Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: A $100K Test or a Bearish Turn?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently reached a critical juncture. Its price action has formed a key support level that bulls must defend to maintain the upward momentum and potentially pave the way for a new $100,000 price push.
A Pivotal Support Level
After a period of consolidation and recent price volatility, Bitcoin has found support at a significant level. This level acts as a crucial line in the sand for the cryptocurrency. If bulls can successfully defend this support, it could signal renewed bullish sentiment and potentially trigger a fresh rally towards the coveted $100,000 price target.
Bullish Resilience
Despite facing headwinds from broader market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, Bitcoin bulls have shown remarkable resilience. The recent bounce from the key support level underscores this bullish sentiment. It demonstrates the underlying strength of the market and the unwavering belief of many investors in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
A Glimpse into the Future: A Golden Warning
However, a closer look at Bitcoin's performance relative to gold raises some concerns. By analyzing historical price patterns, a potential bearish fractal has emerged. This fractal, when compared to previous market cycles, suggests that Bitcoin may be due for a significant correction, potentially as much as 35%.
This bearish signal stems from the fact that Bitcoin's price against gold has reached resistance levels that historically coincided with the start of bear markets in 2018-2019 and 2021-2022. While this fractal analysis provides a valuable perspective, it's essential to remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
The Road Ahead
The coming weeks and months will be pivotal for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If bulls can successfully defend the key support level and maintain the upward momentum, a new $100,000 price push could be on the horizon. However, if the bearish fractal plays out, a significant correction may be inevitable.
It's crucial to approach Bitcoin investing with a long-term perspective and a risk management strategy. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and price fluctuations are to be expected. By staying informed, conducting thorough research, and diversifying investments, investors can navigate the complexities of the market and position themselves for potential rewards.
Key Takeaways:
• Bitcoin has reached a critical support level that bulls must defend.
• A successful defense could trigger a new $100,000 price push.
• A bearish fractal suggests a potential 35% correction.
• The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and price predictions are uncertain.
Additional Considerations:
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and geopolitical events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
• Regulatory Environment: Regulatory positive and negative developments can influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.
• Technological Advancements: Ongoing technological advancements in the blockchain space can drive innovation and adoption, positively impacting Bitcoin's long-term prospects.
By carefully considering these factors and maintaining a balanced approach, investors can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for potential rewards.
Btcusdanalysis
BTC LONG TP:101000 10-12-2024Bitcoin long position targeted at the 101k zone, with entry points between 93,500 and 95,000. Stop loss placed below 92,500. This setup is based on a 1-hour timeframe, but the expected move could take up to 48 hours to play out. Remember, the entry points, stop loss, and take profit levels are just suggestions - feel free to adjust them to fit your own trading strategy. Stay vigilant and manage your risk carefully. #Bitcoin #Trading
BTC LONG TP:101000 10-12-2024Bitcoin long position targeted at the 101k zone, with entry points between 93,500 and 95,000. Stop loss placed below 92,500. This setup is based on a 1-hour timeframe, but the expected move could take up to 48 hours to play out. Remember, the entry points, stop loss, and take profit levels are just suggestions - feel free to adjust them to fit your own trading strategy. Stay vigilant and manage your risk carefully. #Bitcoin #Trading
