Gold Surges, Euro Plunges, BTC at RiskOn May 23rd's U.S. session, Trump's EU/Apple tariff plans sparked market chaos:
Gold surged 💥 as a safe haven.
The euro plunged on EU tariff fears.
If tariffs persist, capital may flood into gold/forex, likely triggering a BTC crash.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@109500 - 108500
🚀 T P 106500 - 104500
👇Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 👇
Btcusdsell
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern Signals & BreakdownThis chart illustrates a Rising Wedge Pattern on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), which is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appears after a strong upward move and typically signals that the price is losing momentum and may be preparing for a significant correction.
📐 What is a Rising Wedge Pattern?
A rising wedge is a chart pattern formed when the price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines – the support line (bottom) and the resistance line (top) – with the two lines converging toward each other.
As price climbs higher, it forms higher highs and higher lows.
However, the slope of the highs is less steep than the slope of the lows, showing a loss of bullish strength.
Eventually, the price breaks below the support line, often leading to a sharp move downward.
🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart:
📌 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110K–$120K):
BTC is currently facing heavy resistance in this area.
This zone has historically acted as a supply zone where bulls have struggled to break through.
Multiple rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
📌 2. Pattern Touchpoints:
BTC has now formed multiple touchpoints on both the support and resistance lines of the wedge, confirming the structure.
This gives the pattern higher validity from a technical analysis perspective.
📌 3. SR Interchange Zone (~$65K–$70K):
This is a key horizontal zone where past resistance could act as future support.
A successful breakdown may first test this level before continuation.
📌 4. Retesting After Breakdown:
After breaking the wedge support, a retest of the broken trendline is often seen.
If the retest is rejected, it confirms the breakdown and opens the door to deeper bearish movement.
🎯 Target Projection:
If the wedge breaks down and the bearish scenario plays out, we could see Bitcoin fall to the $22,000–$25,000 region – marked as the final target zone on the chart. This level aligns with:
Previous macro-support zones from 2021
Fibonacci retracement levels
Psychological price levels where buyers may re-enter
⚠️ Bearish Factors to Watch:
Bearish divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown on chart but worth checking)
Volume decreasing as price rises – a classic wedge behavior
Macroeconomic headwinds or Bitcoin halving-related exhaustion
Rejection from major resistance with strong bearish candles
🕒 Timeframe & Patience:
This is a weekly chart, which means the pattern will play out over weeks or months, not days. Patience is key. A clear break, retest, and rejection would be the most reliable confirmation to expect further downside.
✅ Invalidation Scenario:
If BTC breaks above the wedge resistance line with strong bullish volume and holds above the $120K level, this bearish thesis becomes invalid.
In that case, BTC could enter price discovery mode, making new all-time highs.
💬 Final Thoughts:
This analysis is a technical outlook, not financial advice. Always use stop-loss strategies and manage your risk carefully. Market sentiment, news, and macro factors can quickly shift the scenario. However, from a purely technical standpoint, the rising wedge pattern is a powerful signal that should not be ignored.
Trump Tariffs Risk Triggering BTC Crash as Capital Flows to GoldOn May 23rd's U.S. session, Trump's EU/Apple tariff plans sparked market chaos:
Gold surged 💥 as a safe haven.
The euro plunged on EU tariff fears.
If tariffs persist, capital may flood into gold/forex, likely triggering a BTC crash.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@110000 - 109000
🚀 TP 106500 - 104500
👇Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 👇
Bearish Reversal Confirmed – BTC Rising Wedge TrapBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1H timeframe is displaying a bearish reversal structure after failing to sustain a breakout above key resistance. The recent price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which typically precedes a downside correction, especially when formed near a key supply zone. Let’s break down the setup:
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish)
A rising wedge is visible near the top of the recent bullish impulse. This wedge is characterized by converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows, but with diminishing momentum. It typically signals a weakening uptrend and a potential trend reversal or correction once price breaks below the lower wedge boundary.
The breakout to the downside has already begun, confirming bearish intent.
🔹 2. SR Interchange Zone
The blue zone marked in the chart represents a Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip). This was previously an area of consolidation and breakout, acting as a key decision zone. Price is expected to retest this zone after the wedge breakdown before continuing further down.
This creates a perfect "Break → Retest → Drop" scenario, often favored by institutional and swing traders.
🔹 3. Consolidation Structure
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was stuck in a prolonged consolidation phase. This type of ranging price action often accumulates orders before a breakout. Once broken, these zones serve as magnets for pullbacks or liquidity grabs, and are frequently retested.
