BTC Bulls on Edge: Key Levels to Watch in This Critical RetestIf you remember my last analysis from August titled "Bulls in the Hot Seat," this follow-up will make a lot of sense. The price movement aligned closely with my projections, and all predicted targets were achieved. This new analysis builds on the same value area, with adjusted VAL (Value Area Low) and VAH (Value Area High) to reflect current price dynamics.
Recently, BTC broke out of the value area, nearly reaching a new all-time high. However, buyers were absorbed and ultimately rejected, pushing the price back into the value area—setting up a potential failed auction scenario.
Now that we're back in value, a retest of the VAL at 65,600 is highly likely unless the bulls manage a solid bounce from the POC (Point of Control) at 67,000, holding above this level to regain traction toward the VAH. 65769 as shown on the chart currently presents the most favorable entry point, with a reasonable stop loss below that protects against a major LVN below my suggested entry. This is where i will place my bids personally.
If the crypto bull run remains intact, we should see a bounce or consolidation within this area. However, if BTC breaks below the VAL at 65,600 and accumulates volume beneath it, we could see a significant decline, with the next rotation likely targeting the 60,000 to 63,000 range.
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin Forming GraveStone Doji "A reversal is on the horizon".
A "Gravestone doji" is a pattern of candlestick analysis that forms at the top of an uptrend and warns market participants of a bearish trend reversal. Sometimes, this pattern emerges at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling a bullish reversal.
Note :
Do your own Research and Trade Wisely Never rely on my opinions.
Good Luck folks
BITCOIN breakout of the main resistance Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
The previous analyses regarding Bitcoin have not only met but exceeded their bullish targets. In this assessment, we will provide a comprehensive summary of Bitcoin's price movements within the pertinent timeframe. 💣🚀
The price has successfully pierced through two notable resistance peaks and is now approaching one of its most significant resistance levels observed in recent months. 📚✔
Given the impressive surge in trading volume, coupled with the insights gleaned from the technical chart, I am optimistic about the potential for either a touch or a decisive break of this resistance in the immediate future. However, prior to that breakthrough, we may experience a phase characterized by sideways movement or brief bearish candles. 📚🎇
🧨🧨 Our team’s overarching perspective leans toward further bullish movement and the possibility of overcoming this prolonged resistance, with the expectation of encountering neutral or ranging candles in the short term. Additional scenarios are also illustrated on the chart, indicated with lighter arrows, while the price targets are clearly marked for your reference. 🧨🧨
To enhance your understanding, I’ve summarized the key takeaways at the bottom of the chart for your convenience. I hope you find this analysis insightful and beneficial. ✌🎉
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
forget 70k level, look out for this importanlevel to surpass... As I mentioned in my previous analysis, I don’t care about reaching 70k; what matters to me is if it can break past the zone at $71,890.
Everyone is excited that BTC is back at 70k (myself included), but guess what happened next? The price touched my line at $71,890 and didn’t break through!
This is simply because I see more difficulty here, as it's a zone with a greater concentration of institutional orders and has historically been strongly rejected.
These last three candles give me the impression that the bear market is nearing its end, so keep a close eye on the upcoming week. But remember, it’s just an impression — the price is always trying to tell us something through its candles, and it’s our job to interpret it correctly.
Best regards, and let’s hope that’s the case!!
TRADE SAFE!
BTC LONG 1 HR TP:73000 01-11-2024After observing a manipulation, we are currently witnessing a brief consolidation phase that could potentially lead to a rise towards the 72,000 - 73,000 range. Following this movement, we may either see a strong breakout or further consolidation before a subsequent decline. We will update our analysis based on the first movement. It's important to note that this analysis is on a 1-hour timeframe, so if the price does not rise within the next 20 to 30 hours, this scenario will be considered invalid. Stay tuned for updates and manage your positions wisely! #Trading #Bitcoin
Falls in price deceive. Bitcoin's Daily Chart is Demand-driven!
