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BTC Hits New Support Level at $24800Introduction: In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) has recently encountered a significant shift as it reached a new support level at $24800. This sudden development has raised concerns among traders, prompting a need for caution and careful evaluation of the market conditions. In this article, we will delve into the implications of this support level and emphasize the importance of waiting for clarity before resuming Bitcoin trading. The Importance of Support Levels: Support levels play a crucial role in technical analysis, indicating a price point at which an asset is expected to find buying interest and reverse its downtrend. They act as a safety net, preventing prices from plummeting further. The recent establishment of a support level at $24800 for Bitcoin suggests a potential stabilization in its value. However, it is essential to remember that these levels are not guarantees but indications of possible reversals. The Concerning Tone: Traders, we find ourselves in uncertain times. The cryptocurrency market has always been known for its volatility, and the recent developments surrounding Bitcoin only add to the confusion. As we navigate through uncharted waters, it is crucial to approach this situation with a concerned tone. Instead of hastily jumping into trades, we must exercise patience and wait for clarity to emerge. Why Pause Bitcoin Trading? Given the current circumstances, it is prudent to pause Bitcoin trading until we understand the market's direction. Here are a few reasons to consider: 1. Market Sentiment: Establishing a support level at $24800 is a positive sign but does not guarantee an immediate upward trend. Assessing market sentiment and observing traders' reactions to this new support level is crucial before making any hasty decisions. 2. Volatility and Risk: Bitcoin's recent volatility has left many traders on edge. Sudden price swings can result in significant losses if not approached with caution. We can minimize the risks associated with uncertain market conditions by pausing trading. 3. Clarity is Key: Waiting for clarity is essential to make informed trading decisions. It allows us to evaluate the market trends, monitor price movements, and analyze the impact of external factors that may influence Bitcoin's trajectory. We can avoid impulsive actions driven by fear or uncertainty by exercising patience. The Call to Action: Traders, in these uncertain times, must prioritize caution and prudence. It is crucial to continue pausing Bitcoin trading until clarity emerges and a clear upward trend is established. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and make informed decisions based on market stability. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is highly unpredictable, and impulsive actions can lead to significant losses. Take this opportunity to educate yourself, stay updated with market news, and seek guidance from trusted sources. Together, we can navigate this challenging period and position ourselves for success when the market stabilizes. In conclusion, let us exercise patience and restraint until the market provides a more straightforward path. We can make informed decisions and protect ourselves from unnecessary risks by waiting for clarity to show a definitive upward trend. Stay informed, stay cautious, and most importantly, stay resilient. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a professional before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
BITCOIN The importance of the 1W MA50 for reaching $250k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under heavy bearish pressure for almost 2 months, making market participants anxious to say the least. In times like this, it is always best not to lose sight of the bigger picture and look for clues on the wider time-frames. This chart is on the 1W time-frame and illustrates a very unique pattern that splits BTC's historic price action into 4 phases that can potentially not only reveal the next cyclical Top but also give us an idea whether the recent correction can endanger the new Bull Cycle or not. This is practically the framework of a previous study we've conducted but we some new updates. ** The Two Phases ** As you see, the Cycles are divided into Bear-to-Bear (blue) and Bull (green) Phases. The Bear-to-Bear begins at the start of the Bear Cycle and ends at the bottom of the next Bear Cycle. The Bull Phase starts on that bottom and ends at the top before the Bear begins. We are currently on the new Bull Phase, which in accordance to the previous Bull Phase, the price is pulling back (ellipse shape) through consolidation towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) that is technically the long-term Support during this part of the Cycle. The 1W RSI has been pulling back after turning overbought since April, similar to what happened on December 14 2015. It is easy to understand that the 1W MA50 is the most critical Support right now as it never broke downwards during the previous Bull Phase. Technically we have to assume that as long as it holds, BTC remains on a long-term bullish trend. ** The RSI symmetry ** The 1W RSI is particularly helpful when it comes to mapping those Phases and identifying identical spots in time, as the symmetry between Phases is astounding. The Cycle Top is easily revealed by the RSI, followed by Lower Highs that drive it to an oversold state, where investors can start buying again. Another distinct characteristic is the Overbought Volatility of the RSI as the price rises within its Bull Phase. Technically the RSI remains on a bullish trend as it just hit this week the Higher Lows trend-line that started after its bottom. This is again a similar behavioral pattern as with the previous Bull Phase and the Higher Lows test in February 2016. If the 1W MA50 is indeed the long-term Support again, then we should see the 1W RSI bouncing now on this Higher Lows trend-line and approach the overbought territory by the end of the year. ** The Cyclical Pivot ** What is perhaps the most important part of this cheat-sheet, is the Cyclical Pivot trend-line. That starts at the bottom of the Bear-to-Bear Phase, supports all the way and then gets broken near the start of the Bull Phase. The key attribute is that when BTC hit it again on December 11 2017, the Bull Phase's Top was formed. As a result, we can argue that when BTC hits the new Cyclical Pivot trend-line again, we could have the new cyclical Top. ** The Fibonacci Time levels and Halvings ** Since the Phases appear to be getting longer, we can use metrics that incorporate this sense of proportionality, such as the Fibonacci Time Zones. The first Bull Phase peaked just after Fib Time extension 1.8. Halving 1 was a little before the middle (Fib 0.5) of the Bear-to-Bear Phase, while Halving 2 was at the middle of the Bull Phase. On the last Bear-to-Bear Phase, Halving 3 was almost on its middle. If the nw Bull Phase extends as long as Fib 1.8, then Halving 4 will also fall exactly on its middle. Indeed an interesting symmetry, a behavioral pattern that BTC often follows. We can expect the new Bull Phase to last up to 187 weeks (1309) days, which is where the 1.8 Fibonacci Time extension is. If so then it is possible to hit the Cyclical Pivot trend-line at a price of $400k by January 2026. If it is as long as the previous Bull Phase, i.e. at least 152 weeks (1064 days), then by that time a technical contact with the Cyclical Pivot can be at around $250k. That's at least how the model develops itself so far, but what do you think? Can the 1W MA50 hold and lead BTC to at least a $250000 new Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4
BTCUSDT, Long from a crucial supporttBTCUSDT has been a bearish trend since it rose to $28,143 on 29th August 2023. The bears have been able to bring down the price to equal lows since 22nd August at $25,331. Price is currently reacting on a month support ($25,836) and a break below this level could further plunge the price to $21.410.6 What do I expect? The current price is exactly reacting at the base of the trendline support of the ascending channel since 19th January 2023 and the bears are losing momentum at this level which is the reason why the bulls will overtake the bears to drive up the price to $26,606 and further to $27,601 in the coming days.
Long
by AbeikuGlobal_FX
3
BITCOIN Needs to break the 1W MA100 to confirm bullish extensionBitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding after hitting the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the June 12 1W candle, which provided a rise. Technically on the 1W time-frame, the trend has been neutral basically with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) as the Resistance, having the July 10 rejection. In fact, the 1W MA100 has been unbroken ever since the May 02 2022 bearish break-out that started the final and more aggressive decline of the Bear Cycle. If BTC reclaims it, technically it should turn into Support until the next Bear Cycle. At the same time the price continues to respect the 1M Support/ Resistance Zones, which is part of an analysis we conducted in June. The Resistance Zone (red), was previously a Support in 2022 having closed all 1M candles up to April 2022 above it, despite some large wicks that broke much lower but where bought back aggressively in the end. That Support Zone is now the new Resistance Zone, in a similar way as the Resistance Zone of July - August 2022 (green) is now the new Support. The 1W MA50 is within that Support Zone, in a similar way the 1W MA100 is trading within the Resistance Zone. All this while the 1W RSI is within a Channel DOwn since it hit the 70.00 Overbought barrier on April 10 but is close to the Higher Lows trend-line of June 2022, which is the current Cycle's Support. As a result, the price is currently within a huge Neutral Zone that although based on the 1M candles closings, a 1W candle closing above the 1W MA100, will be the first bullish break-out signal towards 45900 - 48500, which is the next Resistance Zone ahead and our medium-term target. But what do you think? Will Bitcoin break above the 1W MA100 (Resistance) or the 1W MA50 (Support)? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
7
BITCOIN Grayscale prevails against SEC! Ready for +30% rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is already more than +5% for the day after Grayscale prevailed against the U.S. SEC in a historic ruling over the conversion of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to a spot Bitcoin ETF in a lawsuit. This legal win could be a pivotal step towards having the first ever spot Bitcoin ETF authorized in the United States. Technically the price reclaimed the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with ease after breaking below it 12 days ago. A 1D candle closing above it would confirm this sentiment. After all, the August 22 low was exactly at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up, making a Higher Low sequence. On top of that, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, the 4th such formation these months. As a result, BTC has both the fundamental and technical backing for a new medium-term rally. The previous two rallies to a Higher High have been around +29% so we are expecting at least $32500. Interestingly enough they both took only (around) 30 days to be completed since their bottoms (Higher Lows). But what do you think? Is this the start of a new +30% rally for Bitcoin or just a fake-out move based on news? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Can it hit $50000 by the end of the year?This Bitcoin (BTCUSD) study is centered around the MACD Bullish Cross that took place on the 1M time-frame two months ago. Since 2014, the 1M MACD has formed a Bullish Cross another 3 times. In all cases the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level was hit either before (only time the June 2019 Libra hype) or after. At the same time, the Symmetrical Support level from the last Lower High of the Bear Cycle held and closed all 1M candles above it (exception of course is the Black Swan non-technical irregularity of the COVID flash crash on March 2020). This is the position that the recent price decline has brought us to, testing that Symmetrical Support, which has held twice already in June and May 2023. The situation is more like the December 2015 1M MACD Bullish Cross, which took 6 months until it reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level. This time range is completed in 4 months, which means that by December 2023 BTC can reach the 0.786 Fib, which is at $50000. So do you think that this Bullish Cross will have history repeated and make firstly the Symmetrical Support to close the month above it and secondly that the price will reach $50k by the end of the year? Is this the final red monthly candle before a relentless rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
25
BITCOIN Not many opportunities to buy it at a better discount.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had a noticeable correction recently, bringing the price back to mid-June levels and spreading fear across the market. This effect isn't however until we zoom out to the larger time-frames (1W on the current study) and the multi-year Cycles that we realize that this is a natural technical phenomenon, an early Bull Cycle correction after the first rally of the new Bull market. As you can see we compare today to where the price was in 2019, 2015 and 2012 all 238 days before the Halvings of their respective Cycles, which is how long away we are currently (238 days/ 34 weeks) from Halving 4 (estimated in April 2024). In 2012 and 2015, the price was within the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, same as today. The exception is 2019 when the price was considerably above that zone, mainly due to the sheer aggressive nature of the 2019 rally. However the correction that followed was equally strong as (even excluding the COVID crash), the price scratched the top of the 0.618 Fib. As a result, we can argue that BTC is exactly where it is supposed to be during that respective phase of the Cycle, based on its historic cyclical activity. This doesn't mean that it can't fall some more, but most likely there won't be many opportunities to buy it at a better discount. Do you think that's the case or are you waiting for a (much) lower price to buy? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
15
BITCOIN First time on the 1D MA200 in 5 months. Disaster ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the March 10 2023 Low and closed a 1D candle below it for the first time since January 12 2023. Can this be an early warning that the worse have yet to come? It certainly could, considering that the price also broke and closed below the Higher Low trend-line that started BTC's recovery from the Bear Cycle back in December 2022. However the (massive) decline is so far contained within the March Channel Up. As long as it stays above the Channel's bottom, we expect a short-term (at least) rebound to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 28800. Below it, we expect the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) to be tested at 24000. In addition, the 1D RSI hit the 20.45 Support level (massively oversold) that was formed on the bottom of June 18 2022. But a weekly candle closing below the 1W MA50 could be catastrophic and reverse the long-term trend to bearish again. Do you think that's the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
14
BTCUSDT Swing trade signal from me!!!Hello Everyone. I want talk about Bitcoin price prediction. We are close to high movement. in this idea i will talk about everything and the reasons why i am going to long it. After big consolidation we saw price came slowly down but not strong, it stopped to 2023 High , tried to brake that LVL many times but there was strong sellers who dropped the price, in last week we had some liquidity swings, when it was second liquidity swing i though it was continue of bullish trend, i long it and i got stop ( i will link that idea in this post ) Friday we had one more liquidity swing but after that price has slow little range movement. Why i am going to long - we are close to weekly trendline, we are close to weekly support and Daily Fibonacci 50.00 LVL, after touch on this trendline we saw big bullish movement. this all thing is in one point, with my strategy 28350 it the best point for open long position, if price will not come at this point i will not open my long position, in addition on USDT Dominance we have some range movement which coming slowly up side but it has strong resistance of Daily Fibonacci LVL. on bitcoin next week i think we will see big liquidity swing which will be good signal from big guys they are going to long. Here is my 2 price possible move of bitcoin. 1 Bullish - price coming to 28350 point where we have weekly support, daily Fibonacci 50.00 LVL, weekly trendline and liquidity swing zone, it has strong reaction from that point and going up side. 2 Bearish - price is not strong at 28350 LVL it braking big support zone and resistance and coming down. We are close!!!! Be patient!!!! IF I WILL STOP ITS OKAY!!!
Long
by elmakacho
BITCOIN The secret buy based on the GOLD/SPX ratio!This is not the first time we post this analysis but it as it starts to get increasingly relevant again, we thought it would be the perfect timing to refresh your memory. As you can see we are on the 1W time-frame, charting Bitcoin (BTCUSD) against the GOLD/SPX ratio(blue trend-line). The conclusion that this comparison offers can be very valuable. When the GOLD/SPX ratio peaks and starts pulling back, Bitcoin starts the Parabolic Rally of its Bull Cycle. At the moment the GOLD/SPX ratio is at the bottom of a Channel Up similar to 2018 - 2019. When the ratio broke that Channel to the upside, it peaked as in February 2016 and started to decline. At the same time Bitcoin kick started its Parabolic Rally. Will you be on the look-out for such a spike and then buy or buying now is as good as any? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
Bitcoin pushing towards 31K - BTCUSDHello traders, BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a range that we identified on May 2022 as a liquidity gap. As predicted trading turned into this box to fill te previous liquidity gap. At the moment we need a validation to confirm a break below or above this box. There are good chances of a break as there is a large bullish flag pattern on the daily timeframe. In the short term we will see bulls pushing bitcoin around 31K. I will update this idea in the next few days. Upvote and comment with your idea. Thank you all for the support over the years.
Long
by IllyrianTrader
BITCOIN This is the last barrier standing before going parabolicBack in May we first showed on this channel the unique Bullish Cross that the KST indicator was about to make and how the previous three clear (July 2020, January 2016 and June 2013), all have kickstarted major Parabolic Rallies. The Bullish Cross was completed in late May, BTC rose again in June on a new yearly High but failed again to break above its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the last Resistance standing on a Cyclical basis as in the previous Cycles once the 3W MA50 broke, it turned into Support (exception of course the COVID flash crash in March 2020) that guided the price into the Bull Cycle's final parabolic rally. But what do you think? Is the MA50 the last barrier for Bitcoin before turning it into Support and breaking out parabolically? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
23
BITCOIN rally starting and next Top expected at least $200k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a 1D Double Bottom and seems to have priced the final low before a new rally that will take it to a new yearly high. The price is already on a 15 day high and it is an excellent time now to look at potential highs for this Cycle. As we've done in the past, we will rely on the long-term time-frames for a more meaningful illustration of BTC's historic Cycles. Those are patterns that have repeated themselves over and over again, with some variations of course based on the current market conditions. ** The Fibonacci Channels ** Right now the price is above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), on a 8-month rally that hasn't been anything like short-term Bear Cycle rallies. The previous Cycles topped near Fibonacci trend-lines of prior Cycle Channels. For example the December 2017 Cycle Top was formed just below the bottom (Fib 0.0) of the orange Fibonacci Channel that started from the previous Cycle bottom. The November 2021 Top was formed just below the middle (Fib 0.5) of the blue Fibonacci Channel. This could be a +0.5 Fib progression and in that case the Top of the current Cycle might be just below the top (Fib 1.0) of the black Fibonacci Channel that started on the December 2018 bottom. ** The Halvings and $200k ** The 1.0 Fib at the time of (the next) Halving 4 (April 2024) will be above $200000, and as we know after each Halving, Bitcoin posts the most aggressive (parabolic) rally of the Bull Cycle. So that leads us to assume that the Top of the current Bull Cycle will be at least $200k. To give a relative sense of pathing, we have plotted the 'post Halving rallies' of the previous three Cycles on the current Channel starting on Halving 4. Do you think that we will see $200k by 2025 Q3? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
30
BITCOIN 3D Golden Cross just formed! Road to ATH begins!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed a new Golden Cross pattern, this time on the 3D chart. Naturally the price is trading above both the 3D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3D MA200 (orange trend-line). In the previous 2 Cycles, once the Cross took place, the 3D MA200 turned into a Support (technical exception of course is March 2020 and the COVID crash, which is though a Black Swan event, the price would have continued upwards if it wasn't for that). With the 3D MA50 guiding the price, the next stop for the uptrend that started was the All Time High (ATH). Due to the Libra euphoria and other positive fundamentals regarding adoption that delivered the 2019 3D Golden Cross faster, it took BTC around 100 days more to reach the ATH in 2020. It could be a fair estimate that Bitcoin would have reached the current ATH ($69000) by around this time next year. But what do you think? Is this final Golden Cross the ticket to a new ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
23