🔹 4. Target Zone
The measured move from the rising wedge pattern points to a target near $101,617, which aligns with a previous structural low and a potential demand zone. This area could serve as the next major support level.
🎯 Trade Strategy & Setup:
Entry: After confirmation of breakdown and a clean retest of the SR zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Just above the wedge high and structural resistance (~$108,020).
Target (TP): $101,617 (downside projection based on wedge height and price structure).
📌 Risk-Reward Setup: 1:3+ possible if retest confirms.
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
This setup reflects a common smart-money behavior where price forms a bullish-looking structure (rising wedge), entices buyers, and then traps them with a swift breakdown. The SR retest provides a low-risk shorting opportunity. Patience is key — let price come to your level before entering.
🚨 Risk Note:
If BTC reclaims and holds above the $108,020 level, the bearish thesis may be invalidated. Always wait for confirmation before execution.
BTC Volatility Range Shifts Upward: Focus on Shorting The volatility range is moving upward, rising from 101,500–105,000 to 104,000–107,000 📈. It’s advisable to focus on shorting at higher levels ⏬. Currently, BTC is still in a range-bound fluctuation—just control your trade position sizes properly, and there won’t be any major issues essentially 😊!
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@107000 - 106000
🚀 TP 104500 - 103500
👇Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 👇
Bitcoin Short Setup –Supply Zone Rejection Trade Plan (1H Chart)(BTC/USD – Technical Setup)
🔵 Trend Setup:
⬆️ Resistance Line – Price is struggling to break above this level.
⬇️ Support Line – Price bounced several times here before breaking down.
🟢 EMA 70 – Currently around 104,435.9, acting as dynamic support/resistance.
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Stop Loss Zone:
107,488.4 to 107,402.4
(🚨 Strong resistance, limit losses!)
🟡 Entry Point:
106,026.8
(🟨 Inside the Supply Zone – Ideal for Sell)
🟦 Supply Zone:
106,026.8 to 107,402.4
(⚠️ High selling pressure expected here!)
🔵 Break of Structure (BOS):
Price broke below the rising support line
(📉 Bearish confirmation!)
🎯 Target Point:
99,000.0
(💰 Take Profit Target!)
🔻 Trade Idea:
SELL at 106,026.8
🛑 Stop Loss: 107,488.4
✅ Target: 99,000.0
Risk-Reward looks solid.
This is a short setup expecting a drop after a retest of the supply zone.
BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
Analysis of BTC's Trend After Two Breakthroughs Above 105,000Recently, the price of BTC has been fluctuating within the range of 102,000-105,000 📊. It has broken through the 105,000 resistance level twice: the first breakout reached 106,000 💥, and today it strongly broke through to 107,000 🔥 before quickly retracing to the 102,000 support level ⬇️. After hitting the bottom, it rebounded rapidly to 105,000 📈. The current upward trend has not stalled 🚀, and shorting at high levels near 106,000 can be considered when the price rebounds to this area ⏳ 👉
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@105000 - 106000
🚀 TP 102500 - 101500
🚀 Buy@101500 - 102500
🚀 TP 105000 - 106000
👇Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 👇
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview
This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities.
🧱 Structure Breakdown
Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800).
This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum.
Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel.
Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish.
🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now
After the breakdown:
Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle).
This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short.
The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation.
🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias)
Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point)
Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure
Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area
This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry.
📊 Additional Technical Confluences
Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility.
Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility.
Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish.
RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest.
📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance
101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance.
The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely.
Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions.
⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts
This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation.
Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs.
Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance.
News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts.
🧵 Conclusion
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets.
✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
BTC/USD 1-Hour Range Analysis: Key Levels & StrategieBTC/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis 📊
Currently, BTC/USD is oscillating within the 101,500–105,000 range on the 1-hour chart 📈.
Key Levels
Support: 101,500 acts as short-term support 🛡️. Below that, the strong support lies at 100,600 — a breach of this key level could trigger a sharp price decline.
Resistance: 105,000 is a tough resistance level 🚧, with multiple failed upward attempts. The area above 106,000 forms a resistance zone, which bulls must overcome to initiate a significant uptrend.
