Bitcoin Market: Precarious Balance & Trading TacticsCurrently, in the daily candlestick chart of Bitcoin, the highest price of the candlestick is 85,500, and the lowest is 83,000. It has been fluctuating sideways at a high level for five consecutive days. There are trading opportunities in this box - shaped market condition, but frequent trading is not advisable.
On a larger scale, an ascending flag - shaped wedge pattern has been formed. This pattern is prone to false breakouts of support or resistance levels, which may lead to the loss of profits, so it is necessary to focus on avoiding such situations.
In terms of technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been continuously increasing in volume and moving upward. The Difference (DIF) and the Exponential Moving Average (DEA) are diverging upward from a low position. After the Bollinger Bands moved sideways, the candlestick stands above the middle band. The resistance level of the upper band is at 87,000. There is a profit - making space for short - term long positions, and short selling should be carried out with caution at the current market situation.
In the four - hour candlestick chart, the flag pattern is quite obvious. The fast line has formed support points at 83,000 three times. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) trend indicator is contracting, and the market shows a top divergence trend, which poses a great risk. The MACD is continuously decreasing in volume, and DIF and DEA are contracting above the zero axis. Within the Bollinger Bands, the candlestick has probed the upper band at 85,700 and touched the lower band at 83,000. This kind of whipsaw market is likely to mislead people.
Investors should follow their trading plans, buy at the support level of 83,000, set stop - loss orders properly, and wait for the market to verify the returns.
BTCUSD
buy@83000-83500
tp:84500-86000
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Btcusdanalysis
Bear market coming soon Btc goes to 50,000$2️⃣ Daily Chart (1D) Analysis
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is consolidating below EMA and inside the red supply zone (0.618–0.65 Fib).
200 EMA is acting as dynamic resistance (around $85K).
Bearish structure with a lower high formation.
💡 Interpretation:
Current price zone (~$86.3K) is a potential short trigger area.
If rejected here, price may drop first to GETTEX:82K (0.786), then $74.5K.
If price breaks above GETTEX:92K (0.5 Fib), this bearish setup is invalidated.
✅ Suggested Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Short Entry $86,300 – $87,900
Stop Loss $92,500 (above 0.5 Fib)
Take Profit 1 $82,000 (0.786 Fib)
Take Profit 2 $74,500 (1.0 Fib)
Take Profit 3 $52,800 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk/Reward 1:3 or better
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Exiting the Triangle📊 Technical Analysis
- Bullish Breakout
BTC/USDT confirms the “breakout and retest” by exiting the triangle formation.
- Key Resistance
Critical barrier at $85,000; breakout of this barrier strongly supports bullish continuation.
- Predicted scenario
Price is likely to move higher towards the key resistance at $108,000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Improved market sentiment following tariff tensions, as well as increased institutional interest and regulatory clarification, favor a bullish outlook for BTC.
✨ Summary
Bullish technical breakout paired with favorable fundamentals. Watch for BTC/USDT to test and potentially break the $85,000 resistance soon!
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Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting1. Entry Point:
Marked around $86,853, this is where a potential short (sell) trade might have been initiated.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above $88,783, protecting the trade in case the market goes against the position.
3. Target Point (Take Profit):
Aiming down toward $74,443.76, suggesting a large bearish move is anticipated.
4. EMA Indicators:
30 EMA (Red Line) at ~$84,271: Indicates short-term trend.
200 EMA (Blue Line) at ~$83,496: Indicates long-term trend.
Price is currently trading above the 200 EMA but slightly below the 30 EMA, showing mixed short-term momentum.
What factors could drive Bitcoin(BTC/USD) to reach the $68KGiven the current market conditions, Bitcoin has not managed to establish a new high in its recent upward movement. Various factors, including uncertainty regarding upcoming economic changes, reduced liquidity, the focus of financial institutions on the decline of stock markets, and the market's inability to react to sudden shifts, have contributed to the lack of a clear directional trend.
However, based on the presented analysis and chart review, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will reach the level of $68,000 in the coming weeks, paving the way for the initiation of a strong bullish trend. This upward movement is expected to first drive Bitcoin's price to approximately $130,000, and after a brief correction, the upward momentum may continue, potentially pushing the price to levels as high as $179,000.
BTC LONG TP:91,000 15-04-2025🚀 Time to go Long! Targets are set between 90,000 and 91,000, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes showing a strong bullish trend.
We expect this movement to materialize within 2 to 3 days, so be sure to enter and average down as needed.
Stay tuned for updates to optimize your gains. Follow me to stay informed, and let’s work together to boost those profits! 💰🔥
BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
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BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BTC LONG TP:88,200 13-04-2025🚀 It's time to go Long! The targets are set between 88,000 and 88,300, with the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes showing a clear bullish pattern in favor of this trend.
We expect this movement to materialize within a timeframe of 20 to 25 hours, so make sure to enter and average down.
Stay tuned for updates to maximize your gains. Follow me to stay informed and add those greens! 💰🔥
BTCUSDT | FOMC & NFP Highs and Lows as Critical Pivot LevelsThis current structure on Bitcoin is giving us a beautiful narrative rooted in macro timing: we've regained the NFP day levels, and now we’re trading right inside the highs and lows of the FOMC date—a zone that historically acts as a decision-making pivot for the market.
