BTC Soo Bearish that its bullish. Price Target of 600K by 2025?Please do your DD as this is not an investment advice.
This could be the most ridiculous price prediction considering current world events but before we dismiss it outright, lets go through it step by step together.
First looking at 2013 to 2015 bear market then comparing it with the 2021 to this present day we can see similarities with both correction (provided the current ABC seems to be a flat correct)
Second, if we look through the same time above, we see that A wave bounces on the 50 EMA, breaks below, back test then finds support on the 200 SMMA
Comparing the current bear market to what was discussed above, we can see so far we have done exactly the same (provided the current ABC seems to be a flat correct)
If we are to follow the path in the 2013 to 2015 we need to go test the 50 EMA, get rejected then test the 200 SMA for support one more time before we head higher. (We need to watch this carefully)
Another thing to consider is the time it took (for the 2013-2015) and currently taking for this current correction.
Now lets talk about fundamentals for why we could rally to new highs.
We can look to the current currency issues with the bank of England and Japan, with the BOE starting QE again. As Peter Schiff said in his tweet today, which country is next? You can rest assure if the British and Japanese economies are struggling then they are more shoes to drop
The fed has also printed ~40% of the US currency in the last few years, which is dilution and should cause the dollar to fall in the long run. Yet the dollar is acting like a meme stock (just looks at the chart), pumping after being diluted by almost 50%
Bitcoin was started during world financial chaos and it should thrive in this chaotic time as people start to see their purchasing powers reduce due to inflation and currency losing its value
But why the PT of about 500K? Well if you look at the fractal and Cathie wood has been screaming BTC is headed to 500k if institutional investors move into Bitcoin and allocate 5% of their portfolios,” the price of the cryptocurrency would soar to about $560,000 by 2026)? what better time for them to buy with all the chaos in the world right now (and maybe yet to come)
Btcusdlong
Bitcoin Cash Surges After Whale AccumulationWhile Bitcoin Cash may not be making headlines in 2023, this altcoin is demonstrating optimistic signs starting in 2024. The Bitcoin-named cryptocurrency is undergoing a recovery, currently grappling with a crucial resistance level that has acted as a barrier to its recovery since July. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, investors exhibit caution, reducing risk as evidenced by a 40% drop in trading volume over the past 24 hours. Following the release of U.S. CPI data in November, the price of Bitcoin briefly surged to $42,000 before retracing.
Looking ahead, the prevailing view is that the Fed will maintain interest rates at the target range of 5.25-5.50%. In the latest meeting in November, the FOMC held interest rates steady, consistent with the September meeting, signaling that rates may not change in the near future but remaining open to adjusting this stance based on economic conditions.
The temporary halt in rate hikes is an anticipated outcome, allowing the Fed more time to assess whether the current interest rates effectively curb inflation that poses a threat to economic growth.
The target range of 5.25% to 5.50% was raised during the July meeting, marking the 11th interest rate hike in the 2022/2023 cycle, all aimed at managing inflation. This explains the observed uncertainty in Bitcoin prices.
Bitcoin Holds Strong at $40,000 Amid SEC ETF Anticipation Bitcoin (BTC) continues its upward trend despite early Asian trading hours witnessing severe downturns. The anticipation around the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) plays a significant role. Google even hints at this, stating that "advertisers offering cryptocurrency trust funds targeting the U.S. to advertise those products and services" starting January 29, 2024. Notably, this aligns with the expected approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. during the same month.
Bitcoin's price bouncing back to the $40,400 low is a healthy reassessment, with the $40,000 psychological level holding as support. If this level remains steady, the idea of a new all-time high could emerge.
While the potential for price increase remains strong for Bitcoin, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has yet to surpass 70. However, the Awesome Oscillator (AO), displaying significant green histogram bars, indicates the bullish presence remains robust. The RSI may simply stay above 70.
Increased buying pressure at the current level could drive Bitcoin to break through the weekly supply zone ranging from $40,698 to $46,999. A weekly candle closing above the $43,860 moving average will confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
Such a move would set the stage for Bitcoin to turn the weekly supply into a trend-breaking tool, confirmed by action above the $48,725 resistance. In the case of a strong uptrend, Bitcoin may extend to challenge the $66,098 resistance, turning it into support. Conversely, if the weekly supply is defended as a significant resistance zone, Bitcoin may head south, breaking the $40,000 support. A weekly candle decisively closing below this level could push BTC into a downward spiral, possibly testing the $30,000 psychological level.
