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Bitcoin/Gold Ratio Drops by Over Half from 2021 to 2023"The Bitcoin/Gold ratio continues to decline. This ratio, indicating how much gold is needed to buy one Bitcoin, has experienced a significant drop over the past two years. In November 2021, the ratio stood at 35, but by 2023, it had decreased to 15. According to Longtermtrends' calculations, in January 2022, this ratio narrowed from 24 to 9 by the end of the year during the cryptocurrency market downturn. In 2023, the ratio fluctuated between 10 and 15, showing that fewer ounces of gold are now required to purchase Bitcoin, indicating gold's superior performance compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin awaits a resurgence driven by external catalysts. The impact of the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain or reduce interest rates will affect the pricing of both Gold and Bitcoin. While low-interest rates are often seen as positive for Gold, as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal, Bitcoin's price reaction depends on multiple factors. If the Fed's monetary policy reflects pre-emptive responses to economic concerns or economic downturns, it could push Bitcoin prices higher. However, there are factors beyond interest rates to consider. A potential recovery is looming with the Bitcoin halving event scheduled for April 2024. Additionally, the approval possibility of a Bitcoin ETF just before the SEC's first deadline on January 10 could serve as a catalyst for Bitcoin. This was hinted at by recent reports of ETF approvals that swiftly propelled BTC up by 10%. This means that if the Fed decides to maintain high-interest rates, it may exert downward pressure on Gold prices over time, but Bitcoin could still maintain its upward momentum based on other catalysts. Based on Forbes' report, markets and policymakers expect interest rates to only decrease by late 2024. Geopolitics and policies also influence the price movements of both assets, making the relationship more complex. However, based on predictions surrounding the Fed's policy decisions and catalysts such as ETF approvals and the potential halving-induced price surge, Bitcoin might gradually start to outperform Gold in the coming year.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
1
"Bitcoin Seeks SEC Decision Support"Bitcoin, trading at $28,538 at the time of writing, grabbed headlines on Monday due to a spike caused by fake reports. The cryptocurrency surged over 10% before dropping to $28,500, triggering a $86 million short-selling liquidation. Despite the truth emerging, the ETF saga continues. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to announce its decision regarding Fidelity, VanEck, and WisdomTree's spot ETF registrations on October 17 (today). According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, approval might be delayed until January 2024. Even in correction, Bitcoin may dip to $27,418, maintaining its leading position in the uptrend. However, losing this support, along with the 50, 100, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), could invalidate the bullish case, pushing the cryptocurrency below $27,000 and towards $26,483. Stay tuned for updates on Bitcoin's evolving situation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
1
Bitcoin's Wild Ride Amid ETF RumorsBitcoin's price surged by 10% in the early hours of New York trading after news broke that the U.S. SEC had approved the iShares Spot BTC ETF. However, this uptick was short-lived due to the confirmation that the news was false. Long-time traders who had opened short positions faced significant losses, with nearly $80 million in short positions liquidated, alongside about $18 million in long positions. This reaction could signal a potential market crash if the U.S. SEC indeed approves the immediate BTC ETF, an outcome it's currently considering. The false rumors pushed Bitcoin's price down to the $28,000 range, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding above 50. The unusually long daily candlestick resulting from these mistaken speculations resembles a true 'exhaustion candle' and might indicate an upcoming reversal in the short-term uptrend, hinting at vulnerabilities ahead. Bitcoin's price could lose its entire foundation by October 16, potentially dropping below the psychological support level at $26,000. Breaking below this trendline would confirm even deeper losses. Only a daily candle closing above the resistance level at $29,747 could confirm the uptrend, paving the way for an extension towards the psychological level of $30,000. In a strong bullish scenario, Bitcoin might surpass July's peak, reaching the upper range of $31,804. Such a move would represent a 15% increase from the current level. Stay tuned for more updates as Bitcoin navigates these volatile market conditions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
BTCUSD H4 Channel Down: A TradingView IdeaWelcome to another TradingView idea, where we'll be exploring a potential trading opportunity on the BTCUSD cryptocurrency pair. In this analysis, we'll take a closer look at the H4 (4-hour) chart and identify a channel-down pattern that could offer trading possibilities for those looking to profit from Bitcoin's price movements. Chart Setup: Pair: BTCUSD Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4) Pattern: Channel Down Given the bearish sentiment and the channel down pattern, here's a potential trading idea: Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price breaks below the lower trendline support and closes convincingly below it. This breakdown could signal a further move to the downside. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order just above the upper trendline resistance to protect your position in case of a sudden reversal. Take Profit: Look for potential take-profit levels based on your risk tolerance and trading strategy. You might consider previous swing lows or key support levels as potential profit-taking points. Risk Management: Always ensure proper risk management by sizing your position appropriately and setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Final Thoughts: Remember that cryptocurrency markets can be highly volatile, and it's crucial to stay updated on news and events that might impact the price of Bitcoin. As always, make use of risk management strategies and be prepared to adjust your trading plan as the market evolves.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by TradeGeniusPro
Bitcoin | Fundamental and technical analysis for July.Hello; 1. There is a negative divergence on the RSI on the Bitcoin weekly chart. 2. There is a bearish shark harmonic pattern on the Bitcoin daily chart. 3. The fact that the FED skips the rate hike in June and all FED members approve the rate hike 3 times until the end of 2023 at each meeting means that the price of bitcoin will fall. 4. Now that June is over and there will be a FED meeting on the 26th of July, I predict that this month will be a bearish one. 5. The negative divergence in the technical view and the highest level of RSI in the daily chart support this. 6. When Bitcoin price reaches $21,750, I predict that it will touch the trend line I have drawn on the weekly chart. 7. It is not known whether a new uptrend starts after the trend line, but my predictions are in this direction at the moment. 8. I added the bearish shark harmonic pattern, which was formed after the last rise in prices on the Bitcoin daily chart, as an image on the weekly chart. Good luck everyone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn25728
BITCOIN gain after correction to the downside ❌🧨Hello 🐋 based on the chart, the price is close to the descending channel resistance, resistance area and breakout of support to the downside completed 📖💡 for any other huge pump, we need more correction to the downside 💡📖 if the breakout of the first support area (25K) to the downside won't happen, we can see more gain from 25k 💡📖 but if breakout of the lower support zone(25k) be completed, we can see more correction to the downside at least close to 23k area and see more gain from 23k level 📖💡 and range candlesticks to the upside and downside before any other sharp movement is logical 📖💡 👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located under the main chart with black colour) 📖💡 Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
16
BTC_USDT on weeklytime frameHey guys, we are on the weekly time frame for BTC/USDT Btc goes strong way but I see a little thing on this time frame it's that HD- So I guess one of scenarios is btc wants to take a stop hount on around 31000$ to 32000$ price and after that we can see a bearish market of btc to make a LOWER LOW to get a RD+ on weekly time frame, the target is red line that I marked on the chart I think the bullish market for crypto will start from that base. This scenaryo is just one of scenariyos and can be failed easily.
by hasantareh