BTC SHORT TP:77,000 13-03-2025Bitcoin has broken a significant accumulation zone that was set for an upward movement, now indicating bearish signals. We will look to enter a short position between the 82,000 - 83,000 range, with a take profit set at 76,000 - 77,000.
This analysis is based on 4-hour and 2-hour timeframes, so we anticipate that this will unfold within 25 to 30 hours. If the expected movement does not occur within this timeframe, the trade will be deemed invalid.
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Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin, S&P, Gold: Market Decline & DivergenceThe intricate dance of financial assets often reveals hidden correlations and predictive patterns. Recently, the synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has raised concerns, while gold's historic rally has left Bitcoin trailing. However, a deeper dive into the data suggests a potential turnaround, hinting at a shift in market dynamics.
For much of the past few years, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong correlation with the S&P 500, behaving as a risk-on asset.1 When the stock market surged, Bitcoin often followed suit, and conversely, market downturns typically coincided with Bitcoin's price depreciation. This correlation stems from shared macroeconomic drivers, such as interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and overall investor sentiment. The recent parallel decline reflects anxieties surrounding persistent inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainties.
However, this synchronized movement doesn't tell the whole story. While Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have been grappling with downward pressure, gold has embarked on a remarkable rally, reaching unprecedented heights. This surge is fueled by several factors, including substantial inflows into gold ETFs, escalating geopolitical tensions, and heightened market volatility. Gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset has been reaffirmed, as investors seek refuge from the turbulence in equity and cryptocurrency markets.
The divergence between Bitcoin and gold is particularly striking. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, a metric that reflects the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold, has broken a 12-year support level. This breach signals a significant shift in investor preference, with gold emerging as the dominant asset. The recent climb of gold to a hypothetical $3,000 mark (or equivalent in other currencies) further underscores this trend, demonstrating its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty.
The observed pattern of Bitcoin breaking its multiyear uptrend against gold bears a striking resemblance to the market behavior witnessed between March 2021 and March 2022. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a similar decline relative to gold, ultimately leading to a substantial drop in its dollar value. This fractal pattern suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for further depreciation, potentially falling below the $65,000 mark.
However, it's crucial to acknowledge that historical patterns are not infallible predictors of future performance. Market dynamics are constantly evolving, and unforeseen events can significantly alter the trajectory of asset prices. While the current data points towards a potential decline for Bitcoin, there are countervailing factors that could trigger a reversal.
One such factor is the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. As more institutional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, the market may become less susceptible to short-term fluctuations driven by retail sentiment. Moreover, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a decentralized store of value remains a compelling narrative for many investors.
Additionally, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. As governments and regulatory bodies establish frameworks for the operation of digital asset markets, investor confidence may improve, leading to renewed interest in Bitcoin. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is also anticipated to reduce the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which could potentially drive up its price.
While the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may persist in the short term, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest a potential decoupling in the long run. As the cryptocurrency market matures and gains wider acceptance, its correlation with traditional asset classes may weaken.
The recent divergence between Bitcoin and gold highlights the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. While gold has proven its resilience in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin offers the potential for substantial returns in the long term. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when allocating capital to these assets.
The breakdown of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is a concerning indicator, however, the cryptocurrency world moves quickly. The market is driven by new innovation, and adoption. The market has been known to have large pullbacks, followed by even larger rallies. The current market may be pricing in a large amount of fear, and a simple change in the news cycle could cause a large change in the price of bitcoin.
In conclusion, the current market dynamics present a complex picture. The synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, coupled with gold's historic rally, suggests a potential downturn for Bitcoin. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and a maturing regulatory landscape, could trigger a reversal. Investors should remain vigilant, monitor market trends, and make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the underlying fundamentals. The data suggests a potential turn around, but only time will tell if the market will comply.