Bitcoin Core Developer Flags Ordinals as Blockchain VulnerabilitBitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr argues that Ordinals represent a vulnerability causing transaction fees to rise and need to be eliminated. Addressing this loophole would remove Ordinals from the BTC blockchain, clearing clutter from the text strings.
BTC Price Surges Nearly 11% in the Past Week, Reaching $44,700 on Friday.
The online bitcoin community is embroiled in a debate over whether Ordinals pose a threat to the BTC blockchain. While Bitcoin Core developers like Luke Dashjr view text strings as spam, others see them as a development for the BTC blockchain on the X social media platform.
Read also: Solana Continues to Attract Capital from Ethereum, SOL Price Maintains Above $72
Ordinals Currently Identified as a Vulnerability
Luke Dashjr informed his 83,300 followers in a recent tweet on X that text strings are exploiting a vulnerability in Bitcoin Core to spam the blockchain. Since 2013, Bitcoin Core has allowed users to set limits on the size of additional data in transactions they forward. Text strings surpass this limit, making them "vulnerable." Dashjr states that Bitcoin Core remains vulnerable in the upcoming v26 release and developers hope to address this issue by v27 next year. The developer argues that miners must be honest and non-malicious, but allowing text string alterations on the Bitcoin blockchain will increase transaction fees. While advantageous for miners, it constitutes an attack on the BTC blockchain network.
Text strings are considered a technical vulnerability that could have long-term implications for Bitcoin users due to its impact on network security and integrity.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $43,694 on Binance, bringing nearly an 11% profit for BTC holders on Binance over the past week.
Bitcoin: "Gold on Steroids" with Surging Institutional Investmen Bitcoin has often been compared to gold over the years. Initially viewed as a "safe haven" similar to gold, analysts are now comparing the two investments to determine if Bitcoin meets the criteria of being "gold on steroids." In the past 5 years, up to November, Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio has competed favorably when compared to gold and other proven assets in the market. The Sharpe ratio is defined as the difference between risk-free and investment returns divided by the standard deviation of the investment. Timmer argues that Bitcoin is more volatile than most other assets, but this volatility impacts both directions, and BTC investments come with their own risk-reward profile, akin to what has been observed over the past decade.
According to a report by CoinShares, institutional investors continue to pour funds into Bitcoin funds, with a weekly inflow of $132.8 million recorded as of December 4th. At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at $44,162 USD on Binance.
Bitcoin's Potential Drop to $42,000 Hinges on US NFP ReportBitcoin's Price Faces Potential Decline
Bitcoin is currently trading at $43,241, struggling to surpass the $44,500 mark, leading to minor corrections. While the broader market outlook leans towards an upward trend at the time of writing, the short-term picture suggests a potential downside.
This is evidenced by the Convergence Divergence Moving Average (MACD) indicator. The diminishing green bars indicate a weakening upward trend, signaling a potential decline in Bitcoin's price.
However, BTC is likely to retreat to $42,000 or $40,000 if the previously established support level is breached. This is a short-term scenario contingent on a stronger-than-expected NFP report. Yet, if the report is weaker or broader market signals shift towards an upward trend, a recovery from the $42,000 level becomes plausible. This would fuel an upward trajectory, pushing Bitcoin beyond $44,500 and undermining the bearish sentiment.
The market dynamics are closely tied to the upcoming NFP report, and a divergence from expectations could significantly impact Bitcoin's price movements. Traders will be watching for signals of either a deeper correction or a potential recovery based on the economic data.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally Sparks Enthusiastic MomentumAfter a period of consolidation, Bitcoin has undergone a rapid and decisive price surge. Successfully maintaining its position above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicative of robust and sustained bullish sentiment. The fanning out of the moving averages is often interpreted as a sign of increasing momentum.
Furthermore, recent green candles on the chart, characterized by large bodies, reflect strong buying pressure. The absence of long wicks suggests that pullbacks are swiftly being bought, demonstrating a solid presence of fundamental buying strength in the market. This scenario often aligns with institutional investment activity, as institutions tend to execute strategic, large-scale purchases rather than quick transactions.
