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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024. The Role of Derivatives Markets Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors. Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings. The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market. If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case. Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally. Potential Risks and Challenges While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include: • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur. • Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Conclusion The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Is Bitcoin going under next week? Quite possibly, here is why.. Well they threw the bitcoin-bone to us retail traders about 2 weeks ago on a Sunday when everything in Crypto was coming alive and turning green on our screens. I get no pleasure in saying, as I'm invested in Solana, Doge, Bitcoin and others, that things at least for Bitcoin may not be so wonderful going forwards for a little while next week. Perhaps Crypto in general holds up until Bitcoin gets its' sh*t together. What bothers me is the Daily chart below for BTCUSD. 3 different settings for MACD on higher timeframes are bearish with crossing DOWN signals on the daily chart which is where the momentum-action will catch up and be next week, bearish, I think. Bitcoin, I said a couple of days ago was struggling on the Daily chart. Intraday does not look good on Monday, my guess is that it starts to sell off this weekend. Put some stop losses on your stuff if you don't have them, trailing stops. See the daily chart for the loss in momentum to the upside on so many fronts for Bitcoin.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
BTC broke out of rising wedge pattern! BTC broke out of rising wedge pattern ; In this technical analysis, Fibonacci retracements of price and time were used to compare the strength of buyers and sellers. As we can see, after an impulsive wave where BTC's price increased to 73,600 over 182 days, it corrected by only 50% over the next 182 days. This means that the market has given sellers as much time as it did buyers, but their strength was half of that of the buyers over the same period. With this description, we can expect the end of the corrective wave and the start of a new impulsive wave, but before that, the previous high of 73,600 must be broken to confidently enter a long trade. Also, the 70,000 level is an important area for BTC; if BTC can hold this area, the likelihood of its rise will increase significantly. This analysis will be updated in the coming days.
by Market-Analyzer
BTC/USDT.P UpdateI know you guys are excited about the bull action that finally came after a long wait, but this is where things can get volatile due to manipulation. Remember, if the price action is this obvious all the time, everyone would have been billionaires lol. Always keep an eye behind you and play on both sides of the market is the best way to go. With that said, we actually did not have a daily candle close "above" the previous major swing high, that is also what I considered as the CHOCH for the bullish trend change. I would be very interested to see if we can give it another attempt today and finally close above that major swing level at 70078. If we close above it on the daily candle, I'll be more bullish, until then, I expect pull backs to grab more liquidity. If it does dump, I'll be ready to accumulate more into my long positions. Trade safely guys! @Nate Alert PS** congrats to all the wins from last night's stream, glad to see so many of you making money!
by Nate36989
Bitcoin remains in bullish territory - my next tradesLet’s break down the current cycle indicators and what they mean for BTC: 1. 1-Day Cycle Indicator (Blue Line) - This tracks Bitcoin’s short-term trend (1 week) and ranges from 20 (oversold) to 80 (overbought). It’s currently at 29, hinting at a potential bullish reversal for the week ahead. This could indicate an upswing in the short term if momentum follows through. 2. 3-Day Cycle Indicator (Violet Line) - Great at forecasting the trend for the next 12–18 days, especially in a sideways market (like the last 6 months). With the indicator nearing 80, there’s room for some upside in this cycle, suggesting that BTC could see positive movement next week. 3. 1-Week Cycle Indicator (Red Line) - Provides a broader view, indicating longer-term trend reversals (1–2 months). It’s currently at 93, placing it in overbought territory, which signals a potential for a larger trend reversal as we look further out. This could suggest a corrective phase may be on the horizon. Summary: While short- and medium-term indicators suggest near-term gains, the high 1-week cycle reading hints that a longer-term pullback could follow soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
BTC/USDT.P UpdateNew week, new start. Here we are closing the week without any new bullish momentum which makes me suspect we are gonna need to seek out more liquidity before breaking above this trend line level. I've in this daily tf chart marked potential levels of where it could retrace to. It would be a swing trade or you can see this as potentially building your position before the bull rally starts to finally break that ATH into price discovery. I still think you need to trade with risk management regardless, because there are a lot of potential event volatilities coming up in the near future. I'll be scalping more in streams and swing in these market updates. Trade safely!
Short
by Nate36989
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
9
Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis📈 Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis) MAC Strategy: Your Dip-Buying Blueprint Monthly and weekly Moving Average Channel indicators are bullish. Here's your shopping list: - Weekly MAC support: $59,234 - Monthly MAC support: $55,943 These aren't dips - they're gifts. When Bitcoin touches these levels, smart money moves fast. Ducks in a Barrel Strategy Says "Load Up" Weekly timeframe say we want to buy the dip. : - 39 & 52 week MAs trending up and pulling away from each other (bullish momentum) - Strong uptrend intact in spite of the several months of consolidation.. Perfect storm setup for Ducks in a Barrel: 1. Bitcoin undervalued vs gold/treasuries 2. Stochastic hits oversold at the same time If you see a Bitcoin dip, REMEMBER: Dips are Gifts. Stop Missing These Setups I'll be honest - finding and catching these dips isn't rocket science, but timing is everything. Ready to level up? - Learn how to implement rules based & non-discretionary trading to become profitable - Learn to interpret the Commitment of Traders data to gain a major edge in the markets - Join live market analysis sessions - Learn my exact entry triggers - Master risk management DM me for more information. Serious traders only. Trading Disclaimer TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided in this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change without notice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading decisions and consequences are your responsibility.
