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Btcusdanalysis

The 100K Club: Market Moves Exchange Cold Wallet moveme In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, understanding market movements can be a daunting task. However, a growing number of traders are turning to unconventional indicators to gain an edge. One such approach involves analyzing the movements of the so-called "100K Club" — large exchange cold wallet addresses that hold substantial amounts of Bitcoin. These wallets not only represent significant market players but also act as a barometer for broader market sentiment. Unveiling the 100K Club Indicator Our newly developed indicator focuses on tracking major exchange cold wallet movements. By plotting simple labels whenever large movements of Bitcoin are detected from cold wallet exchange storage, it reveals critical market dynamics that are often invisible to the average trader. The indicator highlights accumulation and distribution phases, market tops and bottoms, and key levels for swing trading on weekly and monthly timeframes. Market Tops and Bottoms: A Clear Pattern Historical data suggests that the movements of the 100K Club wallets align closely with market tops and bottoms. When these wallets begin to offload significant amounts of Bitcoin, it often precedes a market top. Conversely, heavy accumulation by these wallets frequently signals a market bottom. This correlation provides traders with a reliable tool to anticipate major price swings. Accumulation and Distribution Levels The indicator also sheds light on major accumulation and distribution levels. Accumulation phases are characterized by steady inflows into exchange cold wallets, indicating that large players are positioning themselves for a price increase. Distribution phases, marked by substantial outflows, suggest that these players are cashing out, anticipating a market downturn. Swing Trading with Confidence For swing traders, understanding these wallet movements can be transformative. The indicator’s ability to define key levels on weekly and monthly charts allows traders to identify optimal entry and exit points. By aligning their strategies with the actions of major market players, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their risk management. Liquidation Candle Sweeps: A Hidden Signal An interesting phenomenon observed with these large wallet movements is the occurrence of liquidation candle sweeps above or below the major movement key levels. These sweeps often suggest a retail stop hunt before a reversal in market direction. Recognizing these patterns can provide traders with additional confirmation of potential reversals, making the indicator even more powerful for strategic trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Data_Driven_Trading
BTC Long, bear trap doneDaily level the last fews days not being able to break belove 95.500-95.000 level. Looking at the btc liquidity heatmap, there is not really much liquidity left below, loads of liquidity left above 109.000. Aiming for this huge RR trade, small stoploss. Would be my best trade ever if this succeeds. Also lots of positive bitcoin news the last few days. Im bullish. I was also waiting and waiting for 60k 80k levels, but i don't really think it will drop that far anymore, perhaps in the case of a massive world event.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProdemoNL
what is happening to BTC right now ?! 🐺 "Hello, KIUCOIN family . I hope you're doing well. 🐺 In this analysis, I've decided to explain what's likely to happen to the BTC price in the immediate short term and the long term. Be sure to stay tuned with me until the end, as it's going to be mind-blowing." 🤯 "First of all, let's examine the monthly chart. In my opinion, this is one of the best timeframes, especially for this analysis, because it reveals extraordinary price targets. Let's dive into it : As you can see on the monthly chart , BTC is between two uptrend curves that have acted as support and resistance since 2015 . These curves are fairly strong, justifying their classification as strong support and resistance lines on the monthly timeframe. As you may already know, the higher the timeframe we examine, the more accurate results we can achieve. Therefore, the patterns on the monthly timeframe are much more accurate than those formed on the daily or even the weekly timeframe. In this case, we have a clear and perfect bullish flag pattern . This is a bullish pattern, and its main target, which aligns with our resistance line, is around $165,000. 🔥🐺🚀 So let's reveals more details for you dear 🐺KIUCOIN🐺 family : In the chart above, on the weekly timeframe, we have a clear AB=CD pattern . This is a well-known pattern in harmonic trading and, in my opinion, is quite accurate. Seven out of ten times, these patterns reach their targets, making them a valuable tool for traders . So I think there is another secret reason for us to pay attention to it : BTC.D As you can see in the chart above, BTC.D is currently within a symmetrical triangle, which could also be considered an ascending triangle in this case. It appears to be on the verge of breaking out. In my opinion, if BTC.D breaks through this resistance level, it could be incredibly beneficial for the BTC price , potentially leading to a significant rally up to $165,000. However, this could also be challenging for altcoins and ETH . While they might also experience pumps alongside BTC, these pumps are likely to be less substantial. After such a BTC-led rally, we could expect a massive altcoin and ETH season. So, stay tuned with me until that time, as we could potentially make life-changing money together during this market cycle. Now finally it's time to take look at the lower time frame : As you can see on the daily timeframe , if BTC breaks through the orange resistance line , we could consider entering a long position with a target of the previous all-time high. You could also take some profits at a predetermined level and set your stop at the entry point to protect your initial investment. The remaining position could then potentially continue to generate profits, leading to a higher target of $165,000. I hope you enjoy this idea dear KIUCOIN family , also always remember : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , But almost always profitable 🐺
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Kiu_Coin
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector. Key Points on the Chart Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline. However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation. A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum. Ascending Channel Structure The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation. The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market. Key Support & Resistance Levels 56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone. 61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support. If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend. Impact on Altcoins Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region. Conditions for Altcoin Recovery For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone. A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins. Altcoin Seasonal Trends Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness. Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk. Trading Considerations & Strategy For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term. For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins. For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins. Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by wolfchemist