In the immediate term, Bitcoin appears to be approaching resistance levels at recent highs, with potential pullbacks likely to test the strength of current support levels.
As Bitcoin enthusiasts closely monitor these developments, the market dynamics indicate a shift towards a more optimistic outlook, driven by both technical indicators and institutional investment behavior.
Bitcoin Price Expected to Surge by 20% to $50,000 The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is currently on an upward trend. Surpassing the psychological level of $42,000 has sparked optimism, with Bloomberg setting an ambitious target for the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. According to the news outlet, Bitcoin reaching $42,000 is just the beginning of a new crypto super cycle that could propel the world's largest token to over $500,000, as advocates claim it heralds a new monetary order making waves on Wall Street.
Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is caught within a weekly supply zone ranging from $40,517 to $46,972. To confirm the continuation of the primary trend (upward on the weekly timeframe), the price needs to break and close above the midpoint of the supply barrier at $43,860.
A decisive move above this level could see Bitcoin extending its rally, turning the supply zone into a bullish trend-breaking tool as BTC aims for the forecasted psychological level of $50,000.
In the case of a significant price increase, the surge may encounter resistance at $55,560. It is even plausible to extrapolate these increases to the highest range of $66,098. Such a move would constitute a 56% increase from the current level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) supports this outlook as its upward movement indicates bullish momentum. Similarly, the bars on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) chart are green in the positive zone, signaling that the bull camp is leading the market. These factors add confidence to the optimistic viewpoint.
As Bitcoin continues to make headlines, market participants are closely watching for potential breakthroughs and milestones in its price journey.
Bitcoin - How to trade BOLLINGER BANDSHi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
When it comes to Technical Indicators, speculators have many options to choose from. Do you prefer to keep it simple? If your answer is YES, the Bollinger Bands are for you.
First, a little about the genius behind it, John Bollinger. Bollinger Bands were created by John Bollinger in the 1980s. He is still very much alive and well, and very active on Twitter. He constantly engages the community through seminars and interviews. As you can see, I'm a huge fan of his work! This revolutionary technical indicator offers insights into price potential and possible volatility.
Let's get technical : The higher the price action trades at the top/ upper part of the BBands, the more volatility and volume you can expect. The same is also true for the opposite - the lower the price trades on the bottom of the BBands, the more volatility and volume you can expect. It is also true that when the price trades at the top for an extended period of time, the market can be considered overbought; thus it is a good time to consider selling. The same is true for the opposite. When the price trades on the bottom of the Bollinger Bands for an extended period of time, the market is considered oversold and it is a good time to consider opening a position / buying. Important to note that the Bollinger Bands are especially useful and reliable in higher timeframes. To make overbought conditions and oversold more clear, let's take a look at a few examples on SOLUSDT:
From the Solana chart above, we see clearly that when the price action touches an orange band, it is often time to exit / enter. You can wait as the price continues upwards, but the longer you wait, the more your risk increases. Careful not to be greedy, take profits during a bullish cycle.
To make volume in conjunction with BBands more clear, let's take a look here on ETHUSDT:
You'll notice that usually on higher timeframes, the turquoise upper / lower band, is where you start paying attention. This is where firsts profits can safely be taken, with the possibility of the price still wicking towards the orange or red.
To get a little more technical, let's take a look at accumulation options with the Bollinger Bands. When the BBands contract, it is usually before a big move up or down. Now you'll need to view the chart from a macro perspective/ Fibonacci trend based retracement and trend based extension on a weekly chart to get an idea in which direction it may go. This proves another point that often, technical indicators are only useful if used correctly with chart analysis. Let's take a look at a few examples on XRPUSDT :
These are not the Bollinger Bands as they were created y John Bollinger, instead, they have Fibonacci lines added. I prefer to use them this way, it's an improvement on top of the original BBAnds. They become especially useful if you use it with another indicator called Phoenix Ascending. Find below at related ideas a quick guide on Phoenix Ascending.
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Bitcoin Price May Drop to $40,000, Key Indicators Suggest The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching the psychological level of $40,000 and could erase it before undergoing a correction. Several bullish indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have strengthened the prospects for further price increase. The RSI, a momentum indicator, indicates increasing momentum with its position at 68, suggesting there is still room for upward movement before the cryptocurrency king could be considered overbought.
