Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection
Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics
Target Price (Bullish Scenario) :
🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272
🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414
🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618
INDEX:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Be Careful :
🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K.
🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen
DISCLAIMER :
🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K.
🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections.
🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K)
🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news.
🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation.
🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !.
🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis Key Levels & Pullback ExpectationBitcoin is currently trading at $95,452, having come very close to the $100,000 level as of November 21. As Bitcoin approaches this major milestone, it’s important to identify key support and resistance zones based on historical price action and technical analysis. Let’s break down the key levels to watch:
$90,642 Resistance:
As Bitcoin nears the $100,000 mark, $90,642 serves as an important resistance level. This zone falls within the $90,000-$95,000 range, which has historically seen significant price action. It’s common for Bitcoin to face consolidation or profit-taking near these levels, and whether Bitcoin can push past this resistance will be crucial in determining the next phase of price movement.
$87,000 and $85,000 Support Levels:
If Bitcoin faces a pullback after nearing $100,000, the $87,000 and $85,000 levels could act as potential support zones. These levels are based on the price action observed when Bitcoin approached similar areas in the past. While these specific levels haven’t been exact support points in prior cycles, they align with key price ranges where Bitcoin has experienced notable fluctuations. In a correction scenario, Bitcoin could consolidate at these levels before resuming its upward momentum.
$82,500-$80,000 Area of Interest:
The $82,500-$80,000 range represents a zone of interest in case of further downside movement. Historically, Bitcoin has seen price action around the $80,000 area, which could act as minor support during a pullback. This zone aligns with psychological levels and could be a point where traders look to accumulate before the next potential move higher.
$68,000-$66,000 Pullback Zone:
Major rallies often experience retracements and the $68,000-$66,000 range is a likely target if Bitcoin faces significant resistance near $100,000. This range corresponds to the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which are historically strong support zones. A correction into this area would allow for healthy consolidation before a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion :
With Bitcoin testing the $95,452 mark, key resistance levels are near $90,642 and $95,000. If Bitcoin experiences a pullback, watch for support around $87,000-$85,000, with further potential for a deeper correction into the $82,500-$80,000 range. A more substantial pullback could target the $68,000-$66,000 zone. These levels will be crucial to understanding the next potential moves for Bitcoin.
This analysis helps identify key levels to watch as Bitcoin approaches these critical price points. Keep an eye on these levels as the price action unfolds!
Next BTC TargetsPrior to each major bull run, Bitcoin consolidated within triangle patterns, as seen in 2016–2017 and 2019–2020. These patterns signal periods of accumulation before explosive moves upward.
Currently, the chart shows another breakout from a consolidation zone in 2023–2024, resembling the pre-halving behavior of earlier cycles.
Historically, Bitcoin's price increases 10x to 20x from its bear market lows following halving events:
2016: From ~$500 to ~$20k (40x).
2020: From ~$3.5k to ~$69k (20x).
If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory from its 2022 low of ~$16k, reaching $180k to $280k represents a 10x to 15x increase, which is consistent with prior cycles.
The chart illustrates how historical patterns, halving events, and technical formations contribute to Bitcoin’s potential to reach $180k as a minimum and $280k as a maximum in the next bull cycle. These targets are plausible within the cyclical behavior and long-term growth trend of Bitcoin.
Btc elliott wave analysisElliott wave is very subjective. even I have two or three analysis and shorterm frame it gets more possibilities.
but here I think Eth price is way lower than btc price and also some of altcoins as well.
because bitcoin just went up alone strongly compare to other altcoins.
and eth is one of them. it didnt hit all time high yet. but at least it should reach around 4000 level i think. right now its at 3600 level. so if eth can go up while btc is tanking the price or going slowly up we can expect this two senario. one is we go up from here after short consolidation. second is we go up after one more dump. but either way i dont expect much drops because we dont have much bad news right now. in macro economy there are bunch of good news.. israel must end war before biden end his presidency because of political reason.
trump will be president on Jan 20th. so untill that time we can expect btc price to hold its position. but after that it could be sell the news scenario. but after some big consolidation period we will start to go up again. if there is no bad news in macro economy
Bitcoin (btc)Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4 hours
Bitcoin broke out of the triangle it had formed.
