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Btcusdanalysis

BTC LONG TP:106,600 24-06-2025We’re looking for a quick long from 104,500 to 105,100, aiming for targets between 106,400 and 107,100. This move offers an average 4 RR on the 1-hour timeframe, and we expect it to play out within 12 to 16 hours. Technical context: BTC still needs to reach the 107k area before showing signs of a reversal. This is a potential pre-drop pump setup. Manage your stop-loss according to your strategy and stay updated for the next move. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade. If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the trade becomes invalid.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news: 1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement 2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later 📈 Market analysis: I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 106000-105500 TP 105000-104500 BUY 140500-103500 TP 105000-106000 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Bitcoin Targets $105K as Portfolio Share Soars But... The year 2025 is proving to be a watershed moment for Bitcoin. The world's premier cryptocurrency has solidified its position as the bedrock of digital asset portfolios, now accounting for nearly one-third of all holdings, a testament to its growing acceptance as a legitimate macro-asset. Yet, this rising dominance belies a fractured and complex market landscape. While institutional giants and sovereign wealth funds systematically increase their Bitcoin allocations, a counter-current is flowing through the retail sector, where investors are rotating into high-potential altcoins, spurred on by the promise of new investment vehicles. This bifurcation is unfolding against a backdrop of dramatic price swings, conflicting technical forecasts, and a potent mix of macroeconomic and geopolitical catalysts, painting a picture of a market at a pivotal crossroads. The headline statistic is striking: as of mid-2025, Bitcoin's share in investor crypto portfolios has climbed to nearly 31%, a significant increase from the previous year. This growth has persisted through months of volatility, including harrowing dips below the psychological $100,000 mark and powerful rallies reclaiming levels above $105,000. The market is being pulled in opposing directions. On one hand, bullish tailwinds are gathering force. A ceasefire in the Middle East has calmed geopolitical jitters, restoring appetite for risk assets. Simultaneously, hints from the U.S. Federal Reserve of a potential July interest rate cut have investors anticipating a surge of liquidity into the market. However, a sense of unease permeates the technical charts. Some analysts warn of a "final crash" still to come, drawing parallels to the market structure of 2021. On-chain analysis has identified the $97,000 to $98,000 range as a critical market pivot, a line in the sand that could determine the next major trend. Meanwhile, other models, like the Elliott Wave count, predict a corrective crash to as low as $94,000 before any new highs can be sustainably achieved. This is the story of Bitcoin in 2025: a maturing asset cementing its institutional role while navigating the turbulent waters of retail speculation, macroeconomic shifts, and its own volatile price cycles. The journey toward becoming a third of all crypto holdings has not been a straight line, but a dramatic tug-of-war that will define the future of the digital asset class. Part 1: The 31% Benchmark - Bitcoin's Ascendant Portfolio Dominance The steady climb of Bitcoin to nearly 31% of investor portfolios is the defining trend of 2025. This figure, a cornerstone of market analysis this year, underscores a profound shift in investor conviction. Through a period marked by six-figure price tags and gut-wrenching volatility, the average investor has not been scared away but has instead deepened their commitment to the original cryptocurrency. This suggests a maturing "buy the dip" mentality, where price corrections are increasingly viewed not as a crisis, but as an opportunity to accumulate a long-term store of value. The primary engine behind this trend is unmistakable: institutional adoption. The floodgates, first opened by the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, have become a torrent of institutional capital in 2025. Sovereign wealth funds, major financial institutions, and public companies are now systematically accumulating Bitcoin, treating it as a core component of their treasury and investment strategies. Observations of institutional trading desks indicate this buying pressure from large-scale investors intensified in the first half of the year, even as retail activity showed signs of slowing. This institutional stamp of approval is reflected in the growing number of Bitcoins held in various corporate treasuries and exchange-traded funds. This institutional embrace of Bitcoin has been fueled by several factors. First, an increasingly innovation-friendly regulatory environment in the United States has provided the clarity that large, compliance-focused firms require. Second, Bitcoin’s performance has been undeniable. Following recent shifts in the political landscape, Bitcoin has outperformed many major global assets, including stocks, treasuries, and precious metals, solidifying its reputation as a powerful portfolio diversifier. This "flight to quality" within the crypto space has also created a distinct rotation story. As institutions fortify their Bitcoin positions, they appear to be de-risking by moving away from more speculative assets that were darlings of the previous cycle. The most notable casualty of this shift has been Solana. Once a high-flyer, Solana's narrative has "cooled" in 2025. Its portfolio weight among investors has seen a sharp decline since late 2024, as institutional capital pivots toward assets with perceived staying power and clearer narratives. While some analysts see this cooling phase as a potential accumulation opportunity