Furthermore, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is in positive territory, with green bars on the chart, indicating that the bullish camp is leading the market. Therefore, increased buying pressure could see the price of Bitcoin rise from the current level of $39,462 (as of 8:00 AM GMT), surpassing the recent high within the range of $39,778 before testing the psychological level of $40,000.
Bitcoin Soars in January: ETFs Await Approval & Price Prediction The Bitcoin Spot ETF may see widespread approval in January, according to insights from Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, who detailed the updated application from asset manager BlackRock.
Bitcoin prices continue their upward trajectory, triggering a short-term liquidation of $8.94 million. The total number of entities issuing Bitcoin Spot ETFs has risen to 13, following Pando's ETF registration. Pando, a European ETF giant, has submitted an S-1 application for the Pando Asset Spot Bitcoin Trust.
Eric Balchunas, the Bloomberg ETF analyst, highlighted the late filings and shared details about BlackRock's meeting with the Securities and Exchange Commission's Trading and Markets division. Balchunas informed his followers through a recent tweet that the asset management giant presented a modified physical model based on feedback received during their November 20 meeting. The U.S. financial regulatory agency had previously requested Bitcoin Spot ETF applicants to amend their profiles to create liquidity. Applicants may continue debating cash creation and ETF distribution using physical assets with the regulatory body.
Predictions surrounding the Bitcoin Spot ETF have spurred a recovery in both the spot and futures markets. Seyffart recently provided detailed information on ProShares BITO, an ETF futures fund that recently reached an all-time high. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's GBTC discount has narrowed, touching a record low in anticipation of BTC ETF approval. Bitcoin holders are eagerly awaiting the potential approval of various BTC Spot ETFs in January 2024.
According to Coinglass data, the Bitcoin price surge led to the liquidation of $8.94 million in sell orders overnight. Anonymous crypto analyst Crypto Tony assessed the Bitcoin price chart and predicted a rise to $40,000 before a potential correction, marking an initial decline to around $36,000.
In summary, the outlook for Bitcoin includes the possibility of widespread approval for Spot ETFs, contributing to market optimism, while analysts anticipate further price increases before a potential correction.
"Bitcoin Could Rally Northward on Potential RSI Intersection" Bitcoin (BTC) has breached the resistance level of $38,008, though not decisively, currently trading at $38,139 at the time of writing. There is still potential for an extension towards the higher range at $38,414 or, in the case of a strong upward movement, pushing towards $40,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving upward and is on the verge of crossing above the signal line (yellow band). Historically, each time this intersection occurs, BTC has responded with a bold upward move, interpreting it as a buying signal.
Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator remains in positive territory, indicating that the bullish camp maintains control despite strong downward price pressure. On the flip side, increasing selling pressure could lead Bitcoin to drop below the support level of $38,008 or, worse, test the support level of $35,487. In a more severe scenario, a downturn could cause BTC to lose the confluence support between the horizontal line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $33,912. Breaking and closing below this level would invalidate the bullish argument, setting the stage for a further southward extension towards the psychological level of $30,000.
Asian Stocks Advance Amid Dollar's Decline vs Fed's Rate OutlookAsian equities saw positive momentum on Tuesday, coupled with the US dollar hitting a three-month low, reflecting investor confidence in the Federal Reserve's completion of the interest rate hike cycle. The focus remains on a pivotal inflation report slated for later this week.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan recorded a 0.39% increase, signaling an impressive nearly 7% surge in November – the strongest monthly performance since January.
Japan's Nikkei, despite a 0.20% slip, achieved an 8% gain for the month, marking its most robust monthly performance in three years.
Rodrigo Catril, Senior FX Strategist at the National Australia Bank (NABZY), emphasized the significant role of central bank policy outlook in boosting risk appetite in November.
Indicators of easing inflationary pressures align with the belief that numerous central banks have concluded their tightening cycles, setting the stage for anticipated interest rate cuts next year, as stated by Catril.
Current market expectations suggest a 96.8% likelihood that the US central bank will maintain interest rates next month. The likelihood of rate cuts is projected to increase in mid-2024, according to CME's FedWatch tool.
Investors will closely monitor the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Thursday and eurozone consumer inflation data this week for a clearer understanding of inflation trends.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, on Monday, asserted that the central bank's efforts to control price growth are ongoing. She cited robust wage growth and lingering uncertainties, even as inflation pressures ease in the eurozone.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Friday speech will be scrutinized for insights into potential future interest rate directions.