$84K BTC Battle, ETF Resilience, and Macroeconomic ShadowsBitcoin's journey remains a captivating saga of volatility, resilience, and the interplay of technical indicators and macroeconomic forces. Recently, the cryptocurrency surged past $84,000, reigniting bullish sentiment, but faces a critical test at a key resistance level.1 This surge, fueled by a broader rebound in risk assets, pushed BTC above its 200-day moving average, a pivotal benchmark for assessing long-term trends. However, this bullish momentum is juxtaposed with significant selling pressure, ETF outflows, and lingering concerns about regulatory and macroeconomic landscapes.
The 200-Day Moving Average: A Battleground for Bulls
The 200-day moving average is a widely recognized technical indicator that provides insight into the long-term trend of an asset. For Bitcoin, consistently closing above this level signifies a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The recent breach is a positive sign for bulls, indicating renewed confidence and potentially attracting further investment. However, a sustained close above this level is crucial to solidify the bullish outlook.
The importance of this level is highlighted by the narrative that a weekly close above this average would confirm a market bottom. This emphasizes the significance of longer timeframes in validating trends in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
$86K or $65+K: A Price at a Crossroads
Bitcoin's price currently finds itself at a critical juncture. The immediate challenge is breaching the $86,000 resistance level. A successful breakout could pave the way for further gains, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to overcome this resistance could lead to a pullback towards the $65,000 support level. This range represents a crucial battleground for bulls and bears, with the outcome likely to determine the short-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
MVRV Ratio: A Potential Reversal Indicator
The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is another key metric that investors closely monitor. It compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, providing insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions. A high MVRV ratio suggests that Bitcoin is overvalued and prone to a correction, while a low ratio indicates undervaluation and potential for a rebound. The MVRV ratio nearing a key level suggests that a major reversal could be imminent, adding another layer of complexity to Bitcoin's current price action.
ETF Resilience Amidst Volatility
Despite a 25% price drop, Bitcoin ETF investors have maintained a relatively strong stance. This resilience is reflected in the collective $115 billion in assets under management by US Bitcoin ETFs. This demonstrates the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. However, since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion. This outflow points to a potential shift in investor sentiment, possibly driven by concerns about market volatility or macroeconomic uncertainties.
The strength of the ETF market is a double edged sword. While significant holdings demonstrate institutional buy in, large outflows can increase sell pressure on the underlying asset.
Selling Pressure and Macroeconomic Shadows
Bitcoin's recent decline is attributed to intensified selling pressure, reflecting a broader trend of risk aversion in the market. This selling pressure is exacerbated by concerns about the potential impact of digital currencies on traditional banking systems. Banks are increasingly weighing the implications of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, leading to regulatory scrutiny and potential policy changes.
Furthermore, macroeconomic factors continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Concerns about inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions are contributing to market volatility and impacting the demand for risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Presidential Policy and Market Sentiment
A presidential policy aimed at creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve initially sparked optimism among investors. However, this initial enthusiasm waned, highlighting the complex interplay between policy announcements and market reactions. While such policies can signal government acceptance of cryptocurrencies, they may not always translate into immediate price appreciation.
The market's reaction suggests that investors are more focused on broader macroeconomic trends and regulatory clarity. The lack of sustained positive impact from the policy announcement underscores the importance of addressing fundamental concerns about Bitcoin's long-term viability and regulatory framework.
Navigating the Volatility
Bitcoin's current situation highlights the inherent volatility and unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Investors must remain vigilant and adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. The interplay of technical indicators, ETF flows, and macroeconomic factors creates a complex landscape that requires careful analysis and strategic decision-making.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's battle at $84K, coupled with the resilience of ETF investors and the shadow of macroeconomic uncertainties, paints a picture of a market at a critical juncture. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can sustain its bullish momentum or succumb to renewed selling pressure. Understanding the interplay of these factors is essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency investing.
Btcusd support for pullback This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 1-day timeframe (from Coinbase) includes key technical indicators:
1. Double Top Formation – Marked at the resistance level, this pattern typically signals a potential price reversal. The price failed to break above this level twice before declining.
2. Resistance Level – A trendline acting as a strong resistance, previously rejecting price movements. The chart suggests that Bitcoin needs to break through this level for further bullish momentum.
