BTCUSD:Wait for a rebound before going shortThe fluctuations are not big now, judging from the structure of the 30M icon. The probability of rebounding and then falling later is relatively high. My trading idea is to wait for the rebound to go short. The short orders entered near 88K yesterday are now generally profitable. They can be closed first and then entered after the rebound to prevent the price from rising directly.
Losing profits is a trivial matter, but turning from profit to loss would be very uneconomical.
Btcusdshort
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Trading Setup 📊 Chart Overview & Market Context
The provided chart represents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price movement on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe, highlighting a Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is generally bearish and signals a potential reversal or breakdown.
Over the past few trading sessions, BTC has been moving inside an ascending wedge formation, making higher highs and higher lows. However, this movement is narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum. As BTC approaches a critical resistance level, sellers appear to be gaining control, increasing the likelihood of a sharp decline.
This chart outlines a well-structured bearish trading setup, identifying key areas of resistance, support, stop-loss placement, and potential downside targets.
📌 Technical Analysis & Key Levels
🔹 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal)
A Rising Wedge is a technical pattern characterized by:
✔ Two upward-sloping trendlines, converging over time.
✔ Diminishing bullish momentum, as higher highs become weaker.
✔ Breakdown expectation, where price typically falls below the lower support trendline.
📉 Why is this pattern important?
The rising wedge signals that buyers are losing strength and that a reversal is likely.
When price breaks below the lower boundary, selling pressure increases, leading to a strong downward move.
Traders often anticipate a breakdown from this pattern to enter short positions.
🔹 2. Resistance Level (Key Rejection Zone)
📌 Zone: 88,500 - 89,500 USD
This area has acted as a strong resistance, preventing further upside movement.
Sellers stepped in, causing the price to reject and start declining.
A confirmed rejection from this level adds bearish confluence to the setup.
🔹 3. Rising Wedge Support (Breakdown Level)
📌 Zone: 85,000 - 84,500 USD
This is the lower boundary of the wedge pattern.
If BTC closes below this level with strong volume, it confirms the breakdown.
A retest of this level as resistance after a breakdown would provide an ideal short entry.
🔹 4. Key Support Levels & Bearish Targets
Once BTC breaks down, the next areas of interest are:
📌 First Bearish Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD
A previous demand zone where buyers previously pushed prices higher.
BTC could pause here before continuing lower.
📌 Final Target (Full Breakdown Projection): 76,802 USD
If the wedge pattern fully plays out, BTC could drop toward this level.
This aligns with a major historical support zone, where significant buying interest could emerge.
🔹 5. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
📌 Stop-Loss: 90,483 USD
If BTC moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Keeping a tight stop-loss ensures controlled risk while maximizing potential rewards.
📉 Trading Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Short Entry Strategy:
Enter a short trade once BTC breaks below 85,000 USD, confirming the wedge breakdown.
If BTC retests the broken support (now resistance), it offers a second entry opportunity.
✅ Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss above 90,483 USD, in case of a bullish breakout.
✅ Take-Profit Levels:
First Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD (Support zone)
Final Target: 76,802 USD (Full wedge breakdown projection)
📌 Key Takeaways & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Structure Formation: BTC is losing momentum inside a rising wedge, signaling a potential downturn.
🔸 Breakdown Confirmation Needed: A close below 85,000 USD with volume confirms the bearish trade setup.
🔸 Risk Management is Key: The stop-loss above 90,483 USD protects against invalidation.
🔸 Watch for Retests: If BTC retests the breakdown level, it can provide an ideal entry point.
🚨 Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bearish reversal! If the rising wedge breaks down, a significant decline toward 76,802 USD could follow. Traders should monitor price action carefully and execute the setup accordingly. 🚀
BTC Today's strategyYesterday's chart already shows an upward channel for BTC, let's continue to hit the resistance area of 88K-89K
btcusdt buy@85.5K-86K
tp:88K-89K
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BTCUSD: Current price trading opportunities have been updated.
BTCUSD from trend observation. The current market bullish sentiment is stronger, both support and pressure need to be tested. Real-time trading opportunities have been announced in the exclusive experience analysis circle. If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
BTC Today's strategyHi guys, it's a new week and the charts show it's moving up the channel
Looking back on the trading strategy we developed last week, we were undoubtedly successful. Now that the price has exceeded 87K, we still need to pay attention to the resistance of 88K, as it is the determinant of whether the upside can be
btcusdt buy@84.5K-85K
tp:87.5K-88K
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BTCUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on BTCUSD, and they all made good profits.
Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? You can look here.
BTCUSD: The US President spoke again at the weekend, which is good for Bitcoin's trend. It is said that as a strategic reserve. One million Bitcoins will be purchased in the next period of time. After the BTCUSD market was boosted, it rose 3k points in the short term. But after the news is digested, whether the market is stable. This is very critical. From the trend observation, there is also the meaning of falling back to test support. If the position of 86000-85000 stands firm, then continue to go long. If it does not stand firm, it is still mainly short.
