BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Btcusdsignals
#BTCUSD 4H#BTCUSDBTCUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Support Breakdown: The price has broken below a previously established trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The breakdown below trendline support suggests that bearish momentum may take over, and further downside movement is likely.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After the trendline breakdown, wait for confirmation of continued selling momentum or a retest of the broken trendline as resistance.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Above the broken trendline or recent swing high to limit risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on next support levels or Fibonacci projections for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Outlook: A trendline support breakdown typically signals that the buyers have lost control, and further downward movement is expected if the price remains below the broken trendline.
BTCUSD It's time to dump what you have while it's still profitabWhat to do and where to run to?
Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important.
Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction.
Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction.
In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts.
What will happen next?
Two main scenarios now:
1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values.
2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the selling. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels.
At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side.
🚀 Trade with the professionals of THS - Wave Theory!
🔹 All trades are based on wave analysis.
🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management.
🔹 100% automation: copy trades through CopyFX service.
🔹 Reliability and transparency: the results are confirmed by the market.
📈 Don't miss the chance to earn steadily!
👉 Connect to CopyFX with THS and start copying profitable trades right now!
💡 Details on our channel and in the app!
BTC/USD "Bitcoin" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 86,000
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BTCUSD BUY signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
BTCUSDT: Safe Zone Vs Risk Zone, Which one would you choose? Dear Traders,
WE have possible buying opportunities, with the first entry, the only reason that we think that price would reverse is, possible end of year bullish push which may take price to another record higher high. Although, since the price already has rejected we think price is unlikely to reject at the level, and may drop to 75k region.
good luck.
BTCUSD - Bitcoin's global uptrend is complete.BTCUSD - Bitcoin's global uptrend is complete.
the global uptrend on Bitcoin (BTC) has come to an end. This point of view has caused an active discussion among traders and investors, especially after key support levels were broken and the market entered a prolonged correction phase.
The main arguments of the “wave-watchers”
Completion of the 5th Elliott Wave
According to Elliott's theory, the global uptrend consists of five waves: three impulsive and two corrective.
Some analysts argue that the fifth wave ended at Bitcoin's all-time high around $69,000 in 2021, after which a long correction cycle began.
ABC-shaped correction development
After the completion of the fifth wave, the market may form a correction in the form of three waves (ABC).
Bitcoin's current dynamics, including the price decline in 2022, is seen as the realization of this correction structure.
Loss of key support levels
Levels that used to serve as strong support (e.g. $30,000 and $20,000) have been broken. This reinforces the view that the market is already out of its global bullish trend phase.
Declining institutional interest
Many large investors have slowed down their investments in Bitcoin, which also indicates a possible downturn in the long-term uptrend.
What to expect next?
Wave structure
The current correction may be temporary and the market will enter a new phase of growth (the beginning of a new cycle of waves).
Key levels to confirm the trend
If the price comes back and consolidates above $30,000-$35,000, it will be a strong signal of bullish trend continuation.
A move below $10,000 could confirm the end of the global uptrend.
Long-term outlook
Bitcoin is still an attractive asset to hedge, especially given its limited supply (21 million coins).
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Move From Support Confirmed
Looks like Bitcoin is going to pullback from a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a tine cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
The price will go up and reach at least 105291 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025.
Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many.
** Fibonacci Channel Up **
First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately:
1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib.
2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib.
3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib.
4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib.
** Pi Cycle and MM Bands **
Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force.
** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges **
As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236.
** Surprise Top **
The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k!
Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSD next possible move
🔑 "Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts." – Winston Churchill
Every success we achieve is just a step, not the final destination. Likewise, every failure is merely a temporary lesson, an opportunity to grow and improve 🌱.
🔥 What truly matters is our ability to persevere, to keep moving forward despite obstacles and setbacks. Those who succeed in the long run are those with the unbreakable courage to rise after every fall 🏆.
💪 Don’t fear failure. See it as a stepping stone to your future victories. Each challenge is a chance to become stronger, wiser, and more resilient.
✨ Keep moving forward with confidence and determination, because your true strength lies in that perseverance. 🚀
BITCOIN The Volatility Index points to strong consolidation nextLast time we analyzed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX), was 4 months ago (August 22, see chart below) and was an extremely successful projection as we took advantage of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bottom and predicted the $100k Target, which recently got hit:
Once more, we decided to seek the (mostly) negatively correlated patterns of VIX (chart on the right) to determine BTC's (chart on the left) price action in the coming months.
Based on VIX's Channel Down, the fact that it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and now is rebounding indicates that BTC may be entering a weekly consolidation phase. As you can see on VIX's chart, every time it broke below the 1W MA50 and started rising, Bitcoin entered a multi-week consolidation phase that sometimes was quick and others many months in length. Its 1W RSI is also at a level that relates to all those consolidation phases.
In our opinion this consolidation has more probabilities of being similar to December 04 2023 - January 29 2024, as the post August 2024 rally resembles more the rally that started on August 2023. This highlights the high degree of symmetry within Bitcoin's 2-year Channel Up.
If it continues to replicate that huge Bullish Leg, then we might as well see the rally peaking upon a +195.27% rise again. That could target $145000 by May 2025, which technically would also be marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, similar to the March 11 2024 High.
