Bitcoin- Chronicle of a Break ForetoldA couple of weeks ago, I raised the question: What if Bitcoin were to remain stuck in a range between 70K and 50K for an extended period?
Although this idea seems unimaginable to the bulls—who get frustrated by any statement that isn’t "Bitcoin to the moon"—this scenario is more than just a remote possibility.
Recently, Bitcoin hit the 70K zone once again, and from a technical standpoint, it broke out of the flag it had been trading in for over six months.
However, to me, this breakout feels more like the "chronicle of a break foretold"—the one we’ve all been expecting, where everyone’s buying, everyone’s making money.
Yet, from a fundamental perspective, things aren’t looking as rosy as one might think.
Technically, it seems like the price will come back to confirm the breakout. But again, from my point of view, things just seem a bit too simple .
So, what if Bitcoin slips back under 65K and continues downward towards the bottom of the range at 50K?
Asking for a friend. :)
Btcusdanalysis
Will Bitcoin Take Off?Bitcoin's price has been moving sideways for the last 114 days after reaching a new ATH. Now, the price has dropped below the previous ATH.
In the early stage of the bull run, Bitcoin's price moved sideways for 210 days before making a significant bullish move. This time, we can expect a similar pattern, with the price likely continuing to move sideways for the next 1-2 months.
We can expect a bullish move in the middle or end of the third quarter of 2024.
Regards
hexa
Bitcoin Symmetrical Triangle Retest: A Buying Opportunity BeforeBitcoin appears to be very bullish, but in the short term, we could see a retest of the symmetrical triangle! This is a standard technical analysis. First, you want to observe a breakout of a pattern, followed by a retest, which usually gives us a wonderful opportunity to jump into a trade.
Everything is on the chart
BTC reacting at trend line on Daily TFPA touched the trend line that I've been anticipating for the past few days and now showing a nice reaction. This could potentially be the beginning of the retrace on the daily TF that I've been waiting for. There is also the possibility of a minor retrace then continue momentum upwards, if that happens, I'll jump into market longs at semi-large positions.
However, if it does retrace from here, I've marked the potential reversal points in yellow circles for reference. Trade safely!
*Summary: I'm currently bearish during this retrace until PA proves that the momentum continues upwards.*
I REALLY LIKE BITCOIN'S STRUCTURE But what we need to see first?As you can see, the beast has awakened in recent days, and the mother of all cryptocurrencies is back. It’s crucial to use Bitcoin’s analysis as a base because it’s the crypto that drives the entire cryptocurrency market in general. So, rest assured, if Bitcoin wakes up, the crypto market will be alive!
The Beast has awakened, and we are very close to $70,000. The key lies in two very important points that I will highlight in yellow on the chart.
Point 1 (P1): VOLUMETRIC CANDLE. The impulse of the volumetric candle that gave the price its bullish strength—these types of candles are the fuel that the price needs to propel itself and reach new highs.
Point 2 (P2): DIVERGENCE. If we look at the two EMAs (8 and 21), they are very extended. I use these EMAs as a reference to confirm there’s strength in the price. Whenever these two EMAs start to widen from each other, it's when the price begins to make a decision and show strength to either continue its trend or maintain momentum.
But hold on! Don’t celebrate just yet.
To reach the All-Time High, we’re likely to see one or two pullbacks first. It all depends on the volatility we’ll see in the coming days.
Our short-term goal is for BTC to reach $70,000, and after hitting that target, we’ll be very close to seeing BTC surpass its all-time high once again.
In my personal opinion, I think the most difficult stage for Bitcoin is not reaching $70,000, but surpassing $71,800 level
Let’s see what the week has in store for us.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
History is being made and people don't seem to care In the past week we've seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC amazing performance defying all the odds ( not mine obviously) and recovering what seemed to be a historical crash
Now we are seeing history being made Bitcoin will certainly make a new higher high surpassing the 74k level
It's just a matter of time, and it will be explosive (huge candles)
Critical Moment for $BTC: Last Chance for Entry or Path to Doom?Massive Level for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
As things stand, we’re at a crucial point for a higher low and a complete validation of the weekly bearish BMS. We need some demand to step up in the 56-60k region to propel us to "Valhalla" and set the stage for a strong end to the year.