Trend
The price is in a downward consolidation phase, with recent highs and lows gradually decreasing. However, chart patterns suggest a potential rebound after testing support, hinting at a possible short-term trend shift 🤔.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@105000 - 106000
🚀 TP 102500 - 101500
🚀 Buy@101500 - 102500
🚀 TP 105000 - 106000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Trading suggestions for BTCTwo days ago, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,500! 🚀
Currently, BTC is finding it difficult to break through the resistance level of 98,000 ⚠️. Given the current situation, it is recommended to decisively adopt a short-selling strategy at a high price level 📉.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Sell@97500, TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000🎉 Yesterday, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,000! 🚀 Now, a pullback is on the horizon ⬇️. Keep an eye on the support level at 93,000! 👀
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
In - depth Analysis of BTC: Can the 97,000 Target be Achieved?96000: This is the resistance level near the upper trend - line of the current ascending wedge. The price has tested this area several times but failed to break through effectively, indicating strong selling pressure at this level 💥.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@92000 - 93000
🚀 TP 95000 - 96000 - 97000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Buy@92000 - 93000 TP 95000 - 96000 - 9700096000: This is the resistance level near the upper trend - line of the current ascending wedge. The price has tested this area several times but failed to break through effectively, indicating strong selling pressure at this level 💥.
97500: It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price can strongly break through the 96000 resistance level and continue to rise, it may test this level 🎯.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@92000 - 93000
🚀 TP 95000 - 96000 - 97000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
BTCUSD 4 - Hour Chart Market AnalysisBTCUSD 4 - Hour Chart Market Analysis
I. Trends and Patterns 📈
Looking at the 4 - hour chart, the recent performance of BTCUSD has been characterized by complex fluctuations. In the earlier stage, there was a consolidation phase where the price oscillated within a relatively narrow range, forming a roughly rectangular consolidation pattern 📊. During this period, the forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced 🤝, and the market was in a wait - and - see mode 🕵️. Subsequently, the price broke above this consolidation range and moved upward, indicating that the bulls had taken the upper hand 🐂, driving the price to gradually climb ⬆️.
Currently, the price is in an ascending wedge pattern, a common technical pattern. An ascending wedge is generally regarded as a reversal pattern. In an uptrend, although the price continues to reach new highs, the upward slope gradually flattens, suggesting that the bullish momentum is weakening while the bearish momentum is accumulating 🐻.
II. Key Support and Resistance Levels 📌
Support Levels
93000: This is a crucial support level, located near the lower trend - line of the ascending wedge and also a key low point during previous pullbacks. If the price moves downward, this level is likely to provide strong support. A break below this level may trigger further declines ⚠️.
91500: It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price experiences a significant drop, this level may prevent the price from falling further sharply 🛑.
86000: It is the lower edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price continues to decline, this will be an important support line. A break below it may open up a larger downside space 📉.
Resistance Levels
96000: This is the resistance level near the upper trend - line of the current ascending wedge. The price has tested this area several times but failed to break through effectively, indicating strong selling pressure at this level 💥.
97500: It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price can strongly break through the 96000 resistance level and continue to rise, it may test this level 🎯.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@95000 - 94500
🚀 TP 93000 - 92000
🚀 Buy@92000 - 93000
🚀 TP 95000 - 96000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
BTCUSD 4 - hour Chart AnalysisBTCUSD 4 - hour Chart Analysis
I. Trend Judgment
From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD is on an upward trend, consolidating at relatively high levels. Despite price fluctuations, bulls are still in control to some extent 🐂.
II. Key Levels
Support Area: The 90,000 - 91,500 range is a key support zone. The price has rebounded here multiple times, suggesting strong buying interest. If it drops back, it could be a buying opportunity 📈. 86,000 and 83,000 are additional lower - level supports.
Resistance Area: 95,000 is the resistance area. The price has faced hurdles here. If bullish momentum strengthens, breaking this could open up more upside 🚀.
III. Trading Strategies
Long - position Strategy: When the price retreats to the 90,000 - 91,500 support area and a bullish candlestick shows up, consider going long. Place stop - loss below the support and aim for 95,000. If broken, higher levels may follow 💰.
Short - position Strategy: Near 95,000, if a bearish candlestick appears with rising volume, try a small short position. Set stop - loss above resistance and target 91,500 - 90,000 ⬇️.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@95000 - 94000
🚀 TP 92000 - 91000
🚀 Buy@91000 - 92000
🚀 TP 94000 - 95000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting1. Entry Point:
Marked around $86,853, this is where a potential short (sell) trade might have been initiated.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above $88,783, protecting the trade in case the market goes against the position.
3. Target Point (Take Profit):
Aiming down toward $74,443.76, suggesting a large bearish move is anticipated.
