stops or taking partials near $106,200 to protect gains if price extends. 📌 Conclusion BTCUSD remains in a bullish macro structure but approaches a key inflection zone. A break and hold above $104,000 could launch the next impulsive leg toward $108,400. Conversely, failure to hold above $99,000 opens the door for a deeper retracement to $ 97870, $96,850–$95,700. Traders should remain flexible, aligning with the prevailing momentum while respecting structural boundaries.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by NextElliott
Bitcoin Stalls, But Chart Watchers Eye $300,000 Peak: Here's Whe Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a period of consolidation, leaving investors and analysts alike pondering its next move. While the price has stalled below the $105,000 mark, a confluence of factors, including popular predictive models and bullish sentiment from prominent crypto analysts, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. This article delves into the factors driving the bullish outlook for Bitcoin, examining the predictive models, analyst forecasts, and underlying fundamentals that support the possibility of a substantial price increase. We will explore the potential catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights and analyze the technical indicators that chart watchers are monitoring closely. Predictive Models Point to a Massive Surge One of the primary drivers of the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is the existence of popular predictive models that suggest a massive price surge in the coming months. These models, often based on historical data, supply and demand dynamics, and other relevant factors, attempt to forecast the future price of Bitcoin with varying degrees of accuracy. One such model, which has gained considerable attention in the crypto community, points to a potential surge to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year. While the specifics of this model are not explicitly detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on factors such as Bitcoin's scarcity, its increasing adoption as a store of value, and the potential for institutional investment to drive demand. It is important to note that predictive models are not foolproof and should not be taken as definitive guarantees of future price movements. However, they can provide valuable insights into potential scenarios and help investors make informed decisions. Analyst Forecasts: $159,000 This Cycle In addition to predictive models, bullish forecasts from prominent crypto analysts are also contributing to the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. One analyst, in particular, has predicted that Bitcoin's price could reach $159,000 this cycle. While the specific methodology used by this analyst is not detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment. Technical analysis involves studying price charts and other technical indicators to identify potential trends and patterns. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying value of Bitcoin based on factors such as its adoption rate, network security, and regulatory environment. Market sentiment involves gauging the overall mood and expectations of investors in the crypto market. The analyst's forecast of $159,000 this cycle suggests a belief that Bitcoin is currently undervalued and that its price will eventually catch up to its intrinsic value. Bitcoin IS The Opt Out The phrase "Bitcoin IS The Opt Out" encapsulates a growing sentiment within the crypto community that Bitcoin represents a viable alternative to traditional financial systems. This sentiment is based on the belief that Bitcoin offers several advantages over traditional currencies and financial institutions: • Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any single entity, such as a government or central bank. This decentralization makes it resistant to censorship and manipulation. • Scarcity: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, which makes it a scarce asset. This scarcity is expected to drive its price higher over time as demand increases. • Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain. This transparency makes it difficult to engage in illicit activities using Bitcoin. • Security: The Bitcoin network is secured by cryptography, making it difficult to hack or tamper with. The belief that Bitcoin offers a viable "opt out" from traditional financial systems is driving increased adoption and investment in the cryptocurrency. BTC Price to $116K Next? 'Early Week' All-Time High The prospect of Bitcoin reaching $116,000 in the near future, potentially even achieving an all-time high early in the week, is further fueling bullish sentiment. This forecast, attributed to a Bitcoin trader, suggests that the cryptocurrency is poised to break out of its current consolidation phase and enter a new period of price discovery. The trader's forecast is likely based on technical analysis, identifying potential breakout patterns and momentum indicators that suggest an imminent surge in price. The expectation of an "early week" all-time high suggests a belief that the market is primed for a rapid and decisive move to the upside. Leaving the Tight Range Behind The statement that "Bitcoin is in line to leave its tight range behind in the coming days" suggests that the period of consolidation is nearing its end. A tight trading range typically indicates a period of indecision in the market, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched. However, such periods often precede significant price movements, as pent-up energy is released in one direction or another. The expectation that Bitcoin will leave its tight range behind suggests a belief that the balance of power is shifting in favor of buyers, setting the stage for a potential breakout to the upside. Retaking All-Time Highs and Pushing into Price Discovery The ultimate goal for Bitcoin bulls is to see the cryptocurrency retake its all-time highs and push into price