BTC - ShortBTC - Short to 56,251. BTC has been going sideways since Feb 29th, 2024, respecting the sideways channel well on the daily charts. We've seen some selling here following the "M" pattern that played-out over the last 2 weeks. MACD shows some buyers coming-in but overall, we still see selling as we approach neutral. On the fear & greed index, we still have not reached peak greed so if we see a death cross on MA's in the next week, BTC can test the bottom of the sideways channel. This is normal market action...we've seen BTC ripping higher for quite some time, nothing goes straight up!
-Short from 60,700 to 55,648.
-Invalidation 65,273
Timeframe, 4 days to a week.
BTCUSDC
BTC is going to do something interesting...CRYPTOCAP:BTC update
As I mentioned, the $63.8k level is very important, and we are currently at this point. We should either bounce from here or stay around this level for a few days before rallying to $72k.
The high of July 1st ($63.8k) is crucial to hold. If we trade below it for several days, we may see a deeper pullback, which I am not expecting. A prolonged dip below $63.8k could be the first sign that we are heading towards a new macro low (below $53k), potentially leading to a bear market for the rest of the year. In that case, the next significant opportunity might not come until 2025.
For now, I am holding everything tightly. This is a consolidation phase, not a bear market, although altcoins might take a hit due to BTC dominance being very bullish. Only strong coins are likely to move with BTC.
MIDTERM BEARISHWe are entering the strongest resistence area that was not successfullly broken yet (4 years).
Also we are at the VAH of this huge consolidation! Bearish divergence is looming on 4H charts... A lot of bearish confluence!
Playing some shorts at this lvl is in your favour.
Always take partial profit on the way down.
GL
#BTC/USDT#BTC
Bitcoin price is moving in an upward trend on the 4-hour frame since the beginning of the month
The price is strongly adhering to the trend line. Now we have a slight breakout downwards. We are waiting for a rebound from it upwards and a 4-hour close above the trend to confirm the rise and respect the trend
We have so far stability above the 100 moving average, which supports the possibility of rising
We have a retest of the broken downtrend on the RSI indicator
Which gives a selling saturation and increases the chances of rising
Current price 66320
The target of rising on two targets
The first target is 68000
The second target is 69800
The model is canceled in the event of a 4-hour candle closing below 65000
Bitcoin adjusted to market cycleI think something like this make sense? We are at a 1st leg or wave of impulse, that is led by early adapters. 2nd leg up would be BTC outperforming SPX. 3rd wave would be a market chop w/ still some opportunities. 1st wave -> buy when it's cheap (bellow 70k crowd). Then comes rally to 120-150k. Before it becomes too expensive. 2nd and 3rd wave are led by ppl missing on a bandwagon, good returns. No crystal ball, see what happens:)
> Driver is the rate cuts and money at money market funds.
You can also see how divergence in BTC/SPX graph was the market top for btc.
Record Bitcoin Open Interest Suggest BreakoutBitcoin's open interest, a metric that measures the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, has recently hit a new all-time high. This significant surge has ignited speculation among market analysts and investors about a potential price breakout for the world's largest cryptocurrency.
Open Interest: A Market Sentiment Indicator
Open interest is often used as a proxy for market interest and liquidity in an asset. A rising open interest typically indicates growing investor participation and a potential increase in price volatility. Conversely, a declining open interest can signal waning interest and a potential price correction.
In Bitcoin's case, the current record-breaking open interest suggests a heightened level of investor engagement. This heightened interest could be driven by a variety of factors, including anticipation of regulatory clarity, institutional adoption, and the halving event scheduled for 2024.
Potential for a Price Breakout
While a high open interest does not guarantee a price breakout, it certainly increases the likelihood of significant price movements. If the market sentiment remains bullish, the accumulated buying pressure could propel Bitcoin's price to new highs.
However, it's essential to remember that open interest is just one factor to consider when analyzing market trends. Other indicators, such as technical analysis patterns, on-chain metrics, and macroeconomic conditions, should also be taken into account.
Cautious Optimism
While the recent surge in Bitcoin's open interest is undoubtedly bullish, investors should approach the market with caution. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and price fluctuations can be rapid and unpredictable.
