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BTCUSDC

BTCUSDT – Accumulation Confirmed? Wyckoff Blueprint Playing Out Bitcoin continues to compress inside a defined range, resting above both a rising trendline and a former resistance turned support zone. This structure fits cleanly within a Wyckoff-style Accumulation Phase (B-C). We’re now at a critical moment where smart money may be absorbing supply, preparing for the next phase. 🔍 Key Observations: Range-bound price action with higher lows and muted volume Spring-like wick and recovery from the bottom of the range Support holding at prior breakout zone and ascending trendline Structure shows signs of stealth accumulation with a possible breakout ahead Sideways movement with fading volatility Gradual compression within the range Strong support defended multiple times (might make the support weaker as well !) A potential spring/retest event may already be in play You’ll see fakeouts, wicks, and hesitation in this phase — designed to trap weak hands. But the underlying behavior points to preparation, not distribution. The quiet before the markup. Let the market reveal its hand. 📈
by SLPHOBIA
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500 📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000 📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000 📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K. 📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD. 💡 Strategy: 🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000 🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!The situation has become quite strange. Bitcoin is forming deceptive patterns, and altcoins continue their downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is positioned within two triangles—one symmetrical and the other descending. Now that Bitcoin has reached the top of the triangle and appears ready to break upward, it might actually be hiding yet another trap within the price action. This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat. In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move. Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Whales Dump on Wall Street, Fueling Bitcoin's 'Inevitable' SurgeIn the high-stakes world of cryptocurrency, where fortunes are made and lost in the blink of an eye, a new narrative is taking shape. With Bitcoin's price hypothetically hovering around a robust $107,000, a significant portion of market analysis now suggests that a new all-time high is not just a possibility, but an inevitability. This confidence stems from a complex interplay of technical strength, unprecedented institutional demand, and a massive, yet healthy, transfer of wealth from early adopters to the new titans of finance. The market is currently witnessing a fascinating dynamic: while the price consolidates above the monumental $100,000 psychological barrier, long-term holders, often referred to as "OG whales," are systematically selling their holdings. This activity, which could be misconstrued as bearish, is being interpreted by many as a necessary and constructive phase. Instead of suppressing the price, this distribution is meeting a voracious appetite from Wall Street, primarily through the mechanism of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This creates a state of equilibrium, a period of sideways consolidation where the market digests enormous gains and builds a foundation for its next explosive move. The target on the horizon is a liquidity cluster around $109,000, a key level that, if decisively flipped to support, could unlock a path to uncharted territory. This article will delve into the multifaceted dynamics of this hypothetical market scenario. It will explore the significance of consolidating above $100,000, dissect the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from early believers to institutional giants, and analyze the technical and on-chain metrics pointing toward an imminent breakout. Finally, it will consider the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge the prevailing bullish thesis, providing a comprehensive overview of a market at a pivotal crossroads. Part 1: The New Paradigm - Consolidating Above $100,000 The act of breaking and holding a price level as significant as $100,000 represents more than just a numerical achievement; it is a profound psychological and structural shift for Bitcoin. In this hypothetical scenario, the market is not just visiting this level but is actively building a base above it, a process known as consolidation. This phase is crucial, characterized by sideways price movement within a defined range, often accompanied by decreasing trading volume, as the market takes a collective breath and establishes a new sense of fair value. The Psychology of a Six-Figure Asset For years, $100,000 was a distant, almost mythical target for Bitcoin. Surpassing and, more importantly, sustaining this level transforms market perception. It solidifies Bitcoin's status as a mature, global macro asset, moving it further away from its speculative past. This psychological victory attracts a new wave of capital from more conservative investors, wealth funds, and corporations who may have been hesitant to enter before such a milestone was reached. The consolidation phase above this level acts as a proof of stability, demonstrating that the asset can absorb significant profit-taking without collapsing, thereby building trust and confidence for the next wave of adoption. Market Structure and Institutional Support This period of stability is not happening in a vacuum. It is underpinned by a fundamental change in market structure, primarily the advent and overwhelming success of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These regulated financial products have provided a seamless bridge for Wall Street to pour billions of dollars into Bitcoin, creating a formidable wall of buy-side demand. In this scenario, where Bitcoin oscillates between $102,000 and $110,000, spot ETFs would be consistently recording massive net inflows, absorbing the supply being offered by sellers. This dynamic is a textbook example of healthy consolidation. It is a tug-of-war where the immense selling