4. EMA Indicators:
30 EMA (Red Line) at ~$84,271: Indicates short-term trend.
200 EMA (Blue Line) at ~$83,496: Indicates long-term trend.
Price is currently trading above the 200 EMA but slightly below the 30 EMA, showing mixed short-term momentum.
BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
"Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Supply Zone Short Strategy"🔵 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance Area)
💥 Strong selling area around 85,800 - 87,800 USD
Historically, price got rejected here
Expect sellers to step in again
✍️ ENTRY POINT
📍 Just below the supply zone (~85,889.89)
Ideal for short position setup
Watch for bearish candlestick patterns for confirmation
🛑 STOP LOSS
❌ Placed above the supply zone at 87,796.97
Keeps risk under control if breakout happens
🎯 TARGET POINT (Support Area)
📉 Around 78,000 USD
Marked by previous support and structure
Great Risk-to-Reward ratio
📐 PATTERN WATCH
Looks like a harmonic pattern (maybe Gartley or Bat) 🦇
Suggests reversal from point D
Also resembles a rising wedge, which is bearish
📊 EMA (9-period)
🧭 Price hovering above the 9 EMA (84,704)
A break below it = bearish confirmation
Summary
🔻 Bearish bias
🛒 Short near supply zone
❌ SL above 87,800
🎯 TP around 78,000
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rectangle Pattern Breakdown – Bearish Move1. Overview of the Chart & Market Context
The chart provided represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. This analysis highlights the rectangle pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, and a potential short trade setup with defined risk management.
The market structure suggests a bearish outlook, as Bitcoin attempted to break above a resistance level but failed, leading to a sharp decline. The price action now indicates further downside movement, aligning with a rectangle pattern breakdown.
2. Rectangle Pattern Formation
What is a Rectangle Pattern?
A rectangle pattern is a consolidation phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, forming multiple touches at resistance and support before a breakout occurs. It can serve as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction.
In this case, the pattern has resulted in a bearish breakout, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
Key Characteristics of This Rectangle Pattern:
The upper boundary (resistance) is at 88,333 USD, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
The lower boundary (support) is at 78,044 USD, which acted as a strong floor but is now under pressure.
The price moved within this range for an extended period, showing a balanced battle between buyers and sellers.
A failed breakout at resistance, followed by a sharp rejection, signals a bearish reversal.
3. Breakdown of Key Levels & Market Structure
A. Resistance Level – 88,333 USD
This level has been tested multiple times, but price failed to hold above it.
The recent failed breakout led to a strong bearish rejection, confirming resistance.
The price action formed a bearish engulfing candlestick, adding to the bearish bias.
B. Support Level – 78,044 USD
This zone has previously provided multiple bounces, showing strong buying interest.
However, with the recent break below this level, it may now act as resistance.
If the price retests this area and fails to break above, it confirms a bearish continuation.
C. Price Rejection and Market Structure Shift
The formation of lower highs and lower lows signals a transition from consolidation to a downtrend.
The price broke out of the rectangle pattern to the downside, confirming a bearish breakout.
If the support at 78,044 USD fails, the price may continue dropping toward 73,678 USD.
4. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy
A short position is initiated after the bearish rejection at resistance (88,333 USD).
The breakdown of the rectangle pattern strengthens the short setup.
The price may briefly retest the broken support (78,044 USD) before continuing downward.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
The stop-loss (SL) is placed above 88,333 USD, ensuring that if price moves against the trade, risk is minimized.
This protects against any unexpected bullish reversal.
🔹 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP)
TP1: 78,044 USD (previous support level) – A conservative target.
TP2: 73,678 USD (deeper support) – If bearish momentum continues, this is the extended target.
Trade Component Details
Entry Short after rejection at 88,333 USD
Stop-Loss (SL) Above 88,333 USD
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 78,044 USD
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 73,678 USD
Confirmation Breakout & retest of support
Risk-Reward Ratio Favorable (defined SL & TP)
5. Expected Price Action and Market Behavior
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely Outcome)
The price will continue to fall towards TP1 (78,044 USD) due to selling pressure.
If 78,044 USD fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely to test the next major support level (73,678 USD).
The structure of lower highs and lower lows supports the downtrend.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of the Short Setup)
If Bitcoin breaks above 88,333 USD, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
This could signal a potential trend reversal or bullish breakout.
6. Technical Indicators Supporting the Analysis
Several technical indicators can be used to confirm the bearish outlook:
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
If RSI is below 50, it confirms bearish momentum.
If RSI is oversold (<30), a temporary bounce may occur.