( yellow triangle shape)
Then it moved on to the new target, which was $ 100,000.
But btc couldn't pass 100$ Price thet is a mentally resistant.
Then come down to triangle and strong support lines in 92000$ area
Now I guess btc will move up to 100.000 $ again and maybe break it or not and move up and down in this box to start alt party
Bitcoin Breaks $95K Pivot: What’s Next After US Inflation Data? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged past the crucial $95,000 level following the release of US PCE inflation data, which came in at 2.3% YoY—right on target. This event, combined with strong technical signals and institutional interest, paints a compellingly bullish outlook for BTC.
Inflation and Institutional Moves
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed steady inflation at 2.3%, aligning with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, showed a 2.8% YoY increase. This steady inflation reading suggests potential stabilization in interest rates, a scenario historically favorable for Bitcoin as investors seek hedges against inflation and currency devaluation.
Additionally, the global landscape for institutional investments in Bitcoin is heating up. Chinese publicly-listed firm SOS recently announced a $50 million investment in BTC, viewing it as a long-term store of value and predicting a $100K milestone. This strategic move signals growing confidence among institutional players, which could drive further price momentum.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s current price action supports the bullish narrative. Here’s why:
1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading around $95,900, having formed a strong bullish engulfing candle. This pattern often signals a trend reversal or continuation, indicating potential for further gains.
2. Golden Cross Formation: BTC’s chart shows a “Golden Cross,” where the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA. Historically, this pattern has preceded major bull runs, suggesting CRYPTOCAP:BTC could reach $150K by the end of the year or shortly after.
3. RSI at 67: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory—not overbought nor oversold—providing room for further upward movement. This gives traders and investors confidence to enter or hold positions.
Since May 2024, Bitcoin was trapped in a falling wedge pattern. It recently broke through this structure at the intersection of the 50-day and 200-day MAs.
Outlook: Targeting $150K?
With strong fundamentals—rising institutional adoption and favorable inflation data—combined with powerful technical indicators like the Golden Cross and bullish engulfing patterns, Bitcoin appears poised for a substantial rally. We predict BTC could hit $150K by Christmas or early 2025.
Investors should watch key levels: maintaining support above $95K will be crucial, with near-term resistance at $100K. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC sustains momentum, a breakout above this psychological barrier could trigger a parabolic move.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin’s narrative strengthens with macroeconomic and technical factors aligned, now may be an opportune moment for investors. Stay tuned—2024 might end with Bitcoin rewriting crypto history.
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce
Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce:
Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support:
This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support.
Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level:
The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices.
Key Considerations:
Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand.
Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas.
Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial.
These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce
If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
BTC Lengthening Cycle Theory in 2024-25 Bull runBTC Weekly chart full extension of the Lengthening Cycle Theory into 2025 could play out something like this. Let's see how it plays out with our new Crypto friendly US Presidential administration coming into power. Trump says he likes crypto. "It's a great thing. We really like crypto in this country. We should Make Crypto Great Again." Put your money where your mouth is Mr. President.
Is ~Bitcoin about to repeat the 2021 Double Top pattern ?If you have been following my posts, you will know that I am a firm believer that we are following the 2013 - 2017 ATH Fractal. Only problem is, The 2017 Top was NOT a Double Top.
But if we look at the fractal closely, we can see how this could happen and I will do this in another post shortly.
For now, there are other pointers to suggest we maybe about to repeat that sequence from 2021.
Lets start with this chart
I am using the 2nd ATH in 2021 as THE ATH for a number of reasons, as explained in other posts, But also because it simply WAS the highest ATH that year and was approx the same number of days between ATH as the 2013 - 2017 cycle.
That same day count takes us to September 2025, a projected ATH date range from a number of alternative charts.
