BITCOIN : Important support for the price of the last hope!hello friends
With Bit analysis, we have two scenarios:
1_ The price will return to the important support of 92 thousand dollars or even 90 thousand dollars and from there I will see the growth of the new wave of bit.
2- The important support price should break and continue to fall, and within the specified range with confirmation, we can enter a new upward wave.
What do you think? Will important support be lost?
In our opinion, due to the continuation of the trend and because the volume of sales has not happened, the first scenario is more likely and its target is 115-120 thousand dollars.
*Trade safely with us*
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement.
One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges.
Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum.
The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures.
Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains.
However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant.
On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases.
The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself.
The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000.
In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.
BTCUSDT Long-Term Projection – Accumulation Before Breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is currently in an accumulation phase, following historical liquidity grabs and retracements. The chart highlights key liquidity zones, Fibonacci levels, and potential price movements.
🔑 Key Observations:
Possible Accumulation Phase between $88,000 - $97,000 before a bullish move.
nPOC ($97,148) is a critical level—price may revisit before moving higher.
Liquidity Zones: 1-week, 1-month, and 3-month liquidity targets identified.
Fibonacci Levels: Watching the 0.618 ($96,965) and 0.786 ( $93,422 ) retracement levels for a potential dip-buy opportunity.
Long-Term Target: $120,000+ by the end of 2025.
💡 Will BTC accumulate before making a strong push to new highs? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📈
My Idea on BTC !we are consolidating for 93 Days , this is huge area
Look at blue Shaded Area there are so many orders liquidated
What's that mean : we should not return to that level
i wanna see higher prices on BTC and opposite in BTC.D
BTC.D is going see lower Prices and in BTC we have to see higher prices
that means we are going to have ALT season very soon
Bitcoin DominanceThe same scenario we discussed in our pinned posts remains intact. It appears that as long as the price stays below the red box, there is a possibility of a medium-term Wave C formation. We also had a support trendline, which is now broken; however, we need to wait for the daily candle to close to determine whether this break is fake or genuine.
BTCUSD: Fvg to be FIlled?Hello. Relatively new in the BTC field, any feedback will be appreciated.
As seen on my chart, im expecting price to come back and fill a FVG formed on a recent dump. Seems that we have a somewhat decent bullish trend.
My entry is based on liquidity, currently set at 96206, but I am aware we might see a stop hunt slightly below.
First TP was set on a possible liq sweep reversal point since market does not really have a strong direction as of now, and Second TP is at the fvg start point.
SL is set right below a lower high to avoid getting stopped from a stop hunt, if it reaches said point.
Please, let me see your thoughts and if possible, to get feedback and learn more together:)
DOGEUSDT Ready for a Bullish Surge!Hello traders! 👋
If you're thinking of buying DOGE or are already in a position, you need to read this! Hopefully, this analysis will provide helpful insights for everyone.
Bullish Scenario:
After touching the daily level, DOGEUSDT has shown a strong bullish reaction with momentum to the upside.
The price has entered an accumulation phase, creating a significant supply/demand zone on the 2-hour timeframe.
A bullish scenario is emerging, but confirmation will come only after breaking the 2-hour supply zone. If that happens, it could present a great entry opportunity to catch the beginning of the upward move.
Enjoy 😀
The New Baseline: Bitcoin Is Going Higher (New 2025 ATH #s)Good afternoon my friend, we have a new baseline.
Bitcoin has been consolidating above 90K for three months. We are about to move higher. Bitcoin is set to move higher, much higher in the coming weeks and days. Whenever there is a drop, the strongest support ever will be found around $90,000 and $94,000. Bitcoin will never move below/lower than this range. This is our new baseline.
The next advance is here now but still not yet present on the chart.
The ByBit hack was a major event and yet, the market is so strong that Bitcoin bottomed around 95K. This after the biggest hack in the history of the Cryptocurrency market. This confirms that sellers have no force, the bulls are strong and ready to buy-everything. The bulls have been accumulating and will continue to accumulate long-term. This is it.
A common question goes as follows, "When can I buy Bitcoin?"
"Can I buy now?"
The price to buy Bitcoin for long-term holders, spot traders and accumulators is within the $90,000 and $100,000 price range. We still have one or two more days left to go but it seems $90,000 is now something of the past, impossible to buy Bitcoin at this price. It is gone. It is not available anymore. Think long-term.
We are entering a new bull-market. A major bullish-wave within an already very strong bullish phase. Bull-bullish-bullish in short.
The lowest level after 17-December 2024 peak price stands at $89,268 on a wick. The lowest close $92,541.
Starting 18-November 2024, Bitcoin has never closed below $90,000 and it is likely that Bitcoin will never, ever, visit this level again.
After the bull-market bull-run and bullish phase the bear-market the follows is likely to bottom higher, but this is still too far away.