3. Support Zones – Two green zones indicate key support levels where buying pressure has historically increased, preventing further declines.
4. Projected Price Action – The analysis suggests a short-term decline towards support, followed by a bullish rebound. The price is expected to test resistance again and potentially break out toward $104,283.
5. Volume Profile – The right side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. Higher volume zones indicate strong areas of interest for buyers and sellers.
Overall, this analysis suggests a temporary dip followed by a potential breakout to new highs, contingent on Bitcoin holding support and overcoming resistance.
BTC/USDT Trade Setup & Analysis – Key Support Bounce & TargetsSupport: The lower purple zone indicates a strong support level where the price has bounced.
Resistance: The upper purple zone marks a resistance area where price has been rejected multiple times.
2. Moving Averages:
200 EMA (Blue): At 82,800.42, acting as dynamic resistance.
30 EMA (Red): At 82,090.72, indicating short-term trend direction.
3. Trade Setup:
A long position is planned from the current support level.
Entry: Around 80,026.98 (near support).
Stop Loss: Around 76,980.09 (below support).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 81,636.34
TP2: 82,800.42 (near 200 EMA)
TP3: 84,481.83
TP4: 86,260.26
Final Target: 88,297.36
4. Conclusion:
The setup expects a bounce from support with a target back towards resistance levels.
Breaking 82,800 (200 EMA) is crucial for further bullish momentum.
If the price falls below 80,000, the setup might get invalidated.
Would you like a deeper breakdown on any part? 🚀
BTC/USD Weekly Analysis – Key Levels & Market Structure📌 Major Trend Channel : The price remains within a long-term ascending channel. It recently rejected the upper boundary and is currently testing key support zones.
📌 Key Support Zone: The price is reacting to the SNR - Support level. If this level holds, a potential bounce toward 100,297 (mid-channel level) could be expected.
📌 Order Blocks & Imbalance: There are key liquidity zones, including a discount price imbalance and resistance order block around $55K-$60K, which could act as a magnet in case of further corrections.
📌 Potential Upside Targets: If bullish momentum resumes, the next target aligns with the channel’s 50% level at $100,297, before retesting the upper boundary.
🔍 Overall Bias: Short-term retracement possible, but bullish structure remains intact above $73,969 support.
Risk Warning: Trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent advice if necessary.
btcusd on bearish retrace#BTCUSD price have multiple retest below 81k, now we await for next double rejection to sell.
If price touch 84200 then bearish retracment is active which will drop the price till 81k. Stop loss at 85196.
Above 85196 have bullish breakout which forms new buy to reach 88k-90k limit.
Bitcoin will reach $221,000The chart explicitly labels a "Breakout" point around December 15, 2024, where the price moves above the $80,000 resistance level of the ascending triangle. This breakout is a significant technical event, suggesting strong buying pressure and a continuation of the uptrend. Following the breakout, the chart notes a "Retracement" phase, where the price pulls back to test the breakout level (now acting as support at approximately $80,000). This behavior is common in technical analysis, as prices often retest previous resistance levels after a breakout to confirm support.
As of March 14, 2025, the current price of $80,228.30 is just above the $80,000 level, suggesting the price may be in the early stages of this retracement or has recently stabilized after testing the support. This positioning indicates potential buying opportunities for traders looking for entry points near this level, with expectations of further upward movement.
Projected Price Target: $221,000
One of the most notable annotations on the chart is the "TG $221,000" label, which stands for "Target Price" of $221,000. This target is projected based on the breakout from the ascending triangle, likely calculated by taking the height of the triangle (the difference between the resistance at $80,000 and the lowest support at $55,000, which is $25,000) and adding it to the breakout level ($80,000 + $25,000 = $105,000). However, the chart's projection to $221,000 suggests a more aggressive target, possibly involving a multiple of the height (e.g., 3x the height, $80,000 + $75,000 = $155,000, still not reaching $221,000) or a Fibonacci extension beyond standard calculations.
