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Btcusdanalysis

BTC SHORT for Very Short until TRUMP's FIRST DAY!Bitcoin USD prediction: We had a fake-out to 89k, a mini one, but it could be enough for continuation. I'm letting it print some more price action before making new moves. Either way, I'm still convinced this consolidation at 98k with a possibility of retrace around 96K to produce highlows can attract more bullish people while we continue to reset FGM (fear greed meter) including RSI as leading indicator recently for protail and retail traders and investors. This is my final and last prediction! I will make sure this will stay permanent and I will be brave in making these predictions. To support these predictions let's look from a zoom out cycle view, it’s still fine a -17% to -20% dips are expected in a bull market. This is basic and the worst was more than -35% to -40% crashes at the middle of every BTC.d down and BTC price up. The bullish market structure is also intact. It still looks like the first consolidation after the first impulsive leg after breaking above the range high, which is the usual way the markets move. I said this during live that this is going to be the smartest thing you will do in order to really enter the alts you want to bag or DCA since most of you guys worry about being fearful rather than taking action. Please watch my videos here;
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by osodatsismoso
BTCUSDT Binance Futures AnalysisPrice Movement: BTC is currently trading around $99,700. The price has demonstrated strong buybacks from key support levels ($88,000–$90,000) and is attempting to break through resistance at $100,000. Trend Structure: Higher Timeframes (Daily and 4-hour): Price remains in a range-bound consolidation between $92,000 and $102,000. A breakout above $102,000 could lead to significant upward momentum, potentially targeting $104,000–$108,000. Lower Timeframes (1-hour and 15-minute): The price shows a recovery trend with strong bullish impulses but encounters resistance near $100,000. Volume and Volatility: Volume has been increasing during buybacks from lower levels, indicating strong buyer interest. However, volatility remains elevated, suggesting caution for scalpers. Key Levels: Resistance: $100,000, $102,000, $104,000 Support: $96,500, $94,000, $92,000 ✍️ Important Note: The above post provides general information and should not be considered specific investment advice. All investments carry significant risk, especially in volatile cryptocurrency markets. All investment decisions should be based on thorough market analysis and consideration of individual risk tolerance!
by E-TradePSH
Potential Movement to LEG B upon Channel BreakoutWhen analyzing the BTC/USDT chart, we observe a critical price action pattern. The chart highlights a price channel currently being tested. If the price successfully breaks above this channel, there is a high likelihood of the price moving towards LEG B, marked on the chart. Channel Breakout: The resistance of the price channel is a significant level to monitor. A breakout above this level would indicate bullish momentum. Target LEG B: Post breakout, the next potential resistance zone or target lies at the price level indicated by LEG B. Risk Management: As always, traders should exercise caution, set proper stop-loss levels below the breakout zone, and consider the overall market sentiment. Support Levels: The orange lines on the chart represent key support zones at approximately 99,710.97 and 98,997.03. Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the channel would serve as an ideal entry signal for a long position. Indicators: Complement this analysis with volume indicators to confirm the strength of the breakout. This setup provides an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the breakout. However, remain vigilant as false breakouts are always a possibility.