📉 Moving Averages:
If the 50-period MA crosses below the 200-period MA, it confirms a bearish trend.
If price is below both MAs, it strengthens the bearish setup.
📉 Volume Analysis:
A high selling volume during the breakdown indicates strong bearish conviction.
If volume spikes near support levels, a potential bounce could happen.
7. Summary of Key Findings
Pattern Identified: Rectangle pattern with a bearish breakout.
Market Structure: Price formed lower highs and lower lows, signaling a downtrend.
Trade Setup:
Short trade after rejection at 88,333 USD.
Stop-loss above 88,333 USD to manage risk.
Profit targets at 78,044 USD (TP1) and 73,678 USD (TP2).
Risk Management:
Clear stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure a controlled risk-to-reward ratio.
If price moves against the trade, the stop-loss prevents excessive losses.
Technical Indicators:
RSI, Moving Averages, and Volume Analysis confirm the bearish outlook.
8. Final Thoughts & Trading Plan Implementation
This analysis presents a high-probability bearish trade setup using the rectangle pattern breakdown strategy. With proper risk management, traders can execute this short trade with a structured plan.
🔹 Actionable Trading Plan:
Wait for price confirmation – If BTC retests the broken support (78,044 USD) and rejects, this strengthens the trade idea.
Execute the short trade – Once confirmation occurs, enter a short position.
Manage risk appropriately – Stick to the stop-loss above 88,333 USD.
Monitor price action – Adjust take-profit levels based on momentum and support breaks.
If the price invalidates the setup by breaking above resistance, it is crucial to exit the trade and re-evaluate the market conditions.
Conclusion:
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rectangle pattern breakdown analysis provides a clear bearish trade setup, supported by market structure, technical indicators, and price action. The well-defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels ensure a structured risk-reward ratio, making this a viable short trade opportunity.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown – Rising Wedge Signals Further Drop!1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour BTC/USD chart from BITSTAMP presents a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal structure typically signaling an upcoming price decline. After a strong upward movement, Bitcoin formed a wedge pattern with higher highs and higher lows converging. This indicates weakening bullish momentum, leading to a confirmed breakdown.
2. Key Technical Elements & Market Structure
A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern)
A rising wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that appears after an uptrend, showing gradually weakening buying pressure.
The chart shows that price action was following an upward sloping support and resistance trendline.
The higher highs and higher lows formed within the wedge indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
Eventually, the price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown.
B. Breakdown Confirmation
A decisive bearish candle broke below the wedge's lower trendline, confirming the downward move.
After breaking down, the price attempted a small retest of the wedge’s support, which has now turned into resistance.
This successful rejection from the previous support adds to the bearish confirmation.
C. Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level ($88,547):
This zone acted as a strong supply area, where previous bullish moves were rejected.
If BTC/USD attempts to recover, this area may provide selling opportunities.
Support Level ($79,193):
This is the next downside target, aligned with previous price consolidation zones.
A break below this support could trigger further selling pressure.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
A. Short Trade Setup
Entry Point: After BTC/USD confirmed the breakdown of the rising wedge.
Stop Loss: Placed slightly above the $88,547 resistance level to limit risk.
Target Price: A decline towards $79,193, which aligns with the previous major support zone.
B. Bearish Market Sentiment
BTC/USD is currently trading below the wedge, reinforcing bearish bias.
A successful retest of the broken wedge support would validate further downside continuation.
If price remains below the $85,000 level, sellers are likely to maintain control.
4. Market Outlook & Next Price Action
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to reclaim the wedge breakdown level, further downside is expected.
A breakdown below $80,000 psychological level could increase selling momentum toward $75,000-$77,000 levels.
Volume analysis suggests that selling pressure is increasing.
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation)
If BTC/USD reclaims the $88,547 resistance and closes above it, the bearish bias could weaken.
Bulls need to break above the rising wedge resistance trendline for a reversal.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
The Rising Wedge pattern breakdown confirms a bearish outlook for BTC/USD.
The risk-reward ratio for a short trade is favorable, targeting a move down to $79,193.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation and trend continuation signals before entering.
Key Takeaways
✅ Bearish Bias confirmed after the Rising Wedge breakdown.
✅ Short Position setup with entry, stop loss, and target defined.
✅ Resistance at $88,547 - Failure to break above it strengthens the bearish case.
✅ Target at $79,193 - A strong support area where buyers may step in.
6. Tags for TradingView Post
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BearishPattern #RisingWedge #Breakdown #ShortTrade #PriceAction #SupportResistance #MarketAnalysis
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