Be aware that if we drop below 58k, it could pose significant risks for a bullish outlook. This is the moment to act and take a stand at these prices!
Keep your bids around the mid-59k range in case it dips that low. The trade is active and rolling!
120k #BTC Sooner than later..... No matter how i chart #BTC the 120k to 130k price level is my target For the next year. Technical stand point BTC moves always seem to be calculated This chart is back to the basics and pretty simple Pure market structure. What are your thoughts? This is also why im not ruling out another trip to 40K. But for now........ I think we may take a crack at 72k
Is Bitcoin's Breakout from Accumulation Channel a Sign of FurtheBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently surged past the $68,000 mark, setting a new local high and confirming its bullish uptrend. This significant breakout has ignited excitement among analysts and investors, who are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency's next moves. As Bitcoin continues its ascent, many are speculating about the potential for further gains and the factors driving this momentum.
One of the key factors contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge is its breakout from a long-term accumulation channel. This technical pattern, which has persisted for over seven months, indicates a period of consolidation and accumulation before a potential price increase. By breaking out of this channel, Bitcoin has signaled a shift in market sentiment and a renewed bullish momentum.
Analysts and experts are closely examining various indicators to gauge the strength of Bitcoin's uptrend and identify potential resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, is currently hovering near overbought levels, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be necessary to consolidate gains before further upward movement. However, the overall trend remains bullish, and a break above the previous all-time high of $69,000 could signal a more extended rally.
In addition to technical analysis, fundamental factors are also playing a role in Bitcoin's price appreciation. The growing adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutional investors and corporations is driving demand for Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. Moreover, the increasing use of Bitcoin for payments and remittances is contributing to its mainstream acceptance.
However, it is essential to approach the current Bitcoin rally with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can experience significant fluctuations. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, short-term corrections are a common occurrence. Investors should be prepared for potential pullbacks and have a well-defined risk management strategy in place.
As Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, several key factors will likely influence its future price movement. The regulatory landscape, particularly in the United States, will play a crucial role. Favorable regulatory developments could further fuel Bitcoin's adoption and price appreciation. Additionally, the macroeconomic environment, including interest rates and inflation, will also impact investor sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin.
Furthermore, the competition from other cryptocurrencies cannot be overlooked. While Bitcoin currently dominates the market, the emergence of new and innovative projects could potentially challenge its position. The development of scalable blockchain solutions and the introduction of new use cases for cryptocurrencies could impact Bitcoin's market share.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent breakout from a long-term accumulation channel has ignited excitement and speculation about its potential for further gains. While the overall trend remains bullish, investors should approach the current rally with caution and be mindful of potential risks. By carefully considering technical analysis, fundamental factors, and the competitive landscape, investors can make informed decisions about their Bitcoin investments.
BTC CME GAP- CME and cryptocurrency ETFs are important, but in different ways :
- The CME is more influential in terms of institutional trading, price discovery, and market structure, while ETFs play a crucial role in making cryptocurrencies accessible to a broader range of investors and driving market adoption.
- Don't focus on ETFs, they are still young and small in BTC/ETH market ( around 5% ).
- Chicago Mercantile Exchange are older.
- Wealthy investors are in BTC from 2017.
- This Gap have to be taken soon or later.
PS : the green line is EMA200
Happy Tr4Ding !
I AM NOT FEELING GOOD ABOUT THIS!On the daily timeframe, BTC is showing signs of rejection. If this rejection plays out, be prepared to see BTC drop to $62k, where the 100 EMA provides support. The RSI indicates weak momentum and will likely reach the oversold zone.
The only way we could see a positive move is if BTC breaks out and closes above $68k on the daily chart, which could then target the all-time high range. Until then, a bearish scenario is likely.
Please make sure to do your own research and analysis before making any decisions.
Trade safely.
BTC new ATH?As of October 2024, Bitcoin is in a strong but somewhat volatile position. The price has recently surged to around $68,000, which reflects a broader market rally, but has also shown fluctuations due to increased volatility and geopolitical factors. Bitcoin's market dominance has reached nearly 59%, the highest since 2021, indicating its continued strength relative to other cryptocurrencies. This rise is largely driven by factors like growing interest in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have surpassed $20 billion in inflows.
But now, BTC is coming out from the trend line, new ATH is coming?