Long
by Tradius_Trades
BTC at 70k don't worries me, the real challenge is at this levelBitcoin continues fluctuating below 70k. As we mentioned in last week’s analysis, it doesn’t surprise me that Bitcoin crosses 70k; the real challenge is for BTC to surpass $71,890. If you look at the overall structure, the price made a very significant historic move in MAY and JUNE, which I’ll label as PIVOT 1 and PIVOT 2 (see chart). To me, that area presents a real challenge to surpass because I detect a lot of institutional liquidity there, so we need to stay alert once the price crosses 70k and reaches this level. For now, the price has managed to create two candles with strong buying pressure, so I think Bitcoin will have a few good days, but it will continue to fluctuate below 70k until we see solid buying volume. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RocketMike111
BITCOIN TARGETS 70000$ - BTC BULLISH MOMENTUM IS RISINGBitcoin recently broke and closed above the massive diagonal trendline that had been driving the weekly bearish trend since March 2024. This weekly breakout and close above the trendline gives me strong confidence that a bullish weekly momentum has begun. After the breakout, Bitcoin retraced into the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection. During this retracement, it also ran the daily swing liquidity and attempted to close below for six consecutive days. However, buyers defended the daily swing level strongly. This indicates that Bitcoin is likely aiming higher, with the first target set at $70,000. Other targets can be seen on the chart as well, and I’ll be watching these levels, ultimately aiming for an all-time high. I’m feeling quite bullish about the crypto market at the moment.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Decoding the 70,000 Call Strike: What CME Options Are Tell UsAlright, let’s break this down. We’ve seen a significant influx of call options at the 70,000 strike on the CME, which is generally a pretty positive signal. Especially when you consider the recent breakout from a descending broad channel, with prices holding just above that upper boundary. Looks like we’re heading up—clear signal, right? But here’s the kicker: the CME gives us the tools to dig deeper. We can analyze whether that influx at the 70,000 strike is coming in as naked options (which is a good sign) or if it’s part of a more complex strategy. So, what did we find? The 70 000 call options were bought simultaneously with Futures in a 2-to-1 ratio. In other words, we’re looking at a synthetic options portfolio that resembles a "Straddle" . This means they’re betting on volatility, expecting the price to move significantly in either direction—not just sitting still. Plus, there are specific timeframes and expected movement ranges involved. So, what’s the takeaway from this example? I often come across analyses that say, “Calls at this strike are rising, so traders must be feeling bullish.” Not necessarily! Those bought calls could be neatly packaged in a Straddle or even transformed in a Naked Put using Bitcoin futures (what we call a “Synthetic” setup), which would imply completely opposite expectations for price movement. Don’t just take others’ word for it—dive into the basics at least, but ideally, get a solid grasp of the area you’re analyzing before integrating it into your trading system and building your trading plan around it. Stay critical and don’t fall for clickbait headlines! Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
BTC/USD H4 Update BTC is finding support on the .382 level of the most recent impulse on the H4 timeframe. The price action is also finding support on the H4 100 simple moving average. RSI is 44 at time of publishing. Price is also near a local rising support. I think anything at or above the .382 retracement level is a good buy for the weeks to come. We might have a few days of sideways as the bull flag forms. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Will the US Elections Cause Bitcoin's Price to Fluctuate? Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has experienced a recent price dip amidst rising geopolitical tensions and investor uncertainty. The cryptocurrency market is bracing for potential volatility as the United States gears up for its upcoming presidential elections. Recent Price Dip and Market Sentiment The recent decline in Bitcoin's price can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, have created uncertainty in global markets. Secondly, concerns about a potential global economic slowdown have also contributed to the bearish sentiment. However, despite the recent price dip, many analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects. They believe that the cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, has the potential to revolutionize various industries. Moreover, Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature make it an attractive investment for those seeking to hedge against inflation and economic instability. US Elections and Market Impact The upcoming US presidential elections are expected to significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. A change in administration could lead to shifts in regulatory policies, which could, in turn, affect the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Historically, the cryptocurrency market has exhibited heightened volatility during election years. Investors are advised to closely monitor political developments and their potential impact on the market. Diversification Strategy for Navigating Market Uncertainty To mitigate the risks associated with market volatility, analysts suggest diversifying investments across various asset classes. This includes Bitcoin, gold, commodities, and tech stocks. • Bitcoin: As a decentralized and digital asset, Bitcoin offers potential for long-term growth and diversification benefits. • Gold: Traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, gold can provide stability during times of economic uncertainty. • Commodities: Investing in commodities like oil, natural gas, and agricultural products can help hedge against inflation and economic fluctuations. • Tech Stocks: The technology sector has been a major driver of market growth in recent years. Investing in tech stocks can provide exposure to innovative companies and potential high returns. By diversifying their portfolios, investors can reduce their exposure to specific risks and increase their chances of achieving long-term financial goals. Technical Analysis: Short-Term Outlook From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's recent price action suggests a potential period of consolidation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading below key resistance levels, and a break above these levels could signal a bullish trend. However, if Bitcoin fails to break above these resistance levels, it may experience further downside. Conclusion While the recent price dip and upcoming US elections have created uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin's long-term potential remains strong. By adopting a diversified investment strategy and staying informed about market developments, investors can navigate the volatile market and capitalize on potential opportunities. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln