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BITCOIN The Golden 51%-49% Ratio! 600 days of Bull Market left!This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and the Bull starts. ** The 51%-49% Ratio and the important of the Halvings ** The focus of this study is the Bull Cycle. As you see on the chart there is a striking similarity on each Cycle. The phase from the Bottom to the Halving is 51% of the whole Bull Cycle while the rest (Halving to Top) consists the 49%. Practically we can claim that the Halving seems to be the middle of each Bull Cycle. ** So where are we now? ** Based on the above ratio and with the 3rd Halving scheduled on May 12th, 2020, we can calculate that the first phase (51%) of the current Bull Cycle will last around 520 days (Bottom made on December 15th 2018). The 49% which based on the previous two cycles has been the second phase should therefore last around 505 days, placing the Top of the current Bull Cycle in early October 2021! This means that there are around 600 days of Bull Cycle left!! Of course there are and will be several other parameters that can influence the cycle (we saw that on the April-June 2019 parabolic explosion) but this is a good (and so far very accurate) pattern that long term Bitcoin investors can follow. It certainly answers the question "is it too late to buy?" though! Do you agree with this estimate of have another pattern in mind? Let me know in the comments section! Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! BONUS MATERIAL a shorter term perspective:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
399
BITCOIN still has at least 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead !!!Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio': And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors: As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic Halving, we are giving you an update with a few extra elements! ** Cycles and LGC ** The Bear Cycles are displayed by the red Rectangles and the Bull Cycle by the green. What's noticeable here is that BTC only recently got out of its Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC), which is unusual before a Halving event. Being that close to the range that is basically Bitcoin's historic Buy Zone, indicates its huge potential moving forward in this new Bull Cycle. ** The Golden Ratio ** However the highlight of this analysis remains the Halving's Golden Ratio, which implies that the time distance from the Bear Cycle's bottom to the Halving is almost equivalent to the distance from the Halving to the Bull Cycle's top. It has held beautifully on the 3 previous Cycles and there is no reason not to expect it to unfold this time also. ** 500 more days of Bull ** This indicates that we have at least another 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead of us and the best part is that those will be in the form of the most aggressive part of the Cycle, the Post-Halving Parabolic Rally (green Megaphone)! But what do you think? Do you expect the 51%-49% Golden Ratio to hold again? If yes, at what price do you expect Bitcoin to peak? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BITCOIN Will we see 60k before 100k?Yesterday we discussed from a 4H perspective (see chart below) why it would be technically possible and above all healthy for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to pull-back to the 1D MA50 and then rebound: Today we approach this from the 1W time-frame where the results are virtually the same. As you can see, Bitcoin has pulled-back towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level measured from the previous Low on both previous corrections. Even the April - June and July - September double corrections last year (2023), both didn't exceed the 0.382 Fib. With the underlying long-term pattern for BTC being a Channel Up since the November 2022 (FTX crash) bottom, such a pull-back would be a new Higher Low. As you can see every Bullish Leg to a Higher High is slightly weaker progressively. The 1st was +104.28%, the 2nd +96.69% (-8% lower), the 3rd +92.48% (-4% lower), so we may have a pattern here where every Higher High's decreasing rate is -50% lower each time. This indicates that the next Higher High may be -2% less, i.e. +90.48%. That gives us a $110000 Higher High target but it is always safer to start taking profits (medium-term at least) around $100k. So if this model continues to repeat those systemic sequences, we are looking at the possibility of a 60-58k pull-back towards and marginally after the Halving and then new rally to $100k. It is worth mentioning that every time such Higher Low pull-back took place within the Channel Up, the 1W MACD either made a Bearish Cross or a very tight Squeeze. We can already see the MACD reversing downwards. So what do you think? It is more probable to see a 60k pull-back before a new rally to 100k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
15
BITCOIN a 1D MA50 test is quite likely before 100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke and closed below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since February 05). Last time such a pull-back off a Higher High took place was on January 12 (orange circle), which confirmed the extension of a short-term correction that found support on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. That was a -21.41% decline from the top. On today's sequence a -21.41% repeat would again make contact (or come very close) with the 1D MA50. That could coincide with the Halving event, two weeks from now and would make for a very healthy correction. In our opinion that is the most optimal and low risk level to add more buys for the long-term 100k Target. But what do you think? Will BTC correct to the 1D MA50 or a rebound from the current levels is more probable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN hit a record 7 straight green months! NOT APRIL FOOL'S !Yes it is not April Fool's, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed a record 7 straight months of gains for the first time in history. Since it's inception, there hasn't been an exchange where BTC made more than 6 bullish monthly (1M) candles in a row. What started in September 2023 as merely a hold and bottom formation on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), eventually evolved into a record breaking sequence. In fact, Bitcoin has only had 3 red months in the past 15, which makes the feat even more impressive! Being the lengthiest such bullish sequence in history, doesn't mean that the rally is over. In fact, we can argue that it has only just begun as based on the 1M RSI, which is trading within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, we are on symmetrical terms relative to past Bull Cycles, where the price was on November 2020, February 2017 and February 2013. We can see that this is an impressive symmetry, and shows that we are at a point far from the cyclical peak. The previous 3 Cycles topped 12, 10 and 10 months from that RSI position respectively. If this continues, we can expect Bitcoin to rally for at least another 10 months before the Cycle peaks and the RSI approaches the Channel Top where we can gradually start taking profit! But what do you think? Does this impressive 7-month bullish streak still have at least 10-month fuel in it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
14
BTC- I'm still bullish but with some cautionIn my analysis of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD yesterday, I mentioned my expectation for a new all-time high from Bitcoin in the near future. However, during yesterday's trading session, the price once again failed to surpass the 72k mark, raising some doubts about my outlook. Firstly, after breaking above the 68k zone and retesting it, I anticipated a new local high. However, this didn't materialize. Secondly, the rise from 62k wasn't as impulsive as one had wanted. Considering these factors, while I remain bullish in the short term, I am closely monitoring the 68-70k zone. If we break below 68k, we can expect a continuation of the downward move, possibly even testing the support zone at 62k again.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
12
BITCOIN Can it hit $200k on this Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to see enormous grow, despite the recent 2-week consolidation (blue circle) after breaking the previous All Time High (ATH). BTC is no stranger to such a consolidation as it also took it 3 weeks trading sideways when it hit the ATH during the previous Cycle in November 2020. What followed after that was an aggressive rally marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and after a pull-back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded for a "Double Top" Cycle peak marginally above the 1.618 Fib one. The two sequences are identical, and the similarities on the 1W CCI even are striking. Symmetry is at its best and it may be attributed to the fact that the dominant pattern for Bitcoin in the past 7 years (since July 2017), has been a Channel Up. The Fibonacci retracement levels offer an excellent display of the price movements and symmetry of the trends. As a result, we are expecting a parabolic rally to break-out soon, with a first Target on the 1.618 Fib at $180000. If the same "Double Top" formation is followed, we can even see a Blow-off Top as high as $200000. Both of those targets are restrained below the 0.786 Fib level of the Channel Up. It BTC follows the standard Higher High pattern on Channel Ups, we may even see prices as high as $300k but best to take the more conservative route. But what do you think? Can we reach $200k during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
BITCOIN Brace for the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. That is the final bullish sequence at the end of which leads to the All Time High (ATH) and new peak of the Cycle. What makes it the most aggressive part is its Higher Highs angle, which historically has been the greater on each and every Cycle. More specifically, the Parabolic Rally tends to start after BTC breaks above its previous ATH (blue circle). Until then, the angle degree (°) of the Higher Highs is low, with the current Cycle being 31°, the previous one of 2019/20 at 18° and the one before of 2015/16 at 26° (2019/20 Cycle was taken as such in order to filter out both the Libra euphoria and the COVID crash). This trend-line starts at the same time the 'Accumulation Triangle' starts, which leads to the ATH rally test. The Parabolic Rally in the last 2 Cycles has been 71° and 66° respectively. Each Cycle's ° degrees of the 2 Higher Highs trend-lines give a sum of 89° - 92°. Since the current Cycle has the first Higher Highs trend-line on a 31° angle, the Parabolic Higher Highs should be a minimum of 58°. This suggests that by June we may have hit the 100k psychological benchmark and by September even extend to $150000. But what do you think? Have we entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle and if yes, are such targets realistic that soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
17
BTC SELL MORE ON DIPS !!!HELLO TRADERS As I can see #BTC is now trading 64k$ as we are sending our analysis our previous targets hit on BTC CHARTS ARE ATTACHED IN COMMENTS HAVE A LOOK WE ARE EXPECTING MORE DROP IN BTC TILL DESIGN LEVEL it has broken the trend line which is a good sign for us to test the FIBO 0.618 easily friends chart is crystal clear need patience and proper MM ITS JUST A TRADE IDEA share Ur thoughts with us we appreciate Ur likes and comments.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
BTCUSDT:Mainly short-selling at high positions, long with cautio The large-level trend has turned bearish. Try to focus on high-altitude trading, and be cautious when going long. Judging from the current trend, the resistance is mainly concentrated around 68000 and the support is around 64000. Trade around this range first. If it falls below 64000, you can make a small rebound. Don’t be too greedy when trading. Close the order in time when there is a profit. The rebound resistance will be concentrated in the 64000-65000 range.
Short
by Allen_Ex
BTCUSD:Head and shoulders, short The head is composed of a double top. The current form is closer to the head and shoulders . Once confirmed, the market will inevitably fall sharply, so my trading view is to go short as much as possible. The important resistance is 66,000, the support is around 58,000, and the target is 53,000-52,000. This is a large trading space that requires sufficient trading funds and patience. If you have such conditions, you can follow my strategy and the probability of profit is about 90%.
Short
by Allen_Ex
8
BITCOIN Is $175000 so easy to achieve?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke its All Time High (ATH) this month, making history once again. The quest for the rest of the month is to close the March 1M candle above the previous ATH (69000). Why is this important? Because every time it did so in the past on each and every Cycle, the price never looked back and it entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle: the Parabolic Break-out Phase. This has coincided with the 1M RSI breaking above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the Fibonacci Channel Down. As you can see on the chart every time it did so, it reached (or almost) the top of the Channel Down (blue circle) while the price hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. During the first 2 Cycles the price went on even considerably higher than that (red rectangle) before the Cycle peaked, while the 1M RSI again hit the top of the Channel Down. During the previous (most recent) Cycle though, there was no 2nd RSI top, as the price only marginally exceeded the 1.618 Fib with its 2nd top, in fact it didn't even close a 1M candle above it. As a result, we may have a similar 'Double Top' Cycle this time also, but that's just the modest scenario. In any case the 1.618 Fib extension is now priced at $175000, which technically is a 'certainty' (if you can ever say that in investing) based on this historic chart and the Target of this Cycle. But what do you think? Is $175k a given and if yes, will BTC surpass the 1.618 Fib for an even higher Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
12
btcusdBitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis. Bitcoin continues to press higher, making fresh all-time highs in the process. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is up just over 92% since the January 23 swing low ($38.55k), with the move higher driven by ongoing spot ETF buying. Blackrock, the world’s largest asset manager, now holds approximately 204k Bitcoin – current value $14.97 billion – despite their spot ETF being less than two months old. This holding is just behind MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor who currently holds 205k BTC at an average cost price of around $33.7k.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Mark804
1
BITCOIN New bottom formed. Rally could aim well above $100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is at the early stages of a new parabolic rally, similar to January - March, as a key bullish development took place. The 1D RSI hit the 50.00 neutral (middle) level for the first time since breaking above it on January 26 2024 and rebounded, while keeping the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) intact. This is a strong bullish signal for the Bull Cycle. BTC has been within a range for the majority of this month and last time all those parameters emerged together was in late November - early December 2020. At that time, Bitcoin also hit the 50.00 RSI level, held above the 1D MA50 and after being ranged for almost a month, it started a new parabolic bullish leg towards the 6.0 Fibonacci extension before the next 1D MA50 pull-back. As you can see, both sequences capped a roughly +100% rise since the previous Lows where the price made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and eventually bounced. The 1D MA100 wasn't touched again for almost 7 months, not before BTC approached the 8.0 Fib extension, completing a +563% rise from that Low. The fractals are virtually identical so far and if the current price action continues to replicate 2020/ 2021, we expect the 1D RSI to hit 90.00 again before retracing. If $100k isn't hit at that time, we will book profits regardless and buy again on the next 1D MA50 contact. Until then, $100k is our next Target. But what do you think? Is 100k a realistic target that soon and if yes can Bitcoin repeat 2021 to its full extent and even reach 250k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
18
Is the next Bitcoin target $65k or $60k? check the analysis📣 Hello Mates! We have observed that Bitcoin has been continuously rising for the past several weeks. Bitcoin has surpassed its previous target of $69,000 and has now reached $70,000. We believe that a resistance is forming at $72,000, which may not be surpassed yet. According to our analysis, the market will reach $65,000 or $60,000. Perhaps the market will reach $70,000, then decline to $64,000, before rising to $72,000. Subsequently, our target will be reached at $65,000 or $60,000. However, it's also possible that the market will continuously fall below $70,000, ultimately reaching our target of $65,000 or $60,000. Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BigtimeFx
BITCOIN Will 60k hold?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having so far its strongest correction (almost -15%) in 2 months (since the January 23 2024 Low) with the 1D RSI turning neutral (was overbought last week) after forming Lower Highs (i.e. a Bearish Divergence). The dominant pattern is still a Channel Up, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and last time we saw such an RSI Bearish Divergence was during the previous Channel Up (October 13 2023 - January 11 2024) but turned out to be false and the trend continued upwards. This time though the pull-back appears to be stronger, similar to January 12 2024, which broke the previous Channel Up and made a bearish move towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result we are looking for a pull-back extension near Support 1 (59500) and the 0.382 Fib, which is marginally below it, where the 1D MA50 is headed. This is the strongest Support Cluster possible on the short-term and if it holds, the bullish trend of the Channel Up should be maintained and the potential rebound can target $90000 around the time of the Halving. If however the price closes a 1D candle below the 0.382 Fib, we will be looking towards a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test around 45000, before the bullish trend is resumed. Notice also that technically the 44.90 - 36.00 1D RSI Support Zone has been a buy opportunity since for the past 6 months. Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
btcusd sell shortBitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world’s first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis. Bitcoin (BTC) price shows a slowdown in momentum as it set up a new all-time high of $73,949 on March 13. Considering the massive uptrend that BTC has been experiencing, a short-term correction is nothing to be concerned about.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Mark804
2