Btcusdanalysis
$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself.
If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets.
With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
Bear cycle begins if this happens. Not the time of buy the dipI have been thinking this Bitcoin cycle has already peaked.
I am using a weekly chart here because I can fit in three BTC cycles on the screen, but it is more clear if you look at it in the Daily chart.
I am analysing the chart by using VWAP - Volume weighted moving average.
When you place VWAP (orange line) at the peak of each cycle you can see the pattern as below:
1) The price goes down steadily from the suspected peak price but eventually breaks above the descending trendline. (please check it in daily chart).
2) The price moves and closes above the descending trendine but the upside move is limited and price gets trapped and consolidate in the sideway for a few months (blue rectangular box).
3) VWAP acts as resistance line and eventually resumes the downside move.
4) By then, all momentum indicators are deep in the bear zone, and the bear cycle begins.
When I look at weekly and daily chart, I can see the same scenario is unfolding now.
I don't think the price will go straight down from here. There are good small swing trade opportunities in lower time frame for the next few months. However, if the price struggles to move above VWAP, the end of cycle scenario becomes more and more convincing.
It is just my humble opinion based on one style of analysis.
Final note:
Bitcoin price action has been very similar to NASDAQ100 and US500, and these charts are looking very dire. If US indices go down in the the next few months, Bitcoin will go with them.
BTC-----More around 83300, target 82000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on March 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to be negative, the price was below the moving average, the attached indicator golden cross was running with shrinking volume, and the fast and slow lines showed signs of sticking dead cross. From this point of view, the general trend of decline is still very obvious, and what we need to pay attention to in trading is to find a good entry point, keep short-term, and do a good job of risk control. Leave the rest to me! The short-term hourly chart continued the trend of shock correction after the decline in the European session yesterday. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is running with a golden cross. Then it is likely to be corrected first within the term. The resistance position of the MA30 moving average is near the 83,300 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 83,300 area, stop loss at the 83,800 area, and target the 82,000 area;
Bitcoin Short short ermThis is just a trade idea! And an idea is an idea and exists as an idea,as nobody can predict the markets. No body!
Some media say:Trump Pushes Advisers To Intensify Tariffs Ahead Of April 2.If it will be true ,
Then I prepare for this scenario(SEE THE CHART) above!.
Someoone commented below my last idea,he wants price action and I should draw lines and paint the charts for him . I wonder,that he doesent know that there is always price action! We just need to look at the charts. Above is also a chart. Lol.
But drawing lines, projection ghost lines is Not trading! It is drawing and painting.
Whatever: Fundamentals align with long term trend sentiment: Bearish. Sure surprises will always be present.Thats speculation! Therefor:Put always stops. And dont follow blindly any trade idea. Also my trade idea is just an idea. But you should take responssibility to take your own decision. Because you trade with your own money.
EMAS: 15 min. 200MA, 3min. 200MA
Stop above val of yesterday
Resisatnce:POC of yesterday red line. Breakthrough above the red line is bullish setup, and leading to val of yesterday
If rejected, falls back.If holds above the price will climb.I dont think that it happens, because the trend continutation pattern I use(There are billions of trend continuation patterns!!!!!!!! Also billions of ways to define a trend!!!!!)
is currently bearish!....
Ofcourse on any other TF you will have billions of reasons to do the opposite of trade idea,you you are welcomed.
Have a good trading day.
$BTC 1H Chart Analysis, what is next?📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1H Chart Analysis
Things are not as simple as some analysts claim — the situation remains delicate.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
Double Resistance in Play:
- Descending Bearish Channel on the weekly timeframe.
- Previous Resistance from the March 20th pump.
🏗️ Current Market Structure:
Horizontal Consolidation Pattern:
- Top Resistance: $87.5K — potential rejection point.
- Bottom Support: $34.3K — previously a resistance, now acting as support.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
- Rejection at $87.5K could lead to support at: $34.3K (Green horizontal support).
- $33.5K (Red ascending pattern bottom).
Bullish Invalidation: Break and hold above $91K would invalidate the bearish downtrend.
If successful, we likely avoid retesting $80K.
📅 Conclusion:
Until CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks $91K, we remain in a bearish downtrend, despite the short-term daily uptrend.
The weekly timeframe suggests we could still reverse and go lower if $90K holds as resistance.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #BTC #Trading #CryptoNews
DYOR
Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy.
All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure
Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure.
Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets.
Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets.
This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all.
The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020
Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED.
Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively.
Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more.
Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer
As the volatility rises.
Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price MovementsI. Technical Analysis
(1) Support and Resistance Levels
BTC has formed a strong support level at $80,000. Judging from past market performances, this price level has successfully withstood selling pressure multiple times, demonstrating the market's recognition of its value at this price. When the price dropped to $82,000, a certain degree of rebound occurred, indicating the presence of buying support below. This also indirectly confirms the effectiveness of the $80,000 support level. As a resistance level, $87,000 restricts the upward movement of BTC. The failure of this attempt to break through $89,000 indicates that selling pressure is relatively strong above this price level.