pressure from profit-takers is effectively matched by the persistent buying pressure from new institutional entrants. This prevents a sharp price decline and allows the market to methodically transfer coins from one cohort to another without inducing panic. Technically, this phase often forms recognizable patterns like sideways ranges, bullish flags, or ascending triangles, all of which suggest that pressure is building for an eventual breakout to the upside. The decreasing volume during this time indicates that the market is reaching an equilibrium before the next major directional move. Historical Precedent in a New Era Bitcoin has experienced consolidation phases after breaking previous major milestones, such as $1,000 and $20,000. However, the current hypothetical consolidation above $100,000 is fundamentally different in both scale and participants. Previous cycles were largely driven by retail investors and a smaller group of early adopters. The current cycle is defined by the heavyweight presence of institutional players who bring not only massive capital but also a long-term strategic investment horizon. The amount of capital required to absorb selling pressure at a six-figure price point is orders of magnitude greater than in any previous cycle. The fact that the market can achieve this stability highlights the depth and maturity it has developed. While past consolidations were precursors to further retail-driven mania, the current phase is about the systematic absorption of early investor supply by the largest financial institutions in the world, setting the stage for a rally built on a much stronger and more diverse foundation. This isn't just a pause; it's the construction of a launchpad for the next chapter in Bitcoin's story. Part 2: The "Great Transfer" - Long-Term Holders vs. Wall Street At the heart of the market's current dynamic is a historic transfer of wealth. This is the moment where the earliest and most steadfast believers in Bitcoin, the "OG Whales" or Long-Term Holders (LTHs), are realizing their life-changing gains by selling to the new behemoths of the financial world: Wall Street institutions. This process is not the bearish signal it might imply, but rather a critical market function that fuels the bull run's continuation. Defining the Players: "OG Whales" and Long-Term Holders Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are typically defined in on-chain analysis as addresses that have held their Bitcoin for more than 155 days (approximately five months). These are investors who have weathered significant volatility and have a deep conviction in the asset. "OG Whales" are a subset of this group, representing individuals or entities who accumulated vast amounts of Bitcoin in its nascent stages, often at prices of three figures or less. For them, selling at over $100,000 represents astronomical returns on their initial investment. Their motivation to sell is rational and expected. It is a common market pattern for patient bottom buyers to take profits as the market approaches and surpasses new all-time highs. They understand that the euphoria surrounding these record prices is what attracts the necessary buy-side demand to absorb their large sell orders. This selling, or "distribution," is a hallmark of every Bitcoin bull market peak. The key question is whether the demand is strong enough to absorb this supply without crashing the price. Deconstructing the "Dumping on Wall Street" Narrative The essence of this transfer is that since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, LTHs have been the primary source of selling pressure. They are, in effect, providing the liquidity that the newly launched ETFs require to meet the relentless demand from their clients. This dynamic is precisely why the price has been able to stabilize at such high levels. The institutional buying frenzy is absorbing the supply unloaded by LTHs. This is not a malicious act of suppression but a symbiotic relationship: LTHs need massive buyers to sell to, and Wall Street needs massive sellers to source coins from. This is simply the natural ebb and flow of a market cycle where supply and demand are meeting at a new, higher equilibrium. On-Chain Evidence of a Healthy Distribution Several on-chain metrics provide a clear window into this phenomenon, confirming that the current selling is a sign of a healthy bull market, not an impending top. • Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This metric shows the degree of realized profit for all coins moved on-chain. In this scenario, the LTH-SOPR would be extremely high, indicating that the coins being sold were acquired at a much lower cost basis and are now being sold for massive profits. While this signals profit-taking, it is typical of a bull market and, on its own, does not signal a top. • Realized Profit: On-chain data would show a massive spike in realized profits, confirming that sellers are locking in gains. The market's ability to absorb these profits and continue consolidating is a sign of immense strength. • Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) / Value Days Destroyed (VDD): These metrics measure the activity of older coins. A spike in VDD is synonymous with the LTH cohort spending their coins. This typically peaks shortly after breaking all-time highs because sellers need the liquidity that new buyers bring. The fact that this selling is being met with such strong institutional demand prevents it from turning into a bear market trigger. • Long-Term Holder Supply: While some LTHs are selling, the overall supply held by this cohort may still be growing or stabilizing. This is because investors who bought six months prior are continuously "aging" into LTH status. This indicates that while the oldest hands are selling, a new generation of convicted holders is forming, providing a solid foundation for the market. In essence, the "great transfer" is a feature, not a bug, of the current bull market. It is a sign of Bitcoin's maturation, where the asset is moving from the strong hands of early pioneers to the deep pockets of the global financial system. This process allows the market to de-risk, shed its over-leveraged players, and