3 Scenarios for BitcoinWhen a trend of the peaks that Bitcoin has made since 2016 is taken, we see that after each peak that uses this trend as resistance, Bitcoin enters a correction process up to the HP filter.
Bitcoin, which has done this 3 times in history, is doing it right now. In addition, when I apply a Fibonacci analysis to each correction, I clearly see that Bitcoin is currently in the Fibonacci target area of the last bear season.
There are 3 options for Bitcoin right now. Either it will break this trend for the first time and run without any corrections until at least $120k, or it will be rejected from the trend and pull back to $90k, which the HP filter will reach, and then try the trend once more. On the contrary, the worst case scenario is that it will close below the HP filter for the week and fall to $60k, which means bear season.
Even if the bear season comes, I will switch to the buying side since I think Bitcoin will eventually reach $1m. Therefore, it does not matter how many dollars it is for me.
Btcusdshort
BTCUSD Correction may Continue Bitcoin briefly dipped below $94,000 earlier this week but recovered strongly, stabilizing around the $100,000 mark by Friday.
Despite these mixed sentiments this week, institutional demand remained strong, adding $1.72 billion until Thursday.
Bla bla bla!
The COO of Indian crypto exchange Giottustold FXstreet that the financial incentive for investors is to support adding Bitcoin to a company’s balance sheet.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $100K level, trading near $100,100 on Friday after a recent decline earlier this week. The recent pullback in BTC was mostly due to high-leverage traders and some holders booking profits. Despite Microsoft’s rejection of adding Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet, institutional demand remained strong, recording a total inflow of $1.72 billion until Thursday. Giottus COO Arjun Vijay highlighted the growing financial incentive for companies to adopt Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
Bitcoin reaction this week
BTCUSD - Possible sells?Here is our signal on BTCUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As the price on BTCUSD is moving in a “range” we could take this into our advantage and sell BTCUSD at the top of it. With smaller time-frames such as m15 we can see a clear break of the 100k support zone. We can enter into safe sells and target at around 98k. Our entry is sitting at the break of the support zone at 100296 . Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting at 101273 while our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 98276 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 100296
- SL: 101273
- TP: 98276
KEY NOTES
- BTCUSD broke the support zone on m15.
- BTCUSD is trading in a range.
- We are at the top of the range.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
BTC Trade Idea: Reversal Zone Market Context:
Bitcoin is approaching an uncharted territory between 101970 and 110200, where no historical resistance exists due to the all-time high level. This zone is psychologically significant and likely to attract profit-taking from early buyers and aggressive short-sellers, making it a prime area for potential reversals or consolidation.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Wait for signs of exhaustion, such as:
Large wicks on higher timeframes (e.g., 4H or daily).
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing).
Momentum indicators showing bearish divergence (e.g., RSI or MACD).
Enter a short position near the upper bound of 110200, with partial entries near 101970 if signs of weakness appear earlier.
Stop-Loss:
For shorts: Place stop-loss above 111500, beyond potential fake-outs.
For longs (breakout play): Place stop-loss below 109500, assuming the breakout level holds as support.
Adjust position size based on volatility within the zone.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: Monitor trading volume—high volume near resistance could signal a breakout, while declining volume might confirm a reversal.
Macro Events: Watch for macroeconomic news or crypto-specific developments that could drive speculative momentum in this region.
This setup assumes high volatility and requires active monitoring for precise entries and exits.
BTC 1h updateWe've initiated a short position on the 1-hour chart, setting our sell level at 99,134, which aligns with the base of the sell effort bar. Currently, trading volume has decreased, indicating a lack of strong interest from both buyers and sellers. I'm anticipating that the price will approach this sell zone with minimal buying activity, at which point I expect sellers to assert themselves. At that juncture, we can look for a reliable upthrust pattern on the 5-minute chart to identify a suitable short entry point. Let's observe how this scenario unfolds.
Scenario on Btc From a technical analysis perspective, we are fighting for the main level and that is the price around 95k, which means at this moment that we do not have any real reason to start anything yet. In short, we have the 95k level here. If the market does not hold this level, a short at 90-87k is very likely. If the market holds this level, it is quite likely that it will go for a new all-time high, but I personally see a short setup there.
BTCUSD Selling opportunity 97000.00 Swim Trade entry
BTCUSD SELL 96990.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 95812.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 92800.00
STOP LOSS 99260.00
Explanation of 3% risk : With a 1000$ capital account your maximum loss for each target is 30$. ( 1000/100*3 ) Adjust your lost size according to your capital and trade stop loss pips count
🔺Maximum Risk 3% of your capital
🔺From 1:1RR Book 80% of your profits
🔻Once 1:1RR, stop change to BE or safe area
NOTE : THIS IS MY PERSONAL TRADING ENTYR AND PLAN. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK
Tue 26th Nov 2024 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
BTC SHORT TP:76000 1D 19-11-2024Bitcoin is currently experiencing strong upward momentum, which suggests a potential significant pullback to the 75-76 range. The timeframe for this setup to materialize is expected to be within 8 to 16 days. Please remember that the stop loss and entry points are merely suggestions. Stay informed and trade wisely! #Bitcoin #Trading