Additionally, it's crucial to diversify your investment portfolio and avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Cryptocurrencies are still a relatively new asset class, and the regulatory landscape is constantly evolving. As the cryptocurrency market continues to mature, we will likely see more sophisticated investment strategies and risk management tools emerge. Until then, investors should stay informed and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Ultimately, the future price of Bitcoin will depend on a combination of factors, including investor sentiment, market liquidity, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. While the current open interest data is certainly encouraging, it's essential to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid getting caught up in short-term price fluctuations.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conducting thorough research or consulting with a financial advisor is strongly recommended before making investment decisions.
Current BTC Analysis: July 2024As of July 2024, BTC has been showing signs of recovery after a period of decline. The price recently experienced a strong upward movement, breaking through a downward trend line without encountering significant resistance. This indicates potential bottoming out and a possible start of a new upward trend.
Wyckoff's Accumulation Phases:
Wyckoff's accumulation consists of several phases:
Phase A: Stopping the Downtrend
This phase is marked by preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC), followed by an automatic rally (AR) and secondary test (ST).
Phase B: Building a Cause
This is the phase where the market moves sideways, creating a cause for the next move. It includes upthrusts (UT) and springs to shake out weak hands.
Phase C: Testing Supply
This phase typically features a final shakeout or spring, testing the remaining supply before the price moves higher.
Phase D: Markup Begins
The phase where the price begins to trend upward with higher highs and higher lows, breaking out of the trading range.
Phase E: Trend Establishment
The price moves consistently higher, confirming the beginning of a new uptrend.
Current Phase of BTC.
Based on the recent price actions:
Preliminary Support and Selling Climax: These might have occurred in the recent past when BTC experienced significant sell-offs and subsequent recoveries.
Automatic Rally and Secondary Test: BTC has shown a strong upward movement, which could be an automatic rally. The lack of significant resistance suggests that it might be transitioning out of Phase B.
Testing Supply: The price behavior indicates a possible phase where the final tests are occurring. The strong upward momentum could be a sign that BTC is moving into Phase D, where the markup phase begins.
Given these observations, BTC appears to be in late Phase B or early Phase C of Wyckoff's accumulation. This suggests that BTC is likely building a cause for the next major move and is preparing for a potential breakout into an upward trend.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving in an uptrend with great success and is expected to continue rising based on the uptrend
It is expected to touch the trend at the current price of 67800 and continue rising
This rise is supported by relying on the uptrend on the RSI indicator
Also, stability above the moving average 100 increases the possibility of rising to the level of 71900 as a target
The similarity between BTC and Gold will shock youWelcome all
I checked the GOLD chart after hitting new ATH recently and I found big similarities with BTC
both assets formed :
1- Accumulation phase
2- Stoploss hunt phase
3- And finally, GOLD made the uptrend phase and printed new ATH
historically BTC has followed GOLD several times before (why not? it's the digital GOLD)
if we followed the pattern of GOLD then BTC now should be on its way for achieving new ATH!
DO U AGREE?
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“Crypto summer” what can expect next ?BTC / USDT
The last 4 months in crypto was very boring and very tough for altcoins market “classic crypto summer”
What can expect next ?
1- Bounce from 61-63k areas to resistance zone of descending channel (already touched 63k)
2- Another massive sell off to early 50k
In the first scenario …BTC is still copying the gold pattern before major breakout …Check the comparison between BTC&GOLD charts here :
Best of wishes
#BTC/USDT#BTC
Bitcoin price has been moving in an upward trend on the four-hour frame since the beginning of July
The price has now touched the rising trend and produced a reversal candle on a 4-hour frame
It is expected to retest the level that the price reached two days ago
Our target is at 68186
This is supported by the bearish saturation of the RSI aperture
The rise also supports stability above the Moving Average 100
And stability is above the current trend
The pattern is canceled
if it closes 4 hours below the upward trend in orange
BTC/USD Short-term Bullish ReversalHey traders, here's a quick breakdown on why I'm seeing short-term bullish signals for BTC/USD, despite the recent downtrend.