The new All-Time High in 2025 is not set in stone, it has not been decided. All the numbers I've been sharing is all speculation. The market can go for longer and higher than anything we expect, it is truly unpredictable. It cannot go lower though. We know for sure that Bitcoin will not peak below 150K. We have a minimum range of 160,000 to 180,000 with 200,000 also possible and who knows... Cryptocurrency is new and young.
I just wanted to tell you that you can rest easy because the best is yet to come.
We are only getting started. We are about to experience long-term growth. It will be the most profitable and most exciting we've seen in years. Everything is about to speed up.
Give it time. Now, buy and hold.
We are on the verge of incredible change.
Positive change. This is the evolution of finance.
You are in the right place at the right time.
Imagine the Internet, but on steroids. That's BTC.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Short Term Price will have to move before Mid MarchThe chart is a Bitcoin 4 hour chart.
I am using the "line" to take away the noise of candle colours.
These are Fib Circle that are falling from left to right and they are strong.
The RED ones are 236 Fib circles and usualy cause rejection and you can see that currently as PA is stuck under one
We are also using the 1.382 Fib extension as support.
this is creating a closing gap, or Squeeze that will push PA to react before Monday 10 March, The date of the APEX of that triangle
And as I always say, PA will 99% of the time, react BEFORE that apex, hence the line I draw at 7th March. PA will likely move over that weekend, 8th or 9th
PA may move before hand and has the strength to push higher in a short term push but unlikely to break out of current Range of 91K - 109K till later ( Yellow Rectangle )
I want to warn you about $BTCI understand that it's impossible to predict the exact peak down to the last cent unless you have some insider data. I see the global sentiment. I see that companies are currently obsessed with the BTC ETF mania and risk, while others are paralyzed by fear, throwing up their hands and saying, "That's it, we're done." I believe that, most likely, the global high is here. We've seen the same wedge pattern form in 2021, 2013, and 2017, which signaled one thing—the bull market was over.
There's no altseason, but at the very least, there will be opportunities to reclaim profits because there will still be short squeezes. However, that’s just a momentary event. We see everything falling, and then suddenly, altcoins start shooting up—this is a sign that the end has come for the market.
I've already thought about where to escape and what to do. I have plans A, B, C, and D, but only one of them is positive. The rest are about pure negativity in the world, which will only continue to escalate.
btcusd on bearish reverse#BTCUSD remains in a bearish setup, with a key break below $96,000 needed to confirm further downside momentum. The take profit zone for shorts is set at $94,800 - $93,000, with a stop loss at $97,000 to protect against a reversal.
However, if price recorrects and forms a double breakout above $97,400, it could trigger bullish momentum, potentially pushing BTC toward $98,300 before any further movement.
Will Polygon hit the 1$ ?On the chart you can see the previous
movement how happened
All the points are shown on the chart
I expect a trend on matic that can lead us to see
1$ if we break the of 0.44$
Under 0.44$ the price will swing between 0.28$
to 0.43$ but if we break the resistant of 0.44$
and i do expect it, the target going to be 1$
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Bullish ReversalHelle Guys Here Is My First Analysis On BTC/USD Keep Me Update In And Follow Me For More Instrutions thanks
On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin recently broke out of an ascending channel but faced a sharp correction. Price has now found support around $94,400, which aligns with a key demand zone. A rebound from this level could trigger a bullish move toward the $99,700 target, where strong resistance is expected.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Near $96,200, after confirmation of support.
Target: $99,700 (key resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Below $94,400 to manage risk.
If price holds above support and reclaims key levels, a bullish continuation is likely. However, failure to hold could lead to further downside. Traders should monitor price action and volume for confirmation before entering.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Do you see BTC recovering or breaking lower? 🚀📉
Must Support Me And Share it With Your friends And Family thanks Trade At Own Risk and Strategy
XRP Ripple - Going Higher Now? Swing Divergence with BTCThis is a top down idea from the HTF
M > W > D1 > H4 charts
All the clues of the price action are indicating higher prices on crypto - explanation in video.
One thing I didn't mention is that we also have a weak DXY (Dollar) so that adds to the idea of strength in XXXUSD pairs.
Reasons for choosing XRP over BTC is that XRP created a higher low, indicating more strength than BTC.
Entry on LTF is dependent on a pullback to get a cheaper price.
Entry on HTF is more flexible.
Comment below if you have any questions. I read everything.
Thanks
BTCUSD: Short-Term Rebound Before Extending Bearish TrendIn line with previous analysis, BTC remains within a Symmetrical Channel Down pattern, signaling a potential continuation of its downward trend into early 2025. The price is currently approaching a minor support level at 94,992, which could trigger a short-term rebound.