Long
by Tradeaione
GOLD can jump down more .. Gold is showing signs of potential downside movement, suggesting that bearish pressure could dominate in the near term. Traders should remain vigilant and closely monitor key support levels to confirm the next direction. While the current trend hints at a possible drop, unexpected volatility could still influence the market, making it essential to adopt a cautious approach. Proper risk management and careful analysis are crucial to navigating this environment effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SadarExplore
Bitcoin's Midweek Liquidity Play Detailed Analysis Bitcoin's Price Analysis Based on Current Market Conditions 1. Bullish Price Action from CPI Triggers Recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has provided a significant bullish trigger, aligning with the market's expectation of reduced inflationary pressures. This macroeconomic indicator is a key driver, as it reassures investors about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain or reduce interest rate hikes. Bitcoin's price has reacted positively, with a clear bullish breakout, showing strength in its upward trajectory. The CPI induced move is critical as it reflects institutional confidence and a shift in liquidity toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin. 2. Midweek Reversal Dynamics Retailer FOMO at Play Historically, Wednesday and Thursday are pivotal days for Bitcoin's price action, often characterized by reversals. This behavior is driven by a mix of institutional repositioning and retail traders' emotional responses. Currently, retail traders appear to be in a state of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), entering positions aggressively as Bitcoin pumps. This scenario creates a ripe environment for market makers to exploit, as over leveraged long positions begin to dominate. A liquidity sweep targeting stop loss clusters below current support levels is highly probable. 3. Stop-Loss Sweep and Liquidity Dynamics The chart indicates that a significant number of stop-loss orders are concentrated around the $98,600 level, just below recent support. This aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone, which remains untested. Market makers are likely to drive the price down to this level to fill pending orders and collect liquidity. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the price regains upward momentum. Following the liquidity sweep, a strong pump is expected toward the $102,400 zone, a key area of interest where previous imbalances and institutional orders are likely stacked. This zone serves as a springboard for the next leg of the rally. 4. Projection to Key Levels: $108,362 and Beyond Once liquidity at $98,600 is absorbed and the $102,400 zone is reclaimed, Bitcoin is poised to target the next major resistance at $108,362. This level aligns with a confluence of technical factors, including previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. Breaking this resistance would open the path to the $110,000 psychological level, further validating the bullish macro trend. Bitcoin's price action is entering a critical phase influenced by macroeconomic triggers, market structure, and liquidity dynamics. Traders should remain cautious of midweek reversals and liquidity sweeps, while positioning for potential upside targeting $108,362 and beyond. Proper risk management is essential, given the market's high volatility and the potential for unexpected deviations.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
How NOT to miss the upcoming BULL marketInvesting in the third year of a cycle is always challenging. One day, cryptocurrencies pump suddenly without proper consolidation; the next, they dump and give off bear market vibes. 🐻📉 New narratives, like AI agents, emerge—and no one knows how long they'll last. 🤖⏳ In other words, there are more unknown variables than known ones, leaving the average investor confused, throwing money into the market without truly enriching themselves. 💸 Bitcoin needs one full 60-day consolidation cycle to continue its uptrend. This cycle will allow the 1-week and 2-week Cycle indicators to move downward and reverse, paving the way for a healthy continuation upward. 🚀📈 Let’s take a look at the most likely scenario for Bitcoin: While the price might rise temporarily, we need to form a weekly cycle bottom—and it doesn’t look like that has happened yet. 🕰️🌊 If Bitcoin starts pumping from here and surpasses its all-time high next week, we can confirm a new cycle has begun. However, the most probable scenario involves some consolidation, shaking out weak participants before resuming the uptrend. 💪🏼💥
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
6
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Double H&S Patterns Hold the KeyThis chart presents a pivotal scenario for Bitcoin (BTC) as it forms a complex Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, with two potential outcomes based on key breakpoints: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the Decision Point (DP), the pattern morphs into a Continuous Head & Shoulders (Double). This indicates strong bullish momentum, with a high probability of the price targeting the upper resistance level at 123,688.39 USDT. This scenario suggests market participants favor the continuation of the upward trend. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails at DP and breaks below the Neckline, the structure transforms into a Reversal Head & Shoulders. In this case, bearish pressure may dominate, driving the price toward the lower support at 77,264.42 USDT. This would signal a major trend reversal, possibly fueled by bearish sentiment or unfavorable market conditions. Key Notes: The neckline and DP levels are crucial for identifying the market's next major move. Watch for volume confirmations to validate breakouts, as these will provide stronger insights into the direction of the trend.