📍 Why These Levels Matter:
NFP and FOMC sessions are not just about volatility—they often define institutional positioning and sentiment shifts.
We’ve already regained NFP day's range, showing bullish resilience and strength.
Now all eyes are on the FOMC range: if we manage to break and retest the high of the FOMC candle, it can ignite momentum toward the monthly target.
🧠 How I’m Thinking About It:
I’m not jumping the gun. I’ll wait for lower time frame confirmations, ideally some clean breaks with supportive delta and CDV structure.
If we fail to hold these levels and fall back inside, I won’t insist on any long idea. I’ll flip short the moment downside momentum is confirmed.
💬 Final Thought: We don't randomly mark levels. These are deliberately chosen based on price behavior during major economic events—something most traders overlook. That’s what gives us the edge. If you're following me, you're not trading noise. You're learning to understand the story behind price action.
Watch these levels closely. They may be the starting point of something much bigger.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.
Bitcoin is currently kissing a critical resistance zone, hovering around the $85,500 level. This region aligns closely with a descending trendline that has historically capped BTC rallies, and this test comes after a sharp recovery from a local low near $74,000, a drop that was triggered in tandem with broader risk-asset selloffs following U.S. tariff announcements and rising global macroeconomic tension.
Technical Analysis
The descending trendline (marked in blue on the chart) acts as a key resistance.
A daily close above $85,800 - $86,200 could confirm a breakout, potentially paving the way for a fresh attempt toward the $90,000 psychological level.
Conversely, failure to break and hold above this resistance could cause a rejection and pullback.
Immediate downside support lies at the previous local low (~$74,000), and below that, the next strong support zone is around $69,000 (yellow block on chart).
Fundamental Backdrop
Bitcoin continues to be driven by macroeconomic news, institutional flows, and growing ETF inflows.
If fundamentals remain bullish, including continued institutional accumulation, favorable regulatory developments, or increased on-chain activity, they could fuel momentum for a breakout.
The market doesn’t reward assumptions — it rewards preparation.
Whether it’s a breakout or a pullback, risk management should always come first. As always, protect your capital before thinking of profit. Use stop-losses, scale your entries, and avoid over-leveraging in volatile zones like this.
What’s your take on BTC at this juncture?
Do you see a breakout brewing, or is this another trap for over-leveraged bulls?
Let’s discuss
Bitcoin Bulls Pave Path to $100,000FenzoFx—Bitcoin is trading bullishly, staying above the 50-period SMA and the 81,160 support. Currently, it hovers around $85,650, testing resistance.
As long as prices hold above 81,160, the next target could be $88,650. However, if bears push below $82,811, consolidation may occur, with support at 81,160.
Trade BTC/USD swap-free, effortlessly. >>> FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zoneBITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.
Bitcoin is currently kissing a critical resistance zone, hovering around the $85,500 level. This region aligns closely with a descending trendline that has historically capped BTC rallies, and this test comes after a sharp recovery from a local low near $74,000, a drop that was triggered in tandem with broader risk-asset selloffs following U.S. tariff announcements and rising global macroeconomic tension.
Technical Analysis
The descending trendline (marked in blue on the chart) acts as a key resistance.
A daily close above $85,800 - $86,200 could confirm a breakout, potentially paving the way for a fresh attempt toward the $90,000 psychological level.
Conversely, failure to break and hold above this resistance could cause a rejection and pullback.
Immediate downside support lies at the previous local low (~$74,000), and below that, the next strong support zone is around $69,000 (yellow block on chart).
Fundamental Backdrop
Bitcoin continues to be driven by macroeconomic news, institutional flows, and growing ETF inflows.
If fundamentals remain bullish, including continued institutional accumulation, favorable regulatory developments, or increased on-chain activity, they could fuel momentum for a breakout.
The market doesn’t reward assumptions — it rewards preparation.
Whether it’s a breakout or a pullback, risk management should always come first. As always, protect your capital before thinking of profit. Use stop-losses, scale your entries, and avoid over-leveraging in volatile zones like this.
What’s your take on BTC at this juncture?
Do you see a breakout brewing, or is this another trap for over-leveraged bulls?
Let’s discuss
BTCUSD – Bullish Breakout Loading ?
📈 *Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis – April 14, 2025*
Bitcoin is looking 🔥 as it pushes higher from a key **accumulation zone** after a sharp recovery from recent lows. The previous **rising channel** was broken to the downside, but now the price is forming a solid **bullish structure**, suggesting a strong comeback is in play!
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### 🔍 Technical Highlights:
- ✅ **Demand Zone Bounce:** Clean rebound from the highlighted green box (accumulation area), signaling buyer strength.
- 📈 **Higher Highs Incoming?** Price is now consolidating near **$85,000**, with bullish momentum building.
- 📊 **Upside Target:** Eyes on $87,000 → $88,500 if momentum sustains and daily closes continue above resistance.
- 📌 **Key Support:** $84,000 holds the line — invalidation below that would shift bias.
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### 🧠 Trader's Insight:
The structure is setting up for a **potential bullish continuation**. Momentum traders should watch for a confirmed break and close above $85,400 for further upside! 🚀
💬 *"Patience in accumulation pays in breakout."*
Ready to catch the next leg up? 📲 Let’s trade smart and ride the wave.