build a stronger base for what many believe is the inevitable next leg up. Part 3: The Path to $109K and Beyond - Technical and Liquidity Analysis With the market having established a strong foundation above $100,000, all eyes turn to the next key resistance levels. Technical and on-chain analysis points to a significant cluster of liquidity around the $109,000 mark, which is viewed as the final hurdle before Bitcoin can enter a new phase of price discovery. The argument for the "inevitability" of a new all-time high rests on a confluence of bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and the overwhelming force of market liquidity. Understanding Liquidity at $109,000 In financial markets, liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without causing a significant price change. On a price chart, liquidity is concentrated at levels with a high density of buy and sell orders. The area around $109,000 to $111,000 represents a major liquidity cluster. This is composed of: • Sell Orders (Asks): A large number of investors who bought at lower prices have placed take-profit orders at this psychological and technical level. • Short Position Liquidations: Traders who are betting against Bitcoin have placed their stop-losses above this resistance. If the price breaks through, these short positions are automatically closed with a buy order, creating a "short squeeze" that adds explosive fuel to the rally. Analysis of order book data shows significant liquidation levels stacked just above this zone. Successfully breaking through and absorbing this sell-side liquidity would remove a significant barrier, clearing the path for a rapid move higher. A decisive flip of the $109,000 level from resistance to support is what bulls are watching for as the ultimate confirmation of upward momentum. Bullish Technical Indicators The consolidation phase has allowed Bitcoin's technical indicators to cool off and prepare for the next advance. • Chart Patterns: On higher timeframes, the price action is forming classic bullish continuation patterns. There is potential for formations like an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern or a bullish engulfing candlestick, both of which have historically high success rates in predicting upward moves. A bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, for instance, has shown a high probability of leading to new local highs when appearing in a broader uptrend. • Momentum Oscillators: Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) have likely reset from "overbought" conditions during the consolidation. This reset is healthy and necessary, allowing momentum to build again from a neutral base rather than an overheated one. It signals that the market has shed its speculative froth and is ready for a more sustainable trend. • Moving Averages: Throughout the consolidation period, the price would find strong support at key moving averages, such as the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) or the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). These levels act as dynamic support, with dip buyers consistently stepping in, reinforcing the strength of the underlying trend. • The "Inevitability" Thesis Synthesized The argument that a new all-time high is "inevitable" is built on the convergence of these powerful forces: 1. Unprecedented Demand: The constant, price-agnostic inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs provide a demand floor that the market has never experienced before. 2. Supply Absorption: The selling pressure from long-term holders, which would have crushed the market in previous cycles, is being successfully absorbed by this new institutional demand. 3. Healthy Reset: The market has undergone a healthy consolidation, allowing technicals to cool off, leverage to be flushed out, and a strong support base to be built. 4. Psychological Breakthrough: The conquest of the $100,000 level has fundamentally altered market perception and opened the door to price discovery, with the next logical target being the liquidity pool at $109,000. While no outcome in financial markets is ever truly guaranteed, the confluence of persistent institutional buying, constructive on-chain dynamics, and bullish technical setups creates a powerful case that Bitcoin is coiling for a significant breakout. The move through $109,000 is seen not as a question of "if," but "when." Part 4: Risks and Counterarguments Despite the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in this hypothetical scenario, a prudent analysis requires examining the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge or delay the ascent to new all-time highs. The cryptocurrency market remains susceptible to a variety of internal and external shocks, and overconfidence can be a precursor to sharp corrections. Macroeconomic Headwinds Bitcoin's increasing integration into the global financial system means it is more sensitive to macroeconomic conditions than ever before. A sudden and severe global recession, an unexpected spike in inflation leading to aggressive monetary tightening by central banks, or major geopolitical conflicts could trigger a "risk-off" event across all asset classes, including Bitcoin. Investors might flee to the perceived safety of cash or government bonds, causing even the strong institutional demand for Bitcoin to waver. It is often noted that traders wait for clarity on key macroeconomic data and policy updates before committing to a trend, and any negative surprises could trigger a sell-off. Overwhelming Profit-Taking The thesis of a new all-time high hinges on the ability of institutional demand to absorb the selling from long-term holders. However, there is a risk that this supply could become too overwhelming. The profits held by early investors are immense, and there may be a price point—perhaps on the approach to $110,000 or just beyond—where profit-taking accelerates to a pace that even the ETFs cannot sustain. If a large cohort of whales decides to sell in unison, it could create a supply shock that temporarily breaks the market structure and forces a deeper correction. Market Exhaustion and Valuation Metrics While consolidation is