We've got a classic double bottom formation here, which is a strong bullish reversal indicator. Basically, the price found solid support at this level twice, showing that the bears are losing steam and the bulls are stepping in to push prices higher.
Next up, we've hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and bounced back up. For those who might not know, the 0.618 level is a big deal in technical analysis. It's often a strong support or resistance level, and a bounce from here usually signals the end of the retracement and the start of a new bullish trend.
We've also been retesting lower levels, which is a healthy sign. This consolidation helps build a strong base for a breakout past the previous all-time high (ATH). Without this kind of retest, breakouts often don't last.
Now, let's talk liquidation levels. There are significant liquidation levels around the current price. High liquidation levels can lead to quick, volatile moves as traders are forced out of their positions, causing sharp upward or downward movements.
And don't forget, BTC has become an all-engulfing liquidity snake. High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms and institutional investments through ETFs and Wall Street are adding a ton of liquidity to the market. This means BTC can react quickly to market changes, often hunting for liquidity to fuel its next move.
Looking at the technical indicators, the moving averages show a potential crossover, which is another sign that we might be shifting from bearish to bullish momentum. The Market Cypher wave indicator at the bottom shows momentum shifting towards the bulls, with increasing buying pressure and decreasing selling pressure.
So, here's the game plan:
Consider going long at current levels, leveraging the double bottom formation and 0.618 Fibonacci bounce.
Set take-profit levels at key resistance points, like previous highs and Fibonacci extensions.
Place stop-loss orders below the recent support levels to manage your risk.
This is just my take based on the current charts and market conditions. Always do your own research and consider multiple factors before making any trading decisions.
Always stay neutral, let the trend be your friend, and trade on.
Hash Ribbons Signal Potential Bitcoin Bull RunMiner Capitulation Ends, Igniting Bullish Outlook
The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with excitement as a key indicator signals a potential turning point for Bitcoin. The Hash Ribbons indicator, a tool used to measure miner capitulation, has recently shifted into a bullish "buy" signal. This development, coupled with other positive market trends, is fueling speculation of an imminent Bitcoin rally.
The Hash Ribbons indicator tracks Bitcoin's hashrate using two moving averages: a 30-day and a 60-day. When the shorter moving average dips below the longer one, it typically signals miner distress and potential market downturn. Conversely, when the 30-day average surpasses the 60-day, it historically marks a "buy" signal, often preceding significant price increases. The recent shift to a bullish signal indicates that miners may have weathered the storm, and Bitcoin could be poised for an upward trajectory.
This positive development is further reinforced by evidence suggesting the end of miner capitulation. Miners often sell their Bitcoin holdings during periods of low profitability to cover operational costs. When this selling pressure subsides, it can lead to a price increase as the supply of Bitcoin available for sale decreases.
Market Enthusiasm Amidst Uncertainties
While the Hash Ribbons signal and the apparent end of miner capitulation are undoubtedly bullish indicators, it's essential to consider the broader market context. Several factors could potentially dampen Bitcoin's momentum.
One significant concern is the impending payout of claims from the collapsed Mt. Gox exchange. A substantial amount of Bitcoin is expected to be released into the market, which could exert downward pressure on prices. Additionally, the potential approval of Ether ETFs in the United States has introduced a new element of uncertainty. While this development could benefit the broader cryptocurrency market, it may also lead to increased volatility in Bitcoin's price.
Despite these potential headwinds, the overall sentiment among market participants appears to be optimistic. The Hash Ribbons signal has generated significant buzz, and many analysts believe that Bitcoin is primed for a substantial rally. However, as with any investment, it's crucial to approach the market with caution and conduct thorough research before making any decisions.
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before allocating funds to Bitcoin or any other digital asset. While the Hash Ribbons indicator and other positive factors suggest a potential bullish trend, it's essential to remain vigilant and monitor market developments closely.
Ultimately, the future of Bitcoin's price is difficult to predict with certainty. However, the recent bullish signals provide a glimmer of hope for investors who have weathered the cryptocurrency market's ups and downs. As the market continues to evolve, it will be fascinating to see how Bitcoin responds to the challenges and opportunities ahead.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a bullish channel pattern on a 30-minute frame, and the price is now at the lower border of the channel
Which supports the bullish assumption because the price is based on an upward trend and is moving within it
We have a higher stability moving average of 100
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise and gives greater momentum, and the price is based on it to rise after it was broken upward.
