BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other.
This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle.
This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one.
So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusdsignals
BITCOIN just triggered the ultimate post-Halving BUY SIGNAL!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit last week the top of the green Gaussian Channel (GC), a key indicator as last time it did (September 02 2024), kickstarted the massive 2024 rally towards the end of the year.
In fact, it can be argued that when BTC makes contact with the GC during a Bull Cycle, it is the ultimate pull-back Buy Signal after Halving events. More specifically, during the previous Cycle and after the May 2020 Halving, the price touched the GC three times (August 31 2020, July 19 2021 and September 20 2021), all of which were the most optimal pull-back Buy Entries as Bitcoin rebounded instantly.
So far during this Cycle and after the April 2024 Halving, this is the 2nd time the GC is tested. As mentioned the first also initiated an instant rebound. As a result, the current GC test is technically considered a very strong buy opportunity for the remainder of the Cycle, which based on the Time Cycles of the last 2 Cycle Tops, it should peak around October 06 2025.
So what do you think? If buying now towards a potential October 2025 Top, the perfect opportunity? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting1. Entry Point:
Marked around $86,853, this is where a potential short (sell) trade might have been initiated.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above $88,783, protecting the trade in case the market goes against the position.
3. Target Point (Take Profit):
Aiming down toward $74,443.76, suggesting a large bearish move is anticipated.
4. EMA Indicators:
30 EMA (Red Line) at ~$84,271: Indicates short-term trend.
200 EMA (Blue Line) at ~$83,496: Indicates long-term trend.
Price is currently trading above the 200 EMA but slightly below the 30 EMA, showing mixed short-term momentum.
BITCOIN Sell everything in October!Yep, kind of a clickbait title but it doesn't fail to serve justice to this very important Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart.
Today's analysis displays in the most illustrative way the extremely tight symmetry between BTC's Cycles and how this can help us time our Sell at the Top of the Cycle and equally have the patience to buy as close to the next Bottom as possible.
As you see, in the past +10 years since the 2014 Bear Cycle, every Cycle has almost identical time ranges/ durations. All three Bear Cycles since then, lasted for approximately 1 year, and both Bull Cycles for almost 3 years (152 weeks, 1064 days to be exact). More specifically, the last two Bear Cycles were exactly 1 year long, the 2018 one started on the week of December 11 2017 and ended on December 10 2018 and the next Bear Cycle started on November 15 2021 and ended on November 07 2022. So it's been December-to-December and November-to-November Bear Cycles respectively.
If this high degree of symmetry continues to hold, counting 1064 days from the last Cycle Bottom o November 07 2022, gives a time estimate for the next Cycle Top on (the week of) October 06 2025. If also that holds for the Bear Cycle, expect an October-to-October duration, with an approximate bottom on October 12 2026.
So Sell everything up to October 2025 and Buy back as we get close to October 2026 is the strategy?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
BITCOIN's ultimate VIX bottom signal-Last time gave +100% profitBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to make yet another green day, yesterday not only did it close above its 1D MA50 again but was also the 4th green day in the last 6. This attempt is showing that the trend is gradually shifting again towards long-term bullish but today we'll present to you another one, this time in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX).
BTC's (orange trend-line) recent rise is naturally on a negative correlation with VIX (red trend-line) which is currently pulling back after it's most aggressive spike since the COVID flash-crash (March 2020).
Their ratio BTCUSD/VIX (blue trend-line) made a very interesting contact with the Higher Lows trend-line that has been holding since the August 24 2015 Low, which was the bottom of the 2014 Bear Cycle. Since then it made Higher Lows on March 16 2020, August 05 2024 and the most recent, April 07 2025. Every time it was a bottom indication and a massive rally followed. The 'weakest' of all was the previous one, which 'only' gave a +105% rise approximately. Based on that, there is no reason not to expect BTC to hit at least $150k by the end of this Bull Cycle.
Do you think that's a plausible target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the price of Bitcoin increased, but the trading volume decreased, weakening the short-term upward momentum. However, in the long run, the market has sufficient liquidity. The active trading of a large number of investors supports price discovery, and it is likely to drive up the price when there are favorable factors.
It should be noted that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and uncertain. Although we are bullish on the price of Bitcoin today, unexpected factors may change its trend. When making investment decisions, investors should assess their risk tolerance and operate with caution.
BTCUSD
buy@83500-84500
tp:85500-86500
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
BITCOIN's 1D MA50 Flip = GREEN LIGHT for the NEXT BIG PUMP!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed Saturday's 1D candle above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since February 03)! The 1D MA50 got tested and rejected the price 6 times since then. At the same time, the price marginally broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
This is the most powerful short-term bullish combination as it was staged on a Bullish Divergence 1D RSI, which is on Higher Lows against the bearish trend's Lower Lows. Technically such break-outs immediate Target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which now happens to be just below the $100k mark at $99500. In not such a coincidental fashion, that is he last Resistance level that run through February 05 - 21 before BTC's strong tariff sell-off.
So do you think the 1D MA50 break is the green light for a $99500 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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At present, a selling phenomenon has emergedAt present, a selling phenomenon has emerged😰, and a large number of traders are waiting for the market to open⏰.
When other markets open on Monday, the situation of a large amount of capital flowing out to other trading fields also deserves attention. 😟
Especially the flows to the XAU/USD and USOIL markets, or other foreign exchange markets. 💱 The movement of funds to these areas might be influenced by economic news, geopolitical events, or simply portfolio re - balancing by investors. 📰
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@84000 - 84500
🎯 TP 82500 - 81500
Recently, the market has been extremely volatile 😱, which has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟💪.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Long Trade Setup – Breakout Strategy with TargCurrent Price: $80,724.28
Entry Point: $80,671.23 (just above current price)
Stop Loss: $78,052.44
Target Point: $88,573.60
Resistance Point: $82,260.90
📈 Trend & Moving Averages
EMA 30 (red): $80,220.87 — Short-term trend.
EMA 200 (blue): $80,788.61 — Long-term trend.
The price is currently between the EMAs, indicating potential indecision or a shift in trend. A break above both EMAs with momentum would confirm bullish strength.
🔑 Trade Setup Summary
Element Level
Entry 80,671.23
Stop Loss 78,052.44
Target (TP) 88,573.60
Resistance 82,260.90
Risk-Reward ~1:2.7 (approx)
📊 Analysis & Expectations
Bullish Bias: The chart suggests a long trade with a breakout strategy.
Volume and momentum confirmation will be key above resistance.
Resistance at 82,260.90 may cause a brief pullback before continuation to the target.
The stop loss is well-placed below a support zone and the most recent swing low.
✅ What to Watch For
Break and close above EMA 200 and resistance at 82.2K.
Bullish volume increase on breakout.
Price action around the entry zone (wait for confirmation candle if unsure).
BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis is BullishAccording to my momentum analysis, BTCUSD confirmed Bullish trend on April 12, 2025 with entry price at 83624 and stop-loss at 74373. It is likely to continue the trend till 91980 and if breaks and closes above 91980, there is a possibility of hitting the target at 102754.
BITCOIN Can it start an insane rally on CHEAP MONEY??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) seems to be at a point where it last was at the beginning of its current Bull Cycle in October 2022. And that's the point where the Global Liquidity Cycle Indicator (black trend-line) bottomed and started rising, confirming the more on Higher Lows.
This huge buy formation has been present on every BTC Cycle, usually at its bottom (but on the 2015 case, a little after) and signaled the huge monetary supply into the global markets, which translates into rising prices and rallies.
This is the first time we see the same rising liquidity formation twice in a Cycle. Can this be the driving force that BTC needs for its final and strongest parabolic rally of the Cycle towards the end of the year?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Double Bottom Pattern Came into PlayFenzoFx—Bitcoin jumped upward from $74,475 support as expected due to the formation of a double bottom pattern on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish signal.
As of this writing, the price is stabilizing and testing the $81,160 mark as support. However, the 50-SMA on the 1-hour chart serves as the pivot point between the bull and bear market.
The next bullish target could be $84,730, followed by $88,000 if BTC holds above the discussed moving average.
Trade BTC/USD Swap Free at FenzoFx Decentralized Broker
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $85,477 with 5.62% UpThe price has recently surged above both the 30 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), signaling a strong bullish move.
The EMAs are beginning to turn upward, particularly the 30 EMA, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
Key Levels Identified
Entry Zone (Purple Support Zone):
Around $80,105 – a potential buy zone after a pullback.
Labeled with STOP LOSS, indicating the invalidation level if price drops below this zone.
Target Zone (Purple Resistance Zone):
Around $85,477 – this is the target level, marked as “EA TARGET POINT”.
Offers a potential move of +5.62% or 4,551.83 points.
Price Action
Price broke above a previous resistance (now support) and has pulled back slightly.
The projected move suggests a bullish continuation after a minor pullback and consolidation.
Risk-Reward
Good risk-reward ratio implied with the large gap between the stop loss and target.
Stop loss is tight, just below the purple support zone (~$80,105).
Projection
The blue lines and annotations suggest a bullish play, with an expected upward movement after retesting the support.
✅ Possible Trade Idea
Buy Zone: ~$80,105 (on a confirmed retest)
Stop Loss: Slightly below $80,105
Target: ~$85,477
Expected Move: +5.62%
🔍 Additional Notes
Keep an eye on price behavior around the support zone—confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern or rejection wick) strengthens the entry.
The strong move leading to the breakout suggests high momentum, which could mean limited pullback.
News or macro developments could invalidate technicals—be aware of external factors.
BITCOIN Can a USD sell-off save the Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is hanging on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) amidst the market chaos and especially following last night's stronger 104% trade tariffs to China from the U.S.
This is a simple yet powerful classic chart, displaying Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, black trend-line). This shows the long-term negatively correlated pattern they follow on their Cycles.
Every time DXY entered an aggressive sell-off in the final year of the 4-year Cycle, Bitcoin started its final parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle. This time the DXY peaked exactly at the start of the year (2025) and is on a selling sequence up until today but due to the ongoing Trade War, BTC not only didn't rise but is on a correction too.
Can an even stronger DXY sell-off save the day and complete the 4-year Cycle with a final rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This is a bullish reversal analysis on BTC/USD (Bitcoin to USD) on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential long opportunity after a sharp corrective move.
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Key Breakdown of the Chart:
1. Strong Downward Move with Potential Reversal:
Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop from the 88k region to ~74,387.50, now hitting a key demand zone (marked as "Orderblock").
2. Bullish Reaction Expected:
From the Orderblock support zone, a bullish reversal is anticipated.
The projected move aims to fill the imbalance and test the target zone between 87,152.94 and 88,557.14.
3. RSI Oversold:
RSI is around 32.27, indicating oversold conditions and adding confluence for a potential bounce.
4. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA lies around 85,153.85, which may act as dynamic resistance on the way up.
Mr SMC Trading point
5. Price Target:
The expected upside move is approximately +13,722.85 points (+18.75%), aiming for the supply zone above 87k.
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Conclusion / Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Near 74,387.50, the orderblock/demand area.
Target Zone: 87,152.94 – 88,557.14
Bias: Bullish short- to mid-term reversal.
Confluences: Oversold RSI, clean support zone, potential trendline bounce, and price inefficiency above.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITCOIN Is it still on track with past Cycles??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong correction last week as well as early trade yesterday on Monday, along with all major stock markets, but had an equally impressive round on Wall Street opening, which keeps it so far above its key 1W MA50 on a potentially weekly closing.
So the critical question now is this: Will it continue the pattern of past Cycles and give one more major rally in 2025?
Well based on the BTC Rainbow Waves, it is still on track and actually in a similar situation as July 2013 when after a 3-month correction/ pull-back sequence, it got back to the Blue Buy Zone and near the Fair Value green trend-line.
As you can see all Cycles peaked on the Red Zone and so far on this Cycle we haven't even reached the 1st orange trend-line. Based on the Time Cycles, the next peak should be around November 2025 and if the price action confirms the Rainbow Wave model again, the closest level to the Red Zone by then would be around $180000.
Do you think that amidst the trade war chaos, that's a realistic expectation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
P.S. I am attaching a snapshot below in case the waves aren't displayed properly on the chart above:
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Bitcoin Holding Strong — Next Stop: $150K?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC price is currently retesting its major support zone, which was previously a strong resistance area, now acting as support at the $70K–$75K level. The price has just touched the $75K support zone, and we can expect a consolidation above the $70K level followed by a potential bounce back or a V-shaped recovery from the current level.if we see a strong bounce from the current support level, the next potential target could be around $150K
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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