BTC swing thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**News Analysis:** Recent developments in the cryptocurrency market have highlighted significant gains for XRP, reaching a $100 billion market cap, which suggests strong momentum and potential for further growth. The anticipation of Ripple’s RLUSD approval could further bolster XRP\'s price. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to set new records, with prices reaching around $84,000, supported by a decrease in exchange reserves, indicating a trend towards long-term holding. This bullish outlook for Bitcoin suggests it could be an attractive investment for those looking to hold for the long term. Both XRP and Bitcoin present promising opportunities, but investors should assess their risk tolerance and strategy carefully. **Market Sentiment Analysis:** The financial analysis indicates a bullish sentiment for BTCUSDT, with high trading volumes and a long-short ratio consistently above 1.0 across various time frames. This suggests that traders are expecting the price to rise, supported by strong market interest. The overall sentiment from top traders is bullish, indicating a potential opportunity for a long position. However, caution is advised due to the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators for BTCUSDT show a bullish trend across different time frames. The RSI levels indicate moderately overbought conditions, particularly in the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, suggesting caution. The MACD is positive in the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, supporting bullish momentum. The price is above the EMA20 and SMA20, confirming a bullish short-term trend. Resistance is noted at 102247.25, which could act as a barrier. If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal further upside potential. **Fundamental Analysis:** The recent news and financial metrics suggest a strong bullish sentiment for BTCUSDT. The decrease in Bitcoin exchange reserves and the high trading volume indicate strong market interest and potential for further price increases. The anticipation of Ripple’s RLUSD approval could also impact the broader cryptocurrency market positively. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the bullish indicators and market sentiment, a long position in BTCUSDT could be considered. However, due to the overbought RSI levels, it is crucial to implement a risk management strategy. Set a stop-loss near the support level of 97,000 to manage potential downside risks. A take-profit level can be set near the resistance level of 102247.25 to capitalize on potential gains. Monitor the MACD and RSI for any signs of reversal or weakening momentum. **CONFIDENCE_LEVEL:** 82% ##**TRADE RECOMMENDATION** ```json { "OUTCOME": "OPEN_LONG", "STOP_LOSS": "$97,000.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$102,247.25", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "82%", "EXIT_POINT": "$102,247.25", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 1h", "ATR": "0.002, 1h" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 0, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0, "OPEN_POSITION": "$100,395.04" } ```' )
Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Paid IndicatorMy another powerful indicator.. still in testing phase.. giving amazing signals to capture from the bottom or the top.. so right now BTC is super bullish but if its a trap market reverses, we'll get signal from the top...99702 is right now the upper band, and if market closes below it, we'll get another signal. when background is green, its a buy as well, and when its red, its a sell.. grey area is the expected price range. it can travel between upper and lower band if remains grey.
Performance of my sentiment cycle indicator (PAID)“Discover the power of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator! With its ability to pinpoint bullish and bearish trends, avoid sideways markets, and capture major market moves like 4,400 and 2,400+ points, this tool is a game-changer for traders. Don’t just take our word for it—test it yourself and see how it can enhance your trading decisions. Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, this indicator is designed to give you the edge. Start your journey to smarter trading today!”
Signal Accuracy: The green (buy) and red (sell) markers show precise entry and exit points in alignment with the sentiment cycles.
Sideways Market Filtering: The “no trading zone” effectively filters out signals during non-trending phases, preventing unnecessary trades.
FTM/USDTBINANCE:FTMUSDT
---
🦾 ** UPCOM:FTM Bearish Trend Retest (HTF)** 🥶
**Unstable price zone** at the moment! ⏳
If we face another big dump for any reason, I'm planning to **spam the buy button** in the support zones around **0.850 - 0.820** and **0.800**! 🛒
As mentioned earlier, in these zones, expect **lots of up and down movements** before we see any major moves! ⚖️
A **breakout above $1.200** resistance is essential for the bulls! 🐂 (H4 View)
---
**Upper Key Resistances:**
🔝 $1.270 - $1.350
---
As I also pointed out in my **Bitcoin analysis**, we are likely at the start of a **bearish correction move** (medium-term). This scenario makes sense to me! ⚠️
The current **short-term upward correction** is probably a **FOMO pump** by small traders trying to test the **50% Fibonacci level** (a previous support zone). 🐟➡️🦈