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins. I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!) 🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt. 🔹 Bitcoin Outlook BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support. 😱 More blood on the charts? Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders: 1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in. 2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish. I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders. 📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding. If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery. Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
5
BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Breakout Above $99K Next?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Condition: Price at $97,395, consolidating after rejection from $99K. Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) formations indicate choppy price action. RSI at 47.86, showing a neutral stance with no extreme conditions. Smart Money Analysis: Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $96K- GETTEX:97K acting as strong support. Premium zone at $102K remains untested. Multiple liquidity hunts occurring around the GETTEX:98K level, signaling engineered price action. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $97,200 - $97,400. Targets: T1: $98,800 (+1.5%). T2: $99,400 (+2.1%). Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (-0.8%). Risk Score: 7/10 – Decent risk-to-reward, but potential for manipulation at GETTEX:98K level. Market Maker Intent: Market Makers appear to be accumulating within this range. Hidden bullish divergence forming on RSI, supporting a breakout thesis. Recommendation: Consider long entries within $97,200 - $97,400, keeping stops tight at $96,400. Be patient—this is a high timeframe setup that requires discipline and proper risk management. Watch for strong volume confirmation above GETTEX:98K to reinforce bullish momentum. Confidence Level: 7/10 – Strong accumulation signals, but confirmation is required before aggressive positioning. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
Starting a Bitcoin Analysis Series – February EditionI’m kicking off a Bitcoin analysis series for February , where I’ll be sharing quick and to-the-point updates on the Bitcoin chart throughout the month. Alongside that, I’ll also post my trade ideas as they develop. The goal is to stay on top of the price action and navigate the market with clear, structured setups. I might not be able to catch every single move, but I’ll do my best to cover the most relevant ones. Hopefully, this will lead to some solid trades and strong results. At the end of the day, it’s not that complicated—you just have to trade what you see . Looking forward to an exciting month in the crypto market!
by stromm
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone, This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here: My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief. As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ir0nhand
4
"Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance – Breakout or RejectionThis BTC/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern with a key resistance zone around 99,000. The price is currently approaching the upper trendline of the wedge, with a breakout potential if bullish momentum sustains. Multiple change-of-character (ChOCH) points indicate shifts in structure, with a bullish bias forming. Key levels to watch: - Resistance at 99,000 (breakout confirmation needed) - Support around 97,270 and 95,873 - Potential breakout target above 100,000 if price clears resistance A breakout above 99,000 with strong volume could signal further upside, while rejection at this level might lead to a retest of lower support zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTC/USD Trap to bullish Trend Still This chart shows *Bitcoin (BTC/USD)* on a daily time frame with a *bullish* outlook. - *Current price*: 97,924 - *Target 1*: 101,980 - *Support level*: Around *81,053* The price has recently made a correction from the highs, and there's a potential for a *bounce back* towards *101,980*. The support zone around *81,053* suggests a possible area for a reversal if the price drops. Traders should be cautious of any potential downside movement towards this level, but the overall trend appears to be *bullish* towards the target. *Key points*: - *Resistance* around 101,980 - *Strong support* near 81,053 - *Bullish scenario* in the short term This setup suggests a potential price rise back towards *101,980*, with key support at *81,053* in case of a downturn. Always consider proper risk management and stay updated with market movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MR_ALBERT4
BTC trade idea for long so there is unmitigated demand zone near 95700ish level i have marked that area with green box wait for the price and check if the level is being respected and price is trying to form bullish condition or any green candlestick pattern because news or anything else external can affect the technical analysis for its failure and stop loss could be 93600-650 with target of 100,830 that comes around 2.5 risk to reward go easy with the size of trade will update the idea further as price action forms nearby our level
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
6
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
BTCUSDT: a short SMC (Smart Money Concepts) breakdownBTCUSDT: a short SMC (Smart Money Concepts) breakdown 1️⃣ Daily (global perspective) • Overall trend remains bullish, but we’re in a correction off the ~110k peak. • Key daily demand zones: 90–92k and 85–88k. • Major supply above at 100–105k. 2️⃣ 4H (mid-term) • A downtrend is forming within the broad 92–105k range. • Nearest resistance: 98–100k (supply zone). • Support: 94–92k. A break below 92k could extend toward 90–88k. 3️⃣ 1H (local view) • Price is pressured down: a series of BOS signals bears in control. • Trend reversal requires a break above ~98–99k with firm hold. 4️⃣ Conclusion • Below 98k, likely more downside toward 92–94k. • A bounce off 92–94k might test 98–99k. Breaking above that opens 100–105k. • Watch how price reacts around 92–94k and 98–99k for the next major move. Focus: look for BOS/CHoCH near these zones, confirm entries with patterns. Always keep risk management and fundamentals (news, macro stats, etc.) in mind.
by theanabioz