before a new leg up, the dominant trend has been a rotation out of Solana and into the perceived safety of Bitcoin. Part 2: The Great Divide - A Tale of Two Investors The crypto market of 2025 is characterized by a stark divergence in strategy between its two main cohorts: institutional players and retail investors. While their actions collectively push Bitcoin's portfolio share higher, their underlying motivations and asset choices paint a picture of two different worlds. The Institutional Playbook: Slow, Steady, and Strategic For institutions, Bitcoin has become the undisputed king. Their approach is methodical and long-term, driven by a desire for a non-sovereign, inflation-resistant asset that acts as a hedge against macroeconomic instability. The attributes of scarcity, immutability, and portability are paramount in their decision-making. The advent of regulated products like spot ETFs has been a game-changer, providing a familiar and secure access ramp for deploying significant capital. These large players are not chasing the explosive 100x gains that define crypto lore. Instead, they seek sustained, risk-adjusted returns from an asset that is increasingly uncorrelated with traditional markets during times of stress. Their strategy is one of accumulation, and their exit from more volatile altcoins like Solana is a clear signal of a de-risking mandate. They are building foundational positions in the asset they view as "digital gold," positioning themselves for a future where Bitcoin is a standard component of diversified global portfolios. The Retail Rebellion: Chasing the Next Big Narrative In stark contrast, retail investors appear to be reducing their direct Bitcoin holdings. This is not necessarily a rejection of Bitcoin's value, but rather a strategic reallocation of capital toward what they perceive as the next frontier of high growth. Having witnessed Bitcoin's journey to a multi-trillion-dollar asset, many retail participants are now hunting for "the next Bitcoin"—assets with a lower market capitalization but a powerful, near-term catalyst that could trigger exponential gains. Part 3: The Analyst's Crystal Ball - Price Targets and Technical Tremors Navigating the Bitcoin market in 2025 requires a steady hand and a tolerance for conflicting signals. While macro-environmental factors are painting a bullish picture, technical and on-chain analyses are flashing cautionary signs, creating a tense equilibrium between hope and fear. The Bullish Case: A Confluence of Catalysts The bulls have strong reasons for optimism. A key level on every trader's chart is $105,000. This price is seen as a critical "trend switch"; a decisive break and hold above this zone would signal the end of the recent consolidation and the beginning of a new, powerful phase of the bull market. This optimism is underpinned by powerful external forces. First, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been signaling a potential interest rate cut as early as July. Historically, lower interest rates reduce the appeal of traditional yielding assets like bonds, pushing investors toward riskier, high-growth assets. This injection of liquidity into the financial system has often preceded significant rallies in Bitcoin, and the market is pricing in this possibility. Second, a significant de-escalation of geopolitical tensions has bolstered market confidence. The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran caused an immediate and positive reaction in risk assets. Bitcoin surged past $105,000 on the news, demonstrating its sensitivity to global stability. During times of acute conflict, markets often experience a flight to safety, but when tensions ease, that capital flows back into assets like Bitcoin, which thrive on renewed risk appetite. The Bearish Counterpoint: Echoes of the Past and On-Chain Warnings Despite the bullish macro-outlook, clouds remain on the horizon. Some market commentators are warning that the current market is mirroring the patterns of 2021, suggesting that one "final crash" may be necessary to flush out leverage and establish a firm bottom before a sustainable move to new all-time highs. This thesis is supported by specific technical models. Proponents of Elliott Wave Theory, a method of analysis that posits markets move in predictable, repetitive wave patterns, suggest a significant correction is due. Some Elliott Wave counts predict a corrective move down to the $94,000 level, which would represent a substantial pullback from current prices. Such a move would be seen as a healthy, albeit painful, corrective wave before a final, explosive impulse higher. Adding weight to this cautious outlook is deep on-chain analysis. A close look at blockchain data pinpoints the $97,000 to $98,000 zone as the market's next true "pivot." This range represents a massive concentration of supply where a large volume of Bitcoin was previously acquired. This means a large cohort of investors has a cost basis in this zone. As the price approaches this level from below, it will likely meet significant selling pressure from investors looking to break even. A failure to decisively break through this wall of supply could trigger a sharp rejection and validate the bearish corrective scenarios. The Derivatives Dilemma: A Market in Flux Further complicating the picture is the state of the Bitcoin derivatives market. Reports indicate that futures buying activity has declined sharply, suggesting that the speculative fervor that often fuels rallies may be waning. This can be interpreted in two ways. The bearish view is that speculators are losing confidence, and the market lacks the momentum for a continued push higher. However, a more bullish interpretation is that the market is purging excessive leverage, creating a more stable foundation for a rally built on spot buying—the very kind of buying being done by institutions. This faltering derivatives activity, contrasted with strong institutional spot accumulation, could mean the current rally is in "stronger