If we assume we see a March 2025 High, the same number of days between the 2021 ATH's, applied to March 2025, also takes us to September 2025.
Some are saying we will see an ATH in December 2024 and that day count puts us in Mid summer and, to be honest, I do not see this now, given how overheated PA is. But anything can happen in Bitcoin.
This date range on the rising Trend line off ATH's, also takes us to the Expected price range of 100K - 130K ----for now........
** Note - Assumptions in trading are NOT recommended but we are just projecting here..NOT applying trades to that assumption.
Next we have the NUPL ( Net unrealised Profit Loss )
The Vertical dashed lines are the ATH dates.
And while the 2021 March ATH shows us a higher NUPL, this is where most profit taking was, as most assumed ( see above )
The real ATH was later and as most has already taken profit, people were trapped by Nov, but this is a different story..
What I want you to see is that we have not reached the upper line of Euphoria, that we are now in.
There could be more to come...
The TOP seems to be Signalled when PA Preaches this upper line, even if a ATH can be reached after, as in late 2021
Next, we have SOPR - (Spent Output Profit Ratio)
Simply put, when people SELL and take profit
Again, vertical dashed lines are previsou ATH in 2017 and 2021
First thing to notice here is how Profit taking happens BEFORE the ATH usually. See how the graph Drops to the ATH line.
Also not the Red Diamonds above..they are Warning of Bearish intent.
While we have seen a spike in selling recently, we are reciveing BULLISH intent warnings ( green diamond bottom of chart ). This appeared After that Red diamond above and so is a more recent signal.
The spike in selling in early 2023 was people taking quick profit after 2 years oif Bearish moves.
BUT it must be noted that the way this profit taking has constantly changed makes it VERY hard to read accurtaly as a method of judgement. There is no real pattern
Which brings us to the final indicator.
The ADX and DI - The Trend Strength and Price direction
I find this fascinating. VERY IMPORTANT to remember that ADX ( Yellow ) does NOT show Trend Direction
It only shows trend Strength and you can see that we have just begun turning around from a Drop in trend Strength. This Drop began in early 2024, around March, when we began months of ranging.
The recent push higher seems to be reflected in ADX rising also, showing an increasing Trend strength. BUT will it last ? You can see from the chart, we are on a line of resistance now...We need to break through that.
The Orange line is the DI + and the Red is DI - and not surprisingly show Price direction.
This, combined with the ADX gives us ideas of true trend strength and ability.
For now. DI+ has turned to Drop and reflects the action recently But the DI - has yet to turn higher to meet it, indicating a possibility that Real Negative orice action may not occur just yet.
But we need to watch this closely.
So, in summery, for me, We are Still getting ready to move higher, we may well range for a while before hand and a December ATH, while possible, is not the best thing to hope for.
The final ATH of the cycle could be in September or around there, after an early Sopring push to a new high
And it is important to understand, things can change very quickly in Bitcoin and we need to be ready ALWAYS so I am offering ideas only..
Stay safe and may your God, Gods, Godess or Godesses forever Keep your socks Dry
BITCOIN new ATH ( 107000$ )Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for BITCOIN, 📚💡
In recent weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a strong breakout through key resistance levels to the upside. Simultaneously, market volume has surged to extraordinary levels, and technical indicators suggest further upward momentum. 📚💡
Throughout this rally, short-term pullbacks have occurred, driven by stop-loss hunting and sharp, bearish candles. Fibonacci support levels are providing critical guidance, helping identify strategic entry points to buy and safeguard against further losses. 📚✨
🧨 Our team's main opinion is Bitcoin has broken key resistance levels with high volume, showing bullish signals, while short-term pullbacks and Fibonacci support levels guide strategic entry points to mitigate losses. 🧨
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
BTC forming head and shoulders patternIt appears that BTC is forming a big head and shoulders pattern within an ascending broadening wedge. If it continues to follow the red line it will retest all key price levels and react to trend line support and resistance. I think it absolutely must retest the $74k region and this pattern is a straightforward way to get there.
Bitcoin's $92K Correction: A Deep Dive into the Real CulpritBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently undergone a significant price correction, dipping below the crucial $92,000 level. While many analysts initially pointed fingers at the influx of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as the primary catalyst for this downturn, on-chain data paints a different picture.
The Myth of ETF-Induced Selling Pressure
The narrative that ETF inflows have been the primary driver of Bitcoin's recent price decline has gained traction in certain circles. However, a closer examination of on-chain data reveals a different story.
• Long-Term Hodlers Remain Resilient: Despite the market downturn, long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," have shown remarkable resilience. These individuals, who have held their Bitcoin for extended periods, have not been significant sellers during the recent correction.
• Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: In contrast to long-term holders, short-term holders have been more inclined to sell their Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This suggests that the recent price decline may be more attributable to profit-taking by short-term investors rather than a broader market sell-off.
A Normal Correction, Not a Bear Market
It's important to recognize that the current price correction is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Bitcoin has experienced similar corrections in the past, often followed by periods of consolidation and subsequent upward momentum.
• Technical Analysis Suggests a Healthy Correction: A closer look at Bitcoin's technical indicators reveals a healthy correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below the overbought level, indicating that the recent price surge may have been overextended. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the short term.
• Support Levels to Watch: Traders and investors should keep an eye on key support levels, such as the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could signal a potential reversal of the current downtrend.
The Future of Bitcoin: A Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite the recent price correction, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several factors continue to drive the adoption and value of Bitcoin:
• Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. This institutional adoption is likely to fuel further price appreciation in the long run.
• Deflationary Supply: Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins ensures that its value will appreciate over time as demand increases.
• Global Economic Uncertainty: As global economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against inflation and a store of value is likely to grow.
In conclusion, while the recent price correction may have caused some short-term volatility, it is important to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong, and the cryptocurrency is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the years to come.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
Close to a million by 2033?Cyclic Lines allow a user to set two vertical lines a specified distance apart. Once the lines are set, repeating vertical lines will appear equidistant apart and will appear indefinitely into the future.What this means is that as time goes on (and price changes), or even if the user just scrolls forward in time, the vertical lines will keep appearing.
Another Outstanding Performanc | sentiment Indicator (PAID)Trend Identification: The indicator accurately marks bullish (green) and bearish (red) trends, providing clear zones for potential entries and exits.
Signal Clarity: Buy and sell signals are strategically placed and align well with the directional momentum, capturing significant price movements, especially during the sharp downturns highlighted by the arrows.
It was able provide two 3000+ points signal which is amazing.
Choppy Market Management: The indicator also handles choppy or sideways markets reasonably well by displaying a mix of green and red areas, signaling caution during indecisive price action.
Dynamic Zones: The green and red sentiment zones are dynamically plotted, offering traders visual guidance on market trends and sentiment shifts.
The indicator is reliable for short- to medium-term trading
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Setting Up for a Pullback and An Opportunity?👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently dipped from a key liquidity area and is now revisiting previous highs. This movement has traders watching closely for what could come next. I'm eyeing a possible buying setup, but only if it retraces to a balanced price level and confirms with a bullish structural shift. 🛠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and trade responsibly. 📢
BITCOIN - A detailed Important scenario of what will happen!Anyone who puts 2025 as the end of the cycle is wrong, in my view In this analysis, I will list for you all the next steps, starting from now.
- Altcoins and Bitcoin will rise to 85k, and it will happen from here until the end of June - the beginning of July.... This will coincide with TOTAL3 reaching 900B - 1T.
-There will be a strong correction for the entire market, and Bitcoin will return to 72k and TOTAL3 will return to 700B - 730B. - In the period between August and October, Bitcoin will rise alone, and alternative currencies will begin to rise slightly
- Trump wins the US elections, and remember what he said two days ago regarding cryptocurrencies, and this would bring great positivity to the market.
At the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin will reach 125k - 150k, and that will be the peak of that cycle, and your greed will then reach the sky, but don't take your profits... When that happens, you will find those calling for 200k for Bitcoin, or posts tells 1M for BTC !