Given the significant gap between the current price ($80,228.30) and the target ($221,000), this projection is an unexpected detail, implying a potential multi-fold increase in Bitcoin's value. It aligns with the chart's bullish patterns but involves considerable uncertainty, as market conditions, macroeconomic factors, and adoption rates could influence actual price movements.
Additional Technical Observations
Beyond the ascending channel and triangle, the chart includes several other technical elements:
Support and Resistance Levels: The $80,000 level, initially a resistance during the triangle, becomes a key support level post-breakout. The lower trendline of the ascending channel also acts as dynamic support throughout the uptrend, providing a floor for price corrections.
Volume Indicator (Implied): While not explicitly shown, breakouts like the one labeled are often accompanied by increased volume, which would confirm the strength of the move. Without a visible volume histogram, this remains an inference.
Fibonacci Retracement (Potential): The retracement after the breakout could be analyzed using Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to identify key support zones, though these are not drawn on the chart.
Momentum and Moving Averages (Implied): Although not visible, momentum indicators like RSI or MACD could provide additional insights. For instance, a strong breakout might correlate with overbought RSI, while the retracement could indicate a return to neutral levels. Moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) might have supported the uptrend earlier, with the price potentially approaching these for support during retracements.
Implications for Traders
The analysis suggests Bitcoin is in a robust bullish trend, supported by the ascending channel, triangle breakout, and projected target. Traders may consider the following strategies:
Buy on Pullbacks: Look for buying opportunities near the $80,000 support level, especially if volume and other indicators confirm buying pressure.
Target Setting: Use the projected target of $221,000 as a long-term goal, but be mindful of market volatility and external factors that could affect price.
Risk Management: Given the significant gap to the target, set stop-loss levels below key support (e.g., below $80,000) to manage risk.
Bitcoin is Headed to $36K And It’s Happening NOW!This might not be the most popular opinion, especially among those who still believe the current Bitcoin bull cycle hasn’t ended. However, I encourage you to take a few minutes, approach this with an open mind, and let me know whether you agree or disagree.
Understanding the Previous Cycle (2020–2021)
The last Bitcoin bull cycle began in March 2020, when BTC bottomed at approximately $3,810. It then surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $69,870 in November 2021, marking the cycle top.
By applying a Fibonacci retracement to this entire range, we can see that the golden pocket (0.618 - 0.786 Fib)—often a key support zone during bear markets—fell between $17,700 and $28,690.
Looking at the chart, BTC beautifully retraced into this zone, even dipping slightly below it to form a cycle bottom at $15,500 in November 2022.
The key sign that the bear market had ended and a new bull market had begun was when Bitcoin broke above the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the previous cycle and established a higher high on the weekly chart. This marked a clear shift from a bearish to a bullish market structure.
The Current Cycle (2022–2025)
From the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin rallied, setting a new ATH at $73,600—just slightly above the previous peak. After some consolidation, it found strong support at the 0.236 Fib level of the previous bull cycle, signaling that the uptrend was still intact.
The real breakout came when BTC surpassed the psychological $100,000 level and consolidated around the -0.5 Fib extension of the previous cycle. The cycle top appears to have been put in after Donald Trump took office in January 2025, marking an approximately 26-month bull run—longer than previous cycles.
However, a major bear market confirmation signal has now emerged: BTC has decisively broken below the 0.236 Fib retracement of this cycle, which historically signals the end of a bull market and the beginning of a new bear phase.
Where is the Next Bottom?
By analyzing the Fibonacci levels of both the previous and current bull cycles, we can identify key potential support zones where Bitcoin may bottom out:
1. $51,370 - $53,700
• This range aligns with:
• 0.236 Fib of the previous bull cycle
• 0.618 Fib of the most recent bull cycle
• This zone has confluence, making it a high-probability support level.
2. $35,600 - $36,500
• This range aligns with:
• 0.5 Fib of the previous bull cycle
• 0.786 Fib of the most recent bull cycle
• If BTC breaks below the first support zone, this is the next key level to watch.