hands" than previous, more speculative-driven cycles. Part 4: The Broader Ecosystem - A Story of Diverging Fates The cross-currents shaping Bitcoin's trajectory are creating ripple effects across the entire crypto ecosystem, with the diverging fortunes of XRP and Solana serving as perfect case studies for the market's 2025 themes. Beyond the Majors: The Speculative Fringe As always, the crypto market maintains a speculative fringe. The emergence of assets like "BTC Bull Tokens" represents the high-leverage, high-risk plays that appear during bull markets. These instruments are designed to offer amplified returns on Bitcoin's price movements and attract the most risk-tolerant traders. Their existence underscores the full spectrum of the market—from sovereign wealth funds methodically buying Bitcoin for their treasuries to degens betting on leveraged tokens, the digital asset ecosystem remains a place of immense diversity and opportunity. Conclusion: Bitcoin's Maturation in a Fractured Market The year 2025 will be remembered as the year Bitcoin truly came of age as an institutional asset, firmly planting its flag and claiming one-third of the crypto investment landscape. This growing dominance, driven by the steady, strategic accumulation of the world's largest financial players, has provided a powerful anchor in a volatile market. Yet, this newfound maturity has not tamed the market's wild spirit. It has instead created a great divide. While institutions build their Bitcoin fortress, retail investors are on the hunt for the next narrative-driven explosion, pouring capital into assets like XRP with the hope of front-running a transformative ETF approval. The market is consequently balanced on a knife's edge. Bullish macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds are pushing for a breakout to new all-time highs beyond the pivotal $105,000 level. At the same time, technical and on-chain analyses warn of a potential final washout, a corrective crash to the mid-$90,000s that may be necessary to reset the market for a sustainable ascent. Bitcoin's path forward will be carved by the resolution of these opposing forces. Can the quiet, persistent demand from institutions absorb the selling pressure from short-term traders and navigate the technical resistance zones? Or will the speculative fervor and corrective patterns that have defined its past cycles pull it down once more before it can climb higher? Whatever the outcome, 2025 has made one thing clear: Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative digital curiosity. It is a global macro asset at the heart of a complex and evolving financial ecosystem, and its journey is far from over.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
JUPUSDT Forming Falling WedgeJUPUSDT is showing strong bullish potential as it forms a classic falling wedge pattern—a technical setup often preceding significant upward price movement. This pattern, defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows converging into a narrowing channel, reflects declining bearish momentum. With price approaching the wedge's apex and volume remaining healthy, a breakout to the upside appears imminent. This setup has historically delivered solid results in crypto markets, especially when supported by strong volume and growing investor interest. From a price action perspective, the falling wedge pattern for JUPUSDT suggests a reversal is likely on the horizon. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance trendline could see JUPUSDT rally by 80% to 90%+, aligning with historical projections based on the pattern's depth. The coin has already begun to gain traction in the market, with increased order book activity and stronger community sentiment visible across multiple platforms. The project behind JUPUSDT is also attracting attention from both retail and institutional investors. This interest often translates into stronger support zones and more sustainable rallies. Coupled with technical indicators like RSI divergence and rising accumulation volume, JUPUSDT seems well-positioned for a breakout that could deliver substantial returns in the short to medium term. Traders should closely monitor resistance breakout levels and wait for confirmation via volume surges or bullish candlestick structures. JUPUSDT’s combination of pattern strength, volume profile, and market engagement makes it a compelling pick among altcoins poised for recovery and rally. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis ● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back. ● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain. ● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets. ✨ Summary Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
BTC at Decision Point: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Incoming ??BTC is now trading within a symmetrical triangle, bouncing strongly from the trendline support at $98,898, and now faces overhead resistance of around $106,000. Price is moving between higher lows and lower highs; a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant move. Key Levels: Support Zones: $101,409 – Near-term support $98,898 – Strong ascending trendline support $93,343 – Critical structure base Resistance Zones: $105,807 – Immediate ceiling $106,057 – Triangle breakout point $108,895 – First major upside target $111,785 – Higher target if bulls take control Analysis: The structure shows clear compression, and BTC has already made a sharp bounce off the lower range, suggesting bulls are stepping in. However, a clean breakout above $106K is needed to confirm the momentum shift. A breakout above this triangle could lead to a fast move toward $111K, while failure could send the price back toward $101K or even lower. This is a make-or-break zone. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Long
by ScramblerG
1
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏. If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