I know Bitcoin sold off really quickly about 48 hours ago trying to reach higher highs and resistance. Price also made no further attempts to retest the breakout high price, but not yet.
Daily chart is attached. It looks indicative of higher prices to my eyes, but we only see what we see. If I am missing something more bearish please write in the comments. It's a learning curve for us all.
Quickly my reasons, Bitcoin switched to a Demand-channel in recent months, you know higher highs and higher lows, now recently Bitcoin price has remained in the upper part of channel, for me that is a bullish sign. Check the chart. Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011First, OCTOBER IS THE FIRST MONTH INTO DOUBLE FIGURES AS A GREEN CANDLE CLOSE SINCE 2011 - 10 Octobers in the last 14 years - Pretty good average ;-)
So ->
The Arrows -> We have only ever seen a RED August followed by a GREEN Sep and October on 3 previous occasions. 2015 & 2016 and then again in 2023 and just now , in 2024 makes the 4th.
To me, this backs up the idea that PA is following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal. This is superimposed on chart from Nov 2021 as yellow Bars
The Candle sizes are
2015
August -30% Sep +18% Oct +41%
2016
August -26% Sep +14% Oct +24%
And so now we move over to what is happening in this cycle
2023
August -16% Sep +14% Oct +37%
2024
August -23% Sep +30% Oct +30%
The numbers are not exactly the same and, infact, the 2024 figures blow the others out the water from September......but there is a trend there to be seen until Sep 2024 comes in.
Maybe wishful thinking and how the next 3 Monthly candles Close will confirm or deny this idea.
But it has to be said, the PA has followed the Fractal from Nov 2021 to now pretty accurately..as can be seen on many previous Posts
IF we are doing this 2013 - 2017 Fractal, we have a clear Run to a New ATH by end of 2025 or just after, with intermittent RED months while PA catches its breath, like in Jan 2017
It should be Noted that a GREEN October Close does NOT always lead to a Green November.. So we need to continue to watch carefully.
BULLISH BTC CHEATSHEET for the next 12 months- Breakout EmminentBTC has been forming megaphone bull flag for the last 7 months adding validation to the beautiful CUP & HANDLE it has printed and recently tried to break out of this bull flag in the weekly chart testing the boundaries of the pattern. One may wonder if there is any logical behavior in this price action and some investors like me can point out to WYCKOFF Re-Accumulation happening. If you look closely it has resonated closely to Wyckoff's theory and we may be at the LPS portion of the re-accumulation. Possible breakout to the SOS level or some minor sideways movement for the next days. There has also been the bullish MACD cross on the weekly. Long term targets based on sentiment, seasonality and technical analysis indicate a long term target of 120-130k Dec 2024 and 350-380k Mar-Apr 2025. There have been anomalies that have been considered in this analysis such as the Yen Carry Trade issue. Lately there has been some volatility but I don't expect there to be any lows. Breakout is imminent! Looking to see how this plays out.
Bitcoin Daily Chart -Indicates selling, it needs to rocket soon
Bitcoin BTCUSD since arriving back up at the triple-top high zone and it would seem is preparing to launch a breakout of its price to all new higher-highs and higher lows, but perhaps Bitcoin's consolidation and a lack of higher prices the past couple of days this week, is starting to make BTCUSD look a bit weaker for a Short opportunity.
No I don't think the Bitcoin price is going down with a huge sell margin, no price is simply in the 'squeeze' right now and we will see a gradual downward drift in price as consolidating price action occurs, and to a key support level or demand block, buyers will step-in at reduced Bitcoin prices and they will take advantage of a price that Bitcoin is likely to never revisit ever again.
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf you haven't already, you might want to take advantage of this retrace to start building towards BTC ath breakout that is most likely coming in the near future. Here are some great DCA points you can take advantage of if that is what you would like to do. This is what I'm doing 😄
Trade safely, and remember to play on both sides! @Nate Alert
Crypto Boom: Can Bitcoin Hit $117,189?This monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart suggests a potential breakout above the key resistance level of $73,777, signaling a bullish momentum if it closes above this point. A target is set at $117,189, representing a projected 63.75% increase if the trend continues. Overall, a close above $73,777 could help confirm that Bitcoin has entered a strong bullish phase.