(2) Moving Average System
Although the short - term moving averages of BTC have turned downward to some extent due to price declines, the long - term moving averages still maintain an upward trend. This indicates that, in the long run, the upward trend of BTC has not been completely disrupted. Short - term price fluctuations may just be normal market adjustments. When the short - term moving averages gradually recover and cross above the long - term moving averages again, a golden cross is expected to form, providing technical support for the upward movement of BTC.
(3) Technical Indicators
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that BTC is currently in the oversold zone, which means there may be excessive selling in the market. Once market sentiment recovers, the price of BTC is expected to rebound. In addition, although the MACD indicator shows a bearish signal, the bearish momentum is gradually weakening, suggesting that the market may be on the verge of a reversal.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@80500 - 81000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin at a Crossroads – Two Paths, One TruthThe market is at a breaking point. Retail traders are still guessing. The real players already know. This isn’t just about price action—it’s about power.
Scenario 1 – The Bullish Illusion? 🚀
BTC is breaking out of a falling wedge on the weekly timeframe—a textbook bullish signal. If momentum holds above $90K, we could see an explosive push to new all-time highs. Liquidity is there. Whales are positioning.
✅ LONG ENTRY: $81,000 – $85,000
🎯 Targets:
Short Term: $117,983
Mid Term: $134,291
Long Term: $148,822 🌍💥
🔻 STOP LOSS: $78,000 – Because risk management isn’t optional.
But here’s the problem… the game is never that simple.
Scenario 2 – The Elite Trap 🩸
If BTC fails to reclaim $90K, this is a setup. Fake breakouts exist for one reason—to trap retail and liquidate late longs. If smart money decides to pull the plug, BTC gets dumped straight into the liquidity void below.
📌 What to Watch:
Failure to hold $90K = Bull Trap.
Liquidity below $78K = Liquidation Cascade Incoming.
And guess what? Scenario 2 is already in motion.
Retail FOMO’d in.
We shorted the top.
🚨 Bitcoin Short Printing Money – Precision Over Emotion 🚨
📉 SHORT ENTRY: $85,000 – $85,250
🎯 Targets Hit So Far:
✅ $83,800 – Cleared
✅ $83,000 – Cleared
✅ $82,700 – Cleared
✅ $82,000 – Cleared
💰 Massive profits already banked—but the real move is still unfolding.
🔻 Remaining Targets:
🎯 $81,150 → Next Stop
🎯 $79,100 → Breaking Structure
🎯 $77,000 → Liquidity Grab
🎯 $73,900 → Elites Accumulating
🎯 $69,100 - $68,100 → The Real Target Zone
🚨 The Final Move – The True Target? 🚨
A rising wedge successfully broke out on the 1D chart on February 6, 2025. It’s playing out perfectly, and the last target sits at $50,500.
The Only Question Left: When?
Retail keeps chasing the dream. The elites are already cashing in.
🚨 This isn’t speculation—it’s precision. This isn’t emotion—it’s control. The system plays the masses, but we play the system. 🚨
Bearish Flag, Bitcoin (4H)Bitcoin has broken a bearish flag in medium time frames. If a rebound comes would be an opportuinty to get short positions.
The problem with Bitcoin is not only the bearish flag currently working on. It has a change of character in daily time frame which I posted a lot about it another of my analysis.
I don't think the values of assest is cheap at the moment. In fact, they're about to get cheaper a lot in coming days.
For now, 76400 is looking like a specific target for the main flag formation.
Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin Dump Perfectly Predicted ! What's Next? 76k ?🚨 DID EVERYONE REMEMBER ? 🚨
🔥February 14th – I told everyone loud and clear SHORT or SELL because BTC was about to DUMP. Look at where we are now another perfect prediction, another massive win. 🚀
Hope all my real ones remembered and stayed safe in this move. We are still valid in our analysis, deep in profits, and absolutely killing this trade.
✅ Book partial profits – Lock in those gains.
✅ Move SL to entry – No risk, stress-free ride.
We move smart, calculated, and ahead of the market. Now, let’s analyse
the next move.
🔍BTC Technical Analysis What’s Next ?
Bitcoin followed the bearish rejection from key resistance and is continuing its downtrend. We saw a weak consolidation before another breakdown, and structure still favors further downside.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔻 Support: $68,500-$70,000 – If this level breaks, BTC could accelerate lower.
🔺 Resistance: $85,000-$86,000 – A reclaim of this zone would invalidate further downside.
🔮 Potential Scenarios
1️⃣ If BTC holds above $75,000-$76,000, we could see a short-term bounce before another drop.