Historically, Bitcoin bear markets last around one year, so we can expect this downward trend to play out over a similar timeframe.
How to Position Yourself?
For long-term investors, these support zones offer prime buying opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin at discounted prices before the next bull run begins. While the market won’t move in a straight line down—expect bounces and fake-outs—the general expectation is that BTC will find its next higher low within one of these zones.
Looking Ahead: Next Bull Cycle Target
If we use the same -0.5 Fib extension strategy that predicted the previous cycle’s top, we can estimate the next bull market peak. Based on the current cycle’s Fib range, the projected ATH for the next bull run would be around $157,000.
Final Thoughts
While nobody can predict the future with certainty, historical price action, Fibonacci levels, and market structure provide strong clues about where BTC is headed next. As always, flexibility is key—if market conditions change, so should our expectations. But if history repeats itself, these levels offer a solid framework for identifying the best entry points and positioning for the next major bull run.
What do you think? Do you agree with this analysis, or do you see it differently? Let me know in the comments!
BTC/USDT Reversal scenariosThere is bear mood in market, its exactly what is needed for reversal, lets have a look closer. I see 3 options.
1) Manipulation is over, we reached the target of local FIBO 1.618 at 77055$
2) Level 73764$ - its the target of Double TOP , the edge/high of the last block and 0.618 level of grand FIBO
3) POC level of last accumulation block which lasted for 255d at 67436$ - we could reach this level only with fast squeeze and fast buy back, leaving long needle on higher timeframe
BTC Market Update: Upside Move ImminentBTC Market Update: Upside Move Imminent
Bitcoin has successfully grabbed downside liquidity, setting the stage for a potential upside move.
Key Insights:
- The market has formed a Confirmation of Inverse Strength Distribution (CISD), indicating a bullish reversal.
- The marked swing highs are being tested, and a breakout above these levels could confirm the uptrend.
- The target zone of $84,400 is now in sight, with the market poised to challenge this level.
Trading Hypothesis:
- A sustained move above the marked swing highs could propel BTC towards the $84,400 zone.
Bitcoin Weekly LINEAR chart shows possible re run of 2021 2X ATHI was just looking at this Linear chart and spotted a couple of things.
So many people Use LOGARITHMIC charts.
In summery, A logarithmic chart is a graphical representation that uses a logarithmic scale, which differs from the conventional linear scale. In a logarithmic scale, the distance between values is not constant but increases by a factor, making it useful for datasets with a wide range of values. This approach helps in presenting numerical information more efficiently and allows for a better visualization of rates of change or percentages rather than absolute values.
A LINEAR chart however, shows you the REAL rate of change.
And on This Linear chart, I have noticed that PA is creating a very Similar Top to the MARCH ATH of 2021
I do not think we will follow it perfectly, as that drop in 2021 was over 50% and that would take us down to 52K, which I think is not a real possibility. But, being open to ALL possibilities, that trend line that was used by PA to bounce to the Nov ATH currently sits around 65K But the longer we wait, it heads higher, towards the 1 Fib ext around the Old 2021 ATH near 70K ( 69300)
Also note, how once PA had Dropped in March 2021, it levelled out and slide sideways for around 7 weeks.
So if we come over to Today, we have just dropped around 30% and seem to have found a Floor around 76K
We HAD to drop out of that Upper range box - It would have been December before we found support on the rising Trend line that has been the trigger for moves higher since 2023
And so, we have dropped to a Lower Range Box ( hopefully ) and this box hits the Rising trend line around June.
This has confluence with a number of other charts
And if we do range sideways, around this level, it is similar to that Range after the drop in 2021.
In 2021, after that range, PA rose by around 122%
I am not to sure we would see that but................
So now we wait to see if we stay in this range or not, with a top around 90K
We could See wicks out of this Range, down to the 70K mark maybe, with swift recovery.....
We may also see further Drop....
there is abcolutly NO guarentee that we will even head higher again.....