by melikatrader94
8
USDCHF Technical Analysis: Anticipating a Bearish Breakout The USDCHF forex pair is currently trading at 0.91150, with a target price set at 0.89400, indicating an anticipated drop of over 200 pips. The analysis is based on the rising wedge pattern, a bearish technical pattern often signaling a potential price breakdown. This pattern forms when price consolidates within converging trendlines that slope upward, typically losing bullish momentum over time. A breakout below the lower trendline of the wedge would confirm the bearish signal. Traders expect the pair to breach key support levels, driven by this technical setup. The 200+ pip drop suggests a significant move, aligning with the breakout's potential strength. Stop-loss and risk management strategies should be in place to mitigate unexpected reversals. Fundamental factors affecting USD and CHF may also impact the trade outcome. Close monitoring of price action around the wedge pattern is crucial to confirm the breakout direction.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
"BTC Head and Shoulders Breakdown: Key Sell Zone at $98,000 withBased on the chart: - **Pattern Formation**: A classic Head and Shoulders pattern is visible, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The price action has tested the neckline, followed by a possible retest near the "right shoulder." - **Key Zone**: The area around $98,000 is marked as a "possible sell zone" and aligns with the retest of the neckline. - **Breakout and Retest**: The price seems to have broken the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern and is currently retesting it. If the retest holds as resistance, a strong downside move could follow. - **Target Levels**: Based on the projected move, the target appears to be around $79,350, with intermediate zones likely around $90,000–$87,000 for partial profit-taking or reactions. - **Strategy**: A sell setup near $98,000, with invalidation if the price closes convincingly above the neckline, could be considered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H/1D Kijun Breakout Price Action: We’ve seen a triple tap on the Daily Kijun that marked strong resistance. The breakout and daily close above on January 6th, 2025 confirms a bullish signal. Now, price is hovering around the 4H/D Kijun confluence, creating a favorable area to watch for a retest and potential bounce. Trade Idea (Long): – Enter on retest of the 4H/D Kijun if we see supportive wicks or bullish confirmation. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: 1:2 RRR target (take profit near key swing high or FVG fill). Macro News Watch: This is a big macro news week. Stay alert for unexpected volatility that could invalidate the setup. If price closes back below the Kijun levels, be prepared to manage or exit the trade accordingly.
Long
by Fondera
Bitcoin to $120K: The Final Wave?Bitcoin is back in the spotlight, and the charts suggest we may be entering the highly anticipated 5th wave to the upside. A move to $120K is increasingly likely as institutional adoption grows, supply remains scarce, and the narrative of Bitcoin as digital gold continues to strengthen. However, markets are never a straight line. On the contrary, The unlikely option for the Bitcoin is it could see a dip below $85K in the near term before resuming its climb. Short-term corrections are part of the game, but the bigger picture remains bullish. With halving on the horizon and growing global demand for store-of-value assets, Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory points upward. The 5th wave could be the most explosive yet. While volatility is inevitable, the journey to $120K seems to be just a matter of time. Bitcoin remains the king of crypto, and this bull run still has fuel in the tank. Not a financial advice, do your own due diligence.
Long
by SabahEquityResearch
12
BTC Daily Bullish Pennant FormationThis is the daily chart for BTC/USD. BTC appears to be trading inside a triangle after a large bullish impulse. Price is currently trying to regain the 50 simple moving average (yellow line). If BTC breaks the 50 day simple moving average, I expect the price to break out of the pennant forming and test higher highs. RSI is nuetral at 52 at time time of publishing. Price action has maintained candle closes on the daily above 92k. Target for the next leg up is the 1.618 extension from the most recent High to swing low. This would put the PA around 120k. NFA, do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
BTC | FRACTAL | Fractal that leads to new ETH ATHBitcoin has been trading stable around 95K, a good indication that the bull run still has some more cards to play for altcoins. Ethereum, Doge and SOL for example have not yet made new all time high's, indicating that the bullish cycle is far from over. There's a saying that leads something like "it's not over until someone sings" - well, in this case, the bullish cycle is not over until Ethereum makes a new ATH. ___________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1