So what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to enter a multi-week consolidation now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Bullish Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 110,000.0
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
BITCOIN The three Expansion Phases of the Cycle.We have talked about Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hitting the $100k Target on numerous analyses and one of those was almost 4 months ago (August 26, see chart below), where we introduced the 2-year Channel Up, which has been the dominant pattern since the very beginning of the new Bull Cycle:
That piece of analysis was on the 1M time-frame but today we will examine it from the 1W perspective as the horizon narrows. We have made some slight modifications and the one that stands out is that we've classified it on Expansion Phases.
The key characteristic of those was the mid-Phase consolidation, which on the previous 2 took place within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, while the 1W RSI also turned sideways for the first time since the Channel Up bottomed.
With this marker, the consolidation phase is easily identifiable and according to it, we are currently on once. As a result, we can assume that we are within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range of Expansion Phase 3. This indicates that there is still plenty of room to rise. Based on that, a $150k Target is technically plausible before Summer.
So do you expect to reach 150000 so fast, if we do at all during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSD Correction may Continue Bitcoin briefly dipped below $94,000 earlier this week but recovered strongly, stabilizing around the $100,000 mark by Friday.
Despite these mixed sentiments this week, institutional demand remained strong, adding $1.72 billion until Thursday.
Bla bla bla!
The COO of Indian crypto exchange Giottustold FXstreet that the financial incentive for investors is to support adding Bitcoin to a company’s balance sheet.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $100K level, trading near $100,100 on Friday after a recent decline earlier this week. The recent pullback in BTC was mostly due to high-leverage traders and some holders booking profits. Despite Microsoft’s rejection of adding Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet, institutional demand remained strong, recording a total inflow of $1.72 billion until Thursday. Giottus COO Arjun Vijay highlighted the growing financial incentive for companies to adopt Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
Bitcoin reaction this week
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHi there! Dear Money Makers, Losers, and Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on Thief Trading style technical analysis, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "BITCOIN" cryptocurrency market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entrance. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy, cautious, and safe.
Entry 📈: Acceptable anywhere; I advise placing buy limit orders within a 15-minute window. The entry for the Recent/Nearest Low Point should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent swing low
Goal 🎯: 110,000
Scalpers, take note: only scalp on the long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish SideOla! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Near the Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry 👇 📉: Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 90,000
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support.
Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend
What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time.
This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line.
So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSDT Swing trade SignalHello everyone i want hare my bitcoin swing trade idea.
Bitcoin had huge liquidity to downside which was for active new buyers plus it tested last week Fibonacci buy levels where it got aggressive reaction.
Open long position at 98181
Stop loss at 96800
Take profit i will stay ion this trade until new year if i will be right.
Always manage your risk!!! Don't risk more than 2 % in this trade.
BITCOIN nothing to stop it now! Can top anywhere inside 250-400kMore than 1 year ago (September 05 2023, see chart below), we published the following Bitcoin (BTCUSD) idea, which very illustratively presented the potential course of the new Bull Cycle:
As you can see, BTC managed to trade an entire year rising within this green Arc pattern and always below the Cyclical Pivot trend-line that emerged from the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle.
We made the last update on this chart last August (20 2024), where we called the end of the 5-month correction since March and the start of the new Phase (final Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle.
** The key hold of the 1W MA50 **
The key for that call was the fact that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held twice during the August sell-off and supported. As you can see, on all of BTC Bull Cycles, the 1W MA50 has been supporting post Halving and never broke until after the Top and the start of the new Bear Cycle.
** Symmetry of pre and post-Having **
Given that historically the Bull Cycle lasts post-Halving almost the time it lasted from the bottom to the Halving, we should expect its top around December 2025 - January 2026 and if it is on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line, then it could be as high as 400k.
However, even on a less optimistic scenario where it lasts 1064 days (152 weeks) from the Bottom (not counting FTX crash), like the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can expect a peak a little over $200000 on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line.
** The 1W RSI series of Tops **
It is important to notice that the 1W RSI is recovering from the overbought volatility correction, having dropped from a massively overbought 88.50 High (March 04) to a practically bearish 45.00 Low (September 02). As this chart shows, BTC tends to top on levels similar to the first 1W RSI of the Cycle, so there is still a lot of way to go before it tops, especially if it follows the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, which had four almost symmetrical such Tops.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting Bitcoin to top anywhere within a $250 - $400k range? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC Trade Idea: Reversal Zone Market Context:
Bitcoin is approaching an uncharted territory between 101970 and 110200, where no historical resistance exists due to the all-time high level. This zone is psychologically significant and likely to attract profit-taking from early buyers and aggressive short-sellers, making it a prime area for potential reversals or consolidation.
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Wait for signs of exhaustion, such as:
Large wicks on higher timeframes (e.g., 4H or daily).
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing).
Momentum indicators showing bearish divergence (e.g., RSI or MACD).
Enter a short position near the upper bound of 110200, with partial entries near 101970 if signs of weakness appear earlier.
Stop-Loss:
For shorts: Place stop-loss above 111500, beyond potential fake-outs.
For longs (breakout play): Place stop-loss below 109500, assuming the breakout level holds as support.
Adjust position size based on volatility within the zone.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: Monitor trading volume—high volume near resistance could signal a breakout, while declining volume might confirm a reversal.
Macro Events: Watch for macroeconomic news or crypto-specific developments that could drive speculative momentum in this region.
This setup assumes high volatility and requires active monitoring for precise entries and exits.
Scenario BTC 6.12.There are two main scenarios: either the support at 0.786 breaks through and we go for another ATH, or the support holds and we can watch for a possible correction. If that happens, we can test the levels somewhere around the previous low and if the trendline breaks, we can test the levels around 87k, but we are currently waiting for further signals.