We have to wait and see and have plans and stick to them..for both BULl and BEAR
BTCUSDT Market Analysis UpdateBINANCE:BTCUSDT Hi everyone, I hope you are doing well and I have put my opinion in Bitcoin price on the chart for you. and hope this helps you! Simple, concise, useful
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has broken below a key trendline, and we are now seeing a potential retracement towards a demand zone around $66,771.5, which could act as a strong support level.
Breakdown & Retest: BTC has fallen below a significant trendline, confirming a bearish move. A possible retest of this zone before further decline is likely.
Long Entry Consideration: If price stabilizes and shows bullish confirmation at the highlighted demand zone, it could provide a strong long opportunity.
Bearish Scenario: A clean breakdown of this level could signal further downside potential, requiring caution before entering long positions.
RSI Oversold? The RSI is showing a potential reversal area, but confirmation is key before making any trades.
📉 Waiting for confirmation before entering!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Best regards
BTC Buy at this Level - NFP News This Week (Volatility Risk!)Short term Buy idea on Bitcoin. This is a riskier idea because:
A) BTC is showing signs of Weakness (so we are counter trend trading)
B) This idea is based on NFP news timing
I may wait until Monday to get clarity (unless you also trade on the weekend)
Overall Idea for this is:
- W1/M candles have big rejection wicks to the downside, retesting the previous Week's wick, hinting at some Buyside potential
- We see divergence with ETH.
- The LTF H4 shows a Break of Structure, momentum move to the upside.
- We've already had a retracement down after, and it validated the gap in price (blue zone), reacting off it, hinting that it will hold.
- Now I'm waiting for the next best price to enter.
Again, NFP volatility can create bigger than usual spikes, so keeping that in mind.
If NFP takes it higher without coming to a better price, so be it - the train will leave without me. Will wait for further PA.
Price will be giving the validation to enter.
BTC: In Weekly TimeframeHere's how the weekly chart looks for BTC.
With 9 hours left until the weekly candle closes, it's crucial for the next weekly candle to turn green and show a rebound. The support trendline around $80K needs to hold strong to maintain positive momentum.
~ Initial Support: $80K
~ Lower Support: $68K to FWB:73K
Stay vigilant—the upcoming week will be crucial.
Trade safely, and always do your own research and analysis before making any decisions.
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
BTC 3 MONTHS LONG Starts, this week?Waiting for a last impulse 140 ds/3 months on INDEX:BTCUSD BITCOIN, this week could the 3 months BTC LONG START . Why? Let´s see:
- Channel with 4 elliot waves done. Looking for Wave 5.
- RSI 3D breaking out, like 1 year ago.
- RSI W Just about to Break out, like 1 year ago. Looking for confirmation.
- Rate Cuts this week, lets see.
www.tradingview.com INDEX:BTCUSD
Weekly Support is around 80000.Weekly Support is around 80000.
However, 72500 - 73000 is its previous
breakout level & probably a Best Buying Rage
(if it touches) which is also a Confluence area of
Trendline Support+Important Fib. level.
Bullish Divergence on Shorter Time Frame +
Weekly Support around 80000 (if Sustained)
may push the Price up towards 87000 &
then around 95000 - 96000.
Ultimate Resistance is around 110000.
Crossing this level may open new Highs
Targeting around 136000.
On Shorter Timeframe, 85000 - 86000 is
the Immediate Resistance & Support is
around 80000.
Bitcoin's market share rises despite decline in active usersThe data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has been rising steadily since 2022. It also highlights that Bitcoin's market share of active users has fallen over time. The data shows that on-chain activity in Ethereum and other layer 1 (L1) networks has increased.
OnChain data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has increased since 2022, and the upward trend is the longest in history. The data also shows that Bitcoin's active user market share has fallen as on-chain activity on the Ethereum network has increased.
Amid declining users, Bitcoin dominance has increased;
Matrixport shows that Bitcoin dominance has increased to a new high of over 61%. The analytics platform put the dominance higher, which was stronger than expected in the US jobs report. It said that the increased job rate indicates that the economy is recovering. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT