Waiting for a BTC Break From the Current DowntrendPatience pays in trading. Sure one can come in really anytime and start trading on the low time frames, but how do you know you are trading in the right direction? This is where zooming out to longer time frames can give you a better outlook on what the market is actually doing.
If you only focus on short term time frames for scalps, you can easily miss the bigger picture and you may actually be fighting against a bigger trend. This is why I always check daily and the 1-4 hour time frames before I go jumping into the 1-5 minute time frames... Yes, I am back trading the 1 minute candle for scalp trades, haha.
Because of this, I am seeing that the current downtrend in Bitcoin could be coming to an end, but I want to be sure before I go and start putting in buy orders. We are seeing a BUY signal from the Logical Trading Indicator PRO, but I want to wait until the price actually breaks above the long period moving average. What may be even better is to wait until the basis line (20 WMA) breaks the long period moving average. That is a clear change in trend.
Waiting for the bigger trend to turn bullish is a better move, in my opinion, than just jumping in and stabbing away at long trades. For now, since the downtrend is still in play, I am currently looking for shorting opportunities until that bigger trend changes to the other direction. We may very possibly see the 50K-52K level again as there are order blocks stacked up in that area where there are buy orders ready to soak up some cheap Bitcoin.
What do you think? Are you bullish or bearish on Bitcoin? Would love to know your thoughts in the comments!
Btcusdanalysis
#BTC/USD ROADMAP to $93000! Stay Strong, Know the Plan!Hello everyone, first off, stay strong—things are going to improve soon!
Many people are confused right now and might get liquidated, eventually leaving the market and regretting it later. But not you! You have access to this information.
Take your time to read and understand the current situation fully.
Special Thanks to my close friend Adison for the valuable insights he shares with the community and me!
Please HIT that follow to stay ahead and like this article if it helps!
Key Bottom Ranges to Watch For
There are two high-confluence zones to look out for that could signal a strong bounce and an upward move:
• 50,521 - 50,901
• 46,216 - 46,930
These ranges represent higher timeframe (HTF) bottoms for the overall HTF trend. There’s a good chance that we could see a reversal within one of these zones, leading to a potential upward move.
However, if these levels don’t hold, we might see a deeper extension into the 37.7k - 43.5k range, which is an attractive liquidity zone. But this lower range only becomes relevant if the higher ranges fail to hold. That said, both of the above ranges are strong support levels and could propel the price back to all-time highs (ATH) of 70k - 72k or even higher, potentially reaching 89k - 93k.
Currently, we’ve already hit 53,400, a key level that’s holding off a potential sharp drop. If we lose this level, we could see a rapid decline to 3k. (Current price: 53,627)
Be prepared! We’ve already touched the 52,550 level, which is acting as major support. If it breaks, the ranges mentioned above become the most likely areas for a bounce, although the 52k range could still hold. However, I’m not counting on it, as we’ve previously sliced right through that level.
Additional Market Update:
• BTC is up 68% in volume.
• ETH is also up 68% in volume.
Both BTC and ETH have seen significant buying activity during this dip, especially since yesterday, with most of it happening today.
On the lower timeframe (LTF), the market is risky as we’re sitting at the final support zone of 52,550. Being the weekend, when mostly private retail traders are active, there’s a risk that they could get dragged down into losses, with many long positions liquidated before we move higher. LTFs are always tricky, and while volume is still low, pumps are easy.
I believe that the 52,550 support won’t hold through the weekend.
We’re likely to see the above-mentioned levels by the end of the weekend or early next week. Once those levels are reached, the market should stabilize, bringing a healthier, less choppy environment.
So it's just about a couple of weeks. Stay strong don't do anything stupid, I'll come up with more information very soon for trade setups on Altcoins.
Stay tuned and make sure you follow me.
HIt the like if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
#BTC/USDT Weekly Update! $58k first!#BTC Weekly:
Closed red at $54,881. Holding the GETTEX:54K support is a positive sign in the short term. However, the price action seems incomplete, with substantial liquidity sitting around the GETTEX:48K and $43K levels (as mentioned in my previous article on BTC).
The key focus right now is maintaining the GETTEX:54K level.
If we lose this level on the daily chart with a confirmation candle, expect lower levels to be swept soon.
That said, as long as we hold the current level, we could see a retest of $58K to capture liquidity.
BTC Daily:-
The daily chart looks promising, as the price has bounced off the support, with a confirmation candle printing today.
Stay tuned, and I’ll keep this chart updated.
Hit that like button and share if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
BITCOIN / USDT PAIR ON BINANCE (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of the Chart by Blaž Fabjan:
Descending Trading Channel:
BTC is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals a downtrend. However, it is nearing the bottom of the channel, often a zone for potential reversal.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Support: The two orange zones indicate strong support areas around $51,000 and $50,000. BTC may find buying pressure in these regions, especially as it touches the lower bound of the descending channel.
Resistance: The current resistance area is around $55,000. BTC will need to break through this level to confirm a trend reversal.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is currently around 55, indicating a neutral trend. However, it is slightly moving upwards, suggesting potential bullish momentum, though not overbought yet.
Stochastic Oscillator: This is showing a crossover at 74, indicating upward momentum, but it’s close to the overbought region. This may signal some resistance to immediate bullish continuation.
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator is showing bullish divergences at several points, signaling potential reversal zones. Divergence with price action suggests a potential trend change in the near term.
Trading Plans:
1. Intraday Trading Plan:
Strategy:
Trade within the current channel. Watch for a breakout from the descending channel, especially on the 1-hour chart.
A breakout above the $55,000 level could confirm a short-term bullish move.
Look for pullbacks towards the $53,500-$54,000 region to enter long positions, targeting $55,500.
Place a stop loss just below $53,000 to protect against fake breakouts.
Indicators to Watch:
RSI trending above 60.
Stochastic Oscillator maintaining bullish momentum.
2. Scalping Strategy:
Strategy:
Focus on small price fluctuations within the support and resistance zones.
Look for quick entries near the support zones (around $53,500) and exits before it hits resistance ($55,000).
Scalping in tight time frames (5 to 15 minutes) around these price levels.
Key Levels:
Enter around $53,500 and exit at $54,500.
Place tight stop-loss orders around $53,000 to manage risk.
3. Swing Trading Strategy:
Strategy:
If BTC continues trading within this descending channel, wait for a breakout confirmation to take a long position.
A breakout above the channel and $55,500 would signal a strong move upwards, potentially to $58,000 or higher.
Enter long positions if BTC breaks and holds above the $55,500 resistance level, targeting $58,000 and beyond.
In case of a further dip, enter long positions around $50,000 support, which appears to be a strong reversal point.
Stop Loss: Below $50,000.
Conclusion and Long Position Advice:
Near-Term (Intraday): BTC could break above the descending channel, leading to a short-term bullish move towards $55,500. Watch closely for a breakout confirmation. You could consider entering long positions on pullbacks or a confirmed breakout.
Medium-Term (Swing Trading): A solid break of the $55,500 resistance could lead to a potential rally towards $58,000. Be cautious of potential false breakouts and place stop-losses below support levels.
Scalping: For those aiming for quicker profits, you can take advantage of price fluctuations within the $53,500-$55,000 range.
Overall, the chart shows signs of a potential bullish reversal, especially if BTC breaks out of the descending channel. For now, conservative traders may wait for a breakout confirmation before entering long positions. However, aggressive traders can consider buying near support levels, keeping in mind the risk of downward movement in case of failure to break resistance.
BTC Crash coming to 49k -> Buy the Dip for All time HighsBTC Trade Idea
I expect BTC to hit the GETTEX:49K level, potentially dipping slightly lower as it fills a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone will act as a key reversal point, where I anticipate a strong bounce and eventual rally back toward the all-time high (ATH).
I’ll also show confluence with the XRP chart, which is presenting a similar bullish structure, reinforcing the idea of a market-wide reversal at these levels. Stay tuned for the full technical breakdown!
BTCUSDT - one n single area, what's next??#BTCUSDT.. first of all congratulations to all who followed us from last couple of ideas regarding BTC.
Market very well followed our analysis and now again market is just below his immediate resistance that is 55700 55800 around
Keep close that area thats need your focus actually and if market hold it then another smooth drop on the way.
Keep close 55700 55800 and don't holds your buying positions below that level.
Good luck
Trade wisely
#BTC/USDT#BITCOIN
Bitcoin is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and the price has reached a strong support area in green at $57,200
There are rising loads from the current support level but it needs upward momentum to be able to reach the targets
Entry price $58,000
First target $60,257
Second target $62,236
Third target $64,000
The pattern is canceled if the support level in green at $57,200 is broken
In that case, the price will be heading to $54,100, which is a strong support level
NEW IDEA FOR BTCThe increased fear of economic recession reduces risk-taking tendencies in the digital currency market
By examining the red trend of the four-hour time frame, Bitcoin has an important resistance range in the range of 55013-55891, and now due to the decrease in the averages of the ALLIGATOR indicator, and the rate being placed under the downward Kumo cloud of the Ichimoku indicator, the possibility of a price decrease is very high. is
In general, this scenario is reinforced that the price of Bitcoin can decrease to the support range of 51575-52039 provided that it maintains and does not record any four-hour close candle time above the resistance range of 55891-55013.
BTC: Can $50K Hold Strong This Time Around?Bitcoin Update:
BTC closed below GETTEX:54K on the daily chart, bringing the price close to the support trendline. As expected, BTC has made a bearish move.
What’s next?
The $50.6K support, or around $50K, must hold to help BTC rebound and rally. The RSI is attempting to form a bullish divergence; if successful, it could be positive for BTC.
For now, all eyes are on the support range between $50K and $52.5K.
Hope this helps. Trade safely.
Best regards,
Team Dexter
#BTCUSDT #Crypto
Remember! Remember! The 5th of November!Thursday... the 5th of November 2020... CRYPTOCAP:BTC pumped nearly 7% in one day.
We were 30ish days into the parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle for #Bitcoin.
It was trading at $14,911.
The holders had no idea that CRYPTOCAP:BTC would continue to climb an additional 335% over another 5 months, reaching a local ATH of $64,895 on April 14th 2021.
Here we are on September 6th, 2024. CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped to $52,546 or (-3.8%) for the day.
Septembers are a sore subject when it comes to financial markets and Bitcoin in particular.
Across the Post-Halving years, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will drop -2% historically.
Considering CRYPTOCAP:BTC has tested local lows across the 5th and 6th of the last 3 months;
July 5-6th low: $53,499
August 5-6th low: $49,050
September 5-6th low: $52,546 (so far)
It is almost like someone is trolling the Holders...
The focus of this chart is to consider the above and the following.
Have we found our local bottom this early in September? ($52,546)
How will Bitcoin react to the upcoming 25 bps Fed Rate cut? ($50,000 vs $60,000)
Will our price position entering the parabolic phase affect the overall gains over the next 6 months? (90% vs 480%)
Where will our new ATH fall next April/May? ($100,000 vs $305,000)
Let me know how bearish or bullish you think the future of Bitcoin is.
BTC Swing Long to 65k & 70kTrade Idea: Bottom for Bitcoin Might Be In
This chart suggests that Bitcoin may have found its bottom, with the potential for a bullish reversal. The following elements highlight this outlook:
1. Liquidity Zones:
- Liquidity/TP1: The chart highlights a take-profit zone (TP1) near the $64,000 level, where liquidity is expected to reside. This is the target area for the long trade.
- Prev. Monthly High: This is noted above the $70,000 level, potentially acting as a higher resistance level and extended target if momentum continues after TP1.
2. Entry Zone:
- The gray shaded area near the $55,000 level represents the entry zone, with liquidity around this price. This suggests that the price may have tapped into an important liquidity pool before starting its upward movement.
- External Liquidity: This region below the current price might have acted as a liquidity sweep, further confirming the bottoming pattern.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
- The chart identifies a FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $56,000 level, which could act as an area of interest. Price has filled this gap, possibly signaling the completion of its downward move.
4. Market Structure:
- The market appears to have tested lower liquidity levels and rejected them, potentially signaling that a local bottom has been established. The price action shows consolidation in the entry area, indicating accumulation before a potential upward move.
This trade idea would be well-suited for traders anticipating a medium-term bounce after Bitcoin’s recent downward movement.
#Bitcoin 1D chart updated;CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1D chart;
Let's do a general #Bitcoin analysis;
Bitcoin hasn't had a daily EMA (50-200) crossover in a little over 11 months. However, if it continues like this, it will experience a Dead Cross cross in a few days. This can also be interpreted as a bearish signal. This intersection does not mean that it will fall 100%, but it is one of the strong signals.
Bitcoin continues its downtrend after its historic peak, making continuous lower highs.
I would like to draw your attention to the MSS levels; they signal a trend reversal. The last upward trend reversal happened and it hasn't changed to the downside yet. For this to happen, a close below the +OB level of $56000 is required. Then the downside MSS will take place. Following this closely will give you an idea of the possible trend direction.
It last tested the $49000 level with a hard pin. This is the OB resistance. We see that this area is working well.
I still think that the $48000 level, which I have mentioned every time (unless there is no contrary data), can be retested.