BTC H4 Bull Pennant FormingBTC/USD on the H4 chart is currently forming a bull pennant between a descending resistance and a horizontal support. The stochastic RSI is ready to swing back after a little more pullback.
Targets for the trade are the 2.236 and the 2.618 extensions of the previous high swing low. Targets marked with white horizontal lines.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
Where from here can go BTCUSD BTC Long BTC Short How far can #BTCUSDT go?
Is the top close, before we see a bigger pull back?
Will We See Bitcoin Over $100k?
I think that at this moment, although we have great euphoria that we will very soon see a break above the magical $100k, at least according to some other indicators, we may see an all time high (ATH), but I think that after that we will see that bigger pull back.
We have that before (I pointed 2 years ago) and even I give where can be bottom.
If that happens, some will call it "fakeout" or "deviation", but I think it could just be an EXPANDING FLAT that often appears as a correction, very often as the fourth wave in the Elliott wave fraction.
B wave, from ABC correction, as a rule, ends beyond the beginning of A wave (in this case it is ATH), 105% - 138% of wave A, while the target for C (the final leg of ABC) is 123.6% - 161.8% of wave AB.
Several indicators, if we see a new ATH soon, will create divergences (RSI, AO, etc.), which can usually be an indication of an exhausting movement.
Also for this idea I see a couple of harmonic patterns that make confluences for these targets. As I said, the price has not yet reached those areas, but this is something I will keep in mind if we see the new ATH soon.
It is also interesting to see on the 1D time frame some harmonic patterns that were very important in certain moments.
I hope for everyone who wants to see Bitcoin over $100k soon, that this idea will not be correct.
In any case, time will tell if I am right and I will try to update as soon as I see some important changes.
BITCOIN: A Possible Rejection!!!BTC didn't hit the ATH but did rally as high as $73,620, aligning with our weekly analysis. The BRR pattern played out well.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC needs to break above the all-time high resistance to sustain its bullish momentum. A weekly close below this resistance could result in a possible rejection.
Looking at the daily timeframe, BTC is likely to face a rejection around the $68.8k to $69k range.
In my next update, I'll cover altcoins, so stay tuned and trade safely.
Setup for SHORT entry:
~ Entry: $72,800 to CMP.
~ Stoploss: $74,500.
~ Leverage: 10x.
~ Target: $68.8k.
Do your own research and analysis before investing.
BTC's Next Moves: Key Levels to Watch!hello guys!
Technical Analysis:
Primary Uptrend: After a sharp breakout from the triangle pattern, Bitcoin is moving towards the target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Two Possible Scenarios (Based on Arrows):
Scenario 1 (Immediate Rally): BTC could maintain its upward momentum, bypassing the lower support and heading directly towards the upper target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Scenario 2 (Pullback and Retest): BTC may temporarily retrace towards the highlighted support area (~$71,500) before resuming the uptrend towards the target zone. This pullback would provide additional support confirmation before a potential rally.
In summary, BTC’s next steps could either see a continued surge or a brief retest of support before reaching its triangle target. Keep an eye on these levels for optimal trading setups! 🚀
USTD.D updateThis is USDT.D, a reverse indication to how BTC will perform based on money flow concepts. It looks like USDT.D is starting to form a bullish harmonic pattern and if it does and plays out, BTC will dump. Now only that, the PRZ (potential reversal zone) on the harmonic pattern has weight being based on both yearly VWAP as well as a trend line that is based on Fib levels. Therefore, I am looking for quick short scalps today as I believe a retrace is coming.
Analysis can always be wrong based on these, so no matter what or how much you trust me, trade safely and have back up plans! @Nate Alert