discovery. Price discovery refers to the process of establishing a new price level for an asset when it breaks out of its previous range. When Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high, it enters a period of price discovery, where there are no historical resistance levels to impede its upward movement. This can lead to rapid and substantial price increases, as buyers are willing to pay higher and higher prices to acquire the asset. Potential Catalysts for a Bitcoin Surge Several potential catalysts could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs and trigger a period of price discovery: • Increased Institutional Investment: As more and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, allocate capital to Bitcoin, demand for the cryptocurrency is likely to increase, driving its price higher. • Regulatory Clarity: Greater regulatory clarity surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could remove a major source of uncertainty and encourage more investors to enter the market. • Mainstream Adoption: As Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted as a form of payment and a store of value, its adoption rate is likely to increase, driving demand and price appreciation. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, could drive investors to seek refuge in Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Technical Indicators to Watch Chart watchers are closely monitoring several technical indicators to gauge the potential for a Bitcoin surge: • Breakout Patterns: Identifying potential breakout patterns, such as ascending triangles, cup and handle formations, and flag patterns, can provide clues about when Bitcoin is likely to break out of its current range. • Volume: Monitoring trading volume can help to confirm the validity of a breakout. A breakout accompanied by high volume is generally considered more reliable than a breakout accompanied by low volume. • Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can help to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. • Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help to anticipate potential price movements and set appropriate entry and exit points. Conclusion: Awaiting the Next Chapter in Bitcoin's Story Bitcoin's recent period of consolidation has left investors and analysts eager to see what the future holds. While the price has stalled below $105,000, a confluence of factors, including predictive models, analyst forecasts, and bullish market sentiment, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. Whether Bitcoin achieves these lofty targets remains to be seen, but the stage is set for what could be another exciting chapter in the cryptocurrency's story. As always, investors should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and make informed decisions before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. The journey ahead promises to be volatile, but the potential rewards could be substantial for those who are willing to navigate the risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
1
$BTC Double Top Pattern Forming – Is a Major Correction Bitcoin Double Top Formation Alert! Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to be forming a Double Top pattern on the 4H chart. If this candle closes as an Inverted Hammer, it may confirm a bearish reversal from the overbought zone. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: $96,500 – $95,000 Critical Support: $94,000 Major Breakdown Levels: If $94K breaks, next support is at $91,000 A deeper breakdown could target $80,000 or even $60,000 This correction could present a golden long opportunity for the next bullish leg. Stay patient, observe confirmations, and plan your entries wisely.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
1
Where Is The Correction For Bitcoin?Hello, Skyrexians! Recently we told about potential correction on BINANCE:BTCUSDT and current pump did not change anything except targets for this correction. My mistake was that I counted wave 5 inside 3 as the wave 5, but warned you that I often have this mistake. Now looking at the awesome oscillator it's obviously that wave 4 has not been even started. Anyway wave 3 has been already pumped above the 1.61 Fibonacci it means that wave 5 will be not extended. Very soon corrective wave 4 will be started. The target now is between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels, approximately at $95k. Anyway, taking short against trend is bad idea. The only one way you can use this info is to define the zone where you can take long trade, but I will not take. I told in one of my analysis when Bitcoin was $76k two months ago that growth above $140k has been started, I don't like to anticipate small moves. This was my global forecast Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
7
BTC/USDT at Decision Point: Triangle Pattern Signals BreakoutHello guys! Bitcoin is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern near a key resistance zone after a strong uptrend within the ascending channel. The price is trading just below the triangle’s top line, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown setup. ✔ Key Scenarios: 👀 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks above the top of the triangle, we could see a sharp move upward toward the $106K resistance zone and potentially higher. This would signal trend continuation and strength in the bullish momentum. 👀 Scenario 2 – Temporary Pullback (Triangle Breakdown): If BTC breaks the bottom of the triangle, the price might fall toward the $99,715 support level. This zone is also aligned with a previous consolidation and could serve as a strong demand area. A bullish reversal from this area is likely, providing another long opportunity targeting the same $106K resistance. Conclusion: Bitcoin is moving in a tightening range. A breakout from the triangle will dictate the next move. For clearer direction, traders should watch for a decisive move above or below the triangle structure.