However, if there is a close below it, the OB at $42000 and the BPR (Balance Price Range) at $41000, just below it, could be tested.
These are not possibilities that I expect, I just want to let you know that these levels exist. In a possible dire scenario, these levels can be targeted to determine entry points.
140 Days into the 2024 Post-Halving for $BTCWe have 47 days until the new CRYPTOCAP:BTC ATH.
Watch for pressure driving the price down as there is a high potential to retest the $50-52k range within the next 9-10 days. Avoid capitulation if possible. Historically, the parabolic phase of this cycle will start within the next 4-5 weeks.
----------
Key Notes:
- Holiday Prediction Levels -
Halloween | 2024 | GETTEX:82K
Thanksgiving | 2024 | $105k
Christmas | 2024 | $142k
New Years Day | 2025 | $185k
- 500 D ATH Prediction Levels -
Bear | $110k
Base | $200k
Bull | $314k
- 280 D ATH Prediction Level -
Realist | $148k
----------
Prediction indicators based on historical data from the 3rd Post-Halving cycle.
Institutional, Micro, Macro and Seasonal economic pressures from either direction could blow this off course. I am hopeful the pending September 2024 Fed Rate cut will move the new ATH up by 10-15 days and result in a higher retest low before going parabolic.
----------
Indicator used is LuxAlgo's historical price prediction indicator, Date is 9/5/20 used on a daily chart with a growth factor of (1). The BLUE trend line is traced over the 2020/2021 parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle.
#BTC/USDT Bounce Incoming! Futures Trade Setup!#Bitcoin : 10/10 So far! Bounce seems highly likely at this level.
RSI Bullish divergence in the hourly chart.
But of course, no one knows for certain in this kind of market!
Invalidation:- Daily close below $54018.18!
If you're looking for a swing Trade, $54890 to 56150 is a good range to accumulate long on spot!
Futures Setup Here:- There's a higher chance of this setup getting invalidated if we lose 55500 again so be careful to try to keep your entry as low as possible to keep your Stop Loss small.
Always use leverage below 5x!
Entry:-
$56150, (50% entry)
$55700, (20% Entry)
$54890 (30% Entry)
Targets:-
$57155
$57855
$58200
$59544
Stop Loss:- $53854
This is a risky trade so always do your research this is not financial advice.
Do hit the like button if you want me to post more!
Thank you
PEACE
Bitcoin LevelsBitcoin looks to test the bottom of our channel once again at around 54k and declining. Below that we have our 50 week moving average at 53.3k. It is possible that the bears make one more attempt to provide a solid kiss to our neckline at 48.4k. These are your levels of support.
As such I have removed all stops from my current positions. This is probably simply another long liquidation event and it is more than annoying. I don’t want to play that game and will sit the sidelines here until the MMs are done.
BTC 1H BTC/USDT Analysis: Hourly Timeframe 📊
This chart highlights potential buying and selling opportunities based on forecasted movement of Bitcoin (BTC) on an hourly timeframe. Let’s analyze the key moments indicated by the green (Buy) and red (Sell) forecast lines.
🟢 September 5, 2024, 06:00 AM - Buy Date (Green Line):
This is a potential local low, indicating that it may be a favorable time to start accumulating long positions in BTC as the price is expected to drop leading up to this point.
🟥 September 6, 2024, 07:00 PM - Sell Date (Red Line):
This date represents a local peak, suggesting an optimal moment to take profits or tighten stop-losses, as a price correction is likely to follow.
🟢 September 7, 2024, 06:00 PM - Buy Date (Green Line):
Another opportunity for long positions as a local bottom is anticipated around this time, potentially providing favorable entry conditions for buying Bitcoin.
🕒 Note: All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). A margin of error of 1-2 candles may exist depending on the timeframe. Always cross-check this analysis with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive view.
Imminent rebound for BTC in the next 24 hours! A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions! ☀️ The price of Bitcoin rose 1 percent to $57,277 over the past 24 hours and still has the potential to go up.
The 12 spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) listed in the US have posted outflows totaling almost $800 million dollar over the past six trading days, data from Sosovalue shows.
Investors now await cues from the upcoming US job figures being released tomorrow. Analysts expect 160,000 jobs to have been created outside the US farming sector in August, up from 114,000 jobs in July.
Yet, over a one-week time horizon, drizzle will linger over Bitcoin, signaling downside potential. 🌧
Follow us for more crypto news and weather reports!