healthy, a prolonged sideways period can sometimes signal exhaustion rather than accumulation. On-chain metrics that compare Bitcoin's market value to its realized value are crucial for gauging how overheated the market is. These tools help identify periods of extreme overvaluation. If such metrics were to enter their highest zones, it would suggest that the market is reaching peak froth, making it vulnerable to a sharp reversal, regardless of the positive narrative. It is understood that while Bitcoin's price has a strong correlation to global liquidity, internal market dynamics can cause it to decouple, especially during periods of extreme valuation. Regulatory and Black Swan Risks The risk of unforeseen "black swan" events always looms over the market. This could include a sudden and harsh regulatory crackdown in a major jurisdiction, the collapse of a major crypto exchange or institution, or the discovery of a critical flaw in the Bitcoin protocol itself. Furthermore, the concentration of Bitcoin within a few large ETF products, while providing demand, also introduces a new vector of risk. If these institutions were to face regulatory pressure or decide to offload their holdings for strategic reasons, the resulting sell pressure could be catastrophic. In conclusion, while the path to a new all-time high appears clear and well-supported by current dynamics, it is by no means guaranteed. A combination of adverse macroeconomic shifts, overwhelming selling pressure, extreme valuations, or an unexpected black swan event could easily derail the bullish momentum. Investors and analysts must remain vigilant, balancing the optimistic on-chain and technical data with a realistic appreciation of the inherent risks in this volatile asset class. Conclusion The hypothetical scenario of Bitcoin consolidating above $100,000 while eyeing a breakout to $109,000 and beyond represents a pivotal moment in the asset's history. It paints a picture of a market that has achieved a new level of maturity, driven by a paradigm shift in its investor base. The central thesis—that a new all-time high is now "inevitable"—is not born from baseless hype, but from a powerful confluence of observable market forces. The successful establishment of the six-figure price level as a support floor, rather than a speculative peak, is the first pillar of this argument. This consolidation is made possible by the voracious and sustained demand from Wall Street institutions, which are using spot Bitcoin ETFs to absorb the immense selling pressure from early adopters. This dynamic, the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from OG whales to institutional treasuries, is not a sign of a market top but a healthy and necessary distribution that de-risks the market and fuels the next leg of the bull run. The on-chain analysis provides a framework for understanding this phase not as stagnation, but as a constructive consolidation where the market builds energy for a parabolic advance. This narrative is supported by bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and a clear liquidity target at $109,000, which, once breached, could trigger a powerful short squeeze and propel Bitcoin into a new phase of price discovery. However, this bullish outlook must be tempered with an awareness of the significant risks that remain. Macroeconomic instability, the sheer scale of potential profit-taking, and the ever-present threat of regulatory or black swan events could challenge the prevailing trend. Ultimately, this analysis reveals a Bitcoin that is at a crossroads, but one where the path forward appears more clearly defined and well-supported than ever before. The interplay between the old guard of crypto and the new titans of finance is forging a stronger, more resilient market. While no outcome is certain, the evidence strongly suggests that Bitcoin is not at the end of its run, but is merely pausing to build a higher launchpad for its journey into the financial mainstream.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
Bitcoin Bullish Flag Breakout Incoming?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, following a strong impulse move from the $74,000 support zone marked in April. The price is hovering near a critical horizontal resistance zone ($ 108,000–$ 109,000), which has historically acted as a major barrier to further gains. Technical Highlights: Bullish Flag Pattern: Clear flag formation after a strong uptrend, suggesting continuation potential. Strong Support Rebound: April's bounce from the ~$74K support zone marked a key higher low. EMA: Price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day EMAs — a bullish sign of momentum. Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above the flag resistance (~$109K) could ignite a strong rally toward $130K+. Breakout Move: If the flag pattern plays out, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could target the $125K–$135K zone in the coming weeks. Buy Entry: Once the day candle closes above the flag resistance line
Long
by HexaTrades
BITCOIN - Price can continue grow inside flat to $107933 level#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward. We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout. We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 106500, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound. We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 106000. Entry price: 106736 First target: 106996 Second target: 107434 Third target: 107933 To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management. When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order. For inquiries, please comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC/USD Consolidation Breakout Setup Chart Overview: The BTC/USD chart shows a strong bullish impulse followed by a consolidation phase just below a key resistance level, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. 🔹 Key Technical Zones: 📍 Support Zone: 105,368 – 106,481 USD This area acted as a strong demand zone where price reversed aggressively. 📍 Resistance Level: 107,439 – 107,840 USD Price is currently consolidating just below this resistance, indicating a buildup for a breakout. 🎯 Target Zone: 110,683 – 111,394 USD A clean breakout above resistance could push price into this target area. 🔹 Technical Signals: ✅ Bullish Flag Formation: After a strong impulse move, BTC is forming a sideways range, indicating bullish accumulation. ⬆️ Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout and retest above 107,840 could validate a move toward the 111K region. ⚠️ Invalidation Point: A drop below 106,481 would invalidate the bullish bias and may trigger a deeper pullback. 📌 Conclusion: As long as BTC holds above the 106,481 support and breaks above the 107,840 resistance, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward the 111K zone. Traders should watch for a breakout confirmation and manage risk accordingly. 💹