2️⃣ If BTC loses $70,000, expect further downside targeting $68,500 or lower.
3️⃣ Bulls need a strong reclaim above $85,000 to flip structure bullish again.
📉 We remain bearish until BTC shows clear strength. Manage risk, stay disciplined, and ride the trend.
💬Drop a comment and follow if you caught this move & let’s stay ahead of the game!🚀
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future.
On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle:
- 1 year of bearish decline.🟥.
- 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩.
- 1 year of steady growth.🟩.
- 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩.
based simply on that :
- 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC.
- 2026 should be the next bear market.
- Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course.
- Don't let market noise shake your confidence.
Happy Tr4Ding !
"Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 3H Analysis: Key Support & Potential 12% UpsiSupport and Entry Zone (Purple Area at ~$80,253.41)
A significant support zone is marked in purple, indicating a potential area for entry.
This is an area where buying interest is expected.
Stop Loss (~$77,784.92)
A stop loss level is defined below the support zone, which is a risk management strategy.
Target Price (~$90,275.48)
The chart suggests a bullish move if the price bounces from the support.
The expected price increase is around 12.25% from the entry level.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
30 EMA (Red Line, $85,290.12): Short-term trend indicator.
200 EMA (Blue Line, $86,061.21): Long-term trend indicator.
The price is currently below both EMAs, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
Market Outlook
The price has recently rejected resistance (purple zone above).
If it holds support at ~$80,253.41, a reversal to the upside is expected.
If the support breaks, further downside could follow.
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BTC has declined by approximately 7-8% in recent days after reaching $88,000. This recent pullback is attributed to a rejection at the long-term $89,000 resistance. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen to $82,000, breaching several minor support levels. The next critical support zones to monitor are $81,200 and $80,600.
Support Levels:
$82.4k
$81.2k
$80.6k
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
Bitcoin Next two SwingMy next two swing for btc, is simple, I am using the basic strategy of a fibonacci retracement, combined with VAH, VAL, POC.
I want to clarify that I am short from 98k, this is just road plays for me
Remember that trading is a game of probabilities, stick to the highest probabilities.
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast | Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish MoveIntroduction
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Day Chart Analysis highlights a critical market development: the breakdown of a Rising Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend. After reaching a new all-time high (ATH) resistance, BTC has shown weakness, confirming a possible reversal. This analysis covers key levels, trend structure, trading setups, and market psychology for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical formation that develops when prices rise within a narrowing range. It typically features:
✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Suggesting bullish momentum, but the price action becomes weaker over time.
✅ Converging Trendlines: Showing a loss of buyer strength as each rally fails to make significant new highs.
✅ Volume Decline: As the wedge matures, volume decreases, confirming reduced buying interest.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: A sharp drop below the lower trendline validates the bearish move.
In this case, BTC followed all the classic wedge characteristics, and its breakdown has initiated a potential major correction.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Dynamics
🔵 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) (~$110K-$115K)
BTC reached its ATH resistance zone but failed to hold above it.
The red arrow indicates the rejection at the top, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Bulls attempted multiple breakouts but failed, leading to a reversal.
🟢 Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) – Weak Retest Before Breakdown
The price initially bounced off this support but struggled to hold gains.
The blue support level highlights a key zone where BTC found temporary stability.
A weak rally followed, but the price got rejected again, confirming the bearish trend.
🔻 Major Bearish Target (~$48,920)
Using the measured move theory, the projected drop extends to $48,920, a strong historical support.
The black arrow points to the expected downward trajectory.
3️⃣ Trading Setup & Risk Management
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy)
For traders looking to short BTC based on this pattern, here’s an optimal trade setup:
🔸 Entry Point: Around $85K-$90K (post-retest of breakdown)
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $100K (invalidation of the bearish setup)
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $75K (minor support)
TP2: $60K (psychological level)
TP3: $48,920 (final bearish target)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Recovery?
If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish thesis is invalidated, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
A break above ATH ($115K) would confirm new bullish strength.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Psychological Factors
📉 Bearish Sentiment Strengthens:
Rising Wedges often cause a bull trap, where buyers expect new highs but get caught in a reversal.
Current price action suggests sellers are gaining control.
⚠️ Key Risks for Traders:
False breakdowns can occur if BTC sees unexpected bullish news.
Keeping an eye on fundamental developments (ETF approvals, macroeconomic conditions, etc.) is essential.
Conclusion – BTC Heading for a Deeper Correction?
Bitcoin’s Rising Wedge breakdown strongly suggests a continued bearish trend.
Short opportunities are ideal below $90K, with downside targets near GETTEX:48K -$50K.
If BTC regains $100K+, bearish outlook is invalid.
📊 Trading Recommendation: Monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly!
Would you like me to tweak any part of this analysis? 😊