DeGRAM | BTCUSD rebound from the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis ● The BTCUSDT 4-hour chart on KUCOIN highlights a pronounced descending channel, with price action recently rebounding from a well-defined demand zone between 98,000 and 100,000. This green-shaded area has repeatedly acted as a springboard for bullish reversals, as evidenced by the strong wick and immediate recovery after the latest test. The chart also marks a series of lower highs and lower lows, but the most recent price action shows a break in bearish momentum, with a projected zigzag path indicating a potential move toward the 104,970 resistance. The confluence of the lower channel boundary and the demand zone suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at these levels, aiming for a retest of the upper resistance band. ● The technical setup is further reinforced by the presence of a major resistance level at 111,977, which has capped previous rallies. The chart’s structure, with its clear trendlines and highlighted resistance and support zones, points to a tactical opportunity for bulls to capitalize on the oversold conditions. The anticipated path, as drawn on the chart, suggests a gradual recovery with intermittent pullbacks, targeting the 104,970 area as the next significant hurdle. The overall pattern indicates that while the broader trend remains bearish, the immediate outlook favors a corrective rally from the current demand zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for a short-term recovery. Over the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility due to escalating geopolitical tensions, notably US military action in the Middle East, which triggered a sharp sell-off and flushed out leveraged positions. Despite this, institutional accumulation remains robust, with over $1.2 billion in Bitcoin added to corporate treasuries in the last week, and Texas officially establishing a state-managed Bitcoin reserve. On-chain data shows sustained negative netflows from exchanges, indicating that large holders are moving coins to cold storage, a historically bullish signal. Meanwhile, derivatives data reveals a cautious market, with open interest skewed toward protective puts, but spot ETF inflows and long-term adoption trends continue to underpin the market. ✨ Summary ● BTCUSDT is rebounding from a key demand zone, with technicals pointing to a corrective move toward 104,970. The bullish scenario is supported by strong institutional accumulation and strategic adoption, even as short-term volatility persists. A sustained close above 104,970 would open the path to the 111,977 resistance, while a drop below 98,000 would invalidate the recovery thesis. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin Order Book - How To Trade ItBitcoin Order Book Analysis | Massive BTC Liquidity Zones You Need to Watch In this video, we break down the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) order book and highlight the biggest buy and sell levels currently driving market sentiment. These are the exact price zones where whales and institutions are placing large orders—often creating powerful support and resistance that can trigger breakout or reversal setups. In This Breakdown: • Where major buy/sell walls are forming in the BTC order book • How order book depth can predict short-term price direction • Real-time liquidity pockets traders are watching now • Key price levels to watch for possible long/short entries This is a must-watch if you’re actively trading BTC and want to track where the smart money is stacking their positions. ⸻ Tools Featured: • BTCUSD real-time chart • Order book heatmap / depth • Liquidity zone visualizations • Volume profile overlays • Sentiment Tool ⸻ Use this insight to position your trades around high-probability reversal or breakout zones. Comment your BTC target below, and follow for daily pro-level crypto insights. ⸻ #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #OrderBookAnalysis #BTCOrderFlow #WhaleActivity #LiquidityZones #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #CryptoTA #BitcoinStrategy
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
1
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉 I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals. 🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉. 📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry. ⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup. 🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Short
by fxtraderanthony
BTC SHORT TP:97,500 23-06-2025We’re looking at a false bullish spike setup — that means it looks strong, but it’s all smoke. Shorting between 102,500–103,600, targeting 97,000–97,800 with a solid 3.8 RR. Timeframe: 4H. Expected to play out in the next 24 to 30 hours, otherwise invalid. There’s still a chance of manipulation to the upside, but we’re betting on rejection. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of June 23, 2025, 03:45 PM CEST. The chart shows a recent sharp decline from a peak of approximately 104,443.81 USD to around 100,479.47 USD, with a current price of 102,035.20 USD, reflecting a 1.037.09% increase. Key levels include resistance around 104,000 USD and support near 100,000 USD, with notable volatility indicated by the candlestick patterns and a marked low point adorned with U.S. flags and a lightning bolt symbol.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
#BTC Bounced, 100EMA saved the day!100 EMA saved the day. But the one concern? We’ve printed a new Lower Low, not a great sign. The chart looks bouncy, but the overall structure still feels uncertain. No point guessing or forcing trades here, I’d rather wait for clear confirmation. I’ll share updates if I spot any changes or interesting altcoin setups. For now, patience is our best edge. I know many altcoins might look great, but BTC Dominance is not yet done. I'll be sharing that chart tomorrow. Stay sharp. Hit that like button if you find this short update useful. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
1