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
7
#BTC/UST#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 106,000. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 106,600 First target: 106,750 Second target: 107,000 Third target: 107,291
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Setup: Entry at $108,658 with Target at $98,815 and Stop Loss at1. Entry Point: 108,658 This is where the trader expects to enter a short position. Price is projected to reverse near this level. 2. Stop Loss: 110,341 Located above the entry point. If price hits this level, the short trade is invalidated, limiting losses. 3. Target (Take Profit): 98,815 This is the EA Target Point, about 9,714 points (~8.94%) below the entry. Represents a favorable risk-reward ratio. --- 🔄 Trade Idea Summary Trade Type: Short (Sell) Risk: ~1,683 points (110,341 - 108,658) Reward: ~9,843 points (108,658 - 98,815) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5.85 (which is strong) --- 📊 Technical Indicators in Use Moving Averages: Likely 50-period (red) and 200-period (blue) MAs. The 50 MA is below the price, indicating short-term bullishness. However, the trade idea goes against this short-term trend, suggesting a reversal strategy. --- 🔍 Interpretation & Strategy This chart implies the trader expects resistance near 108,658, possibly due to historical highs or supply zones. The bearish outlook expects a significant drop to 98,815, possibly supported by macro patterns (like head & shoulders, or bearish divergence—not shown here but could be inferred). The purple zones highlight high-probability reversal or reaction areas (support/resistance zones). --- ⚠️ Things to Watch Invalidation: If price closes above 110,341 on a 4H/1D chart, the trade setup fails. Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick at or near the entry zone would strengthen the case. Market Context: News, economic data, or BTC ETF inflows/outflows can quickly invalidate technical setups.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
15
A Disciplined Approach to BTC/USDT - Wait for the Right Set Up!Right now, I’m closely monitoring BTC/USDT — and what immediately jumps out is how aggressively this rally has pushed upward 🚀. We’ve seen price climb into a key external range high, taking out liquidity that was likely sitting just above those prior highs 💧. This kind of move is often where institutional players step in to offload positions, as the liquidity makes it easier to find counterparts for previous accumulation phases 🏦. The way this price action is unfolding, I wouldn't be surprised to see a correction or retracement soon. With the market this stretched, I’m not looking to get long here — especially not while BTC is trading at such a clear premium 🎯. No edge in chasing the highs. Instead, I’ll be sitting back, waiting for a healthy pullback and a confirmed bullish structure shift before considering any entries 🔄📊. There’s no need to force trades in these conditions. Patience protects capital 🛡️. ⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just my current market perspective.
by fxtraderanthony
BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news: 1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement 2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later 📈 Market analysis: I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 106000-105500 TP 105000-104500 BUY 140500-103500 TP 105000-106000 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉 I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals. 🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉. 📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry. ⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup. 🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Short
by fxtraderanthony
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis Market Structure & Trend Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel). Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone. Key Technical Zones 1. Supply Zone Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply. Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range. 2. Demand Zone Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength. Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels 1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with: Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib). Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails. A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond. Psychological Levels 105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions. 100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails. Volume Profile High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance. Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range. Scenarios & Trade Ideas Bullish Scenario If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF: Potential Long to local resistance. On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level. Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet. Bearish Scenario If price fails to hold the demand zone: Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level. If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below. Conclusion Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation: Above demand = bullish recovery setup. Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG. Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
by King_BennyBag
10