**Whales** 🚨 and **retail traders** could soon start shorting the market again!
---
Possible scenario for UPCOM:FTM (also applies to many other altcoins):
- **Yesterday:** Bearish breakout 📉
- **Today:** Upward correction to retest the **50% Fibonacci** zone (Bull trap!) 🎣
- **Upcoming days:** Bearish continuation 📉
---
I trust my **instinct**, **experience**, and **analysis**! 🧠💪
We play **level by level**! Bulls definitely need more strength to take control here. ⚡
---
**Reminder:** This is **not financial advice**! 🚫
**Be cautious with long positions in the market**! ⚠️
---
Keep monitoring the levels carefully, and stay safe! 🛑
#BTC - Ready to pivot and head to 108k
In my latest post I mentioned that we might visit 93-95k. Sadly for alt coins that resulted in a massive bloodbath, but fear not, it is a healthy pullback meant to clear leverage, that will fuel the next move on #BTC
What's next for BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
1. After the reaction swing high to 102k price now retraced into the 0.618 zone
2. It also fits perfectly on the fib time zone, and as we've seen in the past, it signalled almost perfectly the reversal in the trend
3. Given the massive sell-off from alts, I believe now it has enough strength to move to the extension zone which is around 108k
4. Based on the impulse we should know if it's just a manipulation or it will continue to go higher
Personally I think we should see another sweep from 108k to 90-95k, and only afterwards we can continue higher to 120k
What are your thoughts?
Bitcoin: Are We Holding at $93K, $90K, $88K, or $83K?Good morning, trading crew.
Bitcoin is pulling back, and we’re heading for one of these key levels:
1️⃣ $93K might be the first spot where it bounces.
2️⃣ If not, we’re looking at $90K next.
3️⃣ Below that, FWB:88K could be the level to watch.
4️⃣ And if things go lower, FWB:83K might be where it finally holds.
Right now, it’s all about being patient and watching how it moves. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
What’s your call—where will Bitcoin settle? Drop your thoughts below, and don’t forget to like and follow to stay in the loop.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
BTCUSDT Swing trade SignalHello everyone i want hare my bitcoin swing trade idea.
Bitcoin had huge liquidity to downside which was for active new buyers plus it tested last week Fibonacci buy levels where it got aggressive reaction.
Open long position at 98181
Stop loss at 96800
Take profit i will stay ion this trade until new year if i will be right.
Always manage your risk!!! Don't risk more than 2 % in this trade.
BTC Tightens After Liquidations With the big drop yesterday in BTC and more notably alts, we are seeing the standard tightening ranges of the equilibrium pattern that results when you have significant volatility in both directions.
If we break bull this morning, we will zoom out and scout a 12H lower high, and the daily chart will continue to tighten up as well, heading for a break to end this week.
If this hourly range breaks bear, we will look to test recent lows in the $94ks.
Note we are seeing BTC.D bounce on the weekly as alts drop into weekly consolidation, as highlighted as one of the more likely potential paths forward in our recent live stream on youtube.
Bitcoin BTC price movement forecast by the end of 2024 !📉 On December 5, 2024, set an absolute record for liquidations on the crypto market - $1.1 billion ($820 million longs + $280 million shorts), breaking the record of August 05, 2024, when it was $950 million.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC price dropped to $89-90 thousand, depending on the exchange.
Such a “helicopter” as on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart is launched when all indicators are “overheated” and the market needs to rest, but maintain the trend, i.e. the crypto market's up-trend.
Fear and Greed Index - 71 (greed remains on the market)
Given the fact that altcoins have barely reacted to the fall, we can assume that there will be another wave down.
How do you feel about the option of #Bitcoin price movement $100k 👉 $84-85k 👉 $110k and this is all by the end of 2024 ?)
P.S:
also remember that on 18/12/24 the FOMC meeting is to be held, where the FED rate is expected to be cut by at least -0.25%.
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
BTC/USD LONG SET UP BITCOINTitle: BTC/USD BUY (BITCOIN)
Asset: Crypto
Symbol: BTC/USD
Order Type: Buy Limit
Time Frame: 1D
Platform: Coinbase or MT4
Entry Price 1: $95,500
Entry Price 2: $90,500
Stop Loss: $85,500
Take Profit 1: $100,500
Take Profit 2: $105,500
Take Profit 3: $115,500
Status: ACTIVE
When is the Right Time to Reenter?You see those two green stripes? That’s where I bought:
1️⃣ First Stripe:
- Indicators Alignment: The **1-Day, 3-Day, and 1-Week Cycles** were all below 20, signaling a strong buy.
- Retracement: The market had retraced ~12%, confirming the **bullish trend** was still intact.
- Cycle Low: The **60-Day Cycle low** was just around the corner.
- Key Level: When the **$40K level** broke, the **bottom volatility** confirmed we were bottoming in the **60-Day Cycle**.
- 🔍 **Did I catch the exact bottom?** Rarely—but I waited for the **1-Day Cycle to reset** and bought again at the **second green stripe** in early February.
2️⃣ The Result:
- The market resumed its climb, gaining another **50%** from my entry point. 🚀
The Current Plan
📝 I’ll take a similar approach this time:
- 1-Day & 3-Day Cycles: Plan to reenter when both indicators drop below 20 —without waiting for the 1-Week Cycle to reset fully.
- Why? A left-translated cycle (concept by Bob Loukas, 2022) suggests this could still be a great entry point.
📊 Historical Data: Strongly supports this strategy.
Stay patient, and let the cycles guide your reentry. 🚦📈
BTCUSD | Next Prime Zone for Long OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
"BTC Drawdowns: My Target Was Picture Perfect!"Hello, everyone! 👋
Today marks the second day of significant crypto price drawdowns. 📉 I hope you managed to secure some profits earlier 💰 and are now enjoying this pullback while patiently waiting for better prices to consider long entries. 🚀
On November 21, I published an idea about BTC potentially topping out before a retracement. On December 5, BTC touched my target 🎯, and it now seems to be starting to roll over. Of course, nothing is certain in trading, but for now, the market appears to be moving in that direction. ⚖️
So, what should you do now? 🤔
It depends on your market perspective:
If you're a long-term HODLer, things are straightforward—just sit back, wait, and enjoy the price action. 🪙📈
If you're a trader, especially a swing trader, you might want to consider locking in profits. 💵 Stick to your system and follow the rules—it can be that simple. ✔️
I hope you're reading this with some realized profits in your account! 💸 Stay tuned for my next idea about potential retracement levels. 📊
Wishing you all a fantastic week! 🌟
#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC?
As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k
There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis:
1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected
2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k
3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal)
4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow
Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
Idex/UsdtBINANCE:BTCUSDT
---
The **current price** of the asset (Idex) is **0.08639**. 📉 This means the price is currently trading around this value.
The **support levels** are the price points where the asset has historically bounced back from, acting as a "floor" for the price:
- **0.06818** 🛑 (1st support): If the price drops, this level could act as the first line of defense where buying pressure may increase.
- **0.0500** 🛑 (2nd support): If the price keeps falling, this support level is a stronger one that might attract more buyers.
- **0.0300** 🛑 (3rd support): This is a deeper support level. If the price drops to this point, it could represent a significant opportunity for buying, or it could signal a deeper downtrend if broken.
If the price **holds** above these support levels (meaning the price does not drop below them), the asset could **rise** towards the next **resistance levels**:
- **0.011790** 🚀 (1st resistance): This is a key level where selling pressure may appear. If the price breaks through this level, it could signal a move higher.
- **0.01324** 🚀 (2nd resistance): If the price breaks past 0.011790, the next level to watch is 0.01324, which might be a tough hurdle before further gains.
So, in simple terms:
- If the price **stays above the support levels**, it may push higher towards the resistance levels.
- But if it **falls below the support**, the price could go down to the next support zone.
Remember, this is just analysis, not financial advice! 📊✨
---