Entry price is 67,000 $
With a target at the upper border of the ascending channel 68600 $
Suspicions of an Bitcoin correction.For Bitcoin, a similar correction formation could result in a ±10% move to the $60,000 range, targeting the 50% Fibonacci level.
In the general group, I mentioned a possible correction for Bitcoin to around $60,000 and Ethereum to $2,800-$3,000. I have decided to temporarily exit my positions. If the correction occurs, we will look for entry points at lower levels.
#btc #bitcoin
Is the Bitcoin Bull Run on Fumes? Bullish Wedge?Bitcoin (BTC), the enigmatic pioneer of cryptocurrencies, has captivated investors with its volatile price swings and potential for massive returns. After a strong incline in recent months, questions are swirling about the sustainability of this bullish trend. One technical analysis pattern catching attention is the bullish wedge, and its potential to signal a reversal.
The Bullish Wedge: A Double-Edged Sword
The bullish wedge is a chart pattern formed by two converging trendlines, one acting as resistance and the other as support. While it initially suggests a continuation of the uptrend, a breakout from the lower trendline can indicate a potential price decline.
Here's why the bullish wedge is a double-edged sword for BTC investors:
• Continuation Pattern: If the price breaks above the resistance line with increasing trading volume, it can be interpreted as a confirmation of the bullish trend. This would suggest that buyers are accumulating BTC at higher prices, potentially pushing the price further upwards.
• Reversal Pattern: A breakdown below the support line, particularly with significant selling volume, could signal a trend reversal. This would indicate that sellers are overpowering buyers, potentially leading to a price decline.
Is This the End of the Bull Run?
Whether we're witnessing the tail end of the BTC incline depends on several factors:
• Price Action at the Wedge: Closely monitoring the price action at the wedge's apex (the point where the trendlines converge) is crucial. A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume suggests a continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, a forceful breakdown below support with high selling pressure indicates a potential reversal.
• Technical Indicators: While the bullish wedge is a valuable tool, it shouldn't be used in isolation. Combining it with other technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide a more comprehensive picture. Overbought readings on the RSI or bearish divergences on the MACD could signal a potential reversal despite the wedge pattern.
• Fundamental Factors: External factors like regulatory changes, institutional adoption, and broader economic conditions heavily influence the cryptocurrency market. Positive news on these fronts can bolster the bullish momentum, while negative developments can trigger a sell-off.
Beyond the Bullish Wedge: Other Considerations
Predicting the future of Bitcoin is notoriously difficult. Here are some additional factors to consider:
• Market Sentiment: Bullish sentiment can fuel upward price movements, while bearish sentiment can lead to a decline. Gauging investor sentiment through social media analysis or news outlets can provide valuable insights.
• On-chain Analysis: Analyzing on-chain data, such as active addresses or exchange inflows/outflows, can reveal investor behavior and potential buying or selling pressure.
Navigating the Uncertainty: What Investors Can Do
While the bullish wedge presents a potential turning point, it's not a guaranteed indicator. Here's what investors can do:
• Employ Risk Management: Always implement stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses if the price falls below a certain level.
• Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your crypto holdings and consider other asset classes to manage overall portfolio risk.
• Stay Informed: Keep yourself updated on the latest developments in the cryptocurrency space, including technical analysis, market sentiment, and regulatory changes.
Conclusion
The bullish wedge presents an intriguing scenario for Bitcoin's price trajectory. While it raises the possibility of a trend reversal, a confirmation requires a breakdown below support with significant selling pressure. By combining technical analysis with other factors like market sentiment and fundamental analysis, investors can make informed decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and a healthy dose of caution is always advisable.
BTC FIRST Target 72,200Bitcoin Daily Frame First Target Loading ...
This is daily frame bitcoin analysis with 90 % success rate for hitting the first target
i have more than 8 years of experience in this market and im glad to be back and help you guys
with my analysis also let me know if you need any pair hope you like it