If you don’t know where to follow. Remember to pay attention to the latest real-time news in the analysis circle. Or leave me a message. In this way, you can get exclusive trading opportunities and successfully expand profits. Remember to like and support after reading! !
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors:
Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market.
Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day.
Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation.
Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011).
Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors:
Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset.
Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT.
Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance:
Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives.
Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts.
Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.
Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT.
⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis:
Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish.
Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines.
Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze.
Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias.
⭐On-Chain Analysis
On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior:
Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance.
Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline.
Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act.
Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology:
Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds.
Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines.
Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance.
Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
⭐Positioning
Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market:
Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline.
Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling.
Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend.
Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest.
⭐Next Trend Move
The next likely price movement is based on current data:
Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning.
Key Levels:
Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target.
Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal.
Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization.
Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists.
⭐Other Data
Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT:
Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in.
Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility.
Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition.
Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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3/24 BTCUSD Trading Signal: LongThis is a relatively healthy rebound. After breaking through the first resistance, it slowly rose to the second resistance, where it has been tested many times. The current shape is good and there is room for further rise.
Therefore, in the current transaction, it is recommended to take long as an important reference direction, and the target is near the resistance of 86K.
When the price rises to this point, the market is likely to confirm the validity of the area near the 85K support. If the support is confirmed to be valid, the price may rise to 86.8K-88K.
BtcusdCardano (ADA) price held steady above the $0.70 mark on Friday, continuing its 10-day range-bound trading within a tight 5% margin. The prolonged price stagnation suggests ADA investors are cautiously assessing the market impact of the latest development within the Cardano ecosystem.
Input | Output (IO), the blockchain research and development firm behind Cardano, announced that Lace, its Web3 non-custodial wallet, will officially expand to support Bitcoin. This marks the beginning of Lace’s transition into a multichain platform, allowing users to securely store, manage, and interact with BTC within its intuitive interface.
Btcusd signal
BTC Today's strategyToday, the price of bitcoin fluctuates between 84K-84.5K, and in the current complex cryptocurrency market environment, this price level is at the key node of the long and short power game, and the resistance point of 85K and the support point of 83K have become an important reference indicator affecting its short-term trend.
The strategy of selling high and buying low is adopted in the 84K-85K range
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The momentum of BTC indicates its short-term potentialThe BTC/USD price is currently in a consolidation phase within a specific range.
Pay close attention to the 82,000 - 83,000 zone. Should the price retrace to this area and demonstrate signs of support, it could be a viable opportunity to initiate a small long position.
Set the target take - profit levels between 84,500 and 86,000. When the price reaches 84,500, it is advisable to consider partially closing the position to secure some profits. If it manages to break through this level, the subsequent target will be 86,000.
Considering the extreme volatility characteristic of the crypto market, prudent management of position size is of utmost importance. It's essential to refrain from overtrading to safeguard your investment capital.
BTCUSD
buy@82000-83500
tp:84500-86000
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BTC Today's strategySo far, BTC has fluctuated around 84K today, and it still fluctuates within our marked range. The strategy of selling high and buying low still works.
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt buy@83K-83.5K
tp:84.5K-85.5K
There is no large-scale selling by long-term holders in the market. Short-term holders have a significant impact on short-term movements. At present, geopolitical conflicts continue, trade frictions continue, and bitcoin and gold have historically performed well in times of economic uncertainty
Our investment strategy has achieved significant returns in the past two weeks. If you also want to double your capital, you can click on my link to get my trading strategy
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BTC Today's strategySo far, BTC has fluctuated around 84K today, and it still fluctuates within our marked range. The strategy of selling high and buying low still works.
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt buy@83K-83.5K
tp:84.5K-85.5K
There is no large-scale selling by long-term holders in the market. Short-term holders have a significant impact on short-term movements. At present, geopolitical conflicts continue, trade frictions continue, and bitcoin and gold have historically performed well in times of economic uncertainty
Our investment strategy has achieved significant returns in the past two weeks. If you also want to double your capital, you can click on my link to get my trading strategy
EconOptics| An Early Short Position on BTC (Risky)Bitcoin Analysis on the 1-Hour Timeframe:
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel. However, on the daily timeframe, this ascending channel appears to represent only a short-term consolidation phase, which diminishes its overall significance. That said, we can still take advantage of the minor fluctuations within this channel. My recommendation is to closely monitor a potential breakout, as a strong trend in the market could emerge following such a breakout.
At the moment, the price has reacted to the upper boundary of the channel and has been rejected. If we remain optimistic, it could potentially move toward the lower boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken below the midline of the channel and is consolidating within a narrow range. From the bottom of this consolidation zone, we can identify a trigger for a short position and utilize it. However, I suggest paying close attention to volume increases during a breakout to enter the position with momentum. Personally, I use the 15-minute timeframe for quicker entry points and tighter stop-loss levels. I might also hold this position in anticipation of a breakdown below the lower boundary of the channel, which could signal the resumption of a bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Stick to your strategy and practice proper risk management!