If buying pressure strengthens, BTC may see a technical rebound toward the minor resistance at 98,768, aligning with the upper boundary of the Symmetrical Channel Down. However, as long as the price remains below this level, the broader trend remains bearish, with a potential decline toward the key 2025 support level at 92,102.
Traders should monitor price reactions at these critical levels for confirmation of the next move.
Previous analysis
Where is ALT season ? Narket Cap Data shows clear direction
It is a question that has been asked for a while now.
What on earth has happened to the Fabled ALT Season ? The Time of Quick and Fast earnings on ALT coins.
Market Cap data shows us very clearly how Bitcoin alone is responsible for the lack of ALT Season so far.
In summery we see that, using the Market Cap charts, the recent pull backs since December 2024, Bitcoin has pulled back a lot less than the others and that ETH is a big losser here also.
Pull back %'s in Crypto Market Caps
TOTAL = - 15.51%
TOTAL 2 = -25.98 % ( Excluding BTC )
TOTAL 3 = -22.61 % ( Excluding BTC % ETH )
OTHERS = - 40.57% ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Dominacne )
We can see from the difference between the TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3 charts how ETH is responsible for a 3% Drop in the TOTAL market cap ...Thats a Big amount for one single coin.
We can also see how the Biggest Loosers so far this cycle are the Mid Cap ALT coins.
The Big question now is, will They recover and will we get an ALT Season ?
Lets Look at the charts to see where we are
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap
PA is above Support, back in the Green zone and with room to move before resistance needs to be broken
TOTAL 2 Crypto Market Cap
In trouble. Below Resistance in two places. There is currently a push up and PA is about to hit that line od resistance. We will know in the next few days the outcome of this.
ETH needs to show strength here to help support the idea of an ALT Season
TOTAL 3 Crypto Market Cap
The ALTS themselves are in an area that has Support below but are about to hit resistance. However, there is strength there as we can see PA broke out of the rannge at one point but the market pulled back and took them with it. this chart shows us ALL the Alts and is very likely supported by the Huge impact of the Meme craze and Solana. As was mentioned above, This was a smaller pullback than the ETH & ALT chart above.
OTHERS Crypto Market Cap
This is the chart that surprises me the most.
The well know Mid Cap Alts took the biggest hit since December 2024 - Nearly double the losses of the Total 3 ALT market - Could this also be showing us that ALTS on the ETH network were liable to bigger losses. ? Coins like AVAX, LINK etc
PA here has just bounced off support but has run straight into resistance. This really Needs to break through as Sentiment needs to be improved.
But the BIGGEST thing that needs to break, to allow an ALT SEASON is of course, Bitcoin Dominance. BTC.D
ALT seasons are in the times after Bitcoin Halving when BTC Dominance Drops and money flowed into ALTS>
But these days, Corporation and institutions are buying Bitcoin and HOLDING, as are the sensible little people like you and me. You can see this Very clearly on the chart - BTC.D just cntinues to climb.
So where is the money for ALT season going to come from ?
The proposed increase of ETF's on ALT coins could push this in a very selected way. i.e. the proposed Litecoin ( THE original ALT COIN ) has been trying to push the price of LTC higher.
XRP is another
But this is NOT the ALT Season we all expereinced in previous cycles and, infact, if you look close, you will see that ALT season has been getting smaller and smaller.
It was once said that Crpyto was a bubble that Will burst like the Dot Com bubble........and I think we may see this......the rubbish ALT coins falling away and the BTC and utility ALTs coming through.
But no ALT Season as we once knew...........OR WILL TRUMP MAKE IT HAPPEN ?
Only time will tell
Bitcoin - preparing for a Mega bullish waveThe weekly chart is bullish for Bitcoin.
It shows a hidden bullish divergence on RSI, indicating that the price trend is likely to continue upward.
Additionally, the chart highlights a double bottom pattern on HTF.
Bitcoin maintaining support at 0.786 Fibonacci will give it the momentum needed to create a new high.
A new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin is expected in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC SHORT TP:95,000 20-02-2024Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of weakness in its upward trend, suggesting that a pullback to the levels of 95,000 - 95,500 is quite likely. If the price manages to bounce at this area and confirms the validity of this support, we would be inclined to consider a long entry afterward. It's essential to monitor how the market reacts at these levels before making any trading decisions.
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview
Current Price: $97,632
Open Position: $95,917.6
Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential.
Stop Loss: $95,000
Take Profit: $99,600
Confidence Level: 80%
Technical & Market Indicators
RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control.
MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation.
CME Options Data:
Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate.
Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels.
Binance Perpetuals:
Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs.
Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation.
Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment.
Possible Scenarios & Probability
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600
Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels.
RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum.
Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend.
Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions.
2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability)
🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000
Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds.
MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum.
Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals.
3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability)
📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000
Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off.
RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction.
A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions.
Final Takeaway
Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000.
Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns.
Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered.
Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.