Short
by melikatrader94
17
BTCUSD - Bearish Rejection Below Resistance | Targeting 95KBitcoin is currently facing strong resistance at $104,833, just below the invalidation level at $106,486. Price action suggests a potential rejection or distribution pattern forming near this resistance zone. A break below recent local support could trigger a move toward the next key support level at $95,371, representing a significant retracement area from the recent uptrend. --- Trade Idea: Entry: After confirmation of rejection below $104,800 Target: $95,371 Invalidation: Sustained breakout above $106,486 This setup favors bears in the short term, as long as price remains below the invalidation zone. --- > Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDShort
by Forex_Int
BTCUSD - Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge Pattern | Target Bitcoin has broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a bullish reversal that aligns with the broader market sentiment. Let’s examine this setup in detail, from pattern recognition to key support/resistance levels and trade planning. 🧠 Pattern Analysis – Falling Wedge Formation The chart displays a textbook Falling Wedge, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It’s characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, showing a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal point. Formation Period: This wedge developed over a multi-week period (Feb–April 2025). Structure: Each swing high and swing low forms lower highs and lower lows inside the wedge. Breakout Confirmation: Price has decisively broken above the upper trendline of the wedge, validating a potential bullish continuation. 👉 Falling Wedge patterns are often seen near the end of a corrective move and suggest accumulation before a rally. 🔎 Key Technical Zones 🔸 Resistance Zone (~$103K–$105K) This area has historically acted as a strong resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating just below this region, indicating a possible breakout retest or a temporary pause before the next leg up. 🔸 Trendline Support A new rising trendline has emerged post-breakout, acting as dynamic support. Price has respected this trendline multiple times, forming higher highs and higher lows — a strong bullish signal. 🔸 SR Interchange Zone (~ GETTEX:92K –$94K) Previously acted as resistance; now flipped to support. This makes it a critical level where bulls may defend positions, and a good place for a stop-loss. 🔸 Support Zone (~$75K–$78K) Major historical support area where the wedge bottom formed. Buyers stepped in aggressively in this zone during the final leg of the wedge. 🎯 Trade Plan This setup offers a clearly defined risk-reward profile based on breakout trading principles. 📌 Entry Idea: Current consolidation near resistance offers two entry strategies: Aggressive Entry: Near current price, anticipating breakout continuation. Conservative Entry: On a confirmed breakout above $105K or a pullback to trendline support around GETTEX:98K –$100K. ✅ Target: $112,116 Measured by projecting the height of the wedge from the breakout point. Also aligns with a previous key structural high, adding confluence to the target. ⛔ Stop Loss: $93,294 Strategically placed just below the SR interchange zone and rising trendline. Protects against potential fakeouts or trendline breaks. 📉 Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1 or higher depending on entry point. Always use proper position sizing. Be prepared to cut the trade if price closes below trendline and SR zone on high volume. 🔮 Outlook and Strategy This breakout suggests Bitcoin may be entering a renewed bullish phase. If macro conditions remain favorable and price sustains above key support zones, we could see continuation toward the $112K region. However, it’s important to monitor: Volume: Watch for rising volume on any breakout above the resistance zone. Market Sentiment: External factors (e.g., news, ETF flows, regulatory updates) may influence the move. Trendline behavior: A break and close below the rising support line may invalidate the setup. 💬 Final Thoughts This is a technically clean setup combining a bullish pattern breakout, supportive structure (trendline & SR zones), and a logical target based on classical charting. If Bitcoin maintains current momentum, traders may see significant upside in the coming weeks.