Then the following will happen:
- Distribution of bitcoins to ALTS for two or three weeks with great ALTseason...Greed will reach its peak, and I will be attacked and anyone who tells " this is the peak, and you must take your profits and make them 100% cash".
- Then there will be a complete collapse of the market and the American markets, and a decline that will continue for years, and this collapse will be less severe for Bitcoin, reaching areas between 50k - 45k, and most other currencies will disappear completely (90-99% decline).
best regard Ceciliones🎯
IBIT | This is Where Real Trader's are LookingThere's no need to complicate things. You are watching where real traders watch.
I see the green box and the red box as the selling place.
When the price reaches those areas, I recommend you to follow the volume side. If these regions are to be broken and passed, the volume side will give signals of this.
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Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
BTCUSDT Loong!Bitcoin has been ranging for the past few days, ever since it hit its ALH at 99300. There was a slight pullback and a liquidation point, where the short sellers were lured and got liquidated.
I anticipate that the price is now bullish, after retesting that lower trendline. Entry point at 98000, target at 100800 and SL at 96700
Understanding the Benefits of Long-Term Bitcoin HoldingThe Bitcoin market has been on a tear, recently surging towards the coveted $100,000 mark. Amidst this bullish momentum, a fascinating trend has emerged: long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "hodlers," are showing no signs of capitulation.1 In fact, they seem more determined than ever to hold onto their coins, even as the price continues to rise.
The Psychology of Hodling
The concept of hodling, a deliberate misspelling of "holding," has become synonymous with the Bitcoin community. It encapsulates the idea of buying and holding Bitcoin for the long term, regardless of short-term price fluctuations. Hodlers are often driven by a deep belief in Bitcoin's potential as a revolutionary technology and a store of value.2
As Bitcoin's price has soared, some investors might be tempted to take profits and cash out. However, long-term holders are resisting this urge, choosing instead to remain patient and steadfast in their conviction. This behavior can be attributed to several factors:
• Belief in Bitcoin's Long-Term Potential: Many hodlers view Bitcoin as a digital gold, a scarce asset with immense value potential. They believe that the current price surge is just the beginning of a much larger upward trend.
• Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): As Bitcoin's price continues to climb, there's a fear of missing out on significant gains. Hodlers may worry that if they sell now, they might regret it later when the price reaches even higher levels.
• The Halving Effect: Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, reducing the number of new coins entering circulation.4 This event, known as the halving, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. Hodlers may be anticipating a substantial price increase after the next halving, scheduled for 2024.
• The Network Effect: As more people and institutions adopt Bitcoin, its network effect strengthens. This increased adoption can lead to higher demand, driving the price up further.
Why Hodling is Good for Bitcoin
The fact that long-term holders are resisting the temptation to sell is a positive sign for Bitcoin's future. Here's why:
• Reduced Selling Pressure: When fewer coins are being sold, it reduces selling pressure on the market. This can help to stabilize the price and prevent sharp declines.
• Increased Price Stability: A lower supply of Bitcoin available for sale can lead to increased price stability. This can attract more institutional investors who prefer assets with lower volatility.
• Stronger Market Fundamentals: The behavior of long-term holders demonstrates strong market fundamentals. It suggests that Bitcoin is perceived as a valuable asset with long-term potential.
• Positive Market Sentiment: The resilience of long-term holders can boost market sentiment, attracting new investors and driving further price appreciation.
In conclusion, the greed of long-term Bitcoin holders is a bullish indicator for the cryptocurrency market. Their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's potential, coupled with their willingness to hold onto their coins, is a testament to the strength of the Bitcoin community and the underlying technology. As Bitcoin continues its journey towards mass adoption, the hodlers will likely play a crucial role in shaping its future.
Don't Be Fooled! Bitcoin STILL Searching for Support.Nothing about this chart resembles a validated support test for $BTC. At least not without landing on anything that looks like s prior consolidation or R/S Flip level.
I could be wrong, but this feels like a short term bounce to trap some longs.
Let's see what tomorrow brings.