BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k.
There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's.
But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in.
It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Btcusdshort
#BTCUSD 4H#BTCUSDBTCUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Support Breakdown: The price has broken below a previously established trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The breakdown below trendline support suggests that bearish momentum may take over, and further downside movement is likely.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After the trendline breakdown, wait for confirmation of continued selling momentum or a retest of the broken trendline as resistance.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Above the broken trendline or recent swing high to limit risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on next support levels or Fibonacci projections for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Outlook: A trendline support breakdown typically signals that the buyers have lost control, and further downward movement is expected if the price remains below the broken trendline.
BTCUSD BUY signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
BTC\USD Ascending Broadening Wedge FALL ALERTIn this idea we have a ascending broadening wedge On Bitcoin that really matches the behavior we have witnessed recently. I did my best to project the targets we should see as we break out to the downside assuming that is how this moves. Maybe it will maybe it won't. Only time will tell. Good luck to everyone and much love- ND
Ps-If you look at the formation in smaller frames where we are now you will see the exact formation that is towards the end of the example.
BTCUSD - Bitcoin's global uptrend is complete.BTCUSD - Bitcoin's global uptrend is complete.
the global uptrend on Bitcoin (BTC) has come to an end. This point of view has caused an active discussion among traders and investors, especially after key support levels were broken and the market entered a prolonged correction phase.
The main arguments of the “wave-watchers”
Completion of the 5th Elliott Wave
According to Elliott's theory, the global uptrend consists of five waves: three impulsive and two corrective.
Some analysts argue that the fifth wave ended at Bitcoin's all-time high around $69,000 in 2021, after which a long correction cycle began.
ABC-shaped correction development
After the completion of the fifth wave, the market may form a correction in the form of three waves (ABC).
Bitcoin's current dynamics, including the price decline in 2022, is seen as the realization of this correction structure.
Loss of key support levels
Levels that used to serve as strong support (e.g. $30,000 and $20,000) have been broken. This reinforces the view that the market is already out of its global bullish trend phase.
Declining institutional interest
Many large investors have slowed down their investments in Bitcoin, which also indicates a possible downturn in the long-term uptrend.
What to expect next?
Wave structure
The current correction may be temporary and the market will enter a new phase of growth (the beginning of a new cycle of waves).
Key levels to confirm the trend
If the price comes back and consolidates above $30,000-$35,000, it will be a strong signal of bullish trend continuation.
A move below $10,000 could confirm the end of the global uptrend.
Long-term outlook
Bitcoin is still an attractive asset to hedge, especially given its limited supply (21 million coins).
BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?
Hello, colleagues!
So, what we have in the middle of the trading week:
Since the last review Bitcoin managed to rewrite its high once again and reached above 108K on the Bitstamp exchange.
Also yesterday was the Fed meeting, the decision of which was to lower the rate by another 25 basis points and followed by the traditional J. Powell conference, during and after which the shedding started in many markets.
#BTC
As for bitcoin specifically, the correction was asked for a long time ago and the asset corrected only by 9% from its high and this decline cannot be called unexpected. At the moment, BTC continues to stay in the trend and there is still room for the correction to continue at least to the upward support at $97-98K and we can't exclude the stabbing even lower, to the trading boundary at 94K. But, in general, from these values I expect a buyback and continuation of growth.
I expect such another near-term decline, mentioned above, within the framework of working out of the candlestick formation Absorption on 1D. For the first time in a long time the asset showed a strong bearish candle and just covered the gap for the last weekend on the CME exchange. In any case, a correction is necessary for any healthy market, whether bullish or bearish.
If we compare each post-halving cycle on the logarithmic chart of the 1Mes TF, we can see that the asset has continued to rise for at least another year. Therefore, there is every chance to continue rising until at least Spring 2025, or even Q4.
3 Scenarios for BitcoinWhen a trend of the peaks that Bitcoin has made since 2016 is taken, we see that after each peak that uses this trend as resistance, Bitcoin enters a correction process up to the HP filter.
Bitcoin, which has done this 3 times in history, is doing it right now. In addition, when I apply a Fibonacci analysis to each correction, I clearly see that Bitcoin is currently in the Fibonacci target area of the last bear season.
There are 3 options for Bitcoin right now. Either it will break this trend for the first time and run without any corrections until at least $120k, or it will be rejected from the trend and pull back to $90k, which the HP filter will reach, and then try the trend once more. On the contrary, the worst case scenario is that it will close below the HP filter for the week and fall to $60k, which means bear season.
Even if the bear season comes, I will switch to the buying side since I think Bitcoin will eventually reach $1m. Therefore, it does not matter how many dollars it is for me.
short 107900 with tp at 100500 sound legit target it will go here easily and i think much more or bit more
but for no risk i take this legit target after the rally he just done its amazing
i not make stop loss in this scenario coz if he go to 110 000 i will had 1 lot and keep my target
if he go 115 000 same...no leverage if u have small balance then apply your RR
BTCUSD Correction may Continue Bitcoin briefly dipped below $94,000 earlier this week but recovered strongly, stabilizing around the $100,000 mark by Friday.
Despite these mixed sentiments this week, institutional demand remained strong, adding $1.72 billion until Thursday.
Bla bla bla!
The COO of Indian crypto exchange Giottustold FXstreet that the financial incentive for investors is to support adding Bitcoin to a company’s balance sheet.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $100K level, trading near $100,100 on Friday after a recent decline earlier this week. The recent pullback in BTC was mostly due to high-leverage traders and some holders booking profits. Despite Microsoft’s rejection of adding Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet, institutional demand remained strong, recording a total inflow of $1.72 billion until Thursday. Giottus COO Arjun Vijay highlighted the growing financial incentive for companies to adopt Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
Bitcoin reaction this week
BTCUSD SELLBitcoin (BTC) ends the working week hovering around $98,000 after a very volatile Thursday when it surpassed the $100K milestone and underwent a sharp correction. Strong institutional demand, whale accumulation, and the choice of a pro-crypto figure to lead the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fueled the rally this weekHowever, traders should be cautious about a possible correction ahead as on-chain data shows holders booking profits at the top. Moreover, any moves from Mt.Gox funds and US government transfers could add to the selling pressureBitcoin surged past the $100K milestone on Thursday, reaching a peak of $104,088 before experiencing a sharp drop to $90,500. It ultimately recovered to close above $96,900. As of Friday, it is trading slightly above $98,000
BTCUSD - Possible sells?Here is our signal on BTCUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As the price on BTCUSD is moving in a “range” we could take this into our advantage and sell BTCUSD at the top of it. With smaller time-frames such as m15 we can see a clear break of the 100k support zone. We can enter into safe sells and target at around 98k. Our entry is sitting at the break of the support zone at 100296 . Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting at 101273 while our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 98276 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 100296
- SL: 101273
- TP: 98276
KEY NOTES
- BTCUSD broke the support zone on m15.
- BTCUSD is trading in a range.
- We are at the top of the range.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
BTC Trade Idea: Reversal Zone Market Context:
Bitcoin is approaching an uncharted territory between 101970 and 110200, where no historical resistance exists due to the all-time high level. This zone is psychologically significant and likely to attract profit-taking from early buyers and aggressive short-sellers, making it a prime area for potential reversals or consolidation.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Wait for signs of exhaustion, such as:
Large wicks on higher timeframes (e.g., 4H or daily).
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing).
Momentum indicators showing bearish divergence (e.g., RSI or MACD).
Enter a short position near the upper bound of 110200, with partial entries near 101970 if signs of weakness appear earlier.
Stop-Loss:
For shorts: Place stop-loss above 111500, beyond potential fake-outs.
For longs (breakout play): Place stop-loss below 109500, assuming the breakout level holds as support.
Adjust position size based on volatility within the zone.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: Monitor trading volume—high volume near resistance could signal a breakout, while declining volume might confirm a reversal.
Macro Events: Watch for macroeconomic news or crypto-specific developments that could drive speculative momentum in this region.
This setup assumes high volatility and requires active monitoring for precise entries and exits.
BTC 1h updateWe've initiated a short position on the 1-hour chart, setting our sell level at 99,134, which aligns with the base of the sell effort bar. Currently, trading volume has decreased, indicating a lack of strong interest from both buyers and sellers. I'm anticipating that the price will approach this sell zone with minimal buying activity, at which point I expect sellers to assert themselves. At that juncture, we can look for a reliable upthrust pattern on the 5-minute chart to identify a suitable short entry point. Let's observe how this scenario unfolds.
BTCUSD up Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 7% correction earlier in the week, dropping to $90,791 on Tuesday before recovering to $97,000 by Friday. On-chain data suggests a modest rebound in institutional demand, with holders buying the dip. A recent report indicates BTC remains undervalued, projecting a potential rally toward $146K. Additional optimism stems from Morocco’s legalization of cryptocurrencies and major players like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital increasing their BTC holdings.Bitcoin failed to reach the $100K milestone last week and started this week with a decline. It experienced a 7% pullback to a low of $90,791 on Tuesday before recovering slightly to close above $95,500 on Wednesday and hovering around $97,000 at the time of writing on Friday.This week, institutional demand offers a clear perspective on Bitcoin’s pullback and recovery. According to Coinglass Bitcoin Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) data, the week started with two consecutive days of outflows, totaling $558.1 million by Tuesday, followed by a modest recovery in demand through Thursday. If this inflow trend continues or accelerates, it could bolster the ongoing Bitcoin price recovery.
2400+ captured in BTC again today, signal still onHey Guys,
my custom Sentiment Indicator (PAID) is doing an outstanding job by capturing the sharp moves which comes after consolidation. signal is still on and 2400+ points captured... red background/green background mean sell/buy with or without buy/sell button... This is so helpful specially to beginners, this can help even if people dont know much where traps are, where price can reverse.
another amazing day and another powerful performance
Scenario on Btc From a technical analysis perspective, we are fighting for the main level and that is the price around 95k, which means at this moment that we do not have any real reason to start anything yet. In short, we have the 95k level here. If the market does not hold this level, a short at 90-87k is very likely. If the market holds this level, it is quite likely that it will go for a new all-time high, but I personally see a short setup there.