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Swimming Amongst SharksStarting with the boring range in February, BTC consolidated after making new ATHs on the day of President Trump's second term inauguration. After a slow month of sideways action in February, we finally reached the apex of a symmetrical triangle and proceeded to dump, attempting at closing the breakaway CME gap @ ~76.5k. It quickly and violently bounced to 95k where we spent the next 51 days making new lows and ranging in the 80k region. When we take a closer look at the fibonacci retracements of all of these moves, they are very technical. When pulling a standard fibonacci retracement XA, we find that B falls perfectly within the golden pocket. Roughly 2 weeks later, we find ourselves at new range lows offering a very nice SFP reaction at point C which falls at the 1.272 fib expansion of AB. In hindsight, this would have been the perfect place to get into a long position. But, unfortunately, I was looking for new lows around ~70k as this is where the 1.618 level was from a fib expansion of AB. This was during the time when tariffs were first being announced, causing major volatility across all markets. People were panic selling and calling for an economic crisis because of Donald Trump's tweets causing erratic behavior in markets. We rally for the next 36 days offering no significant pullbacks to be able to get in on a long as it always seemed that we could get in on weakness as the rally produced a lot of SPs. Now the BC expansion shows that we are nearing the end of this rally if this shark harmonic is to play out. Waiting on confirmation of point D, but it is very possible that the high is in, and we start fulfilling this shark harmonic. This would fall perfectly in line with the old adage "Sell in May and go away." or at least, first signs of weakness in May, and don't get chopped up. There has also been a couple of potential events that could be classified as "black swan" that would affect the markets negatively like Coinbase announcing a user data leak, and Moody's downgrading of U.S debt. Overall, we could see this shark harmonic be part of a HTF trend, coiling up before the next big move that breaks out near the end of summertime. Always important to remember to practice proper risk management and that no trade is still a trade.
by COS77
1
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Outlook: Path to $150,000Overview: Bitcoin continues to demonstrate remarkable strength, maintaining its long-term uptrend and consistently setting new highs. Based on my technical analysis, I am projecting a bullish target for BTC in the $150,000 region, supported by robust price action and key technical levels. Trend Analysis: The chart clearly illustrates a persistent upward trajectory, with BTC respecting a major ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support throughout this cycle. This trendline not only underscores the prevailing bullish sentiment but also provides a reliable reference for potential pullbacks and trend continuation. Key Levels: BTC is currently trading near $102,800, having recently overcome several resistance levels. The next significant resistance zones are identified at approximately $106,500 and $109,400. However, the most critical area to watch is the $150,000 region, which is highlighted as a major resistance zone on the chart. This level represents both a psychological milestone and a technical barrier, where I anticipate increased volatility and profit-taking. Support Structure: On the downside, BTC is well-supported by multiple levels, including $95,200, $95,600, and $96,300. Should the market experience a correction, these zones are likely to attract buyers and provide a foundation for the next leg up. Further below, the $67,100 and $64,960 levels serve as deeper support, though a move to these areas would likely require a significant shift in market sentiment. Technical Patterns: The chart also highlights previous consolidation phases and breakout patterns, all of which have resolved to the upside. This consistent pattern of breaking out from consolidation channels further reinforces the bullish outlook. Conclusion: In summary, Bitcoin’s technical structure remains overwhelmingly positive. As long as the uptrend persists and key support levels hold, I expect BTC to continue its ascent toward the $150,000 target. Investors should monitor the intermediate resistance zones for potential short-term volatility, but the broader trend remains firmly intact. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by The3eyedFrog
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 16: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was running with a shrinking volume and the fast and slow lines showed signs of a dead cross. But again, the current signal is a retracement correction, not a trend, because at the weekly level, the price is just retracing the moving average, and everyone should be clear about this; the high pressure level is in the 105800 area, and the low point is in the 100600 area; the short-term price rebounded in the early morning, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning. The intraday high was around the 104500 area. The current retracement did not continue, so there is still a demand for consumption during the day, but the hourly chart attached chart indicator has already crossed. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102500 area
Short
by Toml1314