China's CSI 300 index declined by 0.23%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped by 0.70% a day after data indicated slower profit growth in Chinese industrial companies for October.
Monday's US data revealed a larger-than-expected decline in new home sales for single-family homes in October due to higher mortgage rates. However, the housing segment remained supported by persistent shortages of available properties.
Weaker-than-expected data impacted Treasury bond yields, with the 10-year benchmark yield shedding 9.6 basis points on Monday. During Asian hours, they rose by 1.6 basis points to 4.404%.
The US Dollar Index, gauging the greenback against a basket of currencies, declined to 103.11, its lowest since August 31. The Japanese yen gained 0.28%, reaching 148.25 per USD.
Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday following a significant decline the previous day, with investors anticipating the OPEC+ meeting this week and potential supply constraints in the coming year.
US crude oil rose by 0.31% to $75.09 per barrel, and Brent returned above $80.00. Gold spot prices increased by 0.1% to $2,015.00 per ounce, slightly below the three-month high reached on Monday.
Bitcoin Mining Tool Cleanspark Gaining MomentumThe daily chart below provides a more detailed view of the early stages of the red wave III. From the December 2022 low, a bullish price cycle unfolded within the red wave 1. In this context, the black wave ((v)) displays an expansive phase, concluding the red wave 1 in July 2023 at $7.60. From the peak, an accumulation pattern within the red wave 2 emerged in the form of a zigzag.
Firstly, the black wave ((a)) found its bottom in August 2023 at $4.91. Subsequently, a recovery in the black wave ((b)) set a pivot in the same month at $6.86. From there, the black wave ((c)) broke below the $4.91 low, initiating a downtrend. The target range of $4.16-$2.50 was achieved, and the price is now rebounding.
The preferred outlook suggests that the red wave 2 concluded in October 2023. With the price above $3.38, the next bullish phase within the red wave 3 has commenced. The short-term target is the range of $9.25-$12.88, and potentially even higher. For long-term scenarios, the current price below $6 presents an excellent investment opportunity. While medium-term investors can anticipate a potential 7-fold reward for their risk, long-term rewards may reach up to 25 times and beyond, considering the current commitment.
Bitcoin's Price Trend Questioned as ETF Momentum FadesBitcoin price action raises questions about the upward trend as ETF momentum wanes. With buyer liquidity collected on November 9th at $39,149, the potential for a BTC reversal is significant. Leading indicators are present - decreasing volume, diminishing liquidity, bearish divergence, and more. Given these signals, if BTC undergoes a correction, it is likely to explore the following support zones:
Reasonable price range, extending from $32,833 to $30,299.
Weekly support level at $31,376.
Psychological level at $30,000 USD.
While a correction seems plausible, investors should note that any announcements regarding the approval of a Bitcoin ETF still have the potential to propel BTC higher. Therefore, bearish proponents must exercise extreme caution, as a sudden reversal could push Bitcoin beyond the $40,000 mark.
Bitcoin Aims for $40,000 with Tether Whale SupportThe price of Bitcoin surpassed the $38,300 mark for the first time in 18 months as demand for BTC steadily increased. Catalysts such as anticipation of the U.S. financial regulatory authority approving the physically settled Bitcoin ETF and growing demand from Tether whales could potentially push the BTC price even higher. Among the contributors to Bitcoin's rise to $38,300, prominent Tether whales have emerged. Based on data from the cryptocurrency information tracking tool Santiment, the top 100 Tether addresses have added an additional $1.67 billion to their holdings in the past six months. As the buying power of these stablecoin whales increases, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $40,000 also rises. To establish the correlation between Tether whales and the Bitcoin price surge, Santiment highlights the reduction in holdings of USDT tokens by whales over two weeks, coinciding with BTC rising to $38,300. Tether whales have utilized their stablecoin to accumulate Bitcoin and drive demand for the largest cryptocurrency.
During the Bitcoin price decline in August, stablecoin whales accumulated BTC tokens. The current trend for Bitcoin has been upward since November 2022, with the price of BTC at $37,795 on Binance after a recent pullback from the local peak of $38,380. Bitcoin is targeting the $40,000 mark, representing an almost 6% increase from the current level.